Get set for this year’s most consequential election in the EU.
Hungary’s campaign stepped up a gear this week, with populist nationalist Prime
Minister Viktor Orbán facing the toughest challenge yet to his 15-year grip on
power. The long-suffering opposition hopes that Péter Magyar — conservative
leader of the opposition Tisza party, which is running 12 points ahead in the
polls — can overturn what Orbán himself styles as Hungary’s “illiberal
democracy.”
For many Hungarians, the election is a referendum on Orbán’s model. Under his
leadership the government, led by Orbán’s Fidesz party, has tightened its grip
on the media and state companies — sparking accusations of cronyism — while
weakening judicial independence and passing legislation that sent Hungary
plunging down transparency rankings. It now sits at the bottom of the World
Justice Project’s rule-of-law index for EU countries.
The 62-year-old Orbán is the EU leader closest to Russian dictator Vladimir
Putin and proves a continual obstacle to efforts by Brussels to build a united
front against the Kremlin. He has repeatedly clashed with the EU on topics
ranging from LGBTQ+ rights to migration. Predicting the end of the liberal
multilateral order, Orbán kicked off the year by saying the EU would “fall apart
on its own.”
But can Magyar — whose surname literally means “Hungarian” — really topple his
former ally? And even if he does, how far could he realistically guide Hungary
back toward liberal democracy with Orbán’s state architecture still in place?
POLITICO breaks down the five key questions as Hungary heads toward the seismic
April 12 vote.
1. WHY SHOULD I CARE?
Hungary may be relatively small, with a population of 9.6 million, but under
Orbán’s leadership it has become one of the EU’s biggest headaches. He has long
weaponized Budapest’s veto in Brussels to block Russia-related sanctions, tie up
financial aid to Ukraine and repeatedly stall urgent EU decisions.
He is also a key — and sometimes leading — member of a group of right-wing
populists in EU capitals, who unite on topics such as opposition to migration
and skepticism toward arming Ukraine. Without Orbán, Czechia’s Andrej Babiš and
Slovakia’s Robert Fico would cut far more isolated figures at summits of the
European Council.
Brussels has often resorted to elaborate workarounds to bypass Hungary’s
obstructionism, and Orbán’s persistent defiance has led to calls to ditch the
unanimity rule that has been in place for decades.
“You have heard me 20 times regret, if not more, the attitude of Viktor Orbán,
who, every time we had to move forward to help Ukraine … has used his veto to do
more blackmail,” EU liberal party chief Valérie Hayer told journalists Tuesday.
2. WHAT ARE THE MAIN BATTLEGROUNDS?
Magyar accuses Orbán and Fidesz of nepotism and corruption — of weakening the
country’s economy by favoring oligarchs — and of missing out on EU funds by
antagonizing Brussels.
Orbán wants to frame his arch-nemesis Magyar as a puppet controlled by Brussels.
Hungary’s campaign stepped up a gear this week, with populist nationalist Prime
Minister Viktor Orbán facing the toughest challenge yet to his 15-year grip on
power. | Zoltán Fischer/Hungarian PM Communication/EPA
In the past year, Fidesz has launched public debates aiming to divide Magyar’s
base — which spans green and left-wing voters to disenchanted former Orbán
loyalists — on subjects such as the LGBTQ+ Pride ban.
Tisza’s strategy has been to avoid positioning itself on controversial issues,
in an effort to garner an absolute majority that will grant the party power to
reform electoral law, which they say Orbán rigged to his benefit, and enable
constitutional changes.
Tisza’s No. 2, Zoltán Tarr, told POLITICO he expected Orbán’s government to
deploy “all possible dirty tricks.”
“State propaganda smears, AI-generated fakes, doctored videos, potential staged
incidents, blackmail, and exploiting the rigged electoral system. They will
mobilize everything because they have so much to lose,” Tarr said.
Speaking at Fidesz’s party congress on Saturday, Orbán lambasted Tisza as a
pro-EU stooge.
“If you vote for Tisza or DK [the social-democratic Democratic Coalition], you
are voting against your own future. Tisza and DK will carry out Brussels’
demands without batting an eyelid. Do not forget that Tisza’s boss is Herr
Weber, Europe’s biggest warmonger,” Orbán said, referring to the German chief of
the European People’s Party, Manfred Weber.
3. HOW AND WHEN DOES THE ELECTION TAKE PLACE?
The national elections will take place on Sunday, April 12. Voters will choose a
new 199-seat National Assembly under Hungary’s mixed electoral system, with 106
MPs elected in single-member constituencies and 93 from national party lists.
The long-suffering opposition hopes that Péter Magyar — conservative leader of
the Tisza party — can overturn what Orbán himself styles as Hungary’s “illiberal
democracy.” | Noémi Bruzák/EPA
POLITICO’s Poll of Polls shows Tisza leading with 49 percent support ahead of
Fidesz at 37 percent — with Orbán’s party having been trailing for almost a year
now.
Although the official campaign period begins Feb. 21, the race has effectively
been in full swing for months.
Other notable parties in the race are the Democratic Coalition (DK); the
far-right Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) movement; and the satirical Hungarian
Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP), largely created to mock Orbán’s policies. But these
are fighting for survival as they may not meet the threshold of support for
winning seats in parliament — meaning the Hungarian legislature could be
exclusively controlled by two right-wing parties.
4. CAN THE ELECTION BE FREE AND FAIR?
Challengers to the ruling party face a system designed to favor Fidesz. In 2011
Orbán’s government redrew electoral districts and overhauled the voting system
to maximize its chances of winning seats.
“There is no direct interference with the act of voting itself, yet the broader
competitive environment — both in terms of institutional rules and access to
resources — tilts heavily in favor of the governing parties,” said political
analyst Márton Bene at the TK Institute of Political Science in Budapest.
In addition to controlling roughly 80 percent of the media market, the
government allows ethnic Hungarians in neighboring countries (who tend to favor
Fidesz) to vote by mail, whereas those living abroad who have kept their
Hungarian addresses must travel to embassies to cast their ballots.
“One side enjoys access to the full resources of the state, while the challenger
receives no public campaign funding and has virtually no presence in
state-controlled media,” said political scientist Rudolf Metz from the TK
Institute, adding that this imbalance is partially offset in the digital sphere.
But even the unfair conditions don’t preclude a Magyar victory, Bene says, as
long as the integrity of the voting process is preserved.
5. HOW MUCH WOULD A MAGYAR WIN REALLY CHANGE?
The Brussels establishment is praying for Magyar to win, hoping a Tisza
government will deepen ties with the EU.
Centrist chief Hayer said her party supported “any candidate who will carry
pro-European values, who will be able to beat” the incumbent Hungarian prime
minister.
Conservative boss Weber quickly welcomed Tisza into the center-right family to
secure influence in Budapest and to give them resources to develop their
electoral platform. He has repeatedly framed Magyar as the man who will save
Hungary from Orbán.
While viewed as a potential bridge-builder for the strained Brussels-Budapest
relationship, Magyar is by no means an unwavering EU cheerleader. He has been
noncommittal about Brussels, considering that any rapprochement could be used by
Orbán against him. In an interview with POLITICO in October 2024 he said “we
certainly don’t believe in a European superstate.”
Conservative boss Manfred Weber quickly welcomed Tisza into the center-right
family to secure influence in Budapest and give them resources to develop their
electoral platform. Filip Singer/EPA
On the domestic front, Tarr — Tisza’s No. 2 — told POLITICO the party wants to
“keep [the] border fence, oppose mandatory migration quotas and accelerated
Ukraine accession, pursue peace, fight Russian propaganda, strengthen V4
[Hungary, Poland, Czechia and Slovakia] and Central Europe without being
Europe’s bad boy.”
That echoes the prognosis of political scientist Metz, who said a victory by
Magyar “would not mean a radical U-turn or a return to some idealized past.”
“Hungary’s role as the EU’s permanent disruptor would probably fade, not because
national interests disappear, but because they would be pursued through
negotiation and institutional engagement rather than constant veto politics and
symbolic conflict,” Metz added.
Analysts also cautioned that change at home could be slow. Zoltán Vasali of
Milton Friedman University said dismantling the current system would be “legally
and institutionally challenging.”
“Core constitutional bodies will retain their mandates beyond the upcoming
elections, and key positions remain held by individuals aligned with the current
government, limiting near-term change,” Vasali said.
The scale of a Magyar victory could be decisive. A two-thirds parliamentary
supermajority, which would allow the new government to change the constitution,
Metz said, would be “a game-changer.”
“It would give a Magyar government the legal capacity to restore core elements
of the rule of law, rebuild checks and balances, and introduce safeguards such
as term limits for key offices,” he said.
Kinga Gál, Fidesz’s leader in the European Parliament, did not reply to a
request for comment by the time of publication.
Tag - Brussels bubble
Iranian diplomats are to be banned from entering the European Parliament in
response to the Tehran regime’s brutal crackdown on protesters who are demanding
an end to half a century of religious dictatorship.
European Parliament President Roberta Metsola announced the move in a letter to
MEPs on Monday. The ban will apply to the Parliament’s premises in Brussels,
Strasbourg and Luxembourg.
“Those braving the streets, those political prisoners still detained, need more
than just solidarity,” Metsola said. “I have taken the decision to ban all
diplomats, staff of diplomatic missions, government officials and
representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran from entering any premises of
the European Parliament.”
This story is being updated
Hundreds of EU officials’ children face upheaval and uncertainty as a major
campus of the European School system in Brussels prepares to move pupils to a
temporary location due to chronic overcrowding and repeated delays to the
construction of a new school.
Created in 1953 to educate the children of European officials, the European
School system is facing severe overcrowding. The four Brussels campuses serve
more than 14,600 pupils. The European School Brussels II in Woluwe — built for
2,500 children in 1974 — now hosts almost 4,000.
To solve this, the Woluwe school, also called EEB2, plans to temporarily
relocate all its nursery and primary school students to a newer site in Evere,
near NATO headquarters, in 2026 until the Belgian authorities build a
long-promised fifth campus in Neder-Over-Heembeek, on the northern outskirts of
Brussels.
But the construction of the new campus, first announced a decade ago, has been
repeatedly delayed, with no clear assurances from the Belgian government on when
or even if it will be built. To make matters worse, the permit for the interim
campus in Evere expires in 2027.
“Parents are very worried because we just see empty promises,” said the mother
of a secondary pupil in Woluwe.
POLITICO spoke to seven parents, all members of the Woluwe parents’ association
APEEE. They were granted anonymity to speak freely, as several expressed
concerns that publicly identifying themselves could invite negative
repercussions from school authorities.
CHRONIC OVERCROWDING MEETS DELAYED EXPANSION
The European Schools network, funded mainly by the European Commission, was
created to educate children of officials working for European institutions —
free of charge — leading to the European Baccalaureate, a diploma granting
university access across all EU member countries and several other nations.
There are 13 schools spread across the EU. Students attend classes in their
mother tongue, so they can easily reintegrate into their national school systems
if needed.
Brussels’ role as the EU capital drew many Eurocrats with young families. But
campus capacity struggled to keep pace. “We have daily health, safety and
well-being risks due to overcrowding,” Secretary-General of the European Schools
Andreas Beckmann, who is the schools’ senior executive, said.
To ease the overcrowding, the organization opened a new campus in Evere in 2021,
initially conceived as the site for a future fifth school. After that project
was reassigned to Neder-Over-Heembeek, Evere became a temporary base for some
kindergarten and primary school kids from the Woluwe school.
Meanwhile, the new fifth campus, originally due to be completed by 2028, has
been pushed to 2030 and, even then, there’s no guarantee it will be built.
The responsibility for building the new school rests with the Régie des
Bâtiments, Belgium’s public buildings authority. Its spokesperson, Sylvie
Decraecker, said in an email that it cannot proceed without funding from the
federal government, which governs how Belgium finances infrastructure for
international institutions it hosts.
The Evere campus is near NATO’s former headquarters, and the area retains
security infrastructure. A mother of two pupils, who works at the Commission,
said: “It’s a bit scary, especially given the current geopolitical climate.” |
iStock
Two letters seen by POLITICO — from former Prime Minister Alexander De Croo to
former European Budget Commissioner Johannes Hahn in June 2024, and from Belgian
Ambassador to NATO François de Kerchove to the schools’ Secretary-General
Beckmann in February 2025 — acknowledge parents’ worries and reaffirm Belgium’s
“well-established tradition” of supporting the European Schools, but offer no
guarantees of a fifth school. Parents had raised their concerns with Hahn and
Beckmann, who in turn wrote to De Croo and de Kerchove.
“If we do not plan now, this is a disaster in the making for later,” said Pim
Gesquiere, president of the Woluwe APEEE.
A CAMPUS ON BORROWED TIME
Adding to parents’ unease, the Evere campus’ permit expires in March 2027. Urban
planning documents show a new road cutting through the school grounds as part of
the PAD Défense redevelopment plan, a master plan for infrastructure and
security upgrades near NATO headquarters.
However, Decraecker said that a request to extend the permit until 2037 is
expected to receive final approval by the end of 2026. “This extension would
require adapting the playground at the rear of the site in order to allow, when
the time comes, for the creation of a new roadway serving the future
neighborhood,” she said.
“Regarding the modification of road infrastructure, the school’s management has
been informed of this prospect. Although this is not ideal for day-to-day
operations, the management appears willing to accept this constraint,” she
added.
It’s not a new predicament for the European Schools. In Frankfurt, European
Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently called it “embarrassing” that
local authorities still hadn’t found space for a new European School to ease
overcrowding. “We can’t move from container to container to potato field,” she
said.
Beckmann and EEB2 Director Kamila Malik acknowledged the structural problems,
but defended the anticipated move as a short-term necessity to ease overcrowding
and ensure safety. They said they hope using Evere to its full capacity will
pressure Belgium to finally start building the fifth school.
OF BARRACKS, SECURITY CHECKS AND BAD AIR
The Evere campus is located near NATO’s former headquarters, which was
repurposed in 2020 to host Belgium’s largest terrorism trials following the
attacks at Zaventem Airport and Brussels’ Maelbeek metro station in March 2016.
The area retains much of its security infrastructure: fenced perimeters,
surveillance systems and limited green space, with traffic regularly slowed by
security checks around NATO’s current headquarters, located just across the
street.
Parents argued these conditions make the site unsuitable for young children.
“This is not where children should grow up, this is not a school,” said the
mother of two kids who will be affected by the move.
Some parents are even considering working part-time or returning to their home
countries because of the move. “We moved here because of my job, but I don’t
want my kids to grow up in a site surrounded by barbed wire and in barracks,”
said the mother of one primary pupil.
The campus’ high-profile neighbor is not welcome, either.
“You’re in the middle of NATO’s defense area. It’s a bit scary, especially given
the current geopolitical climate,” said a mother of two students, who currently
works at the European Commission. “Inside the Commission, we get all sorts of
briefings about drones and defense threats. It’s not unreasonable to think it
could be a target.”
It’s not just the surroundings that are less than ideal. A 2024 Brussels SIRANE
air-quality study also found the Evere campus had the worst air quality of any
primary school location in the region. EEB2 Director Malik countered that the
school did its own testing and the results were “very, very good” and “much
better than in central Brussels.” POLITICO was denied access to the full report.
Families are also struggling with logistics, with children split between Evere
and Woluwe — it would take about 15 minutes by bicycle or 40 minutes by public
transport to get from one to the other. Parents noted that most of them are
expatriates who moved for EU jobs, leaving family support networks behind. “You
are dependent on having all your kids in one location, on the bus service, on
the garderie [daycare] … it is not helpful when your kids are being moved,” said
one parent.
STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS PERSIST
From the outside, the European Schools seem like a privileged enclave. But the
system is stretched to its limits.
The schools’ complex governance structure, split between the EU and national
bodies, means “everyone decides, and no one decides … everyone will always find
someone else to blame,” said the mother of a student in primary and one in
secondary. They also complained that decisions are made behind closed doors and
without proper consultations with parents.
Beckmann rejected the accusations of not sticking to promises, explaining that
the relocation clause had always been subject to review in 2024 and that
decisions were made collectively.
Meanwhile, a Human Rights Watch (HRW) study conducted in five European Schools
between September and November 2018 found that children with disabilities were
often not provided with adequate accommodation to allow them to learn in an
inclusive environment. The report did not specify which schools were reviewed.
Teachers have also raised concerns over employment conditions at the European
Schools. Between February and March this year, staff in Brussels staged several
strikes to demand equal rights for locally recruited teachers, who face
precarious contracts, lack job stability and have no union representation.
To address job-security concerns, Beckmann said that the Board of Governors
decided to provide staff that have worked in the system for more than eight
years with permanent contracts. Regarding the salary concerns, he said the
system is also looking into it, but argued that the European Schools in Belgium
already offer “more than competitive” salaries compared with national schools.
But for many Brussels parents, it may not be enough. “The whole history of
overcrowding in the European Schools is about inadequate planning,” said
Gesquiere. “And the children are the ones caught in the middle.”
BRUSSELS — Donald Trump should not get involved in European democracy, Ursula
von der Leyen said Thursday, days after the U.S. president launched a stinging
attack on Europe.
“It is not on us, when it comes to elections, to decide who the leader of the
country will be, but on the people of this country … That’s the sovereignty of
the voters, and this must be protected,” the European Commission president said
in an interview at the POLITICO 28 gala event in Brussels.
“Nobody else is supposed to interfere, without any question,” the Commission
chief added in response to a question about the U.S. National Security Strategy,
which was published last week and caused uproar in Europe.
The strategy claims Europe is facing “civilizational erasure” within the next 20
years, a narrative that has resonated well with Europe’s far-right leaders,
including Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, as well as in Russia. The
document also bashes European efforts to rein in far-right parties, calling such
moves political censorship, and speaks of “cultivating resistance to Europe’s
current trajectory within European nations.”
Von der Leyen said this is one of the reasons why the EU proposed the Democracy
Shield, meant to step up the fight against foreign interference online,
including in elections.
The Commission chief said she has always had “a very good working relationship”
with U.S. presidents, and ” this is also the case today.” However, she stressed
that Europe should focus on itself rather than making comparisons with others.
“From the bottom of my heart, I’m a convinced transatlanticist. But what is so
important? [What’s] important is that … we take pride in being the European
Union, that we look at our strength and that we deal with the challenges that we
do have,” she said.
“Ofa course, our relationship to the United States has changed. Why? Because we
are changing. And this is so important that we keep in mind: what is our
position? What is our strength? Let’s work on these. Let’s take pride in that.
Let’s stand up for a unified Europe. This is our task … [to] look at ourselves
and be proud of ourselves,” von der Leyen said, to applause from the crowd.
The U.S. president denounced Europe as a “decaying” group of nations led by
“weak” people in an interview with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns that aired Tuesday
in a special episode of The Conversation podcast.
“I think they’re weak,” Trump said, referring to the continent’s presidents and
prime ministers, adding, “I think they don’t know what to do.
Europe doesn’t know what to do.”
POLITICO on Thursday named Trump the most powerful person shaping European
politics, placing him at the top of the annual P28 list.
The list highlights who is expected to have the most sway over Europe’s
political direction in the coming year, based on input from POLITICO’s newsroom
and the power players POLITICO’s journalists speak with.
BRUSSELS — More than 80 percent of Europe’s companies will be freed from
environmental-reporting obligations after EU institutions reached a deal on a
proposal to cut green rules on Monday.
The deal is a major legislative victory for European Commission President Ursula
von der Leyen in her push cut red tape for business, one of the defining
missions of her second term in office.
However, that victory came at a political cost: The file pushed the coalition
that got her re-elected to the brink of collapse and led her own political
family, the center-right European People’s Party (EPP), to team up with the far
right to get the deal over the line.
The new law, the first of many so-called omnibus simplification bills,
will massively reduce the scope of corporate sustainability disclosure rules
introduced in the last political term. The aim of the red tape cuts is to boost
the competitiveness of European businesses and drive economic growth.
The deal concludes a year of intense
negotiations between EU decision-makers, investors, businesses and
civil society, who argued over how much to reduce reporting obligations for
companies on the environmental impacts of their business and supply chains — all
while the effects of climate change in Europe were getting worse.
“This is an important step towards our common goal to create a more favourable
business environment to help our companies grow and innovate,” said Marie
Bjerre, Danish minister for European affairs. Denmark, which holds the
presidency of the Council of the EU until the end of the year, led the
negotiations on behalf of EU governments.
Marie Bjerre, Den|mark’s Minister for European affairs, who said the agreement
was an important step for a more favourable business environment. | Philipp von
Ditfurth/picture alliance via Getty Images
Proposed by the Commission last February, the omnibus is designed to address
businesses’ concerns that the paperwork needed to comply with EU laws is costly
and unfair. Many companies have been blaming Europe’s overzealous green
lawmaking and the restrictions it places on doing business in the region for low
economic growth and job losses, preventing them from competing with U.S. and
Chinese rivals.
But Green and civil society groups — and some businesses too
— argued this backtracking would put environmental and human health at risk.
That disagreement reverberated through Brussels, disturbing the balance of power
in Parliament as the EPP broke the so-called cordon sanitaire — an unwritten
rule that forbids mainstream parties from collaborating with the far right — to
pass major cuts to green rules. It set a precedent for future lawmaking in
Europe as the bloc grapples with the at-times conflicting priorities of boosting
economic growth and advancing on its green transition.
The word “omnibus” has since become a mainstay of the Brussels bubble vernacular
with the Commission putting forward at least 10 more simplification bills on
topics like data protection, finance, chemical use, agriculture and defense.
LESS PAPERWORK
The deal struck by negotiators from the European Parliament, EU Council and the
Commission includes changes to two key pieces of legislation in the EU’s arsenal
of green rules: The Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) and the
Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD).
The rules originally required businesses large and small to collect and
publish data on their greenhouse gas emissions, how much water they use, the
impact of rising temperatures on working conditions, chemical leakages and
whether their suppliers — which are often spread across the globe — respect
human rights and labor laws.
Now the reporting rules will only apply to companies with more than 1,000
employees and €450 million in net turnover, while only the largest companies —
with 5,000 employees and at least €1.5 billion in net turnover — are covered by
supply chain due diligence obligations.
They also don’t have to adopt transition plans, with details on how they intend
to adapt their business model to reach targets for reducing greenhouse gas
emissions.
Importantly the decision-makers got rid of an EU-level legal framework that
allowed civilians to hold businesses accountable for the impact of their supply
chains on human rights or local ecosystems.
MEPs have another say on whether the deal goes through or not, with a final vote
on the file slated for Dec. 16. It means that lawmakers have a chance to reject
what the co-legislators have agreed to if they consider it to be too far from
their original position.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will on Monday evening meet NATO
Secretary-General Mark Rutte, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
and European Council President António Costa in Brussels.
The leaders are set to meet at around 8 p.m. at Rutte’s official residence.
“I won’t go into what may be discussed in detail in this meeting later today but
it’s clearly to be seen against the background of the ongoing discussions on
peace for Ukraine,” Commission spokesperson Paula Pinho said Monday.
The topic of reparation loans will likely be raised, according to Pinho, who
mentioned von der Leyen’s meeting on Friday with Belgian Prime Minister Bart De
Wever and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which was described as “a good
meeting” and “a good exchange of views.”
“Discussions [will] continue in regard to reparations loans up until the
European Council next week, where the aim is to have a final decision and a
clear outcome for a solution to support the financing of Ukraine’s need in 2026
and 2027,” Pinho said.
The high-stakes European Council summit will begin next Thursday and will focus
on efforts to persuade Belgium to approve the use of Russian frozen assets to
help the war effort in Ukraine.
Authorities detained three suspects and raided the European External Action
Service (EEAS) and the College of Europe as part of a probe into suspected fraud
related to EU-funded training for junior diplomats.
The searches — conducted at the request of the European Public Prosecutor’s
Office (EPPO) and approved by the investigating judge and Belgium’s Federal
Police — were conducted at the EEAS in Brussels, in buildings of the College of
Europe in Bruges and at private homes, according to a statement from the EPPO.
Belgian authorities are investigating the European Union Diplomatic Academy, a
training program for junior diplomats across EU countries. The raids were first
reported by Euractiv.
The EPPO said it has “strong suspicions” that rules around “fair competition”
were breached when “confidential information related to the ongoing procurement
was shared with one of the candidates participating in the tender.”
This article is being updated.
STRASBOURG — The United Arab Emirates embarked on a lobbying blitz in Strasbourg
this week as the European Parliament prepared to vote on a resolution condemning
ongoing atrocities in the Sudanese civil war.
The Emirati delegation held meetings with key MEPs to insist that the UAE is
playing a constructive role in Sudan, despite accusations that Abu
Dhabi actively backs the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a notorious militia
implicated in ethnic massacres and sexual violence.
Parliament lawmakers ultimately passed a resolution Thursday afternoon that
decried Sudan’s devastating civil war, but without mentioning the UAE’s alleged
interference in the conflict.
Human rights NGOs, independent media and Sudanese officials have said Abu Dhabi
has fueled the conflict by transferring weapons to the RSF as it battles the
Sudanese Armed Forces, which are supported by Egypt, for control of the
country.
The UAE denies supporting the RSF or interfering in Sudan’s war. A UAE
government spokesperson told POLITICO there is zero evidence of interference and
rejected any link to the paramilitary group.
The Parliament text — backed by a broad coalition including the conservative
European People’s Party (EPP), the center-left Socialists and Democrats (S&D),
the right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists, the far-right Patriots,
the liberals of Renew and the Greens — condemns the two-year conflict, which has
killed tens of thousands of people and plunged 25 million into extreme hunger.
According to three Parliament officials familiar with negotiations between the
political factions, language that criticized the UAE’s alleged role in Sudan
proposed by the Socialists, Renew and Greens proved to be a red line for the EPP
— which was, in turn, supported by groups to its right.
SUPPORTIVE SIGNAL
The resolution drew an unusually assertive diplomatic operation from the Gulf.
Lana Nusseibeh, the UAE’s envoy for Europe, traveled to Strasbourg with an
entourage to meet with MEPs and argue that Abu Dhabi is working toward peace in
Sudan rather than exacerbating the conflict.
Two officials familiar with the talks told POLITICO that Emirati representatives
denied any link to the RSF, while insisting they only wanted peace in Sudan and
to be a key mediator for the country.
Abu Dhabi’s delegation was provided a private room inside the European
Parliament, next to the hemicycle, to conduct its meetings.
“When foreign dignitaries come to Parliament and ask for a room, we give it to
them. Not everyone asks, but if they do and if a room is available, we do,”
Parliament President Roberta Metsola’s spokesperson Juri Laas told POLITICO.
Lana Nusseibeh, the UAE’s envoy for Europe, traveled to Strasbourg with an
entourage to meet with MEPs and argue that Abu Dhabi is working toward peace in
Sudan rather than exacerbating the conflict. | Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty
Images
Despite the absence of a direct reference to the UAE’s alleged support for the
RSF, the Socialists, Renew and the Greens ultimately agreed to support the
resolution.
Three people involved in the process said the groups were satisfied with the
language negotiated with the EPP and wanted to send a strong signal of support
to Sudan.
The Parliament’s resolution eventually condemned the RSF’s “atrocities” in Sudan
and says ethnically motivated killings, rape, sexual enslavement and the
starvation of civilians could potentially constitute “acts of genocide.”
The text calls for sanctions on the militias involved in the civil war, plus
penalties for “financiers and external enablers,” but without naming any other
parties to the conflict.
POLITICO reviewed an unofficial document circulated by the UAE ahead of the
vote, rejecting allegations that it provided material, funding or political
backing to the RSF.
Marit Maij, one of the lead negotiators for the S&D, confirmed she met with the
Abu Dhabi delegation “at the request of the UAE” inside the Parliament in
Strasbourg.
“We discussed the horrific situation in Sudan,” she said. “During the
conversation, I stated that we have information that the Emirates are fueling
the war by supporting the RSF.”
The Greens’ negotiator on the file, MEP Nela Riehl, said “there’s nothing in the
text that we oppose” but lamented that “things [are] missing,” including a clear
mention of the UAE.
The resolution does name-check the UAE as a key party in mediation efforts to
achieve peace, along the U.S., Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
SENSITIVE MOMENT
The Emirati lobbying push comes at a sensitive moment in EU-UAE relations.
Brussels is pursuing closer economic ties with the Gulf state and is deep into
ambitious free-trade negotiations — which one senior Emirati official, who was
granted anonymity to discuss the sensitive discussions, said are progressing at
lightning speed.
The UAE downplayed the significance of Nusseibeh’s Strasbourg trip.
A government spokesperson told POLITICO it was part of a routine tour through
France, the U.K. and Slovakia “to discuss bilateral relations and issues of
mutual interest, including key regional developments.”
Gamaal El Attar, executive director of the Belgian human rights organization
IFRD — which itself lobbied heavily on the resolution — characterized the UAE’s
efforts as “damage control,” accusing Abu Dhabi of “heavy counter-lobbying” to
avoid being singled out.
The Emirati foreign ministry said in a statement it “welcomed the European
Parliament’s timely resolution” and praised the fact that it “endorsed the work
of the Quad,” the regional grouping the UAE belongs to alongside the U.S., Egypt
and Saudi Arabia, which has sought an end to the war.
BRUSSELS — Belgian authorities will hold a meeting of the national security
council Thursday morning in the wake of Brussels Airport being shut down late
Tuesday following a drone incursion, Prime Minister Bart De Wever’s office
announced today.
De Wever will convene the heads of all services — police, military and
intelligence — as well as public prosecutors, to discuss recent drone activity
and possible counter-measures.
Belgian Defense Minister Theo Francken said today that the drone incident “was
not the work of amateurs,” and Belgium is investigating whether it can call on
neighboring countries for assistance.
Drones were spotted earlier this month over several Belgian military bases.
Francken said the drones were believed to be attempting to spy on fighter jets
and ammunition depots.
The drone incursion caused 28 flight cancellations on Tuesday evening; another
54 flights were canceled at Brussels Airport today, affecting 22 departing and
32 arriving flights.
LEIDEN, the Netherlands — Waking up bleary eyed this Thursday morning and
wondering who won the Dutch election?
Well, it’s a stunner.
Here’s our brief explainer on the progressive liberal party that surged in
recent weeks to match Geert Wilders’ far-right Party for Freedom (PVV) on the
back of a charismatic young leader.
START FROM THE BEGINNING, PLEASE, WHO WON THE DUTCH ELECTION?
The liberal-progressive D66 party — short for Democrats 66; founded in 1966,
natch — is on track to win 26 seats in the Netherlands’ 150-strong parliament,
according to a preliminary forecast. That puts them equal with the hotly tipped
Wilders and his PVV, which just two years ago scored a huge election win, and
ahead of other mainstream conservative, socialist and liberal parties.
OK, D66 THEN, WHAT DO THEY STAND FOR?
D66 is a pro-European party that tends to draw in urbanite, high-income voters.
While the party’s pitch in its early days was to have prime ministers and mayors
directly elected, in 2025 it focused its campaign on solutions to the
Netherlands’ housing crisis, notably with a plan to build new cities. It also
picked a hopeful slogan: “It is possible,” evoking former U.S. President Barack
Obama’s “Yes We Can” optimism.
The party campaigned on pledges to focus on “affordable, green energy from our
own soil” to keep energy prices down, while securing the “healthiest generation
ever” by prioritizing the prevention of illness. It also wants greener
residential areas and an emphasis on better education.
D66 beefed up its stance on migration, advocating for a system that would have
people lodge asylum applications outside Europe, with leader Rob Jetten warily
noting the collapse of two successive Dutch governments over asylum policy.
The party also pushed to reclaim the red-white-and-blue tricolor flag as
something for mainstream Dutch voters to be proud of after angry farmers turned
it upside down in protests and Wilders clutched it for populist-nationalist
reasons.
At D66’s election night party in Leiden, their leader told reporters the flags
are a way to wave goodbye to recent years “where it sometimes seemed like our
country can’t be proud anymore. We’re an amazing country and we can make it even
better,” he said.
SO WHO IS THE LEADER AND WHAT’S HIS DEAL?
Once dubbed “Robot Jetten” because of the clunky manner he answered questions,
Jetten is now in pole position to become the future prime minister of the
Netherlands.
Despite the unfavorable early nickname, the 38-year-old — who is openly gay —
has since become a charming and media-savvy poster-boy for D66’s positive and
progressive-liberal platform.
“I’ve become a lot grayer and a lot more experienced,” Jetten joked on election
night.
He was in line to head the party back in 2018, but stepped aside in favor of
veteran diplomat Sigrid Kaag; a move that won him plaudits among party members.
Jetten took the baton from Kaag in 2023 after her hopes of becoming the
Netherlands’ first female prime minister were dashed in the previous election.
IS JETTEN REALLY GOING TO BE THE NEXT DUTCH PRIME MINISTER?
If the final results confirm the election night projections, he’s certainly in
prime position.
But the real work starts next.
Jetten will have to form a coalition and, to get the numbers for a majority, may
need to carry out the unenviable task of convincing the center-right People’s
Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and left-wing GreenLeft-Labor to team up
after bitterly campaigning against one another.
The challenge isn’t lost on Jetten. With around 26 seats, D66 is “a small large
party, when compared with Dutch history,” he said on election night. “So we’ll
have to cooperate with many parties.”
Jetten is also well aware of the challenge that has doomed recent Dutch
governments. Migration was once more in the spotlight in the run-up to the
election “and it is my ambition that in four years’ time, this will no longer
need to be an issue,” Jetten told reporters on election night.
BACK TO THE PARTY, HAVE THEY BEEN IN GOVERNMENT BEFORE?
Many times, including most recently in the third and fourth governments helmed
by longtime liberal leader Mark Rutte. Jetten himself was a climate and energy
minister in Rutte’s fourth and final government, in which D66 was the
second-largest party.
Before that, D66 has joined coalitions on and off since the early 1970s.
HAVE I HEARD OF ANY OF THE PARTY BIGWIGS?
You likely have: Diplomat and former Foreign Affairs and Finance Minister Sigrid
Kaag led D66 from 2020 until 2023, before returning to the United Nations as the
organization’s senior humanitarian and reconstruction coordinator for Gaza.
The EU’s Special Representative for Human Rights Kajsa Ollongren previously
filled roles as defense and internal affairs minister for the party.
And then there are the party’s former European lawmakers: Both Marietje Schaake
and Sophie in ‘t Veld — who left D66 in 2023 — are well-known names in the
Brussels bubble.
WHAT’S THEIR POSITION IN BRUSSELS?
D66, which is part of the Renew Europe group in the European Parliament, takes a
decidedly more pro-EU stance than we’re used to hearing in the Netherlands, from
supporting the implementation of a European migration pact to advocating for the
creation of European armed forces.
But despite its pro-European stance, D66 has never filled a major EU post —
like, for example, a Dutch commissioner — with most party heavyweights focused
on domestic politics instead.
Max Griera contributed to this report.