BRUSSELS — The European Commission on Wednesday unveiled a €90 billion loan to
Ukraine aimed at saving it from financial collapse as it continues to battle
Russia while aid from the U.S. dries up.
About one-third of the cash will be used for normal budget expenditures and the
rest will go to defense — although countries still need to formally agree to
what extent Ukraine can use the money to buy weapons from outside the EU. A
Commission proposal gives EU defense firms preferential treatment but allows
Ukraine to buy foreign weapons if they aren’t immediately available in Europe.
While the loan is interest-free for Ukraine, it is forecast to cost EU
taxpayers between €3 billion and €4 billion a year in borrowing costs from 2028.
The EU had to resort to the loan after an earlier effort to use sanctioned
Russian frozen assets ran into opposition from Belgium.
The race is now on for EU lawmakers to agree on a final legal text that’ll pave
the way for disbursements in April, when Ukraine’s war chest runs out. Meetings
between EU treasury and defense officials are already planned for Friday. The
European Parliament could fast-track the loan as early as next week.
The financing package is also crucial for unlocking additional loans to Ukraine
from the International Monetary Fund. The Washington-based Fund wants to ensure
Kyiv’s finances aren’t overstretched, as the war enters its fifth year next
month.
The €90 billion will be paid out over the next two years, as Moscow shows no
sign of slowing down its offensive on Ukraine despite U.S.-led efforts to agree
on a ceasefire.
“Russia shows no sign of abating, no sign of remorse, no sign of seeking peace,”
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told reporters after presenting the
proposal. “We all want peace for Ukraine, and for that, Ukraine must be in a
position of strength.”
When EU leaders agreed on the loan, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
called the deal an “unprecedented decision, and it will also have an impact on
the peace negotiations.”
Adding to the pressure on the EU, the U.S. under President Donald Trump has
halted new military and financial aid to Ukraine, leaving it up to Europe to
ensure Kyiv can continue fighting.
Once the legal text is agreed, the EU will raise joint debt to finance
the initiative, although the governments in the Czech Republic, Hungary and
Slovakia said they will not participate in the funding drive.
The conditions on military spending are splitting EU countries. Paris
is demanding strict rules to prevent money from flowing to U.S. weapons
manufacturers, while Germany and other Northern European countries want to give
Ukraine greater flexibility on how to spend the cash, pointing out that some key
systems needed by Ukraine aren’t manufactured in Europe.
MEETING HALFWAY
The Commission has put forward a compromise proposal — seen by POLITICO. It
gives preferential treatment to defense companies based in the EU, Ukraine and
neighboring countries, including Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein, but doesn’t
rule out purchases from abroad.
To keep the Northern European capitals happy, the Commission’s proposal allows
Ukraine to buy specialized weapons produced outside the EU if they are vital for
Kyiv’s defense against Russian forces. These include the U.S. Patriot long-range
missile and air defense systems.
The rules could be bent further in cases “where there is an urgent need for a
given defense product” that can’t be delivered quickly from within Europe.
Weapons aren’t considered European if more than 35 percent of their parts come
from outside the continent, according to the draft. That’s in line with previous
EU defense-financing initiatives, such as the €150 billion SAFE
loans-for-weapons program.
Two other legal texts are included in the legislative package. One proposes
using the upper borrowing limit in the current budget to guarantee the loan. The
other is designed to tweak the Ukraine Facility, a 2023 initiative that governs
the bloc’s long-term financial support to Kyiv. The Commission will also create
a new money pot to cover the borrowing costs before the new EU budget enters
into force in 2028.
RUSSIAN COLLATERAL
Ukraine only has to repay the €90 billion loan if it receives post-war
reparations from Russia — an unlikely scenario. If this doesn’t happen, the EU
has left the door open to tapping frozen Russian state assets across the bloc to
pay itself back.
Belgium’s steadfast opposition to leveraging the frozen assets, most of which
are based in the Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear, promises to make
that negotiation difficult. However, the Commission can indefinitely roll over
its debt by issuing eurobonds until it finds the necessary means to pay off the
loan. The goal is to ensure Ukraine isn’t left holding the bill.
“The Union reserves its right to use the cash balances from immobilized Russian
assets held in the EU to repay the Ukraine Support Loan,” Economy Commissioner
Valdis Dombrovskis said alongside von der Leyen. “Supporting Ukraine is a litmus
test for Europe. The outcome of Russia’s brutal war of aggression against
Ukraine will determine Europe’s future.”
Jacopo Barigazzi contributed to this report from Brussels.
Tag - Russia sanctions
Mujtaba Rahman is the head of Eurasia Group’s Europe practice. He posts at
@Mij_Europe.
2026 is here, and Europe is under siege.
External pressure from Russia is mounting in Ukraine, China is undermining the
EU’s industrial base, and the U.S. — now effectively threatening to annex the
territory of a NATO ally — is undermining the EU’s multilateral rule book, which
appears increasingly outdated in a far more transactional and less cooperative
world.
And none of this shows signs of slowing down.
In fact, in the year ahead, the steady erosion of the norms Europe has come to
rely on will only be compounded by the bloc’s weak leadership — especially in
the so-called “E3” nations of Germany, France and the U.K.
Looking forward, the greatest existential risks for Europe will flow from the
transatlantic relationship. For the bloc’s leaders, keeping the U.S. invested in
the war in Ukraine was the key goal for 2025. And the best possible outcome for
2026 will be a continuation of the ad-hoc diplomacy and transactionalism that
has defined the last 12 months. However, if new threats emerge in this
relationship — especially regarding Greenland — this balancing act may be
impossible.
The year also starts with no sign of any concessions from Russia when it comes
to its ceasefire demands, or any willingness to accept the terms of the 20-point
U.S.-EU-Ukraine plan. This is because Russian President Vladimir Putin is
calculating that Ukraine’s military situation will further deteriorate, forcing
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to capitulate to territorial demands.
I believe Putin is wrong — that backed by Europe, Zelenskyy will continue to
resist U.S. pressure on territorial concessions, and instead, increasingly
target Russian energy production and exports in addition to resisting along the
frontline. Of course, this means Russian aerial attacks against Ukrainian cities
and energy infrastructure will also increase in kind.
Nonetheless, Europe’s growing military spending, purchase of U.S. weapons,
financing for Kyiv and sanctions against Russia — which also target sources of
energy revenue — could help maintain last year’s status quo. But this is perhaps
the best case scenario.
Activists protest outside Downing street against the recent policies of Donald
Trump. | Guy Smallman/Getty Images
Meanwhile, European leaders will be forced to publicly ignore Washington’s
support for far-right parties, which was clearly spelled out in the new U.S.
national security strategy, while privately doing all they can to counter any
antiestablishment backlash at the polls.
Specifically, the upcoming election in Hungary will be a bellwether for whether
the MAGA movement can tip the balance for its ideological affiliates in Europe,
as populist, euroskeptic Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is currently poised to lose
for the first time in 15 years.
Orbán, for his part, has been frantically campaigning to boost voter support,
signaling that he and his inner circle actually view defeat as a possibility.
His charismatic rival Péter Magyar, who shares his conservative-nationalist
political origins but lacks any taint of corruption poses a real challenge, as
does the country’s stagnating economy and rising prices. While traditional
electoral strategies — financial giveaways, smear campaigns and war
fearmongering — have so far proven ineffective for Orbán, a military spillover
from Ukraine that directly affects Hungary could reignite voter fears and shift
the dynamic.
To top it all off, these challenges will be compounded by the E3’s weakness.
The hollowing out of Europe’s political center has already been a decade in the
making. But France, Germany and the U.K. each entered 2026 with weak, unpopular
governments besieged by the populist right and left, as well as a U.S.
administration rooting for their collapse. While none face scheduled general
elections, all three risk paralysis at best and destabilization at worst. And at
least one leader — namely, Britain’s Keir Starmer — could fall because of an
internal party revolt.
The year’s pivotal event in the U.K. will be the midterm elections in May. As it
stands, the Labour Party faces the humiliation of coming third in the Welsh
parliament, failing to oust the Scottish National Party in the Scottish
parliament and losing seats to both the Greens and ReformUK in English local
elections. Labour MPs already expect a formal challenge to Starmer as party
leader, and his chances of surviving seem slight.
France, meanwhile, entered 2026 without a budget for the second consecutive
year. The good news for President Emmanuel Macron is that his Prime Minister
Sébastien Lecornu’s minority government will probably achieve a budget deal
targeting a modest deficit reduction by late February or March. And with the
presidential election only 16 months away and local elections due to be held in
March, the opposition’s appetite for a snap parliamentary election has abated.
However, this is the best he can hope for, as a splintered National Assembly
will sustain a mood of slow-motion crisis until the 2027 race.
Finally, while Germany’s economy looks like it will slightly recover this year,
it still won’t overcome its structural malaise. Largely consumed by ideological
divisions, Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s government will struggle to implement
far-reaching reforms. And with the five upcoming state elections expected to see
increased vote shares for the far-right Alternative for Germany party, pressure
on the government in Berlin will only mount
A historic truth — one often forgotten in the quiet times — will reassert itself
in 2026: that liberty, stability, prosperity and peace in Europe are always
brittle.
The holiday from history, provided by Pax Americana and exceptional post-World
War II cooperation and integration, has officially come to an end. Moving
forward, Europe’s relevance in the new global order will be defined by its
response to Russia’s increased hybrid aggression, its influence on diplomacy
regarding the Ukraine war and its ability to improve competitiveness, all while
managing an increasingly ascendant far right and addressing the existential
threats to its economy and security posed by Russia, China and the U.S.
This is what will decide whether Europe can survive.
ROME — Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on Friday called on Europe to
appoint a special envoy to talk to Russia, as efforts continue to end the
Kremlin’s war in Ukraine.
Meloni said that she agreed with French President Emmanuel Macron, who last
month called for new dialogue with the Kremlin. Russian President Vladimir Putin
“expressed readiness to engage in dialogue” with Macron, Moscow said in
response.
“I believe the time has come for Europe to also speak with Russia,” Meloni told
a press conference in Rome on Friday. “If Europe speaks to only one of the two
sides on the field, I fear that the contribution it can make will be limited.”
Meloni warned that Europe needs a coordinated approach or “risks doing Putin a
favor.”
Since the beginning of negotiations over a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, “many
voices have been speaking out, and that’s why I’ve always been in favor of
appointing a European special envoy on the Ukrainian issue,” Meloni said.
Peace talks aimed at ending the all-out conflict, which Russia launched in
February 2022, have accelerated with U.S. President Donald Trump back in the
White House, but Moscow has not indicated that it is willing to make
concessions.
The U.S. in November proposed that Russia be readmitted to the Group of Seven
leading nations. But Meloni said it was “absolutely premature” to talk about
welcoming Russia back to the G7 fold.
Meloni also emphasized that Italy would not join France and the U.K. in sending
troops to Ukraine to guarantee a potential peace deal, because it was “not
necessary” if Ukraine signed a collective defense agreement with Western allies
modeled on NATO’s Article 5 collective-defense provision. She suggested that a
small contingent of foreign troops would not be a serious deterrent against a
much larger Russian force.
Reacting to Trump’s recent aggressive rhetoric toward Greenland, Meloni said
that she “would not approve” of a U.S. military takeover of the vast Arctic
island. “I don’t believe that the USA will carry out military action on
Greenland, which I would not approve of and would not do anyone any good,” she
told reporters.
Meloni said she believed the Trump administration was using “very assertive
methods” to draw attention to the strategic importance of Greenland for U.S.
interests and security. “It’s an area where many foreign actors are carrying out
activity and I think that the message of the USA is that they will not accept
excessive interference by foreign actors,” she said.
Meloni also countered Trump’s remarks Thursday that he does not need
international law, stressing that “international law must be defended.” But she
added that it was normal to disagree with allies, “as national interests are not
perfectly aligned.”
“When I don’t agree with Trump, I say so — I say it to him.”
Sen. Lindsey Graham said Wednesday after meeting with President Donald Trump
that the Senate could vote as soon as next week to impose new sanctions aimed at
pressuring Russia to end its war with Ukraine.
“After a very productive meeting today with President Trump on a variety of
issues, he greenlit the bipartisan Russia sanctions bill that I have been
working on for months with Senator [Richard] Blumenthal and many others,” Graham
(R-S.C.) said in a statement, referring to the Connecticut Democrat who
coauthored the long-stalled legislation.
Spokespeople for the White House didn’t immediately respond to a request for
comment. Graham said a Senate vote would take place “hopefully as early as next
week.”
Graham and Senate Republican leaders have been working with the White House for
months to try to reach an agreement on a final version of the legislation —
and this isn’t the first time Graham has declared that his bill could soon move,
for it to only stall out again.
The legislation would place secondary sanctions on countries such as China and
India that buy oil and gas from Russia in a bid to cut off the cash flow for
President Vladimir Putin’s war machine.
“Ukraine is making concessions for peace and Putin is all talk, continuing to
kill the innocent,” Graham said, saying the legislation would be “well-timed.”
A spokesperson for Graham didn’t immediately respond to a question about whether
changes will be incorporated at Trump’s request. The president has previously
requested absolute flexibility to impose and retract any sanctions at will.
Jamie Dettmer is opinion editor and a foreign affairs columnist at POLITICO
Europe.
Russia’s war on Ukraine seems likely to end next year — and on terms highly
unfavorable for Kyiv.
Why the prediction? Because of the EU’s failure last week to agree to use
Russia’s money — €210 billion in frozen assets — to keep Ukraine solvent and
able to finance its war effort.
The felling of the “reparations loan” proposal, which would have recycled
Russian assets that are mostly frozen in a clearing bank in Belgium, deprives
Ukraine of guaranteed funding for the next two years.
It was Belgium’s legal anxieties over the loan, along with French President
Emmanuel Macron’s and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s reluctance to join
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in championing the proposal, that doomed it.
And all that, despite weeks of wrangling and overblown expectations by the
plan’s advocates, including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.
Fortunately, the EU will still provide a sizable funding package for Ukraine,
after agreeing to jointly borrow €90 billion from capital markets secured
against the EU’s budget, and lend it on a no-interest basis.
But while this will prevent the country from running out of money early next
year, the package is meant to be spread out over two years, and that won’t be
sufficient to keep Ukraine in the fight. According to projections by the
International Monetary Fund, due to the reduction in U.S. financial support,
Ukraine’s budgetary shortfall over the next two years will be closer to $160
billion.
Simply put, Ukraine will need much more from Europe — and that’s going to be
increasingly difficult for the bloc to come up with.
Still, many European leaders were rather optimistic once the funding deal was
struck last week. Finnish President Alexander Stubb noted on Sunday that the
agreed package would still be linked to the immobilized Russian assets, as the
scheme envisions that Kyiv will use them to repay the loan once the war ends.
“The immobilized Russian assets will stay immobilized … and the union reserves
its right to make use of the immobilized assets to repay this loan,” he posted
on X.
Plus, the thinking goes, a subsequent loan could be added on and indirectly
linked to the Russian assets. And maybe so. But this could also be construed as
counting one’s chickens before they’re hatched, as everything depends on what
kind of deal is struck to end the war.
In the meantime, securing another loan won’t be so simple once Ukraine’s coffers
empty again.
Three countries — Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic — already opted out
of last week’s joint-borrowing scheme. It isn’t a stretch to imagine others will
join them either, balking at the very notion of yet another multi-billion-euro
package in 2027, which is an important election year for both France and
Germany. Also, Trump will still be in the White House — so, no point in looking
to Washington for the additional cash.
Angelos Tzortzinis/AFP via Getty Images
And yet, Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever still described last week’s deal,
reached after almost 17 hours of negotiations, as a “victory for Ukraine, a
victory for financial stability … and a victory for the EU.”
However, that’s not how Russian President Vladimir Putin will see it.
As Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had noted while seeking to persuade
European leaders to back the reparations loan: “If Putin knows, that we can stay
resilient for at least a few more years, then his reason to drag out this war
becomes much weaker.”
But that’s not what happened. And after last Friday’s debacle highlighted the
division among Europe’s leaders, surely that’s not the lesson Putin will be
taking home. Rather, it will only have confirmed that time is on his side. That
if he waits just a bit longer, the 28-point plan that his aides crafted with
Trump’s obliging Special Envoy Steve Witkoff can be revived, leaving Ukraine and
Europe to flounder — a dream outcome for the Kremlin.
Putin can also read opinion polls, and see European voters’ growing impatience
with the war in some of the continent’s biggest economies. For example,
published last week, a POLITICO Poll of 10,000 found respondents in Germany and
France even more reluctant to keep financing Ukraine than those in the U.S. In
Germany, 45 percent said they would support cutting financial aid to Ukraine,
while just 20 percent said they wanted to increase financial assistance. In
France, 37 percent wanted to give less, while only 24 percent preferred giving
more.
In the run-up to last week’s European Council meeting, Estonian Prime Minister
Kristen Michal had told POLITICO that European leaders were being handed an
opportunity to rebut Trump’s claim that they’re weak. That by inking a deal to
unlock hundreds of billions in frozen Russian assets, they would also be
answering the U.S. president’s branding of Europe as a “decaying group of
nations.”
That, they failed to do.
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Donald Trumps Rückkehr ins Weiße Haus, Putins Vormarsch in der Ukraine und eine
transatlantische Statik, die „endgültig aus den Fugen“ geraten ist:
Das Jahr 2025 war sicherheitspolitisch ein Jahr der Zerreißproben. In dieser
Sonderfolge zieht Gordon Repinski gemeinsam mit Claudia Major,
Sicherheitsexpertin und Senior Vice President, Transatlantic Security beim
German Marshall Fund, Bilanz.
Major analysiert, warum Europa momentan keine glaubwürdige „Siegtheorie“ für die
Ukraine hat und weshalb die Kapitulation Kiews zwar „gerade noch abgewendet“
wurde, die Gefahr für 2026 aber keineswegs gebannt ist.
Es geht um die Wirksamkeit des 90-Milliarden-Kredits und die bittere Erkenntnis,
dass der Westen derzeit nicht genug tut, um Putins Kalkül zu verändern.
Major erklärt, ob und wie sich der Kontinent im Ernstfall auch ohne die USA
verteidigen könnte, warum „Sicherheitsgarantien“ oft missverstanden werden und
welche Rolle kleine Formate wie die „E3“ oder „E5“ im kommenden Jahr spielen
müssen.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
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BRUSSELS — Diplomats are working on a long-shot 11th-hour compromise to salvage
a deal on sending vital financial aid to Ukraine at Thursday’s high-stakes EU
leaders’ summit.
On Wednesday evening Europe’s leaders were split into irreconcilable camps, at
least publicly, and seemed unlikely to agree on how to fund Kyiv, thanks partly
to the reemergence of the same bitter north-south divisions over joint debt that
torpedoed EU unity during the eurozone crisis.
Only a few hours before the 27 leaders gather in Brussels, two opposing groups
are crossing swords over whether to issue a loan to Ukraine based on frozen
Russian central bank reserves, largely held by the Euroclear bank in Belgium.
Germany along with Nordic and Eastern European countries say there is no
alternative to that scheme.
But they are running into hardening resistance from Belgium and Italy, which are
gunning for Plan B: Support for Kyiv based on EU debt guaranteed by the bloc’s
common budget. Bulgaria, Malta, Hungary and Slovakia are also against the use of
the assets.
In a stark illustration of the schism, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni
said on Wednesday she would use the Council meeting to demand answers on the
“possible risks” of leveraging the assets, while German Chancellor Friedrich
Merz doubled down on the assets plan “to help end this war as quickly as
possible.”
ESCAPE PLAN
The first contours of a potential route out of the impasse — one that would have
to be hashed out during hours of negotiations — are beginning to take shape.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen cautiously opened the door to
joint debt on Wednesday morning during a speech at the European Parliament in
Strasbourg.
“I proposed two different options for this upcoming European Council, one based
on assets and one based on EU borrowing. And we will have to decide which way we
want to take,” she said.
The key to such a plan would be carving Hungary and Slovakia — which both oppose
giving further aid to Ukraine — out of the joint debt scheme, four EU diplomats
told POLITICO. A deal could still be agreed at the Council among the 27 EU
countries, but the ultimate arrangement would stipulate that only 25 would be
involved in the funding.
Agreeing such a scheme would give a crucial lifeline to Ukraine’s shattered
public finances as its coffers risk running dry as early as next April.
Hungary’s Viktor Orbán is already predicting the assets will not be discussed in
Brussels, and that negotiations have shifted to joint loans. Multiple diplomats,
however, retorted that Orbán was wrong and that the Russian assets were still
“the only game in town.”
CRUNCH TIME
Despite growing political pressure on the EU to prove it can rise to meet the
existential challenges facing Ukraine, diplomats from the rival camps were often
skeptical on Wednesday that a compromise could be found.
The idea of EU joint debt has for years been anathema to the northern member
countries, who have been unwilling to underwrite bonds for highly indebted
southern countries.
“The closest [situations] to what’s happening now with frozen assets are the
2012-2013 financial crisis and Greece’s bailout in 2015,” said a senior EU
diplomat who, like others quoted in this story, was granted anonymity to speak
freely.
With respect to the Ukraine war, the northerners deny they oppose the use of
eurobonds over concerns about the solvency of other EU countries, but argue they
prefer the assets because they would provide a greater long-term cash infusion
to Ukraine.
“This is not about frugals versus spenders. It’s about being pro-Ukraine or
not,” said a second EU diplomat, adding that northern and eastern European
countries have taken the lead in bankrolling Ukraine’s war needs over the past
four years.
BACKING THE BELGIANS
Despite weeks of painstaking negotiations over the assets, efforts to bring
Belgium around are backfiring. The country adamantly opposes using the Russian
money held by Euroclear in Brussels, and has now attracted allies.
“[The Commission] created a monster, and they’ve been eaten by it,” said a third
EU diplomat, referring to the assets plan.
Germany and its allies, however, warn there is still no alternative to targeting
the Euroclear money.
“If you want to do something together as Europeans, the reparations loan is the
only way,” a fourth EU diplomat said.
The idea behind the assets-based loan is that Kyiv would not have to repay it
unless Moscow coughs up the billions-worth of reparations needed to rebuild
Ukraine’s pulverized cities — an unlikely scenario.
Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever is expected to push the Commission to
explore joint debt during Thursday’s summit of EU leaders — in the hope that
others around the table will echo his demands.
His supporters claim the model “is cheaper and offers more clarity,” said a
fifth EU diplomat.
But critics point out it will also require the political blessing of Hungary’s
pro-Russia Prime Minister Orbán — who has repeatedly threatened to torpedo
further financial aid to Kyiv.
The impasse would require the Commission to concoct a workaround to keep Ukraine
afloat while allowing Orbán to save face, according to the four EU diplomats. In
exchange for his support the Commission could spare Hungarian and Slovak
taxpayers from having to pay for Ukraine’s defense.
“The Commission now pushes joint loans, but we will not let our families foot
the bill for Ukraine’s war,” Orbán wrote on X on Wednesday afternoon. He added
that “Russian assets will not be on the table at tomorrow’s EUCO [European
Council].”
However, a senior EU official was quick to reject the Hungarian leader’s claim
that the Russian reserves were no longer in play. “The reparations loan is still
very much on the table,” they said.
Bjarke Smith-Meyer, Gabriel Gavin and Gerardo Fortuna contributed to this report
Less than 24 hours before EU leaders descend on Brussels for vital talks on
financing Ukraine’s war effort, Belgium believes negotiations are going in
reverse.
“We are going backward,” Belgium’s EU ambassador, Peter Moors, told his peers on
Wednesday during closed-door talks, according to two diplomats present at the
meeting.
The European Commission and EU officials are in a race against time to appease
Belgian concerns over a €210 billion financing package for Ukraine that
leverages frozen Russian state assets across the bloc. Belgium’s support is
crucial, as the lion’s share of frozen assets lies in the Brussels-based
financial depository Euroclear.
Bart De Wever, the country’s prime minister, refuses to get on board until the
other EU governments provide substantial financial and legal safeguards that
protect Euroclear and his government from Russian retaliation — at home and
abroad.
One of the most sensitive issues for Belgium is placing a lid on the financial
guarantees that currently stand at €210 billion. Belgium believes that the
guarantees provided by other EU countries should have no limits in order to
protect them under any scenario.
Talks looked to be going in the right direction. The Belgians backed a
Commission pitch for EU capitals to cough up as much as possible in financial
guarantees against the Ukrainian package — only for Belgium’s ambassador to drop
a bombshell at the end of the meeting.
“I just don’t know anymore,” one diplomat said, on condition of anonymity in
order to speak freely.
A spokesperson for the Belgian permanent representation declined to comment.
Another key demand from Belgium is that all EU countries end their bilateral
investment treaties with Russia to ensure Belgium isn’t left alone to deal with
retaliation from Moscow. But to Belgium’s annoyance, several countries are
reluctant to do so over fears of retribution from the Kremlin.
Moors said during the meeting that any decision on the use of the assets will
have to be taken by De Wever, according to an EU diplomat.
Belgium is pushing the Commission to explore alternative options to finance
Ukraine, such as issuing joint debt — a position that’s gained traction with
Bulgaria, Italy, and Malta.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen cautiously opened the door to
joint debt during a speech at the European Parliament in Strasbourg on Wednesday
morning.
“I proposed two different options for this upcoming European Council, one based
on assets and one based on EU borrowing. And we will have to decide which way we
want to take,” she said.
But joint debt requires unanimous support, unlikely given Hungarian Prime
Minister Viktor Orbán’s threats to veto further EU aid to Kyiv.
Moors proposed a possible workaround on Tuesday by suggesting triggering an
emergency clause — known as Article 122 — that would nullify the veto threat.
The Commission and Council’s lawyers rebuffed the Belgian pitch at the same
meeting, saying it was not legally viable.
The idea was first proposed by the president of the European Central Bank,
Christine Lagarde, during a dinner of finance ministers last week, but has been
challenged by Northern European countries.
De Wever is expected to suggest this option during the meeting of EU leaders on
Thursday.
The U.K. government issued the sanctioned Russian oligarch, Roman Abramovich, a
final warning to pay £2.5 billion to Ukraine or face court action.
In a statement, British Chancellor Rachel Reeves and Foreign Secretary Yvette
Cooper said a license had been issued to permit the £2.5 billion proceeds from
Abramovich’s sale of Chelsea Football Club to be transferred to humanitarian
causes in Ukraine.
If he fails to comply, the government is prepared to take the matter to court,
they said.
The multi-billion-pound proceeds of Abramovich’s sale of Chelsea Football Club
are frozen in a bank account, where they have been since 2022, when the
government sanctioned Abramovich over his ties to Vladimir Putin.
Chelsea was sold by Abramovich to an American consortium after the U.K.’s
sanctions watchdog permitted the sale. Abramovich had to demonstrate he would
not personally benefit from the transaction — but the proceeds have remained
untouched in a bank due to uncertainty over how exactly they will be used to
support Kyiv.
Previously, Abramovich said he would use the funds to help “all victims of the
war.” This had been interpreted as help for both Russians and Ukrainians.
Today, the government said it would consider any proposal toward humanitarian
causes in Ukraine, as long as the funds do not benefit Abramovich or other
sanctioned individuals.
It added that any future gains earned by the funds can be spent more broadly, on
“victims of conflict worldwide.”
Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the government is “prepared to enforce” the
commitment for the funds to reach Ukraine, “so that every penny reaches those
whose lives have been torn apart by Putin’s illegal war.”
Seizing the assets from Abramovich has presented a legal minefield. He has never
been charged with a crime related to his sanctioned assets, which means the
British government needs Abramovich’s consent to use the money as it remains his
property.
In both the U.K. and the European Union, the profits on sanctioned assets have
been used to guarantee loans for Ukraine. Recently, European allies have drawn
up plans to use the assets themselves to guarantee loans for Ukraine, though
they have yet to reach a deal on frozen assets worth around €210 billion.
Ukraine faces a projected budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year.
Czech President Petr Pavel on Monday officially swore in the country’s new
right-wing coalition government led by populist billionaire Andrej Babiš, which
could join ranks with Hungary and Slovakia in opposing aid to Ukraine.
The appointment ends weeks of uncertainty over whether the president would
approve Babiš as Czechia’s new leader. Pavel said last week he would name Babiš
prime minister after the tycoon pledged to divest his ownership of Agrofert, an
agricultural conglomerate and a major recipient of EU subsidies.
Babiš’ comeback (he previously served as PM from 2017 to 2021) poses a fresh
headache for Europe as it struggles to finance aid to war-ravaged Ukraine. Over
the weekend Babiš came out against a proposal to finance Kyiv via a loan based
on Russia’s frozen assets, joining the growing list of countries that have
rejected the instrument.
“The European Commission must find other ways to finance Ukraine,” Babiš
announced Saturday on Facebook. “Our coffers are empty, and we need every crown
[unit of Czech currency] we have for our citizens.”
The billionaire’s previous term in power was marked by clashes with Brussels
over his conflict of interest related to Agrofert. Since then Babiš has steered
his ANO party firmly to the right, joined the far-right European Parliament
grouping Patriots for Europe, and threatened to cancel a Prague-led ammunition
initiative that has delivered over 1 million rounds to Kyiv.
Babiš won a parliamentary election in October and proceeded to clinch a
coalition deal with the far-right Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) and
right-wing Motorists. All three parties share a commitment to rolling back
support for climate measures such as the ETS2 emissions trading system, and to
opposing Brussels’ plans to ban combustion engines.
ANO will hold nine ministerial posts in the new Cabinet, including the
premiership, with the Motorists taking four and the SPD three.
Speaking at the inauguration ceremony Pavel promised to closely monitor how the
incoming government safeguards democratic institutions, including the media, the
judiciary and the country’s security forces. Babiš earlier raised concerns about
media freedom with his plan to reform public broadcasting by abolishing license
fees and funding it through the state budget.
The president also noted that Czechia’s key safety and economic guarantees stem
from its EU and NATO membership.
“That is why we should approach membership in these institutions with the utmost
responsibility and be responsible, constructive members rather than rejecters,”
Pavel said.