Britain’s chief foreign minister plans to make a standalone visit to China, a
move designed to further boost economic and diplomatic engagement with Beijing
in the wake of an imminent trip by Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
Yvette Cooper said she “certainly will” travel to the country after Starmer
moved her to the role of foreign secretary in September. She declined to comment
on a possible date or whether it would be this year.
Cooper’s aim will be unsurprising to many, given Cabinet ministers including
Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Cooper’s predecessor David Lammy and the former
Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds all visited China last year in a drumbeat
that will culminate in Starmer’s visit, widely expected around the end of
January.
However, they indicate that Britain’s ruling Labour Party has no intention of
cooling a courtship that has generated significant opposition — including from
some of its own MPs — due to concerns over China’s human rights record and
espionage activity.
Cooper herself said Britain takes security issues around China “immensely
seriously,” adding: “That involves transnational repression, it involves the
espionage threats and challenges that we face.”
Speaking to POLITICO ahead of a visit Thursday to the Arctic, where China is
taking an increasing strategic interest, Cooper added: “There are also some
wider economic security issues around, for example, the control of critical
minerals around the world, and some of those issues.
“So we’re very conscious of the broad range of China threats that are posed
alongside what we also know is China’s role as being our third-largest trading
partner, and so the complexity of the relationship with China and the work that
needs to done.”
SECURITY TAKEN ‘VERY SERIOUSLY’
Labour officials have repeatedly emphasised their desire to engage directly with
the world’s second-largest economy, including frank dialogue on areas where they
disagree. Starmer said in December that he rejected a “binary choice” between
having a golden age or freezing China out.
However, the timing is acutely sensitive for the Labour government, which is
likely to approve plans for a new Chinese “mega-embassy” in London in the coming
days. The site near Tower Bridge is very close to telecommunications cables that
run to the capital’s financial district.
Cooper declined to answer directly whether she had assured U.S. counterparts
about the embassy plans, after a Trump administration official told the
Telegraph newspaper the White House was “deeply concerned” by them.
Keir Starmer said in December that he rejected a “binary choice” between having
a golden age or freezing China out. | Pool Photo by Ludovic Marin via EPA
The foreign secretary said: “The Home Office, the foreign office, also the
security agencies take all of those security issues very seriously, and we also
brief our allies on security issues as well.”
However, Cooper appeared to defend the prospect of approving the plans — which
have run parallel to Britain’s aim to rebuild its own embassy in Beijing. “All
countries have embassies,” she said. “We have embassies all around the world,
including in Beijing.”
She added: “Of course, security is an important part of the considerations
around all embassies. So we need to have those diplomatic relationships, those
communications. We also have to make sure that security is taken very seriously.
The U.K. and the U.S. have a particularly close security partnership. So we do
share a lot of information intelligence, and we have that deep-rooted
discussion.”
Asked if she plans to make her own visit to China, Cooper responded: “I
certainly will do so.”
Tag - Communications
President Donald Trump has linked his desire to own Greenland with the
development of his nascent missile defense shield, Golden Dome.
Except that he doesn’t need to seize the Danish territory to accomplish his
goal.
Golden Dome, Trump’s pricey vision to protect the U.S., is a multi-layered
defense shield intended to block projectiles heading toward the country.
The president announced a $175 billion, three-year plan last year, although gave
few details about how the administration would fund it.
“The United States needs Greenland for the purpose of National Security,” Trump
said Wednesday in a Truth Social post. “It is vital for the Golden Dome we are
building.”
But the country already has the access it needs in Greenland to host
interceptors that could knock down enemy missiles. And the U.S. has other
locations it could place similar defense systems — think New York or Canada — if
many of the interceptors are even based on land, instead of space as envisioned.
“The right way for the U.S. to engage with an ally to improve our homeland
defense — whether through additional radars, communication antennas or even
interceptor sites — is to engage collaboratively with that ally,” said a former
defense official. “If strengthening homeland defense is the actual goal, this
administration is off to a truly terrible start.”
Here are three reasons why Golden Dome has little to do with Trump’s desire to
take Greenland:
HE COULD HAVE JUST ASKED DENMARK
The U.S. military’s presence in Greenland centers on Pituffik Space Base, which
operates under a 1951 defense agreement with Denmark that grants the U.S.
regular access to the island. The base is a key outpost for detecting threats
from the Arctic, although it doesn’t host any interceptor systems.
If the Pentagon wanted to station interceptors or more sensors on the island,
the U.S. could simply work with Denmark to do so, according to the former
official and a defense expert.
Greenland has been part of the U.S. homeland missile defense and space
surveillance network for decades and it would continue that role under Golden
Dome, said Todd Harrison, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
“We already have unfettered access to what we need for Golden Dome in Greenland,
but the president talks as if he’s not aware of that,” Harrison said. “His
statements about Greenland are detached from reality.”
The White House, when asked for comment, pointed to Trump’s post.
HE COULD CHOOSE SOMEWHERE ELSE — THAT THE U.S. OWNS
Greenland could prove a good location for ground-based interceptors that block
missiles launching from Russia and the Middle East towards the U.S. But the U.S.
has other options for interceptor locations, and none would necessitate taking
another country (a seizure that could threaten to destroy the NATO alliance).
The Pentagon has examined potential locations for interceptor sites and Fort
Drum, an Army base in upstate New York, has routinely survived deep dive
analysis by the Missile Defense Agency, said the former defense official, who,
like others interviewed, was granted anonymity to speak about internal
discussions.
“Compared to Fort Drum, Greenland does not appear to be a better location for
such interceptors,” the person said.
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Ala.) has also said his state could play a “critical role”
in housing interceptors.
MUCH OF THE DEFENSE SHIELD IS SUPPOSED TO BE BASED IN SPACE
Trump’s assertion about needing Greenland for Golden Dome also raises questions
about what the multibillion-dollar architecture will actually look like. The
Pentagon has largely avoided discussing the price tag publicly.
And officials originally envisioned most of it located above the Earth. A key
part of Golden Dome is space-based interceptors — weapons orbiting the planet
that can shoot down incoming missiles.
But moving missile defense systems to space would require fewer ground-based
systems, negating the importance of acquiring more land for the effort.
“If Golden Dome’s sensor network and defenses are primarily space-based — as per
the current plan — Greenland might still be of value,” said a former defense
official. “But less so than it would be for terrestrial architecture.”
BERLIN — German Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil has assailed U.S. President
Donald Trump for his rhetoric on Greenland and actions in Venezuela, saying the
situation is worse than politicians like to admit.
The comments lay bare divisions inside Germany’s governing coalition over how to
handle Washington as transatlantic tensions mount. They also mark a divergence
between Klingbeil’s approach and that of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who
has taken a far more cautious approach to Trump to avoid a rupture with
Washington.
“The transatlantic alliance is undergoing much more profound upheaval than we
may have been willing to admit until now,” Klingbeil said Wednesday in view of
Trump’s assertion that the U.S. needs control over Greenland as well as the U.S.
administration’s decision to deploy its military to seize Venezuelan President
Nicolás Maduro.
“The transatlantic relationship that we have known until now is disintegrating,”
he added.
Merz, by contrast, has said with regard to Greenland that the U.S. president has
legitimate security concerns that NATO should address in order to achieve a
“mutually acceptable solution.” And while other EU governments strongly
criticized the Trump administration following the capture of Maduro, Merz was
more restrained, calling the matter legally “complex.”
Behind Klingbeil’s more strident criticism of Trump lies a clear political
calculus. The vice chancellor — who also serves as finance minister — is a
leader of the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD), which governs in
coalition with Merz’s conservative bloc and has seen its popularity stagnate.
Attacking Trump more forcefully may be one way for the party to improve its
fortunes.
Polls show most Germans strongly oppose Trump’s actions in Venezuela and his
rhetoric on Greenland, and views of the U.S. government more generally are at a
nadir. | Pool Photo by Shawn Thew via EPA
Polls show most Germans strongly oppose Trump’s actions in Venezuela and his
rhetoric on Greenland, and views of the U.S. government more generally are at a
nadir. Only 15 percent of Germans consider the U.S. to be a trustworthy partner,
according to the benchmark ARD Deutschlandtrend survey released last week, a
record low.
This underscores the political risk for Merz as he seeks to avoid direct
confrontation with an American president deeply unpopular with the German
electorate. But Merz has calculated that keeping open channels of communication
with the U.S. president is far more critical.
Klingbeil, on the other hand, is less encumbered by international diplomacy.
“The Trump administration has made it clear that it wants to dominate the
Western hemisphere,” he said on Wednesday. “One could sit here and say, ‘Yes,
what the US has done in Latin America is not pretty. Yes, there are also threats
against Mexico, Colombia, and Cuba, but what does that actually have to do with
us?’ But then we look at President Trump’s statements today about Greenland.
Then we look at what the Trump administration has written in its new national
security strategy with regard to Europe.
“All the certainties we could rely on in Europe are under pressure,” Klingbeil
added.
BRUSSELS — Elon Musk has denied that X’s artificial intelligence tool Grok
generates illegal content in the wake of AI-generated undressed and sexualized
images on the platform.
In a fresh post Wednesday, X’s powerful owner sought to argue that users — not
the AI tool — are responsible and that the platform is fully compliant with all
laws.
“I[‘m] not aware of any naked underage images generated by Grok,” he said.
“Literally zero.”
“When asked to generate images, [Grok] will refuse to produce anything illegal,
as the operating principle for Grok is to obey the laws of any given country or
state,” he added.
“There may be times when adversarial hacking of Grok prompts does something
unexpected. If that happens, we fix the bug immediately.”
Musk’s remarks follow heightened scrutiny by both the EU and the U.K., with
Brussels describing the appearance of nonconsensual, sexually explicit deepfakes
on X as “illegal,” “appalling” and “disgusting.”
The U.K.’s communications watchdog, Ofcom, said Monday that it had launched an
investigation into X. On Wednesday, U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the
platform is “acting to ensure full compliance” with the relevant law but said
the government won’t “back down.”
The EU’s tech chief Henna Virkkunen warned Monday that X should quickly “fix”
its AI tool, or the platform would face consequences under the bloc’s platform
law, the Digital Services Act.
The Commission last week ordered X to retain all of Grok’s data and documents
until the end of the year.
Just 11 days ago, Musk said that “anyone using Grok to make illegal content will
suffer the same consequences as if they upload illegal content” in response to a
post about the inappropriate images.
The company’s safety team posted a similar line, warning that it takes action
against illegal activity, including child sexual abuse material.
BRUSSELS — European governments are pressuring the EU to appoint a negotiator to
represent their interests on Ukraine, fearing the United States will stitch up a
deal with Russia behind their backs.
Supporters of the plan — including France and Italy — have secured support in
the European Commission and among a handful of other countries for the post,
according to three diplomats and officials with direct knowledge of the talks
who were granted anonymity to speak to POLITICO.
They say Europe can only maintain its red lines, such as Ukraine’s potential
future membership in NATO, if the EU has a seat at the table.
The unprecedented move would mark a major shift in how Europe engages with the
string of bilateral talks brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump, and comes as
the continent works to demonstrate it is ready to play a major role in any
settlement to end the four-year war.
French President Emmanuel Macron and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni have
joined forces in recent weeks to call for the opening of diplomatic channels to
Russian leader Vladimir Putin and his inner circle, even as White House peace
talks falter.
“Macron has been advocating in the last days that, in view of the bilateral
discussions between the Americans and the Russians, it is important to play at
least a role in the discussion,” a senior French official said. “Meloni very
much supported that … they’re not naive about what can be reached through these
discussions, but on the balance between not engaging and engaging, there’s a
growing appreciation [of the merits of engaging] in some capitals.”
Major disagreements remain over the details of the position. Critics say
appointing a negotiator would imply that Russia is ready to negotiate in good
faith and would accept anything other than Ukraine’s total subjugation. Trump’s
efforts to broker a deal have failed so far, with the Kremlin refusing to budge
from its demand that Ukraine hand over swaths of territory that Russian troops
have been unable to conquer.
MESSAGE TO MOSCOW
Discussions have been taking place in Brussels about what the bloc would
contribute to any talks, and how they could be used to ensure Trump doesn’t
sideline its concerns.
“There are some issues which cannot be discussed with [only] the U.S. when they
have direct implications on our security as Europeans,” the official said. “The
message to Washington is as important as [the message] to Moscow.”
Kurt Volker, who served as U.S. Special Representative for Ukraine Negotiations
in Trump’s first term and as ambassador to NATO in 2008-2009 under
then-President George W. Bush, told POLITICO that Brussels has to be more
assertive if it wants to be included in the talks.
“It’s been made clear Trump is going to keep up his dialog with Putin both
directly and through [U.S. envoy Steve] Witkoff,” he said. “That’s not going
away. So you have to have your own communication if it’s going on — it’s not
about being in the same room as the Americans and the Russians, it’s about
having any kind of communication.”
JOB CREATION
European leaders first discussed the idea of a special envoy at an EU summit
last March, a senior EU official confirmed. Despite getting broad backing, no
decision was taken and the proposals were left out of the subsequent joint
statement.
The role would have been narrowly focused on representing Brussels in talks
alongside Kyiv — an altogether different proposition to Meloni’s suggestion of
an interlocutor for Moscow.
“Countries that were supportive of a Ukraine envoy may not be supportive of an
envoy to speak with Russia,” the official said.
Kaja Kallas, the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs, has consistently
positioned herself as the only candidate for any role in negotiations over
Ukraine’s future. | Filip Singer/EPA
Kaja Kallas, the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs, has consistently
positioned herself as the only candidate for any role in negotiations over
Ukraine’s future. The former Estonian prime minister has been a steadfast ally
of Kyiv and has used her role to corral capitals into backing stronger sanctions
designed to force Russia to end its war of aggression.
“If Europe were to name a special envoy, the question is who does that person
represent? Who do they report to?” Volker asked. “If it were [Commission
President Ursula]von der Leyen, that sidelines Kaja Kallas and the External
Action Service [the EU’s diplomatic corps] — most envoys have typically been
within the action service, but then that would be at such a low level when they
need to talk to Putin directly, it wouldn’t work.
“But then I can just imagine the discussions in the Commission if it were to be
the Council who had an envoy. That would never fly.”
Officials confirmed that key aspects of the job — such as whether it would
represent just the EU or the entire “coalition of the willing,” including the
U.K. and others — have yet to be worked out. Ditto the diplomatic rank, and
whether to formally appoint a bureaucrat or informally delegate the role to a
current national leader.
Italian government minister Giovanbattista Fazzolari — an influential ally of
Meloni whose Ukrainian wife is credited with building support for Kyiv within
Rome’s governing coalition — said over the weekend that former Italian Prime
Minister Mario Draghi should be offered the special envoy job.
Another four diplomats, meanwhile, noted that Finnish President Alexander Stubb
has often been considered a potential representative for Europe in any talks
with Washington and Moscow. The center-right veteran diplomat has struck up
friendly relations with Trump while playing golf, while his country shares a
border with Russia and has been on the receiving end of hybrid campaigns from
the Kremlin.
According to one of them, relying on “a sitting leader” means they could be “a
bit more free in what they say.” However, “another question is figuring out what
is the moment to speak with Putin. Is there a risk that if you do so, you’re
also in a way legitimizing his positions?”
Two EU officials underlined to POLITICO that no special envoy role exists and
that any talk of candidates was premature. That said, a third noted, “none of
these jobs exist until they do.”
Jacopo Barigazzi contributed reporting.
Political leaders stepped up demands for new EU sanctions against the regime in
Iran, in response to the violent suppression of mass protests across the
country.
“Europe needs to act — and fast,” European Parliament President Roberta Metsola
told POLITICO. “We will support any future measures taken at EU level.”
Metsola, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Irish Prime Minister Micheál
Martin are among those who want Brussels to escalate sanctions against Tehran.
The EU’s executive in Brussels is reviewing options and promised to come forward
with a plan. Proposals under discussion include designating the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization and tougher measures
against regime figures responsible for the violence.
Authorities in Tehran have sought to quell an uprising that has spread across
more than 100 towns and cities in Iran since Dec. 28. The protests began as
demonstrations against the dire economic situation, with rampant inflation and a
plunging currency making daily life almost impossible for millions of Iranians.
But they quickly grew into a nationwide uprising demanding, in many cases, the
overthrow of the ayatollahs’ authoritarian regime.
Accurate data is difficult to verify, after the regime shut off internet
communications, but an Iranian official claimed around 2,000 people may have
been killed, including security personnel, according to Reuters. Many thousands
of protesters have been arrested.
“Political signals, support and solidarity are important — but we need to show
that we are serious,” Metsola said. The EU must demonstrate it is watching the
unfolding crisis, listening to the calls of those demonstrating against the
regime, and most importantly “acting,” she added. “If we do not stand up and
call out these injustices, we let all these brave people in Iran, [who] are
marching for justice, down. We cannot let this happen.”
Metsola has announced she is banning all Iranian diplomats and officials from
entering any of the European Parliament’s buildings or offices. She then set out
her criteria for new sanctions.
“Measures must be effective and targeted, ensuring that those responsible —
politically, militarily or judicially — are held accountable,” Metsola said. “We
need to make sure that these sanctions are far-reaching and hard-hitting,
sending an unmistakable message that human rights violations will not be
tolerated.”
The German chancellor also indicated his team was working on a fresh EU package
of sanctions. “The regime’s violence against its own people is not a sign of
strength, but of weakness. It must end immediately,” Merz posted on X. “To
underscore this message, we are working on further EU sanctions.”
The European Commission has been weighing up further action. On Tuesday,
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen promised plans for a new wave of
sanctions would come soon.
“The rising number of casualties in Iran is horrifying,” she wrote on X.
“Further sanctions on those responsible for the repression will be swiftly
proposed. We stand with the people of Iran who are bravely marching for their
liberty.”
U.S. President Donald Trump announced any country doing business with Iran would
face a 25 percent American tariff. He has promised to come to the aid of
protesters and is weighing up options including potential military strikes.
LONDON — Reza Pahlavi was in the United States as a student in 1979 when his
father, the last shah of Iran, was toppled in a revolution. He has not set foot
inside Iran since, though his monarchist supporters have never stopped believing
that one day their “crown prince” will return.
As anti-regime demonstrations fill the streets of more than 100 towns and cities
across the country of 90 million people, despite an internet blackout and an
increasingly brutal crackdown, that day may just be nearing.
Pahlavi’s name is on the lips of many protesters, who chant that they want the
“shah” back. Even his critics — and there are plenty who oppose a return of the
monarchy — now concede that Pahlavi may prove to be the only figure with the
profile required to oversee a transition.
The global implications of the end of the Islamic Republic and its replacement
with a pro-Western democratic government would be profound, touching everything
from the Gaza crisis to the wars in Ukraine and Yemen, to the oil market.
Over the course of three interviews in the past 12 months in London, Paris and
online, Pahlavi told POLITICO how Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
could be overthrown. He set out the steps needed to end half a century of
religious dictatorship and outlined his own proposal to lead a transition to
secular democracy.
Nothing is guaranteed, and even Pahlavi’s team cannot be sure that this current
wave of protests will take down the regime, never mind bring him to power. But
if it does, the following is an account of Pahlavi’s roadmap for revolution and
his blueprint for a democratic future.
POPULAR UPRISING
Pahlavi argues that change needs to be driven from inside Iran, and in his
interview with POLITICO last February he made it clear he wanted foreign powers
to focus on supporting Iranians to move against their rulers rather than
intervening militarily from the outside.
“People are already on the streets with no help. The economic situation is to a
point where our currency devaluation, salaries can’t be paid, people can’t even
afford a kilo of potatoes, never mind meat,” he said. “We need more and more
sustained protests.”
Over the past two weeks, the spiraling cost of living and economic mismanagement
have indeed helped fuel the protest wave. The biggest rallies in years have
filled the streets, despite attempts by the authorities to intimidate opponents
through violence and by cutting off communications.
Pahlavi has sought to encourage foreign financial support for workers who will
disrupt the state by going on strike. He also called for more Starlink internet
terminals to be shipped into Iran, in defiance of a ban, to make it harder for
the regime to stop dissidents from communicating and coordinating their
opposition. Amid the latest internet shutdowns, Starlink has provided the
opposition movements with a vital lifeline.
As the protests gathered pace last week, Pahlavi stepped up his own stream of
social media posts and videos, which gain many millions of views, encouraging
people onto the streets. He started by calling for demonstrations to begin at 8
p.m. local time, then urged protesters to start earlier and occupy city centers
for longer. His supporters say these appeals are helping steer the protest
movement.
Reza Pahlavi argues that change needs to be driven from inside Iran. | Salvatore
Di Nolfi/EPA
The security forces have brutally crushed many of these gatherings. The
Norway-based Iranian Human Rights group puts the number of dead at 648, while
estimating that more than 10,000 people have been arrested.
It’s almost impossible to know how widely Pahlavi’s message is permeating
nationwide, but footage inside Iran suggests the exiled prince’s words are
gaining some traction with demonstrators, with increasing images of the
pre-revolutionary Lion and Sun flag appearing at protests, and crowds chanting
“javid shah” — the eternal shah.
DEFECTORS
Understandably, given his family history, Pahlavi has made a study of
revolutions and draws on the collapse of the Soviet Union to understand how the
Islamic Republic can be overthrown. In Romania and Czechoslovakia, he said, what
was required to end Communism was ultimately “maximum defections” among people
inside the ruling elites, military and security services who did not want to “go
down with the sinking ship.”
“I don’t think there will ever be a successful civil disobedience movement
without the tacit collaboration or non-intervention of the military,” he said
during an interview last February.
There are multiple layers to Iran’s machinery of repression, including the hated
Basij militia, but the most powerful and feared part of its security apparatus
is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Pahlavi argued that top IRGC
commanders who are “lining their pockets” — and would remain loyal to Khamenei —
did not represent the bulk of the organization’s operatives, many of whom “can’t
pay rent and have to take a second job at the end of their shift.”
“They’re ultimately at some point contemplating their children are in the
streets protesting … and resisting the regime. And it’s their children they’re
called on to shoot. How long is that tenable?”
Pahlavi’s offer to those defecting is that they will be granted an amnesty once
the regime has fallen. He argues that most of the people currently working in
the government and military will need to remain in their roles to provide
stability once Khamenei has been thrown out, in order to avoid hollowing out the
administration and creating a vacuum — as happened after the 2003 U.S.-led
invasion of Iraq.
Only the hardline officials at the top of the regime in Tehran should expect to
face punishment.
In June, Pahlavi announced he and his team were setting up a secure portal for
defectors to register their support for overthrowing the regime, offering an
amnesty to those who sign up and help support a popular uprising. By July, he
told POLITICO, 50,000 apparent regime defectors had used the system.
His team are now wary of making claims regarding the total number of defectors,
beyond saying “tens of thousands” have registered. These have to be verified,
and any regime trolls or spies rooted out. But Pahlavi’s allies say a large
number of new defectors made contact via the portal as the protests gathered
pace in recent days.
REGIME CHANGE
In his conversations with POLITICO last year, Pahlavi insisted he didn’t want
the United States or Israel to get involved directly and drive out the supreme
leader and his lieutenants. He always said the regime would be destroyed by a
combination of fracturing from within and pressure from popular unrest.
He’s also been critical of the reluctance of European governments to challenge
the regime and of their preference to continue diplomatic efforts, which he has
described as appeasement. European powers, especially France, Germany and the
U.K., have historically had a significant role in managing the West’s relations
with Iran, notably in designing the 2015 nuclear deal that sought to limit
Tehran’s uranium enrichment program.
But Pahlavi’s allies want more support and vocal condemnation from Europe.
U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal in his first term and
wasted little time on diplomacy in his second. He ordered American military
strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities last year, as part of Israel’s 12-day war,
action that many analysts and Pahlavi’s team agree leaves the clerical elite and
its vast security apparatus weaker than ever.
U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal in his first term and
wasted little time on diplomacy in his second. | Pool photo by Bonnie Cash via
EPA
Pahlavi remains in close contact with members of the Trump administration, as
well as other governments including in Germany, France and the U.K.
He has met U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio several times and said he regards
him as “the most astute and understanding” holder of that office when it comes
to Iran since the 1979 revolution.
In recent days Trump has escalated his threats to intervene, including
potentially through more military action if Iran’s rulers continue their
crackdown and kill large numbers of protesters.
On the weekend Pahlavi urged Trump to follow through. “Mr President,” he posted
on X Sunday. “Your words of solidarity have given Iranians the strength to fight
for freedom,” he said. “Help them liberate themselves and Make Iran Great
Again!”
THE CARETAKER KING
In June Pahlavi announced he was ready to replace Khamenei’s administration to
lead the transition from authoritarianism to democracy.
“Once the regime collapses, we have to have a transitional government as quickly
as possible,” he told POLITICO last year. He proposed that a constitutional
conference should be held among Iranian representatives to devise a new
settlement, to be ratified by the people in a referendum.
The day after that referendum is held, he told POLITICO in February, “that’s the
end of my mission in life.”
Asked if he wanted to see a monarchy restored, he said in June: “Democratic
options should be on the table. I’m not going to be the one to decide that. My
role however is to make sure that no voice is left behind. That all opinions
should have the chance to argue their case — it doesn’t matter if they are
republicans or monarchists, it doesn’t matter if they’re on the left of center
or the right.”
One option he hasn’t apparently excluded might be to restore a permanent
monarchy, with a democratically elected government serving in his name.
Pahlavi says he has three clear principles for establishing a new democracy:
protecting Iran’s territorial integrity; a secular democratic system that
separates religion from the government; and “every principle of human rights
incorporated into our laws.”
He confirmed to POLITICO that this would include equality and protection against
discrimination for all citizens, regardless of their sexual or religious
orientation.
COME-BACK CAPITALISM
Over the past year, Pahlavi has been touring Western capitals meeting
politicians as well as senior business figures and investors from the world of
banking and finance. Iran is a major OPEC oil producer and has the second
biggest reserves of natural gas in the world, “which could supply Europe for a
long time to come,” he said.
“Iran is the most untapped reserve for foreign investment,” Pahlavi said in
February. “If Silicon Valley was to commit for a $100 billion investment, you
could imagine what sort of impact that could have. The sky is the limit.”
What he wants to bring about, he says, is a “democratic culture” — even more
than any specific laws that stipulate forms of democratic government. He pointed
to Iran’s past under the Pahlavi monarchy, saying his grandfather remains a
respected figure as a modernizer.
“If it becomes an issue of the family, my grandfather today is the most revered
political figure in the architect of modern Iran,” he said in February. “Every
chant of the streets of ‘god bless his soul.’ These are the actual slogans
people chant on the street as they enter or exit a soccer stadium. Why? Because
the intent was patriotic, helping Iran come out of the dark ages. There was no
aspect of secular modern institutions from a postal system to a modern army to
education which was in the hands of the clerics.”
Pahlavi’s father, the shah, brought in an era of industrialization and economic
improvement alongside greater freedom for women, he said. “This is where the Gen
Z of Iran is,” he said. “Regardless of whether I play a direct role or not,
Iranians are coming out of the tunnel.”
Conversely, many Iranians still associate his father’s regime with out-of-touch
elites and the notorious Savak secret police, whose brutality helped fuel the
1979 revolution.
NOT SO FAST
Nobody can be sure what happens next in Iran. It may still come down to Trump
and perhaps Israel.
Anti-regime demonstrations fill the streets of more than 100 towns and cities
across the country of 90 million people. | Neil Hall/EPA
Plenty of experts don’t believe the regime is finished, though it is clearly
weakened. Even if the protests do result in change, many say it seems more
likely that the regime will use a mixture of fear tactics and adaptation to
protect itself rather than collapse or be toppled completely.
While reports suggest young people have led the protests and appear to have
grown in confidence, recent days have seen a more ferocious regime response,
with accounts of hospitals being overwhelmed with shooting victims. The
demonstrations could still be snuffed out by a regime with a capacity for
violence.
The Iranian opposition remains hugely fragmented, with many leading activists in
prison. The substantial diaspora has struggled to find a unity of voice, though
Pahlavi tried last year to bring more people on board with his own movement.
Sanam Vakil, an Iran specialist at the Chatham House think tank in London, said
Iran should do better than reviving a “failed” monarchy. She added she was
unsure how wide Pahlavi’s support really was inside the country. Independent,
reliable polling is hard to find and memories of the darker side of the shah’s
era run deep.
But the exiled prince’s advantage now may be that there is no better option to
oversee the collapse of the clerics and map out what comes next.
“Pahlavi has name recognition and there is no other clear individual to turn
to,” Vakil said. “People are willing to listen to his comments calling on them
to go out in the streets.”
Meta named former Trump adviser Dina Powell McCormick to serve as president and
vice chair Monday, further cementing the company’s growing ties to Republicans
and President Donald Trump’s White House.
In addition to a long career on Wall Street, Powell McCormick served as Trump’s
deputy national security adviser during his first term. She was also a member of
the George W. Bush administration.
She first joined Meta’s board last April, part of a broader play by the social
media and artificial intelligence giant to hire Republicans following Trump’s
election.
In a statement, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg praised Powell McCormick’s “experience
at the highest levels of global finance, combined with her deep relationships
around the world, [which] makes her uniquely suited to help Meta manage this
next phase of growth.”
Rightward trend: Powell McCormick’s time in global finance — she spent 16 years
as a partner at Goldman Sachs and was most recently a top executive at banking
company BDT & MSD Partners — could be a major asset to Meta as it raises
hundreds of billions of dollars to build out data centers and other AI-related
infrastructure.
But her GOP pedigree and proximity to Trump likely played a significant role in
her hiring as well.
Since Trump’s election, Meta has worked to curry favor with Republicans in the
White House and on Capitol Hill. The company elevated former GOP official Joel
Kaplan to serve as global affairs lead last January, simultaneously tapping
Kevin Martin, a former Republican chair of the Federal Communications
Commission, as his No. 2.
Under pressure from Republicans, last year Meta also rolled back many of its
former rules related to content moderation. In 2024, the company apologized to
congressional Republicans — specifically Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), chair of the
House Judiciary Committee — for removing content that contained disinformation
about the Covid-19 pandemic.
A Meta spokesperson declined to comment when asked whether Powell McCormick’s
ties to Trump and Republicans played a role in her hiring.
Trump thumbs up: In a Truth Social post Monday, Trump congratulated Powell
McCormick and said Zuckerberg made a “great choice.” The president called her “a
fantastic, and very talented, person, who served the Trump Administration with
strength and distinction!”
LONDON — The U.K.’s communications watchdog Ofcom said Monday it has launched an
investigation into Elon Musk’s social media platform X over reports that its AI
chatbot Grok is producing non-consensual sexualized deepfakes of women and
children.
The investigation will ascertain whether the platform has complied with its
duties under the U.K.’s Online Safety Act to protect British users from illegal
content.
“There have been deeply concerning reports of the Grok AI chatbot account on X
being used to create and share undressed images of people — which may amount to
intimate image abuse or pornography — and sexualized images of children that may
amount to child sexual abuse material,” Ofcom said in a press release.
This is a developing story.
The downfall of Italy’s most politically influential Instagram couple — in a
fraud scandal over sales of sweet pandoro Christmas bread — is gripping the
nation, and there have been walk-on roles for Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and
her deputy, Matteo Salvini.
Chiara Ferragni, once the face of Italian fashion on social media and a darling
of the left, faces a potential jail term this week, over the so-called
“Pandorogate” scandal. She is accused of misleading consumers in 2023 by
promoting sales of luxury sugar-dusted brioches, whose inflated prices were
supposed to support sick children.
Her trial began in a Milan courtroom in late November, with a verdict expected
on Jan. 14. Prosecutors have requested a 20-month prison sentence. Ferragni
strongly denies any wrongdoing. “Everything we have done, we have done in good
faith, none of us has profited,” she told the courtroom on Nov. 25.
Her ex-husband, rapper-turned-activist Federico Lucia, known as Fedez, was not
charged in the scandal, but their marriage has collapsed under public scrutiny
and he has made an eye-catching lurch to engaging the political right.
Before the trial even began, the case was political. The glamorous couple had
been famous for taking on progressive causes, pitting themselves against the
more traditionalist Catholic mainstream. They tackled discrimination, campaigned
for LGBTQ+ rights and raised funds for intensive-care units during the Covid
pandemic.
As soon as the scandal broke, conservative Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni was
quick to single out Ferragni as the wrong kind of role model.
“The real role models … are not influencers who make loads of money promoting
expensive panettoni that are supposedly for charity,” Meloni said from the stage
at the 2023 Atreju gathering of Italy’s far right.
Chiara Ferragni and her husband Federico Leonardo Lucia, during the 76th Venice
Film Festival on September 4, 2019 at Venice Lido. | Alberto Pizzoli/AFP via
Getty Images
Months later, in 2024, Meloni introduced a bill — now dubbed the Ferragni law —
that directly targets influencers suspected of misleading their fan base with
glitzy marketing promotions. The proposed legislation is not the legal basis for
Ferragni’s prosecution, which falls under existing consumer protection and fraud
laws, but it was widely interpreted as a political response to the scandal
bearing her name.
By contrast, Meloni’s deputy, Salvini from the League party, came to Ferragni’s
defense, saying he was “shocked” by the “malice and rancor” directed at the
influencer and her family.
Indeed, a bond now seems to be building between Fedez and Salvini in the
aftermath of Pandoro-gate.
Once a progressive provocateur and outspoken critic of Italy’s far right, Fedez
has more recently appeared alongside right-wing figures, invited League
hardliner Roberto Vannacci onto his podcast and attended the youth congress of
the conservative Forza Italia party. In his memoir, he even praises Salvini for
being among the few public figures who checked in regularly during the difficult
period following his divorce.
“He was the only one who showed me true empathy. And this despite the fact that
we had very different ideas and we said all sorts about each other in the past,”
he wrote.
POLITICO reached out to both Ferragni’s company Chiara Ferragni Brand and her
lawyers as well as to Fedez’s PR agency for comments, but received no response.
MILLENNIAL EMPIRE
Before the courtroom drama, Ferragni, 38, and Fedez, 36, spent a decade
assembling something unique in Italian public life: A millennial empire that
blended fashion, entrepreneurship, activism and entertainment into a single,
highly lucrative influence machine.
Ferragni, a former law student, launched the blog The Blonde Salad with her
then-partner in 2009. By 2016, it had evolved into a lifestyle magazine and
e-commerce platform, selling Ferragni-designed stilettos, luggage and
sweatshirts with her well-known sardonic eye logo embroidered across the chest.
Luxury houses took notice. She moved from the blogsphere to the front rows of
fashion weeks, securing lucrative partnerships and becoming a Harvard Business
School case study.
Fedez’s path was different. He was a master “at intercepting the cultural
changes in Italy,” said Francesco Oggiano, a journalist and expert in digital
and political communication.
Already established as a rapper in the early 2010s, Fedez reinvented himself as
a political firebrand. He publicly challenged Meloni, wrote the official song
for the populist Five Star Movement in 2014 and used televised appearances at
the Sanremo song contest to criticize right-wing politicians. He was loud,
combative, and comfortable mixing his celebrity with activism.
Ferragni moved from the blogsphere to the front rows of fashion weeks, securing
lucrative partnerships and becoming a Harvard Business School case study. |
Donato Fasano/Getty Images
When Ferragni and Fedez met in 2016, their relationship quickly became a shared
brand. Their 2018 wedding was a sponsorship-saturated media event. Their home
life played out as a meticulously crafted and very glitzy reality show followed
by millions.
And it worked. “Italy has always been an orphan of royal couples,” Oggiano
explained. The country “deluded itself that [Ferragni and Fedez] were the
perfect couple” and helped build their myth by following their every move.
They threw their weight behind the Zan bill, a proposed law to protect people
from violence and discrimination based on sex, sexual orientation, gender
identity and disabilities that never saw the light of day. They also used their
platform to amplify the Malika case, in support of a young woman kicked out of
her home by her family for loving another woman; and raised millions for
intensive-care units during the Covid pandemic.
The duo became a kind of soft-power project, offering an outlet for a millennial
Italy opposed to traditional nationalist and Catholic frameworks. They weren’t
politicians, but their influence rivaled that of politicians grappling with a
changing media landscape.
SUGARY SCANDAL
The couple’s progressive politics made “Pandorogate” a spectacular fall from
grace.
In late 2023, Ferragni partnered with confectioner Balocco to market a
pink-boxed, limited-edition pandoro to support Turin’s Regina Margherita
children’s hospital. The message was simple: Buy the pandoro to support cancer
research.
But the arrangement was not tied to sales. As journalist Selvaggia Lucarelli
first revealed, Balocco had already donated a fixed €50,000 months earlier,
while Ferragni received a commercial fee for the campaign. Even the hospital
initially misunderstood how the promotion worked.
Italy’s Competition Authority (AGCM) later confirmed those findings, concluding
that packaging, press releases and social-media posts created the misleading
impression that consumers were directly supporting the charity. In reality, no
share of sales was donated, while Ferragni’s companies earned more than €1
million from the campaign.
Chiara Ferragni, charged for aggravated fraud in a case linked to a Pandoro
charity initiative, leaves the courthouse of Milan after a preliminary hearing,
in Milan on November 4, 2025. | Piero Cruciatii/AFP via Getty Images
The competition authorities fined Ferragni and Balocco more than €1 million for
misleading commercial practices, and saying companies linked to Ferragni
profited from the scheme. Consumer groups urged prosecutors to investigate
potential fraud and to consider freezing her companies’ accounts.
By 2025, the controversy had shifted to criminal proceedings. Milan prosecutors
incorporated the AGCM’s conclusions into their case, charging Ferragni with
aggravated fraud for allegedly generating false expectations among buyers.
To her political enemies, Pandorogate was a case of philanthropy being treated
as a marketing accessory. The attorney general stated in the decree that decided
the trial would be held in Milan that Ferragni “used” charity “to strengthen her
image.”
BUBBLE REPUTATION
The scandal didn’t just damage the couple’s commercial brand. It also tarnished
the progressive picture they created of themselves.
“Fedez was always better at controlling the narrative,” said Oggiano, which may
help explain why he has managed to remain relevant in Italy’s media landscape.
After the divorce, Fedez took control of the public discourse yet again by
writing an autobiography. In it, he describes how, already struggling after
cancer surgery, he cycled through hospitalizations, panic attacks, heavy
medication and periods of erratic behavior, finding support in unlikely places,
not least Salvini.
A public repositioning followed. Fedez launched a new podcast, where he often
hosts some of Italy’s most outspoken right-wing figures, from politicians to
other artists and influencers. He calls it “dialogue,” while his critics call it
a political shift. His audience has changed too: More male, more skeptical and
increasingly drawn to a Joe Rogan-style environment that prizes unfiltered
chatter over ideological clarity.
Ferragni chose silence instead. Legal troubles, reputational collapse and the
withdrawal of brand partners are now pushing her largely out of public view.
Their demise removes one of the few high-visibility counterweights to a
nationalist government that is now mastering digital communication.
What remains of their legacy? At a national level, when it comes to marketing
campaigns, “brands are definitely more careful,” Oggiano said.
Ferragni now faces a legal battle and a steep climb back to public trust. Fedez
has traded activism for opinion-driven entertainment on his podcast. Their
shared brand of entrepreneurial optimism and progressive advocacy has
evaporated.
She paid a heavier price than Fedez, but both careers were always built on a
trade-off.
As Oggiano puts it: “You have to choose between attention and reputation. Some
people choose reputation above all else, and the moment there’s even the
slightest scandal, everything collapses.”