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Es ist zurück: Das Chlorhuhn. Jahrzehnte nach TTIP geistert das Symbol des
transatlantischen Handelsstreits erneut durch die europäische Debatte – denn
Donald Trump droht mit Strafzöllen, wenn die EU nicht bei Agrarstandards
nachgibt. Friedrich Merz drängt auf eine Einigung mit Washington, doch selbst
der CDU-Wirtschaftspolitiker Tilman Kuban warnt wenigstens leise im
200-Sekunden-Interview: Europa muss selbstbewusst verhandeln – und auch
pragmatisch neue Märkte erschließen.
Auch im Inland herrscht Zugzwang: Gesundheitsministerin Nina Warken will die
umstrittene Klinikreform von Karl Lauterbach abmildern, weil das Wunsch auch der
Unions-geführten Länder ist. Jürgen Klöckner erklärt, warum der Kanzler das
Krankenhaus-Problem direkt vor der Haustür hat – und warum trotzdem niemand
Kliniken schließen will.
Und zum Schluss eine gute Nachricht aus der Hitzewelle: Laut Studie reden
Politiker bei höheren Temperaturen kürzer.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
Tag - TTIP
Ursula von der Leyen will visit U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington soon —
but not before there’s a “concrete” trade package that can be negotiated between
Europe and the United States, she said on Friday.
The European Commission president agreed with Trump when they met at the Vatican
last month that she would soon visit him, though no date for the visit has been
set.
Asked when she planned to go, von der Leyen told a news conference in Brussels:
“I think I had a good conversation with Trump on the phone and at the funeral of
the Pope. But for me, it’s important that if I go to the White House, I want to
have a package we can discuss. So it has to be concrete, and I want to have a
solution that we can both agree on that.”
The European Union and the United States remain at odds on trade, with Trump
maintaining 10 percent tariffs on all imports from the trading bloc as well as
25 percent on cars and metals imports.
The EU paused its own targeted tariffs in bid to give space to negotiations
during Trump’s 90-day pause. But Brussels raised the pressure further on
Thursday by proposing potential tariffs on nearly €100 billion of imports,
including big ticket items like airplanes.
Shortly after the EU unveiled its lengthy list of U.S. goods that could be hit
by tariffs, Trump surprised European officials by heaping praise on von der
Leyen, saying she was “so fantastic” and that he hoped the two would soon meet.
That was a big departure from Trump’s previous stance of not engaging with EU
officials (none were invited to his presidential inauguration) and saying that
the bloc was set up to “screw” the United States.
In her first reaction to Trump’s praise, von der Leyen laughed for several
seconds before saying: “I like compliments … In general.”
PARIS — France doesn’t yet want to conjure the ghost of a dead transatlantic
free trade agreement.
An official from French President Emmanuel Macron’s office told POLITICO on
Sunday that Paris is not pushing in the short term for a new TTIP-like pact
between the European Union and the United States during trade negotiations
between Brussels and Washington.
French Economy and Finance Minister Éric Lombard on Friday said Europe and the
U.S. should seek “a genuine free-trade agreement” — but as a long-term goal.
“Before aiming for a free trade deal with the U.S., our first demand is that
they withdraw their tariffs,” said an Elysée official, who was granted anonymity
as is customary in France.
The official added that U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration is not
interested in long-term proposals as it seeks deals during a 90-day pause on
major tariffs it slapped on global trading partners earlier this month.
Lombard’s comments came as a surprise, especially as France played a key role in
killing the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) — a proposed
trade deal that was negotiated between 2013 and 2016 but was never agreed upon.
An official from the French Ministry of Economy on Sunday said the minister was
not trying to resurrect that deal but only remove tariffs on industrial goods,
an option Brussels has already proposed. The official stressed that a possible
agreement should not cover agricultural products.
Both current German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and his incoming successor Friedrich
Merz have backed the idea of a new EU-U.S. trade deal, although support across
Europe for doing so appears tepid at best.
PARIS — French Economy and Finance Minister Eric Lombard said Wednesday the
European Union and the United States should try to conclude a free-trade
agreement.
Lombard called for “greater commercial fluidity, with the horizon of a genuine
free-trade agreement between the U.S. and Europe” during a event in Washington
on Wednesday hosted by news outlet Semafor. He called for “a new partnership
between Europe and the United States, for growth, sovereignty, and security.”
The proposal is both surprising, given France was an outspoken opponent of TTIP
— a proposed transatlantic trade deal that was negotiated between 2013 and 2016
— and unlikely given the disagreements that ultimately doomed the accord.
Lombard said a new partnership with Washington should also be based on
reciprocal investment, the rule of law and sustainability.
President Donald Trump slapped tariffs on all imports into the U.S. earlier this
month before backtracking amid financial turmoil, suspending the highest tariffs
proposed for 90 days to create an opening to negotiate a trade deal. Lombard
said he hoped the EU and U.S. could avert the trade war with “a win-win”
solution, but also stressed the EU was working “on a targeted and measured
response, in case we cannot reach a deal rapidly.”
The olive branch comes after French President Emmanuel Macron earlier this month
urged European businesses to stop investing in the U.S. in response to the
tariffs.
Germany’s incoming chancellor, Friedrich Merz, had previously resurrected the
idea of concluding an EU-U.S. trade deal, which had also been floated by his
predecessor Olaf Scholz.
BERLIN — Friedrich Merz is set to become Germany’s most American chancellor.
Never in history has a German head of government had more affinity for the
United States. Merz has traveled to the U.S. over 100 times, by his own tally,
and counts former U.S. President Ronald Reagan as one of his role models.
Merz, whose conservative alliance looks to have won Sunday’s national election
with 29 percent of the vote, according to early official projections, is
particularly fond of one Reagan quip that summarizes the German leader’s
American-style skepticism of state intervention: “The nine most terrifying words
in the English language are: ‘I’m from the government, and I’m here to help.’”
But just as Merz is on the cusp of taking power in Germany, his cherished
America has turned from indispensable friend to frenemy. Merz and other European
mainstream leaders increasingly see the U.S. no longer a beacon — that “shining
city upon a hill,” as Reagan liked to call it — but rather as another force
joining Russia and China to steadily chip away at their ever-more brittle
democracies.
“This is really now the change of an era,” Merz said on stage at the Munich
Security Conference earlier this month after U.S. Vice President JD Vance gave a
speech that cast Europe’s centrist parties — not Russia or China — as the
greatest threat to European security. “If we don’t hear the wake-up call now,”
Merz added, “it might be too late for the entire European Union.”
Vance’s appearance in Munich is likely to go down in European history as an
epochal shift just as significant as Vladimir Putin’s 2007 speech at the same
conference, when the Russian president effectively declared war on the U.S.-led
liberal order. Now, it’s the U.S. administration itself that is turning its back
on it.
German leaders, including Merz, have been especially slow to accept the new
reality, declaring until recently that the transatlantic alliance will endure
despite clear signals from the Trump administration that it will halt military
aid for Ukraine, call into question the U.S. willingness to defend Europe and
act to bolster far-right, Kremlin-friendly forces.
For Merz, an avowed transatlanticist, there could hardly be a ruder awakening.
The question that will define his tenure will be whether he can lead Germany and
Europe in defending the fraying liberal order without the U.S. — or whether, as
Merz suggested in Munich, it’s already almost too late.
MERZ’S RISE AND FALL AND RISE AGAIN
This wasn’t how Merz had imagined his long-sought moment of victory.
Born a decade after the end of World War II in Sauerland, a rural, mountainous
region of West Germany, Merz was, by his own account, a less than spectacular
student and an early smoker and drinker prone to disciplinary problems. Despite
that rebellious streak, he was influenced by the deeply embedded conservative
culture of the area and joined the center-right Christian Democratic Union while
still in high school. After serving a brief stint in the military, Merz went to
university in Bonn, then the capital of West Germany, where he studied law.
Merz became a conservative member of the European Parliament in 1989, the year
the Berlin Wall fell, and, five years later, was elected to the German
Bundestag, where he developed a close relationship with Wolfgang Schäuble, the
CDU stalwart and forceful advocate of European Union integration. Under
Schäuble’s tutelage, Merz rose in stature and was considered a likely choice for
chancellor candidate.
His rise ended in 2002, however, when he lost a power struggle with the more
centrist Angela Merkel.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
German election: First projection
2021 2025
25.7%
SPD
24.1%
CDU/CSU
14.7%
Greens
11.4%
FDP
10.4%
AfD
8.7%
Others
4.9%
Left
Social Democratic Party of Germany
Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Alliance 90/The Greens
Free Democratic Party
Alternative for Germany
Others
The Left
Turnout: 76.35%
28.9%
CDU/CSU
19.9%
AfD
16.2%
SPD
13.0%
Greens
8.5%
Left
4.9%
FDP
4.8%
BSW
3.8%
Others
Christian Democratic Union of Germany/Christian Social Union
Alternative for Germany
Social Democratic Party of Germany
Alliance 90/The Greens
The Left
Free Democratic Party
Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht
Others
Source: ARD
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Merz, seeing no role for himself in the CDU under Merkel, withdrew to the back
benches, and, in the midst of the world financial crisis of 2008, published a
paean to free markets titled “Dare for More Capitalism.” A year later, he left
the Bundestag to work as a corporate lawyer while also taking the helm of
Atlantik-Brücke, a lobbying organization advocating for transatlantic ties.
While with Atlantik-Brücke, Merz pushed for an EU-U.S. trade agreement — The
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, or TTIP — and forged closer
connections with the U.S., networking with American politicians and corporate
leaders. One of his favorite places in the U.S., he told biographer Volker
Resing, is the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California,
where the former president is buried.
Over a decade in the private sector, Merz sat on a series of corporate boards,
including a four-year stint with U.S. asset manager BlackRock, a time he counts
as among the happiest in his life, according to biographer Resing. Merz says
this time provided him valuable experience outside of politics, but his critics
accuse him of simply using his political connections to lobby for powerful
interests, making himself a millionaire in the process.
When Merkel stepped down as CDU leader in 2018, Merz saw an opportunity for his
return to politics. Merkel’s centrism and generous refugee policies, Merz
believed, opened up the CDU’s right flank and allowed the rise of the far-right
Alternative for Germany, or AfD, party. Merz set out to undo much of Merkel’s
legacy and aimed to pull the CDU sharply to the right. The party, looking for
reinvention after 16 years of Merkel and an election loss to Olaf Scholz’s
Social Democratic Party, or SPD, in 2021, eventually elected him as its chairman
in early 2022, on his third attempt to get the job. “I am deeply moved,” Merz
said after the vote, fighting back tears.
RISK-TAKER OR POPULIST?
Though Merz and his conservatives emerged victorious in the election Sunday,
surveys suggest he’s not particularly popular among the public.
In a country that broadly retains a deep skepticism of the financial industry,
Merz’s wealth and time at BlackRock, the American investment company, are often
viewed with suspicion. It doesn’t help matters that Merz routinely jets around
the country in his own twin-engine plane, which he flies himself, having
fulfilled a lifelong dream of getting his pilot’s license in his 50s.
“Friedrich Merz is not really very beloved, but he is respected,” Günther
Oettinger, a former senior CDU politician and European commissioner, told
POLITICO near the end of last year.
Yet Merz also has a reputation for being impulsive, thin-skinned and prone to
populist bluster, particularly when it comes to migration. His defenders say
he’s merely a risk-taker — at trait he took from his years in the private sector
— and someone who doesn’t shy away from a sharp-tongued debate.
Merz took one of his biggest gambles shortly before the election. After a series
of high-profile attacks blamed on asylum-seekers in the months before the vote,
Merz watched as his conservatives steadily declined in polls, while the AfD
rose. In January, after a knife-wielding Afghan man in Bavaria attacked a group
of preschool children in a park, killing one child and a man who was attempting
to protect the children, Merz decided it was time for a drastic shift.
In a taboo-breaking move that weakened Germany’s postwar “firewall” around the
far right, he and his conservatives aligned with the AfD to try to pass through
parliament a series of tough immigration measures — including a proposal to
reject asylum-seekers at the borders.
In response to Merz’s acceptance of AfD support, tens of thousands of
outraged demonstrators turned out in cities across the country. “Merz can no
longer be trusted,” said Scholz, whose center-left SPD came third in Sunday’s
election. Robert Habeck, the chancellor candidate for the Greens, called Merz’s
move “a disqualification” for the office of chancellor.
Voters, who were broadly supportive of Merz’s tough migration policies,
ultimately disagreed, putting Merz in power.
THE DISENCHANTED TRANSATLANTICIST
German conservatives have long hoped that Merz’s tough border policies, business
background and familiarity with the U.S. will endear him to Donald Trump.
“Merz is one of the Germans who is best connected in the U.S.” said Thomas
Silberhorn, a conservative lawmaker specializing in transatlantic ties. “In this
respect, I am very confident. He also knows the way things work. He is used to
the mindset that you have to speak plainly.”
Merz has vowed to make “deals” with Trump. In an interview last month, he
suggested Germany could get on Trump’s good side by buying American F-35 fighter
jets and boosting defense spending so that Germany is consistently above the
NATO spending target of 2 percent of gross domestic produce. Despite the U.S.
president’s love of tariffs, Merz also floated the idea of trying to bring back
negotiations on TTIP, which collapsed during the first Trump administration.
Until recently, however, Merz’s approach for confronting the Trump
administration consisted mainly of denying the scale of the challenge.
Just one day before Vance’s speech at the MSC, Atlantik-Brücke, the
transatlantic lobby group Merz formerly headed, published an essay of his on the
transatlantic relationship. “Our alliance with America has been, is and will
remain of paramount importance for security, freedom and prosperity in Europe,”
Merz wrote. With Trump, he went on, “transatlantic relations will change again
and yet we will continue to share common values, interests and a common promise
of protection within NATO.”
A few days later, Merz’s tone drastically changed and he warned of a
transatlantic rupture.
Merz lost a power struggle with the more centrist Angela Merkel in 2002 | Pool
photo by Stefan Wermuth/AFP via Getty Images
“The differences between the U.S. and Europe are taking on a whole new quality,”
he wrote in a note to his supporters after Vance’s speech. “Now it is no longer
‘just’ about defense; now it is about our basic understanding of democracy and
an open society.” Merz compared the moment to Russia’s full-scale invasion of
Ukraine in 2022, when, as he put it, “we woke up from our dreams and had to
learn to understand that our world is no longer what it was supposed to be.”
German and European leaders became even more alarmed when Trump, a few days
later, blamed Ukraine — not the Kremlin — for starting the war and then followed
up by calling Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy a “dictator.”
After that, Merz warned supporters at a rally in the state of Hesse that the
“autocratic behavior at the top of the state” in the U.S. may persist for a long
time. “Our response can only be that we must finally become resilient, capable
of defense, and able to stand on our own feet in Europe,” he added.
In an interview the following day, Merz warned that Europe should prepare for
Trump to end NATO protection and hinted at a major strategic shift, saying
Germany needed to discuss the possibility of “nuclear sharing, or at least
nuclear security” with European nuclear powers the United Kingdom and France.
Previously, German conservatives have favored maintaining strong ties with the
U.S. over calls from Paris to cultivate European “strategic autonomy.”
Merz’s rhetorical shift showed just how unnerved he now is by the Trump
administration. The question now is whether Germany’s next chancellor will
succeed at taking the EU — itself confronting the rise of Russia-friendly,
far-right parties — in a fundamentally new direction.
Merz in now expressing the willingness, though the way forward remains murky.
“Within this Europe, Germany must play a leading role,” Merz said at the rally
in Hesse. We must take on this responsibility,” he added. “I, for one, am
determined to do so.”
Nette Nöstlinger and Rasmus Buchsteiner contributed to this report.