LONDON — Westminster discourse was blessed with a host of new words and phrases
during a tumultuous 2025 — and some of them even made sense.
Keir Starmer got to fight with tech bro Elon Musk, schmooze Donald Trump, endure
frustration from his MPs over Labour’s dreadful polling, reshuffle his
government, and preside over a stagnant economy — all while working out
a “vision” some 18 months into office.
As 2026 screams into view, POLITICO has looked back over the year and picked out
all the weird phrases we’d rather forget.
1. Coalition of the willing: The body of nations that sprang up to support
Ukraine as U.S. backing looked dicey. Defined by their “vital,” “urgent” and
“pivotal” meetings, but often challenged by an unwilling dude across the pond.
2. Smorgasbord: Sweden’s given us IKEA, ABBA — and now the best way to explain
an unsatisfying mix of tax rises. Thanks, chancellor!
3. AI Opportunities Action Plan: Never has a government announcement contained
so many nouns.
4. AI MP: Why bother with constituency casework when ChatGPT’s around? Labour MP
Mark Sewards bagged some help from LLMs … with mixed results.
5. “Beautiful accent”: Trump’s verdict on Starmer’s voice as the unlikely
bromance blossomed.
6. Rent license: Everyone pretended to know about housing law as Chancellor
Rachel Reeves faced scrutiny for not having one of these when renting out the
family home.
7. Rod fishing license: One for the real hardcore license fans. Then-Foreign
Secretary David Lammy faced questions for fishing with U.S. Vice President JD
Vance without the right paperwork. In a totally unconnected event, he was
reshuffled to the justice department shortly after.
8. Board of Peace: Tony Blair was on the list of people to preside over a
post-war Gaza … until he very much wasn’t.
9. Golden economic rule: The Conservatives’ shiny and instantly forgettable plan
to restore credibility in managing the public finances. Perhaps the No. 1 rule
should have been keeping Liz Truss out of No. 10?
10. Lawyer brain: Starmer was frequently accused of acting like a lawyer, not a
leader. At least he had a fixed term back when he was chief prosecutor.
11. Liberation Day: Trump’s big old chart slapped global tariffs on allies and
sent Whitehall into a tailspin … before a TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out)
retreat on some of them.
12. The Andrew formerly known as Prince: Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor had to
settle for a hyphenated surname after outrage about his friendship with the late
convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
13. Raise the colors: Politicians spent the summer showing how much they loved
flags as Brits — including organized far-right groups — plastered the Union Jack
on every lamppost and roundabout in sight.
14. Lucy Listens: Lucy Powell decided the best way to recover from getting
sacked from government was to run for Labour deputy leader, win, and hear
endlessly from irate Labour members.
15. Joe Marler: Health Secretary Wes Streeting compared himself to a rugby
player from the Celebrity Traitors after he was accused of plotting to oust
Starmer. Hanging out in a Scottish castle could be quite cushy if the
running-for-PM thing doesn’t work out.
16. Driving the DLR: Starmer’s premiership was compared to steering the, er,
driverless part of Transport for London.
17. Double Contributions Convention: National insurance became exciting for a
brief second amid a row about the India trade deal. Let’s never make that
mistake again.
18. Disruptors: What Starmer wants from his ministers. Alas, they slightly
misinterpreted the memo and enjoyed disrupting his leadership instead of the
Whitehall status quo.
19. Build Baby Build: Housing Secretary Steve Reed not only mimicked Trump’s
words but also donned a red baseball cap. The merch was a treat at Labour
conference, but it was all a bit cringe.
20. Trigger Me Timbers: Leaks from this imaginatively-named Labour WhatsApp
group saw two MPs suspended for vile language. Remember, assume everything in a
group is public.
21. Humphrey: Obviously the best-named AI tool ever, the government’s own tech
overlord paid tribute to that most conniving of civil servants in the classic
BBC sitcom “Yes, Minister.”
21. Humphrey: Obviously, the best-named AI tool ever, the government’s own tech
overlord paid tribute to that most conniving of civil servants in classic BBC
sitcom “Yes, Minister.” | David Zorrakino/Europa Press via Getty Images
22. Right to Try: A phrase describing a new guarantee for people entering work —
and which might double up as a stirring campaign slogan for the PM.
23. Patriotic renewal: Get those flags out again as No. 10 presses the jargon
button to describe what this whole government thing is about.
24. Thatcher Fest: The celebrations marking the centenary of the Iron Lady’s
birth knew no bounds.
25. One in, one out: Britain and France struck a treaty for small boat crossings
— until one returned migrant recrossed the English Channel to Blighty.
26. Zacktavist: A new generation of Greens got behind “eco-populist” leader Zack
Polanksi — and could treat themselves to a mug with his face on for £7 a pop.
27. Yantar: Russia made its meddling against Britain known by deploying a spy
ship into territorial waters … although it failed to remain incognito.
28. Two up, two down: Chancellor Rachel Reeves mooted increasing income tax by
2p and cutting national insurance by 2p … before (probably) realizing it would
mark the end of her time in the Treasury.
29. Island of strangers: The PM channeled Reform with a speech on migration
featuring this phrase. It was compared to former Tory MP Enoch Powell’s infamous
“Rivers of Blood” speech … and Starmer later retracted the whole thing.
30. Bob Vylan: A previously obscure rap duo was thrust into the spotlight after
calling for “death, death to the IDF” [Israel Defence Forces] at Glastonbury.
The BBC came under fire, because of course it did.
31. Persistent knobheadery: That’s one way for a Labour source to justify
suspending the whip from four MPs.
32. Sexist boys’ club: Setting up a political party is harder than it looks.
Who’d have thought it? Ex-Labour MP Zarah Sultana’s tough words for her fellow
independent MPs as the flailing Your Party launched meant some of them left
anyway. All’s fair in love and war.
33. F**king suck it up: Running a council is pretty tricky. Reform’s Kent County
Council Leader Linden Kemkaran told her fellow councilors they’d have to cope
with tough decisions in these colorful terms.
Running a council is pretty tricky. Reform’s Kent County Council Leader Linden
Kemkaran told her fellow councilors they’d have to cope with tricky decisions in
these colorful terms. | Gareth Fuller/PA Images via Getty Images
34. Three Pads Rayner: Angela Rayner’s tenure as deputy PM and, erm, housing
secretary came to an abrupt end after she failed to pay the correct amount of
property tax — but not before earning this moniker.
35. Further and faster: How did the government react to its local elections
shellacking? By vowing to carry on in exactly the same way, albeit more
intensely.
36. Phase Two: Starmer’s much-hyped fall reset of his government was followed by
one calamity after another. Not too late for Phase Three!
37. Danish model: Ministers decided migration could be solved by copying
Copenhagen. Anything for a trip to the continent.
38. The Liz Truss Show: Britain’s shortest-serving former prime minister used
extra time on her hands to woo MAGAland with yet another political podcast.
Cannot be unseen.
39. I rise to speak: MPs deploying this phrase gave an instant red flag that
they may, just may, have used AI to help write their speeches.
40. Judge Plus: Labour MP Kim Leadbeater’s assurance that her assisted dying
bill still had plenty of legal safeguards, despite a High Court judge getting
dropped from the process.
41. Pride in Place: After Boris Johnson’s “leveling up” (RIP), Labour tries a
similar approach in all but name.
42. Waste Files: Elon Musk inspired a host of U.K. DOGE copycats keen to slash
complex government budgets from their armchairs.
43. Project Chainsaw: No, Starmer isn’t suddenly a Javier Milei fan, but his
government wanted to reshape the state — with some bandying about this subtle,
civil service-spooking nickname.
44. Global headwinds: The ultimate euphemism for how the orange-colored elephant
in the room changed everything.
45. Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention: Want Britain closer to the EU? Choose a
trade agreement guaranteed to send even the most ardent Europhile to sleep.
President Trump’s trade wars caused global headwinds throughout the year. |
Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images
46. Headphone dodgers: A nuisance to everyone, the Lib Dems went full throttle
by pledging to fine the public transport irritants £1,000. It’s a wonder the
party isn’t leading the polls.
47. StormShroud drones: All wars create an opportunity for futuristic tech that
hopefully does what it says on the tin.
48. Return hubs: Ministers insist migration definitely isn’t getting outsourced
to other countries by mooting third-party “processing” … something Albania won’t
even take part in. See also: Deport Now, Appeal Later.
49. Far-right bandwagon: Starmer’s row with Musk reached a crescendo with the
PM’s phrase lobbed at some proponents of an inquiry into grooming gangs
operating in the U.K.
50. Impossible trilemma: Ahead of the budget, a top think tank warned that
Reeves faced the unenviable task of meeting fiscal targets while sticking to
spending promises and not raising taxes. No pressure.
51. Chief Secretary to the Prime Minister: Darren Jones’ prefect vibes were
rewarded with a brand spanking new gig in the pre-shuffle right at the start of
Phase Two.
52. Growth people feel in their pockets: One No. 10 press officer may have
collected their P45 after publishing *that* press release.
53. Mainstream: This totally normal, nothing-to-see-here, soft-left Labour group
definitely isn’t a vehicle for Andy Burnham’s return to Westminster.
54. Plastic patriots/plastic progressives: The synthetic material really got a
kicking from Labour, who deployed the terms to slam Reform and the Greens
respectively. Let’s hope voters have reusable bags.
55. Quint: Five lucky people (Starmer, Reeves, Lammy, Jones and Pat McFadden)
who apparently decide how government operates. Great job, guys!
56. Hard bastard: The PM’s best effort to show he was “tough enough,” Ed
Miliband-style. We all know how that ended.
57. Global Progress Action Summit: Progressives met in a desperate attempt to
figure out how to avoid a trouncing from populists. More updates as we get them.
58. Contribution: Reeves’ framing of higher taxes, carefully sidestepping the
fact that taxes aren’t optional.
59. Maintenance department: Deffo-not-future Labour leadership contender Wes
Streeting’s description of how the party presents itself publicly. Stirring
stuff.
60. Terminator: Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood earned an Arnie-inspired new
nickname as she tried to show Labour is really, really tough on migration,
honest.
61. Reverse Midas Touch: Anything the PM touches, including ID cards, is hit by
this tragic affliction, according to his critics.
62. V levels: The natural successor to A and T level educational qualifications.
Just a matter of time before there’s one for each letter of the alphabet.
63. Culturally coherent: Tory rising star Katie Lam’s justification for
deporting legal migrants got her into some hot water.
64. 24/7 circus of sh*t: One former Tory aide’s pithy description of the Home
Office. Who are the clowns?
65. Six seven: Nobody over the age of 11 understands this meme — yet the PM
unleashed havoc in a classroom by joining in.
66. Civilizational erasure: America’s dystopian portrayal of what Europe is
facing probably won’t feature in many tourist brochures.
67. Turning renewal into reality: Starmer’s ambition for next year in his final
Cabinet meeting of 2025. Bookmark that one.
Tag - Insurance
Elisabeth Braw is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, the author of the
award-winning “Goodbye Globalization” and a regular columnist for POLITICO.
It was hardly the kind of peace and cheer one hopes to see leading up to
Christmas. But on Dec. 7, the second Sunday of Advent, a collection of telecoms
masts in Sweden were the site of a strange scene, as a foreign citizen turned up
and began taking photographs.
The case became widely known two days later, when the CEO of Teracom, a
state-owned Swedish telecom and data services provider, posted an unusual update
on LinkedIn: Company employees and contracted security had helped detain a
foreign citizen, CEO Johan Petersson reported. They had spotted the foreigner
taking pictures of a group of Teracom masts, which are sensitive installations
clearly marked with “no trespassing” signs. After being alerted by the
employees, police had arrested the intruder. “Fast, resolute and completely in
line with the operative capabilities required to protect Sweden’s critical
infrastructure,” Petersson wrote.
But his post didn’t end there: “Teracom continually experiences similar events,”
he noted. “We don’t just deliver robust nets — we take full responsibility for
keeping them secure and accessible around the clock. This is total defense in
practice.”
That’s a lot of troubling news in one message: a foreign citizen intruding into
an area closed to the public to take photos of crucial communications masts, and
the fact that this isn’t a unique occurrence. Indeed, earlier this year, Swedish
authorities announced they had discovered a string of some 30 cases of sabotage
against telecoms and data masts in the country.
How many more potential saboteurs haven’t been caught? It’s a frightening
question and, naturally, one we don’t have an answer to.
It’s not just communications masts that are being targeted. In the past couple
years, there have been fires set in shopping malls and warehouses in big cities.
There have been suspicious drone sightings near defense manufacturing sites and,
infamously, airports. Between January and Nov. 19 of this year, there were more
than 1,072 incidents involving 1,955 drones in Europe, and as a group of German
journalism students have established, some of those drones were launched from
Russian-linked ships. And of course, there has been suspicious damage to
undersea cables and pipelines in the Baltic Sea and off the coast of Taiwan.
I’ve written before in this publication that Russia’s goal with such subversive
operations may be to bleed our companies dry, and that China seems to be
pursuing the same objective vis-à-vis certain countries. But when it comes to
critical national infrastructure — in which I could include institutions like
supermarkets — we need them to work no matter what. Imagine going a day or two
or three without being able to buy food, and you’ll see what I mean.
The upside to Teracom’s most recent scare was that the company was prepared and
ultimately lost no money. Because its staff and security guards were alert, the
company prevented any damage to their masts and operations. In fact, with the
perpetrator arrested — whether prosecutors will decide to charge him remains to
be seen — Teracom’s staff may well have averted possible damage to other
businesses too.
Moving forward, companies would do well to train their staff to be similarly
alert when it comes to saboteurs and reconnaissance operators in different
guises. We can’t know exactly what kind of subversive activities will be
directed against our societies, but companies can teach their employees what to
look for. If someone suddenly starts taking pictures of something only a
saboteur would be interested in, that’s a red flag.
Indeed, boards could also start requiring company staff to become more vigilant.
If alertness can make the difference between relatively smooth sailing and
considerable losses — or intense tangling with insurers — in these
geopolitically turbulent times, few boards would ignore it. And being able to
demonstrate such preparedness is something companies could highlight in
speeches, media interviews and, naturally, their annual reports.
Insurers, in turn, could start requiring such training for these very reasons.
After serious cyberattacks first took off, insurers paid out on their policies
for a long time, until they realized they should start obliging the
organizations they insure to demonstrate serious protections in order to qualify
for insurance. Insurers may soon decide to introduce such conditions for
coverage of physical attacks too. Even without pressure from boards or insurers,
considering the risk of sabotage directed at companies, it would be positively
negligent not to train one’s staff accordingly.
Meanwhile, some governments have understandably introduced resilience
requirements for companies that operate crucial national infrastructure. Under
Finland’s CER Act, for instance, “critical entities must carry out a risk
assessment, draw up a resilience plan and take any necessary measures.”
The social contract in liberal democracies is that we willingly give up some of
our power to those we elect to govern us. These representatives are ultimately
in charge of the state apparatus, and in exchange, we pay taxes and obey the
law. But that social contract doesn’t completely absolve us from our
responsibility toward the greater good. That’s why an increasing number of
European countries are obliging 19-year-olds to do military service.
When crises approach, we all still have a part to play. Helping spot incidents
and alerting the authorities is everyone’s responsibility. Because the current
geopolitical turbulence has followed such a long period of harmony, it’s hard to
crank up the gears of societal responsibility again. And truthfully, in some
countries, those gears never worked particularly well to begin with.
But for companies, however, stepping up to the plate isn’t just a matter of
doing the right thing — it’s a matter of helping themselves. Back in the day,
the saying went that what was good for Volvo was good for Sweden, and what was
good for General Motors was good for the U.S. Today, when companies do the right
thing for their home countries, they similarly benefit too.
Now, let’s get those alertness courses going.
The Bank of England is set to cut interest rates on Thursday, after
lower-than-expected inflation figures and signs of a weakening jobs market.
Headline inflation slowed to 3.2 percent in November, from 3.6 in October, the
Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday. That was the lowest since
March and a much clearer drop than predicted by analysts, who had forecast a
rate of 3.5 percent.
“A cut tomorrow should be a no-brainer, with another to follow in February,”
Peel Hunt chief economist Kallum Pickering said via social media, pointing to
“No growth since summer, a labor market that is rapidly cooling, and a big
downside surprise to inflation across the board in November.”
The news comes only a day after labor market data from the ONS showed the
unemployment rate rising to its highest level in over four years in October.
The economy has struggled for growth in the second half of this year, after a
sugar rush in the first quarter in which exporters rushed to get their goods to
the U.S. before President Donald Trump could impose trade tariffs. The hangover
from that — and the lingering uncertainty over the global economic outlook
caused by Trump’s trade policy — has been severe.
But at the same time, an unwelcome rise in inflation has stopped the Bank of
England from cutting interest rates more quickly to support the economy. A raft
of hikes in government- controlled prices such as energy bills and rail fares
meant that inflation was rising for much of the year, leading it to peak at 3.8
percent in September. That was also partly due to companies passing on increases
in labor costs due to a 6.7 percent hike in the National Living Wage and an
increase in employers’ National Insurance contributions.
Panmure Liberum chief economist Simon French said the wide range of goods and
services now showing softening price trends showed that demand is now so weak
that companies are having to absorb those price increases themselves instead.
The government will be particularly relieved to have seen politically sensitive
food prices, which have been a constant bugbear for the last couple of years,
making the biggest contribution to the slowdown in inflation in November. Prices
for clothing and footwear and for discretionary services such as restaurants and
hotels also fell slightly.
“As Christmas gifts go, this is a most welcome one,” said Danni Hewson, head of
financial analysis at AJ Bell. “It’s the time of year when people put a few more
things in their supermarket trolley, so news that food and alcohol inflation has
fallen will be a boon for cash-strapped families.”
The Bank has consistently said that inflation would fall once those factors
passed out of the annual calculations, given that the underlying weakness of the
economy. However, with the worst bout of inflation in half a century still fresh
in everyone’s minds, it has been forced to keep the pace of policy easing
“gradual and cautious”.
Peel Hunt’s Pickering said that the scale of the slowdown could be enough to
have some members of the Monetary Policy Committee voting for a half-point cut
in the Bank Rate to 3.5 percent on Thursday. However, the consensus remains for
a quarter-point cut to 3.75 percent.
The pound still fell over half a cent against the dollar in response to the
numbers, as traders penciled in more scope for easing next year, while the
government’s borrowing costs in the bond market also fell.
This article is also available in French and German.
President Donald Trump denounced Europe as a “decaying” group of nations led by
“weak” people in an interview with POLITICO, belittling the traditional U.S.
allies for failing to control migration and end the Russia-Ukraine war, and
signaling that he would endorse European political candidates aligned with his
own vision for the continent.
The broadside attack against European political leadership represents the
president’s most virulent denunciation to date of these Western democracies,
threatening a decisive rupture with countries like France and Germany that
already have deeply strained relations with the Trump administration.
“I think they’re weak,” Trump said of Europe’s political leaders. “But I also
think that they want to be so politically correct.”
“I think they don’t know what to do,” he added. “Europe doesn’t know what to
do.”
Trump matched that blunt, even abrasive, candor on European affairs with a
sequence of stark pronouncements on matters closer to home: He said he would
make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in his choice
of a new Federal Reserve chair. He said he could extend anti-drug military
operations to Mexico and Colombia. And Trump urged conservative Supreme Court
Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, both in their 70s, to stay on the
bench.
Trump’s comments about Europe come at an especially precarious moment in the
negotiations to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, as European leaders express
intensifying alarm that Trump may abandon Ukraine and its continental allies to
Russian aggression. In the interview, Trump offered no reassurance to Europeans
on that score and declared that Russia was obviously in a stronger position than
Ukraine.
Trump spoke on Monday at the White House with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns for a
special episode of The Conversation. POLITICO on Tuesday named Trump the most
influential figure shaping European politics in the year ahead, a recognition
previously conferred on leaders including Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orbán.
Trump’s confident commentary on Europe presented a sharp contrast with some of
his remarks on domestic matters in the interview. The president and his party
have faced a series of electoral setbacks and spiraling dysfunction in Congress
this fall as voters rebel against the high cost of living. Trump has struggled
to deliver a message to meet that new reality: In the interview, he graded the
economy’s performance as an “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus,” insisted that prices
were falling across the board and declined to outline a specific remedy for
imminent spikes in health care premiums.
Even amid growing turbulence at home, however, Trump remains a singular figure
in international politics.
In recent days, European capitals have shuddered with dismay at the release of
Trump’s new National Security Strategy document, a highly provocative manifesto
that cast the Trump administration in opposition to the mainstream European
political establishment and vowed to “cultivate resistance” to the European
status quo on immigration and other politically volatile issues.
In the interview, Trump amplified that worldview, describing cities like London
and Paris as creaking under the burden of migration from the Middle East and
Africa. Without a change in border policy, Trump said, some European states
“will not be viable countries any longer.”
Using highly incendiary language, Trump singled out London’s left-wing mayor,
Sadiq Khan, the son of Pakistani immigrants and the city’s first Muslim mayor,
as a “disaster” and blamed his election on immigration: “He gets elected because
so many people have come in. They vote for him now.”
The president of the European Council, António Costa, on Monday rebuked the
Trump administration for the national security document and urged the White
House to respect Europe’s sovereignty and right to self-government.
“Allies do not threaten to interfere in the democratic life or the domestic
political choices of these allies,” Costa said. “They respect them.”
Speaking with POLITICO, Trump flouted those boundaries and said he would
continue to back favorite candidates in European elections, even at the risk of
offending local sensitivities.
“I’d endorse,” Trump said. “I’ve endorsed people, but I’ve endorsed people that
a lot of Europeans don’t like. I’ve endorsed Viktor Orbán,” the hard-right
Hungarian prime minister Trump said he admired for his border-control policies.
It was the Russia-Ukraine war, rather than electoral politics, that Trump
appeared most immediately focused on. He claimed on Monday that he had offered a
new draft of a peace plan that some Ukrainian officials liked, but that
Zelenskyy himself had not reviewed yet. “It would be nice if he would read it,”
Trump said.
Zelenskyy met with leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Monday
and continued to voice opposition to ceding Ukrainian territory to Russia as
part of a peace deal.
The president said he put little stock in the role of European leaders in
seeking to end the war: “They talk, but they don’t produce, and the war just
keeps going on and on.”
In a fresh challenge to Zelenskyy, who appears politically weakened in Ukraine
due to a corruption scandal, Trump renewed his call for Ukraine to hold new
elections.
“They haven’t had an election in a long time,” Trump said. “You know, they talk
about a democracy, but it gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore.”
Latin America
Even as he said he is pursuing a peace agenda overseas, Trump said he might
further broaden the military actions his administration has taken in Latin
America against targets it claims are linked to the drug trade. Trump has
deployed a massive military force to the Caribbean to strike alleged drug
runners and pressure the authoritarian regime in Venezuela.
In the interview, Trump repeatedly declined to rule out putting American troops
into Venezuela as part of an effort to bring down the strongman ruler Nicolás
Maduro, whom Trump blames for exporting drugs and dangerous people to the United
States. Some leaders on the American right have warned Trump that a ground
invasion of Venezuela would be a red line for conservatives who voted for him in
part to end foreign wars.
“I don’t want to rule in or out. I don’t talk about it,” Trump said of deploying
ground troops, adding: “I don’t want to talk to you about military strategy.”
But the president said he would consider using force against targets in other
countries where the drug trade is highly active, including Mexico and Colombia.
“Sure, I would,” he said.
Trump scarcely defended some of his most controversial actions in Latin America,
including his recent pardon of the former Honduran President Juan Orlando
Hernández, who was serving a decades-long sentence in an American prison after
being convicted in a massive drug-trafficking conspiracy. Trump said he knew
“very little” about Hernández except that he’d been told by “very good people”
that the former Honduran president had been targeted unfairly by political
opponents.
“They asked me to do it and I said, I’ll do it,” Trump acknowledged, without
naming the people who sought the pardon for Hernández.
HEALTH CARE AND THE ECONOMY
Asked to grade the economy under his watch, Trump rated it an overwhelming
success: “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus.” To the extent voters are frustrated about
prices, Trump said the Biden administration was at fault: “I inherited a mess. I
inherited a total mess.”
The president is facing a forbidding political environment because of voters’
struggles with affordability, with about half of voters overall and nearly 4 in
10 people who voted for Trump in 2024 saying in a recent POLITICO Poll that
the cost of living was as bad as it had ever been in their lives.
Trump said he could make additional changes to tariff policy to help lower the
price of some goods, as he has already done, but he insisted overall that the
trend on costs was in the right direction.
“Prices are all coming down,” Trump said, adding: “Everything is coming down.”
Prices rose 3 percent over the 12 months ending in September, according to the
most recent Consumer Price Index.
Trump’s political struggles are shadowing his upcoming decision on a nominee to
chair the Federal Reserve, a post that will shape the economic environment for
the balance of Trump’s term. Asked if he was making support for slashing
interest rates a litmus test for his Fed nominee, Trump answered with a quick
“yes.”
The most immediate threat to the cost of living for many Americans is the
expiration of enhanced health insurance subsidies for Obamacare exchange plans
that were enacted by Democrats under former President Joe Biden and are set to
expire at the end of this year. Health insurance premiums are expected to spike
in 2026, and medical charities are already experiencing a marked rise in
requests for aid even before subsidies expire.
Trump has been largely absent from health policy negotiations in Washington,
while Democrats and some Republicans supportive of a compromise on subsidies
have run into a wall of opposition on the right. Reaching a deal — and
marshaling support from enough Republicans to pass it — would likely require
direct intervention from the president.
Yet asked if he would support a temporary extension of Obamacare subsidies while
he works out a large-scale plan with lawmakers, Trump was noncommittal.
“I don’t know. I’m gonna have to see,” he said, pivoting to an attack on
Democrats for being too generous with insurance companies in the Affordable Care
Act.
A cloud of uncertainty surrounds the administration’s intentions on health care
policy. In late November, the White House planned to unveil a proposal to
temporarily extend Obamacare subsidies only to postpone the announcement. Trump
has promised on and off for years to unveil a comprehensive plan for replacing
Obamacare but has never done so. That did not change in the interview.
“I want to give the people better health insurance for less money,” Trump said.
“The people will get the money, and they’re going to buy the health insurance
that they want.”
Reminded that Americans are currently buying holiday gifts and drawing up
household budgets for 2026 amid uncertainty around premiums, Trump shot back:
“Don’t be dramatic. Don’t be dramatic.”
SUPREME COURT
Large swaths of Trump’s domestic agenda currently sit before the Supreme Court,
with a generally sympathetic 6-3 conservative majority that has nevertheless
thrown up some obstacles to the most brazen versions of executive power Trump
has attempted to wield.
Trump spoke with POLITICO several days after the high court agreed to hear
arguments concerning the constitutionality of birthright citizenship, the
automatic conferral of citizenship on people born in the United States. Trump is
attempting to roll back that right and said it would be “devastating” if the
court blocked him from doing so.
If the court rules in his favor, Trump said, he had not yet considered whether
he would try to strip citizenship from people who were born as citizens under
current law.
Trump broke with some members of his party who have been hoping that the court’s
two oldest conservatives, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, might consider
retiring before the midterm elections so that Trump can nominate another
conservative while Republicans are guaranteed to control the Senate.
The president said he’d rather Alito, 75, and Thomas, 77, the court’s most
reliable conservative jurists, remain in place: “I hope they stay,” he said,
“’cause I think they’re fantastic.”
PARIS — Foreign pensioners who dream of spending their retirement under the sun
in the French Riviera might have to reconsider their plans if their free health
care gets axed.
France wants non-European Union pensioners who are currently benefitting from
the public health care system to start paying for it. It’s a move that would
particularly affect American retirees, who have flocked to one of Europe’s most
generous welfare states not only for its food, scenery and culture, but also, in
some cases, for its world-class free health care.
“It is a matter of fairness,” François Gernigon, the lawmaker who put forward
the proposal, told POLITICO. “If you are a French citizen and you move to the
U.S., you don’t have reciprocity, you don’t benefit from free social security.”
Under French law, non-working citizens from outside the EU who have a long-stay
visa and can prove they have sufficient pension or capital revenue (more than
€23,000 annually) as well as private health care insurance can, after three
months, obtain a carte vitale, which gives them free access to public health
care.
At that point, they can annul their previous private health insurance and
benefit from the French one. It’s become a popular choice for U.S. retirees in
recent years.
But a majority of French lawmakers wants to put an end to that situation and
make them pay a minimum contribution.
France wants non-European Union pensioners who are currently benefitting from
the public health care system to start paying for it. | Stephane de Sakutin/AFP
via Getty Images
That idea already passed in two branches of the parliament this month during
budgetary discussions, and could see the light as soon as next year as the
government has also backed it.
Gernigon said that even U.S. expats have told him they don’t find the current
situation normal and that they are ready to contribute more.
Under the latest version of the proposal, as modified by the French Senate, only
non-EU citizens who are not paying taxes or contributing to other welfare
programs in France would be required to pay the new minimum contribution.
Lawmakers have not fixed the contribution amount as it will be up to the
government to do it later. For Gernigon, the value could vary depending on the
level of health care coverage, but it would still be cheaper than private
insurance in the U.S. or abroad which, he said, costs around €300 to €500 per
month.
The debate comes as France struggles to cut spending and bring down its budget
deficit to 5 percent of gross domestic product next year.
Gernigon said he had not yet evaluated how much revenue these new contributions
would raise, but acknowledged that his main goal is fairness rather than fixing
France’s budget problems.
“This is not what is going to fill the hole in the social security budget,” he
said.
Hours after witnessing his party’s worst electoral drubbing in at least six
years, President Donald Trump hosted Senate Republicans at the White House and
demanded they ditch their chamber’s supermajority rules.
“If you don’t terminate the filibuster, you’ll be in bad shape,” he told them
over breakfast in the State Dining Room.
It was classic Trump dominance theater, like many other occasions this year
where he successfully muscled recalcitrant Republicans to confirm controversial
nominees, support divisive policies and enact sweeping domestic policy
legislation.
But upon returning to the Capitol, the senators made it very clear: They planned
to blow Trump off. One GOP senator, Mike Rounds of South Dakota, laughed out
loud when asked about the anti-filibuster push.
Welcome to the dawn of Trump’s lame duck era.
Don’t expect an immediate stampede away from the president, according to
interviews with GOP lawmakers and aides Wednesday — he remains overwhelmingly
popular with GOP voters and is the party’s most dominant leader in a generation.
Trump’s top political aide signaled Monday that the White House is not worried
about a messy “family conversation” about the filibuster.
But with Tuesday’s stunning election losses crystallizing the risks to
downballot Republicans in 2026 and beyond, there are growing signs that
lawmakers are contending with the facts of their political lives: He’ll be gone
in just over three years, while they’ll still be around.
The danger for the president is that if Trump can’t run roughshod over the thin
GOP congressional majorities, it would leave him few legislative options given
his scant interest in compromising with Democrats.
One Republican already liberated from reelection concerns openly vocalized
frustrations Wednesday as Trump pushed for the end of the filibuster — something
many in the GOP fear would backfire soon enough once Democrats regain power.
Retiring Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) called Democrats’ victory margins Tuesday “a
red flag to the GOP” and blasted Trump’s refusal to engage with the other party.
“He has zero ability to work across the aisle,” he added. “He needs to face
reality and learn how to talk to Democrats he can reason with.”
Other House Republicans more quietly aired frustration with Trump’s approach to
the record 37-day shutdown, which headed into the end of the congressional
workweek with no clear end in sight.
Many are privately signaling they’re prepared to break with Trump if he doesn’t
allow Republicans to negotiate on an extension of the Obamacare insurance
subsidies Democrats are demanding. Others blamed the president and his top
budget aide, Russ Vought, for favoring hardball moves such as canceling
blue-state transportation projects and firing federal employees that only served
to cause Democrats to dig in further.
One irate senior House Republican granted anonymity to speak candidly blamed
Trump and Vought for spurring the shutdown with their unprecedented move to
unilaterally rescind congressional funding over the summer through a so-called
pocket rescission.
“That decision is why we’re in this mess,” the Republican said.
Democrats who on Wednesday finally found a bounce in their step after a year of
infighting said it was no secret why Republicans were finally standing up to
Trump over the filibuster after folding so many times before.
“Last night’s results look like a recipe for them to lose the House and the
Senate next fall,” said Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.). “And they’re going to hand
us a 50-vote majority gift-wrapped when we show up Day 1?”
Trump on Wednesday night moved to buck up his faithful. “OUR MOVEMENT IS FAR
FROM OVER — IN FACT, OUR FIGHT HAS ONLY JUST BEGUN!” he wrote in a Truth Social
post with an upbeat video.
That followed a day on defense, where GOP leaders conspicuously split with Trump
on the reasons for the stunning Republican losses.
Both Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune played down the
Democratic victories, casting them as expected losses in blue states — never
mind that the margins in New Jersey and Virginia far outstripped expectations
and that Democrats also won big in Georgia, Mississippi and Pennsylvania.
Trump, on the other hand, told senators at the breakfast that the shutdown
played a “big role” in the GOP losses. Asked about that assessment, Johnson
replied, “I don’t think the loss last night was any reflection about Republicans
at all.”
What GOP lawmakers do know is that there is a dramatic difference in their
party’s performance in elections where Trump appears on the ballot versus the
midterm and off-year contests where he’s not — no matter how many rallies he
does or endorsements he doles out.
They also know, third-term musings of questionable constitutionality aside,
Trump will never run for office again — which had many acknowledging that, if
not fully reckoning with, the fact it might not be a great idea to hew so
closely to Trump’s agenda.
“Trump drives turnout, and if he’s not on the ballot, the turnout is way down,”
Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) said.
Cornyn questioned whether the Tuesday elections “prove very much” and was one of
the few GOP senators who said Wednesday he was newly open to considering changes
to the filibuster after meeting with Trump. He could be considered the exception
who proves the rule: Cornyn needs to stay in Trump’s good graces amid a fierce
primary battle for reelection next year.
Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) said voter dropoff in non-Trump years is “an issue for
Republicans” and suggested the party should consider changing the filibuster to
“do things that benefit the American public … secure the border, repair the
damage done by Obamacare, transition to a system that works, secure elections.”
But with Thune making clear the Senate’s rules aren’t changing — “I just know
where the math is on this issue,” the majority leader said — Johnson put the
focus on GOP voter behavior.
“People need to understand: If you want to keep Trump’s agenda moving forward,
you’ve got to come out in midterms,” he added.
Discussion has ramped up among senators about not only changing the filibuster
but also trying to pass a new party-line reconciliation bill under the budget
rules the GOP used to enact their megabill this summer. The suggestion came up
at the White House breakfast, according to senators.
But there are huge obstacles to going down that road. The GOP still has a
super-tight margin in the House, four senators can kill any party-line effort,
Senate rules restrict what initiatives can be passed under budget rules and
Republicans are far from united on what they would want to do with a
reconciliation bill in the first place.
James Blair, political director for Trump’s 2024 campaign and the RNC who now
serves as a deputy White House chief of staff, rejected the notion that
lawmakers will treat Trump as a lame duck in an interview for POLITICO’s “The
Conversation.”
“I don’t think Republicans are going to do that at all,” he said. “The
president, you know, sort of has his way of communicating, but the senators have
their way, and it’s a family at the end of the day.”
Some GOP senators, he added, “have long relationships, and they hope somehow the
Democrat fever will break one day. And I think the president’s view is, it’s not
breaking.”
Dasha Burns, Mia McCarthy and Hailey Fuchs contributed to this report.
Elisabeth Braw is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, the author of the
award-winning “Goodbye Globalization” and a regular columnist for POLITICO.
Over the past two years, state-linked Russian hackers have repeatedly attacked
Liverpool City Council — and it’s not because the Kremlin harbors a particular
dislike toward the port city in northern England.
Rather, these attacks are part of a strategy to hit cities, governments and
businesses with large financial losses, and they strike far beyond cyberspace.
In the Gulf of Finland, for example, the damage caused to undersea cables by the
Eagle S shadow vessel in December incurred costs adding up to tens of millions
of euros — and that’s just one incident.
Russia has attacked shopping malls, airports, logistics companies and airlines,
and these disruptions have all had one thing in common: They have a great cost
to the targeted companies and their insurers.
One can’t help but feel sorry for Liverpool City Council. In addition to looking
after the city’s half-million or so residents, it also has to keep fighting
Russia’s cyber gangs who, according to a recent report, have been attacking
ceaselessly: “We have experienced many attacks from this group and their allies
using their Distributed Botnet over the last two years,” the report noted,
referring to the hacktivist group NoName057(16), which has been linked to the
Russian state.
“[Denial of Service attacks] for monetary or political reasons is a widespread
risk for any company with a web presence or that relies on internet-based
systems.”
Indeed. Over the past decades, state-linked Russian hackers have targeted all
manner of European municipalities, government agencies and businesses. This
includes the 2017 NotPetya attack, which brought down “four hospitals in Kiev
alone, six power companies, two airports, more than 22 Ukrainian banks, ATMs and
card payment systems in retailers and transport, and practically every federal
agency,” as well as a string of multinationals, causing staggering losses of
around $10 billion.
More recently, Russia has taken to targeting organizations and businesses in
other ways as well. There have been arson attacks, including one involving
Poland’s largest shopping mall that Prime Minister Donald Tusk subsequently said
was definitively “ordered by Russian special services.” There have been parcel
bombs delivered to DHL; fast-growing drone activity reported around European
defense manufacturing facilities; and a string of suspicious incidents damaging
or severing undersea cables and even a pipeline.
The costly list goes on: Due to drone incursions into restricted airspace,
Danish and German airports have been forced to temporarily close, diverting or
cancelling dozens of flights. Russia’s GPS jamming and spoofing are affecting a
large percentage of commercial flights all around the Baltic Sea. In the Red
Sea, Houthi attacks are causing most ships owned by or flagged in Western
countries to redirect along the much longer Cape of Good Hope route, which adds
costs. The Houthis are not Russia, but Russia (and China) could easily aid
Western efforts to stop these attacks — yet they don’t. They simply enjoy the
enormous privilege of having their vessels sail through unassailed.
The organizations and companies hit by Russia have so far managed to avert
calamitous harm. But these attacks are so dangerous and reckless that people
will, sooner or later, lose their lives.
There have been arson attacks, including one involving Poland’s largest shopping
mall that Prime Minister Donald Tusk subsequently said was definitively “ordered
by Russian special services.” | Aleksander Kalka/Getty Images
What’s more, their targets will continue losing a lot of money. The repairs of a
subsea data cable alone typically costs up to a couple million euros. The owners
of EstLink 2 — the undersea power cable hit by the Eagle S— incurred losses of
nearly €60 million. Closing an airport for several hours is also incredibly
expensive, as is cancelling or diverting flights.
To be sure, most companies have insurance to cover them against cyber attacks or
similar harm, but insurance is only viable if the harm is occasional. If it
becomes systematic, underwriters can no longer afford to take on the risk — or
they have to significantly increase their premiums. And there’s the kicker: An
interested actor can make disruption systematic.
That is, in fact, what Russia is doing. It is draining our resources, making it
increasingly costly to be a business based in a Western country, or even a city
council or government authority, for that matter.
This is terrifying — and not just for the companies that may be hit. But while
Russia appears far beyond the reach of any possible efforts to convince it to
listen to its better angels, we can still put up a steely front. The armed
forces put up the literal steel, of course, but businesses and civilian
organizations can practice and prepare for any attacks that Russia, or other
hostile countries, could decide to launch against them.
Such preparation would limit the possible harm such attacks can lead to. It begs
the question, if an attack causes minimal disruption, then what’s the point of
instigating it in the first place?
That’s why government-led gray-zone exercises that involve the private sector
are so important. I’ve been proposing them for several years now, and for every
month that passes, they become even more essential.
Like the military, we shouldn’t just conduct these exercises — we should tell
the whole world we’re doing so too. Demonstrating we’re ready could help
dissuade sinister actors who believe they can empty our coffers. And it has a
side benefit too: It helps companies show their customers and investors that
they can, indeed, weather whatever Russia may dream up.
LONDON — British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stood by his chief finance minister
after she admitted breaking housing rules when renting out her family home.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves issued an apology late Wednesday night after an
investigation by the Daily Mail newspaper found she’d failed to obtain a rental
license when putting her home on the market after moving into Number 11 Downing
Street with her family.
The opposition Conservatives are calling for Reeves to quit, but Starmer said
Wednesday that while “it is regrettable that the appropriate licence was not
sought sooner,” he was “satisfied that this matter can be drawn to a close
following your apology.”
The timing of the row is particularly awkward for the prime minister, who
recently lost his deputy Angela Rayner over a housing tax scandal. His
government is also about to preside over a tricky budget that could see it junk
a key economic pledge not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT.
In the exchange of letters, sent to the media just after 11 p.m. Wednesday,
Reeves said there were “selective licensing requirements” in the Dulwich Wood
ward of Southwark council where her home was located. “Regrettably, we were not
aware that a licence was necessary, and so we did not obtain the licence before
letting the property out.”
The chancellor added: “This was an inadvertent mistake. As soon as it was
brought to my attention, we took immediate action and applied for the licence.”
Reeves said she had contacted the U.K.’s ethics watchdogs — Independent Adviser
on Ministerial Standards Laurie Magnus and Parliamentary Commissioner for
Standards Daniel Greenberg — to probe the matter.
Writing back, Starmer said Magnus believed “further investigation is not
necessary” as the Ministerial Code — which governs behavior of government reps
in the U.K. — says “an apology is a sufficient resolution” in certain
circumstances.
But the opposition Tories, already seeking to pressure Reeves as the budget
looms, leapt on the row. Conservative Leader Kemi Badenoch said the PM “must
launch a full investigation” and “show he has the backbone to act” if Reeves
broke the law.
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride doubled down Thursday morning, telling Sky News it
wasn’t “good enough simply to try and brush it under the carpet” and saying
Starmer needed to “accept that her position is not tenable.”
Prime minister’s questions: a shouty, jeery, very occasionally useful advert for
British politics. Here’s what you need to know from the latest session in
POLITICO’s weekly run-through.
What they sparred about: The economy. Though it’s one of the most important
issues in politics, Tory Leader Kemi Badenoch’s finance-focused grilling of
Prime Minister Keir Starmer was a curious choice, considering that the Home
Office is facing disaster after disaster.
Nevertheless: Rachel Reeves’ budget is under a month away, so speculation about
what the chancellor will pull out of her red box is at fever pitch. The Tory
leader asked if the PM “stood by” his promises not to increase income tax,
national insurance or VAT? These, of course, were in Labour’s landslide
election-winning manifesto just last year.
Watch and wait: The PM, you won’t be surprised to read, skirted around the
query, stressing the government would “lay out their plans” next month. “Well,
well, well, what a fascinating answer,” Badenoch cried after leaping to her
feet. She asked the same question in July and, back then, got a one-word answer
in the affirmative. “What’s changed in the past four months?”
Expectation management: Quite reasonably, Starmer said that “no prime minister
or chancellor will ever set out their plans in advance.” But the PM laid the
groundwork for Reeves’ pledge possibly being breached — and blaming the Tories.
The economic figures, he said, “are now coming through and they confirm that the
Tories did even more damage to the economy than we previously thought.” Expect
this claim to be repeated.
Lightbulb moment: Badenoch mentioned a number of the policies she announced at
Conservative conference earlier this month. “We have some ideas for him,” she
said about improving the economy, to cries of horror from Labour backbenchers,
calling for the abolition of stamp duty. “Why didn’t they do it then in 14
years in office?,” Starmer shot back, briefly forgetting he was meant to be
answering the questions.
Broken record: When the economy’s the topic of the day, familiar lines come out
to play. The PM condemned the Tories’ record on austerity, their “botched Brexit
deal,” and, you’ve guessed it, Liz Truss’ mini-budget. “We’ll take no advice or
lectures on the economy,” the PM cried. “They won’t be trusted on the economy
for generations to come.” The originality here is exceptional.
Cross-party consensus: Badenoch ensured she wasn’t left out, claiming the last
government reduced inflation and improved growth. “The truth is they have no
ideas,” the Tory leader crowed, as she called for the parties to work together
on welfare spending. Starmer didn’t accept that definite request in good faith,
stressing that the Tories broke the economy and “they have not changed a bit.”
Helpful backbench intervention of the week: Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney MP Nick
Smith slammed off-road bikers running riot under the Tories and asked the PM to
praise Labour’s support for the police. Starmer did exactly that. The men and
women in blue have never been so grateful.
Totally unscientific scores on the doors: Starmer 7/10. Badenoch 6/10. The Tory
leader’s economic focus in a week when a man deported to France returned across
the English Channel and a sex offender due for deportation was mistakenly
released from jail for 48 hours remains an odd decision. Despite the
government’s numerous economic challenges, the carnage over the U.K.’s border
presented an open goal for the Tories. Though the Tory leader forced Starmer not
to repeat his previous economic pledges, she wasn’t able to capitalize on that
weakness — meaning no clear winner emerged.
LONDON — Keir Starmer’s gone all-in on digital identification for Brits.
But while many MPs in the prime minister’s governing Labour Party back the idea
in theory, there are plenty despairing at a botched communications strategy
which they believe has set the wide-ranging policy up for a fall.
Under Starmer’s plans, digital ID will be required for right-to-work checks by
2029. Ministers insist the ID — a second attempt to land ID cards for Brits
after a botched first go under Tony Blair — won’t track people’s location,
spending habits or online activity.
Yet Labour MPs feel a more sellable emphasis on improving people’s experience of
public services has gotten lost.
Instead, Starmer’s government — with populist right-winger Nigel Farage
breathing down its neck — has attempted to link the plan to a migration
crackdown.
“It’s a no-brainer,” said Labour MP Allison Gardner, chair of the All Party
Parliamentary Group (APPG) for digital identity. “It absolutely will make
people’s lives easier, more secure [and] give them more control over their data.
We need to explain it better to people, so that they understand that this is for
them, and it’s not being done to them.”
HARD SELL
A consultation on the plans will be launched by the end of 2025, before
legislation next year. The government’s huge majority means it’s highly likely
to become law — but there’s a potentially bumpy road ahead.
Two decades after Blair’s New Labour first proposed plastic identity cards,
Starmer wants to finish the job, pitching a plan to make digital ID mandatory
for right-to-work checks as a way to deter irregular migration.
Yet the sweeping change, announced on the eve of Labour conference, didn’t get a
mention in Starmer’s setpiece speech — and notably didn’t appear in the party’s
election manifesto.
“The announcement hasn’t been handled well,” admitted a pro-digital ID Labour MP
granted anonymity to speak candidly. “Our argument for it keeps changing but
none of it is full-throated enough.”
The messaging has shifted since the initial push, too. Technology Secretary Liz
Kendall later stressed giving “people power and control over their lives,”
saying the public is too often “at the mercy of a system that does not work for
us as well as it should.” That was only after a drop in poll ratings for the
idea. A petition against it has meanwhile racked up close to three million
signatures.
The shapeshifting rhetoric — painting digital ID first as a necessary
inconvenience before calling it vital for state efficiency — caused some heads
to spin.
Technology Secretary Liz Kendall later stressed giving “people power and control
over their lives,” saying the public is too often “at the mercy of a system that
does not work for us as well as it should.” | Andy Rain/EPA
“The government communication … has not learned from the mistakes made when
digital ID was proposed 20 years ago,” said a second Labour MP, who thought the
focus on immigration meant ministers weren’t “talking about the benefits it
brings ordinary British citizens.”
Red flags have also been also waved over compulsory right-to-work checks, given
only the very wealthiest Brits never need to work — making it de facto
mandatory.
“There’s been a kneejerk reaction, particularly to the word mandatory, which I
think British people have naturally reacted against,” admitted Gardner, who
argues voters should have a choice about using the scheme. “It’s a little bit of
a bandwagon people have latched on to, to actually derail the entire concept.”
Farage, eager to paint himself as a champion of civil liberties, has warned
digital ID won’t stop “illegal immigration” but will “be used to control and
penalise the rest of us.”
Analysis by the New Britain Project think tank, shared with POLITICO, shows that
Google searches for digital ID were elevated for around three weeks after the
announcement compared to the typical one day spike for most policies.
Interest dwarfed other decisions too, with peak search traffic for digital ID 20
to 50 times higher than any other flagship policy terms in the last year.
Nigel Farage, eager to paint himself as a champion of civil liberties, has
warned digital ID won’t stop “illegal immigration” but will “be used to control
and penalise the rest of us.” | Neil Hall/EPA
Longstanding Labour MP Fabian Hamilton highlights the dilemma of digital ID:
“Nobody likes compulsion, and it will only work if everybody has to have it.”
Despite Kendall expressing optimism about a digital key unlocking “better, more
joined-up and effective public services,” Hamilton argues that prioritizing
migration in the messaging is too simplistic. “I’m sorry to say that the legal
migration is tilting the head at a certain part of the electorate that are very
concerned about illegal migration and the tabloids,” he argues.
NO SILVER BULLET
Whether digital ID works on its own terms — reducing irregular migration — is
also hotly contested.
Right-to-work checks already exist in the U.K., with employees required to show
documentation like a letter with their national insurance number.
“It may be helpful, but obviously it won’t affect fundamental factors [driving
people to the U.K.] of family links or English language,” warns former Home
Office Permanent Secretary Philip Rutnam.
He believes the most challenging part of the scheme will be “establishing the
status of many people beyond doubt” given some residents may not have formal ID.
“There are millions of people whose status it may bring into question,” Rutnam
says. “Their status may not be what they have understood it to be.”
Whether digital ID works on its own terms — reducing irregular migration — is
also hotly contested. | Tolga Akmen/EPA
That’s sparked fears among some in Westminster of another Windrush scandal. That
debacle saw some people who emigrated to Britain as part of a post-Second World
War rebuilding effort later denied rights and, in the most extreme cases,
deported under a scattershot Home Office clampdown.
“We need to be very, very careful,” warns former U.K. Border Force
Director-General Tony Smith. Smith says digital ID is “not a panacea,” and warns
illegal working is likely to remain because unscrupulous employers won’t
suddenly become law-abiding.
TECH TROUBLES
The British government’s ability to handle such a vast amount of sensitive data
securely is also far from certain. Kendall has stressed that the data behind
digital ID won’t be centralized and says individuals will be able to see who has
accessed their information.
That’s not enough for skeptics.
A catastrophic Ministry of Defence breach, which leaked details of Afghans
applying to resettle in Britain after the Taliban’s return to power, shows the
danger of sensitive details reaching the wrong hands.
“The track record’s not been great,” Smith warns. “You are trying to turn round
a huge tanker in the ocean here, and I do worry that we haven’t perhaps got the
necessary gear.”
Rutnam agrees digital ID will be a “very demanding administrative exercise” that
politicians need to understand is “complex and inherently risky.”
A catastrophic Ministry of Defence breach, which leaked details of Afghans
applying to resettle in Britain after the Taliban’s return to power, shows the
danger of sensitive details reaching the wrong hands. | Andy Rain/EPA
Perhaps more damning for digital ID’s support among the Labour faithful is
anxiety about future governments using the information malevolently. “Faith in
our institutions of government and of the state is at an all-time low,” says
Hamilton, citing a “bizarre situation” where some Brits lump digital ID in with
Covid-19 vaccines as a government conspiracy.
One Labour MP vehemently opposed to digital ID says ministers are so far failing
to consider “what happens when we’re gone” and warns any safeguards “can be
unpicked” by subsequent administrations.
Starmer has spoken about digital ID as a positive alternative to rifling through
drawers looking for “three bills when you want to get your kids into school or
apply for this or apply for that.”
“F*ck you,” the anonymous Labour MP above said in response. “I can’t believe
that. Is that the best you’ve got for giving away fundamental rights?”
Still, Gardner is pleading for colleagues not to block this modern innovation:
“We are at risk of throwing a very, very good baby out with the bathwater if we
resist this and just keep ourselves in the dark ages.”
Emilio Casalicchio and Dan Bloom contributed to this report.