Two new polls released Wednesday show that most voters do not want the U.S. to
take military action against Iran and think President Donald Trump is
overstepping abroad.
A Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters found that 70 percent oppose
U.S. military involvement in Iran, even if protesters there are killed while
demonstrating against the Iranian government, compared to 18 percent who support
military action.
Opposition was mostly along party lines, with 79 percent of Democrats and 80
percent of independents opposing military involvement. Republicans were more
supportive, with a majority — 53 percent — saying the U.S. should not get
involved.
The poll also found that 70 percent of voters think the president should receive
congressional approval first before taking military action. Trump did not
receive congressional approval prior to capturing Maduro, prompting criticism
from both Democrat and Republican lawmakers.
Five GOP senators, Rand Paul of Kentucky, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Susan
Collins of Maine, Todd Young of Indiana and Josh Hawley of Missouri, joined
Democratic lawmakers to advance legislation forcing Trump to obtain Congress’
approval before taking any further military steps in Venezuela.
Trump scolded the senators in a post on Truth Social, saying Republicans should
be “ashamed” of them and they should “never be elected to office again” as the
vote “greatly hampers American Self Defense and National Security.”
Voters were less supportive of other aggressive foreign policy moves by the
Trump administration to expand U.S. influence abroad. Trump argued that the push
for U.S. control over Greenland was for national security purposes and to
benefit NATO.
Regardless, 86 percent opposed using military force to take over Greenland, and
55 percent opposed buying it.
The results mirror growing resistance among voters against U.S. involvement in
foreign conflicts amid a slew of executive efforts. A separate poll from the
Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that a growing
number of Americans want the U.S. to take a “less active role” in global
affairs.
Following the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia
Flores, the poll revealed that 56 percent of Americans think Trump has “gone too
far” in using military power abroad, and 45 percent say they want the country to
be less involved in solving global problems — up from 33 percent in September
2025.
Despite broad skepticism of foreign military action, many Americans still seem
optimistic about the effects of U.S. intervention in Venezuela. About half of
adults think Maduro’s capture and military action in Venezuela will be “mostly a
good thing” for halting the flow of illegal drugs into the U.S., and 44 percent
believe it will benefit the people of Venezuela more than harm them.
The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted from Jan. 8 to Jan. 12, 2025, by
phone and surveyed 1,133 self-identified registered voters. The AP-NORC poll was
conducted from Jan. 8 to Jan. 11, 2025, and surveyed 1,097 by web and 106 by
phone.
Tag - public affairs
LONDON — Donald Trump has triggered turmoil at the BBC at exactly the time its
upstart right-wing rival is feeling bullish.
Trump’s defamation lawsuit against Britain’s public service broadcaster —
finally filed late Monday after weeks of build-up — continues a drama that has
already cost the BBC two of its most senior leaders.
But even if the legal action over a controversial edit of Trump’s Jan. 6, 2021,
speech before the Capitol riot fails in extracting the U.S. president’s $10
billion demand from the BBC, it’s offering a boost to a newcomer Trump’s MAGA
movement sees as ideologically aligned: GB News.
The outlet, which boasts Trump ally Nigel Farage among its hosts, has defied a
shaky start by building a loyal audience, snagging big political interviews, and
branching out to include a Washington bureau which now broadcasts a nightly
show.
The channel pitches itself as a break from the liberal consensus — and Trump’s
fresh attack on the BBC’s reputation offers GB News another chance to flaunt its
wares.
“In the past, the BBC retained relevance through a moral authority derived from
a sense of total objectivity,” said James Frayne, a former British government
adviser who gave evidence on trust in broadcasters to the House of Lords
Communications and Digital Committee in 2024.
“That authority just doesn’t exist anymore. This row with Trump is just another
nail in the BBC’s coffin and it ensures that the likes of GB News are now viewed
as channels of perfectly equivalent legitimacy.”
ON THE MARCH
GB News launched in June 2021 to great fanfare — and plenty of skepticism. There
were doubts it would survive after a rocky start beset by technical problems and
the departure of star presenter Andrew Neil, a highly-respected veteran of BBC
broadcasting who lasted just eight shows before quitting.
Almost five years on, and the channel is making steady viewership inroads in
some key slots. It boasted a ratings success against its rivals on budget day,
one of the big political moments of the year, and has a growing online audience.
Politicians are taking note. Center-left Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer is
routinely interviewed by Political Editor Christopher Hope, a veteran
Westminster lobby journalist who traveled with the PM for a migration-focused
trip to Albania in May.
Starmer’s ministers usually speak to GB News during a morning broadcast
round, and GB News’ relationship with Trump’s team has also stepped up rapidly
since the channel launched a shoestring U.S. operation in the summer.
Host Bev Turner landed a place in the press pool for the U.S. president’s trip
to his Scottish golf course at Turnberry over the summer, and charmed him with
questions critical of the U.K. government. “Who are you with?” Trump asked.
“Because you’re asking such nice questions.”
Trump’s defamation lawsuit against Britain’s public service broadcaster —
finally filed late Monday after weeks of build-up — continues a drama that has
already cost the BBC two of its most senior leaders. | Andy Rain/EPA
Four months later she was granted an interview with Trump.
Hope says the channel has aspirations to grow further, and argues that it has
a strong sense of its audience. “We know who they are, and how we can serve
them,” he says. “I think these are people who feel overlooked by the political
main parties. They feel let down. They feel Brexit was something they voted
for, hasn’t been done properly, and these are all people I think, were Trump a
U.K. politician, he’d be appealing to them.”
And that’s helped GB News grow quickly in tandem with popular support for
Farage’s Reform Party.
Former GB News producer Liam Deacon, who is now consultant at London public
affairs firm Pagefield, said: “Trump taking GB News seriously has been useful in
that it’s made them feel like a prestigious brand. But they also thrive as an
underdog, so it’s not critical.”
STIRRING THE POT
Criticism of the BBC is nothing new, but the broadcaster has been under pressure
in recent months over more than just its Trump edit, with its coverage of the
war in Gaza coming under particular criticism. That’s allowed GB News to
position itself as a fresh alternative, even though television viewers in the UK
have other options, including Sky News, and radio stations such as LBC.
“It’s hard to appreciate what a phenomenon GB News is if your life is mostly
London-based,” said Frayne. “It’s becoming the channel of choice for
working-class England. It’s not just in people’s homes, you see it on in the
background in countless pubs and small businesses in every town you go to.”
He added: “The BBC has become non-existent in many of these places.”
Center-left Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer is routinely interviewed by
Political Editor Christopher Hope, a veteran Westminster lobby journalist. |
Pool photo by Henry Nicholls/AFP via Getty Images
Others are watching the outlet with skepticism and alarm. Tom Chivers of the
Media Reform Coalition, a non-partisan research group which campaigns for public
interest media, acknowledged that outlets like GB News “matter a lot to
politicians” — but pointed out that it still has a relatively small audience
share.
“I think what we come back to is why these kinds of outlets are established in
the first place,” he argued. “It’s not about providing alternative sources of
news, or about catering to audiences that feel underserved. It’s actually about
powerful political elites — whether that’s Nigel Farage or [senior Conservative]
Jacob Rees-Mogg or all these other people connected with GB News — who already
have quite significant power across politics and media, ensuring that their
place at the table, their voice on your screens and on your radio and so on, is
permanent, is entrenched.”
“I think GB News has achieved what it set out to do, which is to become this
kind of focal point of political influence for a particular element of the right
wing in the U.K.,” he added. “And really it’s up to politicians to decide if
they want to be led by that kind of agenda, or if they want to make sure that
there is a source like the BBC which provides a more well-rounded, accurate,
impartial, objective approach to news and so on.”
GB News, which counts hedge fund manager Paul Marshall among its backers, is yet
to make money. GB News Limited made a post-tax loss of £33.4 million in 2024,
down from a £42.4 million loss in 2023, according to its latest accounts.
The channel — which has at times been rapped on the knuckles by the country’s
broadcast regulator over impartiality concerns — has also faced an organized
advertising boycott campaign. This may in part explain its push for U.S.
eyeballs. One person with knowledge of the channel’s strategy, granted anonymity
to speak freely, said : “Even a tiny slice of the American market would be
massive. If they can get any advertising from the American side, they’ll be
winning.”
The outlet, which boasts Trump ally Nigel Farage among its hosts, has defied a
shaky start by building a loyal audience, snagging big political interviews, and
branching out to include a Washington bureau which now broadcasts a nightly
show. | Tolga Akmen/EPA
The rival outlet has avoided gloating about the BBC’s current woes. Hope said GB
News does “believe in the BBC” — even if it thinks the public broadcaster should
do things differently.
“Where I sit as a political editor, there’s no jubilation [about the BBC’s
woes.] It’s another story. It’s a story which we ask other politicians about.”
But Jennifer Nadel, a former BBC journalist who now leads the U.K. think tank
Compassion In Politics, thinks the BBC’s rivals will seek to exploit its current
Trump-inflicted disarray.
“It represents an opportunity for the BBC’s enemies to capitalize and further
undermine it, and I think they’re doing it for two reasons — aside from the
commercial advantages of weakening their main competitor, it also serves their
political ends, and it should really be of concern for us all, because when
trust in the BBC weakens, it isn’t replaced by something better,” she argued.
Yet Conservative peer Tina Stowell, who chaired a House of Lords inquiry into
the future of news, argued that the BBC — which has apologized for its initial
coverage but vowed to defend itself against the U.S. president’s lawsuit —
should be more open about its own shortcomings, regardless of where its rivals
sit.
“The BBC created the situation in which it now finds itself,” she argued. “The
bigger danger isn’t President Trump’s lawsuit, but the BBC’s unwillingness to
accept the systemic cause of this and other editorial failings; and a misplaced
belief that the broadcaster is a victim distracting it from understanding and
addressing the reasons why it is pushing some audiences away.”
Noah Keate contributed reporting.
LONDON — The self-styled “eco-populist” leader of Britain’s Green Party couldn’t
be ideologically further from right-wing firebrand Nigel Farage.
But, as Zack Polanski presides over a leap in his party’s poll ratings, he’s
actively channeling the Reform UK leader’s media strategy, and putting himself
front and center of the argument for change.
It’s a high-stakes gamble that, like Farage, could see him accused of turning
the outfit into a one-man band.
But so far, it appears to be working.
“I don’t want everyone to agree with what I or the Green Party is saying,”
Polanski told POLITICO in an interview. “What I do want everyone to know is,
I’ll always say what I mean.”
‘REACHING THE CEILING’
Polanski won a landslide victory in the Greens’ heated summer leadership
election, handing him the reins of a party that made strong inroads at the last
election — but still has just four Members of Parliament.
Though the Greens stress many spokespeople will continue to represent the
organization, he undoubtedly dominates media appearances, and the party is
pushing him as an electoral asset.
“We were reaching a ceiling of where you could get to by [the] ground game
alone,” Polanski reflects of the Greens’ past performance. “What maybe was
holding us back was not being heard in the national media.”
Next month, he’ll walk a well-trodden path for British politicians wanting to
raise their profile with an appearance on “Have I Got News for You,” the BBC’s
long-running satirical quiz show poking fun at politicians.
Despite the cheeky reputation, it’s a national institution and a firm part of
the establishment with a large national viewership. Previous guests include
Farage himself — and Boris Johnson.
Polanski says he wants to “make sure that the media have an easy access point”
to the party, and the Green leader seems willing to go to places where he’ll
have to put up a fight, too — including a colorful on-air battle with Piers
Morgan.
He’s even launched his own podcast, currently ranked ninth in the U.K. Apple
Podcasts charts for politics shows.
Some of the numbers lend credence to the Green leader’s theory of the case.
The party now has more than 150,000 members, according to its own estimates,
compared to 68,500 when Polanski took over. That puts it ahead of the
Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in membership numbers.
As Nigel Farage bids to eclipse the Conservatives as a right-wing force in
British politics, he has used regular defections to Reform UK to show he’s on
the march. | Carl Court/Getty Images
Polanski also appears to have overseen a steady polling uptick for the left-wing
outfit, as borne out in POLITICO’s Poll of Polls. “There’s a definite and
obvious increase,” says YouGov’s Head of European Political and Social Research
Anthony Wells. “He’s already far better known than [predecessors] Carla Denyer
and Adrian Ramsay were.”
Wells cautions: “It’s not like the public are in love with him, but the public
do … dislike him less than most of the party leaders,” Wells adds.
CONVICTION POLITICS
As Farage bids to eclipse the Conservatives as a right-wing force in British
politics, he has used regular defections to Reform UK to show he’s on the march.
Polanski has tried similar, crowing about defections by ex-Labour councilors
from the left.
In video campaigning, too, Polanski has taken a leaf out of Reform’s book. He
peppered his leadership run with arresting monologues to camera, and he has
opted to weigh in on — rather than duck — the divisive issue of immigration.
A video by the coast urged voters to “hold that line together” against the
“super rich” rather than attacking asylum seekers crossing the English Channel
in small boats.
“The biggest draw for those films is the fact that Zack is prepared to speak
about these things — like a lot of other politicians aren’t,” argues the film’s
creator Jeremy Clancy, who leads a creative agency making films for progressive
outlets. Clancy used to serve as senior communications manager for ex-Labour
Leader Jeremy Corbyn.
Praising the contribution of migrants when polling shows the public want lower
levels is a risky bet. The Green leader argues voters will respect a clear
stance, even if they disagree. “People who know that their politicians are
telling the truth and are speaking with conviction are always preferred,” he
says.
Like Reform, Polanski’s team has so far tried to paint in populist, primary
colors.
His first party political broadcast — a convention by which parties are given
guaranteed five-minute TV slots — was filmed in the early hours as a metaphor
about billionaires sleeping comfortably while others struggle. “Both were
efforts to visualize things that you can’t see and to consciously make them as
simple as possible,” Clancy says. Those short videos racked up millions of
views.
Whether this translates into electoral success, however, remains a wide open
question. Next May’s local elections will offer the first real ballot box test
of Polanski’s pitch.
Ipsos’ Research Director for Public Affairs Keiran Pedley says the Greens are
“still waiting for that breakthrough moment” and now need to “seal the deal”
with voters.
He cautioned against assuming cut-through for a leader will lead to electoral
success. Pedley compared Polanski to ex-Liberal Democrat Leader Nick Clegg — who
lost seats at the 2010 general election despite a major polling bounce
mid-campaign off the back of strong televised debate performances.
For now, those who’ve joined the movement seem bullish. “The Greens have gone
from being a one-issue party, which is the environment, to basically being the
broad left party,” said Swindon Borough Councilor Ian Edwards, who joined the
Greens in October after resigning the Labour whip earlier this year.
But he added: “We can’t rely on just a leader. We’ve got to prove ourselves.”
LONDON — In a much-hyped split-screen Oval Office phone call a month ago, U.S.
President Donald Trump promised Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer that the
two had struck an “historic” trade deal.
The agreement would lower Trump’s punishing 25 percent tariffs on key U.K.
exports, including cars, steel and aluminum, the White House said. The pact
meant tariffs would be “immediately slashed,” No. 10 trumpeted.
A month later, those duties remain in place. There is still no clear timeline
for when they’ll lift.
“Both countries sold their announcement as if [the deal] was done,” said a
senior British business representative. And while there’s “no evidence” yet to
suggest the tariffs won’t eventually be lifted, they explained, “until it’s
done, it’s not done.”
Multiple business representatives told POLITICO it could be the end of this
month before the duties finally lift. They and others were granted anonymity to
speak candidly.
STEP BY STEP
“Our negotiated deal with the United Kingdom is working out well for all,” Trump
posted on his Truth Social platform on May 23.
But in parliament last week, Starmer conceded it could be “just a couple of
weeks” more before the U.S.-U.K. Economic Prosperity Deal, struck May 8,
actually comes into effect.
“I’m sure the U.K. government feels enormously frustrated about this,” said the
senior British business representative. “I don’t think the U.K. government
knows” when the deal will finally take effect, they added. “I don’t think their
trade negotiators know.”
Negotiations over the pact’s implementation are “all on course,” said one senior
U.K. official, but added: “But one step at a time.”
Executives from Jaguar Land Rover and Tata Steel told lawmakers this week that
they’re getting pummeled by U.S. tariffs. | Adam Vaughan/EPA
During a meeting in Paris on Tuesday, Britain’s Business and Trade Secretary
Jonathan Reynolds pressed U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer to set out
timelines for implementing the deal. The two have a “shared desire,” according
to a U.K. readout, to lower “sectoral tariffs as soon as possible.”
STEEL WAITING
The same day, Industry Minister Sarah Jones met with steel and aluminum
companies and senior industry figures to discuss next steps. According to one
industry insider briefed on the discussion, firms were told it could be the end
of June before rates go to zero.
Later that night, the U.K. won a reprieve after Trump raised his tariffs on
global steel and aluminum imports to 50 percent. The White House announced the
U.K. would instead remain at 25 percent … for now.
Starmer said the reprieve is “a result of our landmark deal with the U.S.”
Yet the executive order spelled out that the president could still hit London
with 50 percent steel tariffs “on or after 9 July” if he “determines that the
U.K. has not complied with relevant aspects” of their deal.
That means tariffs could go up if Britain doesn’t make good on the raft of
promises it made in the deal, including scrubbing China from its supply chains
in steel and other industries, and giving American beef farmers a bigger bite of
Britain’s market.
“We’re pleased that, as a result of our agreement with the U.S., U.K. steel will
not be subject to these additional tariffs,” said a government spokesperson. “We
will continue to work with the U.S. to implement our agreement, which will see
the 25 percent U.S. tariffs on steel removed.”
“We support an agreement, but it is time the government came clean,” said
Conservative Shadow Trade Secretary Andrew Griffith, noting: “The only issue is
that tariffs continue exactly as before and no deal has come into effect.”
PAY IT BACK?
Lowering the steel tariffs “could take several months,” said Laurence McDougall,
owner and managing director of All Steels Trading.
In the meantime, the firm is being forced by its customers in the U.S. to pay
the duties, McDougall said. They usually export between two and six shipping
containers filled with steel products to the U.S. every month.
British firms expect a “dribble of legal text” firming up different aspects of
the deal in the coming weeks, said a second senior business representative.
“There is still a lot of uncertainty regarding when the U.S. will bring into
force the automotive tariff-rate quota, and what the rules of origin
requirements for accessing it will be,” said Sam Lowe, a partner and automotive
trade expert at Flint Global, referencing rules governing the countries from
which a product’s supply chain is drawn. Cutting China from the list would be a
blow for many British automakers, many of which source electric vehicle
batteries there.
Keir Starmer conceded it could be “just a couple of weeks” more before the
U.S.-U.K. Economic Prosperity Deal, struck on May 8, actually comes into effect.
| Pool Photo by Andy Rain via EPA
“Given the original document implied the deal would come into force shortly
after the announcement, I think there is a reasonable expectation that the
benefits will be backdated once they are eventually put on the books,” Lowe
said. “But this isn’t 100 percent guaranteed.”
GETTING PUMMELED
Executives from Jaguar Land Rover and Tata Steel told lawmakers last week that
they’re getting pummeled by U.S. tariffs. The duties have hit Britain’s steel
exporters since early March, while carmakers have faced the sectoral duties
since early April.
“The deal is not implemented as it stands at the moment,” Murray Paul, public
affairs director at Jaguar Land Rover, told the U.K. parliament’s Business and
Trade Committee.
The firm, he said, is “working under the assumption” that it will be reimbursed
for any tariffs that it has paid the U.S. government backdated to May 8. “We
need to know when the [Executive Order] will be signed for implementation.”
“There’s … a limit [to] how much we can do in the background to absorb some of
that pricing,” JLR’s Paul said, noting that price rises have been passed on to
customers. The firm had paused its exports after Trump imposed the 25 percent
tariffs in early April, but restarted U.S. shipments the weekend before Downing
Street announced the deal.
The 25 percent tariffs on British steel exports have proven “extraordinarily
difficult,” Russell Codling, Tata Steel’s director of markets and business
development, told members of parliament. The company does between £100 million
and £150 million-worth of business in the U.S. each year.
Even with just the 25 percent tariff, Codling said, “at the moment we’re
extremely exposed.”
Stefan Boscia contributed reporting.
LONDON — You know you’re on the way up when the lobbyists come knocking.
Nigel Farage’s burgeoning Reform UK is spooking Britain’s Labour government —
and now a triumphant showing at regional elections in England has Westminster’s
influence-peddlers racing to catch up.
After Reform UK piled up votes, council seats and mayoralties, Farage’s
right-wing outfit is seeing a big uptick in interest from SW1 lobbyists wanting
a piece of the action.
“We are certainly of interest to lobbyists and public affairs agencies,” one
Reform staffer, granted anonymity to speak candidly about internal matters, said
days after the party’s elections victory. “They’re keen to get to know us and
sound us out on what our positions are on various subjects.”
Reform UK Deputy Leader Richard Tice said he saw the increase in lobbying
activity as a “sign of success.” “Fundamentally we know what we want to achieve,
we know what needs to be done,” he told POLITICO.
CASHING IN
While Westminster is awash with former Labour and Conservative staffers looking
for post-politics employment, Reform UK’s newcomer status means it short on
alumni.
Farage’s former communications chief Gawain Towler, who recently set up public
affairs outfit Oak Insight with Tory ex-minister Chris Heaton-Harris, said he is
reaping the benefits of his long association with the Reform UK leader.
“Somebody phones you up and says: ‘Gawain, I’d like to bring you in for dinner
with some of our clients because they are starting to ask about Reform. How does
this sound? We’ll take you to [swanky restaurant] Rules. We’ll give you a nice
three-course meal, get you properly watered with decent wine, and you talk about
politics for 20 minutes, and we’ll pay you a grand.’”
“I can do that,” Towler deadpanned.
Reform UK doesn’t have “a bunch of superannuated old farts sitting in the House
of Lords looking for an expensive lunch,” Towler said — leaving the field clear
for the likes of him.
TREATING WITH RESPECT
But lobbyists with connections are at risk of overstating their importance, Liam
Deacon, a former head of press for Farage’s previous political outfit the Brexit
Party, and now a senior consultant at Pagefield, said.
“Any campaigner or lobbyist who’s good at their job, and understands the way
that politics works, can be effective if they engage with those parties with
respect,” he said.
Nigel Farage’s right-wing outfit is seeing a big uptick in interest from SW1
lobbyists wanting a piece of the action. | Adam Vaughan/EPA-EFE
Deacon has long been engaged with Reform, and said he had been “trying to show
companies that you don’t need to be populist, or aggressive” when dealing with
the party.
There’s plenty of intel to gather without the need for a swanky consultancy,
too.
Tice urged lobbyists hoping to understand Farage’s outfit to simply look at
what’s already out there.
“Read our Contract [with voters] from last year, then they will probably
understand where we are coming from,” Tice suggested. “Look at our energy policy
announcement earlier this year. Look at Nigel’s speech at the launch of our
local election campaign setting out some of our key national priorities. It’s
all out there and it hasn’t actually changed.”
LABOUR LANGUAGE
Understanding Reform is not just about directly influencing the Farage outfit,
lobbyists say.
The electoral threat of the party is also now being factored into how
campaigners talk to the under-fire Starmer government.
“We have a Labour government, and ministers are obviously Labour Party, but
those ministers listen to Reform,” Deacon said.
“They’re watching the polls. They know that a lot of their key voters, those
hero voters, are going over to Reform. So we always just make sure that there’s
a Reform perspective in the room when we’re planning a campaign.”
Other lobbyists are urging a little caution given Reform’s still small
parliamentary presence, with just five MPs in the House of Commons.
Christine Quigley, vice president at Crestview Strategy, said her outfit is
“certainly seeing organizations asking about whether — and how — to engage with
Reform,” but said there is “less immediate impetus to engage for many sectors”
given Reform’s distance from the actual levers of power.
Still, “I’m going to have to buy much wider trousers and replace my waistcoat
collection with much bigger ones,” Fowler, the ex-Reform comms chief, quipped.
BRUSSELS — One of Huawei’s most senior executives in Europe is a suspect in the
Belgian investigation into alleged corruption at the European Parliament
benefitting the Chinese technology company, POLITICO can reveal.
The senior executive was represented in a Belgian court on Tuesday, documents
relating to the hearing showed.
He is charged with “active corruption of a person holding a public office,
criminal organization and money laundering,” said one of the documents, which
were disclosed as part of the preparation of a hearing at Brussels’ Chamber of
Accusation.
The senior executive is listed as a vice president for the Europe region at
Huawei and previously held a position as chief representative to the European
Union leading the firm’s public affairs office in Brussels. He can only be
identified as Yong J.
Tuesday’s hearing, held behind closed doors, was part of proceedings where
defense teams engage with senior judges to discuss procedural matters, including
potential custody decisions.
The senior executive could not be reached for comment and his lawyers did not
immediately respond to a request for comment. A Huawei spokesperson also did not
immediately respond to a request for comment.
The charges followed a series of police raids of premises in Belgium and
Portugal, including Huawei’s Brussels lobbying headquarters and several European
Parliament offices. | Frederick Florin/AFP via Getty Images
Belgian investigators are probing whether illegal payments were made to secure
political backing for an open letter supporting the Chinese company’s interests
and signed off by eight members of the European Parliament, according to an
arrest warrant seen by POLITICO.
The Belgian prosecutor said Friday it had charged eight people. The charges
followed a series of police raids of premises in Belgium and Portugal, including
Huawei’s Brussels lobbying headquarters and several European Parliament offices.
Aside from Yong J., three other Huawei employees were among the suspects in the
corruption probe who first faced Belgian judges last week as part of procedural
hearings, including a lobbyist and a senior executive for the firm, who can only
be described as Valerio O. and Han W. They are also facing charges related to
corruption, money laundering and participation in a criminal organization.
All suspects are presumed innocent.
Huawei fired two employees and suspended a third for their alleged involvement
in the bribery investigation, a spokesperson said Monday. The spokesperson did
not disclose the identities or roles of the employees affected. It is unclear
whether the employees fired and suspended by Huawei are the same as the Huawei
officials who were preliminarily charged.
Huawei said in a previous statement: “The company maintains a zero-tolerance
stance against corruption. As always, we are fully committed to complying with
all applicable laws and regulations.”
Mathieu Pollet contributed reporting.
BRUSSELS — Since war arrived on Europe’s doorstep in February 2022, defense
companies have been making hay — by significantly increasing their presence in
Brussels.
The lobbying budgets of the largest European defense companies surged around 40
percent between 2022 and 2023, a data investigation by POLITICO found. Most have
expanded their Brussels-based teams over the past three years to meet the
growing demand for influence in the capital of European Union power.
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago sent shock waves through
the continent — over both its ability to support Kyiv’s war effort, and its own
resources should the bloc itself come under direct military threat. As
traditional ally the United States reneges on support for Ukraine, the European
Commission is searching for ways to drastically increase the EU’s own defense
spending — and the industry is making sure it’s well-positioned to influence the
EU policy agenda.
“We see an unprecedented interest driven by the stark reality of the security
landscape,” said Line Tresselt, partner and group director of defense and
security at Rud Pedersen, a public affairs consultancy that has been advising
the defense sector for two decades.
Traditionally, national governments are by far the largest military spenders —
meaning it made sense to focus lobby efforts there.
At stake is an old-fashioned battle over money: European arms-makers want to
ensure EU cash goes to local companies, while foreign contractors also want a
slice of the pie.
“It’s more than a response to the full-scale invasion in Ukraine: with EDIP [the
€1.5 billion European Defence Industry Programme], but also the European Defense
Fund, the upcoming EU defense white paper, the newly appointed defense
commissioner, coupled with NATO’s evolving posture … there’s a massive increase
of EU-made policies for the sector,” said Tresselt.
EVERYONE WANTS A PIECE
The top 10 EU defense firms — Airbus, Leonardo, Thales, Rheinmetall, Naval,
Saab, Safran, KNDS Deutschland, Dassault and Fincantieri — have to declare their
lobbying efforts in the EU Transparency Register when they lobby in member
countries. Archives from the NGO-driven database LobbyFacts also allow a
comparison with previous entries from early 2022 and early 2023.
In 2022, cumulative spending for the top 10 ranged between €3.95 million and
€5.1 million; by 2023, that figure had risen to between €5.5 million and €6.7
million. Working off the lower ends of the brackets, that would equate to a 40
percent increase in just one year.
The trend is particularly evident with Swedish defense giant Saab, which doubled
its spending — followed by Airbus and Dassault, both of which significantly
ramped up their lobbying efforts.
Alongside increasing budgets, the majority of these companies have bolstered
their teams. In 2024, 90 percent of the firms surveyed reported hiring
additional full-time staff to represent their interests in Brussels. Thales led
the charge, expanding its lobbying team from 3.5 to 10 employees. Leonardo
followed by growing its team from three to five employees.
Companies once focused on national markets like Germany and Poland, due to the
U.S. military presence there, are now establishing a foothold in Brussels too,
added Tresselt.
U.S. defense giant Lockheed Martin, for example, signed on the EU lobbying
register for the first time last May, and has already deployed two lobbyists to
the European Parliament. Meanwhile, U.S. aerospace firm RTX has two full-time
lobbyists and four external representatives advancing its interests in Brussels.
BIG APPETITE
Donald Trump has added another element of uncertainty to European defense.
Countries don’t know whether to appeal to the transactional U.S. president by
buying more American weapons, or shift to European arms independent of U.S.
influence. Regardless, both options mean work for defense lobbyists.
Brussels-based consultancies are racing to meet the increased demand. Tresselt
said that Rud Pedersen has expanded its practice, driven by an influx of IT
companies entering the defense market.
“Banks and investment funds, which historically saw reputational risk in
entering defense, also seek specialized advice now,” said Jean-Marc Vesco, CEO
of C&V Consulting, a consultancy dedicated to the defense sector. He added that
the growing demand led to his company doubling in size.
In terms of consulting firms, Brussels’ lobbying scene remains largely dominated
by a handful of established players.
Only Forward and Logos Public Affairs — working with Airbus — and trade
associations EUTOP Europe and Euralia are listed in the EU register as the
lobbyists that the top EU defense companies rely on. But the picture is
incomplete, since companies don’t always disclose who they’re working with.
“The new entrants [to the defense industry consultancy market] are still
adjusting, but for the time being, we’re still dealing with historical players,”
said Vesco. “We know that some of our employees may be courted by the
competition, but we believe our commitment to EU values is what keeps us
competitive. We’re not selling socks or cans of Coca-Cola.”
MUNICH — Vice President JD Vance has his first major chance to present himself
as Donald Trump’s proxy on the world stage this week in Europe, as he attempts
to build the case that he is the natural heir to the America First movement.
But he faces the perennial question: Can anyone really speak for Trump?
The question goes beyond Vance’s personal ambition. Allies and adversaries are
watching closely amid a thicket of thorny questions facing the Trump
administration.
Trump has been pushing at home to end the war in Ukraine, announcing new talks
with Russian President Vladimir Putin Wednesday. He’s prompted additional
questions over his actions on tariffs, tech deregulation in the European Union
and Trump’s repeated demands to expand U.S. territorial domain over Greenland,
Panama and Gaza.
For Vance, the challenge later this week at the Munich Security Conference — a
global security confab — will be not only articulating Trump’s mercurial
pronouncements but also carving space for his own interpretation of America
First, and the broader MAGA agenda.
His allies say they believe his task will be easier than Mike Pence’s. Trump’s
first vice president had to navigate between the establishment and MAGA worlds
at the infancy of a movement that became increasingly hostile to Europe.
“The first Munich conference in his first administration, we didn’t know what
MAGA was, really,” said one person close to the White House, granted anonymity
to speak freely. “It’s quite different with JD Vance, because he’s considered
our spokesman.”
Vance attended last year’s Munich Security Conference as a freshman senator from
Ohio who had made a name for himself chafing with Senate Republican leadership
by opposing Ukraine aid.
“I can’t speak for Donald Trump,” Vance said at the time. “I can speak for
myself, and I think he agrees with what I’m going to say.”
Nevertheless, Vance caused a major stir at the conference by opting out of a
bipartisan Senate meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, POLITICO
was first to report. And at the podium, he insisted the U.S. didn’t have the
military bandwidth to support Ukraine while trying to deter China, a position
that was then at odds with the views of many in his party but came to define the
GOP.
This time around, Vance will face more scrutiny, not just because of his rapid
ascension, but because his message is one many in Munich don’t want to hear.
Trump, meanwhile, has been moving further away from Ukraine as he seeks to end
the war started by Russia’s invasion.
“It’s a challenging assignment both because he’s new to the vice presidency and
to international diplomacy, and because the Trump administration’s approach is
one that is very different from what the allies have been accustomed to hearing
and what they want to hear,” said Joel Goldstein, an emeritus law professor at
Saint Louis University and expert on the vice presidency.
Vance is scheduled to meet with Zelenskyy Friday, two days after Trump announced
he would work “very closely” with Putin to end the war in Ukraine. On Wednesday,
Trump announced he had convened a negotiating team led by Secretary of State
Marco Rubio, Director of the CIA John Ratcliffe, national security adviser
Michael Waltz and Ambassador and Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff.
Vance is likely to speak to Zelenskyy about striking a deal in which Ukraine
trades natural riches for continued U.S. military aid. Trump in an interview
that aired Monday demanded that the country send the U.S. $500 billion in rare
earth resources — and Zelenskyy has said he would be open to such a deal.
“The coming weeks could be very busy in diplomacy,” Zelenskyy said Saturday on
social media, adding that he valued “cooperation with President Trump.”
While Vance’s use of the bully pulpit at Munich may carry weight, it’s not clear
how much clout he has with European officials on key issues when he’s not in the
spotlight. Leading up to Munich, Ukrainian officials have been working behind
the scenes to try to sway the Trump administration, including Waltz, on getting
long-term U.S. security guarantees if there is a peace deal with Russia,
according to a person close to the talks granted anonymity to describe the
sensitive situation.
“They want to engage with Waltz,” that person said of the Ukrainian position.
“They don’t think Vance has much influence at this point.”
A spokesperson for Vance declined to comment.
Like any vice president would be, Vance is in a tough position on the trip. Even
though he’s a heartbeat from the presidency, he can’t outshine the boss, and
communicating a coherent message of the Trump administration’s vision of the
world could prove tricky as Vance tries to strike a balance between his own
style of restraint and the president’s calls for interventionist land grabs
everywhere from Gaza to Greenland.
Marc Short, Pence’s former chief of staff, told POLITICO that speaking for Trump
as a vice president “is not without challenges.” “There can be a lack of
clarity” for how Trump “communicates issues beyond his priorities,” he said.
Still, he said, the vice president can be an effective mouthpiece for Trump.
“There would be occasions where he would say, ‘Mike, deliver this message for
me,’” Short said.
European officials and experts will be trying to divine what of Trump’s message
Vance will deliver at Munich.
“They’ll take him more seriously than last year, especially since he is not
traveling alone but with [Ukraine peace envoy Keith] Kellogg,” said Liana Fix, a
fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations who is attending the
conference. “They understand that his more restrained positions on world affairs
do not necessarily line up with other camps in the administration. That said,
there is less infighting than in Trump 1.0.”
Leading into the conference, America’s message, from Vance and Defense Secretary
Pete Hegseth, who is also traveling through Europe this week, was a mix of
bonhomie and tough talk. Vance was well-received during his conversations with
leaders in Paris, where Vance attended an AI summit, according to one European
official with knowledge of the visit.
“The tone seems to be ‘Okay, Europe. This belongs to you, now,’” said Jim
Townsend, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense for Europe and NATO,
referring to both Ukraine and European security as a whole. “You’re going to
have to take care of the security and the U.S, seems to be taking itself out of
the equation.”
Hegseth calls Ukraine’s return to old borders ‘unrealistic’Share
https://imasdk.googleapis.com/js/core/bridge3.685.0_en.html#fid=goog_1752897897Play
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Other European officials fear that Vance’s tough talk could divide America’s
allies on the continent.
“They will take him seriously but I am afraid of [their] reaction,” said one
Eastern European official, granted anonymity to speak candidly. “Europeans do
not want to hear [a] different approach. They block themselves from reality.”
“Anti-American feelings are growing,” the official added.
People close to the administration say Vance exerts more influence in the White
House than Pence, in part because Trump sees the two of them as more politically
aligned, according to three people familiar with the dynamic, two of whom spoke
on the condition of anonymity.
“He speaks for all of us,” one White House ally said of Vance. “At this point in
the first administration, we didn’t know whether Mike Pence did.”
“He’s a true believer,” said Garrett Ventry, Trump ally and public affairs
executive. “Pence never was.”
A third person familiar with their dynamic noted that Trump and Vance have a
closer personal relationship: “They chum it up in a way Trump and Pence did
not.”
One telling moment, two of the people said, came last week, when Vance called
for an employee at the so-called Department of Government Efficiency to be
re-instated after he resigned over racist social media posts.
During an unrelated news conference, a reporter asked Trump if the staffer
should be re-hired. “Well, I don’t know about the particular thing, but if the
vice president said that — did you say that?” the president said, turning to
Vance.
“I’m with the vice president,” Trump said.
Yet Trump is still not ready to call Vance the GOP’s heir.
In an interview that aired Monday with Fox News, Trump was asked if he
considered Vance to be his successor.
“No,” the president said. “But he’s very capable.”
BRUSSELS — A European Union plan to rein in the most advanced artificial
intelligence models is in peril after Google and Meta executives criticized the
draft rules.
The EU has been drafting a set of voluntary rules called a “code of practice”
that companies running the most advanced AI models (called general-purpose AI
models), such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta and Microsoft, could sign up
to.
But the plan is a “step in the wrong direction” at a time when Europe seeks to
restore its competitiveness, Kent Walker, Google’s most senior public affairs
official, told POLITICO.
Walker’s comments added pressure, after Meta’s top lobbyist Joel Kaplan opened
fire on the code, saying the rules established “unworkable and technically
unfeasible requirements.”
The code of practice is a follow-up to the EU’s AI rulebook adopted last summer.
The final code is meant to give substance to what was said in the law. It
touches on thorny topics such as how to disclose which data was being used to
train models and how companies should deal with “systemic” risks.
Big Tech’s criticism falls just ahead of the AI Action Summit in Paris, where
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and tech boss Henna Virkkunen
want to show the EU is open for business.
The EU is having to fight increasingly fierce criticism of its tech regulations
since United States President Donald Trump took office and backed American tech
giants in their message that EU laws and fines equate to “tariffs.”
Meta’s Kaplan indicated to a Brussels audience in a video interview that the
social media giant wouldn’t sign the code in its current form. He said it went
“beyond the requirements” of the AI Act.
Big Tech’s criticism falls just ahead of the AI Action Summit in Paris. | Pool
Photo by Gonzalo Fuentes via Getty Images
Walker said that, for Google, it’s “too soon to tell” whether the company will
sign the code, hinting that the AI summit in Paris could be a pivotal moment.
Google’s president of global affairs argued that the code threatens to introduce
several requirements, such as in copyright or third-party model testing, that go
beyond the scope of the exercise, were already addressed elsewhere, or put a
burden on the industry.
Work on the code of practice is expected to wrap up in April, but its success
hinges on whether companies like Google and Meta sign up.
Business leaders watched with growing frustration as Donald Trump pushed the
Republican Party toward a kind of populism they fear will threaten their bottom
lines. Now, they’re worried about JD Vance.
The Ohio senator represents a new kind of conservative right that is skeptical
of corporations and eschews the GOP’s old free trade ideology. And he has done
little in office or as the vice presidential nominee to quell their concerns.
Vance has consistently bashed big business, expressed antipathy toward corporate
merger activities, sided with labor and emphasized his support for costly
tariffs. He’s spoken favorably of the Biden administration’s Federal Trade
Commission chair, Lina Khan, who is universally viewed as a thorn in the side of
major businesses, and forged unlikely alliances with progressives including
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.
With Vance by Trump’s side, some corporate leaders worry a second Trump
administration would be even more hostile to their interests than the first was.
While he would have little agenda-setting power of his own, Vance would likely
reinforce Trump on key economic issues — trade policy, labor issues, market
power — unlike former Vice President Mike Pence, who acted more as a check on
Trump’s populist leanings.
“[Vance] has taken a tack that big business, particularly some of the big tech
stuff, is by definition bad,” said William H. Strong, a Republican donor and
financial executive. “Just because you’re big doesn’t mean you’re bad … I don’t
like those broad characterizations that he alludes to that big business is
somehow bad. It’s just not.”
Vance isn’t raising concern among business leaders only because of specific
policies he might push. They also fear Vance would help turn the party more
broadly even further away from the pro-business, small government conservatism
that defined its policies for decades, accelerating the years-long change.
Gone are the days of the free-market approaches of Ronald Reagan and Milton
Friedman.
“That orthodoxy has definitely changed, which is there’s much more an open
discussion about tariffs, there’s much more an open discussion about antitrust,
there’s much more of a discussion about like appealing to union — to rank and
file union members,” said a partner at a major investment firm who has given to
both Republicans and Democrats and who was granted anonymity to speak freely.
“That’s a huge change over the past decade that we’ve seen, and Trump has
ushered in … Maybe that’s where the whole party is moving.”
While many business leaders and GOP donors see a Trump administration as still
better for business than a Harris one, the GOP’s ongoing ideological realignment
has made the party an increasingly uncomfortable fit.
“It’s more of a grin and bear it strategy,” said energy executive Dan Eberhart,
a Republican donor. “Overall, a Trump administration is better for the economy,
better for business. I don’t see people sliding to the Harris administration but
I see them as no longer a perfect fit for the Republican Party — but it’s what
they have.”
Some people are particularly concerned about Vance’s isolationist philosophy,
Eberhart said. He himself would not have picked Vance to be Trump’s next vice
president, he said.
Still, the business community needed to come to terms with the change of the
party, Eberhart said, and he emphasized that he was among the people who are
“coming to terms with” Vance. He recalled how the Ohio senator had assured some
at a fundraiser in Oklahoma City that he would support drilling from the energy
sector.
“The anti-corporate populist strain of the Republican Party is here to stay,”
said Justin Sayfie, a Republican corporate consultant and former appointee
during the Trump administration. “JD Vance is the next iteration of that.”
But the party might not be done changing.
Corporate America’s relationship with Trump has been fraught since he became a
mainstay of national politics in 2016. The corporate world favors stability, and
Trump’s tenure brought anything but. Business leaders were quick to
distance themselves from him, and those who found themselves in Trump’s
crossfire paid a price.
The distance between big business and the GOP grew even more apparent in 2020.
Major companies embraced principles around diversity, equity, and inclusion in
the wake of the murder of George Floyd, and Republicans blasted those businesses
for going “woke.” After the storming of the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, many big
businesses altogether disavowed the Republicans who had refused to certify the
results of the election, choosing to withhold campaign funds.
But Trump is once again unavoidable, and much of corporate America is not sure
what to expect from his second White House term with a new vice presidential
pick.
“The days of corporate lobbyists controlling Washington through weak,
ineffective politicians like Kamala Harris are over,” said Vance spokesperson
William Martin in a statement.
Many Republicans — even the former president himself — acknowledge that a vice
president has little real power. But Trump is notoriously persuadable, and some
fear what impact Vance could have on Trump’s positions in a seat of unfettered
access.
For those perturbed by Trump’s tumultuousness, Pence quelled some of those
concerns during the first Trump administration. He was a Washington insider who
previously chaired the House Republican Conference, and he was strategic in his
battles in a Trump White House, working to steer the debate when Trump veered
off course.
The fear now around Vance is that it’s not clear how or whether the potential
next vice president would shape Trump’s views in those situations, said one
Republican lobbyist and Trump White House alum.
“The thinking now of the business community is that Vance will not be a check on
some of the more populist ideas that Trump has, so I think that primarily is
where the focus is,” the person said, pointing to, for example, Vance’s praise
of Khan.
At the helm of the consumer protection agency, Khan has aggressively gone after
corporate juggernauts, to the chagrin of technology giants, grocers, and
healthcare companies. Despite pressure to the contrary, it’s unclear if even
Kamala Harris, if elected, would keep her on and risk upsetting financial
allies.
Vance has praised Khan’s antitrust actions, and the Wall Street Journal
editorial board fretted that Vance could push Trump to reappoint her. “Do
Republicans want to rein in the regulatory state or unleash it?” asked the
longtime conservative allies on the Journal’s editorial board.
Vance does have his defenders in the business community. Some point to his time
in Silicon Valley as a venture capitalist as evidence of his ties to business
leaders. His links to tech financiers have helped the GOP forge ties with big
donors who’d previously given heavily to Democrats. And while Vance has been a
populist on certain economic policy issues, there is still widespread belief
that he is in lockstep with Trump’s overall vision to cut taxes and slash
regulations for big businesses.
But it can be hard to nail down exactly where Vance stands on key issues. He was
one of Trump’s most vocal critics before becoming one of his most effective
attack dogs.
As one media CEO put it, Vance was “generally quite effective” in the vice
presidential debate. “Why he acts like a buffoon at other times is puzzling. But
it clearly reflects at least his view of what one has to do to appeal to the
broader Republican electorate, and of course of Trump himself.”
During Vance’s time in the Senate, the Ohio senator has proven to be an
unpredictable firebrand. He has praised Hungary’s authoritarian leader Viktor
Orbán and worked with Warren and other Democrats on legislation to punish
leaders of big banks when their businesses fail.
“You got a guy who you can’t count on to be a solid yes or a solid no on kind of
shirts and skins votes in Congress — what do you think they will do when they
have the power of the administrative state?” questioned one Republican lobbyist.
“So I think there’s a lot of fear.”
Amid the realignment of business and partisanship, the Harris campaign has
sought to brandish its support from business leaders and sell itself as a ticket
backed by the corporate class. Billionaire entrepreneur and television
personality Mark Cuban has been a top emissary of the campaign, telling his
followers that Harris is listening to the business community.
But business leaders are still broadly with the GOP. They concede that their
fortunes would still be better during a Trump presidency than a Harris one. He
has promised to extend his tax bill and reduce the corporate tax rate. Even with
some headaches among the Republican donor class, Harris is perceived as a graver
threat to the bottom line in the short term.
Republican donor Eric Levine, a lawyer who works closely with large
corporations, said that he hoped some more traditional Republicans would
surround the former president. He would not have picked Vance for vice president
and would have preferred “virtually anybody else on that stage” from the
Republican primary debates. He likened some elements of Vance’s speech at the
Republican National Convention to remarks that could have been given by Bernie
Sanders, the Vermont senator and progressive champion, and said “that doesn’t
make me warm and fuzzy.” But, Levine contended, Trump’s ticket was still
stronger than the alternative.
“I just don’t know who’s going to have his ear this time,” Levine said of Trump.
“I’m not a populist, and most of the people I know are not populists, and we’re
not isolationists.”
And if they are, for the most part, backing Republicans now, some GOPers said
that the business community would simply need to come to terms with the changing
politics of the time.
“There are folks within the Republican Party who want to go back to the pre-2016
mindset. I think that it’s just not possible,” said Jonathan Baron, a
Washington-based public affairs advisor.
The reason, he suggested, should be obvious.
“The success of figures as unconventional and new as Donald Trump and JD Vance,”
he said, “is the best evidence that the change is unavoidable.”