BERLIN — A German parliamentary delegation visiting Washington late last month
saw center-left MPs frozen out by the U.S. State Department, people familiar
with the matter told POLITICO.
German MPs refused to take part in the meeting after their colleagues were
blocked — a highly unusual step. U.S. authorities insisted there had been no
effort to favor right-leaning parties and that they speak to a “wide spectrum”
of politicians during such visits.
In a separate encounter, an MP with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD),
Peter Felser, who was also part of the delegation, arranged a meeting at the
Pentagon where he talked with a U.S. official about Germany’s defense posture.
The clash over the visit comes in the wake of a new National Security Strategy
from December that harshly criticized U.S.-allied nations in Europe for their
efforts to rein in far-right parties; denounced their high rates of migration;
and called for the continent to “correct its current trajectory.”
The German lawmakers were supposed to be on a routine visit, during which they
would take part in the German-American Dialogue on China.
The delegation included two senior lawmakers from Germany’s governing coalition
— Norbert Röttgen with the center-right Christian Democrats and Siemtje Möller
for the center-left Social Democrats (SPD), as well as MPs from the opposition
center-left Greens and the AfD.
The plan had been for lawmakers from all parties to attend a meeting with
Brendan Hanrahan, a senior official at the State Department’s Bureau of European
and Eurasian Affairs, on Jan. 21 before the China event.
Five people with knowledge of the matter, who spoke to POLITICO on condition of
anonymity, said the planned meeting collapsed after State Department officials
told the German Embassy in Washington that it was prepared to receive only
Christian Democratic and AfD lawmakers, excluding the SPD and the Greens.
Röttgen rejected that format, saying he would not proceed without his coalition
partner, four people familiar with the matter said.
It’s unclear, however, who ultimately cancelled the appointment.
In response to POLITICO’s request for comment, Germany’s foreign ministry
declined to explain the cancellation, saying only that the State Department had
called off the meeting for “scheduling reasons.”
The State Department denied any preference for particular parties during
delegation visits, saying in a statement that “senior State Department officials
engage regularly with representatives from a wide spectrum of political parties
and leaders, and we do not comment on private diplomatic meetings.”
Norbert Röttgen, who rejected the meeting format, saying he would not proceed
without his coalition partner, four people familiar with the matter said. |
Elisa Schu/picture alliance via Getty Images
Such parliamentary trips are normally built around engagement with both sitting
governments and opposition — and the episode left German officials privately
uneasy about how parts of the Trump administration are approaching Europe.
Möller and Röttgen nonetheless went on to hold meetings with U.S. lawmakers and
officials at the National Security Council during their visit.
Röttgen’s office did not immediately respond to POLITICO’s request for comment.
In a statement to POLITICO, Möller said the episode showed that “even a year
into office, parts of the U.S. administration still lack clear coordination and
reliable alignment,” but stressed that talks with administration officials and
Republican members of Congress nevertheless took place.
PENTAGON BRIEFING
In the separately arranged Pentagon visit, the AfD’s Felser held a one-on-one
meeting with David A. Baker, the deputy assistant secretary of defense for
European and NATO policy.
Felser had requested the appointment roughly two weeks earlier through the
German embassy, people familiar with the arrangements on both the U.S. and
German side said. The conversation focused on the new U.S. National Security
Strategy and Washington’s expectations that Germany take on a greater leadership
role in European defense.
The AfD has surged in popularity and is now Germany’s most popular party,
according to POLITICO’s poll of polls. Last year, Vice President JD Vance
sharply criticized European centrists for excluding the far right and later met
with AfD national co-leader Alice Weidel.
Felser told POLITICO that Washington’s willingness to meet him showed the U.S.
was not “falling for” what he called the coalition’s attempt to sideline the
AfD, adding that the “channel of conversation” the U.S. had opened amounted to
“important support” for his party.
Speaking about the Pentagon meeting, a Department of Defense official said that
its officials “meet with allied parliamentarians regularly to discuss defense
issues of mutual concern.”
Both Felser and Gerald Otten, the other AfD politician who was present in
Washington with the parliamentary delegation, said that U.S. officials had over
the last months actively reached out to their party to establish whether future
cooperation would be viable. For now, the conversations revolved around pinning
down the AfD’s positions on a range of issues that included the EU, NATO, and
the promise of NATO member countries to increase defense spending to 5 percent
of GDP.
Back in Berlin, Röttgen told reporters he had been surprised at what he
described as the “entrenched, virtually impenetrable worldview” of members of
the pro-Trump MAGA camp — including the diplomats, politicians and lobbyists the
German delegation had met over a lunch in the U.S. That was something, Röttgen
said, he had “never encountered in all the years I have traveled to Washington.”
Tag - Transatlantic relations
Mujtaba Rahman is the head of Eurasia Group’s Europe practice. He posts at
@Mij_Europe.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has only four months to save his
premiership.
After the U.K. parliament’s return from Christmas recess, Starmer marked his
first 18 months in Downing Street with a speech touting his Labour party’s
efforts to ease the cost-of-living crisis. But behind the scenes, anxiety is
growing that voters won’t feel any meaningful relief before the decisive
regional and local elections on May 7, which could seal the prime minister’s
political fate.
And the outlook is bleak: After placing third in the Welsh Parliament elections
behind Plaid Cymru and far-right leader Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, failing to
unseat the Scottish National Party in Scotland, and bleeding support to both the
Greens and Reform UK in English council contests, Labour risks humiliation
across the U.K. And national polling only underscores the danger, with Reform UK
now averaging close to 30 percent, and Labour languishing in the teens alongside
the Greens and the Conservatives.
Still, Starmer’s advisers privately argue that “less bad than expected” results
might be enough to save him. But many Labour MPs expect a leadership challenge
regardless, as it would require only 81 out of 404 MPs to initiate one — and
Starmer is hardly popular with the wider party.
Then there’s the unfolding scandal over Labour stalwart and former U.K.
ambassador to the U.S. Peter Mandelson. Mandelson was appointed by Starmer
before being removed from his position in September once the extent of his
friendship with convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein became clear. Under
mounting pressure, Starmer has been strong in his criticism and push for
transparency — but that may not be enough, as Mandelson’s now under
investigation for misconduct while in public office.
A challenge may not come immediately, or even right after polling day in May.
But the sense that Starmer’s authority is waning is unmistakable.
For one, the prime minister is already preparing his defense. A King’s speech
designed to reset the agenda ,outlining proposals on special education needs and
digital ID, is now penciled in for mid-May. A cabinet reshuffle may follow, and
some in Labour believe Starmer might even sacrifice his chancellor if he thinks
it would placate restive backbenchers. He’s also expected to recall former
Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner to the cabinet, hoping her return could
blunt any leadership ambitions.
Labour’s traditions may offer Starmer only limited protection.While the party
prides itself on avoiding the “regicide” that’s plagued the rival Conservatives,
this instinct will weaken if electoral defeat looms. Labour MPs may dread a
destabilizing leadership contest, but many have already concluded Starmer won’t
lead them into the next general election. And privately, some ministers believe
it’s no longer a question of if the prime minister falls, but when.
Their concerns are understandable: Energized by new leadership, the Greens are
siphoning some progressive voters, while Reform UK is eroding Labour’s
traditional working-class base. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have stabilized
enough under Kemi Badenoch’s leadership to reduce the likelihood of another
revolt — a development that leaves Starmer more exposed.
So, if a contest is triggered, he’s unlikely to survive it. Party members —
roughly 250,000-strong — tend to favor the soft left. And that dynamic would
advantage Rayner, should she stand.
Last week’s events in Greater Manchester only further crystallized this
perception of Starmer’s weakness. His decision to block Mayor Andy Burnham from
contesting a parliamentary by-election was a lose-lose proposition: Either deny
Burnham a Westminster platform and risk a party backlash, or enable a future
leadership challenger. And Starmer chose the former, provoking fury while
reinforcing the perception that he’s defensive and frail.
Then came news of Mandelson. Starmer was elected on the promise of ending the
chaos of government sleaze, and this saga will only foment questions about his
judgement when appointing Mandelson ambassador. And the prime minister may well
end up having to sacrifice his beloved advisor Morgan McSweeney, who lobbied for
Mandelson to be picked for the plum Washington post.
Labour MPs may dread a destabilizing leadership contest, but many have already
concluded Starmer won’t lead them into the next general election. | Lukas
Coch/EPA
Meanwhile, foreign policy — the one area where Starmer’s performance has proven
more assured — is offering Number 10 no relief either. U.S. President Donald
Trump’s return to the White House has distracted him from and sometimes
undermined his domestic agenda, particularly in the case of tariffs. And the
latest crisis over Greenland was no exception.
Managing relations with the U.S. under Trump has forced Starmer into awkward
contortions, attempting to respond to provocations while trying to preserve his
strategy of staying close to both Washington and Brussels, where his government
is trying to reset relations.
As it stands, the debate inside Labour over whether to pivot toward the EU is
intensifying, and there’s now growing support within the party for a customs
union with the bloc. But Starmer’s preference for incremental sector-by-sector
alignment risks satisfying no one, viewed in Brussels as cherry-picking and at
home as timid. Even loyalists concede a damaging story has taken hold: A prime
minister unable to impose a vision or discipline, haunted by his early
decisions, buffeted by U-turns and trapped by his own party.
Starmer wanted to avoid a Tory-style drama. Instead, he’s now heading one of
Labour’s own — slower, quieter but no less brutal. And four months isn’t long to
change the narrative, especially when so many in his own party have already
turned the page.
BRUSSELS — The European Parliament’s top trade lawmakers failed on Wednesday to
reach a common position on the EU-U.S. trade deal, in a move that risks fueling
Washington’s impatience against the EU’s slow pace in finally implementing its
side of a bargain struck last summer.
Negotiations will continue until next week, two people who attended a meeting of
the lawmakers told POLITICO. One said that committee vote was penciled in for
Feb. 24 and a final plenary vote for March. Both were granted anonymity to
discuss the closed-door talks.
The meeting failed to clear remaining hurdles regarding the Parliament’s
position on the removal of tariffs on U.S. industrial goods and lobsters — a
precondition for Washington to reduce its own tariffs on European cars.
Lawmakers from the international trade committee disagreed on the length of a
sunset clause which would limit the proposals’ application to 18 to 36 months,
as well as whether the EU should withdraw any tariff concessions until a
solution is found between Brussels and Washington on the 50 percent tariff the
Trump administration has put on steel derivatives.
With the EU still processing the shock of Trump’s threats against the
territorial sovereignty of Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark, the liberal
Renew group and the Socialists & Democrats are pushing to Trump-proof the deal
by inserting suspension clauses into enabling legislation in case the U.S.
president turns hostile again.
The center-right European People’s Party has pushed to sign off the deal
following calls from EU leaders to unfreeze the implementation of the deal.
Failure to reach an agreement on Wednesday throws into disarray the timeline for
parliamentary approval, and further delays the start of negotiations with EU
capitals and the European Commission.
Domènec Ruiz Devesa is a senior researcher at Barcelona Centre for International
Affairs and a former member of the European Parliament. Emiliano Alessandri is
an affiliated researcher at Austrian Institute for International Affairs.
When NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte told the European Parliament the
continent can’t defend itself without the U.S., and that those who think
otherwise should “keep dreaming,” he did more than just describe Europe’s
military dependence — he turned that dependence into a political doctrine. He
also positioned himself not so much as the head of an alliance of would-be
equals but as the spokesperson of Europe’s strategic resignation.
Rutte’s view of European defense follows a familiar but increasingly untenable
logic: Nuclear deterrence equals U.S. protection; U.S. protection equals
European security; therefore, European strategic sovereignty is an illusion.
But this chain of reasoning is far more fragile than it sounds.
First of all, even though Europe’s overall strategic stability does depend on
nuclear deterrence, most real-world security challenges in the Euro-Atlantic
space — from hybrid operations to limited conventional scenarios — have and will
continue to develop well below the nuclear threshold.
This is something NATO’s own deterrence posture recognizes. And overstating the
nuclear dimension risks overlooking the decisive importance of conventional
mass, resilience, logistics, high-quality intelligence, air defense and
industrial depth — areas where Europe is weak by political choice.
Moreover, the nuclear debate in Europe isn’t binary. The continent isn’t
condemned to choose between total dependence on the U.S. umbrella and total
vulnerability.
A serious discussion regarding the role of the French and British deterrents
within a European framework — politically complex, yes, but strategically
conceivable — is no longer taboo. And by pointing at the prohibitively high cost
of developing a European nuclear force from scratch, Rutte’s sweeping dismissal
of Europe’s strategic agency in the nuclear field sidesteps this evolution
instead of engaging with it.
Plus, the NATO chief is being too hasty in his dismissal of the increasingly
accepted notion of a “European pillar” within NATO. Sure, the EU added value is,
at present, best exemplified in the creation of a more integrated and dynamic
European defense market, which the European Commission is actively fostering.
But Rutte is underestimating existing European military capabilities.
European countries already collectively field advanced air forces, world-class
submarines, significant naval power, cutting-edge missile and air-defense
systems, cyber expertise, space assets and one of the largest defense-industrial
bases in the world. And when it comes to the defense of Ukraine, European allies
— including France — have significantly expanded their intelligence
contributions.
The problem, therefore, isn’t so much scarcity but national and industrial
fragmentation, coupled with the risk of technological stagnation and
insufficient investment in key enablers like munitions production, military
mobility, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, satellites, air-to-air
refueling and integrated command structures.
As demonstrated by satellite projects like the EU’s Governmental Satellite
Communications and IRIS² Satellite Constellation, these are areas that can be
improved in the space of months and years rather than decades. But telling
Europeans that sovereignty is a fantasy can easily kill the political momentum
needed to fix them.
Regardless of what one may think of Trump and his disruptive politics, the
direction of travel in U.S. foreign policy is unmistakable. | Mandel Ngan/AFP
via Getty Images
Finally, Rutte’s message is oddly out of sync with Washington too.
U.S. presidents have long demanded Europe take far greater responsibility for
its own defense, and in his second term, U.S. President Donald Trump has taken
this message to new heights, from burden-sharing to burden-shifting. But to
simultaneously tell Europe it must take care of itself, provided it continues
purchasing U.S.-manufactured weapons, and that it can never truly succeed isn’t
strategic clarity, it’s cognitive dissonance.
Europe can no longer ignore political reality. Regardless of what one may think
of Trump and his disruptive politics, the direction of travel in U.S. foreign
policy is unmistakable: Europe is no longer a priority. The center of U.S.
strategic gravity now lies in the Indo-Pacific, and U.S. dominance in the
Western hemisphere ranks higher than Europe’s defense.
In this mutated context, placing all of Europe’s security eggs in the U.S.
basket isn’t sensible.
However, none of this means Europe abandoning NATO or actively severing
transatlantic ties. Rather, it means recognizing that alliances between equals
are stronger than those built on dependence. A Europe that can militarily,
industrially and politically rely on itself makes a more credible and valuable
ally. And the 80-year transatlantic alliance will only endure if the U.S. and
Europe strike a new bargain.
So, as transatlantic allies grapple with a less straightforward alignment of
interests and values, Rutte needs to be promoting a more balanced NATO with a
strong European pillar — not undermining it.
Leaders of Europe’s most powerful political family want to make better use of
the EU’s mutual defense clause amid growing concerns about Donald Trump’s
commitment to NATO.
The push came during a weekend dinner at a European People’s Party leaders’
retreat in Zagreb, Croatia featuring the likes of German Chancellor Friedrich
Merz and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, as reported in
Brussels Playbook.
The EPP will task two as-yet-unnamed heads of state or government with looking
at how to implement the EU Treaty’s Article 42.7 (which obliges countries to
provide “aid and assistance by all the means in their power” if an EU country is
attacked).
The EPP top brass did not make clear by when the leaders will have to deliver
this plan or what exactly it will address. However, a policy paper published by
the EPP on Sunday pointed to nine areas where the EU needs to develop military
capacity if it’s to become independent of the U.S., including drones, space and
missile defense. The EPP’s policy paper still makes mention of NATO as the
cornerstone of European defense.
The push to use the EU’s mutual defense clause comes amid the worst
transatlantic crisis in decades, with Trump’s claim to Greenland shaking belief
in the U.S. commitment to NATO.
During a press conference in Zagreb, EPP President Manfred Weber praised French
President Macron for his offer to extend France’s nuclear umbrella to other EU
states. “Having the new U.S. developments in mind,” said Weber, “I am totally in
favor that the leaders are … considering how this option of a French nuclear
weapon can be used for European security.”
Yanmei Xie is senior associate fellow at the Mercator Institute for China
Studies.
After Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney spoke at Davos last week, a whole
continent contracted leadership envy. Calling the rules-based order — which
Washington proselytized for decades before stomping on — a mirage, Carney gave
his country’s neighboring hegemonic bully a rhetorical middle finger, and
Europeans promptly swooned.
But before the bloc’s politicians rush to emulate him, it may be worth cooling
the Carney fever.
Appearing both steely and smooth in his Davos speech, Carney warned middle
powers that “when we only negotiate bilaterally with a hegemon, we negotiate
from weakness.” Perhaps this was in reference to the crass daily coercion Canada
has been enduring from the U.S. administration. But perhaps he was talking about
the subtler asymmetry he experienced just days before in Beijing.
In contrast to his defiance in Switzerland, Carney was ingratiating during his
China visit. He signed Canada up for a “new strategic partnership” in
preparation for an emerging “new world order,” and lauded Chinese leader Xi
Jinping as a fellow defender of multilateralism.
The visit also produced a cars-for-canola deal, which will see Canada slash
tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles from 100 percent to 6.1 percent, and lift
the import cap to 49,000 cars per year. In return, China will cut duties on
Canadian canola seeds from 84 percent to 15 percent.
In time, Ottawa also expects Beijing will reduce tariffs on Canadian lobsters,
crabs and peas later this year and purchase more Canadian oil and perhaps gas,
too. The agreement to launch a Ministerial Energy Dialogue will surely pave the
way for eventual deals.
These productive exchanges eventually moved Carney to declare Beijing a “more
predictable” trade partner than Washington. And who can blame him? He was simply
stating the obvious — after all, China isn’t threatening Canada with annexation.
But one is tempted to wonder if he would have needed to flatter quite so much in
China if his country still possessed some of the world’s leading technologies.
The truth is, Canada’s oil and gas industry probably shouldn’t really be holding
its breath. Chinese officials typically offer serious consideration rather than
outright rejection out of politeness — just ask Russia, which has spent decades
in dialogue with Beijing over a pipeline meant to replace Europe as a natural
gas market.
The cars-for-canola deal also carries a certain irony: Canada is importing the
very technology that makes fossil fuels obsolete. China is electrifying at
dizzying speed, with the International Energy Agency projecting its oil
consumption will peak as early as next year thanks to “extraordinary” electric
vehicle sales. That means Beijing probably isn’t desperate for new foreign
suppliers of hydrocarbons, and the ministerial dialogue will likely drag on
inconclusively — albeit courteously — well into the future.
This state of Sino-Canadian trade can be seen as classic comparative advantage
at work: China is good at making things, and Canada has abundant primary
commodities. But in the not-so-distant past, it was Canadian companies that were
selling nuclear reactors, telecom equipment, aircraft and bullet trains to
China. Yet today, many of these once globe-spanning Canadian high-tech
manufacturers have either exited the scene or lead a much-reduced existence.
Somewhere in this trading history lies a cautionary tale for Europe.
Deindustrialization can have its own self-reinforcing momentum. As a country’s
economic composition changes, so does its political economy. When producers of
goods disappear, so does their political influence. And the center of lobbying
gravity shifts toward downstream users and consumers who prefer readily
available imports.
Europe’s indigenous solar manufacturers have been driven to near extinction by
much cheaper Chinese products | STR/AFP via Getty Images
Europe already has its own version of this story: Its indigenous solar
manufacturers have been driven to near extinction by much cheaper Chinese
products over the span of two decades. Currently, its solar industry is
dominated by installers and operators who favor cheap imports and oppose trade
defense.
Simply put, Carney’s cars-for-canola deal is a salve for Canadian consumers and
commodity producers, but it’s also industrial policy in reverse. In overly
simplified terms, industrial policy is about encouraging exports of finished
products over raw materials and discouraging the opposite in order to build
domestic value-added capacity and productivity.
But while Canada can, perhaps, make do without industry — as Carney put it in
Davos, his ambition is to run “an energy superpower” — Europe doesn’t have that
option. Agri-food and extractive sectors aren’t enough to stand up the
continent’s economy — even with the likes of tourism and luxury goods thrown in.
China currently exports more than twice as much to the EU than it imports. In
container terms, the imbalance widens to 4-to-1. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs
estimates Chinese exports will shave 0.2 percentage point or more of GDP growth
in Germany, Spain and Italy each year through 2029. And according to the
European Central Bank, cars, chemicals, electric equipment and machinery —
sectors that form Europe’s industrial backbone — face the most severe job losses
from China trade shock.
Europe shares Canada’s plight in dealing with the U.S., which currently isn’t
just an unreliable trade partner but also an ally turned imperialist. This is
why Carney’s speech resonates. But U.S. protectionism has only made China’s
mercantilism a more acute challenge for Europe, as the U.S. resists the bloc’s
exports and Chinese goods keep pouring into Europe in greater quantities at
lower prices.
European leaders would be mistaken to look for trade relief in China as Carney
does, and bargain away the continent’s industrial capacity in the process.
Whether it’s to resist an expansionist Russia or an imperial U.S., Europe still
needs to hold on to its manufacturing base.
TOKYO — Britain’s prime minister has urged Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly
known as Prince Andrew, to answer questions in the U.S. about his friendship
with Jeffrey Epstein.
Keir Starmer suggested Mountbatten-Windsor would not be sufficiently focused on
Epstein’s victims if he did not accept an invitation to testify before the U.S.
Congress about his past exchanges with the convicted sex offender, who died in
2019.
An email exchange dated August 2010, released by the U.S. Department of Justice
on Friday, showed Epstein offered the then-Duke of York the opportunity to have
dinner with a woman he described as “26, russian, clevere beautiful,
trustworthy.” Mountbatten-Windsor replied: “That was quick! How are you? Good to
be free?”
The exchange happened a year after Epstein was released from jail following a
sentence for soliciting prostitution from a person under 18.
Another newly released file appears to show Mountbatten-Windsor crouching on all
fours over an unknown woman.
Mountbatten-Windsor missed a November deadline to sit for a transcribed
interview that was set by the U.S. House of Representatives’ Committee on
Oversight and Government Reform.
During a visit to China and Japan this week, Starmer was asked by reporters
whether Mountbatten-Windsor should now apologize to Epstein’s victims and
testify to Congress about what he knew.
The prime minister replied: “I have always approached this question with the
victims of Epstein in mind. Epstein’s victims have to be the first priority,” he
said.
“As for whether there should be an apology, that’s a matter for Andrew,” Starmer
added.
“But yes, in terms of testifying, I have always said anybody who has got
information should be prepared to share that information in whatever form they
are asked to do that because you can’t be victim-centered if you’re not prepared
to do that,” Starmer said.
In 2019, Mountbatten-Windsor was accused in a civil lawsuit of sexually
assaulting Virginia Giuffre, one of Epstein’s accusers, but he denied all
allegations. Mountbatten-Windsor has faced a backlash for his friendship with
Epstein, but has not been charged with a crime in either the U.K. or the U.S.
Mountbatten-Windsor was stripped of his royal titles in October amid continued
scrutiny of his past friendship with Epstein.
Jamie Dettmer is opinion editor and a foreign affairs columnist at POLITICO
Europe.
Today’s angry and discombobulating geopolitical landscape is giving rise to
noticeably more acrimonious diplomatic exchanges than seen in preceding decades
— even sharper than during U.S. President Donald Trump’s first term.
This is likely just a reflection of the times we live in: Roiled by shocks and
uncertainty, even world leaders and their envoys are on edge. And social media
doesn’t help keep exchanges calm and respectful either. Measured speech doesn’t
go viral. If you want attention, be disparaging and abrasive.
Let’s take Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s carefully crafted speech at
Davos last week. Carney earned a standing ovation from global and corporate
leaders as he bewailed the unfolding great-power rivalry, urging “middle powers”
to act together “because if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.” Yet, it
was Trump’s free-wheeling, sharp-edged speech with its personal criticism of
fellow Western leaders — including a jab at French President Emmanuel Macron —
that roared on social media.
This shift away from traditional diplomatic etiquette toward more
confrontational, seemingly no-nonsense and aggressive public-facing
communication is very much in keeping with populist styles of leadership. And
it’s now shaping an era where antagonistic communication isn’t just tolerated
but celebrated and applauded by many.
Trump is very much a man of his times. And it’s time Europe finally caught on.
Aside from Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin is also often known to use
colloquial and crude language to attack Western and Ukrainian leaders — though
noticeably, he never uses such language with Trump. In an address last month,
Putin referred to European leaders as podsvinki — little pigs. And before
invading Ukraine in February 2022, he used a vulgar Russian rhyme to insinuate
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy needed to be raped.
China, too, has been noticeably more menacing in its diplomatic speech in recent
years — though it tends to eschew personal invective. The shift began around
2019, when Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi instructed envoys to display a
stronger “fighting spirit” to defend Beijing from supposed Western bullying. The
abrasive style led to the more aggressive envoys being dubbed “wolf warriors,”
after a blockbuster movie in which Chinese commandos vanquish American
mercenaries.
But driving the trend are Trump and his aides, who can go toe-to-toe with anyone
when it comes to put-downs, slurs or retaliation. And if met with pushback, they
simply escalate. Hence the avuncular counsel of U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott
Bessent to Europeans on the Greenland-related tariff threats last week: “Sit
back, take a deep breath, do not retaliate.”
But here’s the curious thing: While the Russians and Chinese use such language
to target their foes, Trump and his senior aides reserve much of their invective
for supposed allies, namely Europe with Canada thrown in for good measure. And
they’re utterly relentless in doing so — far more than during his first term,
when there were still some more traditionally minded folks in the White House to
temper or walk back the rhetoric.
This all seemed to reach its pinnacle in Davos last week, where it seemed
belittling European allies was part of virtually everything the U.S. delegation
said in the Swiss ski resort. Bessent couldn’t even restrain himself from
insulting Swiss-German fare. And U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik appeared
almost gleeful in infuriating Europe’s leaders with his combative remarks at a
VIP dinner which, according to the Financial Times, not only sparked uproar but
prompted European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde to leave the event
early.
“Only one person booed, and it was Al Gore,” said the U.S. Commerce Department
in a statement to media. But others at the event — around 200 people — said
there was, indeed, some heckling, though not so much because of the content of
Lutnik’s criticism, some of which Europeans have also made about net zero,
energy policy, globalization and regulation. According to two attendees, who
asked to be granted anonymity to speak freely, it was in reaction to the
contemptuous tone instead.
Likewise, Trump’s delegation — the largest ever brought from Washington to Davos
— didn’t miss a beat in pressing America First themes, making it clear the U.S.
would prioritize its own economic interests regardless of how it affects allies.
“When America shines, the world shines,” Lutnik said.
China, too, has been noticeably more menacing in its diplomatic speech in recent
years — though it tends to eschew personal invective. | Pool photo by Vincent
Thian/EPA
As the forum unfolded, however, U.S. Vice President JD Vance insisted that what
was fueling such criticism wasn’t hatred for the old continent, but that it was
more a matter of tough love. “They think that we hate Europe. We don’t. We love
Europe,” he said. “We love European civilization. We want it to preserve
itself.”
That in itself seems pretty condescending.
Tough love or not, Europe-bashing plays well with the MAGA crowd back home who
feel Europeans are the haughty ones, lacking gratitude, freeloading and in dire
need of subordination — and squeals of complaint merely incite more of the same.
To that end, Zelenskyy made a telling a point: European leaders shouldn’t waste
their time trying to change Trump but rather focus on themselves.
Time to stop complaining about America First and get on with putting Europe
First.
Initial talks between Denmark, the U.S. and Greenland over the Arctic island’s
fate “went well” but the dispute is not over, the Danish foreign minister said
Thursday.
Lars Løkke Rasmussen and Greenlandic Foreign Minister Vivian Motzfeldt met with
U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Washington on
Jan. 14 and agreed to establish a “working group” to discuss Greenland and
Arctic security amid U.S. President Donald Trump’s demands to take over the
self-ruling Danish territory.
“After that there was a huge derailment,” Rasmussen said, apparently referring
to Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on several European countries unless they
agreed to hand over Greenland — a threat that he eventually walked back after
saying he’d reached a “framework” toward a deal with NATO Secretary-General Mark
Rutte, the details of which have not been made public.
“Things escalated, but now we are back on track,” Rasmussen told reporters at
the Foreign Affairs Council in Brussels. The first meeting of the working group
on Wednesday “went well and took place in a constructive atmosphere and tone.”
“I’m a little more optimistic today than I was a week ago,” he added, but warned
the dispute has not been “resolved” and more talks are planned.
Trump’s threats to seize Greenland roiled Europe and fractured transatlantic
relations, leading to calls from leaders for the EU to become more unified and
independent to ensure its own security.
France and Germany went so far as to call for the EU to explore deploying its
“trade bazooka,” the Anti-Coercion Instrument, before Trump backed down.
Rasmussen credited Trump’s climbdown from launching a trade war to a “very
strong European signal of solidarity” over Greenland.
“It has become clear that the price for going down that path has been too high,”
he said.
BRUSSELS ― Slovakia’s prime minister told EU leaders at a summit last week that
a meeting with Donald Trump left him shocked by the U.S. president’s state of
mind, five European diplomats briefed on the conversation said.
Robert Fico, one of the few EU leaders to frequently support Trump’s stance on
Europe’s weaknesses, was concerned about the U.S. president’s “psychological
state,” two of the diplomats said. Fico used the word “dangerous” to describe
how the U.S. president came across during their face-to-face meeting at Trump’s
Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Jan. 17, according to two of the diplomats.
The conversation between Fico and his European counterparts took place in
Brussels on Jan. 22 on the sidelines of an emergency EU summit arranged to
discuss transatlantic relations in the wake of Trump’s threats to seize
Greenland. Leaders used that gathering to try to calm tensions after the U.S.
president walked back his threat to slap tariffs on some European countries over
the issue a day earlier.
The Slovak prime minister made his remarks in a separate informal huddle between
some leaders and chief EU officials rather than during the formal roundtable
talks, the diplomats said. While none of the diplomats who spoke to POLITICO
were present, individual leaders briefed them separately on the content of the
conversation shortly after it.
All the diplomats were granted anonymity by POLITICO to allow them to discuss
the confidential exchanges between leaders. They come from four different EU
governments. The fifth is a senior EU official. All of them said they didn’t
know the details of what Trump had said to Fico that had triggered his reaction.
Fico’s comments are especially pertinent because he’s among Europe’s most
pro-Trump politicians, touting his access to the U.S. president in a Facebook
video after the Mar-a-Lago meeting and voicing support for Washington’s approach
to the Russia-Ukraine war. A year ago, Fico spoke at the Conservative Political
Action Conference and told Americans “your president is doing Europe a great
service.”
Spokespeople for Fico did not respond to multiple requests for comment.
Anna Kelly, a White House spokesperson, said: “This is absolutely total fake
news from anonymous European diplomats who are trying to be relevant. The
meeting at Mar-a-Lago was positive and productive.”
A senior administration official who was in the meeting with Trump and Fico,
granted anonymity to describe the conversation, said they couldn’t recall any
awkward moments or off-key exchanges. They said the meeting, which Fico had
requested, was pleasant, normal and included some lighthearted exchanges that
were captured by a White House photographer.
Fico seemed to be “traumatized” by his encounter with Trump, one of the European
diplomats said. Fico characterized Trump as being “out of his mind,” a diplomat
said, using the words briefed to them by their leader, who was directly involved
in the conversation.
DEEP CRISIS
Fico’s private concerns contrast with the public account of his Mar-a-Lago visit
that he gave via his official Facebook post.
In that video, Fico said his invitation to Trump’s Florida residence was a sign
of “high respect and trust” from the U.S. president. The two leaders discussed
Ukraine as well as their shared view that the EU was in “deep crisis” during
what Fico called “informal and open talks.”
Fico, who signed a civil nuclear cooperation deal with Washington while on his
trip to the U.S., did not mention Trump’s claims on Greenland or his operation
to seize Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro earlier in January in the video.
He said discussions had focused on issues including Ukraine, asserting that
Washington sought his view because Slovakia is “not a Brussels parrot” — meaning
that it does not echo the positions of EU institutions.
Robert Fico characterized Donald Trump as being “out of his mind,” a diplomat
said, using the words briefed to them by their leader, who was directly involved
in the conversation. | Shawn Thew/EPA
Even without Fico’s remarks, Europe’s leaders and senior officials are
increasingly concerned about the U.S. president’s “unpredictability,” according
to a sixth EU diplomat, who was not briefed directly by a leader on last week’s
conversation.
Fears about the U.S. president’s health are “rapidly becoming a more conversed
topic at all levels,” said an EU official who is involved in political
discussions in Brussels and between capitals.
Trump, 79, has repeatedly and forcefully denied that he suffers from any
condition affecting his cognition, telling New York Magazine this week that he
doesn’t suffer from Alzheimer’s disease.
‘I WON’T DO THAT, OK?’
Ever since Trump returned to office a year ago, European governments have been
grappling with how to deal with his positions on issues such as Russia’s
invasion of Ukraine, his administration’s apparent backing for far-right
politicians, barriers to free trade, and the U.S. role in the continent’s
defense.
Earlier this month, Trump threatened new tariffs on eight European countries,
including France, Germany and the U.K., which he said were blocking his efforts
to take over Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory belonging to Denmark, an EU
and NATO member. He also didn’t rule out taking the island by force.
In a speech in Davos, Switzerland last Wednesday, the U.S. president demanded
“immediate negotiations” to obtain Greenland, but ruled out the use of military
action.
“We probably won’t get anything unless I decide to use excessive strength and
force, where we would be frankly unstoppable. But I won’t do that, OK?” Trump
said in the speech.
After the speech, he said he’d agreed on a framework of a deal on Greenland with
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte and withdrew his threat, although the details
of the apparent agreement have still not been made public.
At last week’s summit, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz, the EU’s two most powerful leaders, warned their counterparts
that despite that apparent deal, the bloc needed to become less dependent on the
U.S. for its security.
Speaking after the gathering, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
suggested the leaders had learned the lesson that standing up to Trump in a
“firm” but “non-escalatory” way was an effective strategy that they should
continue.
Jacopo Barigazzi, Camille Gijs and Tom Nicholson contributed reporting.