Few have felt the whiplash of President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again
tariffs with China more than American farmers. The US is the world’s largest
exporter of agricultural products, from corn to soybeans, wheat, and cotton. And
the largest importer of America’s farm products? China. The two countries have
engaged in a back-and-forth series of escalating levies since Trump imposed
tariffs on the country in April. Those tariffs were then deemed illegal the
following month by a US trade court, and the administration is currently
appealing that decision.
One of the many farmers caught in limbo is Bryant Kagay, who raises cattle and
grows soybeans, corn, and wheat. Kagay says he voted for Trump last year even
though Trump promised that as president, he would place tariffs on the very
products Kagay sells to China. But now, Kagay questions whether the president
has a long-term trade strategy and is increasingly concerned about what the
market will look like come harvest time this fall.
“I like to think that my corn is really good, but as far as the markets are
concerned, my corn doesn’t really look any different than anybody else’s,” Kagay
says. When a farmer from a country with low or no tariffs can sell corn cheaper
than Kagay’s on the global market, he adds, that farmer will win out.
As the US and China continue negotiating, Kagay talks with host Al Letson about
how tariffs from Trump’s first term affected his farm, why he voted for Trump in
2024 knowing tariffs could jeopardize his business, and why farmers are often
hesitant to take government subsidies—yet often accept them anyway.
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This interview was edited for length and clarity.
Al Letson: So tell me about your farm. From what I understand, you weren’t
living in this area, you weren’t living in Missouri for a while, and then you
and your family came back.
Bryant Kagay: Yeah, well, I’m the fourth generation on our family farm. I guess
my great-grandfather, he started a very small operation and then my grandfather
has grown it, really, mostly in the 60s and 70s and 80s. But yeah, following
college, I had a corporate job, lived in several different states, but in 2018
my wife and I decided to come back and work into the farm, more in a
management-type role, management trainee, if you will, type role. And I’ve
continued to take more responsibility since coming back.
How many employees do you have on the farm?
Yeah, so it’s myself, my dad, my 87-year-old grandfather is still involved as
much as he can be. And then we have two full-time employees and currently one
part-time employee. So we’re a fairly small operation as far as manpower goes.
What do you produce?
So our main products, corn, soybeans, wheat, and then we also have a cattle
operation. Many will refer to it as a cow-calf, so we have cows, produce calves
from them, but then we also have, often referred to as a beef feedlot or a
finishing operation that we feed cattle to get them right up to the point of
them going to the meat processor for them to become the finished product.
So you’re running a family business that depends on international trade. We’ve
been following President Trump’s trade war with China. What would really steep
tariffs mean for your farm?
I think that what they mean for our farm is, it’s not that different from what
they would mean to everybody. We live in a very global economy, a global market.
So many of the products that we purchase, both on the farm and within our
households and within any business you run, often come from overseas. Those
trade networks and industries have been set up, many of them have been in place
for decades. Chinese manufacturing, we’ve been making things in China for years
and years, and they’ve gotten pretty good at it. They’ve got pretty good systems
to get them shipped here. I think steep tariffs will, at least for the
foreseeable future, will mostly raise the prices that everyday Americans and
farmers spend on the things that they buy. So I think that’s how it affects all
Americans.
Now, how does it affect me differently? Well, many of the products I sell that
get shipped into overseas markets or international markets, now they are looking
to buy that commodity from somewhere else. And what I’m selling is a commodity.
I like to think that my corn is really good, but as far as the markets are
concerned, my corn doesn’t really look any different than anybody else’s. So if
mine is now 20% higher or 120% higher, whatever these tariffs are, I’ll buy it
somewhere else, because it’s the same stuff.
Are you scared that if these tariffs continue that it will basically put you out
of business? If China can buy soybeans from Central America at a much cheaper
price than what they would buy them from you, how is that going to affect your
farm in the long term, especially if these tariffs stay up?
For our farm, personally, we try to manage things very financially conservative.
So do I feel that a trade war would put us out of business? No, probably not,
because if a trade war puts us out of business, it’s going to put a whole lot of
other people out of business first, and there are business owners that have
probably taken on more risk. And at the end of the day though, if there are,
let’s just put it in simple terms, a hundred units of soybeans produced globally
and China uses 50 of them, whether they get 50 from the United States or 50 from
everywhere else, all the soybeans are probably going to go somewhere and get
used. It’s that friction that gets added in the system for tariffs that, well,
now instead of sending multiple large container ships to China with soybeans,
I’ve got to send a hundred smaller container ships to multiple other countries
to make that same sale. So you lose that economic efficiency the more hurdles
you put in this trade deal.
So what do you think of Trump’s reasons for imposing these tariffs?
Well, it depends what day you get. So someday, one day, it may be, “I’m going to
impose these tariffs because I want to bring American manufacturing back.” And
you think, “Well, I could get behind parts of that in some industries.” But for
that to happen, we’ve got to have consistent tariffs for a long time because I’m
not going to come build a factory tomorrow, it’s going to take years. There’s
whole supply chains that have to be built up around it, and if I’m an investor
or a business owner, I don’t want to build a factory when tomorrow he may say,
“Well, tariffs are off. We worked out a deal.” On one side, this long-term play
that, “I want to get manufacturing and jobs back to the United States.” Which
yeah, I think, I don’t know too many of us that would argue with that, but
there’s a lot of hurdles to doing that and that’s a long-term play.
And then the other side is, “Well, I’m just using it as a bargaining chip. I’m
going to get him to the table and get better deals.” And he’s maybe done some of
that. I don’t know. I’m not a hundred percent confident that he has a really
clear vision for exactly how this plays out. I think, I don’t know, it’s been so
uncertain whether, are these short-term, we’re going to try to get short-term
deals, or is this a long-term strategic, we’re going to rebuild American
manufacturing? And I don’t know where it is because it changes every week.
And when we talk about, is it a long-term goal, I’ve done a lot of reporting on
manufacturing in the past, and the thing that keeps coming to me is that it may
be a long-term goal that is really unrealistic in the sense that I can’t imagine
Americans going to work in manufacturing plants where the pay is not going to be
the type of pay that… The reason why all the manufacturing is in different parts
of the world is because their economies are different and people will go in
there and work for a couple dollars an hour, whereas, here in America, people
would need government aid to survive off of working in a factory if we were
paying the same amount to workers that they do in China. So it doesn’t feel like
a realistic goal to me, it feels like manufacturing at that scale is in our past
and not really in our future.
Yeah, I completely agree. I just think, yeah, if you want to talk automobile
manufacturing or some of those higher level, more advanced type manufacturing.
Yeah, and maybe there’s a national defense reason we need more computer chip
manufacturing in the country, but if you think we’re going to have a Nike
sneaker factory in the country, come on. These other countries have been doing
this for decades. They’re good at it. They’ve got systems set up, they’ve got
the people to work there. I don’t know any of my neighbors who want to go sit at
a sewing machine and make t-shirts all day. That’s not what this country’s going
to do. It’s probably not realistic.
Yeah. So all that being said, in 2024 you voted for Trump knowing that this may
be what he would do. How did you come to the decision to vote for him?
That is a very good question, and it was something that I struggled with, to be
a hundred percent honest, I was not thrilled with either candidate. I’m a little
bit embarrassed that on the global stage, these are the best two candidates that
we could come up with out of this great country. I was very uncomfortable with
the Harris campaign on some social issues, some other things. I was very
uncomfortable with the Trump campaign on a lot of, I guess, his personal
character issues that I am very uncomfortable with. I don’t think it represents
our country very well, what we stand for very well. Ultimately, because you look
at what a president can do, I felt like his policies long-term were probably
more in line with what I wanted, but this was not something that I was really
sold on either way. So I did know that these trade wars were possibly coming. I
also felt that his business experience, I guess I felt, much like he says, some
of the time that he would use these type of things as a bargaining token, but at
the end of the day, I do feel he’s got a decent business acumen and would
recognize that, yeah, we’re not going to bring a bunch of manufacturing back to
this country. Maybe we should use our power on the global stage to get some
better trade deals. I was hopeful that amidst all the rhetoric and all the talk
that he would use them maybe more wisely than I feel he has to this point.
Let me run down some numbers for you here to… Because I want to focus up that
you said that he’s got a good business acumen. In 1991, his casino, the Taj
Mahal, bankrupt. In 1992, Trump Plaza Hotel, bankrupt. Castle Hotel Casino, ’92,
bankrupt. Trump Hotels, Casino and Resorts in 2004, bankrupt. Trump
Entertainment Resorts in 2009, bankrupt. I could go on, there’s more. I would
say that the way we have talked about Trump, both in the media… Because I
believe that the reality show that he was on where he’s got that great saying,
“You’re fired.” It’s myth building. It makes this idea that he is a really great
business man, but the truth of the matter is that when you look into his
business deals, I mean he had a college that the government had to sanction and
shut down because it was ultimately deemed, and I may be putting it in
colloquial terms, but it was ultimately deemed a scam. So I mean, how do you
feel about that when you think about it, looking at it from this vantage point?
Yeah, maybe I should have rephrased my previous statement as he has given us
this idea that he has a lot of business acumen. I’ve always questioned whether
he really does or not, because I see those things that you’ve mentioned.
Apparently he’s been pretty good at running failed businesses and enriching
himself, which that is what pointed to a lot of the character issue that I had
voting for him to begin with. I mean, that’s one of the character issues. I
still think it’s no secret. I live in a very red area and the people I talk to,
I think there’s still some that they still are very confident that he has this
really good plan that this is all going to work out for the better. And I guess
I don’t necessarily… I don’t have that much confidence. I think he’s doing a lot
of running his mouth without much of a plan, and maybe it’ll end up okay in the
end if he throws his power around enough. But I’m a little more skeptical.
So Bryant, your farm has been in your family for a very long time. How have you
seen farming change over the years?
There have been a lot of changes in agriculture over the long term. When I think
about my great-grandfather, he would’ve started with some horse-drawn equipment,
likely moved into tractors pretty quickly thereafter, but nothing on the scale
of what we use today. There’s a lot of technology that we use to try to make
sure every product we use gets put in the right place at the right time, and we
are just better at conserving land and water resources as well.
I’ve done a lot of reporting with farmers in the past, and the one thing that I
think our listeners may not understand or know, is really like the economics of
farming. So I’m just curious if you can break down for my listeners, what’s your
income like and how do you get that income? Do you get a big check from
delivering cows to market? How does all that work?
I think from the outside people see, we deliver a lot of high value products,
whether it’s right now cattle are at record highs. The checks we receive from
selling cattle are very high. The checks we receive from selling grain can be
very big. To the average American, that’s a lot of money. The issue is that we
have so many expenses tied to producing that crop that really very little of it
is profit. As far as the money, when I had a corporate job, I had a paycheck
every two weeks. I had so much money that went into my bank account and that was
very reliable and consistent. With this, it’s a lot more inconsistent and you
find the business can pay for a lot of our living expenses. So my out-of-pocket
expenses are less, but I don’t take just regular paychecks. Mostly what we do is
we take our profits and invest those back into the business through land and
equipment that it’s like this business has it’s built in 401(K) that you’re
investing in assets all the time and eventually you hope to get a pretty big
asset base, but you don’t do it through collecting a lot of cash in your bank
account. It goes elsewhere.
When it comes to competition, it seems to me that you are dealing with different
factors than your dad had, than your grandfather, than your grandfather had. And
I’m thinking of specifically with the rise of big agriculture and these big
company farms that I would imagine make it hard to compete because of the
resources that they have.
Yeah, I think what’s often referred to as corporate farms probably get a lot of
bad press. I think there can be some confusion in just because you’re a really
large farming operation doesn’t mean it’s not still family owned and operated,
but it may not still have that same family feel that I feel our operation does.
As you get bigger, you do have to put some corporate structure, mid-level
managers, a lot more process and procedure in place. We have seen over the past
10 years, especially some of the very biggest producers have continued to grow,
and I think the economics have worked out for them to do that. And they’ve
really built systems and as equipment gets bigger, they’re just able to cover a
lot more acres. I think for our operation, we decided that our way to improve
and build for the future was not necessarily to try to achieve scale at all
costs, but to try to focus more on a more diverse operation and also just to
produce, let’s say, higher quality over quantity, let’s put it that way.
Yeah. So take me back to 2018 when President Trump imposed tariffs on China.
This is right around the time when you are starting to come back to the farm.
How’d that affect you and your family?
Yeah, so that was an interesting year. We had a pretty severe drought that first
summer I came back and then trade war with China on top of that. So it was a
pretty rough year that first year, but I guess I was still getting my feet under
me. So maybe I didn’t fully grasp, I just thought that was normal, but that
first trade war, it did severely affect the price of soybeans, primarily because
China is such a huge buyer of US soybeans. We produce a lot of soybeans, and
when your largest customer, the harder you make that to do trade with them, that
directly affects our bottom line. And then on top of that, they come through
with these direct payments from the government that I think are a touchy subject
amongst farmers. I’m not going to tell you we turned ours away. You feel like
it’s a competitive market. You can’t reject it on principle, but at the same
time, I don’t think any of us feel like that’s how we want markets to operate.
We try to be self-sufficient and run our business in a way that can be
profitable and let me do that. I don’t need the government to come in and write
me a check to make sure I stay in business.
Yeah, that’s what I was going to ask you is why do you think it’s a touchy
subject?
Well, I think if you ask many people, in the parts of the country I live, about
welfare programs, SNAP, they might look at those with a negative light. This
idea that, “Hey, I work really hard to support myself. I don’t need the federal
government coming in and doing that for me.” And then all of a sudden I’m a
farmer and I’m taking this check from the government because government-induced
tariffs reduce the value of my product. At the same time, I don’t know any
farmer who turned theirs away who said, “Well, I don’t believe in it, so I’m not
going to accept it.” We all took it, but I ultimately think it’s really those
programs aren’t administered very well on who actually needs them the worst. And
also if you give all a certain number of farmers in the same area, a whole bunch
of money, it’s no different than the COVID payments that drove a lot of
inflation. You can’t just hand out a bunch of money and not have other effects
in the economy. And I think we saw that as well through that.
So there’s a lot of debate about whether those payments actually helped or hurt,
and I’ll let economists argue over that. The thing that stands out for me when I
think about those payments is that when Trump did it, the left complained. And
when Biden did it, the right complained. To me, what it tells me is that America
has turned politics into sports. Maybe neither party is functioning or serving
Americans particularly well, but because of team loyalty, people just go with it
and sometimes they vote not for their interests, but for the team that they
represent, their home team, the thing that they feel strongly about.
Yeah, I think there’s a lot of reasons that our political system has drifted
this way. I live in a congressional, like a house district that there’s
virtually zero chance that it would ever flip to blue. So I think our incumbent,
as long as he continues to say and do right-leaning things, he’s never going to
be challenged. And he’s never going to be held to account for how much he
actually accomplishes because, “Hey, he’s on my team, so I’m not going to go
against something that my team wants.” But it’s something that American politics
really has to figure out. I think we continue to go through these cycles where
really nothing really happens. And I just think with this many smart people, we
have to be able to come together and come up with solutions that maybe the edges
of both sides are not thrilled with, but ultimately move our country forward.
And I don’t know what it’s going to take to get there, but I too am very
frustrated with this polarized, “I pick my team. The other team can do nothing
right and my team can do nothing wrong.” Because we just know that’s just not
how it works, and it’s just not true. I’m not confident enough in my own
abilities, knowledge, biases, to think that I have all the solutions to make all
this better. I know we need both sides to be able to come together, but our
political system, our primaries, there’s so many reasons why that doesn’t
happen. And I don’t know what it’s going to take to break, but you just see
these presidential elections that are so evenly split, so much urban rules, so
much class-based voting, and it’s not good for our country, and we do need some
leaders who can really bridge that and try to bring people together for a
greater good.
You just gave a great campaign speech. I’m just saying. You are looking for an
answer and I think you might be it. I’m just saying. Bryant Kagay, thank you so
much for talking to me, and thank you for being open, man. You just have a good
conversation. I am going to be thinking about this conversation for days to
come. I really appreciate it.
Thank you. I enjoy it. I try to be open and honest and I appreciate those kind
words. I try to be a reasonable voice amidst all the polarization, so thank you.
Tag - 2024 Elections
In the 1932 presidential election, Franklin Delano Roosevelt wiped the floor
with his Republican rival, Herbert Hoover. He won the Electoral College 472-59,
and bested the incumbent with 57 percent of the popular vote. It was a decisive
rout at a time of crises—a devastating depression, soaring inequality, rising
fascism in Europe—and FDR embraced it, launching his New Deal. “We do not
distrust the future of essential democracy,” he declared in his inaugural
address. “The people of the United States have not failed. In their need they
have registered a mandate that they want direct, vigorous action.”
President Donald Trump, who is doing his best to undo what remains of FDR’s
legacy, made similar claims in January—and in his address to Congress on
Tuesday—of his own, narrow, victory, itself a response to crises ranging from
real (inflation, war) to entirely fabricated (an immigrant crime wave, the Big
Steal). “My recent election,” Trump remarked during his inaugural address, “is a
mandate to completely and totally reverse a horrible betrayal and all of these
many betrayals that have taken place and to give the people back their faith,
their wealth, their democracy, and, indeed, their freedom.”
He was hardly the only one invoking the m-word. “Trump is back with a big
agenda, a mandate—and an axe to grind,” noted a Politico headline.
Management and Budget officials justified their freeze on federal grants and
loans based on “the will of the American people,” who had given Trump a “mandate
to increase the impact of every federal taxpayer dollar.” Elon Musk, who has
glommed onto Trump like a ravenous limpet, told White House reporters that “you
couldn’t ask for a stronger mandate” to eviscerate the administrative state:
“The people voted for major government reform, and that’s what people are going
to get.”
Did they really? In his speech on Tuesday, Trump claimed—absurdly—that the
November election “was a mandate like has not been seen in many decades.” In
fact, Trump won less than half of the popular vote—which, given the turnout,
amounts to less than one-third of registered voters. His margin of victory was
the tightest since 2000, the fourth tightest since 1940. Subsequent polling
showed solid majorities opposing his tariff plans, birthright citizenship ban,
withdrawal from the Paris climate deal, January 6 pardons, and the renaming of
the Gulf of Mexico. (People hated that.) Even Trump’s own supporters deemed it
unacceptable for him to impose loyalty tests on federal workers (58 percent) or
to pardon friends or supporters convicted of crimes (57 percent). And this
polling came before Trump unleashed Musk and his post-pubescent underlings on
federal agencies like a swarm of diseased locusts.
“In the US, usually claiming a mandate is done when a victory has been
particularly large,” Terry Royed, a political scientist at the University of
Alabama and co-editor of the 2019 book, Party Mandates and Democracy, told me
via email. “Trump’s popular vote margin was not large.” And when you consider
his Electoral College margin and House and Senate swings, “Trump didn’t do
super-well there, either,” he added.
> FDR claimed mandates, too. But unlike Trump, he was reelected by a wide margin
> and his policies were very popular.
Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Richard Nixon in 1972. Ronald Reagan in 1984. Those were
big, decisive victories. But mandates? Marquette University political scientist
Julia Azari, who scrutinized more than 1,500 presidential communications for her
2014 book, Delivering the People’s Message: The Changing Politics of the
Presidential Mandate, questions the entire premise. Take 1964, she says: “Some
people were voting affirmatively for LBJ’s agenda, but what really fractured the
Republican coalition and led to that landslide was the fear of [Barry] Goldwater
and the unpopularity of the things he was saying. And even there, there’s a lot
to choose from.”
Azari views mandates as merely a “construction”—an idea that has been used by
monarchs, dictators, and (small d) democrats alike to justify their power since
at least as far back as imperial China, when dynastic kings asserted a “mandate
of Heaven”—a divine right to rule.
The Western notion of a mandat—as a command or judicial order—came about amid
16th century upheaval in Europe, as Reformation figures began challenging the
hegemony of the Catholic Church. Before then, “authority and inequality were
linked; men of wealth and noble birth were also in charge of exercising the
functions of government. The vast bulk of the population was politically
irrelevant,” the late German-American sociologist Reinhard Bendix—who was
expelled from secondary school in 1933 for refusing to give the Nazi
salute—wrote in his 1978 book, Kings or People. “After 1500, the rigid bond
between authority and inequality loosened.”
The first American president to use the mandate concept as a power flex, Azari
says, was Andrew Jackson, a Trump favorite. Elected in 1832, Jackson set out to
destroy the nation’s fledgling central bank, she wrote, “rationalizing his
actions by claiming the president enjoys a special popular endorsement.” Eighty
years later came President Woodrow Wilson, whose racist segregation of the
federal workforce is echoed in Trump’s DEI purges—and who, in 1908, wrote of a
victorious presidential contender, “Let him once win the admiration and
confidence of the country, and no other single force can withstand him, no
combination of forces will easily overpower him.”
Presidents of both parties, including Bill Clinton and Joe Biden, have since
touted their electoral results to advance their agendas. But Trump and his
minions have taken the claim to outlandish extremes, as if winning an election
can empower a president to defy democratic norms, federal law, and the
Constitution itself. As if the people had elected a king. (Trump has even hinted
of his own mandate from Heaven, declaring, of his fortuitous turn away from the
assassin’s bullet, “I was saved by God to make America great again.”)
Mandates are typically invoked, Azari has observed, when a president is on the
defensive or when he seeks to vastly expand his powers. Both apply to
Trump—whose approval ratings in reputable polls have never exceeded 49
percent—but also, interestingly, to FDR, who, frustrated by a conservative
Supreme Court striking down some of his New Deal policies, declared his 1936
re-election results a mandate “to save the Constitution from the Court and the
Court from itself.” The following year, he backed a bill, which failed, that
would have let him add six new justices to the court. (Trump’s toadies are
calling for the impeachment of judges who rule against his executive actions.)
Some within Trump’s brain trust are openly supportive of his authoritarian
ambitions, viewing the dismantling of government as a counterrevolution against
an antidemocratic bureaucracy. “We are living under FDR’s personal monarchy 80
years later—without FDR,” the billionaire tech investor Marc Andreessen said on
a podcast in December.
Andreessen was paraphrasing his “good friend” Curtis Yarvin, a self-styled
political philosopher of the tech right who has lamented America’s
“kinglessness.” Now, he added, “you need another FDR-like figure but in
reverse…somebody who is actually willing to come in and take the thing by the
throat.”
But voters, for the most part, did not sign on to wipe out FDR’s
accomplishments. Indeed, unlike Trump, FDR was reelected by a lot. He won 60
percent of the vote, and took every state except Maine and Vermont. Mandates may
not be real, Azari emphasizes, but margins matter. “There was a lot of popular
support for the New Deal,” she told me. “There’s not necessarily a lot of
popular support for undercutting the New Deal, undercutting [Johnson’s] Great
Society, and doing so in a way that has no procedural legitimacy.”
Will of the people? Hardly. Trump eked out a comeback win and kept himself out
of prison—no more, no less.
The American people have spoken. Donald Trump is the 47th president of the
United States.
At noon Monday, Trump himself spoke, swearing—not especially credibly—that he
would “preserve, protect and defend the Constitution.”
A lot of other Americans spoke to get us here, too. More than four years ago, at
the very same Capitol where Trump was just sworn in, his supporters spoke. “Hang
Mike Pence,” they said.
Just three weeks later, Kevin McCarthy, the top House Republican, spoke,
journeying to Mar-a-Lago to talk directly to the disgraced former president and
to pose obsequiously for the cameras.
Sen. Mitch McConnell spoke after Trump’s second impeachment trial, declaring
that Trump’s actions had been a “disgraceful dereliction of duty.” But the
Senate minority leader kept speaking. He insisted that the Senate no longer had
any power to convict Trump or to bar him from once again seeking office.
Forty-two of McConnell’s Republican colleagues spoke in agreement, voting to
acquit Trump and to allow his political career to continue.
Trump, of course, never stopped speaking, and he soon announced another run for
president.
Then, in quick succession, the prosecutors all spoke. Merrick Garland announced
he was appointing Jack Smith, who produced two speaking indictments against the
former president. Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg spoke, charging Trump
with 34 felonies that may, or may not, have actually been felonies. “This office
upholds our solemn responsibility to ensure everyone stands equal before the
law,” Bragg declared. In Georgia, Fulton County DA Fani Willis spoke, charging
Trump and his cronies in a 98-page RICO indictment.
The Colorado Supreme Court spoke, declaring Trump ineligible to run for
president. The US Supreme Court spoke, and—unanimously—said the Colorado court
was wrong. So then Republican primary voters spoke, choosing Trump as their
nominee.
New York judges and juries spoke—declaring Trump liable of sexual abuse,
defamation, and fraud, and convicting him in Bragg’s criminal hush-money
case—but voters seemed not to be listening. In Georgia, a judge spoke, blasting
that state’s prosecutors’ “tremendous lapse in judgment” and “odor of mendacity”
in a ruling that would ultimately derail Trump’s trial there. SCOTUS spoke once
again, awarding Trump broad immunity and sending Smith back to the drawing
board. In Florida, Judge Aileen Cannon spoke, announcing that Smith’s
appointment was, somehow, invalid from the very beginning.
In the meantime, another special counsel, Rob Hur, had spoken, explaining that
he wasn’t going to charge Joe Biden with crimes because, in part, Biden seemed
to be “a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.” Biden’s
supporters very much did not want to listen to that—at least until Biden himself
spoke at a debate and removed all doubt.
Kamala Harris spoke, and briefly restored joy. But she’d spoken before, telling
voters that “Bidenomics is working.” Voters disagreed, and they disagreed even
more when Harris said there was “not a thing that comes to mind” that she would
have done differently than Biden.
Even as Biden seemed to slowly disappear, he, too, kept speaking—at times in
ways that were nearly impossible to comprehend. “We gotta lock him up,” Biden
said about Trump. “Politically lock him up. Lock him out.” Days later, Biden
called some number of Trump’s supporters “garbage.” Then Biden’s staff spoke
about apostrophes, while Trump rode around in a garbage truck.
On Election Day, the voters finally spoke, and a plurality said that Trump
should return to the White House. Most notably, the people of Pennsylvania,
Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona all spoke, supporting the
former president whom they’d rejected four years earlier.
Smith spoke again, conceding that his cases against Trump were officially over.
In New York, Bragg—along with Judge Juan Merchan—pushed on, but there was little
left for them to say. With SCOTUS’s blessing, Trump’s hush-money sentencing went
forward. Sort of. Merchan granted the incoming president an “unconditional
discharge,” allowing him to return to the White House with no criminal
punishment whatsoever.
Which brings us back to Inauguration Day.
“The scales of justice will be rebalanced,” Trump said to applause, shortly
after taking the oath. “The vicious, violent, and unfair weaponization of the
Justice Department and our government will end.”
We’ll soon discover whether he was speaking truthfully.
When the longtime state representative serving her district in north-central New
Mexico retired in early 2020, science educator Anita Gonzales wondered who would
replace him. Then she asked herself, “Why not me?”
Although she’d occasionally visited the state Capitol in Santa Fe to lobby for
issues that mattered to STEM students and teachers, Gonzales didn’t feel as
though she had the background for politics, especially as the working mother of
a then-8-year-old son. But the Democratic caucus in the legislature was
changing—recruiting more women and people from the working class. “I could see a
possibility of me serving,” Gonzales recalls, “because there were people who
looked like me.”
That first race was a heartbreaker. Gonzales didn’t know the logistics of
running a campaign—how to find a campaign manager or increase her name
recognition—and lost her primary to a local rancher by a mere 62 votes.
But she didn’t give up. This past November, in her third race to represent her
hometown district of Las Vegas, New Mexico, she won a two-year House of
Representatives term. “Seeing my name on a ballot with Kamala Harris—it was
definitely a moment for me,” Gonzales says. “It was a very overwhelming feeling
to be part of a movement historically.”
In a mostly bleak election for American women and their rights, New Mexico was
an unexpected bright spot. Even as Harris lost her historic bid for the White
House, voters in the state elected 60 women to fill the legislature’s 112 seats,
giving New Mexico the largest female legislative majority in US history. With
the addition of 11 seats, women now make up nearly two-thirds of the state House
of Representatives and just over a third of the Senate. Three out of four
Democrats elected to the House on November 5 were women.
The strong showing was more than just a balm for Democrats’ shattered spirits;
it could have very real consequences for reproductive rights far beyond the
state’s borders. In recent years, New Mexico has become a progressive
stronghold, particularly for abortion and gender-affirming health care in the
Southwest since the US Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. That role as a
reproductive haven is likely to be even more important as Donald Trump assumes
the presidency for a second time.
> The strong showing was more than just a balm for Democrats’ shattered spirits;
> it could have very real consequences for reproductive rights far beyond the
> state’s borders.
Female legislators already have made enormous gains by putting progressive ideas
into policy in the state. Since 2018, when New Mexico first elected a female
majority to the House, legislators have implemented near-universal free child
care, paid sick leave, free school meals, and medical aid in dying. They also
codified the Affordable Care Act’s protections for people with pre-existing
conditions into state law so those protections will stand if the act is gutted
at the federal level—as Trump allies have vowed to do—offered a child tax
credit, raised teacher salaries 20 percent, and repealed the state’s pre-Roe
abortion ban.
In the legislative session that begins Tuesday, lawmakers are expected to take
up paid family medical leave, increased funding for early childhood education,
and Medicaid reimbursements for birth centers and behavioral health care—as well
as deflecting whatever attacks the new Trump administration throws at
them. “There’s a chance for me to help protect my girls from legislators and
from laws that want to control their bodies,” says Sarah Silva, a longtime
community organizer and first-time candidate who was elected to represent the
Las Cruces area in the House. “There’s an opportunity for me to protect
immigrant families here on the border. There’s an opportunity for me to make
sure that families have every opportunity to get their needs met.”
More than that, the decadelong effort to transform New Mexico’s legislature—and
the impact that transformation has had on the state’s political priorities—
holds important lessons for national Democrats demoralized by the 2024 results.
“What you pay attention to grows,” Silva says, “and the [New Mexico] Democratic
Party paid attention to investing in and developing women, and women of color,
to lead. And now, here are the fruits of that.”
The remaking of the New Mexico Legislature began with a sobering defeat. Almost
exactly 10 years before voters rejected Harris—on November 4, 2014—the
Democratic Party lost control of New Mexico’s House for the first time in 60
years. In an election that saw Republicans take control of a record two-thirds
of state legislative bodies nationwide, New Mexico’s GOP picked up five seats to
secure a 37–33 majority in the House. (The state Senate, where no members were
up for reelection, remained under Democratic control). Republican Susana
Martinez was also reelected as governor after one of the most negative ad
campaigns of the election cycle.
In the aftermath of that debacle, Democrats elected a new leader to represent
the party in the House, Rep. Brian Egolf of Santa Fe, a father of two daughters
who had successfully sponsored legislation to prohibit sex-based wage
discrimination. In the days after the election, he started looking for a chief
of staff. “I asked all of the people that I trusted most in politics,” he
recalls, and one name kept coming up: Reena Szczepanski, the executive director
of a training program for Democratic women interested in running for office,
Emerge New Mexico. “She was my first hire,” he says.
A former drug policy advocate with two small children of her own,
Szczepanski—like her new boss—believed that the key to Democrats retaking the
House was to recruit candidates who reflected the experiences of the people they
represented—and understood their real-world struggles. “You didn’t see a lot of
working parents” in the legislature, Szczepanski recalls. “You didn’t see a lot
of folks that worked regular 9-to-5 jobs.” In the preceding years, the
proportion of women serving in the House had hovered around a third; in the
Senate, it was even lower. The best way to rebuild Democrats’ majority, she and
Egolf figured, was to “do it with women and people of color at the forefront.”
Not long after assuming his new role, Egolf invited leaders from New Mexico’s
progressive nonprofits and labor unions, as well as campaign managers and
consultants, to his office. “I asked them to, for the first time in the history
of our state, cooperate on candidate recruitment,” he recalls. That meant unions
supporting a nonprofit’s candidate in one district and nonprofits lending their
support to the unions in another.
> “You didn’t see a lot of working parents” in the legislature. “You didn’t see
> a lot of folks that worked regular 9-to-5 jobs.”
Then, he and Szczepanski embarked on “a really intentional effort to find
candidates in all [the state’s] competitive districts,” Szczepanski says. “And
one of the reasons that that was a successful effort was because of Emerge.”
Emerge New Mexico is part of a national training program for Democratic female
candidates that got its start in San Francisco in the early 2000s and Harris’
first run for office. Running for district attorney against a male incumbent
backed by the city’s powerful Democratic machine, Harris relied on a network of
accomplished and well-connected friends who were passionate, and practical,
about helping women get elected. After she won, those same supporters took the
lessons of her campaign and designed an intensive program aimed at giving
women—particularly women of color—the nitty-gritty political skills, resources,
and networks to run successful campaigns.
Emerge soon expanded into Arizona, then Nevada and New Mexico, and eventually
into 27 states. Interest exploded in 2016 after Hillary Clinton’s run for
president—and perhaps even more so after her defeat. “We had women who woke up
the next day and said, Okay, if not Hillary, then who? It has to be me, I have
to be the one stepping up,” says Emerge’s current president, A’shanti F. Gholar.
“And we got inundated with women who were wanting to make change.”
Today, Emerge is credited with helping to create female legislative majorities
in Arizona and Nevada as well as New Mexico and to narrow the gender gap in
Maine, Oregon, and California. In November, the organization had a 68 percent
nationwide win rate among its “New American Majority” candidates: women who are
racially diverse, young, unmarried, and/or queer. “These are people who look
like America,” Gholar says, “and keeping that in mind when they’re doing their
work is why they’re so successful, because women’s issues are communities’
issues.”
Szczepanski went through the Emerge New Mexico program in 2008 and became its
executive director a couple of years later. When she began searching for
candidates in competitive districts, she drew in part from her list of Emerge
alumnae: a retired teacher, a single mom and Air Force veteran, a physical
therapist raising a child with autism, a community organizer and daughter of
immigrants, young people, parents, and grandparents.
Those recruiting efforts quickly paid off. In 2016, two years after losing
control to the GOP, Democrats retook the New Mexico House by a 38–32 majority,
with female candidates accounting for six new seats (including five who had been
trained by Emerge). In 2018, a majority of Democrats elected to the state’s
House were women; two years later, women won an outright majority in the
chamber. Most of them went through the Emerge program; in this year’s
legislative session, three-fourths of the Democratic women serving in New
Mexico’s House—a quarter of all lawmakers—are Emerge graduates. These include
newcomer Gonzales and Szczepanski herself, who won Egolf’s seat when he retired
in 2022 and was recently chosen to serve as House majority leader.
The state Senate, too, has seen more women elected each year—in 2024, twice as
many as in 2014—though change in that chamber has been slower. Emerge has
contributed to impressive gains for women in statewide and federal offices as
well, including ex-US Rep. Deb Haaland, the first Native American to serve as a
Cabinet secretary, and state Supreme Court Chief Justice C. Shannon Bacon.
The number of women elected by New Mexico Republicans, however, has remained
stagnant—though for the first time, a woman, Rep. Gail Armstrong, will serve as
the party’s House leader. That disparity compared with Democratic women reflects
national trends, says Kelly Dittmar, director of research at Rutgers
University’s Center for American Women and Politics. She notes that while female
candidates are approaching parity with men in the Democratic Party nationwide,
they make up a far smaller proportion of GOP candidates—in part because of an
aversion to targeted training programs like Emerge. “Republicans just don’t have
the same infrastructure built to both recruit and then support women
specifically,” Dittmar says.
Anita Gonzales with her now-13-year-old sonDoug Cavanaugh
In New Mexico, female lawmakers quickly proved that they were more than
performative symbols of diversity. As their numbers grew, “you started to see
the legislative process change dramatically,” Egolf says, as well as shifts in
the broader legislative culture, with lawmakers cracking down on issues like
sexual harassment. Democrats began chalking up victories on issues that had long
defied progress—for example, moving the state from 49th in the nation in child
poverty in 2018 to 17th by 2024. And when it became clear that Roe v. Wade would
be overturned, lawmakers took decisive action, repealing the state’s pre-Roe
abortion ban and then passing a shield law to protect physicians from
investigations by other states. Another sweeping statute—co-sponsored by
Szczepanski during her first term in the House—prevents New Mexico cities and
counties from enacting abortion bans.
Protecting reproductive and gender rights is an even more urgent priority as
Republicans take over the White House and Congress. But the GOP’s inroads among
Hispanics, especially men, in the November election has put Democrats on alert:
They also need to prioritize broader issues affecting working-class voters. In
the historically Hispanic land-grant communities of northern New Mexico, House
Speaker Javier Martínez says, the margins of victory for Democrats were the
narrowest he’s ever seen. “We have to keep our commitment and our focus on
ensuring that we are delivering for people in ways that are meaningful,”
Martínez says.
> As the number of women grew, “you started to see the legislative process
> change dramatically,” as well as shifts in the broader legislative culture,
> with lawmakers cracking down on issues like sexual harassment.
Democrats note one major barrier still discouraging women and other diverse
candidates from serving in the statehouse: New Mexico remains the only
unsalaried legislature in the nation. Lawmakers are reimbursed only for their
mileage and expenses during the legislative session (though this year, for the
first time, they will have paid district aides).
When she decided to run for office, Anita Gonzales had to come to terms with the
fact that she might not ever be paid for the work—a difficult reality to face as
a working mother. “If I don’t get to possibly benefit from future changes
[around salary], hopefully, someone else will,” she says. In the meantime, “I
think it’s important to have a legislature that reflects our state, and that
includes the working class.”
Among the issues Gonzales is eager to tackle on behalf of women and
working-class families more broadly: expanding the health care workforce in her
rural corner of the state, improving public infrastructure, and increasing
access to firefighters in a region that suffered the largest wildfire in state
history.
“I really thought this was the time we would have our first female president,”
Gonzales says. But even with Harris’ loss, she adds, she feels inspired by the
fights—and, she hopes, victories—ahead. “I’m excited at the opportunity to bring
meaningful change.”
Jack Smith‘s final report on Donald’s Trump’s attempt to steal the 2020 election
doesn’t contain much new information, but what timing it has.
Released around 1 a.m. Tuesday—less than a week before Trump’s inauguration—the
document takes aim at Trump’s and his lawyers’ contention that the end of
Smith’s prosecution amounts to the “complete exoneration” of the
president-elect.
“That is false,” Smith writes in a letter included with report, pointing out
that the cases against Trump were dismissed not because he was acquitted, but
simply because he won an election.
Smith makes it as clear as he can that the sole reason he dropped the January 6
case—along with the separate case regarding Trump’s attempts to hang on to
classified documents he removed from the White House—was a Justice Department
policy that bars prosecuting a sitting president.
“The Department’s view that the Constitution prohibits the continued indictment
and prosecution of a President is categorical and does not turn on the gravity
of the crimes charged, the strength of the Government’s proof, or the merits of
the prosecution,” the special counsel, who resigned last week, wrote in the
concluding lines of the report. “Indeed, but for Mr. Trump’s election and
imminent return to the Presidency, the Office assessed that the admissible
evidence was sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction at trial.”
It’s normal for federal prosecutors to determine they can convict people they
charge; they rarely bring cases they expect to lose. But this is the first time
that prosecutors have asserted, just days before inauguration, that they would
have been able to convict the incoming president of felonies.
Trump clearly hopes that his return to power marks the end of January 6 as a
blight on his record. He even seems to view his reelection as validating his
lies about his 2020 defeat. Smith’s report reads like an attempt to ensure that
Trump, despite avoiding criminal conviction in the matter, will never be free of
responsibility for causing a violent attack on Congress in an attempt to
illegally retain power.
Even in a footnote explaining why he decided not to charge Trump with violating
an anti-riot law or conspiring to impeded or injure an officer of the United
States, Smith states: “The Office also had strong evidence that the violence
that occurred on January 6 was foreseeable to Mr. Trump, that he caused it, and
that he and his co-conspirators leveraged it to carry out their conspiracies.”
The report also suggests that Smith was eyeing criminal charges against some of
the six co-conspirators mentioned, but not named, in Smith’s August 2023
indictment of Trump. “The Office’s investigation uncovered evidence that some
individuals shared criminal culpability with Mr. Trump,” the document says. It
also notes that the investigation found one of the conspirators “may have
committed” unrelated crimes, which it referred to a US attorney’s office.
While not named by Smith, the alleged co-conspirators are identifiable. They
include Rudy Giuliani, Mr. Trump’s former personal lawyer; Jeffrey Clark, a
former Justice Department official; and former Trump lawyers John Eastman,
Kenneth Chesebro, and Sidney Powell. Media reports have also identified Trump
adviser Boris Epshteyn as another uncharged co-conspirator. All have denied
wrongdoing in the case.
It’s not clear which of these individuals Smith considered charging or which he
believes may have committed unrelated crimes. Smith wrote that his report
“should not be read to allege that any particular person other than Mr. Trump
committed a crime, nor should it be read to exonerate any particular person.”
Trump responded to the report in series of posts early Tuesday morning that
called the findings “fake” and attacked Smith. “Jack is a lamebrain prosecutor
who was unable to get his case tried before the Election, which I won in a
landslide,” Trump wrote in one of his early morning posts. “THE VOTERS HAVE
SPOKEN!!!”
It’s possible to argue that it’s unfair for Smith to insist he would have
convicted Trump at trial, when he was unable to actually get either case before
a jury. That complaint would be stronger if Trump had not worked so openly and
aggressively to delay his trials until he could avoid them entirely by winning
the election.
Still, Smith’s report, in asserting Trump’s guilt, highlights the epic failure
by the federal justice system to resolve the issue of Trump’s criminal
responsibility for subverting the 2020 election before the next one was held.
Critics can fault Attorney General Merrick Garland’s slow start on a high-level
January 6 investigation, the partisan Supreme Court’s wish to create a
presidential immunity doctrine that served Trump’s interests, or the ease with
which rich defendants can slow cases. In any event, the system failed. The
result is a tragedy for American politics.
Samuel Anthony turns his phone camera around to show me the view from his family
home in Sierra Leone. He steps out to a veranda overlooking a carpet of lush
green trees dotted with houses that merge with the ocean in the distance.
“This is how the majority of people live in Sierra Leone,” Anthony tells me,
pointing nearby to “pan body” single structures made of zinc. “In America, we
call them camper homes.”
The landscape, we both agree, is breathtaking. “But that doesn’t help you
financially,” he says.
> When his mother passed away in 2021, Samuel Anthony couldn’t be there for the
> funeral.
Anthony may have been born in West Africa, but the United States is what he
knows. Now 52, he left Sierra Leone in 1978 at the age of six with his older
sister to join their parents who had crossed the Atlantic looking for better
education. He grew up in Washington, DC, in the 1980s, around the city’s
then–red light district of 14th street—a world away from where he finds himself
more than four decades later.
In 2019, during the first Trump administration, Anthony was one of almost
360,000 immigrants deported that year. He had a decades-old drug conviction.
Five years later, the president-elect is set to return to the White House vowing
to supercharge mass deportation by the millions.
“When people have killed and murdered,” Trump told NBC News of his mass
deportation plans, “when drug lords have destroyed countries, and now they’re
going to go back to those countries because they’re not staying here.”
Trump touts his deportation agenda as necessary to root out violent criminals.
But chances are those targeted by the Trump administration will be people like
Anthony, long-time residents who have some type of criminal record and baggage
from an imperfect American life. (In fact, recent US Immigration and Customs
Enforcement (ICE) data shows the most common offenses committed by immigrants on
the agency’s radar are traffic-related.)
“I didn’t come to America in hopes of becoming a drug dealer and being a bad
person,” he says. “Just life, elements of things, not understanding myself put
me in a negative spiral. My life spiraled out of control and I was never able to
get back on the right track.”
Days before Trump’s inauguration, Anthony fears he might not have a chance to
come back. “I never wanted to be here,” Anthony says. “I never looked like this
would be my final resting spot in my life.”
Anthony’s childhood years as a new immigrant in Washington, DC, weren’t easy. In
his mind, he was American. The world told him otherwise. “It wasn’t a period of
what we call Kumbaya,” Anthony says, “everybody holding hands and singing a
song. It was a very hostile era in America, just like we’re going through now
with immigration.”
He remembers being bullied in school and struggling to fit in or make friends.
“I wanted to be a part of American society,” he recalls. He felt at home and yet
denied acceptance. “All I know is these American cities,” he says. “All I know
is Washington, DC.”
When Anthony was about seven years old, he was sexually abused by a doctor. It
wasn’t until later in life that he realized how what happened had affected him.
“I have a difficult time trusting people,” he told me.
At the height of the drug era in the US capital, Anthony got involved with
drugs. He started carrying weight-loss pills for other people and later began to
sell crack cocaine and use PCP. His addiction led him to drop out of college.
> “I’ve just been falling and falling inside the pit and never seem to get the
> right footing.”
Anthony had a couple of run-ins with the police. In 1991, after intervening in a
fight, he was badly beaten and taken to the hospital, where the police searched
him and found drugs. Five years later, Anthony was arrested and pleaded guilty
to drug offenses. He was sentenced to almost 20 years. At the 15-year mark,
after Congress passed the Fair Sentencing Act to address racial disparities, he
was released early.
Upon his release, US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) picked Anthony up
and transferred him to a detention center. He didn’t know his drug conviction
would impact his immigration status, but he lost the green card he had gotten in
1989, and was put in deportation proceedings.
Because the US government couldn’t obtain his travel documents from Sierra
Leone, they couldn’t deport him. Instead, ICE determined Anthony wasn’t a threat
or a flight risk and released him in 2012 under an order of supervision that
required him to report to the agency regularly.
Anthony started rebuilding his life. He obtained a commercial driver’s license
and began working for a trucking company while also driving for Uber and Lyft.
He bought a house and reconnected with family, including his daughter Samantha
whose childhood he had missed while in prison. He also started a mentoring
program to help formerly incarcerated people.
After Trump took office, in 2017, Anthony’s order of supervision became
stricter. He was made to wear an ankle bracelet and had more regular check-ins
with immigration. One day in July 2019, Anthony went in for what he thought was
just another routine ICE appointment. But instead of letting him go, Anthony
says the agents put him in a conference room, threw him on a table, and arrested
him. He was blindsided.
Sarah Gilman, co-founder of the Rapid Defense Network, a legal nonprofit focused
on detention and deportation defense that has joined forces with the Robert F.
Kennedy Human Rights organization, unsuccessfully tried to halt Anthony’s
deportation in the courts, arguing it was illegal among other reasons because he
had a pending case for a U visa—a special protection for undocumented victims of
crimes who cooperate with law enforcement. (The Trump administration dropped a
guidance encouraging ICE to not deport U visa applicants.)
“Historically, people like Samuel who have criminal convictions,” Gilman says,
“even though they serve their time and they’ve [been] quote-unquote
rehabilitated…they are often unusually subject to double punishment.” She adds:
“What happened during Trump 1.0 was that everybody became a bad immigrant.”
ICE kept Anthony detained until December 2019. Then, they put him on a plane to
Morocco and from there to Sierra Leone. He landed in the middle of the night and
all he could see was darkness. Anthony remembers wishing he could walk into the
ocean and never come back out.
“That’s what’s been happening for the last 22 years of my life,” he says. “I’ve
just been falling and falling inside the pit and never seem to get the right
footing.”
In Sierra Leone, Anthony has struggled with depression and health problems,
including bouts of malaria, stomach issues, and weight loss. His status as a
deportee who doesn’t speak the local dialect makes finding a job hard and leaves
him prey to extortion. When his mother passed away in 2021, he couldn’t be there
for the funeral.
“It was heart-wrenching for my mother,” Anthony’s older sister Samilia says “to
the point that I think it contributed to her depression and ultimate passing.”
She hopes her brother’s story can make people reconsider how they view the
immigration system. “It’s just not right,” Samilia says, “even if you have
committed a crime, you’ve paid your dues. If America didn’t want those people,
then maybe they should just send them home directly instead of having them be
incarcerated for 15 years and then after that send them to nothing.”
Anthony’s lawyers have requested that ICE joins in a motion to re-open his
deportation case and dismiss it so that he can have his legal permanent resident
status restored. In an October letter in support of Anthony’s petition addressed
to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and
the acting director of ICE, former Attorney General Eric Holder wrote he should
not have to “be held hostage to the federal government’s unpredictable shifts in
immigration policy.”
Anthony is also applying for humanitarian parole to try and return to the United
States while the Biden administration is still in office, but time is against
him.
“If Samuel does not come home before Trump comes into power,” Gilman says, “he
will never come home over the next four years. And I don’t know if Samuel will
survive in Sierra Leone.”
Anthony has no idea how to start over almost 4,500 miles away from the only
place he has ever called home. “Here, I don’t feel [a] sense of peace,” he says.
“I feel chaos. I see confusion. I see pain. I see myself broken. It’s not easy.”
Four years to the day that Donald Trump incited a violent attack on the US
Capitol in an attempt to overthrow the 2020 election results, Congress certified
his Electoral College victory as the 47th president of the United States.
As required of her role presiding over the Senate, Vice President Kamala Harris
oversaw the ceremony, which marked her own defeat. In doing so—and in a process
rife with irony—Harris was addressed as “Madam President,” referring to her role
as president of the Senate, as the electoral results of each state were
announced. The final tally: 312 to 226.
In a video posted to X Monday morning, Harris drew an implicit contrast to
Trump’s approach to his election loss: “This duty is a sacred obligation—one I
will uphold guided by love of country, loyalty to our Constitution, and
unwavering faith in the American people.”
Some Republicans appeared less high-minded, instead peddling revisionist history
and suggestions that the label of “insurrection” to describe Jan. 6 was
overblown. In an especially absurd example, Rep. Mike Collins (R-Ga.) falsely
claimed in a post on X that the insurrectionists were made up of “thousands of
peaceful grandmothers” who took “a self-guided, albeit unauthorized, tour of the
U.S. Capitol building.” Adding to the misinformation was Rep. Marjorie Taylor
Greene (R-Ga.,) who told a reporter: “January 6th was not an insurrection. I’m
completely sick and tired and fed up of the Democrats’ narrative, the media
narrative, and it’s a total lie.”
As my colleague Mark Follman has chronicled, January 6, 2021, was indeed a
heavily armed insurrection that saw 140 police officers injured, the deaths of
four participants, and five police officers who had been at the Capitol. More
than 1,200 people have been charged for their actions on Jan. 6, according to
the Department of Justice—and Trump has promised to pardon them.
Democrats on Monday went to great lengths to emphasize that they were doing what
Trump and his allies did not: accepting an election loss and facilitating a
peaceful transition of power. They also reminded Americans of what actually
happened on Jan. 6.
“Today, Congress will do its constitutional duty once again to certify the
election results—a great contrast from Republicans who sought to deny the
election 4 years ago,” Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) wrote on X Monday morning.
Several Democratic members of Congress also shared photos of their destroyed
offices and damage sustained to the Capitol four years ago. “The horrific videos
and images from the January 6th insurrection against our Capitol reaffirm as
much as ever: The power of the people must always matter more than the people in
power,” Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.) wrote, alongside photos of broken glass
and overturned furniture.
> 4 years ago.
>
> The horrific videos and images from the January 6th insurrection against our
> Capitol reaffirm as much as ever: The power of the people must always matter
> more than the people in power. pic.twitter.com/awY7Md49NI
>
> — Tammy Duckworth (@SenDuckworth) January 6, 2025
Rep. Richard Neal (D-Mass.) shared a photo of what he said was Capitol Police
barricading his office doors and windows “to protect my staff and I from the
violent mob that was just outside my window.”
In an op-ed published in the Washington Post on Sunday, President Biden warned
of the importance of preserving the facts of the “assault” of January 6 for the
history books: “An unrelenting effort has been underway to rewrite—even
erase—the history of that day. To tell us we didn’t see what we all saw with our
own eyes. To dismiss concerns about it as some kind of partisan obsession. To
explain it away as a protest that just got out of hand. This is not what
happened…We cannot allow the truth to be lost.”
Biden also called for “remembering Jan. 6, 2021, every year. To remember it as a
day when our democracy was put to the test and prevailed. To remember that
democracy—even in America—is never guaranteed.”
Of course, such warnings to remember what happened on January 6 were absent from
Trump’s communications. Early Monday morning, he wrote on Truth Social:
“CONGRESS CERTIFIES OUR GREAT ELECTION VICTORY TODAY — A BIG MOMENT IN HISTORY.
MAGA!”
The next ranking member of the House Oversight Committee will reportedly be
nine-term Democrat Gerry Connolly of Virginia.
Connolly, 74, beat out his competitor, 35-year-old Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(D-N.Y.), 131-84 at a closed-door meeting on Tuesday, the Associated Press
reports. The current Oversight ranking member, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), is
vacating the post to replace Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) as ranking member of the
House Judiciary Committee, as my colleague Pema Levy reported last month. The
Oversight Committee—which is now controlled by Republicans and chaired by Rep.
James Comer (R-Ky.)—played a key role in holding President-elect Donald Trump
and members of his administration accountable during his first term.
The news comes as Democrats have been grappling with how to move forward in the
face of their losses of both the White House and the Senate last month, and
their failure to recapture the House. While some pundits, and Democrats
themselves, have called for a generational change in leadership—and some younger
Democrats have indeed managed to oust their elders from committee leadership
roles—that did not seem to have been enough of a concern to propel AOC to
victory here. Lawmakers told Axios that while Connolly—who revealed last month
he was recently diagnosed with esophagus cancer—campaigned on his experience,
AOC emphasized her far-reaching platform and her role as an effective
communicator for the party.
“Tried my best,” AOC wrote in a post on Bluesky after the vote. “Sorry I
couldn’t pull it through everyone—we live to fight another day.”
“I think my colleagues were measuring their votes by who’s got experience, who
is seasoned, who can be trusted, who’s capable and who’s got a record of
productivity and I think that prevailed,” Connolly reportedly told journalists
after the vote.
Rep. Becca Balint (D-Vt.) told Axios she was “disappointed” by the outcome,
adding, “I know Gerry will do a great job. But there’s no substitute for having
someone in that position that literally has millions of Americans following her
[on social media].” (AOC has 12.8 million followers on X and 8.1 million on
Instagram; Connolly has just over 87,000 followers on both platforms combined.)
“I think that the seniority issue in this building gets in the way,” Balint
added. “Our people back home, they don’t care about seniority.”
After being released from prison in October, Steve Bannon seemingly did
everything in his power to get Donald Trump back in the White House. Now he
appears interested in helping the president-elect remain in the Oval Office—even
beyond what is constitutionally allowed.
At an event hosted by the New York Young Republican Club on Sunday, Bannon
reportedly floated the idea of a third Trump term, which if attempted, would be
in direct violation of the 22nd Amendment of the Constitution. But to Bannon,
that seems to be a mere technicality to overcome.
“I don’t know, maybe we do it again in ’28. Are you guys down for that?” Bannon
asked the crowd which cheered in response. “Trump ’28!”
According to Bannon, GOP lawyer and Trump defender Mike Davis had told him that
because the Constitution “doesn’t actually say ‘consecutive,'” Trump may be able
to run for a third term.
> BREAKING: Steve Bannon calls for Trump 2028 pic.twitter.com/bcPHFsNobu
>
> — RSBN (@RSBNetwork) December 16, 2024
It may be tempting to dismiss such remarks as Bannon being Bannon. But Trump
himself has also pointed to the possibility of staying in power beyond another
four years. At a July event hosted by the conservative political nonprofit
Turning Point Action, Trump told the Christian audience that if he won
reelection, “you won’t have to vote anymore,” as my colleague Arianna Coghill
covered at the time. A few days later, he declined to walk back or clarify those
comments, even doubling down on them in an interview with Fox News.
Bannon also has a record of accurately characterizing Trump’s moves. As I
reported last month, just after Trump’s reelection, Bannon on his War Room
podcast promoted a social media post from right-wing podcast host Matt Walsh
that said, “Now that the election is over I think we can finally say that yeah
actually Project 2025 is the agenda. Lol.” After reading the post on air, Bannon
chuckled, saying, “Fabulous. We might have to put that everywhere.” Trump would
eventually confirm as much. In an interview with Time Magazine published just
last week, Trump told the magazine, “I don’t disagree with everything in Project
2025, but I disagree with some things.”
Spokespeople for the Trump campaign did not immediately respond to questions on
Monday afternoon about whether Bannon speaks for Trump or whether the
president-elect will commit to vacating office at the end of his next term in
accordance with the Constitution.
Davis, the lawyer Bannon claimed proposed the idea that a third Trump term was
possible, tried to dismiss the comments as a joke. “Steve Bannon is obviously
trolling,” he wrote in a post on X on Monday. “Only Obama gets a third term,
with his puppet Biden.”