Welcome to Declassified, a weekly humor column.
I say we’ve waited long enough.
Those among us who are passionate about the topic have followed every twist and
turn of this epic drama — all the names whispered in the corridors, the
not-so-secret backdoor deals leaked by insiders and the bold public statements.
Is the moment here, at last? Will we finally get the answer we’ve been looking
for, whether we like it or not?
It might not be the sequel that Brussels deserves, but it is the sequel it needs
right now, despite long delays and accusations of ignoring factual truths …
Gladiator II hit the cinemas last week.
It only took director Ridley Scott a little over 20 years to release his second
historical(-ish) drama set in ancient Rome, complete with gladiators riding
rhinos and sharks swimming in the Coliseum. And if you — like some historians —
doubt the film’s accuracy, the Oscar-nominated director has explained his
logical approach to writing the script: “‘Excuse me, mate, were you there?’ No?
Well, shut the f**k up then.”
If Scott can so eloquently convince Hollywood to make Gladiator 2.0 happen,
surely Ursula von der Leyen can get the European Parliament to approve her new
class of commissioners.
After yet another closed-door meeting where the leaders of the European
Parliament’s political groups discussed the fate of the six executive vice
president nominees (plus Hungary’s candidate), we know … roughly as much as we
did before.
The real journalists — as opposed to yours truly, filling in this column
temporarily and undeservingly — at POLITICO Towers are hopeful that next week’s
Parliament vote will be the last. Cooler heads seem to be prevailing: If that’s
true, we could soon go home with a glass of mulled wine and be done with it
already. If it isn’t and those cooler heads get heated, they might decide to
send VDL back to the drawing board and force her to start from scratch. 26 live
blogs covering each commissioner’s grilling and all. Christmas ruined for the
Brussels bubble!
Whether my esteemed colleagues’ hopes of a peaceful approval of commissioners on
Nov. 27 by the European Parliament will be met or not, we can all agree the last
six months have been quite a ride: from the European election, followed by a
surprise French parliamentary election, to incumbent commissioners dropped
unceremoniously and nominees with an athletic mindset ushered in.
Brussels, are you not entertained?
CAPTION COMPETITION
“Welcome to our TED talk, today we’re gonna talk about our favorite craft
beers.”
Can you do better? Email us at gpoloni@politico.eu or get in touch on X
@POLITICOEurope.
Last week we gave you this photo:
Thanks for all the entries. Here’s the best from our postbag — there’s no prize
except for the gift of laughter, which I think we can all agree is far more
valuable than cash or booze.
“Snog, Marry, Avoid.” by Anonymous
Tag - EU Transition 2024
It’s been a long, winding road for European Commission President Ursula von der
Leyen to assemble her team of 26 commissioners since the start of her second
term.
In September, von der Leyen announced the group of people who would take on key
appointments and portfolios for the next five years amid a complex and
complicated geopolitical landscape.
And she and her team hoped for a Dec. 1 start date.
While her 26 nominees had faced the European Parliament for long, grueling
hearings, her timeline seemed to be in trouble by the time the hearings ended on
Nov. 12.
The Parliament gave a green light to 19 of her commissioners but failed to agree
on the final six executive vice-presidents, as well as Hungary’s Oliver
Várhelyi.
Infighting between political factions that have governed the European Union in
relative alignment for years has reached a breaking point. The Parliament’s
political families that supported von der Leyen for a second term, such as the
liberal group Renew and the Socialists, have increased pressure on her European
People’s Party (EPP) after she accepted a hard-right nominee from Italy,
Raffaele Fitto, for executive vice president.
In turn, the EPP launched a hostile campaign against the Socialists’ candidate,
Teresa Ribera, as the Socialists continue to blame the EPP for using the
right-wing majority in the Parliament to their advantage.
In the coming days, Brussels will await with bated breath what the next twist
and turn might be: Will the 26 nominees move forward untouched? Will one have to
be sacrificed for a reasonable start date to the Commission? Or will political
groups in the Parliament stand firm and delay the kickoff to 2025?
We’ve mapped out the ifs, ands or buts, step-by-step.
As Europe’s pick for the role of top diplomatic envoy amid burning questions
about U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, the Ukraine war and the Middle East,
Kaja Kallas’ hearing in the European Parliament was one of the most anticipated.
The former Estonian prime minister came prepared and delivered a smooth
performance. Relaxed and apparently at ease in the hot seat, Kallas gave
succinct but clear answers even to tricky questions, setting herself apart from
other commissioner hopefuls. She even scored a few points for humor, zinging a
far-right lawmaker who kept applauding whenever a tough question was directed
her way. “Well, you have one fan,” she quipped after being asked one such
question.
After three hours, the audience came away with a sharper impression of how their
next high representative might act in the job: hawkish on Russia, supportive of
Ukraine, demanding of the United States as an ally — though she barely mentioned
President-elect Donald Trump — and cautious on the conflict in the Middle East.
As Kallas herself noted, she represents a “fresh face” for EU foreign policy
after five years of Spanish socialist Josep Borrell, who drew the ire of
Europe’s conservatives over his positions critical of Israel.
Here are five things to take away from her hearing.
1. HEY, AMERICA: EUROPE MATTERS AS MUCH AS CHINA
It’s a point she hammered home repeatedly and one clearly aimed at the incoming
US administration: Washington would be wrong to abandon Ukraine because that
would embolden its other strategic adversary, China. “If the US is worried about
China and other actors, they should also be worried about how we respond to
Russia against Ukraine,” she said, adding that the conflict threatens the
“security of the world.”
But Kallas also threw some red meat on China to incoming Trump administration
officials (such as Marco Rubio for secretary of state and Mike Waltz for
national security advisor), arguing that Beijing needs to “feel costs” over its
support for Russia’s war against Ukraine.
Kallas slammed Europe’s “significant under-investment” in defense and aired
regrets about restrictions on the arms the bloc has handed Ukraine to fend off
Russia’s attacks. She also clapped back at lawmakers who pushed for a peace
deal. “Maybe I was not clear enough: I’m for peace,” she told MEPs, while
cautioning that the 2015 Minsk agreement to end the conflict after Russia’s
original invasion of Crimea and eastern Ukraine hadn’t achieved lasting peace.
“We need to be in a position where Russia loses its last colonial war,” she
said.
2. NATO WILL SERVE EUROPE’S STRATEGIC NEEDS, NOT AN EU ARMY
Kallas is no fan of creating an EU army, warning that if the bloc had its own
military power, it could lead to a dangerous breakdown in the chain of command
in Europe. “If we have two parallel structures, the ball might fall in between
those chairs and we don’t need that,” she said. That enraged some heavy-hitters:
Guy Verhofstadt, a former Belgian prime minister, described her remarks as “very
disappointing.”
But Kallas argued that the European Union should stay in its lane and focus on
playing a purely economic role, boosting the EU’s defense industry and ramping
up ammunition production.
3. A HAWK’S HAWK ON RUSSIA
Kallas didn’t shy from her reputation as a hawk when it comes to Russia and
Ukraine. Calling for Kyiv’s “victory” over Moscow in her opening speech, she set
herself apart from policymakers who use the more slippery “as-long-as-it-takes”
formula to describe their support for Ukraine.
She urged the bloc to use all of Russia’s frozen assets — some €300 billion — to
rebuild Ukraine. “Russia is destroying Ukraine and should pay for this,” she
said, adding that Moscow could try to make a claim for its funds in court. “But
I doubt there is anything left over after the reconstruction of Ukraine,” she
said.
4. TREAD CAREFULLY ON WAR IN MIDDLE EAST
Kallas was more measured in response to questions on Israel’s war in Gaza. She
drew attention to the prohibition on attacking civilians and civilian
infrastructure in international humanitarian law across every conflict, called
for “the utmost restraint of all the parties,” and said the EU has teamed up
with partners like the U.S. and Gulf countries to achieve a ceasefire, a
two-state solution and the release of Israeli hostages.
She rejected an accusation of double standards: “In the Middle East, we are the
biggest donor of the Palestinian Authority; we are the biggest donor to helping
the Palestinian people in that region and we try to continue to do so.”
5. FINISH MERCOSUR TRADE DEAL, OR CHINA WILL BENEFIT
The EU should complete a major trade pact with a group of South American
countries known as Mercosur, or risk China’s swooping in instead, Kallas argued.
“If we don’t do a trade agreement with them, then this void will be filled
really by China,” she said. Kallas noted that between 2020 and 2022 Chinese
investment in Latin America increased 34-fold. The EU is racing to finalize the
agreement despite French opposition, perhaps as soon as December.
Roxana Mînzatu has only been an MEP for a matter of months. Now, she has to
demonstrate if she’s up to the task of commissioner.
Romania nominated Mînzatu after initially putting forward a male candidate, in
response to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s push for gender
balance. The Romanian nominee was offered one of six executive vice president
roles in the Commission.
While she may be a newbie MEP, she is no stranger to European affairs. She’s
previously held the top job in Romania’s Ministry of European Funds, although
she has also had a few stints in the private sector.
One thing that has irked some socialists, however, it that this commissioner
title no longer contains the words “employment” or “social rights.” That could
be a sore point for the S&D Group, of which she is a member.
We’ll be bringing you all the live action from 2:30 p.m. on Nov. 12.
Background reading:
* How the hearings work
* Leaked: Tense correspondence between EU commissioner hopefuls and Parliament
* Leaked documents: Which EU commissioners have the most property, money and
influence
* Meet the commissioners: Class of 2024
PS. If you want to follow more of the action from the hearings, our reporters
will be delivering blow-by-blow updates from all 26 commissioner interviews
here.
Why stop at climate? Let’s toss in economic transformation and competition as
well.
It’s an approach the EU has never tried before, making Teresa Ribera a
fascinating test case as she glides toward becoming one of the EU’s most
powerful commissioners of all time.
Given her climate-heavy background, Ribera was long expected to get a post
running the EU’s grand plan to hit net zero by 2050.
But the EU’s top executive, Ursula von der Leyen, had bigger plans for Ribera.
She wants the ex-Spanish official to both police companies that get too big and
help smaller companies get bigger — all while growing new industries and cutting
industrial emissions.
Whether Ribera can balance all these, ahem, competing impulses (see what we did
there?) is the main question looming over her hearing.
We’ll bring you all the live action starting at 6:30 p.m. CET on Nov. 12.
Background reading:
* How the hearings work
* Who’s most likely to get the chop
P.S.: If you want to follow more of the action from the hearings, our reporters
will be bringing you blow-by-blow updates from all 26 commissioner interviews
here.
It’s the big day for Stéphane Séjourné.
The former French foreign minister is set to face members of the European
Parliament today as he vies to become the European Commission’s executive vice
president for prosperity and industrial strategy. It’s one of the most powerful
positions on Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s new team.
Séjourné was named France’s candidate after the dramatic ouster of Thierry
Breton, whose bombastic and flamboyant style wore down his welcome with von der
Leyen. However, serious questions remain as to whether Séjourné has the
political chops to succeed in such a high-profile role.
Competition is expected to be a key part of today’s hearing. In his written
answers to questions from the European Parliament, Séjourné said that the he is
committed to thoroughly assessing the Commission’s rules aimed at combating
unfair trade practices amid stiff — and sometimes state-subsidized — competition
from China and the United States.
We’ll be bringing you all the live action from 2:30 p.m. CET on Nov. 12.
Background reading:
* How the hearings work
* Who’s most likely to get the chop
If you want to follow more action from the hearings, our reporters will be
bringing you blow-by-blow updates from all 26 commissioner interviews here.
Keep your moccasins on and the espresso at the ready because things are about to
get awfully Italian in Brussels.
Giorgia Meloni’s man, Raffaele Fitto, hits the auditorium to defend his
expertise and diplomatic credentials while being considered for an executive
vice president role overseeing some €400 billion in funding for poorer regions.
And things could get firey. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has
already let it be known she wants the distribution of these so-called “cohesion
funds” — which apply to various sectors including transport and agriculture — to
be subjected to conditionality, something that’s already upset everyone from
Polish farmers to Greek laborers.
There could be Italian political drama too. Fitto hails from the right-wing
Brothers of Italy which vocally opposed von der Leyen’s reappointment as
president, a fact that enraged the pan-European Socialists and Democrats
grouping. Many worry about the party’s fascist leanings, even though Fitto
himself is considered a moderate. Whether party politics or Italian patriotism
prevails will be the question on the day.
We’ll be bringing you all the live action from 9 a.m. CET on Nov. 12.
Background reading:
* How the hearings work
* Who’s most likely to get the chop
PS. If you want to follow more of the action from the hearings, our reporters
will be bringing you blow-by-blow updates from all 26 commissioner interviews
here.
If not for Russia’s full-scale assault on Ukraine, Kaja Kallas might not have
emerged as one of the most prominent voices on European foreign affairs. As
prime minister of Estonia, Kallas rang the alarm bells about Russian aggression,
pushing the EU to supply Ukraine with ammunition and freeze Russian assets, even
as some Western leaders wrung their hands over the risk of provoking the
Kremlin.
That track record is both one of Kallas’ biggest assets and her biggest weakness
as she faces questions from members of the European Parliament. As a candidate
for the EU’s foreign policy chief — officially, the high representative for
foreign affairs and security policy — she will have to alleviate fears that
she’s too much of a Russia hawk, at the expense of other international
priorities.
While she’s widely expected to pass with flying colors, she’ll also get an
opportunity to do what the job sometimes requires: answer uncomfortable
questions.
We’ll bring you all the live action starting at 9 a.m. CET on Nov. 11. Watch the
livestream here.
Background reading:
* How the hearings work
* Who’s most likely to get the chop
P.S. If you want to follow more of the action from the hearings, our reporters
will be bringing you blow-by-blow updates from all 26 commissioner interviews
here.
European lawmakers have delayed their decision on whether to sign off Hungary’s
choice for EU commissioner, Olivér Várhelyi, until Wednesday, five Parliament
officials told POLITICO.
Coordinators from the Parliament’s public health (ENVI) and agriculture (AGRI)
committees met on Monday to decide whether to approve Várhelyi’s nomination as
the next EU health and animal welfare commissioner. They agreed to delay the
decision until the final commissioner hearings have finished.
Várhelyi is so far the only candidate to face a second round of written
questions after failing to impress lawmakers in his oral hearing last week.
Committee coordinators met on Monday to discuss his answers to their follow-up
questions.
“We just decided to postpone the decision on the Fidesz Commissioner,” MEP
Pascal Canfin, the group coordinator for the centrists Renew in the ENVI
committee, wrote on X.
He told POLITICO that his group and the Socialists and Democrats (S&D) are “not
happy” with the choice and have not yet decided whether they can vote for him or
not.
It would be “impossible,” he said, “to support a commissioner coming from Fidesz
in charge of anything related to preparedness,” he said, referring to Hungarian
Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s right-wing party.
While Várhelyi praised the European Medicines Agency (EMA) in his hearing last
week, MEPs are still pointing to Budapest’s approach to the Covid-19 pandemic —
when it was the only EU country to distribute non-EU approved vaccines from
Russia and China — as a reason to reject the Hungarian candidate.
They are also stalling at approving a portfolio that would include reproductive
rights, Canfin said.
The Greens and the Left Group have also opposed Várhelyi’s nomination so far,
meaning the Hungarian lacks the numbers to get the green light. Only far-right
groups and the European Conservatives and Reformists supported him after the
initial hearing.
One idea floated by S&D and Renew had been to approve Várhelyi in exchange for
stripping competencies from his portfolio, such as reproductive rights, animal
welfare and vaccines, and giving them to another commissioner.
The far-right Patriots’ chief whip sees that as playing games.
“It is of course unacceptable to see the groups play their games regarding the
commissioner hearings,” Patriots chief whip, Danish MEP Anders Vistisen, told
POLITICO.
“But it only shows the helplessness of the liberals, socialists and greens. They
don’t hold any other real power in the parliament than EPP wants to grant them.
The sole responsibility for the wrong direction Europe is heading now lies on
the shoulders of EPP — they have a conservative parliament but refuses to use
it.”
Last week, a decision on Belgium’s Hadja Lahbib was also held hostage after a
poor performance by Jessika Roswall. In the end, the the green light for Lahbib
and Roswall was part of a deal between the EPP, the Renew group and the
Socialists & Democrats.
Similarly, the delay on Várhelyi means his fate can be used as a bargaining chip
among the groups, who still have to sign off on the most high-profile of
nominations on Tuesday, when the six executive vice presidents proposed by
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will be quizzed by MEPs.