This story was originally published by Slate and is reproduced here as part of
the Climate Desk collaboration.
Last Tuesday, as the strongest Atlantic storm in 90 years slammed the western
coast of Jamaica with 185-mph winds, Bill Gates was downplaying climate change.
In a lengthy blog post published on his personal website, Gates purported to
offer some “tough truths about climate” ahead of next week’s UN climate
conference. Railing against a “doomsday outlook” stemming from “much of the
climate community,” the author of 2021’s How to Avoid a Climate Disaster claimed
that there’s “too much” emphasis on “near-term emissions goals” as opposed to
addressing “poverty and disease.” (The straight line between climate disasters
from higher temperatures and the acceleration of both poverty and disease went
unnoted.)
> The inherent tension Gates posits between “quality of life” and “lowering
> emissions” is simply false.
While Hurricane Melissa—whose ferocity was supercharged by ocean waters heated
by carbon-emissions absorption, as well as increased atmospheric moisture—laid
waste to much of Jamaica, Gates followed up with a CNBC interview, excusing
Microsoft’s fossil-fueled AI-construction surge and reiterating that global
warming “has to be considered in terms of overall human welfare.” (He didn’t
touch on the many ways artificial intelligence itself has damaged human
welfare.)
The billionaire does not appear to have publicly addressed the disaster in
Jamaica, which extended throughout the Caribbean, with Melissa having killed
dozens across Cuba, Haiti, the Bahamas, and the Dominican Republic. And his
overall point, frankly, does not hold up to scrutiny.
Gates isn’t alone; climate change has slipped down the world’s priority list in
the past few years—and it shows. Governments and corporations are shelving
emissions goals, budgets are being redirected from climate initiatives to
warfare, the media is pivoting away from climate journalism, and even activists
are urging a softer, more “hopeful” tone. It all signals a vibe shift in how we
talk about climate change, reframing it from the existential risk
it actually poses to a less urgent, peripheral issue—even as the floodwaters
reach our front doors.
Gates, whose climate nonprofit Breakthrough Energy laid off dozens of
staffers earlier this year, is not incorrect to point out that “we’ve made great
progress” in fostering climate solutions, and that agriculture and land use
should be an especially urgent area of focus. But the person he’s targeting with
his post—a government official cutting health and aid funding and redirecting it
toward emissions reduction—doesn’t really exist, certainly not at this
particular moment.
As the US pulls back on all foreign aid and health funds, to devastating and
fatal effect across the Eastern Hemisphere, other rich nations are not filling
in the gap but instead following suit, cutting back on climate,
health, and development.
In the climate realm in particular, wealthier countries are trimming not just
their budgets (e.g., clean-energy exports, startup financing) but even their
assistance with long-term adaptation to a warming Earth—something Gates now
prizes above mitigation. This despite the fact that the UN secretary-general
warns that it is “inevitable” the world will overshoot the decade-old Paris
Agreement’s goal of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius—as an explicit means
of preventing worst-case scenarios that will require more money and resources to
address.
The world order that once notched international climate agreements isn’t just
retreating from that fight; it’s pulling back from any globally minded
responsibility altogether.
The inherent tension Gates posits between “quality of life” and “lowering
emissions” is simply false—and it’s a favored talking point of climate
denialists. The most odious exemplar of this may be the pro–fossil fuel activist
Alex Epstein, whose books (which I’ve reviewed critically) frame the transition
from oil and gas to renewables as an “anti-human” endeavor. These days, Epstein
is deeply embedded with congressional Republicans, pushing behind the scenes
for the debilitating dents in US clean-energy subsidies that have been effected
through this year’s budget bills.
Setting climate action as antithetical to human flourishing is plainly false;
the devastated Caribbean citizens now rebuilding from Hurricane Melissa’s
destruction would not be in this predicament had carbon emissions not overheated
the ocean and messed with wind cycles.
As for finances, the climate is the economy: Skyrocketing insurance and resource
costs in the region, along with depleted agricultural yields, are not incidental
to climate effects but a direct consequence of their fallout.
At our current level of 1.3 degrees Celsius of warming above preindustrial
levels, we see the crushing effects everywhere. It will not be any easier for
island nations to recover as more extreme weather comes for their homes (and
ours), and as nations of means shirk their mandated responsibilities to those
spewing far fewer emissions, yet taking the biggest direct impacts.
The good news is, there are many folks on the ground working independently to
advance climate solutions and their own welfare at the same time. Countries
like Pakistan and Rwanda have put cheap solar-panel imports to great use—even
to help with growing food. In the Caribbean, some of the hospitals treating the
wounded will be powered by solar panels and battery storage, insulating them
from the ongoing electricity outages. The US government planes that have been
monitoring Melissa’s path are flown by pilots who aren’t being paid to do so,
thanks to the government shutdown. These are the types of admirable missions led
by people who understand the situation at a far more intimate level than Bill
Gates ever will.
Tag - Oligarchy
It is apparently not enough for America’s anti-tax crusaders that Congress just
passed one of the most expensive and regressive tax bills in our history. The
Washington Post reports that Grover Norquist’s Americans for Tax Reform and
other conservative groups are now urging the Trump administration to change how
investment profits are taxed—unilaterally, if need be—in a way that would
overwhelmingly favor the wealthiest Americans.
Sound familiar?
Namely, they want to index capital gains to inflation. Suppose I bought $100,000
worth of Apple stock on July 10, 2020 and kept it. Today, I could sell that
stock for $170,383—a tidy $70,383 profit. That’s a 74 percent overall return and
an average annual return of 11.7 percent. Pretty good, right?
Not good enough for Norquist et al.
These players want to let me adjust the “cost basis”—the price I originally paid
for the stock—for inflation. Using this inflation calculator, I could then tell
the IRS that my initial $100k investment was in fact a $120,407 investment, and
so my profit for tax purposes is only $40,976.
This is insane—for several reasons.
First, read the room. Congress just passed a megabill whose benefits are deeply
skewed in favor of the wealthy. Its tax provisions and spending cuts, taken
together, will result in a 4 percent increase in average after-tax income for
the richest 1 percent of American households and a nearly 4 percent decrease for
the poorest 20 percent, based on the Yale Budget Lab’s analysis. This is very,
very unpopular.
The bill will at least $3.3 trillion to the national debt—more like $5 trillion
if expiring provisions are extended in the coming years. And indexing capital
gains to inflation, according to 2018 estimates from the Tax Policy Center and
the Penn Wharton Budget Model, would add yet another $100 billion to $200
billion to the tab—with the richest 1 percent reaping 86 percent of the
benefits.
> “I don’t think reducing [capital gains rates further] will change investor
> behavior,” says billionaire Mark Cuban.
Norquist told the Washington Post he recently spoke with President Donald Trump
and recommended the president implement the change with an executive order.
Indexing capital gains to inflation was considered during Trump’s first term,
the Post‘s Jeff Stein reports, but Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin felt
Congress should handle it—current secretary Scott Bessent may prove more
complaint. “I said something like, ‘Mr. President, after we do the bill, we will
need more economic growth,” Norquist told Stein. “The Big Beautiful Bill is very
pro-growth, but with this, we can have even more growth.’”
In reality, not one of the Republican tax packages enacted since Ronald Reagan
became president has lived up to its sponsors’ economic promises. “The economy
may well enjoy a sugar-high the next couple of years, as borrowing stimulates
near-term consumption,” Maya MacGuineas, president of the nonprofit Committee
for a Responsible Federal Budget, said in a statement after Congress passed the
“One Bie Beautiful Bill” on July 3. “But a sugar-high won’t be sustained, it
will do real damage, and often what comes next is the crash.”
As for the notion of indexing fueling “more growth,” the billionaire investor
Mark Cuban told me in an email that he thinks the current tax rates on capital
gains are fair, and “I don’t think reducing it will change investor behavior.”
Yet the fairness of those rates—and their justification—is the subject of fierce
debate. Suppose I’m a wealthy investor and I sell assets I’ve held for at least
12 months—stocks, bonds, real estate, or even, say, a stud racehorse—netting my
family $1,000,000 in profits. The federal tax on those capital gains ranges from
zero for the first $94,000 to 20 percent for the portion that exceeds $583,750.
Because my spouse and I have income of more than $250,000, we also have to pay a
3.8 percent “net investment income tax.” This all adds up to an effective tax
rate of about 19 percent.
But tax rates for wage income are much higher. A couple reporting $1,000,000 in
salary income pays an effective rate of about 30 percent. That’s a huge
difference, and part of why families whose money comes from primarily from asset
growth have amassed wealth so much faster than working families have. It no
lefty exaggeration to say America’s economic system is rigged against workers
and in favor of investors. It’s right there in the tax code.
> “This kind of proposal will only widen the economic inequality we’re facing.”
So how do conservative policy wonks justify the low capital gains rates? A key
argument, interestingly, is that inflation eats away at the value of long-term
gains. One “solution” would be to index the gains to inflation, notes the
libertarian Cato Institute, “but most countries instead roughly compensate” by
offering reduced tax rates for investors.
And now the anti-taxers want to have it both ways.
Investors enjoy other economic advantages, too. Notably, their gains are counted
as income only when the assets are sold. In practice, this allows people with a
large portfolio of appreciated assets to borrow against their holdings at
single-digit interest rates and live off those loans instead of selling assets
and paying a double-digit tax. As ProPublica discovered, many of America’s
wealthiest families have been doing precisely that. (As a result, from 2014 to
2018, Jeff Bezos paid an effective income tax rate of less than 1 percent.)
Or say you have a $100 investment that grows by 10 percent a year during a
period of 2 percent annual inflation. The first year’s profit, after inflation,
is $8. “But I don’t pay tax on that $8 until I sell, which may be decades
later,” says Bob Lord a former tax attorney and associate fellow at the
Institute for Policy Studies. “I’m basically getting a free ride on the
appreciation of that $8 portion of my investment.” Doesn’t that benefit, he
asks, more than offset any detriment from inflation?
And also, isn’t investing supposed to contain an element of risk management?
Isn’t the ability to beat inflation part of what separates a savvy investor from
a useless one? Indexing for inflation, combined with favorable tax capital gains
rates and an exemption for unrealized gains—doesn’t that basically reduce
investing to shooting fish in a barrel?
It is worth noting, too, that most Americans work for a paycheck, and the ones
who make their living via investing are by and large quite wealthy. More than
half of Americans now own some stock, but not much. As of January 2024, per
Federal Reserve data, 93 percent of US stock holdings were owned by the most
affluent 10 percent of the population, and the richest 1 percent owned more than
half of all public equities—not to mention private equities.
Indexing gains to inflation “would really codify the notion that income taxes
are only for people who work for a living,” says Morris Pearl, a former managing
director at BlackRock and current chairman of the board of Patriotic
Millionaires, a nonprofit that advocates for higher taxes on the rich.
If the Trump administration were to attempt the change Norquist
recommended—unilaterally or otherwise—its not even clear how it would work. You
would presumably need to make changes on both the profit and loss sides of a
balance sheet. Kyle Pomerleau, a senior fellow with the right-leaning American
Enterprise Institute, has concluded that indexing is complex and unlikely to
generate significant economic impact, and is therefore “more trouble than it’s
worth.”
“Indexing has been rejected in the past to avoid opening new tax shelters,” says
Steven Rosenthal, a Washington tax policy expert and former legislation counsel
for the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation. “If investors were permitted
to index their assets, but not required to index their liabilities,
debt-financed investments would explode. Investors could exclude profits and
deduct interest. But indexing both assets and liabilities is a mess, which I, as
a congressional staffer, discovered when we tried to draft it.”
“This kind of proposal will only widen the economic inequality we’re facing,”
adds Patriotic Millionaires’ Pearl. “It’s absurd that all I would need to do is
buy property that I can rent out, and make a lot of money, and never have to pay
taxes again!”
For kids like me, who grew up in the 1960s and ’70s, comics were a big deal. Our
media landscape otherwise consisted mainly of books and records, commercial
radio, and, in my family’s case, a small black-and-white TV with a coat hanger
antenna that got four staticky channels. So we periodically raided our piggy
banks and headed to the Stop-N-Go for candy and comics. My favorite was Richie
Rich.
Richie was wildly popular, a brave and generous little fellow with unfathomably
wealthy parents. He’s 9 or 10 years old in the comics, with a signature outfit
consisting of white booties, blue shorts, a black jacket, and a white shirt with
a big red bowtie. (He’s a teenager, with outfits less Little Lord Fauntleroy, in
the 1980s cartoon series—ditto the 1994 Macaulay Culkin movie.)
Swimming pools filled with cash, monogrammed ships and planes. All part of the
Riches’ over-the-top aesthetic.NBCUniversal
Had someone compared you to Richie back in the day, you might have thanked them.
After all, he used his vast wealth for good. But Richie’s reputation has fallen
upon hard times. “We all knew Trump was richie rich scumbag,” one Bluesky user
wrote in March. Another posted, in reference to the Virginia governor and Trump
sycophant Glenn Youngkin: “‘Richie Rich’ Youngkin (R), thinks poor people should
just fucking stay poor.” A third circulated a parody comic book cover, “Richie
Reich,” featuring a dour Musk/Richie hybrid doing the Nazi salute. It got more
than 1,100 likes.
“Richie is so misunderstood,” laments 30-year-old news producer Jonny Harvey,
whose late grandfather, Leon, along with brothers Alfred and Robert, churned out
hundreds of issues of Richie Rich on their family-friendly Harvey Comics imprint
from 1960 through 1982—with an encore from 1986 to 1989, when the company was
sold—in addition to titles like Little Audrey and Casper the Friendly Ghost.
Richie would not appreciate being associated with Elon Musk.Gretchen Kent
“I think people believe he’s this spoiled rich kid,” says Harvey, who is working
on a documentary about the late family business. “Because of the blond hair,
because he was the son of a multimillionaire, people make that [Trump]
comparison. And there couldn’t be anything further from that.”
Something clearly has shifted in our culture that we would so defame this icon
of upper-crust benevolence. As a journalist who covers inequality and the author
of a book, Jackpot, about the American wealth fantasy run amok, I decided it was
time to revisit Richie to try to understand how economic changes since his
heyday might account for the transformation. As it turns out, there are
important lessons here for grownups, even if you’ve never heard of “the poor
little rich boy.”
The Richie comics, in retrospect, are wildly incongruous. Richie’s family (much
like Trump’s) is comically ostentatious. His mom is a jewel-laden socialite, his
dad some sort of industrialist. They have swimming pools filled with cash, piles
of gleaming gemstones, safes swollen to bursting, and driveways paved with gold
bars—not to mention monogrammed ships and planes and swank mansions. The “help”
includes butler Cadbury, robot maid Irona, and Bascomb, a chauffeur who shuttles
Richie around in a stretch limo. Their dog, Dollar, has dollar signs for spots.
It’s all quite over the top, and that’s part of the appeal. Billionaire and
former Dallas Mavericks majority owner Mark Cuban, raised in a middle-class
Pittsburgh family, “loved, loved, loved Richie Rich,” he told me via
email. “Watching the cartoon was like driving around wealthy neighborhoods,
dreaming of one day being able to afford one of the palatial homes I never
thought I would ever even walk inside.”
Yet Richie is no snob. His endless money is leavened by courage, loyalty, and
sheer goodness. Despite his vast fortune, he steers clear of the trust-fund
kids, opting instead to share his adventures with public school pals. Richie’s
besties, Freckles and Pee-Wee Friendly, basically live in a shack. “It was so
funny,” says Angelo DeCesare, who wrote and drew Richie for Harvey Comics from
1978 to 1980. “It looked like this beat-up old thing with boards. They really
made them poor!” Gloria Glad, Richie’s sweetheart, is the proverbial
middle-class girl next door.
“Reggie was a jerk. The idea was to be more like Richie..” says former Harvey
Comics artist Angelo DeCesare. “Reggie was presented as the guy who always got
his comeuppance.”NBCUniversal
Plots typically involved Richie using his limitless resources to bail out a
friend, help solve somebody’s problem, or foil the bad guys forever scheming to
steal his family’s wealth. In a paper, York University marketing professor
Russell Belk summarized one 1966 story like this: “To keep his girlfriend
Gloria’s father from being transferred out of town, Richie Rich buys a hot dog
factory for $500,000 and has her father made general manager. The man Richie
outbids for the plant is his father, who was buying it as a gift for Richie’s
next birthday.”
The Harvey neighborhood crew includes a Black kid—quite the rarity in mainstream
comics back then, though race is never referenced: Tiny’s distinguishing trait
is his diminutive stature. “It was a way of showing that we’re all part of the
same neighborhood, that we all have the same aspirations…that we all can have
fun together,” Kathy Jackson, a professor of media at Virginia Wesleyan
University, told Jonny Harvey in an interview for his film. “Certainly, in the
1960s, in the age of civil rights, that had important ramifications.”
Most of Harvey’s founders, artists, and writers were first- or second-generation
Jewish immigrants, more than a little familiar with ethnic bigotry. Their
mission was to sell comics by creating stories that appealed to kids, encouraged
them to read, and imparted good values along the way.
Richie would be appalled by the thought that “the fundamental weakness of
Western civilization is empathy,” as Elon Musk told Joe Rogan in February. He
would never, as Musk did on X, brag about a weekend spent “feeding USAID into a
wood chipper.” Nor would he terrorize federal workers or seek Medicaid
reductions to facilitate tax cuts for his family. He wouldn’t slash research
funding, either—Richie loves scientists and inventors. He’d be inclined to build
them new, cutting-edge labs—and gleaming hospitals for the sick, and cozy abodes
for the unhoused.
Because Richie Rich is not an asshole.
He is, alas, entirely fictional. “There was no such person like that in the
world, who had that kind of money and would use it in the way Richie did,”
DeCesare told me. To longtime Harvey Comics editor Sid Jacobson, “Richie was his
idealized fantasy of what he really wished the wealthy would be; they would be
kind,” says son Seth Jacobson, 67, who remembers hanging out with his late
father’s team at their offices in Manhattan’s old Gulf and Western Building. “My
dad was a diehard Democrat,” he recalls. “He wanted taxes to be higher for the
rich and the upper middle class. He wanted universal health coverage.”
Some Richie characters were more in sync with the Mar-a-Lago crowd, like
Reginald Van Dough, Richie’s greedy, scheming cousin, and Mayda Munny, a snooty
social climber who is desperate to woo Richie away from Gloria but inevitably
fails because Gloria loves Richie despite his money, not because of it. “Those
comics were very moral. That’s what I liked about them,” says DeCesare. “Reggie
was a jerk. The idea was to be more like Richie. Be generous, kind, have empathy
for your fellow human beings. Reggie was presented as the guy who always got his
comeuppance.”
Ideally, children are encouraged to share and tell the truth—and to care about
others. As we grow up, some people continue to embrace those values. Others
clearly don’t. As for Richie’s parents, the question of what it might take to
amass and protect such riches or who may have been exploited in the process is
never explored. Did Mr. Rich, like even the “good billionaire” Warren Buffett,
have vast holdings in polluting industries or take advantage of obscure (if
scandalously legal) tax avoidance strategies? We’ll never know. Richie exists in
a realm free of adult politics, unscathed by what one wealthy Silicon Valley
denizen described to me as the “blasé weirdness” experienced by the heirs to
vast fortunes—think Succession. (“My wife and I are doing our best for that not
to happen,” Cuban told me. “I hope my kids are more like Richie.”)
The values Richie embodied, and our notion of noblesse oblige—the duty of
society’s richest to behave with honor, generosity, and responsibility toward
those with less—have waned in tandem with a staggering rise in wealth
inequality. In 1960, if your salary exceeded $60,000, every additional dollar
was taxed at a rate ranging from 71 percent to 91 percent. This helped keep our
financial differences in check. But the tax cuts signed by President Ronald
Reagan during the 1980s chopped the top bracket from 70 percent to 28 percent.
Two years after he left office, Congress enabled a type of trust—by accident,
the lawyer credited with inventing it told me—that America’s dynasties now use
routinely to transfer vast fortunes, often billions of dollars, to offspring
without paying a dime of inheritance tax.
Since Richie’s heyday, we’ve also witnessed the rise of the zero-sum mindset
embodied by Trump and his minions. Namely, the idea that every transaction has a
winner and a loser—and you do not want to lose. This ethos is now standard
operating procedure for a subset of the superrich, compelling ultrawealthy
parents to bribe and cheat their children’s way into elite colleges, as revealed
in the 2019 scandal dubbed Operation Varsity Blues. It also helps explain why
more than 84 percent of that year’s incoming college freshmen—whose collective
top priority in 1969 was “developing a meaningful philosophy of life”—selected
as their new No. 1 goal: “being very well off financially.”
A uniting myth of America for scrappers and strivers and immigrants is that of a
land of opportunity, despite the bigotry that has pervaded our laws and culture.
(Leon Harvey would have excelled in advertising, grandson Jonny told me, “but
Jewish sons of Jewish immigrants mostly could not get the advertising jobs.”)
The distribution of wealth in Richie’s day was by no means egalitarian, but it
was markedly more so than today. The notion of a child of superrich parents
attending public schools and mixing with poor and middle-income kids was less
laughable in 1965, when the pay ratio of CEOs to typical workers at the nation’s
350 largest companies was 21 to 1. By 2019, the ratio had soared to 320 to 1.
A real child of billionaires today probably wouldn’t be running around with poor
kids like Freckles and Pee-Wee.NBCUniversal/Sally Edelstein archive
Such vast resource differences contribute to what social scientists call “income
segregation,” and I like to call “wealth flight.” “The things that people can
afford tend to dictate the spaces that they inhabit,” explains Cornell
sociologist Kendra Bischoff, who studies the phenomenon in collaboration with
Stanford’s Sean Reardon. Rising inequality increases “the spatial separation of
people of different incomes,” she told me. When parents opt into private
schools, elite sports leagues, and other exclusive activities for their
children, “those are the kinds of structural conditions that lead kids to be a
lot less likely to hang out with each other,” and that lack of exposure very
plausibly “limits their understanding of the world and decreases empathy for
people who are different than them.”
There’s that word again—the one that, in the Trumpian mindset, belies weakness.
Indeed, there’s good evidence that people of higher socioeconomic status tend to
be less empathetic than their lower-status counterparts. “We find that people
who are relatively well-off are less likely to orient to others in social
environments,” says Paul Piff, a psychologist who studies wealth and behavior at
the University of California, Irvine. What’s more, he says, “upper-class
individuals show—both explicitly, they talk about it, and
physiologically—reduced signs of compassion, less sympathy. They’re less moved
by the needs of others.”
Who’s to know if hoarding money makes some people callous or whether
less-empathetic people are simply more prone to pursuing materialistic aims?
Cuban restated a theory I’ve heard numerous times, that great wealth merely
amplifies a person’s character: If you’re a Reginald sans dough, you’ll end up a
Reginald Van Dough. But “if you were nice and caring” before you hit the
jackpot, you’ll remain a good person—and have more resources to do good. “Where
I think people deviate from that is during the grind to make money—to get to
having more than you ever dreamed of,” Cuban says. “That grind is filled with
uncertainty for all those not born wealthy. That’s where you focus on your
company, often to the exclusion of others. Families. Relationships.”
The ramifications of America’s wealth divide have grown clearer as the Trump
regime lays waste to agencies and programs that the families of Richie’s friends
might have relied upon and seeks to privatize federal services and enact more
tax breaks for the wealthiest 0.01 percent—a group who began this year with an
average of $938 million in estimated household assets, and whose share of the
nation’s overall wealth has more than quadrupled since 1976, even as the middle
class’s share has dwindled.
Richie Rich was a good egg, if a Fabergé one. But today, as America’s wealthiest
have fallen in line behind the most egregiously materialistic human being ever
to occupy the Oval Office, Richie seems like an anachronism. Remember that Gulf
and Western Building where Harvey Comics once had its offices? In the mid-1990s
it was acquired by a consortium that included a certain New York City real
estate developer. Now it’s the Trump International Hotel and Tower.
The irony, as they say, is rich.
America is witnessing an unprecedented series of attacks on higher education
that commenced well before Donald Trump was re-elected, amid the contentious
protests that followed Hamas’ attacks on Israel and Israel’s ruthless (and
ongoing) retaliation on Gaza and its inhabitants.
But Trump, as president, has taken matters much further. Claiming antisemitism,
his administration is revoking student visas and arresting students who have
engaged in nonviolent protests or expressed opinions on social media or in
innocuous op-eds. The government’s pauses, reviews, and cancellations of grants
and contracts at top universities—including new funding freezes totaling $1
billion for Cornell and $790 million for Northwestern—are creating havoc. And
its attempt to cap federal funding for the indirect costs of medical research,
though tied up in court, could prove devastating to research universities, some
of which have already fired staff, imposed hiring freezes, and slashed or
postponed graduate programs in response. Now Republicans are considering a
tenfold tax increase on endowment investment income for certain universities to
help pay for up to $4.5 trillion in tax cuts.
All told, these actions amount to the most profound crisis US colleges and
universities have ever faced, with likely ripple effects on regional economies
and employment, public health, and medicine. Indeed, they have thrown the future
of America’s leadership in science and innovation into question.
Yet, instead of speaking out forcefully and cracking open their endowments to
cover any shortfalls, most top schools have hunkered down, and even, in
Columbia’s case, cut a deal with the administration. Only a few university
presidents, including Princeton’s Chris Eisgruber and Wesleyan’s Michael Roth,
have had the courage to stick their necks out.
To better understand why, I reached out to Charlie Eaton, a sociologist at the
University of California, Merced, who studies the “financialization” of higher
ed, and who argued, in a recent New York Times op-ed, that elite institutions
can absolutely afford to fight—and should.
Trying to walk too fine a tightrope between the schools’ needs and the interests
of wealthy donors, after all, is a high-risk endeavor. In Eaton’s view,
“pretending that these attacks aren’t political and not making a political
strategy to push back is a fatal error.”
This interview has been edited for length and clarity.
Few college presidents have spoken out publicly about these attacks. It’s
baffling to me that our top colleges—and law firms, for that matter—aren’t
fighting en masse to protect the interests of their students and faculty. What
do you make of the reluctance?
By their nature elite universities are conservative—as in cautious—institutions,
and I don’t think that equips them well to deal with a full frontal assault like
this. Also, elite universities are tied to other elites, especially from the
world of finance, who themselves are somewhere between the lines with Trump, and
have some sympathy for the Trumpist attacks on diversity and inclusion as
university values. So that’s part of what we’ve seen that’s frozen these
institutions in their tracks—why they are reacting like deer in the headlights.
Right. Former Harvard president Lawrence Summers just had an op-ed in the New
York Times in which he decries colleges’ emphasis on identity politics as
opposed to academic excellence, in hiring and so forth.
I think that’s the same Summers op-ed where he says [to Harvard]: Don’t be
intimidated, spend the endowment—which is pretty different than what we’ve seen
from Columbia and a lot of the other elite schools. Summers has played a
different role for a long time than your conventional university president. He
was the secretary of the Treasury. He’s highly political and has been engaged in
politics, and this is a political struggle. Universities like to pretend to not
be political—and there are plenty of ways they shouldn’t be, in order to foster
free speech and open debate. But pretending that these attacks aren’t political
and not making a political strategy to push back is a fatal error.
Wasn’t it this sort of waffling that got them into trouble in the first place
amid the Gaza protests? Everybody wanted administrators to issue statements, and
they didn’t really know what to do. They’d already spoken up on other things, in
support of Ukraine or whatever. And now it looks like they’re stuck back in this
mode of indecision.
Yeah. You know, the primary job of an elite university president is to raise
money from donors, and if you’re spending a lot of your day talking to your
wealthiest alumni—who may have donated to Trump or may feel sympathetic with
Trump’s critiques of diversity at the university—it’s hard for folks who spend
their day in those social circles to imagine pushing back.
That gets at my next question. Your research examines the relationships between
what you call “financialization” and inequalities in higher education. Can you
explain how your work applies to the current situation?
Yeah. So, my book, Bankers in the Ivory Tower, shows a radical increase in the
proportion of elite university board members coming from finance, particularly
private equity and hedge funds. If you go back to the ’80s, private equity and
hedge funds didn’t really exist. Investment bankers were prominent on university
boards but it’s nothing like today. And these are folks who have some official
reach in university policy, and who are the primary fund-raisers—a main job of
board members is both to donate a lot and to raise money from other donors.
We saw the activation of these ties around the Gaza war protests, with a subset
of wealthy donors saying they wanted to suspend donations to the university
until protests were suppressed. It’s not hard to imagine that board elites from
Wall Street who were always uncomfortable with elite universities embracing
diversity and inclusion see an opportunity to push back, and Trump has opened
the space for it to be okay to oppose this.
And of course, their complaints often involved perceived antisemitism at Harvard
and so forth, with rich alums like Bill Ackman chiming in. It does seem, in any
case, that college presidents are under extraordinary pressure to align
themselves with the interests of trustees and top donors.
You often don’t quite see how a system works and the preferences of different
actors, their roles in the system, until the system is threatened by disruption.
I don’t think anybody was terribly attuned to the dispositions of the financiers
on university boards 5 or 10 years ago because, outside of a crisis, donors
weren’t engaging to pressure the university to be one thing or another. Since
the Gaza war and allegations of antisemitism, and now even more so with the
Trump attacks, the preferences and dispositions of these donors may become more
visible.
A lot of them must be aghast to see colleges they care about taking such a hit.
Yeah. A proactive, offensive university strategy would be to say no to Trump, to
try to weather the storm by tapping the endowment and by turning to alumni of
all wealth levels, to say, “Help defend your alma mater. Now is the time that we
need you.”
You wrote that top colleges can afford a fight. I think we have 16 schools now
with endowments over $10 billion, yet many are cutting deals, and in some cases
graduate programs. Why would any private foundation, let alone an educational
one, hoard money in the face of such a crisis?
I have to give Larry Summers credit for saying endowments are not to be admired;
they are there to be spent in a crisis. And I acknowledge President Obama for
saying the same. But universities have become attached to steadily growing their
endowment as a status object. And that course of action is at this moment
potentially fatal for the university as we know it.
We think of endowments as one giant pot of money, but really they consist of
thousands of individual gifts, most earmarked for specific purposes.
To an extent. Even the Columbia endowment, which is smaller than Harvard and
Princeton and Yale—it’s $15 billion. By my recollection, several billion is
entirely unrestricted. The University of California, which has a smaller
endowment, especially relative to its size, has billions in unrestricted funds.
You know, another implication here is that universities should be seeking to
raise more unrestricted endowment funds. But as Summers says, as a former
Harvard president: Believe me when I say you can spend the endowment, even
restricted funds in it.
I don’t quite know how that works. I assumed these are legal contracts.
No, it’s true. The law that governs this allows for, in a crisis, you can act in
extraordinary ways. Now universities should not undertake this haphazardly. One
of the things that endowments are dedicated to is financial aid for low-income
students. Most of the very elite colleges have become debt free. So, I’m not
saying they should dig into that funding to protect other things. The point is,
endowments are huge resources. They have been used to weather past crises,
including the 2008 financial crisis and the early months of Covid. And they must
be again to defend the university.
The University of California, at the beginning of Covid, liquidated $1.8 billion
of its Blue and Gold endowment—an additional 8 percent. That’s more than
doubling the (normal) expenditure, which is less than Columbia would have to do
to weather the $400 million in cuts. There are a lot of different financial
mechanics a university can use to tap its endowment.
Do you think elite universities, either financially or in terms of hewing to
liberal orthodoxies, have gone too far in ways that make them susceptible to
these right-wing attacks?
The culture side is not my area of expertise. But one thing I can say is that
you really can’t divide the financial practices and the exclusiveness of elite
universities from their culture. If you go back to the 1970s, Princeton had a
pretty big endowment, but it only spent about $10,000 per student from the
endowment each year, after adjusting for inflation. Today, Princeton spends
$180,000 per student on operations because the endowment has grown so much, and
the public is right when they see the Ivy League as more inaccessible than ever.
Princeton has only increased its enrollment by a fraction, even as it’s gotten
wealthier by more than tenfold. Our problem is that, in the public imagination
and political discourse, college is [schools like Princeton and] Harvard, even
though in reality, college in the US is—
Penn State?
Right, or Michigan State—a regional public university or commuter college.
Seventy percent of bachelor’s degrees are awarded by public universities, but
the persistent exclusiveness of the Ivy League has put a target on the back of
all universities, because all universities are imagined to be like them. So [the
problem is] actually not too much diversity and inclusiveness; it’s the
disingenuousness of discourses of diversity and inclusion at elite schools while
they enroll only a tiny fraction of students, overwhelmingly from the very
wealthy. If you need a citation, look at the Harvard economist Raj Chetty.
Another thing is, universities are mostly thought of as colleges, but they also
do research that leads to technological innovation and lifesaving medicines.
They run hospitals. But those things are still done in a culture of elite
superiority, rather than conceived of as immensely valuable services in the
public interest.
And related to their failure to expand in the face of rising demand, their
wealth has exploded on the public’s dime, given all the tax-free growth of their
endowments. Which brings us to the proposed tax increase...
One other stat I’ll throw at you is that, up until recent years—and it may still
be the case—UC Berkeley, not the most equitable and accessible of public
universities, enrolled more low-income Pell Grant recipients than the entire Ivy
League combined! That’s because Berkeley grew its enrollment a lot over the last
50 years to make space for more students, including students from lower and
middle-class backgrounds.
And that doesn’t mean worse students. Just kids who grew up with less.
Yeah, the thought experiment of: What if Princeton enrolled twice as many
students and only spent $90,000 a year per student from the endowment? I think
it would still be an extraordinary university.
Okay, so Republicans want to raise the tax on endowment investment income from
1.4 percent to 14 percent or more for colleges with high endowment to student
ratios. I’ve been critical of the way private foundations hoard public wealth,
and so maybe they should be taxed more. But how do you think such a tax will
affect the educational missions of elite institutions?
I mean, it’s a sham! These institutions will figure out ways around it no matter
what Trump does. I favor taxes on the wealthiest endowments if they fail to use
their resources to provide a sufficient public good, either by enrolling more
students or by doing other important things in the public interest. But this is
about punishing schools for perceived inclusiveness.
Democrats and elite universities have left themselves vulnerable to these tax
proposals, which will be used opportunistically to fund tax cuts for
billionaires. We leave the door open by not developing a progressive policy that
incentivizes endowments to be used in the public interest. But that is not what
this proposal is—nor what it will ever be.
If you really cared about public good, you’d impose the tax on all private
foundations, not just elite universities.
Yeah. And it’s telling what they actually use the revenue for. The 2017
endowment tax [the current 1.4 percent income tax was imposed by the Tax Cuts
and Jobs Act] was to help offset the Trump tax cut for wealthy people. That is
what this will be, but it’s also to punish these institutions.
As I think I said in my op-ed, universities are some of the first institutions
that autocrats attack, and that’s because they provide space for free debate and
free speech that can challenge and criticize the autocrat. So it’s not a
coincidence that Trump is going after universities, perhaps more aggressively
than any other institution in American society.
As he waited in the shadow of a parking garage in Tempe, Arizona, to hear Bernie
Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speak last Thursday evening, John Ward, a
longtime Democrat from the deep-red retirement community of Sun City West, told
me he “probably” hadn’t voted for the Vermont senator in the past, but that it
felt like Sanders had become a party leader by default.
“I mean, Kamala’s not talking. Barack’s not talking. Biden’s not talking,” he
said. “Right now, he’s the only one talking, and he’s the only one making
sense.”
Ward arrived hours early to catch Sanders at the latest stop on his “Fight
Oligarchy Tour,” but already the line snaked around the block to get into the
hockey arena on the campus of Arizona State University. The rallies, which
Sanders began organizing in February to apply pressure to Republican lawmakers
in their home districts, have been growing and growing. According to organizers,
nearly 87,000 people attended five events last week—a stunning showing 20 months
away from the midterms. Before an event at a high school football stadium in
Tucson on Saturday—where people started arriving at 6 a.m. for an 11:30 start—I
met a high school student who had persuaded her grandmother to come with her all
the way from Redlands, California. It had taken them half a day, stopping every
three hours to recharge their car. (No, they clarified; it was not that kind of
electric car.)
The Fight Oligarchy Tour is drawing larger crowds than the Sanders’ presidential
campaign ever did, but it’s also drawing a different sort of crowd. Although
there were still more “Feel the Bern” t-shirts than you can count, at two stops
in Arizona last week most of the people I talked to were, like Ward, not
longtime supporters. A significant number had not even attended a political
event or a protest before. Many of these voters found Sanders’ long-running
message of a growing oligarchy newly resonant at a time when the richest man in
the world has been given carte blanche to dismantle public institutions. Above
all, they showed up because they wanted to hear elected officials express the
sort of frustration and rage Democratic voters have been feeling for months.
They wanted to be where the fight was. Sanders’ rallies offer both a lifeline
and a warning to a party that hasn’t yet found its footing: Start going after
Trump—or voters might start going after you, too.
Arizonans watch Bernie Sanders deliver remarks from the Catalina High School
football bleachers.Sam Van Pykeren/Mother Jones
You couldn’t go far at these rallies without running into someone who was
dealing firsthand with the fallout from President Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s
attack on the federal bureaucracy. The very first person I talked to before
Thursday’s rally in Tempe told me he was moving back to Puerto Rico after being
fired from the IRS. In Tucson on Saturday, I met an educator from a border
community whose special-education programming was getting wiped out due to cuts
at the Department of Education. Sitting in the top row of bleachers inside the
event, a woman from Nogales whose company buys produce from Mexico spent five
minutes patiently explaining the process of importing fruit, and how the
impending tariffs will force distributors to shut down.
For seniors, Social Security was front of mind. When I talked to Lisa Melton
outside the arena in Tempe, she said she was now planning on tapping into the
program a year early and taking an annual $2,000 hit because she didn’t trust
what the Trump administration was going to do it. I don’t know if that’s a sound
strategy; I do know that she was terrified.
“I tried to sign up for Social Security about a month ago,” said Therese Wagner,
a bit further up the line. “I got in and then it got error messages and I
thought, Elon Musk is fucking with our Social Security already.”
Wagner eventually managed to apply, but rallygoers feared that things were only
going to get worse. A retired bus driver named Kevin James volunteered that he’d
recently got so upset after trying to talk to a human at the Social Security
Administration that he called the White House right after.
“I politely said, ‘I would like to express concern and displeasure,’” he said.
“Click.”
These people are as furious at Republicans right now as you might expect. Musk
would probably find a warmer reception on Mars. But what separates the energy of
the Sanders-led Fight Oligarchy Tour from the 2017-era Resistance is that a lot
of the anger is trained at their own party. Democratic voters’ approval of
congressional Democrats has fallen 35 points since last year, according to a
recent survey, and rallygoers at the two Arizona stops took aim what they
perceived as a toothless approach to the new administration.
> “We have to take matters into our own hands, because the people who should be
> fighting for us aren’t.”
As she waited in the stands in Tucson on Saturday morning, Samantha Schrieber
offered a characteristic response when I asked about what Democratic leaders
have been doing.
“They’ve been doing something? What have they been doing?,” she said. Then she
laughed. “They haven’t been doing shit.”
Attendees at the Arizona rallies were the focus group of Chuck Schumer’s
nightmares. They talked about “backbone” about as often as they talked about
“fascism.” The strategy seemed to be to “play dead and just wait for everyone to
vote for them,” one young voter complained. The Senate minority leader was
“bringing a pillow to a gunfight,” said a cannabis worker. Watching the party
fold over the budget was “incapacitating,” said a disabled veteran, who was
thinking of running for office now himself. A woman who had just protested
outside her Republican congressman’s office told me simply: “We have to take
matters into our own hands, because the people who should be fighting for us
aren’t.”
To a lot of the people I spoke with, too many Democrats were still searching for
comity in a political climate that had moved beyond it.
“Democrats kind of lean on, like, ‘They’re not all bad, we can all get along’
kind of thing,” said Adonis Gonzalez, who was selling “Deport Elon” and “Smash
the Oligarchy” buttons outside the hockey arena. “I feel like right now we don’t
necessarily need that message. I think we need a message of, ‘Hey, there are bad
people trying to do bad things and we should as good people come together and
stop them.’”
Sanders was once criticized for saying billionaires shouldn’t exist. But the
argument has caught on.Sam Van Pykeren/Mother Jones At Sanders’ rallies, Musk
was as big of a villain as President Donald Trump.Sam Van Pykeren/Mother Jones
The speakers on stage during the tour sought to channel this frustration into
immediate action and longer-term transformation. Sanders, who has said he went
on tour only after seeing the tepid response to Trump from the Democratic Party,
chose his rally locations strategically. They are all either in competitive but
Republican-held House districts, or close to them. In Michigan earlier this
month, he targeted second-term Rep. John James. In Colorado on Friday, it was
first-term Rep. Gabe Evans. In Arizona, Ocasio-Cortez promised that Democrats
would unseat veteran Republican David Schweikert, who held onto his suburban
Phoenix seat in November in one of the country’s closest races. The hope is that
with sustained public pressure on vulnerable Republicans, Democrats can convince
enough of them to block Trump’s objectives in a narrowly divided chamber.
> “Trump helped me immensely in educating the American people to what oligarchy
> is,” Sanders said.
Sanders is, in large part, still giving the speech about oligarchy he’s been
giving for the last decade. But the 83-year-old was a bit more soulful, as he
spoke with urgency about threats that are now not just theoretical but
existential. There were nods to both the nation’s founders, and its second
founding at the end of the Civil War—at various stops on the tour, he and the
crowd have recited a portion of the Gettysburg Address together. It’s like a tea
party rally for people who believe the 14th Amendment is real.
“From the bottom of my heart I am still convinced that they can be defeated,” he
said on stage in Tempe.
Part of the reason for that optimism was the presence of a handful of
considerably younger allies joining him on tour, including Texas Rep. Greg Casar
and Ocasio-Cortez, who told the crowd in Tempe, “We’re gonna throw these bums
out and fight for the nation we deserve” before she even introduced herself.
And “these bums” might not all be Republicans. The Bronx Democrat, who as
Sanders noted won her seat after primarying a member of the Democratic
leadership, drew huge applause when she told the crowd, “you all have shown that
if a US Senator isn’t fighting hard enough for you, you’re not afraid to replace
her with one who will”—a reference to both Republican Martha McSally and the
Democrat-turned-independent Kyrsten Sinema, who declined to run for re-election
in the face of plummeting Democratic support.
Musk and Trump—Vice President J.D. Vance was never mentioned—were trying “steal
our healthcare, social security, and veterans benefits in order to pay for their
tax cuts,” Ocasio-Cortez said. Pugilism was the name of the game. “We’re gonna
fight, fight, fight,” she said. Attendees deserved people “with the courage to
brawl for the working class.” In Tempe, she used the word “fight” 13 times.
“My queen!” someone at Arizona State shouted.
Ocasio-Cortez laughed. “Your representative,” she said.
Technically, the congresswoman from the Bronx isn’t that, either. (In fact, she
was full of praise for the four Democrats currently representing Arizona in
Washington.) But on stage, Ocasio-Cortez and her allies were holding themselves
up as, in effect, the true opposition—an alternative power center that will
stand up for working people when the people who promised to do so fade away.
“We’re gonna throw these bums out and fight for the nation we deserve.”
Sam Van Pykeren/Mother Jones
After their speeches in Tucson had wrapped up on Saturday, and the announced
crowd of 20,000 had begun to trickle out, Bernie and Casar chatted with
reporters for a few minutes in the high school gym where the rally was
originally slated to be held—before the surge in interest pushed it outdoors. It
had been a hectic three-state tour, and Sanders had spoken for half an hour
under a scorching high-desert sun. As he dropped into a folding chair, the
senator looked spent. But he let out a loud laugh when I asked if it felt like
people were more attuned to his message about “oligarchy” now, in Trump’s second
term.
“Trump helped me immensely in educating the American people to what oligarchy
is,” he said.
The inauguration crystallized things, he said. The three richest men in the
world, sitting alongside the richest cabinet in history, made for a powerful
symbol. “It doesn’t take Bernie Sanders to point out that you now have a
government of the billionaires by the billionaires and for the billionaires—I
think that’s clear and apparent to everyone.”
Now that people have come around to Sanders’ diagnosis of the problem, he hopes
they will accept that the prescriptions he and his allies are offering. Anyone
who has been listening to him for a while will recognize the applause lines—free
health care, free college, new organizing protections for unions. He’s recently
started using Musk’s obsession with artificial intelligence and automation at
DOGE to argue in his speeches that what’s happening to federal workers now will
come for your industry too—if it hasn’t already. But a major part of his pitch
is the need to overhaul the Democratic party. I asked Sanders what he thought
about the rumblings about a liberal tea party.
While he commended the party’s accomplishments on social issues and civil
rights, he reiterated a point he’s made in the past. “I think very few people
who understand politics can deny that by and large, for the last 30, 40 years,
the Democratic Party has turned its back on the working class of this country,
and that is the working class out there,” Sanders said, referring to the crowd
outside. “They want leadership like Greg and Alexandria to stand up, and they
want more people. They’re tired of Democratic hacks. They’re tired of
Republicans.”
“I mean, we are taking on everybody,” he continued. “Taking on the oligarchy,
taking on the Republican Party, taking on the Democratic leadership, taking on
the corporate media, taking on Wall Street. It ain’t easy and this change is not
gonna happen overnight.”
Casar, the chairman of the House Progressive Caucus, put the point a bit more
sharply, when I asked why it seemed like his colleagues had been caught flat
footed.
“The biggest divide right now within the Democratic party [is] between fighters
and folders, it’s not just between the sort of the typical left–right
constellation that you usually talk about in political media.”
Democrats who rolled over in this moment were “playing some sort of political
game,” he said, but “most people don’t think of their lives as a political game.
They think of their lives as their only life on earth, and they want somebody to
say, ‘we’re going to do everything we can to protect our democracy and keep your
life from getting worse.’”
“We either have to listen to our voters, channel that energy and turn this into
an organizing moment,” he said, “or, you know, face the consequences from our
voters.”
Sanders and his younger colleagues are hoping to channel this dissatisfaction
into a movement that can remake the Democratic Party and wrest power back from
the billionaire class. But a public uprising powered, to such a large extent, by
the anger and anxieties of mainstream Democrats could still end up in a much
different direction.
By the time we wrapped up in the gym in Tucson, the crowd had emptied out, and
only a few stragglers remained. Lois Bursuk, a school psychologist, and Linda
Laraia, a retired VA nurse, were cooling off under a tree by the main entrance.
They were fed up with what they were seeing in Washington, and had each taken
their own steps to resist Trump. Bursuk had recently joined hundreds of
protestors outside the nearby office of Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani.
“They just inspire me to keep going, because they’ve been on this platform now
for a decade, and I’m grateful that they’re there,” she said of Sanders and his
colleagues.
But Laraia, when asked, offered a far different choice for a Democratic champion
going forward.
“Okay, I’m gonna put in a plug for somebody I want to run for President,” she
said.
“Mark Cuban.”
Additional reporting by Nadia Hamdan and Sam Van Pykeren.
The budget resolution released Wednesday by the House Republican caucus contains
no concrete details, but it codifies a GOP strategy that should surprise
absolutely no one.
In parallel with the mayhem playing out in the Executive Branch, the House
lawmakers aim to gut agencies Donald Trump disfavors, boost spending for those
that align with his agenda, renew and extend the 2017 tax cuts that enriched
America’s most affluent—his latest proposals all told, by one estimate, would
raise taxes on all but the top 5 percent. They also pay lip service to the
deficit even as their proposals will increase it significantly, perhaps as a way
to build political consensus for cuts to programs like Social Security and
Medicare.
Specifically, the new resolution directs each House committee to submit
recommendations, by March 25, to either cut or increase federal spending under
its jurisdiction. The figures below cover the 10-year period from 2025 to 2034.
Cuts (“not less than…”)
Agriculture: $230 billion
Education and Workforce: $330 billion
Energy and Commerce: $880 billion
Financial Services: $1 billion
Natural Resources: $1 billion
Transportation and Infrastructure: $10 billion
Total cuts: $1.45 trillion
Increases (“not more than…”)
Armed Services: $100 billion
Homeland Security: $90 billion
Judiciary: $110 billion
Oversight and Government Reform: $50 billion
And the doozy: Ways and Means, the committee responsible for tax policy, “shall
submit changes in laws within its jurisdiction that increase the deficit by not
more than $4,500,000,000,000.”
That’s an invitation for a net $4.5 trillion in tax cuts.
Total increases: $4.85 trillion
If the total cuts from the group above don’t reach $2 trillion, the document
states, the difference will come out of Ways and Means’ $4.5 trillion allowance.
That would leave us with $3 trillion in deficit spending. But at least the rich
will get their tax breaks, right?
In the past, House Republicans have talked a good game on balanced budgets. This
would be anything but. Tellingly, their resolution makes a show of lamenting the
growing federal debt, which “poses a significant risk to the country’s long-term
fiscal sustainability, with implications for future generations.” The document
points to the mandatory spending that accounts for more than 70 percent of the
budget, noting that it has increased by 59 percent since 2019.
And yes, the growing debt is a problem, especially when interest rates are
higher, which makes servicing payments expensive, but there are ways to narrow
the deficit that the Republicans, along with Elon Musk and his DOGE bros, have
largely ignored.
Indeed, the gripes about mandatory federal spending, especially in this context,
sound like a pre-justification for cutting from the three biggest areas of
mandatory spending: Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Republicans have already targeted Medicaid, the national health insurance
program for the poor, by proposing work requirements—which evidence shows are
little more than a cruel tactic to purge people from the rolls. Going after
Social Security and Medicare would be messing with America’s seniors, who are
relatively wealthy and politically engaged, driving up their health care costs.
Historically, the latter two have been political third rails, “but with this
group, I kind of never know anymore,” says a Democratic aide who works with the
House Ways and Means Commitee. “They’re already talking about doing things on
Social Security and Medicare in a way that I never would have thought they would
be talking about, but it’s definitely in the ether.”
This story was originally published by the Guardian and is reproduced here as
part of the Climate Desk collaboration.
Donald Trump’s attempts to slash incentives for electric cars would cause sales
of the vehicles to plummet, with this effort cheered on by a seemingly
confounding supporter—Elon Musk, the billionaire chief executive of Tesla and
erstwhile champion for action on the climate crisis.
Trump has said that he “will revoke the electric vehicle mandate, saving our
auto industry and keeping my sacred pledge to our great American auto workers.”
The president, who previously suggested supporters of EVs “rot in hell” before
somewhat tempering his rhetoric, has already ditched an aspirational goal for
half of all car sales to be electric by the end of the decade, halted some
funding for EV chargers, and began reversing vehicle pollution standards that
prod auto companies to shift away from gasoline models.
A key tax credit for Americans buying an EV, worth up to $7,500, is also a major
target for elimination, although to overturn this Trump will require Republicans
in Congress. Should he succeed, though, the impact would be significant, with a
recent study finding that electric car sales could fall by 27 percent without
the incentive.
> “It just shows he’s an opportunist, really.”
“Turning off the credits would affect a meaningful share of the EV market,” said
Joseph Shapiro, a University of California, Berkeley, economist and co-author of
the study, who added that while a growing number of people would still go
electric, the total number of cars sold would shrink by more than 300,000 a year
than if the incentives stayed in place.
“You could say that it would be a speed bump in the road but if the US goes all
electric in 2090 rather than 2050, say, that matters a lot for the planet,” he
said. “A lot of carbon would be emitted in that time.”
Trump’s agenda has been enthusiastically backed by Musk, despite the world’s
richest person heading Tesla, the market-leading EV company that also relies
upon some parts made in China that may be targeted by tariffs imposed by Trump.
Musk has said, though, that removal of EV subsidies will hurt rivals such as
Ford and General Motors more than Tesla. “Take away the subsidies,” Musk wrote
on X, another of his companies, in July. “It will only help Tesla.”
There is some logic to this, Shapiro said. Tesla is comfortably the largest EV
brand in the US, accounting for nearly half of all sales, and makes more profit
per car than its rivals, meaning the removal of incentives would be
disproportionately felt by other manufacturers.
“If the tax credit is removed Tesla could survive and have less competition,
they have more headroom to withstand a decrease in the market size,” Shapiro
said. Stock in Tesla surged following Trump’s election win.
However, Tesla will still be affected. Weakening federal pollution rules, for
example, could see a reduction in the amount of carbon credits Tesla sells to
other car companies—amounting to $2.7 billion just last year—to offset their
emissions and avoid fines. Tesla’s sales dipped slightly for the first time in
2024, amid concern among some of its traditionally liberal customer base about
Musk’s rightward political turn.
“Tesla isn’t immune to sales being impacted, they have some brand loyalty
although we don’t know what the impact Elon Musk has had on polarizing consumers
yet, that’s still a bit of an unknown,” said Stephanie Valdez Streaty, director
of industry insights at Cox Automotive, which estimates EVs will have a 10
percent share of US car sales this year, up from 8 percent in 2024.
Regardless, Musk’s focus has now seemingly shifted away from EVs to other areas
such as robotics, artificial intelligence and his SpaceX venture, Valdez Streaty
said. He has also embraced rightwing fixations shared by Trump. In a speech
after the president was inaugurated, Musk made no mention of cars but said that
the “future of civilization is assured” with “safe cities, secure borders,
sensible spending, basic stuff.”
He added: “We’re going to take DOGE to Mars,” in reference to the “department of
government efficiency” he heads in an effort to curb spending. “Can you imagine
how awesome it will be to have American astronauts plant the flag on another
planet for the first time? Bam. Bam. Yeah. How inspiring would that be?”
Concern over the climate crisis is seemingly no longer one of Musk’s priorities,
despite previously saying he is “super pro-climate” and in 2016 calling for a
“popular uprising” against the fossil fuel industry because the world was
“unavoidably headed toward some level of harm and the sooner we can take action,
the less harm will result.”
> “This desire for eternal glory for doing great deeds has motivated his primary
> accomplishments…But it also has a dark side.”
When Trump removed the US from the Paris climate agreement in 2017, Musk said he
was quitting a presidential advisory body in protest. “Climate change is real,”
he tweeted at the time. “Leaving Paris is not good for America or the world.”
But Musk has had little to say after Trump, who memorably called climate change
“a giant hoax,” once again pulled the US from the Paris deal and issued a flurry
of orders to ramp up oil and gas drilling and stymie renewable energy
production. In January, Musk said: “Climate change risk is real, just much
slower than alarmists claim.”
Critics say it is unlikely Musk will reflect the growing alarm voiced by
scientists, and the American public, over the impacts of dangerous global
heating within the Trump administration.
“It just shows he’s an opportunist, really,” said Paul Bledsoe, who was a
climate adviser to Bill Clinton’s White House. “He now downplays the dangers of
climate change, but I think in the back of his mind he’s thinking about using
government contracts for geoengineering as the costs of climate change become so
undeniably expensive.”
Those who know Musk say that he soured on Democrats in part after not being
invited to a major summit on electric cars held by the White House in 2021,
after Joe Biden became president.
“That was an unforced error by Biden,” said Robert Zubrin, a leading advocate
for human exploration of Mars who said he helped introduce Musk to the idea of
Martian expansion. “And in the past two years, Elon Musk has redefined himself
from the white knight of environmentalists to a Bond villain.”
Zubrin said that Musk’s “central motivation is the desire for eternal glory for
doing great deeds. He wants to save civilization because he wants to be famous
for saving civilization. “This desire for eternal glory for doing great deeds
has motivated his primary accomplishments, Tesla and SpaceX,” he added. “But it
also has a dark side to it, and this has been exploited.”
Tesla was contacted about its stance towards the EV tax credits but did not
respond.
This story was originally published by Grist and is reproduced here as part of
the Climate Desk collaboration.
When the White House took down a critical environmental justice tool just three
days into President Trump’s administration, a team of data scientists and
academics sprang into action.
They had prepared for this exact moment, having created a list of 250 online
resources widely expected to be taken down during Trump’s second term. The
Climate & Economic Justice Screening Tool, a platform created to help federal
agencies, states, and community organizations identify neighborhoods heavily
burdened by pollution, topped the list. The team worked quickly to re-create the
tool using previously archived data and host it on a new website. Two days
later, the webpage was up and running.
In the two weeks since Trump’s inauguration, his administration moved swiftly to
scrub government websites of information it objects to. Federal agencies have
taken down critical environmental and public health datasets. The US Global
Change Research Program ended the National Nature Assessment, a sweeping review
of the nation’s flora and fauna and its benefits to humanity. Departments
throughout the executive branch have altered websites to eliminate any reference
to the inequities women, people of color, and other marginalized communities
face.
> “Policymakers and the public and communities need good information to make the
> best policy decision, whatever that is.”
Researchers and advocates whose work revolves around addressing these inequities
and mitigating the impacts of climate change told Grist they find these changes
troubling.
“One of the things that’s worrisome is when you start to take down resources
like this, you start to construct a knowledge sphere that doesn’t acknowledge
that environmental or climate injustices exist,” said Eric Nost, a geographer
and assistant professor at the University of Guelph. Nost, who studies the role
of data technology in environmental policymaking, is part of the Environmental
Data and Governance Initiative, one of several organizations tracking the Trump
administration’s changes to federal websites and resources.
Many of these changes are a direct response to executive orders the president
issued within hours of taking office to end “Radical and Wasteful Government DEI
Programs and Preferencing” and defend “Women From Gender Ideology Extremism.”
Many of them dovetail with his rescinding a Clinton-era executive order
requiring federal agencies to consider the impact of their policies on areas
with high poverty rates and large minority populations.
Trump also revoked Justice40, President Biden’s policy of ensuring so-called
“disadvantaged” communities receive 40 percent of the benefits of climate and
energy spending. Some of the resources dismantled in the past two weeks,
including the Climate & Economic Justice Screening Tool, were created to help
achieve these goals.
The Environmental Protection Agency deleted pages showcasing the work of African
American employees. It also removed an equity action plan, the “Diversity and
Inclusion” section on its careers page, and scrubbed “Environmental Justice” and
“Climate Change” from its homepage menu.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention took down data and resources
related to trans people, HIV, and environmental justice. The Department of
Energy eliminated online resources for anyone struggling with energy bills. The
webpage previously listed government assistance programs like the Low Income
Home Energy Assistance Program, which helps low-income households pay for
electricity. The agency also killed its own version of the environmental justice
screening tool.
Beyond making it harder for taxpayers to access information that could reduce
their bills and navigate some of the effects of climate change, these steps make
it harder to govern effectively. “Policymakers and the public and communities
need good information to make the best policy decision, whatever that is,” said
Carrie Jenks, the executive director of the Environmental & Energy Law Program
at Harvard University. “To the extent that any administration is not using data
or not giving access to data, that will always be of concern to us.”
The law program has been tracking the Trump administration’s rollback of
environmental rules and environmental justice policies since his first term. A
handful of other groups consisting of academics, archivists, students, and
environmental organizations are pursuing similar efforts and have launched an
initiative called the Public Environmental Data Project. The Environmental Data
and Governance Initiative is part of the effort, as is the Internet Archive, a
nonprofit that has since 1996 been archiving webpages, and End of Term, a group
that has since 2008 archived federal websites at the end of each presidential
administration.
> “I almost see a resurgence in pride in this work and willingness to get it
> done.”
Other environmental groups are archiving taxpayer-funded datasets at a smaller
scale. For instance, the Urban Ocean Lab, a think tank that helps coastal
communities design climate and ocean policy, began collating research and data
on climate change in a dedicated section of its website last summer. The group
started a “Resource Hub” to help cities easily identify the best available
climate science. When Trump won the election in November, it realized that
dozens of datasets and research hosted on government websites could disappear
and began archiving additional policy papers and data. Those resources were
especially relevant because the lab found many cities use outdated information
to make planning decisions.
“We remember what had happened during the last Trump administration, where a
huge amount of relevant environmental information was taken down or altered, and
we wanted to make sure that the resources that we had posted to our own website
would continue to live on,” said Alex Miller, an analyst there.
What’s happening now is in many ways a repetition of the efforts the Trump
administration made during his first term, when as much as 20 percent of the
EPA’s website became inaccessible to the public. The use of the term “climate
change” decreased by more than a third. The first Trump administration
also tried to derail work on the National Climate Assessment, an important
synthesis of the state of climate science that shapes federal policy.
This time around, Trump officials are attempting to more tightly control how the
assessment is compiled and want to lower the scientific standards it
employs, according to reporting by E&E News. While the document is likely to be
published in some form within two years, the administration did axe another
environmental review.
Last year, the Biden administration announced the National Nature Assessment, a
comprehensive literature review of the state of nature in the United States. It
was modeled after the climate assessment and enlisted dozens of researchers to
calculate all the ways nature is valuable. Last week, the administration told
researchers who had spent nearly a year working on the report that it was
shutting down the effort.
Alessandro Rigolon, an architect and planner who teaches at the University of
Utah and studies the benefits of green spaces, was working with other
researchers to outline the effects of nature on physical and mental well-being.
Rigolon said he was informed about the administration’s decision just a few days
after a meeting in Vermont with those colleagues.
Because those working on the report were volunteers, Rigolon said they trying to
find a way to continue their work. “We are committed to writing this one way or
another,” said Rigolon. “I almost see a resurgence in pride in this work and
willingness to get it done after the work was terminated without explanation.”
On a call with investors earlier this week, Palantir Technologies CEO Alex
Karp—fresh off a week of stock surges—was euphoric. “We’re doin’ it!” he yelled,
arms spread wide. “And I’m sure you’re enjoying this as much as I am!”
The “it” in question? It seemed to be a reference to enabling President Donald
Trump’s administration to carry out mass deportation and police surveillance
domestically, while aiding the “West” globally—actions that, “on occasion,” Karp
said on the call, may involve the need to “kill.”
“I’m very happy to have you along for the journey,” the CEO said. “We are
crushing it. We are dedicating our company to the service of the West and the
United States of America, and we’re super-proud of the role we play, especially
in places we can’t talk about.”
“Palantir is here to disrupt,” he continued. “And, when it’s necessary, to scare
our enemies and, on occasion, kill them.” (Palantir did not respond to a request
for comment.)
Google Finance
This type of rhetoric isn’t new for Karp. In 2020, he made headlines doing the
same thing: announcing that Palantir was used “on occasion to kill people.”
Founded in 2003 by Karp and Trump donor Peter Thiel, Palantir supplies data
analysis software—called “spy tech” by its critics—to governments and companies.
That software has reportedly been used to help generate “kill lists” for the
Israeli Defense Forces, target immigrant families for deportation from the
United States, and enable rogue employees to spy on co-workers.
Karp made Palantir’s relationship to violence more forcefully evident in his
latest letter to shareholders, released Monday. In the document, he quotes
political scientist Samuel P. Huntington, who famously wrote that Hispanics
cannot assimilate into American society. “The rise of the West was not made
possible ‘by the superiority of its ideas or values or religion,’” Karp says in
the letter, “‘but rather by its superiority in applying organized violence.’”
Karp is not the only one cashing in on Trump’s plans for territorial expansion
and mass deportation. Stocks for the GEO Group and CoreCivic, two of the
nation’s biggest private prison firms, jumped after Trump was elected and again
after he was sworn in. While the Federal Bureau of Prisons has lessened its
reliance on private prison companies in recent years, US Immigration and Customs
Enforcement has recently extended contracts with both companies.
A GEO Group spokesperson said in an email that the company is investing $70
million to increase “housing, transportation, and monitoring capabilities” in
anticipation of the new administration’s “immigration law enforcement
priorities.”
“This is, to us, an unprecedented opportunity to assist the federal government
and the incoming Trump administration towards achieving a much more aggressive
immigration policy,” GEO Group founder George Zoley said on a November earnings
call.
CoreCivic told Mother Jones that the company “does not enforce immigration laws,
arrest anyone who may be in violation of immigration laws, or have any say
whatsoever in an individual’s deportation or release.”
Since initial bumps in stock prices, as Axios reported, there has been some
fluctuation—in part because Trump has talked up outsourcing incarceration. The
president has discussed plans to use Guantanamo Bay and jails in El Salvador to
house deportees, including American citizens.
Google Finance Google Finance
Elon Musk’s DOGE also may be creating enrichment opportunities for those who
make money from helping the US deport immigrants. Karp said Musk’s
slash-and-burn effort to reshape the federal government would be “very good” for
his company, which generates about two-thirds of its US revenue from government
contracts, according to the Financial Times.
“I think DOGE is going to bring meritocracy and transparency to government, and
that’s exactly what our commercial business is,” said Palantir CTO Shyam
Sankar.
“There’s a revolution. Some people get their heads cut off,” Karp said. “We’re
expecting to see really unexpected things, and to win.”