A Hungarian court on Wednesday sentenced German national Maja T. to eight years
in prison on charges related to an assault on a group of right-wing extremists
in Budapest two years ago.
The case attracted national attention in Germany following the extradition of
the defendant to Hungary in 2024, a move which Germany’s top court subsequently
judged to have been illegal. Politicians on the German left have repeatedly
expressed concern over whether the defendant, who identifies as non-binary, was
being treated fairly by Hungary’s legal system.
Hungarian prosecutors accused Maja T. of taking part in a series of violent
attacks on people during a neo-Nazi gathering in Budapest in February 2023, with
attackers allegedly using batons and rubber hammers and injuring several people,
some seriously. The defendant was accused of acting alongside members of a
German extreme-left group known as Hammerbande or “Antifa Ost.”
The Budapest court found Maja T. guilty of attempting to inflict
life-threatening bodily harm and membership in a criminal organization. The
prosecution had sought a 24-year prison sentence, arguing the verdict should
serve as a deterrent; the defendant has a right to appeal.
German politicians on the left condemned the court’s decision.
“The Hungarian government has politicized the proceedings against Maja T. from
the very beginning,” Helge Limburg, a Greens lawmaker focused on legal policy,
wrote on X. “It’s a bad day for the rule of law.”
The case sparked political tensions between Hungary and Germany after Maja T.
went on a hunger strike in June to protest conditions in jail. Several German
lawmakers later visited to express their solidarity, and German Foreign Minister
Johann Wadephul called on Hungary to improve detention conditions for Maja T.
Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s illiberal government is frequently accused of
launching a culture war on LGBTQ+ people, including by moving to ban Pride
events, raising concerns among German left-wing politicians and activists over
the treatment of Maja T. by the country’s legal system.
Maja T.’s lawyers criticized the handling of evidence and what they described as
the rudimentary hearing of witnesses, according to German media reports.
Tag - Far left
Want to get a sense of how the next French presidential vote will play out? Then
pay attention to the upcoming local elections.
They start in 50 days, and voters in more than 35,000 communes will head to the
polls to elect city councils and mayors.
Those races will give an important insight into French politics running into the
all-important 2027 presidential contest that threatens to reshape both France
and the European Union.
The elections, which will take place over two rounds on March 15 and March 22,
will confirm whether the far-right National Rally can cement its status as the
country’s predominant political force. They will also offer signs of whether the
left is able to overcome its internal divisions to be a serious challenger. The
center has to prove it’s not in a death spiral.
POLITICO traveled to four cities for an on-the-ground look at key races that
will be fought on policy issues that resonate nationally such as public safety,
housing, climate change and social services. These are topics that could very
well determine the fortunes of the leading parties next year.
FRANCE IN MINIATURE
Benoit Payan, Franck Allisio, Martine Vassal and Sébastien Delogu | Source
photos via EPA and Getty Images
MARSEILLE — France’s second city is a microcosm of the nationwide electoral
picture.
Marseille’s sprawl is comprised of poorer, multicultural areas,
middle-to-upper-class residential zones and bustling, student-filled districts.
All make up the city’s unique fabric.
Though Marseille has long struggled with crime, a surge in violence tied to drug
trafficking in the city and nationwide has seen security rocket up voters’
priority list. In Marseille, as elsewhere, the far right has tied the uptick in
violence and crime to immigration.
The strategy appears to be working. Recent polling shows National Rally
candidate Franck Allisio neck-and-neck with incumbent Benoît Payan, who enjoys
the support of most center-left and left-wing parties.
Trailing them are the center-right hopeful Martine Vassal — who is backed by
French President Emmanuel Macron’s party Renaissance — and the hard-left France
Unbowed candidate Sébastien Delogu, a close ally of three-time presidential
candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
Those four candidates are all polling well enough to make the second round. That
could set up an unprecedented and unpredictable four-way runoff to lead the
Mediterranean port city of more than 850,000 people.
A National Rally win here would rank among the biggest victories in the history
of the French far right. Party leader Marine Le Pen traveled to Marseille
herself on Jan. 17 to stump for Allisio, describing the city as a “a symbol of
France’s divisions” and slamming Payan for “denying that there is a connection
between immigration and insecurity.”
Party leader Marine Le Pen traveled to Marseille herself on Jan. 17 to stump for
Allisio. | Miguel Medina/AFP via Getty Images
The center-right candidate Vassal told POLITICO said she would increase security
by recruiting more local police and installing video surveillance.
But she also regretted that Marseille was so often represented by its struggles.
“We’re always making headlines on problems like drug trafficking … It puts all
the city’s assets and qualities to the side and erases everything else which
goes on,” Vassal said.
Payan, whose administration took over in 2020 after decades of conservative
rule, has tried to tread a line that is uncompromising on policing while also
acknowledging the roots of the city’s problems require holistic solutions. He’s
offered to double the number of local cops as part of a push for more community
policing and pledged free meals for 15,000 students to get them back in school.
Marseille’s sprawl is comprised of poorer, multicultural areas,
middle-to-upper-class residential zones and bustling, student-filled districts.
All make up the city’s unique fabric. | Miguel Medina/AFP via Getty Images
Delogu is the only major candidate not offering typical law-and-order
investments. Though he acknowledges the city’s crime problems, he proposes any
new spending should be on poverty reduction, housing supply and the local public
health sector rather than of more security forces and equipment.
Crime is sure to dominate the debate in Marseille. This election will test which
of these competing approaches resonates most in a country where security is
increasingly a top concern.
LATEST POLLING: Payan 30 percent – Allisio 30 percent- Vassal 23 percent –
Delogu 14 percent
CAN A UNITED LEFT BLOCK A FAR-RIGHT TAKEOVER?
Julien Sanchez, Franck Proust and Julien Plantier | Source photos via Getty
Images
NÎMES — Nîmes’ stunningly well-preserved second-century Roman amphitheater
attracts global superstars for blockbuster concerts. But even the glamour of
Taylor Swift or Dua Lipa can’t hide the recent scares in this city of more than
150,000 people.
Nîmes has in recent years suffered from violence tied to drug trafficking long
associated with Marseille, located just a short train ride away.
Pissevin, a high-rise neighborhood just a 15-minute streetcar ride from the
landmark amphitheater, seized national headlines in 2024 when 10-year-old was
killed by a stray bullet in a case that remains under investigation but which
prosecutors believe was linked to drug trafficking.
“Ten to 15 years ago, a lot of crime came from petty theft and burglaries. But
some of the population in underprivileged areas, looking for economic
opportunities, turned to the drug trade, which offered a lot more money and the
same amount of prison time if they were caught,” said Salim El Jihad, a Nîmes
resident who leads the local nongovernmental organization Suburban.
The Nimes amphitheatre and Pissevin / Source photos via Getty Images
The National Rally is betting on Nîmes as a symbolic pickup. The race is shaping
up to be a close three-way contest between Communist Vincent Bouget, the
National Rally’s Julien Sanchez and conservative Franck Proust, Nîmes’ deputy
mayor from 2016 to 2020.
Bouget — who is backed by most other left-wing parties, including moderate
forces like the Socialist Party — told POLITICO that while security is shaping
up to be a big theme in the contest, it raises “a broader question around social
structures.”
“What citizens are asking for is more human presence, including public services
and social workers,” Bouget said.
Whoever wins will take the reins from Jean-Paul Fournier, the 80-year-old
conservative mayor who has kept Nîmes on the right without pause for the past
quarter century.
But Fournier’s decision not to seek another term and infighting within his own
party, Les Républicains, have sharply diminished Proust’s chances of victory.
Proust may very well end splitting votes with Julien Plantier, another
right-leaning former deputy mayor, who has the support of Macron’s Renaissance.
Sanchez, meanwhile, is appealing to former Fournier voters with pledges to
bolster local police units and with red scare tactics.
“Jean-Paul Fournier managed to keep this city on the right for 25 years,”
Sanchez said in his candidacy announcement clip. “Because of the stupidity of
his heirs, there’s a strong chance the communists and the far left could win.”
LATEST POLLING: Bouget 28 percent – Sanchez 27 percent- Proust 22 percent
THE LAST GREEN HOPE
That was also a clear swipe at Pierre Hurmic’s main opponent — pro-Macron
centrist Thomas Cazenave — who spent a year as budget minister from 2023 to
2024. | Source photos via Getty Images
BORDEAUX — Everyone loves a Bordeaux red. So can a Green really last in French
wine country?
Pierre Hurmic rode the green wave to Bordeaux city hall during France’s last
nationwide municipal elections in 2020. That year the Greens, which had seldom
held power other than as a junior coalition partner, won the race for mayor in
three of France’s 10 most populous cities — Strasbourg, Lyon and Bordeaux —
along with smaller but noteworthy municipalities including Poitiers and
Besançon.
Six years later, the most recent polling suggests the Greens are on track to
lose all of them.
Except Bordeaux.
Green mayors have faced intense scrutiny over efforts to make cities less
car-centric and more eco-friendly, largely from right-wing opponents who depict
those policies as out of touch with working-class citizens who are priced out of
expensive city centers and must rely on cars to get to their jobs.
The view from Paris is that Hurmic has escaped some of that backlash by being
less ideological and, crucially, adopting a tougher stance on crime than some of
his peers.
Notably, Hurmic decided to arm part of the city’s local police units — departing
from some of his party’s base, which argues that firearms should be reserved for
national forces rather than less-experienced municipal units.
In an interview with POLITICO, Hurmic refused to compare himself to other Green
mayors. He defended his decision to double the number of local police, alongside
those he armed, saying it had led to a tangible drop in crime.
“Everyone does politics based on their own temperament and local circumstances,”
he said.
Hurmic insists that being tough on crime doesn’t mean going soft on climate
change. He argues the Greens’ weak polling wasn’t a backlash against local
ecological policies, pointing to recent polling showing 63 percent of voters
would be “reluctant to vote for a candidate who questions the ecological
transition measures already underway in their municipality.”
Pursuing a city’s transition on issues like mobility and energy is all the more
necessary because at the national level, “the state is completely lacking,”
Hurmic said, pointing to what he described as insufficient investment in recent
budgets.
That was also a clear swipe at his main opponent — pro-Macron centrist Thomas
Cazenave — who spent a year as budget minister from 2023 to 2024.
Cazenave has joined forces with other center-right and conservative figures in a
bid to reclaim a city that spent 73 years under right-leaning mayors, two of
whom served as prime minister — Alain Juppé and Jacques Chaban-Delmas.
But according Ludovic Renard, a political scientist at the Bordeaux Institute of
Political Science, Hurmic’s ascent speaks to how the city has changed.
“The sociology of the city is no longer the same, and Hurmic’s politics are more
in tune with its population,” said Renard.
LATEST POLLING: Hurmic 32 percent – Cazenave 26 percent – Nordine Raymond
(France Unbowed) 15 percent – Julie Rechagneux (National Rally) 13 percent –
Philippe Dessertine (independent) 12 percent
GENTRIFICATION AND THE FUTURE OF THE LEFT
Mayor Karim Bouamrane, a Socialist, has said the arrival of new, wealthier
residents and the ensuing gentrification could be a net positive for the city,
as long as “excellence is shared.” | Bertrand Guay/AFP via Getty Images
SAINT-OUEN-SUR-SEINE — The future of the French left could be decided on the
grounds of the former Olympic village.
The Parisian suburb of Saint-Ouen-sur-Seine, which borders the French capital,
is a case study in the waves of gentrification that have transformed the
outskirts of major European cities. Think New York’s Williamsburg, London’s
Hackney or Berlin’s Neukölln.
Saint-Ouen, as it’s usually called, has long been known for its massive flea
market, which draws millions of visitors each year. But the city, particularly
its areas closest to Paris, was long seen as unsafe and struggled with
entrenched poverty.
The future of the French left could be decided on the grounds of the former
Olympic village. | Mustafa Yalcin/Anadolu via Getty Images
That changed over time, as more affluent Parisians began moving into the
well-connected suburb in search of cheaper rents or property.
A 2023 report from the local court of auditors underlined that “the population
of this rapidly growing municipality … has both a high poverty rate (28 percent)
and a phenomenon of ‘gentrification’ linked to the rapid increase in the
proportion of executives and higher intellectual professions.”
Mayor Karim Bouamrane, a Socialist, has said the arrival of new, wealthier
residents and the ensuing gentrification could be a net positive for the city,
as long as “excellence is shared.”
Bouamrane has also said he would continue pushing for the inclusion of social
housing when issuing building permits, and for existing residents not to be
displaced when urban renewal programs are put in place.
His main challenger, France Unbowed’s Manon Monmirel, hopes to build enough
social housing to make it 40 percent of the city’s total housing stock. She’s
also pledged to crack down on real estate speculation.
The race between the two could shed light on whether the future of the French
left lies in the center or at the extremes.
In Boumrane, the Socialists have a charismatic leader. He is 52 years old, with
a beat-the-odds story that lends itself well to a national campaign. His journey
from child of Moroccan immigrants growing up in a rough part of Saint-Ouen to
city leader certainly caught attention of the foreign press in the run-up to the
Olympics.
Bouamrane’s moderate politics include a push for his party to stop fighting
Macron’s decision to raise the retirement age in 2023 and he supports more
cross-partisan work with the current center-right government.
That approach stands in sharp contrast to the ideologically rigid France
Unbowed. The party’s firebrand leader Mélenchon scored 51.82 percent of the vote
in Saint-Ouen during his last presidential run in 2022, and France Unbowed
landed over 35 percent — more than three times its national average — there in
the European election two years later, a race in which it usually struggles.
Mélenchon and France Unbowed’s campaign tactics are laser-focused on specific
segments that support him en masse despite his divisive nature: a mix of
educated, green-minded young voters and working-class urban populations, often
of immigrant descent.
In other words: the yuppies moving to Saint-Ouen and the people who were their
before gentrification.
France Unbowed needs their continued support to become a durable force, or it
may crumble like the grassroots movements born in the early 2010s, including
Spain’s Podemos or Greece’s Syriza.
But if the Socialists can’t win a left-leaning suburb with a popular incumbent
on the ballot, where can they win?
BERLIN — The center-left premier of the eastern German state of Brandenburg
dissolved his coalition with the populist left Alliance for Social Justice and
Economic Reason (BSW) on Tuesday after just over a year in office.
Despite the collapse, the Social Democratic premier, Dietmar Woidke, said he
intends to stay on as leader of a minority government, illustrating the fragile
political conditions in Germany’s eastern states, where the far-right
Alternative for Germany (AfD) is particularly strong.
“The governmental chaos in Brandenburg can only have one logical consequence:
immediate new elections!” one of the leaders of the AfD, Alice Weidel, said in a
post on X. Her party is currently polling at 35 percent in Brandenburg, the
state that surrounds Berlin, far ahead of all other parties.
The coalition collapse came as two lawmakers and the finance minister left the
BSW parliamentary group over policy disagreements. That caused the coalition,
which had only a two-vote surplus, to lose its majority in the state parliament.
“This breakdown means that the basis for cooperation in a coalition no longer
exists,” Woidke told reporters on Tuesday. The workings within government had
become “overshadowed by constant disputes within the BSW,” he added.
The BSW was founded in 2024 by Sahra Wagenknecht, a longtime icon of hard-left
politics in Germany. The party merges elements of hard-left and hard-right
politics — an ideology Wagenknecht has dubbed “left conservatism.” Wagenknecht
stepped down as the party’s leader at the end of last year, but remains an
influential figure.
She had come under increasing criticism for tailoring the party too much to her
own persona, which also led to a name change — it was originally called the
Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance.
In line with this criticism, the departure of members of parliament from the BSW
in Brandenburg was largely due to individual politicians disagreeing with
Wagenknecht on policy issues such as the reform of the state’s public
broadcasters, while the party leadership did not allow them to take a different
path.
Woidke said he planned to hold coalition talks with the center-right Christian
Democratic Union (CDU) in the future, with whom his Social Democrats would now
have a majority. But for the time being, Woidke plans to govern Brandenburg in a
minority government.
Minority governments are relatively uncommon in Germany, but might become more
frequent in the coming years as the increasing strength of the far right and far
left has fractured the political landscape.
In upcoming elections this year in other eastern states, namely Saxony-Anhalt
and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the AfD aims to break through Germany’s so-called
firewall that has been in place since the end of World War II to prevent a
far-right party from coming to power again.
PARIS — Two polar opposite personalities from France’s fractured left are
fighting to emerge as the candidate to stop the dominant far right under Marine
Le Pen or Jordan Bardella from winning the presidency in 2027.
It’s still about 17 months until an election that threatens to upend the
European Union, but a very public battle is already raging between the
old-school radical Jean-Luc Mélenchon and the polished pro-NATO more
center-leaning Raphaël Glucksmann.
It’s a bruising clash, and several observers tracking the presidential race
predict the depth of animosity between the two men could further split the left
— sapping the possibility of victory in 2027 — rather than establishing a
consensus candidate for the crucial second round of the race for the Elysée.
Unless one manages to completely overshadow the other, the left will be locked
in a civil war for the coming year.
“Past presidential elections have shown that two candidates can’t coexist on the
left without causing trouble for each other,” said Erwan Lestrohan, research
director at French polling institute Odoxa.
The two men could hardly be more different. Mélenchon is a 74-year-old hardliner
who has run for president three times, nearly making the runoff in 2022 with a
campaign calling for hiking the minimum wage, lowering the retirement age to 60
and pulling out of NATO.
Glucksmann, 46, is an MEP and staunch supporter of bolstering Europe’s military
power. He is also open to billions of euros worth of spending cuts to bring
France’s messy public finances into line and believes the country’s contentious
pension system should be rebuilt.
Given those ideological fault lines, the tone of the contest has unsurprisingly
descended into mudslinging. On his preferred communication outlet — his blog —
Mélenchon has described Glucksmann as a “fanatic warmonger” and “the darling
child of media vacuity.”
Punching back on social media and in interviews, Glucksmann has called Mélenchon
“a phony patriot who prefers the Kremlin’s spin” and has framed their showdown
as a struggle for “a vision of democracy,” accusing the leader of the hard-left
France Unbowed party of rose-tinted views of authoritarian regimes in Moscow and
Beijing.
PERIL IN THE POLLS
Over recent weeks, poll after poll has suggested the far right could well have
to face a leftist in a run-off in the spring of 2027.
“There’s a solid prospect of having a left-wing candidate make the second
round,” Lestrohan said.
For Mélenchon or Glucksmann, reaching the run-off would be a huge moment. They
would have a shot not only at taking the Elysée, but also at shaping the future
of the French left — joining the likes of Jean Jaurès and François Mitterrand in
the country’s pantheon of progressive icons.
More likely for now, however, is the prospect of becoming the first presidential
candidate in modern French history to lose to the far right. Neither looks on
course to win a second round against the National Rally’s Bardella — seen as a
probable runner because of a ban on Le Pen.
. Mélenchon is a 74-year-old hardliner who has run for president three times,
nearly making the runoff in 2022. | Jerome Gilles/Getty Images
A year and a half ahead of the vote, Glucksmann appears to be a stronger
second-round candidate. According to an Odoxa poll released last week he is seen
as losing by a margin of 42 percent to 58 percent to Bardella, while Mélenchon
is seen as losing in a 26 percent to 74 percent landslide.
All prospective candidates from the center-right coalition currently in power
look set to be wiped out in the first round, except for Édouard Philippe —
President Emmanuel Macron’s first prime minister after his 2017 election —
though his polling numbers have steadily declined over the past year.
SUBSTANCE AND STRATEGY
With radically different views come radically different strategies.
Glucksmann is convinced the left can win by luring back moderates and former
Socialists who ditched the party for Macron’s centrist movement in 2017. An
Ipsos survey showed that Glucksmann managed to attract 17 percent of voters who
had previously voted for Macron when he led a joint list with the center-left
Socialist Party and finished a convincing third in the last European election in
2024.
Mélenchon, meanwhile, believes the decisive votes lie in working-class urban
areas where turnout is low, but where those who do cast ballots have rallied
behind him en masse over the last several electoral cycles.
True to his slow-and-steady philosophy — Mélenchon likes to call himself an
“electoral turtle” and keeps figurines of the hard-shelled reptile in his office
— he has increased his vote share in each Elysée run despite a cantankerous
temper.
Both approaches have their merits and shortcomings.
Mélenchon could be dragged down by his image as a divisive firebrand, Lestrohan
said.
“As for Raphaël Glucksmann, his vulnerability stems more from the fact that he
is still relatively unknown, and that we do not yet know how capable he is of
campaigning, promoting ideas, and, above all, asserting himself in the face of
opposition,” said Lestrohan.
That concern about Glucksmann has already begun to spread within the Socialist
Party’s ranks. While the party backed the MEP in the last two European races,
the idea of promoting a candidate from outside their party — Glucksmann leads
his own political platform, Place Publique — has drawn skepticism from some
Socialists.
After a weeks-long media absence, Glucksmann reemerged into the public eye last
month when he faced off in a debate with far-right former presidential candidate
Éric Zemmour. Glucksmann’s performance was widely viewed as a disappointment —
including by Glucksmann himself, who acknowledged he “could have done better.”
Raphael Glucksmann, 46, is an MEP and staunch supporter of bolstering Europe’s
military power. | Laurent Coust/Getty Images
“There’s a scenario in which this all turns into a nightmare,” a Socialist
adviser opposed to Glucksmann’s candidacy, who was granted anonymity to speak
candidly, told POLITICO. “Glucksmann will get crushed by a political beast like
Mélenchon. But there’s no chance Mélenchon can come out ahead against Bardella.”
US VS. THEM
Indeed, although Mélenchon enjoys the support of a loyal core, he garners the
highest share of negative opinions of any French politician — even more than
Macron — and is vilified by opponents, who accuse him of pushing antisemitic
tropes in the context of his pro-Palestinian rhetoric and of defending extremist
views.
High-ranking members of Mélenchon’s France Unbowed have brushed off his weakness
in recent polls, insisting their electorate only tends to mobilize later in
campaigns and that the National Rally tends to lose support when the prospect of
a far-right victory becomes concrete.
“It is impossible to predict what will happen in the second round. Voters never
want to decide on scenarios that do not suit them,” said France Unbowed lawmaker
and national coordinator Manuel Bompard.
“Only when the choice becomes mandatory” do actual voting intentions emerge, he
added.
Bompard and other party leaders point to last summer’s snap general election in
France, which the National Rally was expected to win before finishing an
underwhelming third as voters mobilized across party lines to block its path.
Back in January 2012, when he launched his first presidential bid, Mélenchon
predicted that “in the end, it’ll be between us and them,” with “them” being the
far right.
Danièle Obono, a prominent France Unbowed lawmaker, said that prophecy still
looked likely to come true.
“There’s an opposition between our left and the far right … it’s class warfare
expressed through the ballot box. This is a moment when the people want a major
shake-up that leaves space for either us [the hard left] or them [the far
right],” Obono said.
Glucksmann’s troops beg to differ.
After the release of last week’s poll showing Bardella winning the presidential
election, Aurélien Rousseau, a Place Publique lawmaker, took to X.
“We knew it, but now it’s clear politically: the RN can win the presidential
election,” he said. “On the left, the line held by [Glucksmann] is currently the
only one capable of leading the fight.”
Left-wing European politicians are celebrating Wednesday morning after
democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani won New York City’s mayoral election.
British Labour Party politician and London Mayor Sadiq Khan was among the first
to congratulate Mamdani, saying: “New Yorkers faced a clear choice — between
hope and fear — and just like we’ve seen in London — hope won.”
The co-chair of The Left group in the European Parliament, French MEP Manon
Aubry, also reacted with jubilation.
“Faced with the media, economic and political establishment that spent tens of
millions of dollars to block his path, he managed to turn the tables with
radically concrete proposals […] and without ever turning a blind eye to racism
and Gaza,” she said.
Aubry and other European left-wing representatives, including a delegation from
Germany’s The Left party, traveled to New York to learn lesson from the
socialist wunderkind, who collected more than 50 percent of the vote Tuesday.
Aubry added: “I saw the power of his campaign in action, led by our allies in
the Democratic Socialists of America, which created a real popular momentum and
doubled the voter turnout.”
Mamdani will be the first Muslim mayor of New York City, and — like London’s
Khan — he has been verbally attacked by U.S. President Donald Trump, who
suffered a bad night Tuesday with a string of Democratic election victories
around the country.
Green Budapest Mayor Gergely Karácsony, a frequent foe of Hungary’s
populist-nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, also congratulated Mamdani.
“How familiar it feels when the central government threatens a candidate it
dislikes by saying they won’t receive central support, and instead backs another
so-called ‘opposition’ candidate,” he wrote in an Instagram post, in reference
to Trump’s late endorsement of independent challenger Andrew Cuomo, the former
governor of New York state.
The leader of Germany’s The Left, Heidi Reichinnek, expressed her delight by
reposting Mamdani’s winning announcement reel in an Instagram story, adding
“Good morning” and a heart emoji.
PARIS — Zohran Mamdani’s rise from little-known New York state assemblyman to
front-runner in the New York mayoral election has sparked a newfound sense of
optimism among left-wing politicians in Europe ahead of their own local
elections next year.
Party strategists from across Europe are making the trek across the Atlantic to
learn from the millennial who skyrocketed from anonymity to the precipice of the
most important city in the United States (or the world, if you ask a New
Yorker).
They want to see if Mamdani’s grassroots campaign, which has been laser-focused
on affordability issues, will work in their cities and regions as well as it did
for him in New York’s Democratic Party primary — and potentially in Tuesday’s
general election.
Manon Aubry, the French co-chair of The Left group in the European Parliament —
which gathers Europe’s democratic socialist, left-wing populist and some
communist lawmakers — traveled to New York last week where she took part
alongside Mamdani canvassers in the campaign’s final stretch.
Aubry and her party, France Unbowed, see Mamdani as an example of how to bring
about “radical change” as they look to make a splash in the municipal elections
that will take place across France in 2026.
Germany’s anti-capitalist party, The Left, sent four officials to the Big Apple
to meet with officials including the Mamdani campaign’s chief of strategy,
Morris Katz. Party Co-Chair Ines Schwerdtner and Maximilian Schirmer, co-chair
of The Left’s Berlin branch, also paid a visit.
Liza Pflaum, parliamentary office manager for The Left’s other co-chair, Jan van
Aken, said she believed her party had exceeded expectations in Germany’s
February federal election by using the same playbook as Mamdani: focusing on
cost-of-living issues, courting small donors, and investing heavily in
door-to-door volunteer operations.
Pflaum expects The Left to use Mamdani’s current campaign as a model for her
party’s approach to Berlin’s state legislative election next September.
“[He] offers a concrete vision of how people’s lives can actually be improved,”
she said. “You can feel it right away here in New York: People have begun to
feel hope again.”
PUNCHY BEATS BORING
French and British politicians say they are particularly impressed with how
Mamdani’s team has employed a media strategy leveraging their candidate’s
charisma — especially the use of short social media clips to hammer home the
affordability message while making him seem relatable.
“[Mamdani] winning the Democratic primary is already a major political event,
both because of what he ran on and how he ran it: His comms strategy, his use of
social media. There’s a lot of things we’ve found inspiring,” said Danièle
Obono, a France Unbowed lawmaker who will be hosting a livestream watch party
for the election results along with other party leaders on Tuesday.
Mothin Ali, deputy leader of the United Kingdom’s Greens, said British
politicians tend to make “boring and simple” videos and that the left needed to
perfect delivering sound bites in a “punchy” way like Mamdani.
Manon Aubry and her party, France Unbowed, see Zohran Mamdani as an example of
how to bring about “radical change” as they look to make a splash in the
municipal elections that will take place across France in 2026. | Frederick
Florin/Getty Images
Mamdani’s likely triumph over the experienced but scandal-plagued Andrew Cuomo
— the former New York governor who is running as an independent after being
defeated by Mamdani in the Democratic primary — is also the latest example of
more moderate parties being outflanked by more radical forces at both ends of
the political spectrum.
France Unbowed has established itself as a dominant force on the left in the
decade after former Socialist President François Hollande’s single term ended in
disappointment. But while France Unbowed leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon has had
strong showings in presidential races, the party has struggled to take control
of local administrations and to prove it can govern on a radical platform — a
gap it hopes to close in next year’s municipal elections.
POLITICO’s Poll of Polls for the U.K. shows the Greens have climbed to 14
percent, just 4 percentage points behind Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Labour
Party. The latest Find Out Now poll, released last week, showed the Greens —
boosted by new leader Zack Polanski’s brand of “eco-populism” — overtaking
Labour for the first time.
Germany’s The Left’s has continued to rise gradually since its surprise showing
in February and the party is now in a stronger position, polling shows, to
challenge its moderate rivals, the Greens and the Social Democrats.
The Greens candidate for Paris mayor, David Belliard, said Mamdani’s success in
appealing to voters worried about the cost of living, an issue plaguing
Parisians as well as New Yorkers, had confirmed his suspicion that his party
needed to run a more progressive campaign after spending more than two decades
as a junior coalition partner to center-left mayors in the French capital who
have done more to make the city greener than cheaper.
“We’ve spent a lot of time fighting against the end of the world, but maybe not
enough helping people make it to the end of the month,” Belliard said.
Victor Goury-Laffont reported from Paris, Nette Nöstlinger from Berlin and
Martin Alfonsin Larsen from London.
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Ein Gespräch zwischen Beton, Brücke und Bundeskanzleramt: Gordon Repinski trifft
Jens Spahn zum Spaziergang durch das Berliner Regierungsviertel und spricht mit
dem Unions-Fraktionschef über das Koalitionsklima, den Kanzler und wie sich
Deutschland in einer Moll-Stimmung befindet.
Spahn erklärt, warum der „linke Empörungszirkus“ über die Stadtbilddebatte für
ihn Symbol ist, wie Union und SPD gemeinsam das Land stabilisieren sollen und
weshalb für ihn „Mitte rechts“ nicht dasselbe ist wie „rechts der Mitte“. Er
spricht über Migration, Rentenpolitik, Wirtschaftswachstum – und darüber, warum
das Land wieder Zuversicht braucht.
Es geht zu dem um Spahns Verhältnis zu Friedrich Merz, den inneren Frieden mit
alten Ambitionen, seine Sicht auf die AfD und seine Haltung zu Trump und den
Republikanern.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
French President Emmanuel Macron has gone from “Mr. Europe” eight years ago to
the solitary man by the Seine. At the same time, ex-German Chancellor Angela
Merkel’s legacy is also going through a sudden and sharp downgrade. How did
these centrist pillars of Europe tank so quickly? With parties on the far right
and far left rising up in their place, are citizens actually becoming more
extreme — or are they just fed up?
To discuss these questions, host Sarah Wheaton was joined by John Kampfner — an
expert on Germany, Nick Vinocour — our chief foreign affairs correspondent, and
Clea Caulcutt — our senior correspondent in Paris. Plus, we dive into the
alleged espionage scandal facing Hungary’s Viktor Orbán and Commissioner Olivér
Várhelyi.
BRUSSELS ― The far-right Patriots for Europe is taking legal action after the
European Parliament suspended access to millions of euros in public funds over
alleged misspending.
In two separate cases, the Patriots party is contesting rulings by the
Parliament and the EU’s party watchdog that resulted in it losing access to more
than €4 million in funds, arguing the decisions were illegitimate and the
product of bias and lack of impartiality.
The far-right political family, home to France’s Marine Le Pen and Hungary’s
Viktor Orbán, has consistently complained of being sidelined from EU
policymaking and key positions of power since the 2024 European elections, where
it surged to become the third-largest group in Parliament.
Mainstream politicians have kept the Patriots at arm’s length under the
so-called cordon sanitaire — an informal pact to avoid cooperation with factions
on the far right and far left. Now, the Patriots are also accusing EU officials
of sabotaging their access to public cash earmarked for political parties.
“There is a problem with certain agents of the administration of the
Parliament,” said Belgian MEP Gerolf Annemans, honorary president of the
Patriots party.
The Patriots scored its first win on Wednesday when the European Court of
Justice annulled a sanction by the party watchdog, the APPF, which had required
the party to pay a €47,000 fine.
The sanction came after the party wrongly referred to one of its lawmakers as
being part of its board in a social media post, which the APPF took as a sign
the party had lied in its entry to the authority’s register — a serious offense
that could lead to all public funding for the party being withheld.
The APPF ruling enabled the European Parliament to cut the Patriots party off
from accessing €4 million of EU funding in 2023, documents obtained by POLITICO
show. That meant a substantial cut to the party’s available budget for the 2024
elections — where other European political parties carried their 2023 funds over
for the following year.
Wednesday’s court ruling will allow the Patriots to try to claim part of these
funds back — and will likely bolster the party’s claims of bias from the
Parliament’s administration.
EQUAL TREATMENT
In a separate lawsuit filed mid-July, the Patriots accused the Parliament of
bias and lack of impartiality after it ruled the party had misspent funds in a
campaign in Czechia.
The Parliament’s Bureau, composed of MEPs and tasked with taking decisions on
administrative issues, ruled the Patriots should pay for that campaign with
their own money and give back the EU funds spent on it, which came to €228,000.
The decision violated “the principles of equal treatment and non-discrimination,
as it deemed similar campaigns by other parties to be reimbursable,” the
Patriot’s case document, seen by POLITICO, read.
The far-right political family, home to France’s Marine Le Pen and Hungary’s
Viktor Orbán, has consistently complained of being sidelined from EU
policymaking and key positions of power since the 2024 European elections. |
Wojtek Radwanski/Getty Images
They also argue that the decision was not impartial, as the Bureau is composed
mostly of center-right, liberal and left-wing lawmakers, with no far-right MEPs
from the Patriots present to defend the case.
On top of that, they contend the Parliament violated their rights to defense as
it censored big chunks of the letter the Patriots had sent to the bureau to
defend themselves.
In the first version of the letter, the Patriots compared their campaign with
that of another EU party. In the letter that the administration circulated in
the bureau, the justification was redacted.
‘VERY GOOD LAWYERS’
The Parliament refused to comment on the ongoing judicial proceedings. The APPF
“remains committed to protecting integrity of European democracy” in accordance
with its obligations under EU law, it said after the ruling.
These two lawsuits follow threats of a separate challenge from the Patriots
group — a distinct legal entity from the Patriots party, which represents the
far-right camp in Parliament.
At the beginning of September, the Parliament’s budgetary control committee
recommended the administration seek the reimbursement of €4.3 million from the
group in reparations for alleged misspending by the now-defunct far-right
Identity and Democracy. The ID group dissolved in the summer of 2024, with many
of its members and staff joining the new Patriots.
“We will fight it in court if necessary,” said a Patriots group official,
granted anonymity to speak about sensitive matters. “We have very good lawyers,
and we are sure we are right.”
PARIS — President Emmanuel Macron’s escape route out of the political and
economic crisis gripping France now looks almost impossibly narrow.
On Monday, his key ally Prime Minister François Bayrou was toppled in a
bloodbath of a no-confidence vote, with 364 lawmakers voting to oust him and
only 194 coming out in support.
Macron’s office promptly said he would move in “the next few days” to appoint
the country’s fifth prime minister in less than two years, but there are grave
doubts that the new appointee will prove any more successful than Bayrou in
forcing through the tens of billions of euros of budget cuts needed to save the
EU’s second-biggest economy from a ballooning debt crisis.
Macron is now squarely in the line of public fire, ahead of threats of a
national shutdown on Sept. 10 and major protests planned by trade unions on
Sept. 18. The president’s popularity has dropped to an all-time low, with polls
showing he is more unpopular today than at the peak of the Yellow Vest protests
in 2018 and 2019, one of the gravest crises of his tenure.
Ever confident in his ability to wriggle, Houdini-like, out of the worst of
tangles, Macron is still holding out for a deal with the moderate left, the
centrists and the conservative Les Républicains party to form a minority
government that can finally reach an agreement over the budget.
But Macron is almost certainly clutching at straws in a country that looks
increasingly ungovernable. The scale of Bayrou’s defeat in parliament on Monday
and the signals emerging from lawmakers already suggest his efforts are doomed
from the outset.
MACRON TRIES TO HOLD THE CENTER
During a day of high drama in parliament, opposition parties rounded on Macron
as the protagonist responsible for the stalemate engulfing France.
“There is only one person responsible for the crisis, for the fiasco and
instability, it’s the president of the Republic,” said Boris Vallaud, the
Socialist Party’s parliamentary leader.
Communist parliamentary leader Stéphane Peu likened the crisis to “Saving
Private Ryan” with Bayrou being “the fourth prime minister to fall to save
President Macron.”
After the vote, many called for Macron to step down. “The president doesn’t want
to change his policies? Well, we’ll have to change president,” said Mathilde
Panot, parliamentary head of the far-left France Unbowed party.
Macron faces an intense challenge in keeping the center together, while the
far-right National Rally — the party that tops the polls — and the far left are
on an anti-establishment blitz, threatening to bring down any future
administrations that slash public spending.
Consolidating the middle ground is difficult because the center-left Socialists
and center-right Les Républicains disagree fundamentally on economic policy
aims, despite growing fears that France’s inability to put its books in order
could ultimately put a strain on the EU’s finances.
ALL EYES ON THE SOCIALISTS
In his valedictory speech before the National Assembly, Bayrou warned against
complacency about the depths of France’s financial mess, saying the nation
suffers from a “life-threatening” level of debt.
“You have the power to overthrow the government” but not “to erase reality,” he
told lawmakers.
In his valedictory speech before the National Assembly, François Bayrou warned
against complacency about the depths of France’s financial mess, saying the
nation suffers from a “life-threatening” level of debt. | Yoan Valat/EPA
But very quickly, opposition leaders were already looking to the post-Bayrou
scenarios.
Sensing an opportunity for the left, the Socialist Vallaud called on the liberal
President Macron to “do his duty” and appoint a prime minister from their ranks.
“We are ready, come and get us,” he said.
He touted “another path” for France that would include what he described as a
fairer tax policy, and said the Socialists would row back on Bayrou’s proposed
cancellation of two bank holidays.
By Monday evening, all sorts of scenarios involving the Socialist Party were
being floated.
These included a grand coalition running from the conservatives to the
Socialists (which is the least likely) and a non-aggression pact that would see
the Socialists refraining from toppling a center-right government, led by a
left-leaning centrist, in exchange for budget concessions. Also being discussed
is a similar arrangement with Les Républicains, which would see the latter
refrain from toppling a government from the left in return for concessions on
the budget.
THE LEFT-RIGHT TIGHTROPE
Theoretically, a government backed by both the Socialists and Les Républicains
would have wider support in parliament than Bayrou’s outgoing center-right
government.
But why would the Socialists and Les Républicains — generally at daggers drawn —
actually work together? There is a glimmer of a chance that they might see it
makes sense to compromise now to keep their parliamentary seats rather than push
France into more chaos and risk losing them in a snap election.
In reality, though, the risks of failure are high.
Laurent Wauquiez, Les Républicains’ parliamentary leader, warned on Monday his
party would not support a Socialist government that is too deeply inspired by
other more radical left-wing parties with which they stood in last year’s
election, as part of a pan-leftist grouping called the New Popular Front.
“We would never accept the nefarious political platform of the New Popular
Front,” said Wauquiez. “And that obviously applies to any Socialist government
that carries the ideas of the New Popular Front.”
Additionally, with local elections set for March 2026, no opposition parties
will really want to ally themselves with a president surround by an aura of fin
de règne.
And even if the party top brass in the center parties agreed to cooperate on a
budget, there is no guarantee the rank and file lawmakers would follow.
Take the Bayrou vote as an example. On Monday, Les Républicains, were
conspicuously divided on the no-confidence vote, with 27 voting to support
Bayrou and 13 against, despite calls from Les Républicains’ head and Interior
Minister Bruno Retailleau to back the government.
Far-right leader Marine Le Pen also cast doubt on Macron’s ability to hold the
center, and to get any left-right alliance to agree on a budget. The only
option, as she saw it, was to call an election.
“Dissolving parliament will not be option, but an obligation,” she said.
But that election would also probably do little to heal the divisions at the
heart of the crippling national impasse.