Spain’s youth minister has intensified Madrid’s clash with Big Tech after
suggesting the country may need to curb — or even ban — access to Elon Musk’s
social media platform X due to the “flagrant violations of fundamental rights”
taking place there.
Speaking Wednesday at a digital activism event in Barcelona, Sira Rego, a United
Left politician in Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s governing coalition, said “the
next battle would have to be oriented to limit and probably ban Twitter [X]”
because the platform has become “a space in which we are seeing flagrant
violations of fundamental rights.” Rego flagged controversies including sexual
deepfake images generated by X’s AI chatbot Grok.
Rego called the current digital space “undemocratic” and controlled by “a few
digital strongmen,” framing possible limits on X as part of a broader push to
reclaim sovereignty from powerful tech giants. Her push underscores how Europe’s
struggle to police the digital public square is accelerating, with Spain
increasingly at the center.
The comments come as Sánchez advances plans to bar under-16s from social media,
a proposal expected to reach the Council of Ministers next week.
Big Tech isn’t happy. X boss Elon Musk has branded Sánchez a “tyrant,” while
Telegram founder Pavel Durov warned that “Pedro Sánchez’s government is pushing
dangerous new regulations that threaten your internet freedoms … [and] could
turn Spain into a surveillance state under the guise of ‘protection’.” He added
that the measures risk mass data collection and censorship.
The clash lands amid a broader transatlantic fight over tech rules. U.S.
lawmakers on the House Judiciary Committee on Tuesday blasted Europe’s Digital
Services Act as “draconian,” while several EU countries, including France,
Greece, Denmark and Italy, are pursuing their own youth access restrictions.
Australia has already enacted a ban.
Tag - Regulation
The German competition authority hit Amazon with a €59 million fine on Thursday
after finding the e-commerce giant’s pricing rules for third-party vendors to be
in breach of national and EU competition rules.
The authority determined that Amazon’s practices, and in particular its use of
algorithms to influence pricing by sellers and the enforcement of its Fair
Pricing Policy, are in breach of Germany’s digital dominance rules as well as EU
competition law.
“Amazon competes directly with marketplace sellers on its platform and
influences the prices of its competitors, including through price caps, which is
problematic from a competition standpoint,” Andreas Mundt, president of the
Federal Cartel Office, or Bundeskartellamt, said in a statement.
The agency takes issue with Amazon’s pricing restrictions, and in particular its
pricing cap, on what third-party sellers can charge without being penalized
under the platform’s rules.
“We will vigorously challenge the FCO’s conclusion, which is based on unique
German regulation and directly conflicts with EU competition law consumer
standards,” said Rocco Bräuniger, Amazon’s country manager for Germany, in a
statement.
Per Bräuniger, the agency is forcing Amazon to promote uncompetitive prices to
customers.
The decision follows a preliminary assessment sent to Amazon in June 2025, after
which the company submitted comments.
The Bundeskartellamt had designated Amazon as a company of paramount
significance for competition across markets in July 2022, a finding upheld by
the Federal Court of Justice in April 2024.
BRUSSELS — Hungary says it has asked the European Union’s top court to annul a
new law banning the import of Russian gas into the bloc, filing the challenge
within hours of the new law taking effect.
“Today, we took legal action before the European Court of Justice to challenge
the REPowerEU regulation banning the import of Russian energy and request its
annulment,” Hungary’s Foreign Affairs and Trade Minister Péter Szijjártó said on
X.
Member countries agreed to the outright ban on Russian gas late last year in
response to the country’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine. The law passed despite
Hungary’s opposition.
Szijjártó said Hungary’s case was based on three arguments. “First, energy
imports can only be banned through sanctions, which require unanimity. This
regulation was adopted under the guise of a trade policy measure,” he said.
“Second, the EU Treaties clearly state that each member state decides its choice
of energy sources and suppliers.
“Third, the principle of energy solidarity requires the security of energy
supply for all member states. This decision clearly violates that principle,
certainly in the case of Hungary.”
Slovakia has also said it will challenge the law in court.
Second Amendment advocates are warning that Republicans shouldn’t count on them
to show up in November, after President Donald Trump insisted that demonstrator
Alex Pretti “should not have been carrying a gun.”
The White House labels itself the “most pro-Second Amendment administration in
history.” But Trump’s comments about Pretti, who was legally carrying a licensed
firearm when he was killed by federal agents last week, have some gun rights
advocates threatening to sit out the midterms.
“I’ve spent 72 hours on the phone trying to unfuck this thing. Trump has got to
correct his statements now,” said one Second Amendment advocate, granted
anonymity to speak about private conservations. The person said Second Amendment
advocates are “furious.” “And they will not come out and vote. He can’t correct
it three months before the election.”
The response to Pretti’s killing isn’t the first time Second Amendment advocates
have felt abandoned by Trump. The powerful lobbying and advocacy groups, that
for decades reliably struck fear into the hearts of Republicans, have clashed
multiple times with Trump during his first year back in power.
And their ire comes at a delicate moment for the GOP. While Democrats are
unlikely to pick up support from gun-rights groups, the repeated criticisms from
organizations such as the National Association for Gun Rights suggest that the
Trump administration may be alienating a core constituency it needs to turn out
as it seeks to retain its slim majority in the House and Senate.
It doesn’t take much to swing an election, said Dudley Brown, president of the
National Association for Gun Rights.
“All you have to do is lose four, five, six percent of their base who left it
blank, who didn’t write a check, who didn’t walk districts, you lose,” he said.
“Especially marginal districts — and the House is not a good situation right
now.”
And it wasn’t only the president who angered gun-rights advocates.
Others in the administration made similar remarks about Pretti, denouncing the
idea of carrying a gun into a charged environment such as a protest. FBI
Director Kash Patel said “you cannot bring a firearm, loaded, with multiple
magazines to any sort of protest that you want,” and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem
said she didn’t “know of any peaceful protester that shows up with a gun and
ammunition rather than a sign.”
These sentiments are anathema to many Republicans who have fought for years
against the idea that carrying a gun or multiple magazine clips implies guilt or
an intent to commit a crime.
“I sent a message to high-place people in the administration with three letters,
W.T.F.,” Brown said. “If it had just been the FBI director and a few other
highly-placed administration officials, that would have been one thing but when
the president came out and doubled down that was a whole new level. This was not
a good look for your base. You can’t be a conservative and not be radically
pro-gun.”
A senior administration official brushed off concerns about Republicans losing
voters in the midterms over the outrage.
“No, I don’t think that some of the comments that were made over the past 96
hours by certain administration officials are going to impede the unbelievable
and strong relationship the administration has with the Second Amendment
community, both on a personal level and given the historic successes that
President Trump has been able to deliver for gun rights,” the official said.
But this wasn’t the only instance when the Trump administration angered
gun-rights advocates.
In September after the shooting at a Catholic church in Minneapolis that killed
two children, reports surfaced that the Department of Justice was looking into
restricting transgender Americans from owning firearms. The suspect, who died
from a self-inflicted gunshot wound at the scene of the shooting, was a
23-year-old transgender woman.
“The signaling out of a specific demographic for a total ban on firearms
possession needs to comport with the Constitution and its bounds and anything
that exceeds the bounds of the Constitution is simply impermissible,” Adam
Kraut, executive director of the Second Amendment Foundation, told POLITICO.
At the time, the National Rifle Association, which endorsed Trump in three
consecutive elections, said they don’t support any proposals to “arbitrarily
strip law-abiding citizens of their Second Amendment rights without due
process.”
Additionally, some activists, who spoke to the gun-focused independent
publication “The Reload,” said they were upset about the focus from federal law
enforcement about seizing firearms during the Washington crime crackdown in the
summer. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro said her office wouldn’t pursue felony
charges in Washington over carrying guns, The Washington Post reported.
Trump, during his first term, infuriated some in the pro-gun movement when in
2018 his administration issued a regulation to ban bump stocks. The Supreme
Court ultimately blocked the rule in 2024.
“I think the administration clearly wants to be known as pro-Second Amendment,
and many of the officials do believe in the Second Amendment, but my job at Gun
Owners of America is to hold them to their words and to get them to act on their
promises. And right now it’s a mixed record,” said Gun Owners for America
director of federal affairs Aidan Johnston.
In the immediate aftermath of the Pretti shooting, the NRA called for a full
investigation rather than for “making generalizations and demonizing law-abiding
citizens.”
But now, the lobbying group is defending Trump’s fuller record.
“Rather than trying to extract meaning from every off-the-cuff remark, we look
at what the administration is doing, and the Trump administration is, and has
been, the most pro-2A administration in modern history,” said John Commerford,
NRA Institute for Legislative Action executive director.
“From signing marquee legislation that dropped unconstitutional taxes on certain
firearms and suppressors to joining pro-2A plaintiffs in cases around the
country, the Trump administration is taking action to support the right of every
American to keep and bear arms.”
In his first month in office, Trump directed the Department of Justice to
examine all regulations, guidance, plans and executive actions from President
Joe Biden’s administration that may infringe on Second Amendment rights. The
administration in December created a civil rights division office of Second
Amendment rights at DOJ to work on gun issues.
That work, said a second senior White House official granted anonymity to
discuss internal thinking, should prove the administration’s bona fides and
nothing said in the last week means they’ve changed their stance on the Second
Amendment.
“Gun groups know and gun owners know that there hasn’t been a bigger defender of
the Second Amendment than the president,” said a second senior White House
official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak on a sensitive issue.
“But I think the president’s talking about in the moment— in that very specific
moment— when it is such a powder keg going on, and when there’s someone who’s
actively impeding enforcement operations, things are going to happen. Or things
can happen.”
Andrew Howard contributed to this report.
German industrial giant Bosch on Friday confirmed plans to cut 20,000 jobs after
profits nearly halved last year, underlining the mounting strain on Germany’s
once-dominant manufacturing sector and increasing the pressure on politicians in
Berlin to find a solution.
Official data released Friday also showed Germany’s unemployment rate,
unadjusted for seasonal factors, rising to 6.6 percent — the highest level in
twelve years. The number of unemployed people surpassed three million in
January.
“Economic reality is also reflected in our results,” Bosch CEO Stefan Hartung
said, describing 2025 as “a difficult and, in some cases, painful year” for the
company, which is a leading supplier of parts for cars.
The move lands amid a deepening slump in the country’s automotive industry, long
the backbone of German manufacturing. The sector has been shedding jobs rapidly:
A 2025 study by EY found that more than 50,000 automotive positions were cut in
Germany last year alone.
Germany’s automotive downturn has become a wider political test for the
government in Berlin and Europe more widely. Once the economy’s crown jewel, the
industry is now being challenged by current policy on electric vehicles, energy
costs and aggressive competition from Chinese manufacturers.
As suppliers weaken, the risk is shifting from lower profits to a lasting loss
of competitiveness. With layoffs rising and investment decisions being delayed,
Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s government is coming under growing pressure from
workers, unions and industry leaders to rethink Germany’s industrial strategy —
as doubts spread domestically and across Europe about the country’s ability to
remain an economic powerhouse.
PARIS — Tech billionaire and early Trump backer Peter Thiel is bringing his
Antichrist lecture series across the Atlantic.
The famed venture capitalist and right-wing tech icon on Monday delivered an
in-depth presentation on the subjects to a small audience inside the
wood-paneled halls of one of France’s most prestigious bodies, the Academy of
Moral and Political Sciences, two attendees told POLITICO.
An outline of Thiel’s 23-slide presentation, distributed to attendees by the
organizer and shared with POLITICO, delves into the theory of the biblical
Antichrist, a deceptive figure in Christian theology who opposes Christ and
embodies ultimate evil.
The presentation sheds light on the ideology of one of the most influential
figures in the United States given his role at the vanguard of Silicon Valley’s
ideological shift toward an ideology blending Christian conservatism with a
radical libertarianism. Thiel was invited by philosopher and academy member
Chantal Delsol.
According to the presentation notes seen by POLITICO, which had been translated
into French, Thiel said the Antichrist is “not only a medieval fantasy” but that
it and the apocalypse are both linked to “the end of modernity,” which he has
argued is currently happening.
Thiel said the Antichrist would exploit fears of the apocalypse — for example
due to nuclear armageddeon, climate change or the threat posed by AI — to
control a “frightened population.” He listed, as he has on previous occasions,
Swedish environmental activist Greta Thunberg as a possible example.
The 58-year-old self-described “classic liberal” and “moderate Orthodox
Christian” had previously spoken about the Antichrist at an even in San
Francisco last year and also discussed his thoughts on it with The New York
Times. But he called the Academy of Moral and Political Sciences “one of the few
places in the world where a conference like this can take place.”
The two attendees previously cited told POLITICO they weren’t exactly blown away
with the talk. One called it “disjointed.” The other said: “I heard more about
the Antichrist during those 45 minutes than during the rest of my life.”
“I didn’t understand much,” said a third attendee who did not specify what the
talk was about.
Despite the 30 or so protesters outside the venue, the event was highly
anticipated given Thiel’s status as one of the first major figures in the tech
world to back U.S. President Donald Trump. Thiel, who co-founded PayPal with
Elon Musk and was an early investor in Facebook, is also a mentor to Vice
President JD Vance and donated a record-breaking amount of money to his campaign
for U.S. Senate.
Thiel is also a co-founder of Palantir, a software and data analysis company
that provides services to France’s General Directorate for Internal Security —
the French equivalent of the FBI — and the European aircraft-maker Airbus.
Thiel also met with French Foreign Affairs Minister Jean-Noël Barrot during his
visit to Paris.
“Given the role he has played in shaping the doctrine that drives part of the
U.S. administration, Jean-Noël Barrot has invited him for a discussion on our
differences of opinion on several major issues: digital regulation, liberal
democracy, European civilization, and transatlantic relations in particular,” an
aide to Barrot, granted anonymity to adhere to French professional norms, told
POLITICO.
Giorgio Leali contributed to this report.
Europe isn’t doomed to inexorable decline — and in fact is doing better than
most people realize, said the IMF’s Kristalina Georgieva.
Much of the European Union’s policymaking bubble has been gripped with despair
since the bloc’s weakness was exposed during a recent confrontation with the
U.S. over Greenland.
While U.S. President Donald Trump eventually backed down, the European military
response — sending a symbolic handful of soldiers to the North Atlantic island —
underlined that had the White House really wanted to seize Greenland, Europeans
would have had no choice but to accede.
But in an interview with POLITICO, Georgieva, managing director of the
International Monetary Fund, said the pessimism was misplaced.
In an end-of-year shortlist of top-performing economies put together by the
Economist, she noted, the top 10 included seven EU countries, with Portugal in
the top spot. The Iberian economy has recorded steady growth while comfortably
paying down its debt in the past few years.
That’s a fact, she said, that should be celebrated.
“Europeans — we are modest people. We don’t brag,” the IMF head stated.
She recalled how a U.S. colleague had recently done “something marginal.”
“He said ‘oh, let’s look at this. I’m great. I’m fantastic,’” Georgieva
recounted. “In Europe you do something great and you say ‘not too bad.’ In this
world we are in now, you have to brag a little, exude confidence.”
Even before the Greenland standoff, a sense of despair had settled over the top
echelons of European economic decision-making. Mario Draghi, former head of the
European Central Bank, warned that the bloc faced “slow agony” if it didn’t
reform.
Georgieva acknowledged the increasingly sharp-elbowed way in which countries now
operate — one that leaves little room for multilateral organizations like her
own IMF. In a speech earlier on Monday she acknowledged that the world had
become “multipolar” — code for a new era of jostling geopolitical blocs that has
replaced unilateral American dominance.
Speaking to POLITICO, Georgieva said that “geopolitical factors play an
increasingly bigger role in defining the world economy.” On Greenland, she said
the fact that “allies find it more difficult to retain their sense of common
purpose” was a “significant change.”
But she insisted that the “destiny of Europe is in the hands of Europeans.” The
IMF’s list of advice to reform the EU’s economy echoes Draghi’s own, contained
in his competitiveness report from 2024: They include strengthening the single
market, cutting regulations on businesses, and integrating the continent’s
fragmented energy and financial systems.
Mario Draghi, former head of the European Central Bank, warned that the bloc
faced “slow agony” if it didn’t reform. | Olivier Matthys/EPA
Georgieva said it was “paramount” for the EU to press ahead with reform. “Get
your own house in order,” she said.
Three of the Economist shortlist’s best-performing countries — Ireland, Portugal
and Greece — were put under IMF supervision at the height of the eurozone
crisis. There, they had to agree to painful adjustments known as structural
reform programs, which included tax hikes and brutal cuts to public services. In
the case of Greece in particular, those structural reforms resulted in a sharp
increase in unemployment and poverty levels; gross domestic product per capita
is still not at its pre-crisis level.
But, said Georgieva, their current success is proof that countries, and the EU
as a whole, can change their economic trajectories.
Asked whether Europe should consider retaliating against U.S. aggression by
selling off assets like government bonds, a suggestion included in a recent
analyst report from Deutsche Bank, the senior official urged caution.
“I would say that the smooth functioning of the international monetary system is
of value to all countries,” she said. “Disturbing that smooth functioning of the
international monetary system with the same token can bring negative impact.”
The Bulgarian boss of the Washington, D.C.-based fund did, however, back a
deeper pool of joint EU debt — an idea favored by Draghi but regarded with
suspicion by frugal countries like Germany and the Netherlands.
As for the disbursement of $8.1 billion in IMF funds to Ukraine to help the
country meet its financing needs, Georgieva said she was aiming to hold an IMF
board meeting in the second half of `February at which the board could approve
the program and start paying out funds. Though the amount is relatively small —
less than a tenth of the €90 billion that the EU has agreed to lend to Ukraine —
IMF approval is a signal of confidence for financial markets.
The IMF chief also said that a meeting “is scheduled” with U.S. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the situation in Venezuela, and that it would
happen in the “nearest future.”
The IMF stopped working with Venezuela in 2019. The fund estimates that the
South American country’s economy, battered by U.S. sanctions and plagued by
mismanagement, has shrunk to a third of its previous largest size. Since the
U.S. captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro at the start of the year, it
has floated the possibility of allowing Venezuela to access IMF financing again.
BRUSSELS — Powerful political allies helped automakers force the EU to water
down climate laws for cars — and now the aviation sector is borrowing those
tactics.
Their big target is getting the EU to dilute its mandate forcing airlines to use
increasing amounts of cleaner jet fuels, alternatives to kerosene that are also
much more expensive and harder to source.
Aviation is emerging as the next crucial stress test for the EU’s climate
agenda, as key leaders push to do whatever it takes to help struggling European
businesses. With industry and allied governments pressing for relief from costly
green rules, the fight will show how far Brussels is willing to go — and what it
is willing to give up — in pursuit of its climate goals.
“I will make a bet today that what happened to the car regulation will happen to
the SAF [Sustainable Aviation Fuels] regulation in Europe,” French energy giant
TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné predicted at the World Economic Forum in
Davos earlier this month.
Carmakers provide a model on how to get the EU to backtrack. The bloc mandated
that no CO2-emitting cars could be sold from 2035, essentially killing the
combustion engine and replacing it with batteries (possibly with a minor role
for hydrogen).
But many carmakers — allied with countries like Germany, Italy and automaking
nations in Central Europe — pushed back, arguing that the 2035 mandate would
destroy the car sector just as it is battling U.S. President Donald Trump’s
tariffs, sluggish demand and a rising threat from Chinese competitors.
“I will make a bet today that what happened to the car regulation will happen to
the SAF [Sustainable Aviation Fuels] regulation in Europe,” Patrick Pouyanné
said. | Ludovic Marin/ AFP via Getty Images
In the end, the European Commission gave way and watered down the 2035 mandate,
which will now only aim to cut CO2 emissions by 90 percent.
AVIATION DEMANDS
The aviation sector has a similar list of issues with the EU. It is taking aim
at a host of other climate policies, such as including aviation in the bloc’s
cap-and-trade Emissions Trading System and intervening on non-CO2 impacts of
airplanes like contrails — the ice clouds produced by airplanes that have an
effect on global warming.
Brussels introduced several regulations over the last 15 years to address the
growing climate impact of air transport, which accounts for about 3 percent of
global CO2 emissions. Those policies include the obligation to use sustainable
aviation fuels, to put a price on carbon emissions and to take action on non-CO2
emissions.
Each of these green initiatives is now under attack.
The ReFuelEU regulation requires all airlines to use SAF for at least 2 percent
of their fuel mix starting this year. That mandate rises to 6 percent from 2030,
20 percent from 2035 and 70 percent by 2050.
“Today, all airline companies are fighting even the 6 percent … which is easy to
reach to be honest,” Pouyanné said, but then warned, “20 percent five years
after makes zero sense.”
He is echoed by CEOs like Ryanair’s combative Michael O’Leary, who called the
SAF mandate “nonsense.”
“It is all gradually dying a death, which is what it deserves to do,” O’Leary
said last year. “We have just about met our 2 percent mandate. There is no
possibility of meeting 6 percent by 2030; 10 percent, not a hope in hell. We’re
not going to get to net zero by 2050.”
Brussels-based airline lobbies are not calling for the SAF mandate to be killed,
rather they are demanding a book-and-claim system. Under such a scheme, airlines
could claim carbon credits for a certain amount of SAF, even if they don’t use
it in their own aircraft. They would buy it at an airport where it’s available
and then let other airlines use it.
That would make it easier for airlines to meet the SAF mandate even if the fuel
is not easily available. However, so far the Commission is opposed.
LOBBYING BATTLE
The car coalition only worked because industry allied with countries, and there
are signs of that happening with aviation.
The sector’s lobbying effort to slash the EU carbon pricing could find an ally
in the new Italo-German team-up to promote competitiveness.
The German government last year announced a plan to cut national aviation taxes
— with the call made during the COP30 global climate conference, something
that angered the German Greens.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and German Federal Chancellor Friedrich
Merz attend the Italy-Germany Intergovernmental Summit at Villa Doria Pamphilj.
| Vincenzo Nuzzolese/LightRocket via Getty Images
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said Friday that she and German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz wanted to start “a decisive change of pace … in terms of the
competitiveness of our businesses.”
“A certain ideological vision of the green transition has ended up bringing our
industries to their knees, creating new dangerous strategic dependencies for
Europe without, however, having any real impact on the global protection of the
environment and nature,” she added.
Her far-right coalition ally, Italian Transport Minister Matteo Salvini, has
called the ETS and taxes on maritime transport and air transport “economic
suicide” that “must be dismantled piece by piece.”
COMMISSION SAYS NO
As with the 2035 policy for cars, the European Commission is strongly defending
its policy against those attacks.
Apostolos Tzitzikostas, the transport commissioner, stressed the EU’s “firm
commitment” to stick with aviation decarbonization policies.
“Investment decisions and construction must start by 2027, or we will miss the
2030 targets. It is as simple as that,” the commissioner said in November when
announcing the bloc’s new plans to boost investment into sustainable aviation
and maritime fuels.
Climate campaigners fought hard against the car sector’s efforts to gut 2035,
and now they’re gearing up for another battle over aviation targets.
“The airlines’ whining comes as no surprise — yet it is disappointing to see
airlines come after such a fundamental piece of EU legislation,” said Marte van
der Graaf, aviation policy officer at green NGO Transport & Environment.
She was incensed about efforts to dodge the high prices set by the EU’s ETS in
favor of the U.N.’s cheaper CORSIA emissions reduction scheme.
Airline lobbyA4E said its members paid €2.3 billion for ETS permits last
year. “By 2030, [the ETS cost] should rise up to €5 billion because the free
allowances are phased out,” said Monika Rybakowska, the lobby’s policy
director.
A recent study by the think tank InfluenceMap found that airlines are working to
increase their impact on policymakers by aligning their positions on ETS.
T&E also took aim at a recent position paper by A4E that asked the EU to
postpone measures to curb non-CO2 pollution — such as nitrogen oxides and soot
particles that, along with water vapor, contribute to contrails.
The A4E paper said that “the scientific foundation for regulating non-CO2
effects remains insufficient” and “introducing financial liability risks
misdirecting resources.”
This is “an outdated excuse,” responded T&E, noting that the climate impact of
contrails has been known for over 20 years.
BERLIN — As Europe’s traditional Franco-German engine splutters, German
Chancellor Friedrich Merz is increasingly looking to team up with hard-right
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni as his co-pilot in steering the EU.
The two are set to meet at a summit in the opulent Villa Doria Pamphilj in Rome
on Friday to double down on their budding alliance. They are both right-wing
Atlanticists who want to cool tensions with U.S. President Donald Trump. And
they both have their frustrations with French President Emmanuel Macron.
In years past, Germany would traditionally have turned to France at decisive
moments to map out blueprints for the EU, so it’s significant that Merz is now
aligning with Meloni in his attempt to drive forward core European priorities on
trade and industry.
In part, Merz’s gravitation toward Meloni is driven by annoyance with France.
Berlin is irritated that Paris sought to undermine the landmark Mercosur trade
deal with South America, which the Germans have long wanted in order to promote
industrial exports. Germany is also considering pulling out of a €100 billion
joint fighter-jet program over disputes with the French.
Against that backdrop, the alignment with Rome has a compelling logic.
During Friday’s meeting, Merz and Meloni are expected to sign up to cooperation
on defense, according to diplomats involved in the preparations. It’s not clear
what that involves, but Germany’s Rheinmetall and Italy’s Leonardo already have
a joint venture to build tanks and other military vehicles.
Perhaps most ambitiously, Italy and Germany are also teaming up to draft a new
game plan to revive EU industry and expand exports in a joint position paper for
the Feb. 12 European Council summit. Berlin and Rome style themselves as the
“two main industrial European nations” and have condemned delays to the Mercosur
agreement.
That language will grate in Paris.
IN FOR THE LONG HAUL
For Giangiacomo Calovini, a lawmaker from Meloni’s Brothers of Italy party, who
heads the parliament’s Italian-German friendship group, the Merz-Meloni alliance
makes sense given Macron’s impending departure from the European stage after
next year’s French election.
“[Our] two countries have stable governments, especially if compared with
France’s,” he said. “It is clear that Meloni and Merz still probably have a long
path ahead of them, during which they can work together.”
Safeguarding the relationship with Trump is crucial to both leaders, and both
Merz and Meloni have sought to avoid transatlantic blow-ups. They have been
supported in their firefighting by their foreign ministers, Johann Wadephul and
Antonio Tajani.
“Giorgia Meloni and Friedrich Merz have represented the European wing most open
to dialogue with President Trump,” said Pietro Benassi, former Italian
ambassador to Berlin and the EU. “The somewhat surreal acceleration [of events]
driven by the American president is confirming a convergence in the positions of
Italy and Germany, rather than between Italy and France, or France and Germany.”
In contrast to the softly-softly approach in Rome and Berlin, Calovini accused
Macron of unhelpfully “contradictory” behavior toward Trump. “He acts as the one
who wants to challenge the United States of America but then sends texts — that
Trump has inelegantly published — in which he begs Trump to have dinner,” he
complained.
GOOD CHEMISTRY
Officials in Berlin now privately gush over the growing cooperation with Meloni,
describing the relationship with Rome as dependable.
“Italy is reliable,” said one senior German government official, granted
anonymity to speak candidly. It’s not an adjective authorities in Berlin have
often used to describe their French counterparts of late.
“France is more verbal, but Italy is much more pragmatic,” said Axel Schäfer, a
senior lawmaker in Germany’s Social Democratic Party long focused on
German-Italian relations.
An Italian official also praised the “good chemistry” between Merz and Meloni
personally. That forms a marked contrast with the notoriously strained relations
between Meloni and Macron, who have frequently clashed.
In their effort to draw closer, Merz and Meloni have at times resorted to
hyperbole.
During his inaugural visit to Rome as chancellor last year, Merz said there was
“practically complete agreement between our two countries on all European policy
issues.”
Meloni returned the sentiment.
“It is simply impossible to cast doubt on the relations between Italy and
Germany,” she said at the time.
MARRIAGE OF CONVENIENCE
That is overegging it. The two leaders, in fact, have considerable differences.
Meloni refused to support an ultimately doomed plan, pushed by Merz, to use
frozen Russian assets to finance military aid for Ukraine. Meloni also briefly
withheld support for the Mercosur trade deal in order to win concessions for
Italian farmers before ultimately backing it.
Critically, Rome and Berlin are likely to prove very awkward allies when it
comes to public finances. Italy has long pushed for looser European fiscal
policy — and been a natural ally of France on this point — while Germany has
served as the continent’s iron disciplinarian on spending.
But even here there has been some convergence, with Meloni cutting Italy’s
spending and Merz presiding over a historic expansion in debt-fueled outlays on
infrastructure and defense.
Fundamentally, much of the growing alliance between Merz and Meloni is a product
of shifts undertaken for their own domestic political survival.
Meloni has dragged her nationalist Brothers of Italy party to the center,
particularly on foreign policy matters. At the same time, the rise of the
far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party in Germany has forced Merz to
shift his conservative party sharply to the right on migration.
This ideological merging has allowed for a warming of relations. As Merz has
sought partners on the European level to drastically reduce the inflow of asylum
seekers coming to Europe, to reduce regulation and to push for more trade — and
provide a counterbalance to Macron — Meloni has become an increasingly important
figure for the chancellor.
Still, Stefano Stefanini, a former senior Italian diplomat and NATO
representative, said there would always be limits to the relationship.
“It’s very tactical,” he said. “There’s no coordinated strategy. There are a
number of issues on which Meloni and Merz find themselves on the same side.”
Stefanini also noted that spending commitments — particularly on military
projects — would be an area where Rome would once again find itself in a more
natural alliance with France.
“On defense spending Italy and France are closer, because Germany has the fiscal
capacity to spend by itself, while Italy and France need to get as much
financial support as they can from the EU,” he said.
Despite such differences, Meloni has seized her opening to get closer to Merz.
“Meloni has understood that, as there is some tension in the France-Germany
relationship, she could infiltrate and get closer to Germany,” said Marc Lazar,
an expert on Franco-Italian relations who teaches at the Luiss University in
Rome and at Sciences Po in Paris.
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage said he doesn’t like banks and will scrap interest
payments British lenders receive through the Bank of England’s quantitative
easing program.
The Reform Party included the proposal to end the practice of the U.K. central
bank paying interest on the reserves placed with it by banks in its 2024
manifesto, which it claimed would bring in up to £40 billion for taxpayers.
“We are going to do it. Some of the banks won’t like it. Well, I don’t like the
banks very much because they debanked me, didn’t they?” Farage said in an
interview with Bloomberg at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
“This will be tough for banks to accept, but I am sorry, the drain on public
finances is just too great. It’s not a tax. They are just not going to get free
money anymore. They’ll adjust; business always does.”
The BoE currently pays interest on the bank reserves created during the
post-global financial crisis quantitative easing (QE) program. That money is now
largely held on deposit back at the BoE by commercial banks, which earn a
risk-free return linked to the current Bank Rate.
Amid concerns about what a Reform government would mean for policymakers’
independence, Farage declared that he’s “not questioning the independence” of
the central bank, but didn’t rule out appointing his own governor.
“Andrew Bailey is a perfectly polite, nice man, but they should have picked
somebody who was a Brexiteer to be in charge of the Bank of England to think
totally differently, especially around financial markets, financial market
regulation,” he said.
“If we don’t do things differently, we’re going to get poorer. We’re going to
pick different people with a different attitude towards everything.”
Farage has recently claimed he is giving “serious thought” to scrapping the
independent Office for Budget Responsibility if his party wins the next general
election.