BRUSSELS — Only a few days ago, EU diplomats and officials were whispering
furtively about the idea they might one day need to think about how to push back
against Donald Trump. They’re not whispering anymore.
Trump’s attempt, as EU leaders saw it, to “blackmail” them with the threat of
tariffs into letting him take the sovereign Danish island of Greenland provoked
a howl of outrage — and changed the world.
Previous emergency summits in Brussels focused on existential risks to the
European Union, like the eurozone crisis, Brexit, the coronavirus pandemic, and
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This week, the EU’s 27 leaders cleared their
diaries to discuss the assault they faced from America.
There can be little doubt that the transatlantic alliance has now been
fundamentally transformed from a solid foundation for international law and
order into a far looser arrangement in which neither side can be sure of the
other.
“Trust was always the foundation for our relations with the United States,” said
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk as he arrived for the summit in Brussels on
Thursday night. “We respected and accepted American leadership. But what we need
today in our politics is trust and respect among all partners here, not
domination and for sure not coercion. It doesn’t work in our world.”
The catalyst for the rupture in transatlantic relations was the U.S. president’s
announcement on Saturday that he would hit eight European countries with tariffs
of 10 percent for opposing his demand to annex Greenland.
That was just the start. In an avalanche of pressure, he then canceled his
support for the U.K. premier’s decision to hand over the Chagos Islands, home to
an important air base, to Mauritius; threatened France with tariffs on Champagne
after Macron snubbed his Board of Peace initiative; slapped down the Norwegian
prime minister over a Nobel Peace Prize; and ultimately dropped his threats both
to take Greenland by military force and to hit countries that oppose him with
tariffs.
Here was a leader, it seemed to many watching EU officials, so wild and
unpredictable that he couldn’t even remain true to his own words.
But what dismayed the professional political class in Brussels and beyond was
more mundane: Trump’s decision to leak the private text messages he’d received
directly from other world leaders by publishing them to his 11.6 million
followers on social media.
Trump’s screenshots of his phone revealed French President Emmanuel Macron
offering to host a G7 meeting in Paris, and to invite the Russians in the
sidelines. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, who once called Trump “daddy,”
also found his private text to Trump made public, in which he praised the
president’s “incredible” achievements, adding: “Can’t wait to see you.”
Leaking private messages “is not acceptable — you just don’t do it,” said one
senior diplomat, like others, on condition of anonymity because the matter is
sensitive. “It’s so important. After this, no one can trust him. If you were any
leader you wouldn’t tell him anything. And this is a crucial means of
communication because it is quick and direct. Now everything will go through
layers of bureaucracy.”
Mark Carney had been one of the classic Davos set and was a regular attendee:
suave, a little smug, and seeming entirely comfortable among snow-covered peaks
and even loftier clientele. | Gian Ehrenzeller/EPA
The value of direct contact through phone texts is well known to the leaders of
Europe, who, as POLITICO revealed, have even set up their own private group chat
to discuss how to respond when Trump does something inflammatory. Such messages
enable ministers and officials at all levels to coordinate solutions before
public statements have to be made, the same senior diplomat said. “If you don’t
have trust, you can’t work together anymore.”
NO MORE NATO
Diplomats and officials now fear the breakdown in personal trust between
European leaders and Trump has potentially grave ramifications.
Take NATO. The military alliance is, at its core, a promise: that member
countries will back each other up and rally to their defense if one of them
comes under attack. Once that promise looks less than solid, the power of NATO
to deter attacks is severely undermined. That’s why Denmark’s Prime Minister
Mette Frederiksen warned that if Trump invaded the sovereign Danish territory of
Greenland it would be the end of NATO.
The fact he threatened to do so has already put the alliance into intensive
care, another diplomat said.
Asked directly if she could still trust the U.S. as she arrived at the Brussels
summit, Frederiksen declined to say yes. “We have been working very closely with
the United States for many years,” she replied. “But we have to work together
respectfully, without threatening each other.”
European leaders now face two tasks: To bring the focus back to the short-term
priorities of peace in Ukraine and resolving tensions over Greenland; and then
to turn their attention to mapping out a strategy for navigating a very
different world. The question of trust, again, underpins both.
When it comes to Ukraine, European leaders like Macron, Germany’s Friedrich Merz
and the U.K.’s Keir Starmer have spent endless hours trying to persuade Trump
and his team that providing Kyiv with an American military element underpinning
security guarantees is the only way to deter Russian President Vladimir Putin
from attacking again in future.
Given how unreliable Trump has been as an ally to Europe, officials are now
privately asking what those guarantees are really worth. Why would Russia take
America’s word seriously? Why not, in a year or two, test it to make sure?
THE POST-DAVOS WORLD
Then there’s the realignment of the entire international system.
There was something ironic about the setting for Trump’s assaults on the
established world order, and about the identities of those who found themselves
the harbingers of its end.
Among the snow-covered slopes of the Swiss resort of Davos, the world’s business
and political elite gather each year to polish their networks, promote their
products, brag about their successes, and party hard. The super rich, and the
occasional president, generally arrive by helicopter.
As a central bank governor, Mark Carney had been one of the classic Davos set
and was a regular attendee: suave, a little smug, and seeming entirely
comfortable among snow-covered peaks and even loftier clientele.
Now prime minister of Canada, this sage of the centrist liberal orthodoxy had a
shocking insight to share with his tribe: “Today,” Carney began this week, “I’ll
talk about the rupture in the world order, the end of a nice story, and the
beginning of a brutal reality where geopolitics among the great powers is not
subject to any constraints.”
“The rules-based order is fading,” he intoned, to be replaced by a world of
“great power rivalry” in which “the strong do what they can, and the weak suffer
what they must.”
“The old order is not coming back. We should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a
strategy.”
Carney impressed those European officials watching. He even quoted Finnish
President Alexander Stubb, who has enjoyed outsized influence in recent months
due to the connections he forged with Trump on the golf course.
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, who once called Donald Trump “daddy,” also
found his private text to Donald Trump made public, in which he praised the
president’s “incredible” achievements, adding: “Can’t wait to see you.” | Jim
lo Scalzo/EPA
Ultimately, Carney had a message for what he termed “middle powers” — countries
like Canada. They could, he argued, retreat into isolation, building up their
defenses against a hard and lawless world. Or they could build something
“better, stronger and more just” by working together, and diversifying their
alliances. Canada, another target of Trump’s territorial ambitions, has just
signed a major partnership agreement with China.
As they prepared for the summit in Brussels, European diplomats and officials
contemplated the same questions. One official framed the new reality as the
“post-Davos” world. “Now that the trust has gone, it’s not coming back,” another
diplomat said. “I feel the world has changed fundamentally.”
A GOOD CRISIS
It will be up to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and her team
to devise ways to push the continent toward greater self-sufficiency, a state
that Macron has called “strategic autonomy,” the diplomat said. This should
cover energy, where the EU has now become reliant on imports of American gas.
The most urgent task is to reimagine a future for European defense that does not
rely on NATO, the diplomat said. Already, there are many ideas in the air. These
include a European Security Council, which would have the nuclear-armed non-EU
U.K. as a member. Urgent efforts will be needed to create a drone industry and
to boost air defenses.
The European Commission has already proposed a 100,000-strong standing EU army,
so why not an elite special forces division as well? The Commission’s officials
are world experts at designing common standards for manufacturing, which leaves
them well suited to the task of integrating the patchwork of weapons systems
used by EU countries, the same diplomat said.
Yet there is also a risk. Some officials fear that with Trump’s having backed
down and a solution to the Greenland crisis now apparently much closer, EU
leaders will lose the focus and clarity about the need for change they gained
this past week. In a phrase often attributed to Churchill, the risk is that EU
countries will “let a good crisis go to waste.”
Domestic political considerations will inevitably make it harder for national
governments to commit funding to shared EU defense projects. As hard-right
populism grows in major regional economies, like France, the U.K. and Germany,
making the case for “more Europe” is harder than ever for the likes of Macron,
Starmer and Merz. Even if NATO is in trouble, selling a European army will be
tough.
While these leaders know they can no longer trust Trump’s America with Europe’s
security, many of them lack the trust of their own voters to do what might be
required instead.
Tag - Coronavirus
The German government rejected claims by U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy
Jr. that Berlin prosecuted doctors and patients for refusing Covid-19
vaccinations or mask mandates.
“The statements made by the U.S. Secretary of Health are completely unfounded,
factually incorrect, and must be rejected,” German Health Minister Nina Warken
said in a statement late Saturday.
“I can happily explain this to him personally,” she said. “At no time during the
coronavirus pandemic was there any obligation for doctors to carry out vaccines
against Covid-19,” Warken added.
“Anyone who did not wish to offer vaccines for medical, ethical or personal
reasons were not criminally liable and did not have to fear penalties,” she
said.
Warken added that “criminal prosecution took place only in cases of fraud and
forgery of documents, such as the issuing of false vaccine certificates” or
exemption certificates for masks.
“Doctors [in Germany] decide independently and autonomously on the treatment of
patients,” the minister stressed, adding that “patients are also free to decide
which treatment they wish to receive.”
Kennedy said in a video post on Saturday that he had written to Warken after
receiving reports that Germany was restricting “people’s abilities to act on
their own convictions” in medical decisions.
He claimed that “more than a thousand German physicians and thousands of their
patients” faced prosecution for issuing exemptions from mask-wearing or Covid-19
vaccination requirements during the pandemic.
Kennedy did not provide specific examples or identify the reports he cited, but
he said Germany was “targeting physicians who put their patients first” and was
“punishing citizens for making their own medical choices.”
He accused Berlin of undermining the doctor–patient relationship and replacing
it with “a dangerous system that makes physicians enforcers of state policies.”
Former German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach also pushed back on the claims,
telling Kennedy on X to “take care of health problems in his own country.”
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Wer regiert die Welt – und was treibt sie an? In unserem regelmäßigen
Machthaber-Spezial geht es um die mächtigsten und umstrittensten Politikerinnen
und Politiker unserer Zeit. Wir zeigen, wie sie denken, entscheiden – und was
das für uns bedeutet. Eine Politikerin oder Politiker, ein Blick hinter die
Kulissen der Macht.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
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die wichtigsten Themen und Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
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Over the weekend, Covid cautious individuals shared clips on social media of Jon
Stewart punching down on people who are masking, who are presumably doing so to
protect themselves from Covid, the flu, and other infectious diseases that are
spreading across the United States.
On the December 11 episode of the podcast The Weekly Show with Jon Stewart,
guest Tim Miller of The Bulwark said there have to be at least two people at
fellow guest Jon Favreau’s workplace wearing masks because it’s a progressive
organization. Stewart responded, “There’s always two, and you always say, ‘Oh,
are you sick?’ And they go, ‘Uh, I don’t want to talk about it.'”
> Disappointed to see Jon Stewart & co joke about masking in public. I do it for
> my medically fragile daughter (Batten Disease). People not masking properly
> led to her getting pneumonia, which led to her being on life support, which
> led to me getting price quotes on her cremation just in case.
>
> [image or embed]
>
> — Philip Palermo (@palermo.bsky.social) December 28, 2025 at 7:31 PM
First of all, asking people why they are masking is invasive behavior. No one
randomly owes you information about their health, their loved one’s health, or,
understandably, just wanting to avoid Covid, which is the only way to prevent
Long Covid. As I’ve also previously reported, disabled people in New York’s
Nassau County have reported being harassed after the county passed a mask ban.
Cancer patients have also told their stories of being questioned about why
they’re masking. Even before the start of the Covid pandemic, populations
including cancer patients and organ transplant recipients have been encouraged
to mask by healthcare professionals.
“Sad that Jon Stewart and friends have become just more white liberals who enjoy
punching down at marginalized people who are just doing our best to survive,”
Karistina Lafae, a disabled author and essayist, told me. “Those of us who have
Long COVID, who have watched family and friends die of COVID, we are being
mocked for taking common-sense precautions against illness and further
disability.”
Research also shows that Long Covid is very much a working-class problem. A
study looking at people in Spain found that workers who had close contact with
colleagues at their job, did not mask, and took public transit to and from work
are more likely to have Long Covid, thus also highlighting Covid as an
occupational problem. The United States Census Bureau also reported in 2023 that
Black and Latino adults were more likely to report experiencing Long Covid
symptoms than white people.
Some people have also pointed out the hypocrisy of his work supporting 9/11
first responders and how he is talking about masking now. Epidemiologist
Gabrielle A. Perry posted on BlueSky that Stewart has “some absolute fucking
NERVE to be making fun of Long COVID survivors and people still masking” when
“he’s seen UP CLOSE the government deny healthcare and resources for 9/11
survivors who breathed in toxic air and are suffering decades later.”
> Jon Stewart has some absolute fucking NERVE to be making fun of Long COVID
> survivors and people still masking on his piece of shit podcast when he’s seen
> UP CLOSE the government deny healthcare and resources for 9/11 survivors who
> breathed in toxic air and are suffering decades later. What a psycho
>
> — Gabrielle A. Perry, MPH (@geauxgabrielle.bsky.social) December 27, 2025 at
> 5:29 AM
Justine Barron worked a few blocks from the World Trade Center in 2001. “On top
of exposure that day, I was exposed for a year and developed extremely severe
breathing and skin issues, as well as immune dysfunction,” Barron told me.
Barron acquired Long Covid in 2020, and her doctors believe that her 9/11
related conditions made her more susceptible to developing Long Covid.
Barron is part of a 25-year World Trade Center Health Commission study,
including hundreds of thousands of participants. “More recently, there have been
questions related to Covid and Long Covid indicating that the commission is also
aware of this connection,” Barron said. “My point is that you can’t be
supportive of the 9/11 responders without also being supportive of Long Covid.
Both environmental harms cause similar issues in people, and there are many of
us that are double victims.”
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Im Bundestag tagt die Corona-Enquete-Kommission – und gleich die erste
öffentliche Sitzung nach der Sommerpause zeigt, wie tief die Gräben noch sind.
Thema: Grundrechte und staatliche Eingriffe während der Pandemie. Zwischen
Schutz und Freiheit, Eigenverantwortung und Vertrauen in die Wissenschaft wird
heftig gestritten.
Rixa Fürsen spricht mit Pauline von Pezold, die den Auftritt der
AfD-Abgeordneten und ihrer Sachverständigen beobachtet hat.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
President Donald Trump said Sunday he won’t be in attendance at the Supreme
Court this week for a pivotal legal showdown that could gut the tariff policy at
the center of his economic agenda.
Trump had flirted publicly with going to the oral arguments in the tariff
case Wednesday, even though such a move by a sitting president would appear
unprecedented. But as he returned to the White House from Florida on Sunday, he
told reporters on Air Force One that he doesn’t plan to go.
At about the same time, Trump posted a longer statement on Truth Social,
slipping in confirmation he won’t be at the crucial high court session.
“I will not be going to the Court on Wednesday in that I do not want to distract
from the importance of this Decision,” Trump wrote.
Still, the president doubled down on the case’s importance and his predictions
of disaster if the high court forces him to abandon his most sweeping tariffs.
“It will be, in my opinion, one of the most important and consequential
Decisions ever made by the United States Supreme Court,” Trump wrote. “If we
lose, our Country could be reduced to almost Third World status — Pray to God
that that doesn’t happen!”
The justices are set to weigh a pair of legal challenges to Trump’s use of
emergency powers to impose tariffs on several countries by invoking a nearly
50-year-old law. No president before Trump has used the law, known as the
International Emergency Economic Powers Act, to impose tariffs, which have
brought in tens of billions of dollars to the U.S. government.
Trump’s decision came after at least one prominent Trump ally indicated it would
be unwise for the president to attend.
“I think it’s a mistake,” Republican Sen. John Kennedy of Louisiana told
POLITICO last week. “I’m sure the president is interested in the arguments,”
Kennedy added. “Some may interpret it as an attempt to put pressure on the
justices, and I think if the justices receive it that way, I’m not saying they
will or they won’t, but if they do perceive it that way, I think it will
backfire.”
Some Democrats also said the move Trump was mulling was likely to be
counterproductive.
“It is a fairly unsubtle effort to intimidate the Supreme Court. Parties have a
right to attend Supreme Court arguments, but the president could listen to it in
a variety of other ways, and I think it’s just an attempt to bully the court,
and frankly, I think it will backfire,” said Sen. Richard Blumenthal of
Connecticut.
However, speaking to journalists last month, Trump said he felt obliged to go
given the stakes.
“It’s one of the most important decisions in the history of the Supreme Court
and I might go there. I really believe I have an obligation to go there,” Trump
said.
The move would have given the president a first-hand view as the justices weigh
whether to uphold his wide-ranging tariffs on dozens of U.S. trading partners —
a policy Trump has made a signature of his second term.
Since suffering a defeat at an appeals court earlier this year, Trump has used
almost apocalyptic terms to warn about the impact of a similar ruling from the
justices.
In a social media post in August, the president suggested the U.S. would be left
destitute if his tariffs were deemed illegal. Such a ruling “would literally
destroy the United States of America,” he wrote.
The official request the administration made to the high court in September for
urgent consideration of the case was only slightly more reserved. “The President
and his Cabinet officials have determined … that the denial of tariff authority
would expose our nation to trade retaliation without effective defenses and
thrust America back to the brink of economic catastrophe,” Solicitor General D.
John Sauer wrote.
Historians and lawyers who practice regularly before the court said they were
not aware of any prior occasion in which a sitting president attended oral
arguments. Presidents do grace the Supreme Court’s ornate courtroom on occasion
for the formal investiture of new justices and typically visit the building
during events marking the death of a justice.
Trump attended the official installation of two of his nominees to the court:
Justices Neil Gorsuch, in 2017, and Brett Kavanaugh, in 2018. He also visited
the court in 2020 for ceremonies related to the death of Justice Ruth Bader
Ginsburg. (He did not attend the investiture of his third Supreme Court nominee,
Justice Amy Coney Barrett. That event was delayed until 2021 due to the
coronavirus pandemic, and Trump was out of office at the time.)
“In general, the justices are very protective of their status and prerogatives
and they really don’t like it when it looks like they’re being bullied,” said
Washington University law professor Daniel Epps.
Stephen Wermiel, a Supreme Court historian, said it would be “a very awkward
situation for him to attend.”
“If he is there to remind the justices how important the case is to him, that is
extremely superfluous. They are quite aware of the importance of the case. If he
is there as a form of jawboning, that is even more inappropriate,” he added.
Trump has previously shown up to lower court proceedings where his attendance
was not required.
In January 2024, Trump flew from his Florida home to a Washington federal
courthouse a few blocks from the Capitol to watch Sauer, then one of his
personal attorneys, argue that Trump’s service as president immunized him from
criminal prosecution. Special counsel Jack Smith, who had obtained the criminal
indictment claiming Trump illegally conspired to overturn the 2020 presidential
election, was also present.
Whatever Trump’s intent in turning up that day — and breaking courtroom protocol
by sitting at the counsel table with his lawyers — the D.C. Circuit judges
didn’t back down. Despite the then-ex-president’s presence, all three judges,
including a Republican appointee, rejected Trump’s immunity arguments.
When Trump’s appeal of that decision went before the Supreme Court about two
months later, Trump was sitting in a separate criminal trial in Manhattan on
charges he illegally covered up hush money payments to a porn star. The former
president asked to be excused from the trial to attend the immunity arguments at
the high court, but the state court judge, Juan Merchan, declined.
“Arguing before the Supreme Court is a big deal; I can understand why your
client wants to be there,” Merchan said to Trump’s lawyers. “Your client is a
criminal defendant in New York County Supreme Court. He’s required to be here.”
Sauer, who argued the immunity case for Trump at the high court, had a strong,
if unsupervised, outing. In a decision that broke largely along ideological
lines, the high court declared Trump immune from criminal prosecution for some
actions he took as president,effectively kneecapping Smith’s election-related
prosecution.
When Trump returned to office this year he named Sauer to his current post as
the federal government’s top lawyer at the Supreme Court. He’s set to defend
Trump’s tariff policy on Wednesday.
Epps, who served as a law clerk to Justice Anthony Kennedy, said one factor
Trump or his advisers might have considered is whether he would have the
patience to endure what could be two or even three hours of arguments on rather
dry legal topics.
“I have no idea how he would conduct himself. … Do you think he could sit there
respectfully while people are debating this?” Epps said. “He would presumably
want to be on his phone … The whole thing sounds horribly, horribly awkward.”
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Von den Bundesländern bis zur COP30 in Brasilien: Der Kanzler reist, verhandelt
und kämpft um Vertrauen in die Wirtschaft.
Im Gespräch mit Rasmus Buchsteiner geht es um steigende Krankenkassenbeiträge,
drohenden Stellenabbau, den geplanten Stahl-Gipfel und die Frage, ob aus den
vielen Runden endlich greifbare Ergebnisse werden.
Im 200-Sekunden-Interview erklärt Franziska Hoppermann, Vorsitzende der
Enquete-Kommission zur Corona-Aufarbeitung, wie die Arbeit des Bundestags
Gerechtigkeit und Versöhnung schaffen soll. Sie spricht über die Rolle von Jens
Spahn, wo die Corona-Kritiker bleiben und erste Lehren aus den Anhörungen.
Und: Hans von der Burchard analysiert das erste Telefonat seit längerer Zeit
zwischen Friedrich Merz und Benjamin Netanjahu. Es geht um humanitäre Hilfe für
Gaza, diplomatische Spannungen – und darum, ob Deutschland wieder Einfluss im
Nahost-Friedensprozess gewinnt.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
BRUSSELS — An adviser to U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. lauded
Europe’s data on Covid-19 vaccines in front of European Parliament lawmakers on
Wednesday.
Robert W. Malone, one of RFK Jr.’s newly selected vaccine advisers to the U.S.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said the United States can’t gather
and analyze data as well as Europe does it, name-checking the Nordics and the
U.K. especially for their systems.
“One of the consequences is we can’t do, frankly, as good a job as you can do in
epidemiology, which may be part of the reason why in some nation states, we’re
getting better data on the Covid harms from Europe, the U.K., than we’re getting
from the United States,” Malone said.
That’s because, among other things, “we don’t have socialized medicine the same
way you do, and we have barriers to ensure patient confidentiality,” he told
right-wing MEPs gathered in the Parliament to launch the Make Europe Healthy
Again (MEHA) movement with the Patriots for Europe group.
Under RFK Jr., the U.S. has tried to reign in who can receive Covid-19 shots,
which until recently were offered to everyone over 6 months of age at least once
a year.
Europe diverged from American Covid-19 shot recommendations during the pandemic,
restricting eligibility to those who would be at greatest risk from catching the
virus as well as weighing the possible side effects. Younger men and teenagers,
for example, appeared more susceptible to a rare heart condition after
vaccination.
RFK Jr., who has campaigned against the use of certain vaccines, has cited
Europe’s approach to Covid-19 vaccination in his attempts to restrict who in the
U.S. should receive it.
He has also pushed for pregnant women to avoid using paracetamol (Tylenol),
linking its use to increasing rates of autism in the U.S., under his Make
America Health Again (MAHA) campaign.
PARIS — Ratings agency Fitch downgraded France’s credit rating just days after
the country named yet another prime minister.
The agency cited “the increased fragmentation and polarization of domestic
politics” in lowering France’s rating to A+ from AA-. The outlook is stable,
Fitch said.
“Since the snap legislative elections in mid-2024, France has had three
different governments,” the ratings agency wrote in its analysis published late
Friday. “This instability weakens the political system’s capacity to deliver
substantial fiscal consolidation and makes it unlikely that the headline fiscal
deficit will be brought down to 3 percent of GDP by 2029, as targeted by the
outgoing government,” Fitch said.
The downgrade comes as France is going through a political crisis and is
struggling to cut its massive public debt.
On Tuesday, French President Emmanuel Macron appointed Sébastien Lecornu as
prime minister after his predecessor, François Bayrou, was toppled a day earlier
in a confidence vote over the €43.8 billion budget squeeze he proposed for next
year.
“We expect the run-up to the presidential election in 2027 will further limit
the scope for fiscal consolidation in the near term and see a high likelihood
that the political deadlock continues beyond the election,” the agency said.
If Fitch’s downgrade is followed by the other major rating agencies, it could
spell trouble for France. Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s will assess the
country’s credit rating in October and November, respectively.
The outgoing government has pledged to bring the country’s deficit down to 4.6
percent of gross domestic product next year and to bring it under 3 percent, as
required by EU rules, by 2029.
Financial institutions and auditors have repeatedly urged France to rein in its
deficit, which skyrocketed after the coronavirus pandemic and the energy crisis.
The country’s auditors and the outgoing prime minister have warned that, without
major cuts, debt reimbursement will become France’s number one budget item next
year, surpassing spending in education.
But attempts to reduce government spending are facing a backlash from far-right
and left-wing opposition.
Bayrou’s plan included eliminating two public holidays, as well as freezing
welfare payments including pensions and salaries of some government employees.
New Prime Minister Lecornu has distanced himself from his predecessor as he
tries to win the support of the center-left Socialists.
Vinay Prasad, the FDA Director of the Center for Biologics Evaluation and
Research, has been critical of the Covid vaccine, to put it lightly. Not only
that, he has a history of minimizing mask wearing, an effective tool in limiting
the spread of infectious diseases. He also compared Covid public health measures
to Nazi Germany.
Prasad was temporarily ousted from his position in July following a social media
push from Laura Loomer, but was back before mid-August. In May, Prasad and FDA
Commissioner Martin A. Makary wrote a piece in the New England Journal of
Medicine urging limitations for the Covid vaccine, arguing that, “U.S. policy
has sometimes been justified by arguing that the American people are not
sophisticated enough to understand age-and risk-based recommendations.” Despite
this argument, everyone is at risk of developing Long Covid, and getting the
Covid vaccine could minimize the number of infections people get, in addition to
wearing a mask.
Prasad’s anti-vaccine push is now a reality. Pfizer’s vaccine for the 2025-2026
year is approved for people between the ages of 5 and 64 for people with
qualifying pre-existing health conditions, and those over the age of 65. For
Moderna, it’s for kids 6 months and older who have qualifying pre-existing
health conditions and seniors. It also varies state by state whether people are
able to self-attest to having a condition that could make them high risk for
Covid complications, which can include depression, or if they would need a
doctor’s note.
Since coming back to the FDA, Prasad has also received special treatment. As the
Wall Street Journal reported on Monday:
> It isn’t clear, though, how much time he’ll spend at the FDA’s White Oak,
> Maryland, headquarters. When he was ousted at the end of July, he said he
> didn’t want to be a distraction and that the commute to the FDA from his home
> in California had been too much.
>
>
>
> Prasad had been spending roughly three days out of every two weeks at the
> Maryland headquarters, documents reviewed by the Journal indicate, despite the
> administration’s efforts to return federal workers to the office. The agency
> had been footing the bill for his cross-country commute, the documents show.
> Prasad didn’t respond to requests for comment, and HHS declined to comment on
> his commute.
There is nothing inherently wrong with working from home—it can be a lot more
accessible for disabled people and caregivers. However, there is a certain level
of irony to Prasad doing so while many workers are forced to come in sick with
Covid during the current wave. Additionally, why does he get special treatment
while federal workers are forced to come back into the office daily, including
traumatized CDC workers? Just last year, Prasad himself criticized work from
home on social media, something he is now doing.
> Work from home is bad for everyone
> Only a few people retain productivity
> Intangible office connections are gone
> Young people r further isolated and lonely
> City centers decay pic.twitter.com/NZGZz0pgzU
>
> — Vinay Prasad MD MPH (@VPrasadMDMPH) March 14, 2024