An emerging U.S.-China detente gives European leaders breathing room to find a
strategy on trade, raw materials and the war in Ukraine — but the thaw between
the two great powers risks pushing European interests to the side.
President Donald Trump and his counterpart Xi Jinping agreed to a significant
de-escalation in their trade spat during a head-to-head Thursday in South Korea,
pausing export controls on rare earth magnets and other critical raw materials
for 12 months.
While the move is good news for European companies that have been caught in the
crossfire, other sticking points in the Europe-China relationship will be harder
to resolve, even with the gift of time.
Brussels, under pressure from Trump and in pursuit of its own strategic
interests, is trying — without notable success — to sway Beijing from supporting
Russia in its war on Ukraine.
At the same time the EU is doing its best to keep the temperature down in its
longstanding trade standoff with China, whose intensity has ratcheted up
recently with the imposition of limits on exports of critical raw materials and
microchips. Both measures have had an immediate negative impact on European
industry, particularly automakers which were already struggling prior to the
restrictions.
Fears of lasting, irreversible damage to Europe’s industries have led the EU to
take a more conciliatory stance in its trade standoff, emphasizing engagement
and dialogue rather than punitive measures.
Yet Chinese officials have balked at the slow and uncoordinated pace of
discussions with the EU, leading Beijing to drop Europe down its list of
priorities, according to Jeremy Chan, a senior analyst at Eurasia Group.
“The EU is a secondary at best, maybe a tertiary or a non-consideration for both
Washington and Beijing in these negotiations,” Chan told POLITICO.
‘LET THEM FIGHT’
The top political priority for the EU is ending the war in Ukraine — something
that Trump while on the campaign trail promised to do within his first 24 hours
in office. Almost a year into his term, the fighting continues, aided by China
propping up Russia’s economy through investments and oil purchases.
At the urging of the White House, the EU included Chinese banks and refineries
in its two latest rounds of sanctions targeting Russia, arguing the entities
were helping Moscow evade sanctions. This prompted an angry response from top
Chinese officials including Prime Minister Li Qiang, who branded the sanctions
“unacceptable” during a meeting with European Council President Antonio Costa in
Asia this week, per an EU official.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and the bloc’s top diplomat,
Kaja Kallas, have both called out Beijing’s support for Moscow in explicit
terms, with the former saying in July that it has a “direct and dangerous impact
on European security.”
The EU’s latest sanctions prompted an angry response from top Chinese officials
including Prime Minister Li Qiang, who branded them “unacceptable” at a meeting
with European Council President Antonio Costa, per an EU official. | Pool photo
by Vincent Thian via AFP/Getty Images
Ukraine had hoped Trump would pressure Beijing to stop buying Russian oil, but
the American president told media on Air Force One that the issue was not on the
table — although he did say the war in Ukraine “came up very strongly,” with
both sides hoping to find an end to the fighting.
“He’s going to help us and we’re going to work together on Ukraine,” Trump said,
referring to the Chinese president.
INDUSTRIES HELD HOSTAGE
While China’s export controls were not directed at the EU, the bloc’s companies
faced long delays and sharp price hikes in contending with the subsequent
shortage of raw materials and magnets. China accounts for 98 percent of the EU’s
rare earth permanent magnets.
The geopolitical firestorm sent the European Commission into overdrive to secure
its own supplies of the magnets and launch a plan to diversify Europe’s supply
chain by the end of the year.
But the EU has been here before. Just two years ago it passed the Critical Raw
Materials Act to solve this exact problem, and yet all the deals that have been
signed have failed to deliver actual products. Its latest scheme is big on ideas
and short on specifics.
The one-year pause on export controls agreed between Trump and Xi affords the EU
some time to put that plan into action and leverage its other alliances —
including efforts unfolding at the G7 this week with Canada, along with the
U.K., Italy, France and Germany seeking to diversify away from China’s grip.
But for companies looking for clarity, the catch is that none of the agreements
made between Trump and Xi are binding.
“As long as we don’t see any details hammered out and put on paper it leaves a
lot of room for both sides backtracking and applying various other conditions,
so I don’t think that this is really settled,” said Alexander Gabuev, director
of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.
SECURITY CONCERNS
In the U.K., pressure is expected to build for policymakers to use the temporary
U.S. truce to minimize the risks from China.
British PM Keir Starmer has thus far failed to resolve longstanding tensions
between “securocrats” in parliament and Whitehall, who want to see a tougher
stance toward Beijing, and those who argue for a closer embrace in order to
boost inward investment.
Prominent members of the government have traveled to Beijing in pursuit of
strengthened ties since Starmer took office, despite his overriding foreign
policy aim of cleaving close to Trump.
China has become a particular sore point for Starmer in recent weeks due to the
collapse of the prosecution of two men accused of spying for Beijing, while
ministers have yet to decide the fate of a planned Chinese “super-embassy” in
London.
Back in the EU, divisions among member countries over how to counter China’s
power — and any subsequent retribution — make a unified stance toward Beijing on
trade or dumping measures unlikely.
Brussels got a glimpse of its internal factions when it slapped duties on
made-in-China electric vehicles following an anti-subsidy investigation.
Automakers and their political benefactors fear Chinese brands will dump their
overcapacity in the European market, bringing a severe price war to Europe’s
shores.
Yet for all the handwringing over how to protect domestic automakers, the votes
of EU capitals on the duties revealed how economically exposed each is to China,
with Germany launching a last-minute appeal to stop the duties.
The Netherlands is the latest EU member on the outs with China after Dutch
authorities seized control of chipmaker Nexperia, prompting Beijing to hit back
with export controls on Nexperia’s Chinese-produced chips. The shortage could
halt production lines across Europe in less than a week, showcasing just how
economically dependent Europe has become on China.
LET’S BE FRIENDS
From the jump, Trump framed his sojourn to Asia as a “G2” summit, stoking fears
that any deal would sideline other countries or that “British and European trade
priorities could be overlooked or traded away without consultation,” said David
Taylor, director of policy and programs at Asia House.
Sensing its declining influence in the Trump-Xi bromance, the EU is looking to
bolster its trade ties elsewhere.
Trade chief Maroš Šefčovič is traveling to Australia in late November to chair
an inaugural dialogue between the EU and the 12 members of the Comprehensive and
Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership bloc, two diplomats told
POLITICO. The dialogue is meant to deepen economic and political ties between
the EU and countries keen to maintain established global trade rules.
Brussels, under pressure from Donald Trump and in pursuit of its own strategic
interests, is trying to sway Beijing from supporting Russia in its war on
Ukraine. | Jim Watson/Getty Images
Brussels will have a chance to do just that when it hosts a delegation of
high-level Chinese officials on Friday. They’re expected to meet with the
Commission’s trade deputy-director general, Denis Redonnet, and other senior
officials.
Experts caution that Europe will need to maintain pressure on Beijing to get any
movement on its priorities.
“Europe cannot just simply be waiting to see what happens on talks between [the]
United States and China,” said Ignacio Garcia Bercero, a former director at the
Commission’s trade department. “It needs to develop its own channel of dialogue
with China.”
Tag - Microchips
BRUSSELS — The geopolitical war around Dutch-based, yet Chinese-owned, chip
supplier Nexperia is terrifying Europe’s carmakers that they’ll be hammered by a
chip shortage that could wreak havoc with supply chains and shutter production
lines.
The car industry’s supply of crucial chips from Nexperia is dwindling just weeks
after the Dutch government seized control of Nexperia and both the U.S. and
China imposed export controls on the company.
“We will see production stops and slowdowns in short order globally because a
lot of suppliers don’t have the depth of stock of the chips,” said a senior
automotive official who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the issue’s
sensitivity. “The auto sector is at the heart of the storm.”
Nexperia chips are used throughout the automotive value chain in everything from
airbags to entertainment systems.
The shortage threatens a replay of 2022, when pandemic-era microchip shortages
similarly brought car plants to a halt. Yet automakers have done little to shore
up their supply chains against geopolitical shifts, and an EU plan to reshore
some chip manufacturing is falling far short of its targets.
The Dutch-based chipmaker warned its customers of an “unforeseen development
that may affect the availability of certain products,” according to a force
majeure declaration issued on Oct. 9, reported on by several media and seen by
POLITICO.
The notice lit a fire under automakers and their suppliers to get their hands on
any available chips, provoking a run on the materials.
“It’s like the pandemic when people went on toilet paper buying sprees,” said a
second auto industry insider.
TOP OF THE LIST
Following the 2022 shortage, the EU passed the Chips Act to alleviate the
sector’s dangerous reliance on other regions for advanced or “mature” chips.
Fast forward three years, and seemingly not much has changed.
This time, mayhem kicked off when the Dutch government decided at the end of
September to invoke a 1952 national law to seize control of Nexperia, which was
acquired by Chinese company Wingtech in 2019.
The Dutch government feared that Nexperia’s CEO, who founded Wingtech, was
transferring the chipmaker’s technology and production assets out of the
country.
Its decision came a day after the U.S. extended export controls on Wingtech to
its subsidiary Nexperia.
Four days after the Dutch seized control of Nexperia, the Chinese Commerce
Ministry imposed export controls on Nexperia China, prohibiting the export of
components manufactured in China.
Chips are ubiquitously used in modern manufacturing, driving the green and
digital transition. While Nexperia’s chips are not the most advanced ones, they
are critical to automakers: A traditional car contains up to 500 of the
company’s chips — an electric vehicle as many as 1,000.
China’s export clampdown on the chips, coupled with its control of rare-earth
magnets — an equally important vehicle component — have sent the Nexperia crisis
to the top of Brussels’ list of priorities.
“The issue of chips is one of big importance, for many aspects of our policy,
most notably the energy transition,” European Commission chief spokesperson
Paula Pinho said on Monday.
She added that Industry Commissioner Stéphane Séjourné raised the issue in a
meeting with industry leaders on the same day, “to hear from the companies
whether there are shortages.”
The companies’ input fed into a call between EU trade chief Maroš Šefčovič and
his Chinese counterpart Wang Wentao on Tuesday. Next up is an anticipated visit
by Chinese officials to the EU to discuss the export controls.
Companies have already begun publicly discussing the potential impact of what’s
happening at Nexperia.
Car lobby group ACEA said last week that it was “deeply concerned by potential
significant disruption” to manufacturing if there was no quick resolution of the
interruption of Nexperia’s supply of chips.
The group argued that the chips coming from Nexperia could be sourced elsewhere,
but shifting would take longer than the current stock of Nexperia chips would
last.
Volkswagen has warned its workers that potential production stoppages are
imminent, German outlet Bild reported.
“Nexperia is not a direct supplier of the Volkswagen Group. However, some
Nexperia parts are used in our vehicle components, which are supplied to us by
our direct suppliers,” a VW spokesperson told POLITICO. “At this time, our
production is unaffected. However, given the evolving circumstances, short-term
effects on production cannot be ruled out.”
SECOND CHIPS ACT
The Nexperia case and possible shortages have put the EU’s dangerous microchip
reliance back on the political map.
The European Commission announced this week that it plans to introduce a second
Chips Act in the first quarter of next year, following a scheduled review due by
September 2026.
Currently, the bloc is nowhere close to reaching the goal of the first Chips
Act, which was to boost the bloc’s market share in the global microchips value
chain to 20 per cent by 2030 — about double its current share.
Both lawmakers and EU countries want a second Chips Act.
“The European Chips Act 2.0 is in the making. But the Nexperia case shows the
time is short,” Herman Quarles van Ufford, senior policy fellow at the European
Council for Foreign Relations, said in a blog post on Wednesday.
BRUSSELS — Two of Europe’s tech powerhouses tied the knot on Tuesday in a
landmark deal that bolsters a push by politicians to reduce reliance on the
United States for critical technology.
Dutch microchips champion ASML confirmed it was investing €1.3 billion in French
AI frontrunner Mistral, one of the few European companies that is able to go
head-to-head with U.S. leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic on artificial
intelligence technology.
It’s a business deal soaked in politics.
Officials from Brussels to Paris, Berlin and beyond have called for Europe to
reduce its heavy reliance on U.S. technology — from the cloud to social media
and, most recently, artificial intelligence — under the banner of “tech
sovereignty.”
“European tech sovereignty is being built thanks to you,” was how France’s
Junior Minister for Digital Affairs and AI Clara Chappaz cheered the deal on X.
Europe has struggled to stand out in the global race to build generative AI ever
since U.S.-based OpenAI burst onto the scene in 2022 with its popular ChatGPT
chatbot. Legacy tech giants like Google quickly caught up, while China proved
its mettle early this January when DeepSeek burst onto the scene.
European politicians can showcase the ASML-Mistral deal as proof that European
consumers and companies still can rely on homegrown tools. That need has never
been more urgent amid strained EU-U.S. ties under Donald Trump’s repeated
attacks against EU tech regulation.
But the deal also illustrates that while Europe can excel in niche areas, like
industrial AI applications, winning the global consumer AI chatbot race is out
of reach.
EUROPE KEEPS CONTROL
Tuesday’s deal brings together two European companies that are most closely
watched by those in power.
ASML, a 40-year-old Dutch crown jewel, has grown into one of the bloc’s most
politically sensitive assets in recent years. The U.S. government has repeatedly
tried to block some of the company’s sales of its advanced microchips printing
machines to China in an effort to slow down Chinese firms.
Mistral is only two years old but has been politically plugged in from the
start, with former French Digital Minister Cédric O among its co-founders.
When the company faced the need to raise new funding this summer, several
non-European players were floated as potential backers, including the Abu
Dhabi-based MGX state fund. There were even rumors Mistral could be acquired by
Apple.
Apple’s acquisition of Mistral would have been “quite negative” for Europe’s
tech sovereignty aspirations, said Leevi Saari, EU policy fellow at the
U.S.-based AI Now Institute, which studies the social implications of AI. “The
French state has no appetite [for] letting this happen,” he added.
Getting financing from an Abu Dhabi-based fund, conversely, would have
reinforced the perception that Europe can provide the millions in venture
capital funding needed to start a company, but not the billions needed to scale
it.
With this week’s €1.7 billion funding round led by ASML, Europe’s tech
sovereignty proponents can breath a sigh of relief.
“European champions creating more European champions is the way to go forward
and it needs further backing from the EU,” said Dutch liberal European
Parliament lawmaker Bart Groothuis in a statement.
The deal is also what officials, experts and the industry want to see more of:
one where startups are backed by an established European corporation rather than
a venture capitalist.
“A European corporation finally investing massively in a European scale-up from
its industry, even [if] it [is] not directly tied to its core business,” said
Agata Hidalgo, public affairs lead at French startup group France Digitale,
on Linkedin.
A French government adviser, granted anonymity to speak freely on private deals,
said they felt “hyped” by the news after months of uncertainty due to Mistral’s
refusal to publicly deny talks with Apple.
The deal is also expected to avoid any close scrutiny from Europe’s powerful
antitrust regulators, which in the past have intervened in mergers and deals to
keep the market competitive. Tuesday’s deal is not a full takeover and does not
need merger clearance.
Nicolas Petit, a competition law professor at the European University Institute,
said there was “nothing to see here unless the EU wants to shoot itself in the
foot with a bazooka.”
“It’s a non-controlling investment, and neither ASML [nor] Mistral AI compete in
any product or service market,” he added.
REALITY CHECK
While the incoming Dutch investment goes a long way toward keeping Mistral in
European hands, it also determines the path forward for the French artificial
intelligence challenger.
Mistral had already been struggling “to keep up with the race for market share”
with other large language models, Saari claimed in a blogpost published last
week, in which he cited numbers suggesting that Mistral’s market share is
“around 2 percent.”
“Mistral was known to face challenges both technically and in finding a business
model,” said Italian economist Cristina Caffarra, who has been leading the
charge for European tech sovereignty through the Eurostack movement. “It’s great
they found a European champion anchor investor” that will, in part, “protect
them from the [venture capital] model.”
Tuesday’s deal could mean that Mistral will get more support to work on
industrial applications instead of a consumer-facing chatbot that venture
capitalists like to propagate.
“With Mistral AI we have found a strategic partner who can not only deliver the
scientific AI models that will help us develop even better tools and solutions
for our customers, but also help us to improve our own operations over time,”
ASML CEO Christophe Fouquet wrote in a post on Linkedin.
ASML’s main customers are the world’s biggest microchips manufacturers,
including Taiwan’s TSMC and America’s Intel. The company also has a wide network
of industrial suppliers, which could be leveraged as well.
For Mistral, catering to European industrial applications could strengthen its
business. But it could also be seen as a tacit admission that in the global AI
race, Europe has to pick its battles.
Francesca Micheletti and Océane Herrerro contributed reporting.
President Donald Trump on Friday said the U.S. government had reached a deal to
take a 10 percent equity stake in the chipmaker Intel, worth approximately $10
billion.
“I said, I think it would be good having the United States as your partner,”
Trump said Friday at the White House. “[CEO Lip-Bu Tan] agreed, and they’ve
agreed to do it.”
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed the deal in a post on X on Friday:
“BIG NEWS: The United States of America now owns 10% of Intel, one of our great
American technology companies.”
Intel posted details of the plan soon afterward, saying the administration would
make an $8.9 billion investment in Intel common stock, paid for with the CHIPS
grant money. The company said the stake would be funded with $5.7 billion in
grants previously awarded but not yet paid, and $3.2 billion from a separate
Defense Department program.
It said the Trump administration will take “passive ownership, with no Board
representation or other governance or information rights.”
“We are grateful for the confidence the President and the Administration have
placed in Intel, and we look forward to working to advance U.S. technology and
manufacturing leadership,” Tan said in a statement.
The deal appears to rewrite the terms of the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act, under
which Intel received $10.9 billion in grants to boost American chipmaking.
The unusual deal drew scattered criticism from Republicans who saw it as
violating free-market principles.
“I don’t care if it’s a dollar or a billion dollar stake in an American company,
that starts feeling like a semi-state owned enterprise, à la [the Chinese
Communist Party],” said Sen. Thom Tillis (N.C.), in comments that surfaced
Friday. “You’re going to have to explain to me how this reconciles with
free-market capitalism.”
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) also publicly criticized the plan this week.
Intel, which has struggled to compete against its global chipmaking rivals, was
the largest recipient of CHIPS Act funds. Its continued business problems, as
well as Congressional inquiries into CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s ties to Chinese industry,
gave Trump an opening to attack the CEO on social media, and pull him into
in-person negotiations.
The Trump administration has been taking a heavier hand in the microchip
industry overall, including a deal to let Nvidia and AMD export high-tech chips
to China in exchange for paying Washington 15 percent of their revenues.
As with the Intel investment, it’s unclear how the government would administer
the novel arrangement.
On Friday, several Democratic legislators introduced a bill to limit Trump’s
ability to change policy on high-tech national security without consulting
Congress, but without Republican support, it’s unlikely to move further.
BRUSSELS — The EU is set to deliver a sobering message to a growing movement in
Europe calling for a detox from U.S. Big Tech.
The message? That ain’t happening anytime soon.
As the U.S. continues to up the ante in questioning transatlantic ties, calls
are growing in Europe to reduce the continent’s reliance on U.S. technology in
critical areas such as cloud services, artificial intelligence and microchips,
and to opt for European alternatives instead.
But the European Commission is preparing on Thursday to acknowledge publicly
what many have said in private: Europe is nowhere near being able to wean itself
off U.S. Big Tech.
In a new International Digital Strategy the EU will instead promote
collaboration with the U.S., according to a draft seen by POLITICO, as well as
with other tech players including China, Japan, India and South Korea.
“Decoupling is unrealistic and cooperation will remain significant across the
technological value chain,” the draft reads.
It’s a reality check after a year that has seen calls for a technologically
sovereign Europe gain significant traction. In December the Commission appointed
Finland’s Henna Virkkunen as the first-ever commissioner in charge of tech
sovereignty. After few months in office, European Parliament lawmakers embarked
on an effort to draft a blueprint for tech sovereignty.
Even more consequential has been the rapid rise of the so-called Eurostack
movement, which advocates building out a European tech infrastructure and has
brought together effective voices including competition economist Cristina
Caffarra and Kai Zenner, an assistant to key European lawmaker Axel Voss.
There’s wide agreement on the problem: U.S. cloud giants capture over two-thirds
of the European market, the U.S. outpaces the EU in nurturing companies for
artificial intelligence, and Europe’s stake in the global microchips market has
crumbled to around 10 percent. Thursday’s strategy will acknowledge the U.S.’s
“superior ability to innovate” and “Europe’s failure to capitalise on the
digital revolution.”
What’s missing are viable solutions to the complex problem of unwinding
deep-rooted dependencies.
The EU has embarked on a journey to catch up on AI infrastructure, earmarking
billions of euros for AI-optimized supercomputers in a bid to counter U.S. plans
by OpenAI and others. Yet even tech-friendly lawmakers have expressed doubts
this will succeed.
Europe should “sober up” in its quest for tech sovereignty and accept that
“certain trains have left the station,” conservative Bulgarian lawmaker Eva
Maydell told POLITICO’s AI and Tech Summit last month.
“We need to have a very clear outline plan which, first and foremost, assesses
where our strengths are, where we have certain dependencies, and where we need
to cooperate,” said Maydell.
Europe should “sober up” in its quest for tech sovereignty and accept that
“certain trains have left the station,” conservative Bulgarian lawmaker Eva
Maydell told POLITICO’s AI and Tech Summit last month. | Matthias Balk/Picture
Alliance via Getty Images
Thursday’s strategy is expected to do just that, with a long list of
opportunities to collaborate in areas such as chips, quantum technology, AI and
secure connectivity.
“[The strategy] is more pragmatic than being politically absolutist … [and
saying] OK, we’re going to do everything in Europe,” said Dan Nechita, former
head of Cabinet of European lawmaker Dragoș Tudorache and now EU director for
the Transatlantic Policy Network.
He likened it to growing tomatoes or potatoes at home: “It doesn’t mean that I
could not, but sometimes it doesn’t make sense.”
As even some of Europe’s most Atlanticist, free-market corners grow wary of
their addiction to the U.S., a few countries and cities are embarking on their
own political efforts to break free.
National lawmakers in The Hague have been building pressure on the Dutch
government to wean off its dependence on American providers — only for their
efforts to be derailed by Geert Wilders’ decision to quit the government
coalition.
The Danish cities of Copenhagen and Aarhus decided on Tuesday to look for
alternatives to allow them to drop Microsoft productivity products and cloud
services, as Denmark prepares to take over a leading role in Brussels running
meetings of EU ministers from July 1.
But Thursday’s strategy acknowledges skepticism as to whether the EU actually
has alternatives for these political front-runners to fall back on, or whether
it makes sense to splash billions of euros on getting them off the ground.
The EU’s tech chief Virkkunen has underscored the Commission’s desire to keep
the bloc open to the world in her first months in office, by taking trips to
India, Japan and the U.S. and consistently emphasizing the importance of
dialogue and close collaboration.
She has the backing of some of the most influential tech lobby groups in town —
even on the need to continue to work with the U.S.
“We need a transatlantic tech alliance to jointly develop and protect the
technologies that underpin our shared security and economic prosperity such as
AI, quantum and semiconductors,” Cecilia Bonefeld-Dahl, director general of
DigitalEurope, told POLITICO ahead of Thursday’s unveiling.
BRUSSELS — The European Union secured a rare transatlantic win after the U.S.
decided on Tuesday to roll back upcoming Biden-era caps on the export of
artificial intelligence chips.
As one of its final acts in office, the Biden administration in January
placed some EU countries into a group that would continue to have unlimited
access to sought-after AI chips, while others, among them Poland, would have
their access restricted from May 15. AI chips are key to training the most
complex AI models and vital for the EU’s AI plans.
The U.S. Commerce Department announced on Tuesday that it had started the
process of rescinding those planned export controls to so-called second-tier
countries, much to the European Commission’s delight.
Spokesperson Thomas Regnier told POLITICO that the Commission welcomed the U.S.
decision to rescind the rule. “We are pleased that the Administration recognizes
that the AI Diffusion Rule would undermine U.S. diplomatic relations with dozens
of countries by downgrading them to second-tier status,” Regnier said.
The reversal could ease tensions after a months-long attack by the American
administration and tech executives on the EU’s rules on content moderation,
digital competition and artificial intelligence.
The European Commission’s Executive Vice President Henna Virkkunen is in the
U.S. Wednesday, where she will meet with representatives from Nvidia, a critical
supplier of AI chips.
Virkkunen and her trade colleague Maroš Šefčovič had pushed back against the
planned U.S. export controls.
Both said after the U.S. imposed the rules in January that it’s in the “U.S.
economic and security interest that the EU buys advanced AI chips from the U.S.
without limitations.” Virkkunen said this is an area where the EU will buy from
the U.S., appealing to the Trump administration’s trade deficit grievances.
Some EU countries had contacted the U.S. separately seeking to better understand
the caps, which would have affected their ambitious AI plans. Poland, in
particular, was one of those second-tier countries that would have been
restricted in buying U.S. AI chips. For months, the country tried to understand
why it was in tier two but never got a clear answer from Washington, so it kept
on pushing to have the rule revoked.
The threat of U.S. caps has inspired the EU to review its chip-making plan, the
Chips Act, with AI chips at the center.
BRUSSELS — European Union auditors on Monday warned that the bloc is dangerously
reliant on China for mainstream microchips powering everything from cars to
washing machines.
In a report published on Monday, the European Court of Auditors (ECA) said one
in three low-tech chips comes from China. It warned the EU is “nowhere close” to
meeting its own goal of making up 20 percent of the global value chain for
microchips by 2030, a target set in its 2023 European Chips Act that intended to
make the bloc less reliant on foreign regions.
The report is yet another sign that the EU is struggling to reduce some of its
most glaring dependencies on foreign technology for critical and essential
services, despite attempts by Brussels to make the bloc more “technologically
sovereign.”
Europe has some leading companies in the field of less advanced microchips,
including Germany’s Infineon, the Dutch NXP and French-Italian
STMicroelectronics. These firms cater to the needs of Europe’s powerful car
industry.
But the auditors wrote that demand in Europe “is currently growing more quickly
than EU-based chipmakers can supply it.” In 2024, the EU ran a €9.8 billion
deficit with China on chips; it also had deficits with other chipmaking hubs
like Taiwan.
Globally, Taiwan has emerged as the leading hub for more advanced chips, which
have smaller nodes than low-tech varieties and are used in smartphones and data
centers. But demand remains high for low-tech chips as well, including to power
the transition to more sustainable, less energy-consuming technologies.
The auditors warned that the gap Europe has with other regions will only widen.
“As this type of microchip is needed for technology associated with the green
transition, this trade deficit is likely to increase in the future.”
As the EU’s independent auditor, the Court of Auditors reviews the EU’s
finances, its spending and the implementation of its policies.
The auditors’ message arrives as Brussels gets ready to review its Chips Act,
which formulated the goal of 20 percent by 2030. The auditors dismissed that
goal as “aspirational” and not grounded in reality.
Last July, the Commission acknowledged the goal was far from attainable,
projecting that the EU would hit 11.7 percent in 2030 rather than 20 percent.
The EU executive has been investigating the bloc’s reliance on China for
low-tech chips.
Last year it surveyed microchip suppliers and their customers about the
older-generation technology used in cars, household appliances and medical
devices over fears that China-subsidized firms were undermining them.
That move was coordinated with Washington under then-President Joe Biden, which
ran a similar survey.
Annemie Turtelboom, a member of the Court of Auditors, said geopolitical
tensions between the U.S. and the EU have made the issue of reducing
dependencies even more pressing than a year ago.
“We already know about the risks that come with importing from countries [with
which] we have an uncertain relationship. But maybe we cannot even rely on our
traditional allies for the supplies of chips,” she said.
European Commission spokesperson Thomas Regnier said in a response that the
Chips Act was “a strong foundation” after two decades in which Europe’s share
had declined, and that it had “put Europe back on a path of growth.”