LONDON — Reza Pahlavi was in the United States as a student in 1979 when his
father, the last shah of Iran, was toppled in a revolution. He has not set foot
inside Iran since, though his monarchist supporters have never stopped believing
that one day their “crown prince” will return.
As anti-regime demonstrations fill the streets of more than 100 towns and cities
across the country of 90 million people, despite an internet blackout and an
increasingly brutal crackdown, that day may just be nearing.
Pahlavi’s name is on the lips of many protesters, who chant that they want the
“shah” back. Even his critics — and there are plenty who oppose a return of the
monarchy — now concede that Pahlavi may prove to be the only figure with the
profile required to oversee a transition.
The global implications of the end of the Islamic Republic and its replacement
with a pro-Western democratic government would be profound, touching everything
from the Gaza crisis to the wars in Ukraine and Yemen, to the oil market.
Over the course of three interviews in the past 12 months in London, Paris and
online, Pahlavi told POLITICO how Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
could be overthrown. He set out the steps needed to end half a century of
religious dictatorship and outlined his own proposal to lead a transition to
secular democracy.
Nothing is guaranteed, and even Pahlavi’s team cannot be sure that this current
wave of protests will take down the regime, never mind bring him to power. But
if it does, the following is an account of Pahlavi’s roadmap for revolution and
his blueprint for a democratic future.
POPULAR UPRISING
Pahlavi argues that change needs to be driven from inside Iran, and in his
interview with POLITICO last February he made it clear he wanted foreign powers
to focus on supporting Iranians to move against their rulers rather than
intervening militarily from the outside.
“People are already on the streets with no help. The economic situation is to a
point where our currency devaluation, salaries can’t be paid, people can’t even
afford a kilo of potatoes, never mind meat,” he said. “We need more and more
sustained protests.”
Over the past two weeks, the spiraling cost of living and economic mismanagement
have indeed helped fuel the protest wave. The biggest rallies in years have
filled the streets, despite attempts by the authorities to intimidate opponents
through violence and by cutting off communications.
Pahlavi has sought to encourage foreign financial support for workers who will
disrupt the state by going on strike. He also called for more Starlink internet
terminals to be shipped into Iran, in defiance of a ban, to make it harder for
the regime to stop dissidents from communicating and coordinating their
opposition. Amid the latest internet shutdowns, Starlink has provided the
opposition movements with a vital lifeline.
As the protests gathered pace last week, Pahlavi stepped up his own stream of
social media posts and videos, which gain many millions of views, encouraging
people onto the streets. He started by calling for demonstrations to begin at 8
p.m. local time, then urged protesters to start earlier and occupy city centers
for longer. His supporters say these appeals are helping steer the protest
movement.
Reza Pahlavi argues that change needs to be driven from inside Iran. | Salvatore
Di Nolfi/EPA
The security forces have brutally crushed many of these gatherings. The
Norway-based Iranian Human Rights group puts the number of dead at 648, while
estimating that more than 10,000 people have been arrested.
It’s almost impossible to know how widely Pahlavi’s message is permeating
nationwide, but footage inside Iran suggests the exiled prince’s words are
gaining some traction with demonstrators, with increasing images of the
pre-revolutionary Lion and Sun flag appearing at protests, and crowds chanting
“javid shah” — the eternal shah.
DEFECTORS
Understandably, given his family history, Pahlavi has made a study of
revolutions and draws on the collapse of the Soviet Union to understand how the
Islamic Republic can be overthrown. In Romania and Czechoslovakia, he said, what
was required to end Communism was ultimately “maximum defections” among people
inside the ruling elites, military and security services who did not want to “go
down with the sinking ship.”
“I don’t think there will ever be a successful civil disobedience movement
without the tacit collaboration or non-intervention of the military,” he said
during an interview last February.
There are multiple layers to Iran’s machinery of repression, including the hated
Basij militia, but the most powerful and feared part of its security apparatus
is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Pahlavi argued that top IRGC
commanders who are “lining their pockets” — and would remain loyal to Khamenei —
did not represent the bulk of the organization’s operatives, many of whom “can’t
pay rent and have to take a second job at the end of their shift.”
“They’re ultimately at some point contemplating their children are in the
streets protesting … and resisting the regime. And it’s their children they’re
called on to shoot. How long is that tenable?”
Pahlavi’s offer to those defecting is that they will be granted an amnesty once
the regime has fallen. He argues that most of the people currently working in
the government and military will need to remain in their roles to provide
stability once Khamenei has been thrown out, in order to avoid hollowing out the
administration and creating a vacuum — as happened after the 2003 U.S.-led
invasion of Iraq.
Only the hardline officials at the top of the regime in Tehran should expect to
face punishment.
In June, Pahlavi announced he and his team were setting up a secure portal for
defectors to register their support for overthrowing the regime, offering an
amnesty to those who sign up and help support a popular uprising. By July, he
told POLITICO, 50,000 apparent regime defectors had used the system.
His team are now wary of making claims regarding the total number of defectors,
beyond saying “tens of thousands” have registered. These have to be verified,
and any regime trolls or spies rooted out. But Pahlavi’s allies say a large
number of new defectors made contact via the portal as the protests gathered
pace in recent days.
REGIME CHANGE
In his conversations with POLITICO last year, Pahlavi insisted he didn’t want
the United States or Israel to get involved directly and drive out the supreme
leader and his lieutenants. He always said the regime would be destroyed by a
combination of fracturing from within and pressure from popular unrest.
He’s also been critical of the reluctance of European governments to challenge
the regime and of their preference to continue diplomatic efforts, which he has
described as appeasement. European powers, especially France, Germany and the
U.K., have historically had a significant role in managing the West’s relations
with Iran, notably in designing the 2015 nuclear deal that sought to limit
Tehran’s uranium enrichment program.
But Pahlavi’s allies want more support and vocal condemnation from Europe.
U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal in his first term and
wasted little time on diplomacy in his second. He ordered American military
strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities last year, as part of Israel’s 12-day war,
action that many analysts and Pahlavi’s team agree leaves the clerical elite and
its vast security apparatus weaker than ever.
U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal in his first term and
wasted little time on diplomacy in his second. | Pool photo by Bonnie Cash via
EPA
Pahlavi remains in close contact with members of the Trump administration, as
well as other governments including in Germany, France and the U.K.
He has met U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio several times and said he regards
him as “the most astute and understanding” holder of that office when it comes
to Iran since the 1979 revolution.
In recent days Trump has escalated his threats to intervene, including
potentially through more military action if Iran’s rulers continue their
crackdown and kill large numbers of protesters.
On the weekend Pahlavi urged Trump to follow through. “Mr President,” he posted
on X Sunday. “Your words of solidarity have given Iranians the strength to fight
for freedom,” he said. “Help them liberate themselves and Make Iran Great
Again!”
THE CARETAKER KING
In June Pahlavi announced he was ready to replace Khamenei’s administration to
lead the transition from authoritarianism to democracy.
“Once the regime collapses, we have to have a transitional government as quickly
as possible,” he told POLITICO last year. He proposed that a constitutional
conference should be held among Iranian representatives to devise a new
settlement, to be ratified by the people in a referendum.
The day after that referendum is held, he told POLITICO in February, “that’s the
end of my mission in life.”
Asked if he wanted to see a monarchy restored, he said in June: “Democratic
options should be on the table. I’m not going to be the one to decide that. My
role however is to make sure that no voice is left behind. That all opinions
should have the chance to argue their case — it doesn’t matter if they are
republicans or monarchists, it doesn’t matter if they’re on the left of center
or the right.”
One option he hasn’t apparently excluded might be to restore a permanent
monarchy, with a democratically elected government serving in his name.
Pahlavi says he has three clear principles for establishing a new democracy:
protecting Iran’s territorial integrity; a secular democratic system that
separates religion from the government; and “every principle of human rights
incorporated into our laws.”
He confirmed to POLITICO that this would include equality and protection against
discrimination for all citizens, regardless of their sexual or religious
orientation.
COME-BACK CAPITALISM
Over the past year, Pahlavi has been touring Western capitals meeting
politicians as well as senior business figures and investors from the world of
banking and finance. Iran is a major OPEC oil producer and has the second
biggest reserves of natural gas in the world, “which could supply Europe for a
long time to come,” he said.
“Iran is the most untapped reserve for foreign investment,” Pahlavi said in
February. “If Silicon Valley was to commit for a $100 billion investment, you
could imagine what sort of impact that could have. The sky is the limit.”
What he wants to bring about, he says, is a “democratic culture” — even more
than any specific laws that stipulate forms of democratic government. He pointed
to Iran’s past under the Pahlavi monarchy, saying his grandfather remains a
respected figure as a modernizer.
“If it becomes an issue of the family, my grandfather today is the most revered
political figure in the architect of modern Iran,” he said in February. “Every
chant of the streets of ‘god bless his soul.’ These are the actual slogans
people chant on the street as they enter or exit a soccer stadium. Why? Because
the intent was patriotic, helping Iran come out of the dark ages. There was no
aspect of secular modern institutions from a postal system to a modern army to
education which was in the hands of the clerics.”
Pahlavi’s father, the shah, brought in an era of industrialization and economic
improvement alongside greater freedom for women, he said. “This is where the Gen
Z of Iran is,” he said. “Regardless of whether I play a direct role or not,
Iranians are coming out of the tunnel.”
Conversely, many Iranians still associate his father’s regime with out-of-touch
elites and the notorious Savak secret police, whose brutality helped fuel the
1979 revolution.
NOT SO FAST
Nobody can be sure what happens next in Iran. It may still come down to Trump
and perhaps Israel.
Anti-regime demonstrations fill the streets of more than 100 towns and cities
across the country of 90 million people. | Neil Hall/EPA
Plenty of experts don’t believe the regime is finished, though it is clearly
weakened. Even if the protests do result in change, many say it seems more
likely that the regime will use a mixture of fear tactics and adaptation to
protect itself rather than collapse or be toppled completely.
While reports suggest young people have led the protests and appear to have
grown in confidence, recent days have seen a more ferocious regime response,
with accounts of hospitals being overwhelmed with shooting victims. The
demonstrations could still be snuffed out by a regime with a capacity for
violence.
The Iranian opposition remains hugely fragmented, with many leading activists in
prison. The substantial diaspora has struggled to find a unity of voice, though
Pahlavi tried last year to bring more people on board with his own movement.
Sanam Vakil, an Iran specialist at the Chatham House think tank in London, said
Iran should do better than reviving a “failed” monarchy. She added she was
unsure how wide Pahlavi’s support really was inside the country. Independent,
reliable polling is hard to find and memories of the darker side of the shah’s
era run deep.
But the exiled prince’s advantage now may be that there is no better option to
oversee the collapse of the clerics and map out what comes next.
“Pahlavi has name recognition and there is no other clear individual to turn
to,” Vakil said. “People are willing to listen to his comments calling on them
to go out in the streets.”
Tag - Education
President Donald Trump on Wednesday declared he would ask Congress for a $1.5
trillion defense budget in 2027, a massive $500 billion increase from this
year’s Pentagon budget.
The huge boost likely reflects how expensive some of Trump’s military ambitions
are, from the Golden Dome air defense effort to his call for a new battleship
design. Neither of those programs could be fully funded under current spending
levels.
The president provided few details in his post on Truth Social, other than to
say the money would pay for his “Dream Military.” Trump did suggest that tariff
revenues could cover the increase, but even if he managed to circumvent
Congress’ constitutionally mandated power over spending, existing tariff
collections would still be several hundred billion short of what the president
plans to ask for.
While finding half-a-trillion dollars in new spending would prove difficult,
Trump and some congressional Republicans appeared confident they could do so.
The budget reached $1 trillion this year thanks to $150 billion in new money
Congress voted to pour into Pentagon coffers via a reconciliation bill, although
much of that will be spread out over the next five years on various long-term
projects.
Lawmakers have yet to complete a defense spending bill for this fiscal year,
although a final agreement is expected to increase Trump’s budget request by
several billion dollars.
Some Republicans have long argued for significant annual increases in Pentagon
funding, with a topline total of around 5 percent of GDP, up from the current
3.5 percent.
Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) called Trump’s aspirations “a good news story” after his
administration proposed budgets defense hawks on Capitol Hill saw as lacking.
“We think we need a permanent 4 percent [of GDP] or better,” Bacon said. “That’s
what it’s gonna take to build our Navy, our Air Force, our ICBMs, our bombers,
and take care of our troops.”
The 2026 budget only reached $1 trillion due to the $150 billion added on by
Congress. That one-time infusion gave a boost to Golden Dome as well as new
initiatives to build more precision-guided munitions and air defense weapons.
But the funding will need to be included in year-on-year spending legislation,
something Trump’s new proposal appears to take into account.
Trump’s surprise budget announcement came just hours after he sent defense
stocks plunging by railing against the performance of major defense companies.
In another social media post, Trump said he would not allow defense companies to
buy back their own stocks, offer executives large salaries and issue dividends
to shareholders. He also slammed the companies for moving too slowly, and
charging too much, for weapons.
“A lot of us are saying we want a commitment to a sustained spending [increase],
not just a one-year,” Bacon said.
The White House and Republicans have left open the possibility of another
party-line megabill that could be used to increase defense spending again this
year. It is unclear if GOP leaders are willing to pursue the procedurally and
politically arduous approach again while they still maintain control of both
chambers of Congress.
Republicans would need to use that process again to accommodate even a portion
of Trump’s request because Democrats are likely to balk at any move that slashes
healthcare benefits, education and foreign aid in the ways Republicans have
sought, said one defense lobbyist.
“Golden Dome and Golden Fleet are completely unaffordable without budgets of
this size, so the administration would need to come up with the numbers to back
it up,” said the lobbyist, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive
spending dynamics. “But my guess is that the extra money will have to be in
reconciliation.”
House Appropriations Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) said overall defense spending
“needs to go up,” but wouldn’t say if the massive increase pitched by Trump is
realistic.
“I’ll take any request the president makes seriously, and we’ll see,” Cole said.
Another senior House appropriator, Rep. Steve Womack (R-Ark.), hailed Trump as
“absolutely right” in his own post.
“For too long, we have underfunded our defense apparatus—undermining our
national security and benefiting our foreign adversaries,” Womack said. “A
strong national defense is critical to our long‑term prosperity and to
protecting our country against every emerging threat. I commend President Trump
for his leadership and look forward to working to advance a $1.5 trillion
defense bill.”
BRUSSELS — If European governments didn’t realize before that Donald Trump’s
threats to seize Greenland were serious, they do now.
Policymakers are no longer ignoring the U.S. president’s ramped-up rhetoric —
and are desperately searching for a plan to stop him.
“We must be ready for a direct confrontation with Trump,” said an EU diplomat
briefed on ongoing discussions. “He is in an aggressive mode, and we need to be
geared up.”
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Wednesday that he planned to discuss a
U.S. acquisition of Greenland with Danish officials next week. The White House
said Trump’s preference would be to acquire the territory through a negotiation
and also that it would consider purchasing the island — but that a military
takeover was possible.
As diplomatic efforts intensified in Europe, French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël
Barrot said he and his counterparts from Germany and Poland had discussed a
joint European response to Trump’s threats.
“What is at stake is the question of how Europe, the EU, can be strengthened to
deter threats, attempts on its security and interests,” Barrot told reporters.
“Greenland is not for sale, and it is not for taking … so the threats must
stop.”
POLITICO spoke with officials, diplomats, experts and NATO insiders to map out
how Europe could deter the U.S. president from getting that far, and what its
options are if he does. They were granted anonymity to speak freely.
“Everyone is very stunned and unaware of what we actually have in the toolbox,”
said a former Danish MP. “No one really knows what to do because the Americans
can do whatever they want. But we need answers to these questions immediately.
They can’t wait three or five or seven years.”
On Wednesday, POLITICO set out the steps Trump could take to seize Greenland.
Now here’s the flip side: What Europe does to stop him.
OPTION 1: FIND A COMPROMISE
Trump says Greenland is vital for U.S. security interests and accuses Denmark of
not doing enough to protect it against increasing Chinese and Russian military
activity in the Arctic.
A negotiated settlement that sees Trump come out of talks with something he can
sell as a win and that allows Denmark and Greenland to save face is perhaps the
fastest route out of trouble.
A former senior NATO official suggested the alliance could mediate between
Greenland, Denmark and the U.S., as it has done with alliance members Turkey and
Greece over their disputes.
U.S. NATO Ambassador Matthew Whitaker said on Wednesday that Trump and his
advisers do not believe Greenland is properly secured. | Omar Havana/Getty
Images
U.S. NATO Ambassador Matthew Whitaker said on Wednesday that Trump and his
advisers do not believe Greenland is properly secured. “As the ice thaws and as
the routes in the Arctic and the High North open up … Greenland becomes a very
serious security risk for the mainland of the United States of America.”
NATO allies are also mulling fresh overtures to Trump that could bolster
Greenland’s security, despite a widely held view that any direct threat from
Russian and Chinese ships to the territory is overstated.
Among other proposals, the alliance should consider accelerating defense
spending on the Arctic, holding more military exercises in the region, and
posting troops to secure Greenland and reassure the U.S. if necessary, according
to three NATO diplomats.
The alliance should also be open to setting up an “Arctic Sentry” scheme —
shifting its military assets to the region — similar to its Eastern Sentry and
Baltic Sentry initiatives, two of the diplomats said.
“Anything that can be done” to bolster the alliance’s presence near Greenland
and meet Trump’s demands “should be maxed out,” said one of the NATO diplomats
cited above.
Trump also says he wants Greenland for its vast mineral deposits and potential
oil and gas reserves. But there’s a reason Greenland has remained largely
untapped: Extracting resources from its inhospitable terrain is difficult and
very expensive, making them less competitive than Chinese imports.
Denmark’s envoys say they tried for years to make the case for investment in
Greenland, but their European counterparts weren’t receptive — though an EU
diplomat familiar with the matter said there are signs that attitude is
shifting.
OPTION 2: GIVE GREENLAND A TON OF CASH
The Trump administration has thrown its weight behind Greenland’s independence
movement. The pitch is that if the Arctic territory leaves the Kingdom of
Denmark and signs up to a deal with the U.S., it will be flooded with American
cash.
While Trump has repeatedly refused to rule out using military force to take
Greenland, he has also insisted he wants it to come willingly.
The EU and Denmark are trying to convince Greenlanders that they can give them a
better deal.
Brussels is planning to more than double its spending on Greenland from 2028
under long-term budget plans drawn up after Trump started to make claims on the
Danish-held territory, according to a draft proposal from the European
Commission published in September.
Under the plans, which are subject to further negotiations among member
countries, the EU would almost double spending on Greenland to €530 million for
a seven-year period starting in 2028.
That comes on top of the money Denmark sends Greenland as part of its agreement
with the self-governing territory.
Greenland would also be eligible to apply for an additional €44 million in EU
funding for remote territories associated with European countries, per the same
document.
Danish and European support currently focuses mainly on welfare, health care,
education and the territory’s green transition. Under the new spending plans,
that focus would expand to developing the island’s ability to extract mineral
resources.
“We have many, many people below the poverty line, and the infrastructure in
Greenland is lagging, and our resources are primarily taken out without good
profit to Greenland but mostly profit to Danish companies,” said Kuno Fencker, a
pro-independence Greenlandic opposition MP.
An attractive offer from Denmark and the EU could be enough to keep Greenlanders
out of America’s grasp.
OPTION 3: RETALIATE ECONOMICALLY
Since Trump’s first term in office, “there’s been a lot of effort to try and
think through how we ensure European security, Nordic security, Arctic security,
without the U.S. actively involved,” said Thomas Crosbie, a U.S. military expert
at the Royal Danish Defense College, which provides training and education for
the Danish defense force.
“That’s hard, but it’s possible. But I don’t know if anyone has seriously
contemplated ensuring European security against America. It’s just
crazy,” Crosbie said.
The EU does have one strong political tool at its disposal, which it could use
to deter Trump: the Anti-Coercion Instrument, the “trade bazooka” created after
the first Trump administration, which allows the EU to retaliate against trade
discrimination.
The EU threatened to deploy it after Trump slapped tariffs on the bloc but
shelved it in July after the two sides reached a deal.
With the U.S. still imposing tariffs on the EU, Brussels could bring the bazooka
back out.
“We have exports to the United States a bit above €600 billion, and for around
one-third of those goods we have a market share of more than 50 percent and it’s
totally clear that this is also the power in our hands,” said Bernd Lange, chair
of the European Parliament’s trade committee.
But Trump would have to believe the EU was serious, given that all its tough
talk amounted to nothing the last time around.
OPTION 4: BOOTS ON THE GROUND
If the U.S. does decide to take Greenland by military force, there’s little
Europeans could do to prevent it.
“They are not going to preemptively attack Americans before they claim
Greenland, because that would be done before an act of war,” said Crosbie, the
Danish military educator. “But in terms of responding to the first move, it
really depends. If the Americans have a very small group of people, you could
try and arrest those people, because there’d be a criminal act.”
It’s a different story if the U.S. goes in hard.
Legally speaking, it’s possible Denmark would be forced to respond
militarily. Under a 1952 standing order, troops should “immediately take up the
fight without waiting for, or seeking orders” in “the event of an attack on
Danish territory.”
European countries should weigh the possibility of deploying troops to Greenland
— if Denmark requests it — to increase the potential cost of U.S. military
action, an EU diplomat said, echoing suggestions that Berlin and Paris could
send forces to deter any incursion.
While those forces are unlikely to be able to withstand a U.S. invasion, they
would act as a deterrent.
“You could have a tripwire effect where you have some groups of people who are
physically in the way, like a Tiananmen Square-type situation, which would
potentially force the [U.S.] military to use violence” or to back down, said
Crosbie.
But that strategy comes at a high cost, he said. “This is completely unexplored
territory, but it is quite possible that people’s lives will be lost in the
attempt to reject the American claim over Greenland.”
Gerardo Fortuna, Clea Caulcutt and Eli Stokols contributed reporting.
Donald Trump wants the U.S. to own Greenland. The trouble is, Greenland already
belongs to Denmark and most Greenlanders don’t want to become part of the U.S.
While swooping into Greenland’s capital, Nuuk, and taking over Venezuela-style
seems fanciful ― even if the military attack on Caracas seems to have provided a
jolt to all sides about what the U.S. is capable of ― there’s a definite
pathway. And Trump already appears to be some way along it.
Worryingly for the Europeans, the strategy looks an awful lot like Vladimir
Putin’s expansionist playbook.
POLITICO spoke with nine EU officials, NATO insiders, defense experts and
diplomats to game out how a U.S. takeover of the mineral-rich and strategically
important Arctic island could play out.
“It could be like five helicopters … he wouldn’t need a lot of troops,” said a
Danish politician who asked for anonymity to speak freely. “There would be
nothing they [Greenlanders] could do.”
STEP 1: INFLUENCE CAMPAIGN TO BOOST GREENLAND’S INDEPENDENCE MOVEMENT
Almost immediately upon taking office, the Trump administration began talking up
independence for Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of the Kingdom of
Denmark. An unshackled Greenland could sign deals with the U.S., while under the
status quo it needs Copenhagen’s approval.
To gain independence, Greenlanders would need to vote in a referendum, then
negotiate a deal that both Nuuk and Copenhagen must approve. In a 2025 opinion
poll, 56 percent of Greenlanders said they would vote in favor of independence,
while 28 percent said they would vote against it.
Americans with ties to Trump have carried out covert influence operations in
Greenland, according to Danish media reports, with Denmark’s security and
intelligence service, PET, warning the territory “is the target of influence
campaigns of various kinds.”
Felix Kartte, a digital policy expert who has advised EU institutions and
governments, pointed to Moscow’s tactics for influencing political outcomes in
countries such as Moldova, Romania and Ukraine.
“Russia mixes offline and online tactics,” he said. “On the ground, it works
with aligned actors such as extremist parties, diaspora networks or pro-Russian
oligarchs, and has been reported to pay people to attend anti-EU or anti-U.S.
protests.
“At the same time, it builds large networks of fake accounts and pseudo-media
outlets to amplify these activities online and boost selected candidates or
positions. The goal is often not to persuade voters that a pro-Russian option is
better, but to make it appear larger, louder and more popular than it really is,
creating a sense of inevitability.”
Stephen Miller, Trump’s deputy chief of staff, told CNN on Monday that “nobody
is going to fight the U.S. militarily over the future of Greenland.” | Joe
Raedle/Getty Images
On Greenland, the U.S. appears to be deploying at least some of these methods.
Stephen Miller, Trump’s deputy chief of staff, told CNN on Monday that “nobody
is going to fight the U.S. militarily over the future of Greenland.”
Last month, Trump created the position of special envoy to Greenland and
appointed Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry to the role. He declared his goal was
to “make Greenland a part of the U.S.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance, on a visit to the territory in March,
said “the people of Greenland are going to have self-determination.” He added:
“We hope that they choose to partner with the United States, because we’re the
only nation on Earth that will respect their sovereignty and respect their
security.”
STEP 2: OFFER GREENLAND A SWEET DEAL
Assuming its efforts to speed up Greenland’s independence referendum come to
fruition, and the territory’s inhabitants vote to leave Denmark behind, the next
step would be to bring it under U.S. influence.
One obvious method would be to fold Greenland into the U.S. as another state —
an idea those close to the president have repeatedly toyed with. Denmark’s Prime
Minister Mette Frederiksen was on Monday forced to say that “the U.S. has no
right to annex” Greenland after Katie Miller — the wife of Stephen Miller —
posted to social media a map of the territory draped in a U.S. flag and the word
“SOON.”
A direct swap of Denmark for the U.S. seems largely unpalatable to most of the
population. The poll mentioned above also showed 85 percent of Greenlanders
oppose the territory becoming part of the U.S., and even Trump-friendly members
of the independence movement aren’t keen on the idea.
But there are other options.
Reports have circulated since last May that the Trump administration wants
Greenland to sign a Compact of Free Association (COFA) — like those it currently
has with Micronesia, the Marshall Islands and Palau. Under the deals, the U.S.
provides essential services, protection and free trade in exchange for its
military operating without restriction on those countries’ territory. The idea
resurfaced this week.
Kuno Fencker, a pro-independence Greenlandic opposition MP who attended Trump’s
inauguration and met with Republican Congressman Andy Ogles last year, said he
tries to “explain to [the Americans] that we don’t want to be like Puerto Rico,
or any other territory of the United States. But a Compact of Free Association,
bilateral agreements, or even opportunities and other means which maybe I can’t
imagine — let them come to the table and Greenlanders will decide in a
plebiscite.”
Compared to Nuuk’s deal with Copenhagen, things “can only go upwards,” he said.
Referring to Trump’s claim that the U.S. has a “need” for Greenland, Fencker
added: “Denmark has never said that they ‘needed’ Greenland. Denmark has said
that Greenland is an expense, and they would leave us if we become independent.
So I think it’s a much more positive remark than we have ever seen from
Denmark.”
But Thomas Crosbie, an associate professor of military operations at the Royal
Danish Defense College that provides training and education for the Danish
defense forces, warned that Greenland is unlikely to get the better of Trump in
a negotiation.
“Trump’s primary identity as a deal-maker is someone who forces his will on the
people he’s negotiating with, and someone who has a very long track record of
betraying people who he’s negotiated deals with, not honoring his commitments,
both in private and public life, and exploiting those around him … I really see
zero benefits to Greenlandic people other than a very temporary boost to their
self esteem.”
And, he added, “it would be crazy to agree to something in the hope that a deal
may come. I mean, if you give away your territory in the hopes that you might
get a deal afterwards — that would be just really imprudent.”
STEP 3: GET EUROPE ON BOARD
Europe, particularly Denmark’s EU allies, would balk at any attempt to cleave
Greenland away from Copenhagen. But the U.S. administration does have a trump
card to play on that front: Ukraine.
As peace negotiations have gathered pace, Kyiv has said that any deal with Putin
must be backed by serious, long-term U.S. security guarantees.
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance, on a visit to the territory in March,
said “the people of Greenland are going to have self-determination.” | Pool
photo by Tom Brenner vis Getty Images
The Americans have prevaricated on that front, and in any case, Kyiv is
skeptical about security guarantees, given those it has received from both
Russia and the West in the past have amounted to nothing.
One potential scenario an EU diplomat floated would be a security-for-security
package deal, under which Europe gets firmer assurances from the Trump
administration for Ukraine in exchange for an expanded role for the U.S. in
Greenland.
While that seems like a bitter pill, it could be easier to swallow than the
alternative, annoying Trump, who may retaliate by imposing sanctions, pulling
out of peace negotiations — or by throwing his weight behind Putin in
negotiations with Ukraine.
STEP 4: MILITARY INVASION
But what if Greenland — or Denmark, whose “OK” Nuuk needs to secede — says no to
Trump?
A U.S. military takeover could be achieved without much difficulty.
Crosbie, from the Royal Danish Defense College, said Trump’s strategists are
likely presenting him with various options.
“The most worrisome would be a fait accompli-type strategy, which we see a lot
and think about a lot in military circles, which would be simply grabbing the
land the same way Putin tried to grab, to make territorial claims, over Ukraine.
He could just simply put troops in the country and just say that it’s American
now … the United States military is capable of landing any number of forces on
Greenland, either by air or by sea, and then claiming that it’s American
territory.”
According to Lin Mortensgaard, a researcher at the Danish Institute for
International Studies and an expert on Greenlandic security, Washington also has
around 500 military officers, including local contractors, on the ground at its
northern Pituffik Space Base and just under 10 consulate staff in Nuuk. That’s
alongside roughly 100 National Guard troops from New York who are usually
deployed seasonally in the Arctic summer to support research missions.
Greenland, meanwhile, has few defenses. The population has no territorial army,
Mortensgaard said, while Denmark’s Joint Arctic Command in the capital includes
scant and out-of-date military assets, largely limited to four inspection and
navy vessels, a dog-sled patrol, several helicopters and one maritime patrol
aircraft.
As a result, if Trump mobilizes the U.S. presence on the ground — or flies in
special forces — the U.S. could seize control of Nuuk “in half an hour or less,”
Mortensgaard said.
“Mr. Trump says things and then he does them,” said Danish Member of European
Parliament Stine Bosse. “If you were one of 60,000 people in Greenland, you
would be very worried.”
Any incursion would have no “legal basis” under U.S. and international law, said
Romain Chuffart, who heads the Washington, D.C.-based Arctic Institute, a
security think tank. Any occupation beyond 60 days would also require approval
from the U.S. Congress.
Meanwhile, an invasion would “mean the end of NATO,” he said, and the “U.S.
would be … shooting itself in the foot and waving goodbye to an alliance it has
helped create.”
Beyond that, a “loss of trust by key allies … could result in a reduction in
their willingness to share intelligence with the U.S. or a reduction in access
to bases across Europe,” said Ben Hodges, a former commander of U.S. troops in
Europe. “Both of these would be severely damaging to America’s security.”
Reports have circulated since last May that the Trump administration wants
Greenland to sign a Compact of Free Association (COFA) — like those it currently
has with Micronesia, the Marshall Islands and Palau. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images
NATO would be left unable to respond, given that military action must be
approved unanimously and the U.S. is the key member of the alliance, but
European allies could deploy troops to Greenland via other groupings such as the
U.K.-Scandinavian Joint Expeditionary Force or the five-country Nordic Defence
Cooperation format, said Ed Arnold, a senior fellow at the Royal United Services
Institute.
But for now, NATO allies remain cool-headed about an attack. “We are still far
from that scenario,” said one senior alliance diplomat. “There could be some
tough negotiations, but I don’t think we are close to any hostile takeover.”
Max Griera, Gerardo Fortuna and Seb Starcevic contributed reporting.
LONDON — Dorian Gerhold already had his doubts about plans for a Holocaust
memorial in the heart of Westminster when he discovered something unexpected.
“I spent a morning at the London archives, and it was very easy to find that
there was actually an act of Parliament that said that the southern part of
Victoria Tower gardens could not be built on,” he recalled.
The retired parliamentary clerk, who for 33 years walked to work through the
small strip of green on the north side of the River Thames, had begun
researching the proposals for a memorial out of curiosity about how the site was
chosen.
His discovery in 2018 proved a serious setback to an initiative begun four years
earlier under David Cameron’s government, which set up a commission to plan a
monument to ensure that “in 50 years’ time the memory and lessons of the
Holocaust will be as strong and as vibrant as today.”
Twelve years and several changes of prime minister later, construction on the
site, on the north side of the River Thames, has not yet begun. Ministers were
forced to legislate to repeal the building ban discovered by Gerhold — and that
bill is still crawling its way through parliament.
Far from commanding national consensus, the endeavor has driven a wedge between
politicians, local residents and Jews in Britain.
Supporters believe the project has already been delayed for too long. They say
its completion is all the more urgent because the Holocaust is receding further
from living memory. But its vociferous critics fear the memorial will
oversimplify the U.K.’s relationship with its past, and fudge questions about
present-day antisemitism.
Martin Stern, who survived concentration camps at Westerbork and Theresienstadt,
told POLITICO there is “parochialism” to the way the Holocaust is remembered
today.
“I narrowly survived because, for some reason, my name and my sister’s name were
not on the list when children were being loaded for the train to Auschwitz. It’s
very close to me, but that doesn’t mean I want everybody just to be deeply
immersed in only about me.”
‘STRIKING AND PROMINENT’
There is almost no aspect of the memorial, which will feature 23 large bronze
fin structures and an underground learning center in the park next to the Palace
of Westminster, which isn’t contested.
Most hotly debated of all is the location. A site was not specified in the
original Commission report, which stated only that the new memorial should be
“striking and prominent.”
A year after the report, Cameron announced it would be built in Victoria Tower
Gardens to “show the importance Britain places on preserving the memory of the
Holocaust.”
The choice sparked consternation among local residents and users of the park,
who complained it would dominate the space and detract from its existing
monuments, the Burghers of Calais and a memorial to the anti-slavery campaigner
Richard Buxton.
There is almost no aspect of the memorial, which will feature 23 large bronze
fin structures and an underground learning center in the park next to the Palace
of Westminster, which isn’t contested. | Vuk Valcic/Sopa/Images/LightRocket via
Getty Images
After the government threw its weight behind the Westminster location, it was
subject to several legal challenges, which were decided against the site and
eventually necessitated legislation to override the relevant statute.
Others have criticised the placement on security grounds. Alex Carlile, a
lawyer, crossbench peer and former reviewer of counter-terror legislation, has
argued that placing it so close to parliament is a “lure to terrorists.”
The design and cost of the memorial have attracted further criticism. The
fin-like structure was devised by David Adjaye, a renowned British-Ghanaian
architect who has since faced allegations of sexual harassment, which he
denies.
Ruth Deech, a crossbench peer whose father arrived in Britain after fleeing
Poland at the start of the Second World War, said: “As soon I saw the design and
the concept, I felt instinctively it did not do honor to my grandparents, my
family, because the design is meaningless.”
“The Jewish tradition of remembering departed souls would be a light,” she
added. “That’s what you do for people who die. You don’t build something that
looks like a dinosaur’s rib cage.”
The memorial, which will be partly funded by the taxpayer with additional money
from donations, has ballooned in cost from an estimated £50 million at its
inception to £138.8 million in 2023.
HOW TO REMEMBER
The concept of a “learning center” has also proved to be a fraught one.
A year after the report, Cameron announced it would be built in Victoria Tower
Gardens to “show the importance Britain places on preserving the memory of the
Holocaust.” | Dan Kitwood/Getty Images
Stern balked at the term, arguing: “The concept of education is much deeper than
the concept of learning… If you’re having a center in London that is intended to
teach people about these things, to provide a national resource, it needs to be
much bigger.”
Deech warned that it will give “a very, very limited, almost misleading account
of Britain and the Holocaust when what we really need is an overall exposition
of a whole of Jewish life in Britain over 1,000 years.”
There was until recently a Jewish Museum based in north London, which closed its
doors two years ago due to lack of funds.
Opponents have raised concerns about the contents and focus of the learning
center — in particular, the prospect that it could become a more generalized
exhibit about genocides, which does not treat the Holocaust as distinct.
Members of the House of Lords recently passed an amendment designed to ensure it
would specifically commemorate the mass slaughter of Jews by the Nazis.
Discussions about how to enact this requirement are ongoing, according to one
person working on the bill, granted anonymity to speak freely — part of the
reason it has not yet been scheduled to return to parliament.
But Deech’s more fundamental fear is that the effect of the Westminster memorial
will be to “package the Holocaust in an airtight box — it was 80 years ago. It
was German. It was nothing to do with us. Much better today. And that is simply
not working anymore.”
At this point, the memorial’s historical focus smashes up against the present.
Some argue it will make present-day antisemitism worse, locating it conveniently
in the past while acting as a physical lightning rod for anti-Jewish hatred.
One lawyer, who has carried out research on legal challenges to the site and
asked to remain anonymous due to his other public duties, claimed it would
“protect the dead but not the living.”
URGENT CASE
Yet those who have been involved with the project from the beginning insist it
is all the more needed in light of the October 7, 2022 attacks on Israel and the
war in Gaza.
Eric Pickles, a Tory peer who until recently served as the U.K.’s special envoy
for post-Holocaust issues, said that the objection the memorial would not engage
with wider antisemitism “has no basis in reality.”
He told POLITICO the site would have “a great importance in terms of getting out
a very solid message against antisemitism” and would “ensure that the narrative
after the last survivor is gone is one that’s going to be built on truth and
honesty and verifiable fact.”
Pickles defended Victoria Tower Gardens as “exactly the right location, right
next to Parliament, because ultimately, the Holocaust shows you what happens
when governments decide to use all the resources of the state to kill their
citizens.”
He also stressed that opposition was not universal among local residents, and
mostly amounted to “special pleading” by people “who didn’t want this memorial
to be near their property.”
Olivia Marks-Woldman, chief executive of the Holocaust Memorial Day Trust,
highlighted the link between the function of the memorial and its location.
She said that “to have a physical, tangible memorial in the heart of London will
be a focal point for a lot of the learning and the commemorations and a reminder
of how the Holocaust impacted in Britain.”
Marks-Woldman resisted the idea that it will paint Britain’s wartime record in a
wholly positive light, pointing out that “while Kindertransportees have rebuilt
their lives here… their parents weren’t allowed in, and mostly their parents
were murdered.”
The long-running debate over the monument has perhaps touched on something wider
about the British fondness for raising objections, particularly over building
projects.
As Danny Finkelstein, a Conservative peer who has recently taken on American
far-right commentator Nick Fuentes, has written: “Really you can find some sort
of case against everything. Even against creating a small exhibition centre for
people to learn how bad the Nazis were.”
Barring a massive volte-face, plans for the memorial will clear their legal
hurdles this year and work will begin — but deep skepticism about the wisdom of
the project is unlikely to fade.
LONDON — They’re young, full of ideas — and about to be given the vote.
Britain’s government has committed to lowering the voting age from 18 to 16
years — a major extension of the electorate that could have big implications for
the outcome of the next race, expected by 2029.
It means Brits who are just 12 today are in line to vote in the next general
election, which is expected to be a fierce battle between incumbent Keir Starmer
and his right-wing challenger Nigel Farage.
But what do these young people actually think?
In a bid to start pinning down the views of this cohort, POLITICO commissioned
pollster More in Common to hold an in-depth focus group, grilling eight
youngsters from across the country on everything from social media
disinformation to what they would do inside No. 10 Downing Street. To protect
those taking part in the study, all names used below are pseudonymous.
The group all showed an interest in politics, and had strong views on major
topics such as immigration and climate change — but the majority were unaware
they would get the chance to vote in 2029.
In a bid to prepare the country for the change, the Electoral Commission has
recommended that the school curriculum be reformed to ensure compulsory teaching
on democracy and government from an early age.
GET YOUR ACT TOGETHER
There are few better introductions to the weird world of British politics than
prime minister’s questions, the weekly House of Commons clash between Prime
Minister Keir Starmer and his Conservative opponent Kemi Badenoch.
Our group of 12-13-year-olds was shown a clip of the clash and asked to rate
what they saw. They came away distinctly unimpressed.
Hanh, 13, from Surrey, said the pair seemed like children winding each other
up. “It seems really disrespectful in how they’re talking to each other,” she
commented. “It sounds like they’re actually kids bickering … They were just
going at each other, which didn’t seem very professional in my opinion.”
Sarah, 13, from Trowbridge in the west of England, said the leading politicians
were “acting like a pack of wild animals.” | Clive Brunskill/Getty Images
Sarah, 13, from Trowbridge in the west of England, said the leading politicians
were “acting like a pack of wild animals.”
In the clip, the Commons backbenches roar as Tory Leader Kemi Badenoch quips
about Starmer’s MPs wanting a new leader for Christmas. In turn, the PM
dismisses the Conservative chief’s performance as a “Muppet’s Christmas Carol.”
Twelve-year-old Holly, from Lincolnshire, said the pair were being “really
aggressive and really harsh on each other, which was definitely rude.”
And she said of the PM: “It weren’t really working out for Keir Starmer.”
None of the children knew who Badenoch was, but all knew Starmer — even if they
didn’t have particularly high opinions of the prime minister, who is tanking in
the polls and struggling to get his administration off the ground.
Twelve-year-old Alex said the “promises” Starmer had made were just “lies” to
get him into No. 10.
Sophie, a 12-year-old from Worcester in the West Midlands, was equally
withering, saying she thought the PM is doing a “bad job.”
“He keeps making all these promises, but he’s probably not even doing any of
them,” she added. “He just wants to show off and try to be cool, but he’s not
being cool because he’s breaking all the promises. He just wants all the money
and the job to make him look really good.”
Sarah said: “I think that it’s quite hard to keep all of those promises, and
he’s definitely bitten off more than he can chew with the fact that he’s only
made those statements because he wants to be voted for and he wants to be in
charge.”
While some of the young people referenced broken promises by Starmer, none
offered specifics.
THE FARAGE FACTOR
Although they didn’t know Badenoch as leader of the opposition, the whole room
nodded when asked if they knew who Nigel Farage was.
Although they didn’t know Badenoch as leader of the opposition, the whole room
nodded when asked if they knew who Nigel Farage was. | Dan Kitwood/Getty Images
“He’s the leader of the Reform party,” said Alex, whose favorite subject is
computing. “He promises lots of things and the opposite of what Starmer wants.
Instead of helping immigrants, he wants to kick them out. He wants to lower
taxes, wants to stop benefits.”
Alex added: “I like him.”
Sarah was much less taken. “I’ve heard that he’s the leader of the far right, or
he’s part of the far right. I think he’s quite a racist man.”
Farage has faced accusations in recent weeks of making racist remarks in his
school days. The Reform UK leader replied that he had “never directly racially
abused anybody.”
Other participants said they’d only heard Farage’s name before.
When asked who they would back if they were voting tomorrow, most children
shrugged and looked bewildered.
Only two of the group could name who they wanted to vote for — both Alex and Sam
backed Farage.
POLICY WORRIES
Politicians have long tried to reach Britain’s youngsters through questionable
TikTok videos and cringe memes — but there was much more going on in the minds
of this group than simply staring at phones. Climate change, mental health and
homelessness were dominant themes of the conversation.
Climate change is “dangerous because the polar bears will die,” warned Chris,
13, from Manchester. Sophie, who enjoys horse riding, is worried about habitats
being destroyed and animals having to find new homes as a result of climate
change, while Sarah is concerned about rising sea levels.
Thirteen-year-old Ravi from Liverpool said his main focus was homelessness. “I
know [the government is] building houses, but maybe speed the process up and get
homeless people off the streets as quick as they can because it’s not nice
seeing them on the streets begging,” he said.
Sam agreed, saying if he personally made it into No.10, he would make sure
“everyone has food, water, all basic survival stuff.”
Sarah’s main ask was for better mental health care amid a strained National
Health Service. “The NHS is quite busy dealing with mental health, anxiety and
things like that,” she said. “Maybe we should try and make an improvement with
that so everyone gets a voice and everyone’s heard.”
IMMIGRATION DIVISIONS
When the conversation moved to the hot-button topic of immigration, views were
more sharply divided.
Imagining what he’d do in government, Alex said he’d focus on “lowering taxes
and stopping illegal immigrants from coming over.”
“Because we’re paying France billions just to stop them, but they’re not doing
anything,” he said. “And also it’s spending all the tax money on them to give
them home meals, stuff like that.”
In July, Starmer and France’s Emmanuel Macron unveiled a “one in, one out” pilot
program to tackle illegal migration, although it’s enjoyed limited success so
far and has generated some embarrassing headlines for the British government.
Hanh said she’d been taught at school that it’s important to show empathy, but
noted some people are angry about taxes going to support asylum seekers. Chris
and Sarah both said asylum seekers are fleeing war, and seemed uneasy at the
thought of drawing a hard line.
Holly said she wants “racism” — which she believes is tied to conversations
about immigration — to end.
“I often hear a lot of racism [at school] and prejudice-type stuff … I often
hear the N word. People don’t understand how bad that word is and how it can
affect people,” she said. “They [migrants] have moved away from something to get
safer, and then they get more hate.”
Hanh said she is seeing more anti-immigration messages on social media, such as
“why are you in my country, get out,” she said. “Then that’s being dragged into
school by students who are seeing this … it’s coming into school environment,
which is not good for learning.”
NEWS SNOOZE
Look away now, journalists: The group largely agreed that the news is boring.
Some listen in when their parents have the television or radio on, but all said
they get most of their news from social media or the odd push alert.
Asked why they think the news is so dull, Hanh — who plays field hockey and
enjoys art at school — said: “It just looks really boring to look at, there are
no cool pictures or any funny things or fun colors. It just doesn’t look like
something I’d be interested in.”
She said she prefers social media: “With TikTok, you can interact with stuff and
look at comments and see other people’s views, [but with the news] you just see
evidence and you see all these facts. Sometimes it can be about really
disturbing stuff like murder and stuff like that. If it’s going to pop up with
that, I don’t really want to watch that.”
These children aren’t alone in pointing to social media as their preferred
source of news. A 2025 report by communications watchdog Ofcom found that 57
percent of 12-15-year-olds consume news on social media, with TikTok being the
most commonly used platform, followed by YouTube and then Instagram.
Sophie isn’t convinced that the news is for her.
“Sometimes if my parents put it on the TV and it’s about something that’s really
bad that’s happened, then I’ll definitely look at it,” she said. “But otherwise,
I think it would probably be more for older people because they would like to
watch basically whatever’s on the TV because they can’t really be bothered to
change the channel.”
HOW DO BULGARIANS FEEL ABOUT JOINING THE EURO?
The Balkan nation is sharply divided about bidding farewell to the lev.
Text by BORYANA DZHAMBAZOVA
Photos by DOBRIN KASHAVELOV
in Pernik, Bulgaria
Bulgaria is set to adopt the EU’s single currency on Jan. 1, but polling shows
the Balkan nation is sharply divided on whether it’s a good thing.
POLITICO spoke to some Bulgarians about their fears and hopes, as they say
goodbye to their national currency, the lev. Their comments have been edited for
length.
ANTON TEOFILOV, 73
Vendor at the open-air market in Pernik, a small city 100 kilometers from Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
We are a different generation, but we support the euro. We’ll benefit hugely
from joining the eurozone. It will make paying anywhere in the EU easy and
hassle-free. It would be great for both the economy and the nation. You can
travel, do business, do whatever you want using a single currency — no more
hassle or currency exchanges. You can go to Greece and buy a bottle of ouzo with
the same currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I don’t expect any turbulence — from January on we would just pay in euros. No
one is complaining about the price tags in euros, and in lev at the moment.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
The lev is a wonderful thing, but its time has passed; that’s just how life
works. It will be much better for the economy to adopt the euro. It will be so
much easier to share a common currency with the other EU countries.
Now, if you go to Greece, as many Bulgarians do, you need to exchange money.
After January – wherever you need to make a payment – either going to the store,
or to buy produce for our business, it would be one and the same.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to explain things more clearly to those who are confused. We are
a people who often need a lot of convincing, and on top of that, we’re a divided
nation.
If you ask me, we need to get rid of half the MPs in Parliament – they receive
hefty salaries and are a burden to taxpayers, like parasites, without doing any
meaningful work.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
There are 27 member states, and we will become one with them. There will be no
difference between Germany and us—we’ll be much closer to Europe.
I remember the 1990s, when you needed to fill out endless paperwork just to
travel, let alone to work abroad. I spent a year working in construction in
Germany, and getting all the permits and visas was a major headache. Now things
are completely different, and joining the eurozone is another step toward that
openness.
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PETYA SPASOVA, 55
Orthopedic doctor in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
It worries me a lot. I don’t think this is the right moment for Bulgaria to join
the eurozone. First, the country is politically very unstable, and the eurozone
itself faces serious problems. As the poorest EU member state, we won’t be
immune to those issues. On the contrary, they will only deepen the crisis here.
The war in Ukraine, the growing debt in Germany and France … now we’d be sharing
the debts of the whole of Europe. We are adopting the euro at a time when
economies are strained, and that will lead to serious disruptions and a higher
cost of living.
I don’t understand why the state insists so strongly on joining the eurozone. I
don’t think we’re ready.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Even now, when you go to the store and look at the price of bread or other basic
foods, we see prices climbing. I’m afraid many people will end up living in
extreme poverty. We barely produce anything; we’re a country built on services.
When people get poorer, they naturally start consuming less.
I’m not worried about myself or my family. We live in Sofia, where there are
more job opportunities and higher salaries. I’m worried about people in general.
Every day I see patients who can’t even afford the travel costs to come to Sofia
for medical check-ups.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m extremely worried. I don’t want to relive the economic crisis of the 90s,
when the country was on the verge of bankruptcy.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
No one cares what people think. Many countries held referendums and decided not
to join the eurozone. I don’t believe our politicians can do anything at this
point. I’m not even sure they know what needs to be done.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I feel offended when I hear this question. We’ve been part of Europe for a very
long time, long before many others. We can exchange best practices in culture,
science, education, and more, but that has nothing to do with the eurozone.
Joining can only bring trouble.
I remember years ago when I actually hoped Bulgaria would enter the eurozone.
But that was a different Europe. Now things are deteriorating; the spirit of a
united Europe is gone. I don’t want to be part of this Europe.
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SVETOSLAV BONINSKI, 53
Truck driver from Gabrovo, a small city in central Bulgaria
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I’m against Bulgaria joining the eurozone. We saw how Croatia and Greece sank
into debt once they adopted the euro. I don’t want Bulgaria to go down the same
path. Greece had to take a huge loan to bail out its economy. When they still
had the drachma, their economy was strong and stable. After entering the
eurozone, many big companies were forced to shut down and inflation went through
the roof. Even the German economy is experiencing a downturn..
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I worry that there will be speculation and rising inflation. Five years ago, I
used to buy cigarettes in Slovakia at prices similar to Bulgaria. Now I can’t
find anything cheaper than €5 per pack. They saw their prices rise after the
introduction of the euro. We’ll repeat the Slovakia scenario.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
We can already feel that things won’t end well — prices have gone up
significantly, just like in Croatia. I’m afraid that even in the first year
wages won’t be able to compensate for the rise in prices, and people will become
even more impoverished. I expect the financial situation to worsen. Our
government isn’t taking any responsibility for that.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
I hope they will make an effort. We are completely ill-equipped to adopt the
euro—all the stats and figures the government presents are lies. We must wait
until the country is ready to manage the euro as a currency. We’re doing fine
with the lev. We should wait for the economy to grow and for wages to catch up
with the rest of Europe.
The only thing the state could do to ease the process is to step down. The
current government is interested in entering the eurozone only to receive large
amounts of funding, most of which they will probably pocket themselves. The
Bulgarian lev is very stable, unlike the euro, which is quite an unstable
currency. All the eurozone countries are burdened with trillions in debt, while
those outside it are doing quite well.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I don’t think so. We’ve been part of Europe for a long time. The only difference
now will be that Brussels will tell us what to do and will control our budget
and spending. Brussels will be in charge from now on. No good awaits us. Elderly
people won’t receive decent pensions and will work until we drop dead.
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NATALI ILIEVA, 20
Political science student from Pernik
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I see it as a step forward for us. It’s a positive development for both society
and the country. I expect that joining the eurozone will help the economy grow
and position Bulgaria more firmly within Europe. For ordinary people, it will
make things easier, especially when traveling, since we’ll be using the same
currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
The transition period might be difficult at first. I don’t think the change of
currency will dramatically affect people’s daily lives – after all, under the
currency board, the lev has been pegged to the euro for years. Some people are
worried that prices might rise, and this is where the state must step in to
monitor the situation, prevent abuse, and make the transition as smooth as
possible.
As part of my job at the youth center, I travel a lot in Europe. Being part of
the eurozone would make travel much more convenient. My life would be so much
easier! I wouldn’t have to worry about carrying euros in cash or paying
additional fees when withdrawing money abroad, or wondering: Did I take the
right debit card in euros?
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m more concerned that the issue will be politicized by certain parties to
further polarize society. Joining the eurozone is a logical next step – we
agreed to it by default when we joined the bloc in 2007. There is so much
disinformation circulating on social media that it’s hard for some people to see
the real facts and distinguish what’s true from what’s not.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to launch an information campaign to make the transition as
smooth as possible. Authorities should explain what the change of currency means
for people in a clear and accessible way. You don’t need elaborate language to
communicate what’s coming, especially when some radical parties are aggressively
spreading anti-euro and anti-EU rhetoric.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Yes, I think it will help the country become better integrated into Europe. In
the end, I believe people will realize that joining the eurozone will be worth
it.
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YANA TANKOVSKA, 47
Jewelry artist based in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
If you ask me, the eurozone is on the verge of collapse, and now we have decided
to join? I don’t think it’s a good idea. In theory, just like communism, the
idea of a common currency union might sound good, but in practice it doesn’t
really work out. I have friends working and living abroad [in eurozone
countries], and things are not looking up for regular people, even in Germany.
We all thought we would live happily as members of the bloc, but that’s not the
reality.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I expect the first half of next year to be turbulent. But we are used to
surviving, so we will adapt yet again. Personally, we might have to trim some
expenses, go out less, and make sure the family budget holds. I make jewelry, so
I’m afraid I’ll have fewer clients, since they will also have to cut back.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m terribly worried. The state promises there won’t be a jump in prices and
that joining the eurozone won’t negatively affect the economy. But over the past
two years the cost of living has risen significantly, and I don’t see that trend
reversing. For example, in the last three years real estate prices have doubled.
There isn’t a single person who isn’t complaining about rising costs.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
There is nothing they can do at this point. Politicians do not really protect
Bulgaria’s interests on this matter. The issue is not only about joining the
eurozone but about protecting our national interests. I just want them to have
people’s well-being at heart. Maybe we need to hit rock bottom to finally see
meaningful change.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Not really. That’s up to us, not to Europe. I just want Bulgarian politicians to
finally start creating policies for the sake of society, not just enriching
themselves, to act in a way that would improve life for everyone.
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KATARINA NIKOLIC, 49, AND METODI METODIEV, 53
Business partners at a ‘gelateria’ in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
Metodi: For a small business like ours, I don’t think it will make much
difference, as long as the transition to the new currency is managed smoothly. I
can only see a positive impact on the economy if things are done right. I’m a
bit saddened to say farewell to the Bulgarian lev — it’s an old currency with
its own history — but times are changing, and this is a natural step for an EU
member.
Katarina: I have lived in Italy which adopted the euro a long time ago. Based on
my experience there, I don’t expect any worrying developments related to price
increases or inflation. On the contrary, joining the eurozone in January can
only be interpreted as a sign of trust from the European Commission and could
bring more economic stability to Bulgaria. I also think it will increase
transparency, improve financial supervision, and provide access to cheaper
loans.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Metodi: I don’t think there will be any difference for our business whether
we’re paying in euros or in leva. We’ve been an EU member state for a while now
and we’re used to working with both local and international suppliers. It will
just take some getting used to switching to one currency for another. But we are
already veterans — Bulgarian businesses are very adaptive — from dealing with
renominations and all sorts of economic reforms.
I’m just concerned that it might be challenging for some elderly people to adapt
to the new currency and they might need some support and more information.
Katarina: For many people, it will take time to get used to seeing a new
currency, but they will adapt. For me, it’s nothing new. Since I lived in Italy,
where the euro is used, I automatically convert to euros whenever Metodi and I
discuss business.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
Metodi: The decision has already been taken, so let’s make the best of it and
ensure a smooth transition. I haven’t exchanged money when traveling in at least
10 years. I just use my bank card to pay or withdraw cash if I need any.
Katarina: I remember that some people in Italy also predicted disaster when the
euro was introduced, and many were nostalgic about the lira. But years later,
Italy is still a stable economy. I think our international partners will look at
us differently once we are part of the eurozone.
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What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
Metodi: I think the authorities are already taking measures to make sure prices
don’t rise and that businesses don’t round conversions upward unfairly. For
example, we may have to slightly increase the price of our ice cream in January.
I feel a bit awkward about it because I don’t want people to say, “Look, they’re
taking advantage of the euro adoption to raise prices.” But honestly, we haven’t
adjusted our prices since we opened three years ago.
I’m actually very impressed by how quickly and smoothly small businesses and
market sellers have adopted double pricing [marking prices in lev and euros]. I
know how much work that requires, especially if you’re a small business owner.
Katarina: It’s crucial that the state doesn’t choke small businesses with
excessive demands but instead supports them. I believe that helping small
businesses grow should be a key focus of the government, not just supervising
the currency swap. My hope is that the euro will help the Bulgarian economy
thrive. I love Bulgaria and want to see it flourish. I’m a bit more optimistic
than Metodi, I think the best is yet to come.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Metodi: I think so. Despite some criticism, good things are happening in the
country, no matter who is in power. We need this closeness to truly feel part of
Europe.
Katarina: The euro is a financial and economic instrument. Adopting it won’t
change national cultural identity, Bulgarians will keep their culture. I’m a
true believer in Europe, and I think it’s more important than ever to have a
united continent. As an Italian and Serbian citizen, I really appreciate that
borders are open and that our children can choose where to study and work. In
fact, our gelateria is a great example of international collaboration: we have
people from several different countries in the team.
The Department of Education said Monday that the Trump administration will begin
to garnish earnings from student loan borrowers in January.
This is the first time borrowers’ paychecks will be at risk since pandemic-era
policies paused payments in March 2020.
Starting the week of January 7, around 1,000 borrowers in default will get
notices of their status. The number of notices will increase every month
throughout 2026, according to an email from the Education Department reviewed by
several news organizations.
According to quarterly reports from the Education Department, as of June 30,
there were about 5.3 million borrowers in default.
An individual is in default on their student loans if they have not made a
payment in over 270 days. After this deadline, the Treasury Department can
collect the debt by ordering an employer to withhold up to 15 percent of a
borrower’s pay and taking income tax refunds and federal payments like Social
Security benefits. The Education Department must notify people in default 30
days before taking their wages. During that window, people can request a hearing
to challenge the order or negotiate repayment terms.
Earnings can be withheld until the loan is paid in full or the individual is
removed from default status, but the New York Times reported that the Monday
email from the Education Department did not say how much would be deducted from
wages.
This past April, when the department announced it would resume collecting
defaulted student loans, it said that 4 million borrowers are in late-state
delinquency, meaning they had not made a payment in 91-180 days. “As a result
there could be almost 10 million borrowers in default in a few months.”
“American taxpayers will no longer be forced to serve as collateral for
irresponsible student loan policies,” U.S. Secretary of Education Linda McMahon
said at the time.
In May, the Trump administration restarted taking tax refunds and Social
Security benefits.
This comes at a horrible time for borrowers. As I reported last week, the 20
million-plus people enrolled in the Affordable Care Act’s health insurance
marketplace will experience huge spikes in premium costs. Additionally, two
weeks ago, the Education Department ended Biden’s student loan forgiveness
program for being too generous.
But as McMahon said in April, the Department of Education will help “borrowers
return to repayment—both for the sake of their own financial health and our
nation’s economic outlook.”
Hundreds of EU officials’ children face upheaval and uncertainty as a major
campus of the European School system in Brussels prepares to move pupils to a
temporary location due to chronic overcrowding and repeated delays to the
construction of a new school.
Created in 1953 to educate the children of European officials, the European
School system is facing severe overcrowding. The four Brussels campuses serve
more than 14,600 pupils. The European School Brussels II in Woluwe — built for
2,500 children in 1974 — now hosts almost 4,000.
To solve this, the Woluwe school, also called EEB2, plans to temporarily
relocate all its nursery and primary school students to a newer site in Evere,
near NATO headquarters, in 2026 until the Belgian authorities build a
long-promised fifth campus in Neder-Over-Heembeek, on the northern outskirts of
Brussels.
But the construction of the new campus, first announced a decade ago, has been
repeatedly delayed, with no clear assurances from the Belgian government on when
or even if it will be built. To make matters worse, the permit for the interim
campus in Evere expires in 2027.
“Parents are very worried because we just see empty promises,” said the mother
of a secondary pupil in Woluwe.
POLITICO spoke to seven parents, all members of the Woluwe parents’ association
APEEE. They were granted anonymity to speak freely, as several expressed
concerns that publicly identifying themselves could invite negative
repercussions from school authorities.
CHRONIC OVERCROWDING MEETS DELAYED EXPANSION
The European Schools network, funded mainly by the European Commission, was
created to educate children of officials working for European institutions —
free of charge — leading to the European Baccalaureate, a diploma granting
university access across all EU member countries and several other nations.
There are 13 schools spread across the EU. Students attend classes in their
mother tongue, so they can easily reintegrate into their national school systems
if needed.
Brussels’ role as the EU capital drew many Eurocrats with young families. But
campus capacity struggled to keep pace. “We have daily health, safety and
well-being risks due to overcrowding,” Secretary-General of the European Schools
Andreas Beckmann, who is the schools’ senior executive, said.
To ease the overcrowding, the organization opened a new campus in Evere in 2021,
initially conceived as the site for a future fifth school. After that project
was reassigned to Neder-Over-Heembeek, Evere became a temporary base for some
kindergarten and primary school kids from the Woluwe school.
Meanwhile, the new fifth campus, originally due to be completed by 2028, has
been pushed to 2030 and, even then, there’s no guarantee it will be built.
The responsibility for building the new school rests with the Régie des
Bâtiments, Belgium’s public buildings authority. Its spokesperson, Sylvie
Decraecker, said in an email that it cannot proceed without funding from the
federal government, which governs how Belgium finances infrastructure for
international institutions it hosts.
The Evere campus is near NATO’s former headquarters, and the area retains
security infrastructure. A mother of two pupils, who works at the Commission,
said: “It’s a bit scary, especially given the current geopolitical climate.” |
iStock
Two letters seen by POLITICO — from former Prime Minister Alexander De Croo to
former European Budget Commissioner Johannes Hahn in June 2024, and from Belgian
Ambassador to NATO François de Kerchove to the schools’ Secretary-General
Beckmann in February 2025 — acknowledge parents’ worries and reaffirm Belgium’s
“well-established tradition” of supporting the European Schools, but offer no
guarantees of a fifth school. Parents had raised their concerns with Hahn and
Beckmann, who in turn wrote to De Croo and de Kerchove.
“If we do not plan now, this is a disaster in the making for later,” said Pim
Gesquiere, president of the Woluwe APEEE.
A CAMPUS ON BORROWED TIME
Adding to parents’ unease, the Evere campus’ permit expires in March 2027. Urban
planning documents show a new road cutting through the school grounds as part of
the PAD Défense redevelopment plan, a master plan for infrastructure and
security upgrades near NATO headquarters.
However, Decraecker said that a request to extend the permit until 2037 is
expected to receive final approval by the end of 2026. “This extension would
require adapting the playground at the rear of the site in order to allow, when
the time comes, for the creation of a new roadway serving the future
neighborhood,” she said.
“Regarding the modification of road infrastructure, the school’s management has
been informed of this prospect. Although this is not ideal for day-to-day
operations, the management appears willing to accept this constraint,” she
added.
It’s not a new predicament for the European Schools. In Frankfurt, European
Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently called it “embarrassing” that
local authorities still hadn’t found space for a new European School to ease
overcrowding. “We can’t move from container to container to potato field,” she
said.
Beckmann and EEB2 Director Kamila Malik acknowledged the structural problems,
but defended the anticipated move as a short-term necessity to ease overcrowding
and ensure safety. They said they hope using Evere to its full capacity will
pressure Belgium to finally start building the fifth school.
OF BARRACKS, SECURITY CHECKS AND BAD AIR
The Evere campus is located near NATO’s former headquarters, which was
repurposed in 2020 to host Belgium’s largest terrorism trials following the
attacks at Zaventem Airport and Brussels’ Maelbeek metro station in March 2016.
The area retains much of its security infrastructure: fenced perimeters,
surveillance systems and limited green space, with traffic regularly slowed by
security checks around NATO’s current headquarters, located just across the
street.
Parents argued these conditions make the site unsuitable for young children.
“This is not where children should grow up, this is not a school,” said the
mother of two kids who will be affected by the move.
Some parents are even considering working part-time or returning to their home
countries because of the move. “We moved here because of my job, but I don’t
want my kids to grow up in a site surrounded by barbed wire and in barracks,”
said the mother of one primary pupil.
The campus’ high-profile neighbor is not welcome, either.
“You’re in the middle of NATO’s defense area. It’s a bit scary, especially given
the current geopolitical climate,” said a mother of two students, who currently
works at the European Commission. “Inside the Commission, we get all sorts of
briefings about drones and defense threats. It’s not unreasonable to think it
could be a target.”
It’s not just the surroundings that are less than ideal. A 2024 Brussels SIRANE
air-quality study also found the Evere campus had the worst air quality of any
primary school location in the region. EEB2 Director Malik countered that the
school did its own testing and the results were “very, very good” and “much
better than in central Brussels.” POLITICO was denied access to the full report.
Families are also struggling with logistics, with children split between Evere
and Woluwe — it would take about 15 minutes by bicycle or 40 minutes by public
transport to get from one to the other. Parents noted that most of them are
expatriates who moved for EU jobs, leaving family support networks behind. “You
are dependent on having all your kids in one location, on the bus service, on
the garderie [daycare] … it is not helpful when your kids are being moved,” said
one parent.
STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS PERSIST
From the outside, the European Schools seem like a privileged enclave. But the
system is stretched to its limits.
The schools’ complex governance structure, split between the EU and national
bodies, means “everyone decides, and no one decides … everyone will always find
someone else to blame,” said the mother of a student in primary and one in
secondary. They also complained that decisions are made behind closed doors and
without proper consultations with parents.
Beckmann rejected the accusations of not sticking to promises, explaining that
the relocation clause had always been subject to review in 2024 and that
decisions were made collectively.
Meanwhile, a Human Rights Watch (HRW) study conducted in five European Schools
between September and November 2018 found that children with disabilities were
often not provided with adequate accommodation to allow them to learn in an
inclusive environment. The report did not specify which schools were reviewed.
Teachers have also raised concerns over employment conditions at the European
Schools. Between February and March this year, staff in Brussels staged several
strikes to demand equal rights for locally recruited teachers, who face
precarious contracts, lack job stability and have no union representation.
To address job-security concerns, Beckmann said that the Board of Governors
decided to provide staff that have worked in the system for more than eight
years with permanent contracts. Regarding the salary concerns, he said the
system is also looking into it, but argued that the European Schools in Belgium
already offer “more than competitive” salaries compared with national schools.
But for many Brussels parents, it may not be enough. “The whole history of
overcrowding in the European Schools is about inadequate planning,” said
Gesquiere. “And the children are the ones caught in the middle.”
Thirty-six million Europeans — including more than one million in the Nordics[1]
— live with a rare disease.[2] For patients and their families, this is not just
a medical challenge; it is a human rights issue.
Diagnostic delays mean years of worsening health and needless suffering. Where
treatments exist, access is far from guaranteed. Meanwhile, breakthroughs in
genomics, AI and targeted therapies are transforming what is possible in health
care. But without streamlined systems, innovations risk piling up at the gates
of regulators, leaving patients waiting.
Even the Nordics, which have some of the strongest health systems in the world,
struggle to provide fair and consistent access for rare-disease patients.
Expectations should be higher.
THE BURDEN OF DELAY
The toll of rare diseases is profound. People living with them report
health-related quality-of-life scores 32 percent lower than those without.
Economically, the annual cost per patient in Europe — including caregivers — is
around €121,900.[3]
> Across Europe, the average time for diagnosis is six to eight years, and
> patients continue to face long waits and uneven access to medications.
In Sweden, the figure is slightly lower at €118,000, but this is still six times
higher than for patients without a rare disease. Most of this burden (65
percent) is direct medical costs, although non-medical expenses and lost
productivity also weigh heavily. Caregivers, for instance, lose almost 10 times
more work hours than peers supporting patients without a rare disease.[4]
This burden can be reduced. European patients with access to an approved
medicine face average annual costs of €107,000.[5]
Yet delays remain the norm. Across Europe, the average time for diagnosis is six
to eight years, and patients continue to face long waits and uneven access to
medications. With health innovation accelerating, each new therapy risks
compounding inequity unless access pathways are modernized.
PROGRESS AND REMAINING BARRIERS
Patients today have a better chance than ever of receiving a diagnosis — and in
some cases, life-changing therapies. The Nordics in particular are leaders in
integrated research and clinical models, building world-class diagnostics and
centers of excellence.
> Without reform, patients risk being left behind.
But advances are not reaching everyone who needs them. Systemic barriers
persist:
* Disparities across Europe: Less than 10 percent of rare-disease patients have
access to an approved treatment.[6] According to the Patients W.A.I.T.
Indicator (2025), there are stark differences in access to new orphan
medicines (or drugs that target rare diseases).[7] Of the 66 orphan medicines
approved between 2020 and 2023, the average number available across Europe
was 28. Among the Nordics, only Denmark exceeded this with 34.
* Fragmented decision-making: Lengthy health technology assessments, regional
variation and shifting political priorities often delay or restrict access.
Across Europe, patients wait a median of 531 days from marketing
authorization to actual availability. For many orphan drugs, the wait is even
longer. In some countries, such as Norway and Poland, reimbursement decisions
take more than two years, leaving patients without treatment while the burden
of disease grows.[8]
* Funding gaps: Despite more therapies on the market and greater technology to
develop them, orphan medicines account for just 6.6 percent of pharmaceutical
budgets and 1.2 percent of health budgets in Europe. Nordic countries —
Sweden, Norway and Finland — spend a smaller share than peers such as France
or Belgium. This reflects policy choices, not financial capacity.[9]
If Europe struggles with access today, it risks being overwhelmed tomorrow.
Rare-disease patients — already facing some of the longest delays — cannot
afford for systems to fall farther behind.
EASING THE BOTTLENECKS
Policymakers, clinicians and patient advocates across the Nordics agree: the
science is moving faster than the systems built to deliver it. Without reform,
patients risk being left behind just as innovation is finally catching up to
their needs. So what’s required?
* Governance and reforms: Across the Nordics, rare-disease policy remains
fragmented and time-limited. National strategies often expire before
implementation, and responsibilities are divided among ministries, agencies
and regional authorities. Experts stress that governments must move beyond
pilot projects to create permanent frameworks — with ring-fenced funding,
transparent accountability and clear leadership within ministries of health —
to ensure sustained progress.
* Patient organizations: Patient groups remain a driving force behind
awareness, diagnosis and access, yet most operate on short-term or
volunteer-based funding. Advocates argue that stable, structural support —
including inclusion in formal policy processes and predictable financing — is
critical to ensure patient perspectives shape decision-making on access,
research and care pathways.
* Health care pathways: Ann Nordgren, chair of the Rare Disease Fund and
professor at Karolinska Institutet, notes that although Sweden has built a
strong foundation — including Centers for Rare Diseases, Advanced Therapy
(ATMP) and Precision Medicine Centers, and membership in all European
Reference Networks — front-line capacity remains underfunded. “Government and
hospital managements are not providing resources to enable health care
professionals to work hands-on with diagnostics, care and education,” she
explains. “This is a big problem.” She adds that comprehensive rare-disease
centers, where paid patient representatives collaborate directly with
clinicians and researchers, would help bridge the gap between care and lived
experience.
* Research and diagnostics: Nordgren also points to the need for better
long-term investment in genomic medicine and data infrastructure. Sweden is a
leader in diagnostics through Genomic Medicine Sweden and SciLifeLab, but
funding for advanced genomic testing, especially for adults, remains limited.
“Many rare diseases still lack sufficient funding for basic and translational
research,” she says, leading to delays in identifying genetic causes and
developing targeted therapies. She argues for a national health care data
platform integrating electronic records, omics (biological) data and
patient-reported outcomes — built with semantic standards such as openEHR and
SNOMED CT — to enable secure sharing, AI-driven discovery and patient access
to their own data
DELIVERING BREAKTHROUGHS
Breakthroughs are coming. The question is whether Europe will be ready to
deliver them equitably and at speed, or whether patients will continue to wait
while therapies sit on the shelf.
There is reason for optimism. The Nordic region has the talent, infrastructure
and tradition of fairness to set the European benchmark on rare-disease care.
But leadership requires urgency, and collaboration across the EU will be
essential to ensure solutions are shared and implemented across borders.
The need for action is clear:
* Establish long-term governance and funding for rare-disease infrastructure.
* Provide stable, structural support for patient organizations.
* Create clearer, better-coordinated care pathways.
* Invest more in research, diagnostics and equitable access to innovative
treatments.
Early access is not only fair — it is cost-saving. Patients treated earlier
incur lower indirect and non-medical costs over time.[10] Inaction, by contrast,
compounds the burden for patients, families and health systems alike.
Science will forge ahead. The task now is to sustain momentum and reform systems
so that no rare-disease patient in the Nordics, or anywhere in Europe, is left
waiting.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1]
https://nordicrarediseasesummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/25.02-Nordic-Roadmap-for-Rare-Diseases.pdf
[2]
https://nordicrarediseasesummit.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/25.02-Nordic-Roadmap-for-Rare-Diseases.pdf
[3]
https://media.crai.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28114611/CRA-Alexion-Quantifying-the-Burden-of-RD-in-Europe-Full-report-October2024.pdf
[4]
https://media.crai.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28114611/CRA-Alexion-Quantifying-the-Burden-of-RD-in-Europe-Full-report-October2024.pdf
[5]
https://media.crai.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28114611/CRA-Alexion-Quantifying-the-Burden-of-RD-in-Europe-Full-report-October2024.pdf
[6]
https://www.theparliamentmagazine.eu/partner/article/a-competitive-and-innovationled-europe-starts-with-rare-diseases?
[7]
https://www.iqvia.com/-/media/iqvia/pdfs/library/publications/efpia-patients-wait-indicator-2024.pdf
[8]
https://www.iqvia.com/-/media/iqvia/pdfs/library/publications/efpia-patients-wait-indicator-2024.pdf
[9]
https://copenhageneconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Copenhagen-Economics_Spending-on-OMPs-across-Europe.pdf
[10]
https://media.crai.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28114611/CRA-Alexion-Quantifying-the-Burden-of-RD-in-Europe-Full-report-October2024.pdf
Disclaimer
POLITICAL ADVERTISEMENT
* The sponsor is Alexion Pharmaceuticals
* The entity ultimately controlling the sponsor: AstraZeneca plc
* The political advertisement is linked to policy advocacy around rare disease
governance, funding, and equitable access to diagnosis and treatment across
Europe
More information here.