LONDON — Choosing your Brexit camp was once the preserve of Britain’s Tories.
Now Labour is joining in the fun.
Six years after Britain left the EU, a host of loose — and mostly overlapping —
groupings in the U.K.’s ruling party are thinking about precisely how close to
try to get to the bloc.
They range from customs union enthusiasts to outright skeptics — with plenty of
shades of grey in between.
There’s a political urgency to all of this too: with Prime Minister Keir Starmer
tanking in the polls, the Europhile streak among many Labour MPs and members
means Brexit could become a key issue for anyone who would seek to replace him.
“The more the screws and pressure have been on Keir around leadership, the more
we’ve seen that play to the base,” said one Labour MP, granted anonymity like
others quoted in this piece to speak frankly. Indeed, Starmer started the new
year explicitly talking up closer alignment with the European Union’s single
market.
At face value, nothing has changed: Starmer’s comments reflect his existing
policy of a “reset” with Brussels. His manifesto red lines on not rejoining
the customs union or single market remain. Most of his MPs care more about
aligning than how to get there. In short, this is not like the Tory wars of the
late 2010s.
Well, not yet. POLITICO sketches out Labour’s nascent Brexit tribes.
THE CUSTOMS UNIONISTS
It all started with a Christmas walk. Health Secretary Wes Streeting told an
interviewer he desires a “deeper trading relationship” with the EU — widely
interpreted as hinting at joining a customs union.
This had been a whispered topic in Labour circles for a while, discussed
privately by figures including Starmer’s economic adviser Minouche Shafik.
Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy said last month that rejoining a customs union
is not “currently” government policy — which some took as a hint that the
position could shift.
But Streeting’s leadership ambitions (he denies plotting for the top job) and
his willingness to describe Brexit as a problem gave his comments an elevated
status among Labour Europhiles.
“This has really come from Wes’s leadership camp,” said one person who talks
regularly to No. 10 Downing Street. Naomi Smith, CEO of the pro-EU pressure
group Best for Britain, added any Labour leadership contest will be dominated by
the Brexit question. MPs and members who would vote in a race “are even further
ahead than the public average on all of those issues relating to Europe,” she
argued.
Joining a customs union would in theory allow smoother trade without returning
to free movement of people. But Labour critics of a customs union policy —
including Starmer himself — argue it is a non-starter because it would mean
tearing up post-Brexit agreements with other countries such as India and the
U.S. “It’s just absolutely nonsense,” said a second Labour MP.
Keir Starmer has argued that the customs union route would mean hard
conversations with workers in the car industry after Britain secured a U.K.-U.S.
tariff deal last summer. | Colin McPherson/Getty Images
And since Streeting denies plotting and did not even mention a customs union by
name, the identities of the players pushing for one are understandably murky
beyond the 13 Labour MPs who backed a Liberal Democrat bill last month requiring
the government to begin negotiations on joining a bespoke customs union with the
EU.
One senior Labour official said “hardly any” MPs back it, while a minister said
there was no organized group, only a vague idea. “There are people who don’t
really know what it is, but realize Brexit has been painful and the economy
needs a stimulus,” they said. “And there are people who do know what this means
and they effectively want to rejoin. For people who know about trade, this is an
absolute non-starter.”
Anand Menon, director of the UK in a Changing Europe think tank, said a full
rejoining of the EU customs union would mean negotiating round a suite of
“add-ons” — and no nations have secured this without also being in the EU single
market. (Turkey has a customs union with the EU, but does not benefit from the
EU’s wider trade agreements.) “I’m not convinced the customs union works without
the single market,” Menon added.
Starmer has argued that the customs union route would mean hard conversations
with workers in the car industry after Britain secured a U.K.-U.S. tariff deal
last summer, a person with knowledge of his thinking said.
“When you read anything from any economically literate commentator, the customs
union is not their go-to,” added the senior Labour official quoted above. “Keir
is really strong on it. He fully believes it isn’t a viable route in the
national interest or economic interest.”
THE SINGLE MARKETEERS (A.K.A. THE GOVERNMENT)
Starmer and his allies, then, want to park the customs union and get closer to
the single market.
Paymaster General Nick Thomas-Symonds has long led negotiations along these
lines through Labour’s existing EU “reset.” He and Starmer recently discussed
post-Brexit policy on a walk through the grounds of the PM’s country retreat,
Chequers.
Working on the detail with Thomas-Symonds is Michael Ellam, the former director
of communications for ex-PM Gordon Brown, now a senior civil servant in the
Cabinet Office. Ellam is “a really highly regarded, serious guy” and attends
regular meetings with Brussels officials, said a second person who speaks
regularly to No. 10.
A bill is due to be introduced to the U.K. parliament by summer which will allow
“dynamic” alignment with new EU laws in areas of agreement. Two people with
knowledge of his role said the bill will be steered through parliament by
Cabinet Office Minister Chris Ward, Starmer’s former aide and close ally, who
was by his side when Starmer was shadow Brexit secretary during the “Brexit
wars” of the late 2010s.
Starmer himself talked up this approach in a rare long-form interview this week
with BBC host Laura Kuenssberg, saying: “We are better looking to the single
market rather than the customs union for our further alignment.” While the PM’s
allies insist he simply answered a question, some of his MPs spy a need to seize
back the pro-EU narrative.
The second person who talks regularly to No. 10 argued a “relatively small …
factional leadership challenge group around Wes” is pushing ideas around a
customs union, while Starmer wants to “not match that but bypass it, and say
actually, we’re doing something more practical and potentially bigger.”
A third Labour MP was blunter about No. 10’s messaging: “They’re terrified and
they’re worrying about an internal leadership challenge.”
Starmer’s allies argue that their approach is pragmatic and recognizes what the
EU will actually be willing to accept.
Christabel Cooper, director of research at the pro-Labour think tank Labour
Together — which plans polling and focus groups in the coming months to test
public opinion on the issue — said: “We’ve talked to a few trade experts and
economists, and actually the customs union is not all that helpful. To get a
bigger bang for your buck, you do need to go down more of a single market
alignment route.”
Stella Creasy argued that promising a Swiss-style deal in Labour’s next election
manifesto (likely in 2029) would benefit the economy — far more than the “reset”
currently on the table. | Nicola Tree/Getty Images
Nick Harvey, CEO of the pro-EU pressure group European Movement UK, concurred:
“The fact that they’re now talking about a fuller alignment towards the single
market is very good news, and shows that to make progress economically and to
make progress politically, they simply have to do this.”
But critics point out there are still big questions about what alignment will
look like — or more importantly, what the EU will go for.
The bill will include areas such as food standards, animal welfare, pesticide
use, the EU’s electricity market and carbon emissions trading, but talks on all
of these remain ongoing. Negotiations to join the EU’s defense framework, SAFE,
stalled over the costs to Britain.
Menon said: “I just don’t see what [Starmer] is spelling out being practically
possible. Even at the highest levels there has been, under the Labour Party,
quite a degree of ignorance, I think, about how the EU works and what the EU
wants.
“I’ve heard Labour MPs say, well, they’ve got a veterinary deal with New
Zealand, so how hard can it be? And you want to say, I don’t know if you’ve
noticed, but New Zealand doesn’t have a land border with the EU.”
THE SWISS BANKERS
Then there are Europhile MPs, peers and campaigners who back aligning with the
single market — but going much further than Starmer.
For some this takes the form of a “Swiss-style” deal, which would allow single
market access for some sectors without rejoining the customs union.
This would plough through Starmer’s red lines by reintroducing EU freedom of
movement, along with substantial payments to Brussels.
But Stella Creasy, chair of the Labour Movement for Europe (LME), argued that
promising a Swiss-style deal in Labour’s next election manifesto (likely in
2029) would benefit the economy — far more than the “reset” currently on the
table. She said: “If you could get a Swiss-style deal and put it in the
manifesto … that would be enough for businesses to invest.”
Creasy said LME has around 150 MPs as members and holds regular briefings for
them. While few Labour MPs back a Swiss deal — and various colleagues see Creasy
as an outlier — she said MPs and peers, including herself, plan to put forward
amendments to the dynamic alignment bill when it goes through parliament.
Tom Baldwin, Starmer’s biographer and the former communications director of the
People’s Vote campaign (which called for a second referendum on Brexit), also
suggests Labour could go further in 2029. “Keir Starmer’s comments at the
weekend about aligning with — and gaining access to — the single market open up
a whole range of possibilities,” he said. “At the low end, this is a pragmatic
choice by a PM who doesn’t want to be forced to choose between Europe and
America.
“At the upper end, it suggests Labour may seek a second term mandate at the next
election by which the U.K. would get very close to rejoining the single market.
That would be worth a lot more in terms of economic growth and national
prosperity than the customs union deal favoured by the Lib Dems.”
A third person who speaks regularly to No. 10 called it a “boil the frog
strategy.” They added: “You get closer and closer and then maybe … you go into
the election saying ‘we’ll try to negotiate something more single markety or
customs uniony.’”
THE REJOINERS?
Labour’s political enemies (and some of its supporters) argue this could all
lead even further — to rejoining the EU one day.
“Genuinely, I am not advocating rejoin now in any sense because it’s a 10-year
process,” said Creasy, who is about as Europhile as they come in Labour. “Our
European counterparts would say ‘hang on a minute, could you actually win a
referendum, given [Reform UK Leader and Brexiteer Nigel] Farage is doing so
well?’”
With Prime Minister Keir Starmer tanking in the polls, the Europhile streak
among many Labour MPs and members means Brexit could become a key issue for
anyone who would seek to replace him. | Tom Nicholson/Getty Images
Simon Opher, an MP and member of the Mainstream Labour group closely aligned
with Burnham, said rejoining was “probably for a future generation” as “the
difficulty is, would they want us back?”
But look into the soul of many Labour politicians, and they would love to still
be in the bloc — even if they insist rejoining is not on the table now.
Andy Burnham — the Greater Manchester mayor who has flirted with the leadership
— remarked last year that he would like to rejoin the EU in his lifetime (he’s
56). London Mayor Sadiq Khan said “in the medium to long term, yes, of course, I
would like to see us rejoining.” In the meantime Khan backs membership of the
single market and customs union, which would still go far beyond No. 10’s red
lines.
THE ISSUES-LED MPS
Then there are the disparate — yet overlapping — groups of MPs whose views on
Europe are guided by their politics, their constituencies or their professional
interests.
To Starmer’s left, backbench rebels including Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler
backed the push toward a customs union by the opposition Lib Dems. The members
of the left-wing Socialist Campaign Group frame their argument around fears
Labour will lose voters to other progressive parties, namely the Lib Dems,
Greens and SNP, if they fail to show adequate bonds with Europe. Some other,
more centrist MPs fear similar.
Labour MPs with a military background or in military-heavy seats also want the
U.K. and EU to cooperate further. London MP Calvin Bailey, who spent more than
two decades in the Royal Air Force, endorsed closer security relations between
Britain and France through greater intelligence sharing and possibly permanent
infrastructure. Alex Baker, whose Aldershot constituency is known as the home of
the British Army, backed British involvement in a global Defense, Security and
Resilience Bank, arguing it could be key to a U.K.-EU Defence and Security Pact.
The government opted against joining such a scheme.
Parliamentarians keen for young people to bag more traveling rights were buoyed
by a breakthrough on Erasmus+ membership for British students at the end of last
year. More than 60 Labour MPs earlier signed a letter calling for a youth
mobility scheme allowing 18 to 30-year-olds expanded travel opportunities on
time limited visas. It was organized by Andrew Lewin, the Welywn Hatfield MP,
and signatories included future Home Office Minister Mike Tapp (then a
backbencher).
Labour also has an influential group of rural MPs, most elected in 2024, who are
keen to boost cooperation and cut red tape for farmers. Rural MP Steve
Witherden, on the party’s left, said: “Three quarters of Welsh food and drink
exports go straight to the EU … regulatory alignment is a top priority for rural
Labour MPs. Success here could point the way towards closer ties with Europe in
other sectors.”
THE NOT-SO-SECRET EUROPHILES (A.K.A. ALL OF THE ABOVE)
Many Labour figures argue that all of the above are actually just one mega-group
— Labour MPs who want to be closer to Brussels, regardless of the mechanism.
Menon agreed Labour camps are not formalized because most Labour MPs agree on
working closely with Brussels. “I think it’s a mishmash,” he said. But he added:
“I think these tribes will emerge or develop because there’s an intra-party
fight looming, and Brexit is one of the issues people use to signal where they
stand.”
A fourth Labour MP agreed: “I didn’t think there was much of a distinction
between the camps of people who want to get closer to the EU. The first I heard
of that was over the weekend.”
The senior Labour official quoted above added: “I don’t think it cuts across
tribes in such a clear way … a broader group of people just want us to move
faster in terms of closeness into the EU, in terms of a whole load of things. I
don’t think it fits neatly.”
For years MPs were bound by a strategy of talking little about Brexit because it
was so divisive with Labour’s voter base. That shifted over 2025. Labour
advisers were buoyed by polls showing a rise in “Bregret” among some who voted
for Brexit in 2016, as well as changing demographics (bluntly, young voters come
of age while older voters die).
No. 10 aides also noted last summer that Farage, the leader of the right-wing
populist party Reform UK, was making Brexit less central to his campaigning.
Some aides (though others dispute this) credit individual advisers such as Tim
Allan, No. 10’s director of communications, as helping a more openly EU-friendly
media strategy into being.
For all the talk of tribes and camps, Labour doesn’t have warring Brexit
factions in the same way that the Tories did at the height of the EU divorce in
the 2010s. | Jakub Porzycki/Getty Images
THE BLUE LABOUR HOLDOUTS
Not everyone in Labour wants to hug Brussels tight.
A small but significant rump of Labour MPs, largely from the socially
conservative Blue Labour tribe, is anxious that pursuing closer ties could be
seen as a rejection of the Brexit referendum — and a betrayal of voters in
Leave-backing seats who are looking to Reform.
One of them, Liverpool MP Dan Carden, said the failure of both London and
Brussels to strike a recent deal on defense funding, even amid threats from
Russia, showed Brussels is not serious.
“Any Labour MP who thinks that the U.K. can get closer to the single market or
the customs union without giving up freedoms and taking instruction from an EU
that we’re not a part of is living in cloud cuckoo land,” he said.
A similar skepticism of the EU’s authority is echoed by the Tony Blair Institute
(TBI), led by one of the most pro-European prime ministers in Britain’s history.
The TBI has been meeting politicians in Brussels and published a paper
translated into French, German and Italian in a bid to shape the EU’s future
from within.
Ryan Wain, the TBI’s senior director for policy and politics, argued: “We live
in a G2 world where there are two superpowers, China and the U.S. By the middle
of this century there will likely be three, with India. To me, it’s just abysmal
that Europe isn’t mentioned in that at all. It has massive potential to adapt
and reclaim its influence, but that opportunity needs to be unlocked.”
Such holdouts enjoy a strange alliance with left-wing Euroskeptics
(“Lexiteers”), who believe the EU does not have the interests of workers at its
heart. But few of these were ever in Labour and few remain; former Leader Jeremy
Corbyn has long since been cast out.
At the same time many Labour MPs in Leave-voting areas, who opposed efforts to
stop Brexit in the late 2010s, now support closer alignment with Brussels to
help their local car and chemical industries.
As such, there are now 20 or fewer MPs holding their noses on closer alignment.
Just three Labour MPs, including fellow Blue Labour supporter Jonathan Brash,
voted against a bill supporting a customs union proposed by the centrist,
pro-Europe Lib Dems last month.
WHERE WILL IT ALL END?
For all the talk of tribes and camps, Labour doesn’t have warring Brexit
factions in the same way that the Tories did at the height of the EU divorce in
the 2010s. Most MPs agree on closer alignment with the EU; the question is how
they get there.
Even so, Menon has a warning from the last Brexit wars. Back in the late 2010s,
Conservative MPs would jostle to set out their positions — workable or
otherwise. The crowded field just made negotiations with Brussels harder. “We
end up with absolutely batshit stupid positions when viewed from the EU,” said
Menon, “because they’re being derived as a function of the need to position
yourself in a British political party.”
But few of these were ever in Labour and few remain; former Leader Jeremy Corbyn
has long since been cast out. | Seiya Tanase/Getty Images
The saving grace could be that most Labour MPs are united by a deeper gut
feeling about the EU — one that, Baldwin argues, is reflected in Starmer
himself.
The PM’s biographer said: “At heart, Keir Starmer is an outward-looking
internationalist whose pro-European beliefs are derived from what he calls the
‘blood-bond’ of 1945 and shared values, rather than the more transactional trade
benefits of 1973,” when Britain joined the European Economic Community.
All that remains is to turn a “blood-bond” into hard policy. Simple, right?
Tag - Visas
HOW DO BULGARIANS FEEL ABOUT JOINING THE EURO?
The Balkan nation is sharply divided about bidding farewell to the lev.
Text by BORYANA DZHAMBAZOVA
Photos by DOBRIN KASHAVELOV
in Pernik, Bulgaria
Bulgaria is set to adopt the EU’s single currency on Jan. 1, but polling shows
the Balkan nation is sharply divided on whether it’s a good thing.
POLITICO spoke to some Bulgarians about their fears and hopes, as they say
goodbye to their national currency, the lev. Their comments have been edited for
length.
ANTON TEOFILOV, 73
Vendor at the open-air market in Pernik, a small city 100 kilometers from Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
We are a different generation, but we support the euro. We’ll benefit hugely
from joining the eurozone. It will make paying anywhere in the EU easy and
hassle-free. It would be great for both the economy and the nation. You can
travel, do business, do whatever you want using a single currency — no more
hassle or currency exchanges. You can go to Greece and buy a bottle of ouzo with
the same currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I don’t expect any turbulence — from January on we would just pay in euros. No
one is complaining about the price tags in euros, and in lev at the moment.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
The lev is a wonderful thing, but its time has passed; that’s just how life
works. It will be much better for the economy to adopt the euro. It will be so
much easier to share a common currency with the other EU countries.
Now, if you go to Greece, as many Bulgarians do, you need to exchange money.
After January – wherever you need to make a payment – either going to the store,
or to buy produce for our business, it would be one and the same.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to explain things more clearly to those who are confused. We are
a people who often need a lot of convincing, and on top of that, we’re a divided
nation.
If you ask me, we need to get rid of half the MPs in Parliament – they receive
hefty salaries and are a burden to taxpayers, like parasites, without doing any
meaningful work.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
There are 27 member states, and we will become one with them. There will be no
difference between Germany and us—we’ll be much closer to Europe.
I remember the 1990s, when you needed to fill out endless paperwork just to
travel, let alone to work abroad. I spent a year working in construction in
Germany, and getting all the permits and visas was a major headache. Now things
are completely different, and joining the eurozone is another step toward that
openness.
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PETYA SPASOVA, 55
Orthopedic doctor in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
It worries me a lot. I don’t think this is the right moment for Bulgaria to join
the eurozone. First, the country is politically very unstable, and the eurozone
itself faces serious problems. As the poorest EU member state, we won’t be
immune to those issues. On the contrary, they will only deepen the crisis here.
The war in Ukraine, the growing debt in Germany and France … now we’d be sharing
the debts of the whole of Europe. We are adopting the euro at a time when
economies are strained, and that will lead to serious disruptions and a higher
cost of living.
I don’t understand why the state insists so strongly on joining the eurozone. I
don’t think we’re ready.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Even now, when you go to the store and look at the price of bread or other basic
foods, we see prices climbing. I’m afraid many people will end up living in
extreme poverty. We barely produce anything; we’re a country built on services.
When people get poorer, they naturally start consuming less.
I’m not worried about myself or my family. We live in Sofia, where there are
more job opportunities and higher salaries. I’m worried about people in general.
Every day I see patients who can’t even afford the travel costs to come to Sofia
for medical check-ups.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m extremely worried. I don’t want to relive the economic crisis of the 90s,
when the country was on the verge of bankruptcy.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
No one cares what people think. Many countries held referendums and decided not
to join the eurozone. I don’t believe our politicians can do anything at this
point. I’m not even sure they know what needs to be done.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I feel offended when I hear this question. We’ve been part of Europe for a very
long time, long before many others. We can exchange best practices in culture,
science, education, and more, but that has nothing to do with the eurozone.
Joining can only bring trouble.
I remember years ago when I actually hoped Bulgaria would enter the eurozone.
But that was a different Europe. Now things are deteriorating; the spirit of a
united Europe is gone. I don’t want to be part of this Europe.
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SVETOSLAV BONINSKI, 53
Truck driver from Gabrovo, a small city in central Bulgaria
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I’m against Bulgaria joining the eurozone. We saw how Croatia and Greece sank
into debt once they adopted the euro. I don’t want Bulgaria to go down the same
path. Greece had to take a huge loan to bail out its economy. When they still
had the drachma, their economy was strong and stable. After entering the
eurozone, many big companies were forced to shut down and inflation went through
the roof. Even the German economy is experiencing a downturn..
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I worry that there will be speculation and rising inflation. Five years ago, I
used to buy cigarettes in Slovakia at prices similar to Bulgaria. Now I can’t
find anything cheaper than €5 per pack. They saw their prices rise after the
introduction of the euro. We’ll repeat the Slovakia scenario.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
We can already feel that things won’t end well — prices have gone up
significantly, just like in Croatia. I’m afraid that even in the first year
wages won’t be able to compensate for the rise in prices, and people will become
even more impoverished. I expect the financial situation to worsen. Our
government isn’t taking any responsibility for that.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
I hope they will make an effort. We are completely ill-equipped to adopt the
euro—all the stats and figures the government presents are lies. We must wait
until the country is ready to manage the euro as a currency. We’re doing fine
with the lev. We should wait for the economy to grow and for wages to catch up
with the rest of Europe.
The only thing the state could do to ease the process is to step down. The
current government is interested in entering the eurozone only to receive large
amounts of funding, most of which they will probably pocket themselves. The
Bulgarian lev is very stable, unlike the euro, which is quite an unstable
currency. All the eurozone countries are burdened with trillions in debt, while
those outside it are doing quite well.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I don’t think so. We’ve been part of Europe for a long time. The only difference
now will be that Brussels will tell us what to do and will control our budget
and spending. Brussels will be in charge from now on. No good awaits us. Elderly
people won’t receive decent pensions and will work until we drop dead.
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NATALI ILIEVA, 20
Political science student from Pernik
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I see it as a step forward for us. It’s a positive development for both society
and the country. I expect that joining the eurozone will help the economy grow
and position Bulgaria more firmly within Europe. For ordinary people, it will
make things easier, especially when traveling, since we’ll be using the same
currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
The transition period might be difficult at first. I don’t think the change of
currency will dramatically affect people’s daily lives – after all, under the
currency board, the lev has been pegged to the euro for years. Some people are
worried that prices might rise, and this is where the state must step in to
monitor the situation, prevent abuse, and make the transition as smooth as
possible.
As part of my job at the youth center, I travel a lot in Europe. Being part of
the eurozone would make travel much more convenient. My life would be so much
easier! I wouldn’t have to worry about carrying euros in cash or paying
additional fees when withdrawing money abroad, or wondering: Did I take the
right debit card in euros?
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m more concerned that the issue will be politicized by certain parties to
further polarize society. Joining the eurozone is a logical next step – we
agreed to it by default when we joined the bloc in 2007. There is so much
disinformation circulating on social media that it’s hard for some people to see
the real facts and distinguish what’s true from what’s not.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to launch an information campaign to make the transition as
smooth as possible. Authorities should explain what the change of currency means
for people in a clear and accessible way. You don’t need elaborate language to
communicate what’s coming, especially when some radical parties are aggressively
spreading anti-euro and anti-EU rhetoric.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Yes, I think it will help the country become better integrated into Europe. In
the end, I believe people will realize that joining the eurozone will be worth
it.
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YANA TANKOVSKA, 47
Jewelry artist based in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
If you ask me, the eurozone is on the verge of collapse, and now we have decided
to join? I don’t think it’s a good idea. In theory, just like communism, the
idea of a common currency union might sound good, but in practice it doesn’t
really work out. I have friends working and living abroad [in eurozone
countries], and things are not looking up for regular people, even in Germany.
We all thought we would live happily as members of the bloc, but that’s not the
reality.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I expect the first half of next year to be turbulent. But we are used to
surviving, so we will adapt yet again. Personally, we might have to trim some
expenses, go out less, and make sure the family budget holds. I make jewelry, so
I’m afraid I’ll have fewer clients, since they will also have to cut back.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m terribly worried. The state promises there won’t be a jump in prices and
that joining the eurozone won’t negatively affect the economy. But over the past
two years the cost of living has risen significantly, and I don’t see that trend
reversing. For example, in the last three years real estate prices have doubled.
There isn’t a single person who isn’t complaining about rising costs.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
There is nothing they can do at this point. Politicians do not really protect
Bulgaria’s interests on this matter. The issue is not only about joining the
eurozone but about protecting our national interests. I just want them to have
people’s well-being at heart. Maybe we need to hit rock bottom to finally see
meaningful change.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Not really. That’s up to us, not to Europe. I just want Bulgarian politicians to
finally start creating policies for the sake of society, not just enriching
themselves, to act in a way that would improve life for everyone.
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KATARINA NIKOLIC, 49, AND METODI METODIEV, 53
Business partners at a ‘gelateria’ in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
Metodi: For a small business like ours, I don’t think it will make much
difference, as long as the transition to the new currency is managed smoothly. I
can only see a positive impact on the economy if things are done right. I’m a
bit saddened to say farewell to the Bulgarian lev — it’s an old currency with
its own history — but times are changing, and this is a natural step for an EU
member.
Katarina: I have lived in Italy which adopted the euro a long time ago. Based on
my experience there, I don’t expect any worrying developments related to price
increases or inflation. On the contrary, joining the eurozone in January can
only be interpreted as a sign of trust from the European Commission and could
bring more economic stability to Bulgaria. I also think it will increase
transparency, improve financial supervision, and provide access to cheaper
loans.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Metodi: I don’t think there will be any difference for our business whether
we’re paying in euros or in leva. We’ve been an EU member state for a while now
and we’re used to working with both local and international suppliers. It will
just take some getting used to switching to one currency for another. But we are
already veterans — Bulgarian businesses are very adaptive — from dealing with
renominations and all sorts of economic reforms.
I’m just concerned that it might be challenging for some elderly people to adapt
to the new currency and they might need some support and more information.
Katarina: For many people, it will take time to get used to seeing a new
currency, but they will adapt. For me, it’s nothing new. Since I lived in Italy,
where the euro is used, I automatically convert to euros whenever Metodi and I
discuss business.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
Metodi: The decision has already been taken, so let’s make the best of it and
ensure a smooth transition. I haven’t exchanged money when traveling in at least
10 years. I just use my bank card to pay or withdraw cash if I need any.
Katarina: I remember that some people in Italy also predicted disaster when the
euro was introduced, and many were nostalgic about the lira. But years later,
Italy is still a stable economy. I think our international partners will look at
us differently once we are part of the eurozone.
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What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
Metodi: I think the authorities are already taking measures to make sure prices
don’t rise and that businesses don’t round conversions upward unfairly. For
example, we may have to slightly increase the price of our ice cream in January.
I feel a bit awkward about it because I don’t want people to say, “Look, they’re
taking advantage of the euro adoption to raise prices.” But honestly, we haven’t
adjusted our prices since we opened three years ago.
I’m actually very impressed by how quickly and smoothly small businesses and
market sellers have adopted double pricing [marking prices in lev and euros]. I
know how much work that requires, especially if you’re a small business owner.
Katarina: It’s crucial that the state doesn’t choke small businesses with
excessive demands but instead supports them. I believe that helping small
businesses grow should be a key focus of the government, not just supervising
the currency swap. My hope is that the euro will help the Bulgarian economy
thrive. I love Bulgaria and want to see it flourish. I’m a bit more optimistic
than Metodi, I think the best is yet to come.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Metodi: I think so. Despite some criticism, good things are happening in the
country, no matter who is in power. We need this closeness to truly feel part of
Europe.
Katarina: The euro is a financial and economic instrument. Adopting it won’t
change national cultural identity, Bulgarians will keep their culture. I’m a
true believer in Europe, and I think it’s more important than ever to have a
united continent. As an Italian and Serbian citizen, I really appreciate that
borders are open and that our children can choose where to study and work. In
fact, our gelateria is a great example of international collaboration: we have
people from several different countries in the team.
BRUSSELS — Britain’s top Europe minister defended a decision to keep the U.K.
out of the EU’s customs union — despite sounding bullish on a speedy reset of
ties with the bloc in the first half of 2026.
Speaking to POLITICO in Brussels where he was attending talks with Maroš
Šefčovič, the EU trade commissioner, Nick Thomas-Symonds said a non-binding
British parliamentary vote on Tuesday on rejoining the tariff-free union —
pushed by the Liberal Democrats, but supported by more than a dozen Labour MPs —
risked reviving bitter arguments about Brexit.
Thomas-Symonds described the gambit by the Lib Dems — which had the backing of
one of Labour’s most senior backbenchers, Meg Hillier — as “Brexit Redux.” And
he accused Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, of wanting “to go back to the arguments
of the past.”
The Lib Dems have drawn support from disillusioned Labour voters, partly
inspired by the party’s more forthright position on moving closer to the EU. But
Thomas-Symonds defended Labour’s manifesto commitment to remain outside the
single market and the customs union.
“The strategy that I and the government have been pursuing is based on our
mandate from the general election of 2024, that we would not go back to freedom
of movement, we would not go back to the customs union or the single market,”
the British minister for European Union relations said.
Thomas-Symonds said this remained a “forward-looking, ruthlessly pragmatic
approach” that is “rooted in the challenges that Britain has in the mid 2020s.”
He pointed out that post-Brexit Britain outside of the customs union has signed
trade deals with India and the United States, demonstrating the “advantages of
the negotiating freedoms Britain has outside the EU.”
‘GET ON WITH IT’
Speaking to POLITICO’s Anne McElvoy for the “Politics at Sam and Anne’s”
podcast, out on Thursday, Thomas-Symonds was optimistic that a grand “reset” of
U.K.-EU relations would progress more quickly in the new year.
The two sides are trying to make headway on a host of areas including a youth
mobility scheme and easing post-Brexit restrictions on food and drink exports.
“I think if you look at the balance of the package and what I’m talking about in
terms of the objective on the food and drink agreement, I think you can see a
general timetable across this whole package,” he said. Pressed on whether this
could happen in the first half of 2026, the U.K. minister sounded upbeat: “I
think the message from both of us to our teams will be to get on with it.”
The Brussels visit comes after talks over Britain’s potential entry into a
major EU defense program known as SAFE broke down amid disagreement over how
much money the U.K. would pay for access to the loans-for-arms scheme. The
program is aimed at re-arming Europe more speedily to face the threat from
Russia.
Asked if the collapse of those talks showed the U.K. had miscalculated its
ability to gain support in a crucial area of re-connection,
Thomas-Symonds replied: “We do always impose a very strict value for money. What
we would not do is contribute at a level that isn’t in our national interest.”
The issued had “not affected the forward momentum in terms of the rest of the
negotiation,” he stressed.
YOUTH MOBILITY STANDOFF
Thomas-Symonds is a close ally of Prime Minister Keir Starmer and has emboldened
the under-fire British leader to foreground his pro-Europe credentials.
The minister for European relations suggested his own elevation in the British
government — he will now attend Cabinet on a permanent basis — was a sign of
Starmer’s intent to focus on closer relations with Europe and tap into regret
over a post-Brexit loss of business opportunities to the U.K.
Fleshing out the details of a “youth mobility” scheme — which would allow young
people from the EU and the U.K. to spend time studying, traveling, or working in
each other’s countries — has been an insistent demand of EU countries, notably
Germany and the Netherlands.
Yet progress has foundered over how to prevent the scheme being regarded as a
back-door for immigration to the U.K. — and how exactly any restrictions on
numbers might be set and implemented.
Speaking to POLITICO, Thomas-Symonds hinted at British impatience to proceed
with the program, while stressing: “It has to be capped, time-limited,
and it’ll be a visa-operated scheme.
“Those are really important features, but I sometimes think on this you can end
up having very dry discussion about the design when actually this is a real
opportunity for young Brits and for young Europeans to live, work, study, enjoy
other cultures.”
The British government is sensitive to the charge that the main beneficiaries of
the scheme will be students or better-off youngsters. “I’m actually really
excited about this,” Thomas-Symonds said, citing his own working-class
background and adding that he would have benefited from a chance to spend time
abroad as a young man “And the thing that strikes me as well is making sure this
is accessible to people from all different backgrounds,” he said.
Details however still appear contentious: The EU’s position remains that the
scheme should not be capped but should have a break clause in the event of a
surge in numbers. Berlin in particular has been reluctant to accept the Starmer
government’s worries that the arrangement might be seen as adding to U.K.
immigration figures, arguing that British students who are outside many previous
exchange programs would also be net beneficiaries.
Thomas-Symonds did not deny a stand-off, saying: “When there are ongoing talks
about particular issues, I very much respect the confidentiality and trust on
the ongoing talks.”
Britain’s most senior foreign minister, Yvette Cooper, on Wednesday backed a
hard cap on the number of people coming in under a youth mobility scheme. She
told POLITICO in a separate interview that such a scheme needs to be “balanced.”
“The UK-EU relationship is really important and is being reset, and we’re seeing
cooperation around a whole series of different things,” she said. We also, at
the same time, need to make sure that issues around migration are always
properly managed and controlled.” A U.K. official later clarified that Cooper is
keen to see an overall cap on numbers.
BOOZY GIFT
As negotiations move from the technical to the political level this week,
Thomas-Symonds sketched out plans for a fresh Britain-EU summit in Brussels when
the time is right. “In terms of the date, I just want to make sure that we have
made sufficient progress, to demonstrate that progress in a summit,” Nick
Thomas-Symonds said.
“I think that the original [post-Brexit] Trade and Cooperation Agreement did not
cover services in the way that it should have done,” he added. “We want to move
forward on things like mutual recognition of professional qualifications.”
Thomas-Symonds, one of the government’s most ardent pro-Europeans, meanwhile
told POLITICO he had forged a good relationship with “Maroš” (Šefčovič) – and
had even brought him a Christmas present of a bottle of House of Commons whisky.
“So there’s no doubt that there is that trajectory of closer U.K.-EU
cooperation,” he quipped.
Dan Bloom and Esther Webber contributed reporting.
Soccer may be the world’s most popular pastime, but much about Friday’s lottery
draw setting the match schedule for next summer’s World Cup has been programmed
with just one fan in mind. Never before has the sports governing body given out
a peace prize to a politician eager for one, or booked the Village People and
Andrea Bocelli to play alongside.
President Donald Trump’s appearance on the Kennedy Center stage will be at least
his seventh encounter this year with FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who has
logged more face time with Trump this year than any world leader. Infantino’s
savvy navigation of the American political scene has helped FIFA build
institutional support for a tournament facing unprecedented logistical
complications.
But that success is beginning to weaken Infantino, as the third-term FIFA
president faces newfound internal opposition for his over-the-top courtship of
Trump. Our interviews with six international soccer officials across three
continents reveal widespread frustration with Infantino’s decision to side with
Trump even as White House policies cause chaos for World Cup-bound teams, fans
and local organizers, clashing with Infantino’s promise to have a tournament
that welcomes the world.
“[FIFA] has always promoted a very cozy, close relationship with politicians and
political actors in a variety of ways, including by having them in their bodies
or running the National Football Associations, for example,” said Miguel Maduro,
the chairman of FIFA’s governance and review committee between 2016 and 2017.
“This said, the extent of this cozy relationship that we’ve seen and and the
public character that has been assumed between Mr. Infantino and Mr. Trump is
different even from what we saw in the past,” said Maduro. “It’s not that things
like that didn’t happen in the past, but it didn’t happen so obviously and so
emphatically as they do now.”
Our reporting found that Infantino did not inform his 37-member FIFA Council
before creating the FIFA Peace Prize this year, three people familiar with the
matter told POLITICO. Over the past year, at least three of FIFA’s eight vice
presidents have publicly or privately expressed their concerns about the lengths
Infantino is willing to go to please Trump.
While Infantino has won his last two terms unopposed, when he stands next for
reelection in 2027 he will likely have to answer to FIFA’s 211 member
federations for his willing entanglement in the controversies of American
politics. Infantino’s allies say that those opposed to many of his
soccer-related initiatives — focused on growing the game in emerging markets and
expanding FIFA’s flagship tournaments — are using his Trump ties to exploit
differences on unrelated issues.
“If a challenger to Gianni for the 2027 election emerges, it will be in the next
six to eight months and the World Cup will be a litmus test,” said a person
involved with World Cup planning granted anonymity to characterize private
conversations with top soccer officials. “If something goes off the rails or
somebody decides they want to make a run against him, they’re going to use his
relationship with Trump to exploit the cracks.”
THE MAKING OF THE PRESIDENTS
Infantino launched his first campaign for FIFA’s presidency as an underdog. A
corruption scandal had toppled much of FIFA’s leadership in 2015, forcing a
so-called “extraordinary congress” the next year in which members would vote to
decide who would complete the unfinished term vacated by the newly suspended
president Sepp Blatter.
FIFA, comprised of national soccer federations, picks its president through a
secret ballot of those members — one nation, one vote. To win in a
multi-candidate field, one must capture two-thirds of the total ballots cast,
with rounds of voting until a single candidate locks in a two-way majority.
The favorite to succeed Blatter was Sheik Salman Bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa, a
Bahraini royal who headed the Asian Football Confederation and appeared to have
stitched together a coalition of Asian and African nations. Infantino, a
polyglot Swiss-Italian lawyer who had spent seven years as secretary general of
European confederation UEFA, pitched himself as someone who could disperse the
organization’s wealth back to member countries.
“The money of FIFA is your money,” Infantino said in a speech shortly before the
vote. “It is not the money of the FIFA president. It’s your money.”
Infantino and Al Khalifa ran neck-in-neck in the first round. With a clear
two-person race, the United States — which had been supporting Prince Ali bin
Al-Hussein of Jordan, who finished a distant third — switched its vote to
Infantino in the second round, triggering a rush of support from the Western
Hemisphere that gave Infantino a conclusive 115-vote total. A fourth candidate,
former French diplomat Jérome Champagne, credited Infantino’s victory to “a
strong alliance between Europe and North America and the Anglo-Saxon world.”
“Prepare yourself well but be vigilant,” Blatter warned Infantino upon his
election in a public letter. “While everyone supports you and tells you nice
words, know that once you are the president, friends become rare.”
Once in office, Infantino’s initiatives were focused on expanding FIFA’s most
valuable properties. He converted a ten-day, exhibition-like competition among
seven regional club champions into the month-long FIFA Club World Cup. He also
pushed, with mixed success, to grow the size and scope of the World Cup and
increase its frequency.
In 2017, Infantino announced that the first World Cup under an expanded format —
up from 32 countries participating to 48, adding a week of matches to the
schedule — would take place in the United States, Canada and Mexico. Facing the
first tournament in which hosting responsibilities would be shared by three
countries, Infantino visited Trump to secure assurances of government support.
Infantino went on to win subsequent terms in 2019 and 2023, and when Trump
returned to the White House for his second, in 2025, their political
trajectories became permanently intertwined. Infantino set out to raise his
profile in American life and his relationships with the country’s political
class, including through a campaign-style tour through many of the American
cities hosting matches for the inaugural Club World Cup in 2025 and the World
Cup the following summer.
Infantino sat next to Trump at the tournament’s final, held at New Jersey’s
MetLife Stadium in July, dragging him onto the winners’ platform as Infantino
went to award a trophy and medals to champions Chelsea. Trump lingered awkwardly
on stage to the befuddlement of Chelsea’s players, who had not expected they
would share the moment with an American politician.
Other appearances with Trump placed Infantino squarely between a president
intent on solving overseas conflicts and punishing foes, while closing American
borders to visitors and trade, and FIFA member nations who may hold starkly
different views, or worse.
Infantino stood quietly in the Oval Office as he said he would not rule out
strikes against fellow World Cup co-host Mexico to target drug cartels, and
joined Trump’s entourage on a trip designed to cultivate investment
opportunities in the Persian Gulf.
When FIFA had to delay the opening of its annual congress in Asuncion, Paraguay,
to accommodate Infantino’s travel from a Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh,
two FIFA vice presidents were among those who joined English Football
Association chairwoman Debbie Hewitt and other federation heads exiting in
protest. European confederation UEFA — with 55 member nations, FIFA’s largest —
attacked him with unusually pointed language.
“To have the timetable changed at the last minute for what appears to be simply
to accommodate private political interests,” UEFA wrote in its statement, “does
the game no service and appears to put its interests second.”
GIANNI ON THE SPOT
In September, Trump said he would try to move scheduled World Cup matches out of
Democratic-run jurisdictions that are “even a little bit dangerous.” Infantino,
whose organization had spent years vetting and preparing those cities for the
tournament, said nothing.
But a potential rival to Infantino’s leadership took issue with both the
American president’s threat — since repeated but not acted upon — and the FIFA
president’s silence.
“It’s FIFA’s tournament, FIFA’s jurisdiction, FIFA makes those decisions,” FIFA
vice president Victor Montagliani, the organization’s leading figure from North
America, said at a sports-business conference in London six days later.
While president of the Canadian Soccer Association, Montagliani helped to secure
his country’s participation in the three-way so-called “United Bid” for next
summer’s World Cup. (The Vancouver insurance executive also helped bring the
Women’s World Cup to Canada in 2015.) He now serves as president of CONCACAF,
the 41-member regional federation encompassing the 41 nations of North America,
Central America and the Caribbean.
Close to Prime Minister Mark Carney, Montagliani has come to believe Infantino
has catered too much to Trump for a tournament realized through the cooperation
of three nations, according to three of the people familiar with the dynamics of
FIFA’s leadership. (Montagliani declined an interview request.) The leaders of
the United States, Mexico and Canada will all participate in a ceremonial ball
draw in today’s draw.
“With all due respect to current world leaders, football is bigger than them and
football will survive their regime and their government and their slogans,”
Montagliani told an interviewer at the London conference in late September.
“That’s the beauty of our game, is that it is bigger than any individual and
bigger than any country.” Montagliani’s “FIFA’s jurisdiction” remarks did not
land well with Infantino’s inner sanctum. “It is ultimately the government’s
responsibility to decide what’s in the best interest of public safety,” FIFA
said in a statement to POLITICO in October after Trump’s next round of threats
to relocate matches.
The relationship between Infantino and Montagliani has further soured in recent
months as Trump reignited tensions between Washington and Ottawa over an
anti-tariff ad taking aim at U.S. trade policy, according to a person close to
Montagliani granted anonymity to candidly characterize his thinking. Montagliani
has his own thoughts on how far relationships with government figures should go
but respects Infantino’s perspective, that person said, maintaining the two men
had a good relationship despite occasional differences.
Others around FIFA have their own parochial concerns with Trump.
Despite being among the first teams to qualify for the tournament, Iran
threatened to boycott Friday’s draw because some members of its delegation were
denied visas for travel to Washington. According to a FIFA official, Iran
ultimately reversed course and sent Iranian head coach Ardeshir Ghalenoy after
FIFA worked closely with the U.S. government and Iran’s soccer federation.
Another qualifying team, Haiti, is also covered by the 19-country travel ban
that Trump signed in June. The State Department said that while the policy has a
specific carveout for World Cup competitors and their families, the exception
will not be applied to fans or spectators.
The president of the Japanese Football Association, Tsuneyasu Miyamoto, told
POLITICO in an interview last month that he was worried that Trump’s immigration
policies could subject Japanese travelers to “deportations happening
unnecessarily.”
Infantino has stopped short of pressuring Trump to make exceptions to
immigration policy for the sake of soccer. FIFA officials have said that when it
chooses a tournament location it does not expect that country to significantly
alter its immigration laws or vetting standards for the tournament, although
many past hosts have chosen to relax visa requirements for World Cup
ticketholders.
Many European countries’ soccer federations, led by Ireland and Norway, have
pushed to ban Israel from international soccer due to its military invasion of
Gaza. The movement received an apparent boost from UEFA President Aleksander
Čeferin, who supported unfurling a banner that read “Stop Killing Children; Stop
Killing Civilians” on the field before a UEFA Super Cup match in August.
“If such a big thing is going on, such a terrible thing that doesn’t allow me to
sleep — not me, all my colleagues,” — nobody in this organization said we
shouldn’t do it. No one,” Čeferin told POLITICO in August. “Then you have to do
what is the right thing to do.”
European countries were set on a collision with Trump, whose State Department
indicated it would work to “fully stop any effort to attempt to ban Israel’s
national soccer team from the World Cup.” UEFA pulled back on a planned vote
over Israel’s place as a Trump-negotiated peace agreement took hold. Infantino
joined Trump and other heads of state in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, for a summit to
implement the agreement’s first phase.
Nothing threatens to awaken opposition to Infantino as much as his decision to
invent a FIFA Peace Prize just as Trump began to complain in October about being
passed over for one from the Norwegian Nobel Committee. According to a draft
run-of-show for Friday’s draw, Trump is scheduled to speak for two minutes today
after receiving the Peace Prize.
“He is just implementing what he said he would do,” Infantino said at an
American Business Forum in Miami, also attended by Trump, on the day news of the
prize was made public. “So I think we should all support what he’s doing because
I think it’s looking pretty good.”
According to FIFA rules, the organization’s president needs sign-off from the
37-member FIFA council on certain items like the international match calendar,
host designations for upcoming FIFA tournaments, and financial matters. FIFA’s
charter does not contemplate the creation of a new prize specifically to award a
world leader, but those familiar with the organization’s governance say it may
violate an ethics policy that requires officers “remain politically neutral.”
(In 2019, FIFA honored Argentina’s President Mauricio Macri, who previously led
venerable club Boca Juniors, with its first-ever Living Football Award.)
“Giving this award to someone that is an active political actor, by itself, is,
at least in my opinion, likely a violation of the principle of political
neutrality,” said Maduro, a Portuguese legal scholar appointed to oversee FIFA’s
governance in the wake of the corruption scandal that helped bring Infantino to
office. “We need to know two things: how the award was created and who then took
the decision to whom the award was to be given. Both of these decisions should
not be taken by the president himself.”
Infantino fully bypassed the FIFA Council in deciding to create and award the
prize to Trump, according to three people familiar with conversations between
Infantino and the council’s members. Even the vice presidents who were given a
heads-up ahead of time say they were simply being told after the decision was
made.
FOUR MORE YEARS?
Infantino, a quintessential European first elected with support from his home
continent, now sees his strongest base of support in Asia, Africa, and the Gulf
countries.
He won his last two terms by acclamation, after delivering on his promises to
disperse the $11 billion FIFA takes in each World Cup cycle. The FIFA Forward
program, launched in 2016, sent $2.8 billion back to member federations and
regional confederations in its first six years, funding everything from the
development of Papua New Guinea’s women’s squad to an air dome for winter
training in Mongolia.
But Infantino’s political choices may be costing him in Europe, where the sport
is more established and national federations are less dependent on FIFA’s
largesse. Infantino’s defenders say that European soccer officials, including
Čeferin, have turned against him because they see his attempts to expand the
World Cup and institute the Club World Cup as a threat to the primacy of their
regional competitions.
Many in international soccer see Montagliani as the most viable potential
challenger, although a person close to him says he has no intention of seeking
FIFA’s presidency in 2027 and instead plans to seek reelection that year to what
would have to be his final term as CONCACAF’s president. But he fits the profile
of someone best positioned to dethrone the incumbent, ironically by stitching
together the type of trans-Atlantic alliance that lifted Infantino to his first
victory.
“Mexico is not happy. Canada is not happy, and that’s because they’re
politically not happy with Trump,” said a senior national-federation official,
granted anonymity to candidly discuss dynamics within CONCACAF. “There’s that
direct tension.”
BRUSSELS — The European Union has approved a proposal to curb trade benefits for
developing countries that refuse to take back migrants whose stay in the bloc
has been denied.
Low-tariff access to the EU’s market will be reviewed in the context of “the
readmission of that country’s own nationals” who have been identified as
“irregular migrants to the Union,” a document seen by POLITICO confirms.
Negotiators from the Council of the EU, the European Parliament and the European
Commission agreed to the draft text late Monday night.
The push to link trade measures to migration policy comes amid major advances by
far-right parties across Europe and calls for governments to get tougher on
enforcing returns. Currently, only a small share of those eligible for removal
from the EU are actually deported — many because their home countries refuse to
cooperate.
“In case of serious and systematic shortcomings related to the international
obligation to readmit a beneficiary country’s own nationals, the preferential
arrangements … may be withdrawn temporarily, in respect of all or of certain
products originating in that beneficiary country, where the Commission considers
that an insufficient level of cooperation on readmission persists,” it reads.
The readmission clause will be applied with more or less stringent conditions
depending on a country’s development level, the document also says.
The measures, which would only be invoked after dialog with countries, are being
included in an overhaul of the so-called Generalized Scheme of Preferences, a
50-year old program that enables poorer countries to export goods to EU
countries at lower tariff rates.
The review of the program, which has been under negotiation for over three
years, is designed to help these nations build their economies and is tied to
the implementation of human rights, labor and environmental reforms.
However, the issue of cheap rice imports from Pakistan or Bangladesh threatened
to collapse the talks before the eventual agreement on Monday, amid concerns
from EU producers like Spain and Italy that want to ensure their own farmers are
not outcompeted.
EU countries have long been considering the idea of using trade, development and
visa policies to ensure third countries agree to take back failed migrants, amid
growing public discontent that has driven victories for far-right parties at the
ballot box.
However, the proposals had faced opposition from the Parliament, as well as the
Commission and a handful of capitals that feared this would upend relations with
key partner countries.
Denmark’s center-left government set its sights on migration as a key issue for
its presidency, which ends on Dec. 31. Justice and home affairs ministers will
meet next Monday to discuss ways to ensure more people leave the EU after their
applications to stay are rejected, including through so-called return hubs in
third countries.
PARIS — Foreign pensioners who dream of spending their retirement under the sun
in the French Riviera might have to reconsider their plans if their free health
care gets axed.
France wants non-European Union pensioners who are currently benefitting from
the public health care system to start paying for it. It’s a move that would
particularly affect American retirees, who have flocked to one of Europe’s most
generous welfare states not only for its food, scenery and culture, but also, in
some cases, for its world-class free health care.
“It is a matter of fairness,” François Gernigon, the lawmaker who put forward
the proposal, told POLITICO. “If you are a French citizen and you move to the
U.S., you don’t have reciprocity, you don’t benefit from free social security.”
Under French law, non-working citizens from outside the EU who have a long-stay
visa and can prove they have sufficient pension or capital revenue (more than
€23,000 annually) as well as private health care insurance can, after three
months, obtain a carte vitale, which gives them free access to public health
care.
At that point, they can annul their previous private health insurance and
benefit from the French one. It’s become a popular choice for U.S. retirees in
recent years.
But a majority of French lawmakers wants to put an end to that situation and
make them pay a minimum contribution.
France wants non-European Union pensioners who are currently benefitting from
the public health care system to start paying for it. | Stephane de Sakutin/AFP
via Getty Images
That idea already passed in two branches of the parliament this month during
budgetary discussions, and could see the light as soon as next year as the
government has also backed it.
Gernigon said that even U.S. expats have told him they don’t find the current
situation normal and that they are ready to contribute more.
Under the latest version of the proposal, as modified by the French Senate, only
non-EU citizens who are not paying taxes or contributing to other welfare
programs in France would be required to pay the new minimum contribution.
Lawmakers have not fixed the contribution amount as it will be up to the
government to do it later. For Gernigon, the value could vary depending on the
level of health care coverage, but it would still be cheaper than private
insurance in the U.S. or abroad which, he said, costs around €300 to €500 per
month.
The debate comes as France struggles to cut spending and bring down its budget
deficit to 5 percent of gross domestic product next year.
Gernigon said he had not yet evaluated how much revenue these new contributions
would raise, but acknowledged that his main goal is fairness rather than fixing
France’s budget problems.
“This is not what is going to fill the hole in the social security budget,” he
said.
The EU confirmed Friday it is toughening visa rules for Russian citizens and
banning multi-entry permits in most cases.
Effective immediately, Russians will no longer be granted multiple-entry
visas, meaning they will have to apply for a new, single-entry permit every time
they want to travel to the bloc, as POLITICO reported Wednesday.
The measure will allow for “close and frequent scrutiny of applicants to
mitigate any potential security risk,” the European Commission said in a
statement.
Kaja Kallas, the EU’s top diplomat, wrote on social media, “Starting a war and
expecting to move freely in Europe is hard to justify.” She linked the new,
stricter rules to “continued drone disruptions and sabotage on European soil.”
“Travelling to the EU is a privilege, not a given,” she added.
Migration Commissioner Magnus Brunner said in a statement the EU will also
introduce “enhanced verification procedures and elevated levels of scrutiny” for
Russians applying for visas.
The EU has dramatically reduced the number of visas it has granted to Russians
since the Kremlin launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in early
2022, suspending a key visa facilitation agreement and bringing the figure down
from 4 million a year to about 500,000.
But the number of Russians entering the bloc actually increased by around 10
percent in 2024 from 2023, with Hungary, France, Spain and Italy continuing to
approve visas in large numbers. Visa issuance is a national competence, meaning
the Commission cannot unilaterally ban Russians from the bloc, and the new rules
will be left up to member countries to enforce.
Speaking to reporters on Friday, Commission Spokesperson Markus Lammert said the
rules would not affect Russians already in the EU on multiple-entry visas, and
added “limited exceptions” existed for Russians with close family members in the
EU, who can still receive a multiple-entry permit valid for up to one year,
along with Russians “whose reliability and integrity are without doubt,” such as
dissidents and independent journalists.
As part of its 19th package of sanctions, the EU also plans to restrict the
movements of Russian diplomats, requiring them to inform nations in advance if
they travel across the Schengen Area, as a way to counter the Kremlin’s
“increasingly hostile intelligence activities.”
The measures have attracted criticism from Russia’s exiled opposition.
Yulia Navalnaya, widow of late opposition leader Alexei Navalny and a key figure
in the movement against Russian President Vladimir Putin, wrote to Kallas in
September urging her to “make a clear distinction between … the regime” and
Russian citizens.
In an email interview with POLITICO following her letter, Navalnaya expressed
frustration that the EU was targeting “ordinary Russians.”
“The last thing I would ever want is to act as a defender of Russian diplomats
in Europe,” she said. “But frankly, I do not understand how such measures could
influence Putin, his regime, or the end of the war in Ukraine … Only a small
fraction of Russians actually visit European countries.”
Former oil magnate-turned-Kremlin-critic Mikhail Khodorkovsky said Western
countries should focus on policies to help broaden the rift between the Kremlin
and Russian society.
For anti-Putin Russians, Khodorkovsky told POLITICO, “the most demoralizing
message possible is that the West sees every Russian as an enemy.”
Eva Hartog contributed to this report.
BRUSSELS — The EU is preparing to further tighten visa rules for Russian
citizens, effectively ending the issuance of multi-entry Schengen permits in
most cases, three European officials told POLITICO.
The move, which represents another step in the bloc’s efforts to punish Moscow
for its ongoing war in Ukraine, will mean that Russians generally only receive
single-entry visas, with some exceptions for humanitarian reasons or for
individuals who also hold EU citizenship.
Brussels had already made it harder and more expensive for Russians to obtain
visas, suspending its visa facilitation agreement with Moscow in late 2022
following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Some member countries, such
as the Baltic states, have gone even further by banning or severely restricting
Russians from stepping onto their soil altogether.
However, visa issuance remains a national competence, meaning that while the
European Commission can make the process harder, it cannot impose a total,
sweeping ban on Russian visitors.
In 2024, more than half a million Russians received Schengen visas, according to
data from the Commission — a marked increase from 2023, though still far below
prewar levels, with more than 4 million issued in 2019. Hungary, France, Spain
and Italy continue to liberally grant tourist visas to Russian nationals.
The new, stricter rules, part of a package of measures intended to reduce the
number of Russians entering the bloc, are expected to be formally adopted and
implemented this week.
Separately and as part of its 19th package of sanctions, the EU plans to
restrict the movements of Russian diplomats, requiring them to inform states in
advance if they travel across the Schengen Area as a way to counter the
Kremlin’s “increasingly hostile intelligence activities.”
The Commission is also set to unveil its new bloc-wide visa strategy next month,
which will set out common recommendations, including encouraging member
countries to better leverage their visa policy against hostile countries and
implement stricter criteria for Russians and other nationals.
LONDON — For Britain’s government, it’s a no-go. For the Greens’ new leader Zack
Polanski, it’s a must.
The end of free movement of people with the EU has been a “disaster” for the
U.K. that should be urgently reversed, Polanski told POLITICO — in his first
major intervention on EU policy.
Elected leader of the left-wing environmentalist party last month, Polanski’s
brand of “eco populism” is already cutting through with some voters.
POLITICO’s polling average shows his party steadily climbing to 13 percent —
more than double the 6 percent they won in last year’s general election. One
outlier even shows them drawing level with Labour.
While Polanski — a relative outsider who sits in London’s regional assembly
rather than Westminster — has so far cut through by focusing on domestic policy,
inequality and the cost of living, he’s now setting out his stall on Europe.
Though Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer has sought to reset relations with the
EU, he’s done so within tight red lines designed to appeal to Brexit supporters:
no re-entry to the single market, no rejoining the customs union, and absolutely
no return to freedom of movement.
Polanski has no such qualms, and he’s not impressed with the prime minister’s
caution.
“It all feels a little bit ‘meh,’ for want of a better description,” he told
POLITICO of Starmer’s reset so far.
“It doesn’t really feel like he has any kind of passionate vision of what the
future looks like, or any real direction that he’s driving it in. He doesn’t
really have a vision for this country. So how is he going to have a vision of
what the future of Europe looks like?”
‘DISASTER’
In particular, the Green leader is unapologetic about a return to free movement
of people — which ended in 2021. It’s an issue most politicians in Westminster
won’t go anywhere near for fear of landing on the wrong side of voters annoyed
about immigration.
“The restriction on free movement has been a disaster,” he said, adding that it
should be in the “first phase” of any rapprochement. “It’s interesting to see
[Nigel Farage’s party] Reform banging on about immigration, but we know
immigration has risen since Brexit.
“It’s just risen from countries outside of Europe. So even on its own terms,
Reform and the Brexit Party’s own project was a disaster by their own criteria.
And I think free movement is really important, both for our citizens and
citizens around Europe.”
Though Keir Starmer has sought to reset relations with the EU, he’s done so
within tight red lines designed to appeal to Brexit supporters. | Stefan
Rousseau/PA Images via Getty Images
Net migration to the U.K. was 431,000 in 2024 — significantly higher than rates
in the 2010s when numbers were typically between 200,000 and 300,000. But
despite welcoming more newcomers than ever, Brits have lost their right to move
abroad within the EU.
Polling commissioned by POLITICO shows voters aren’t impressed with the new
system and are open to turning back the clock, if somewhat disinterested in the
policy detail.
Starmer’s EU reset, primed at a summit in May this year, involves negotiating a
new agrifood deal with the EU to smooth trade in food, closer cooperation on
energy, and a “youth experience” scheme that doesn’t restore free movement but
would give a capped number of young people time-limited visas to live abroad.
Polanski, however, thinks the government should go further on building ties with
the EU in other areas.
“I think rejoining the customs union is something we should be doing as soon as
possible,” he said. “It’s just resulting in higher prices for people.” It’s a
policy also backed by the opposition Liberal Democrats, with whom the Greens are
bidding for disillusioned Labour voters.
As for rejoining the bloc altogether? “Over longer term, absolutely we should be
rejoining the European Union. But we’ve got to make sure that that conversation
is a conversation all the public’s involved with. I think one of the reasons
Brexit happened is because so many people feel like politics is done to them
rather than with them,” he said.
“I think Brexit was a catastrophic decision. I think it’s also important that
politicians listen to the fact that the public made that decision, and I believe
they made that decision because of the lack of investment in their communities
and need and want of something different. I think you’d be hard pressed to find
anyone, though, who thinks that was a right decision that has made our
communities any wealthier.”
INTERNATIONALISM
The Green leader told POLITICO that “really grim” plans by the Tories and Reform
to leave the European Convention on Human Rights show “the slow march towards
fascism that this country is on.” But he said the rightward drift across Europe
is a reason to get stuck in, not to hang back.
“I think there’s some really worrying trends across Europe, particularly around
the far right, and we’re seeing the beginnings of some of those trends in our
own country. I think any political party has a decision to make, which is: Do
you stay isolationist and out of Europe and say, ‘Well, you know, they’re going
right wing, so we’re not going to get involved.’
“Or do you say actually: International and indeed, socialist solidarity looks
like working with left-wing or progressive movements across Europe in ways that
look to reform Europe; to make sure that the entire project is moving in a
direction that ultimately protects people’s freedom, protects the poorest
communities across Europe, and is the best thing for our country, too.”
The United States on Friday sanctioned Colombian President Gustavo Petro, the
latest escalation of tensions between Washington and Bogotá over drug
trafficking and other issues of bilateral importance.
In a press release, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the left-wing leader
“has allowed drug cartels to flourish and refused to stop this activity.” The
sanctions target Petro and his associates — chiefly his wife, son and several
leading Colombian officials.
Bessent added that the Trump administration’s actions are intended to “protect
our nation and make clear that we will not tolerate the trafficking of drugs
into our nation.”
Reacting to the sanctions on social media, Petro said “fighting against drug
trafficking for decades with efficiency has brought these measures against me by
the government of the country which we help to stop its consumption of cocaine.
All a paradox, but no steps back and never on our knees.”
It’s highly unusual for the U.S. to sanction the sitting leader of a country,
let alone a longtime ally like Colombia. But the imposition of sanctions
reflects the continued tensions between Petro and the administration, as the
Colombian leader has criticized the U.S. military buildup in the Western
Hemisphere in the name of combating drug cartels. Petro also
previously criticized the U.S. for supporting what he alleged was an Israeli
genocide in Gaza, and called on U.S. officials to face charges for a recent
spate of strikes against alleged drug trafficking vessels that he claims killed
innocent Colombian fishermen.
The administration has made no secret of its frustrations with Colombia’s
leader. Earlier this week, Trump cut off U.S. aid to Colombia after Petro
attacked the administration’s drug boat strikes. And in September, the U.S.
revoked Petro’s visa, citing comments he made at a pro-Palestine protest on the
sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly where he called on U.S. service
members to resist Israeli actions in Gaza.
Colombia was also recently restored to a U.S. list of countries seen as major
hubs of narcotics trafficking. The country’s coca fields have expanded
continuously since Petro took power, even as Colombia has pushed back on claims
that it has turned a blind eye to a resurgent cocaine industry within its
borders. Colombian officials have pointed to the continued interdiction of
cocaine.
Petro, who as a young man joined a Marxist guerrilla group that fought against
the Colombian state during the South American country’s ongoing decades-long
armed conflict, has advocated for reaching “total peace” with militant groups
that continue to fight against the Colombian state. He’s also downplayed the
need for eradicating coca fields and blamed Western elites for driving demand
for cocaine, severing cooperation with longtime allies, including the United
States.
Petro’s son, Nicolás Petro, has been accused of funneling drug cartel funds into
his father’s electoral campaign. But there is no evidence that the Colombian
president himself is involved with or directly supportive of the cartels the
U.S. links him to.
The decision was applauded by some of Petro’s Republican critics in Congress,
many of whom represent large Colombian American communities and have bashed the
leader.
“GREAT MOVE, Petro is a problem for Colombia and our hemisphere!” posted Rep.
Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.), chair of the House Foreign Affairs Western
Hemisphere Subcommittee. Salazar also called Petro a “socialist dictator” in her
post on X.