BRUSSELS — EU leaders are scrambling to come up with a deal on Greenland’s
future that would allow Donald Trump to claim victory on the issue without
destroying the alliance that underpins European security.
From proposals to using NATO to bolster Arctic security to giving the U.S.
concessions on mineral extraction, the bloc’s leaders are leaning heavily toward
conciliation over confrontation with Trump, three diplomats and an EU official
told POLITICO. The race to come up with a plan follows the U.S. president’s
renewed claims that his country “needs” the island territory — and won’t rule
out getting it by force.
“In the end, we have always come to a common conclusion” with Washington, German
Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul said after meeting U.S. Secretary of State
Marco Rubio, adding that their talks on the Arctic territory were “encouraging.”
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he hopes “a mutually acceptable solution”
will be found within NATO.
The foreign ministers of Greenland and Denmark will meet U.S. Vice President JD
Vance alongside Rubio at the White House on Wednesday. They are hoping for “an
honest conversation with the administration,” according to another EU diplomat
familiar with plans for the meeting.
THE ART OF THE DEAL
Asked to describe a possible endgame on Greenland, the first EU diplomat said it
could be a deal that would give Trump a victory he could sell domestically, such
as forcing European countries to invest more in Arctic security as well as a
promise that the U.S. could profit from Greenland’s mineral wealth.
Trump is primarily looking for a win on Greenland, the diplomat said. “If you
can smartly repackage Arctic security, blend in critical minerals, put a big bow
on top, there’s a chance” of getting Trump to sign on. “Past experience” — for
example when EU allies pledged to spend 5 percent of GDP on defense — showed
“this is always how things have gone.”
On defense, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte laid the groundwork for a deal
when on Monday he said countries in the alliance were discussing ways of
bolstering Arctic security. While the shape of the “next steps” touted by Rutte
remain to be defined, a ramped-up investment by European NATO members is one
possibility that could fit with Trump’s desire to see Europe shoulder greater
responsibility for its security.
On mineral extraction, details are blurrier. But a deal that guarantees the U.S.
a share of profits from extraction of critical raw materials is one possibility,
said the EU official.
For now, capacity to extract critical raw materials from Greenland is limited.
Denmark has spent years seeking investment for long-term projects, with little
luck as countries have preferred obtaining minerals at a much cheaper rate on
global markets.
The EU is planning to more than double its investment in Greenland in its
next-long term budget — including funds oriented toward critical raw materials
projects. This could be a hook for Trump to accept a co-investment deal.
Yet, if Trump’s real aim is the island’s minerals, Danes have been offering the
U.S the chance to invest in Greenland for years — an offer refused by American
officials, several diplomats said. If Trump’s push on Greenland is about China
and Russia, he could easily ask Copenhagen to increase the presence of U.S
troops on the island, they also say.
A third EU diplomat questioned whether Trump’s real aim was to get into the
history books. Trump’s Make America Great Again slogan “has become a
geographical concept; he wants to go down in history as the man who has made
America ‘greater’ — in geographical terms,” they said.
PRESERVING NATO
Above all, governments are trying to avoid a military clash, the three diplomats
and EU official said. A direct intervention by the U.S. on Greenland — a
territory belonging to a member of the EU and NATO — would effectively spell the
end of the postwar security order, leaders have warned.
“It would be an unprecedented situation in the history of NATO and any defense
alliance,” German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said Tuesday, adding that
Berlin is talking with Copenhagen about the options at Europe’s disposal if the
U.S. launches a takeover.
EU Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius and Danish Prime Minister Mette
Fredriksen both said a military intervention would be the end of NATO.
“Everything would stop,” Fredriksen said.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte laid the groundwork for a deal when on Monday
he said countries in the alliance were discussing ways of bolstering Arctic
security. | Paul Morigi/Getty Images
“No provision [in the alliance’s 1949 founding treaty] envisions an attack on
one NATO ally by another one,” said a NATO diplomat, who was granted anonymity
to speak freely. It would mean “the end of the alliance,” they added.
Trump said “it may be a choice” for the U.S. between pursuing his ambition to
take control of Greenland and keeping the alliance intact.
Preserving NATO remains the bloc’s top priority, the first EU diplomat said.
While both privately and publicly officials have forcefully rejected the idea
Europe might “give up” Greenland to the U.S., the comments underscore how
desperate governments are to avoid a direct clash with Washington.
“This is serious – and Europe is scared,” said a fourth EU diplomat involved in
discussions in Brussels on how the bloc responds. A fifth described the moment
as “seismic,” because it signaled that the U.S. was ready to rip up a hundred
years of ironclad relations.
STILL REELING
While European leaders are largely on the same page that a military conflict is
unconscionable, how to reach a negotiated settlement is proving thornier.
Until the U.S. military strike on Venezuela on Jan. 3, and Trump’s fresh claims
the U.S. needs to “have” Greenland, the Europeans were very conspicuously not
working on a plan to protect Greenland from Trump — because to do so might risk
making the threat real.
“It’s been something we’ve anticipated as a potential risk, but something that
we can do very little about,” said Thomas Crosbie, a U.S. military expert at the
Royal Danish Defense College, which provides training and education for the
Danish defense force.
“The idea has been that the more we focus on this, and the more we create
preparations around resisting this, the more we make it likely to happen. So
there’s been anxiety that [by planning for a U.S. invasion] we may accidentally
encourage more interest in this, and, you know, kind of escalate,” Crosbie said.
But the problem was that, having spent six years studiously avoiding making a
plan to respond to Trump’s threats, Europe was left scrabbling for one.
Europeans are now faced with figuring out what they have in their “toolbox” to
respond to Washington, a former Danish MP aware of discussions said. “The normal
rulebook doesn’t work anymore.”
Officials consider it the biggest challenge to Europe since the Second World War
and they’re not sure what to do.
“We know how we would react if Russia started to behave this way,” the fourth
diplomat said. But with the U.S, “this is simply not something we are used to.”
Victor Jack, Nette Nöstlinger, Chris Lunday, Zoya Sheftalovich and Seb Starcevic
contributed reporting.
Tag - Raw materials
BRUSSELS — On Greenland’s southern tip, surrounded by snowy peaks and deep
fjords, lies Kvanefjeld — a mining project that shows the giant, barren island
is more than just a coveted military base.
Beneath the icy ground sits a major deposit of neodymium and praseodymium, rare
earth elements used to make magnets that are essential to build wind turbines,
electric vehicles and high-tech military equipment.
If developed, Greenland, a semi-autonomous part of Denmark, would become the
first European territory to produce these key strategic metals. Energy
Transition Minerals, an Australia-based, China-backed mining company, is ready
to break ground.
But neither Copenhagen, Brussels nor the Greenlandic government have mobilized
their state power to make the project happen. In 2009, Denmark handed
Greenland’s inhabitants control of their natural resources; 12 years later the
Greenlandic government blocked the mine because the rare earths are mixed with
radioactive uranium.
Since then the project has been in limbo, bogged down in legal disputes.
“Kvanefjeld illustrates how political and regulatory uncertainty — combined with
geopolitics and high capital requirements — makes even strategically important
projects hard to move from potential to production,” Jeppe Kofod, Denmark’s
former foreign minister and now a strategic adviser to Energy Transition
Minerals, told POLITICO.
Kvanefjeld’s woes are emblematic of Greenland’s broader problems. Despite having
enough of some rare earth elements to supply as much as 25 percent of the
world’s needs — not to mention oil and gas reserves nearly as great as those of
the United States, and lots of other potential clean energy metals including
copper, graphite and nickel — these resources are almost entirely undeveloped.
Just two small mines, extracting gold and a niche mineral called feldspar used
in glassmaking and ceramics, are up and running in Greenland. And until very
recently, neither Denmark nor the European Union showed much interest in
changing the situation.
But that was before 2023, when the EU signed a memorandum of understanding with
the Greenland government to cooperate on mining projects. The EU Critical Raw
Materials Act, proposed the same year, is an attempt to catch up by building new
mines both in and out of the bloc that singles out Greenland’s potential. Last
month, the European Commission committed to contribute financing to Greenland’s
Malmbjerg molybdenum mine in a bid to shore up a supply of the metal for the
EU’s defense sector.
But with United States President Donald Trump threatening to take Greenland by
force, and less likely to offer the island’s inhabitants veto power over mining
projects, Europe may be too late to the party.
“The EU has for many years had a limited strategic engagement in Greenland’s
critical raw materials, meaning that Europe today risks having arrived late,
just as the United States and China have intensified their interest,” Kofod
said.
In a world shaped by Trump’s increasingly belligerent foreign policy and China’s
hyperactive development of clean technology and mineral supply chains, Europe’s
neglect of Greenland’s natural wealth is looking increasingly like a strategic
blunder.
With Donald Trump threatening to take Greenland by force, and less likely to
offer the island’s inhabitants veto power over mining projects, Europe may be
too late to the party. | Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images
A HOSTILE LAND
That’s not to say building mines in Greenland, with its mile-deep permanent ice
sheet, would be easy.
“Of all the places in the world where you could extract critical raw materials,
[Greenland] is very remote and not very easily accessible,” said Ditte Brasso
Sørensen, senior analyst on EU climate and industrial policy at Think Tank
Europa, pointing to the territory’s “very difficult environmental
circumstances.”
The tiny population — fewer than 60,000 — and a lack of infrastructure also make
it hard to build mines. “This is a logistical question,” said Eldur Olafsson,
CEO of Amaroq, a gold mining company running one of the two operating mines in
Greenland and also exploring rare earths and copper extraction opportunities.
“How do you build mines? Obviously, with capital, equipment, but also people.
[And] you need to build the whole infrastructure around those people because
they cannot only be Greenlandic,” he said.
Greenland also has strict environmental policies — including a landmark 2021
uranium mining ban — which restrict resource extraction because of its impact on
nature and the environment. The current government, voted in last year,
has not shown any signs of changing its stance on the uranium ban, according to
Per Kalvig, professor emeritus at the Geological Survey of Denmark and
Greenland, a Danish government research organization.
Uranium is routinely found with rare earths, meaning the ban could frustrate
Greenland’s huge potential as a rare earths producer.
It’s a similar story with fossil fuels. Despite a 2007 U.S. assessment that the
equivalent of over 30 billion barrels in oil and natural gas lies beneath the
surface of Greenland and its territorial waters — almost equal to U.S. reserves
— 30 years of oil exploration efforts by a group including Chevron,
Italy’s ENI and Shell came to nothing.
In 2021 the then-leftist government in Greenland banned further oil exploration
on environmental grounds.
Danish geologist Flemming Christiansen, who was deputy director
of the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland until 2020, said the failure
had nothing to do with Greenland’s actual potential as an oil producer.
Instead, he said, a collapse in oil prices in 2014 along with the high cost
of drilling in the Arctic made the venture unprofitable. Popular opposition only
complicated matters, he said.
THE CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT
From the skies above Greenland Christiansen sees firsthand the dramatic effects
of climate change: stretches of clear water as rising temperatures thaw the ice
sheets that for centuries have made exploring the territory a cold, costly and
hazardous business.
“If I fly over the waters in west Greenland I can see the changes,” he said.
“There’s open water for much longer periods in west Greenland, in Baffin Bay and
in east Greenland.”
Climate change is opening up this frozen land.
Climate change is opening up this frozen land. | Odd Andersen/AFP via Getty
Images
Greenland contains the largest body of ice outside Antarctica, but that ice is
melting at an alarming rate. One recent study suggests the ice sheet could cease
to exist by the end of the century, raising sea levels by as much as seven
meters. Losing a permanent ice cap that is several hundred meters deep, though,
“gradually improves the business case of resource extraction, both for … fossil
fuels and also critical raw materials,” said Jakob Dreyer, a researcher at the
University of Copenhagen.
But exploiting Greenland’s resources doesn’t hinge on catastrophic levels of
global warming. Even without advanced climate change, Kalvig, of the Geological
Survey of Denmark and Greenland, argues Greenland’s coast doesn’t differ much
from that of Norway, where oil has been found and numerous excavation projects
operate.
“You can’t penetrate quite as far inland as you can [in Norway], but once access
is established, many places are navigable year-round,” Kalvig said. “So, in that
sense, it’s not more difficult to operate mines in Greenland than it is in many
parts of Norway, Canada or elsewhere — or Russia for that matter. And this has
been done before, in years when conditions allowed.”
A European Commission spokesperson said the EU was now working with Greenland’s
government to develop its resources, adding that Greenland’s “democratically
elected authorities have long favored partnerships with the EU to develop
projects beneficial to both sides.”
But the spokesperson stressed: “The fate of Greenland’s raw mineral resources is
up to the Greenlandic people and their representatives.”
The U.S. may be less magnanimous. Washington’s recent military operation in
Venezuela showed that Trump is serious about building an empire on natural
resources, and is prepared to use force and break international norms in pursuit
of that goal. Greenland, with its vast oil and rare earths deposits, may fit
neatly into his vision.
Where the Greenlandic people fit in is less clear.
BRUSSELS — European governments have launched a two-pronged diplomatic offensive
to convince Donald Trump to back away from his claims on Greenland: by lobbying
in Washington and pressing NATO to allay the U.S. president’s security concerns.
The latest moves mark an abrupt change in Europe’s response to Trump’s threats,
which are fast escalating into a crisis and have sent officials in Brussels,
Berlin and Paris scrambling to sketch out an urgent way forward. Until now they
have attempted to play down the seriousness of Trump’s ideas, fearing it would
only add credence to what they hoped was mere rhetoric, but officials involved
in the discussions say that has now changed.
As if to underscore the shift, French President Emmanuel Macron became the most
powerful European leader so far to starkly set out the challenges facing the
continent.
“The United States is an established power that is gradually turning away from
some of its allies and breaking free from the international rules that it used
to promote,” Macron said in his annual foreign policy address in Paris on
Thursday.
Trump ratcheted up his rhetoric this week, telling reporters on Sunday night “we
need Greenland from the standpoint of national security.” The president has
repeatedly refused to rule out military intervention, something Denmark has
said would spell the end of NATO ― an alliance of 32 countries, including the
U.S., which has its largest military force. Greenland is not in the EU but is a
semi-autonomous territory in the Kingdom of Denmark, which is an EU member.
Most of the diplomacy remains behind closed doors. The Danish ambassador to the
U.S., Jesper Møller Sørensen, and the Greenlandic representative in Washington,
Jacob Isbosethsen, held intensive talks with lawmakers on Capitol Hill.
The two envoys are attempting to persuade as many of them as possible that
Greenland does not want to be bought by the U.S. and that Denmark has no
interest in such a deal, an EU diplomat told POLITICO. In an unusual show of
dissent, some Trump allies this week publicly objected to the president’s
proposal to take Greenland by military force.
Danish officials are expected to provide a formal briefing and update on the
situation at a meeting of EU ambassadors on Friday, two EU diplomats said.
RUSSIAN, CHINESE INFLUENCE
At a closed-door meeting in Brussels on Thursday, NATO ambassadors agreed the
organization should reinforce the Arctic region, according to three NATO
diplomats, all of whom were granted anonymity to talk about the sensitive
discussions.
Trump claimed the Danish territory is exposed to Russian and Chinese influence,
and cited an alleged swarm of threatening ships near Greenland as a reason
behind Washington’s latest campaign to control the territory. Experts largely
dispute those claims, with Moscow and Beijing mostly focusing their defense
efforts — including joint patrols and military investment — in the eastern
Arctic.
But U.S. Vice President JD Vance told reporters Thursday that Trump wants Europe
to take Greenland’s security “more seriously,” or else “the United States is
going to have to do something about it.”
Europeans see finding a compromise with Trump as the first and preferred option.
A boosted NATO presence on the Arctic island might convince the U.S. president
that there is no need to own Greenland for security reasons.
The Danish ambassador to the US and the Greenlandic representative in Washington
held intensive talks with lawmakers on Capitol Hill. | Kevin Carter/Getty Images
The NATO envoys meeting Thursday floated leveraging intelligence capabilities to
better monitor the territory, stepping up defense spending to the Arctic,
shifting more military equipment to the region, and holding more military
exercises in the vicinity.
The request for proposals just days after the White House’s latest broadside
reflects how seriously Europe is taking the ultimatum and the existential risk
any incursion into Greenland would have on the alliance and transatlantic ties.
NATO’s civil servants are now expected to come up with options for envoys, the
alliance diplomats said.
Thursday’s meeting of 32 envoys veered away from direct confrontation, the three
NATO diplomats said, with one calling the mood in the room “productive” and
“constructive.”
Denmark’s ambassador, who spoke first, said the dispute was a bilateral issue
and instead focused on the recent successes of NATO’s Arctic strategy and the
need for more work in the region, the diplomats said — a statement that received
widespread support.
The Greenland issue was also raised at a closed-door meeting of EU defense and
foreign policy ambassadors on Thursday even though it wasn’t on the formal
agenda, the two EU diplomats said. The bloc’s capitals expressed solidarity with
Denmark, they added.
Jacopo Barigazzi contributed reporting.
BRUSSELS — NATO countries asked the alliance to beef up its presence in the
Arctic after the U.S. ramped up threats to seize Greenland, three NATO diplomats
told POLITICO.
At a closed-door meeting in Brussels on Thursday, the alliance’s ambassadors
agreed the organization should reinforce its Arctic flank, according to the
diplomats, all of whom were granted anonymity to talk about the sensitive
discussions. U.S. President Donald Trump has claimed the Danish territory is
exposed to Russian and Chinese influence.
Envoys floated leveraging intelligence capabilities to better monitor the
territory, stepping up defense spending to the Arctic, shifting more military
equipment to the region, and holding more military exercises in the vicinity.
The flurry of ideas underscores a growing European concern around U.S.
intentions on Greenland. This week, the White House ratcheted up its claims on
Greenland, and repeatedly refused to rule out a military takeover.
Europe is scrambling to placate the latest Trump threats and avoid a military
intervention that Denmark has said would mean the end of the alliance. A
compromise with the U.S. president is seen as the first and preferred option.
The request for proposals just days after the White House’s latest broadside
reflects how seriously Europe is taking the ultimatum and the existential risk
any incursion onto Greenland would be on the alliance and transatlantic ties.
NATO’s civil servants are now expected to come up with options for envoys, the
alliance diplomats said.
Alongside its wealth of raw material and oil deposits, Trump has cited an
alleged swarm of threatening Russian and Chinese ships near Greenland as a
reason behind Washington’s latest campaign to control the territory.
Experts largely dispute those claims, with Moscow and Beijing mostly focusing
their defense efforts — including joint patrols and military investment — in the
eastern Arctic.
Thursday’s meeting of 32 envoys veered away from direct confrontation, the three
NATO diplomats said, with one calling the mood in the room “productive” and
“constructive.”
Denmark’s ambassador, who spoke first, said the dispute was a bilateral issue
and instead focused on recent successes of NATO’s Arctic strategy and the need
for more work in the region, the diplomats said — a statement that received
widespread support.
The Greenland issue was also raised at a closed-door meeting of EU defense and
foreign policy ambassadors on Thursday, despite it not being on the formal
agenda, two EU diplomats said. The bloc’s capitals then expressed their
solidarity for Denmark, they added.
Denmark is expected to provide a formal briefing and update at a meeting of EU
envoys on Friday, the same diplomats said.
Zoya Sheftalovich contributed to this report.
BRUSSELS — The EU has struck a political agreement to overhaul the bloc’s
foreign direct investment screening rules, the Council of the EU announced on
Thursday, in a move to prevent strategic technology and critical infrastructure
from falling into the hands of hostile powers.
The updated rules — the first major plank of European Commission President’s
Ursula von der Leyen’s economic security strategy — would require all EU
countries to systematically monitor investments and further harmonize the way
those are screened within the bloc. The agreement comes just over a week after
Brussels unveiled a new economic security package.
Under the new rules, EU countries would be required to screen investments in
dual-use items and military equipment; technologies like artificial
intelligence, quantum technologies and semiconductors; raw materials; energy,
transport and digital infrastructure; and election infrastructure, such as
voting systems and databases.
As previously reported by POLITICO, foreign entities investing into specific
financial services must also be subject to screening by EU capitals.
“We achieved a balanced and proportionate framework, focused on the most
sensitive technologies and infrastructures, respectful of national prerogatives
and efficient for authorities and businesses alike,” said Morten Bødskov,
Denmark’s minister for industry, business and financial affairs.
It took three round of political talks between the three institutions to seal
the update, which was a key priority for the Danish Presidency of the Council of
the EU. One contentious question was which technologies and sectors should be
subject to mandatory screening. Another was how capitals and the European
Commission should coordinate — and who gets the final say — when a deal raises
red flags.
Despite a request from the European Parliament, the Commission will not get the
authority to arbitrate disputes between EU countries on specific investment
cases. Screening decisions will remain firmly in the purview of national
governments.
“We’re making progress. The result of our negotiations clearly strengthens the
EU’s security while also making life easier for investors by harmonising the
Member States’ screening mechanism,” said the lead lawmaker on the file, French
S&D Raphaël Glucksmann.
“Yet more remains to be done to ensure that investments bring real added value
to the EU, so that our market does not become a playground for foreign companies
exploiting our dependence on their technology. The Commission has committed to
take an initiative; it must now act quickly,” he said in a statement to
POLITICO.
This story has been updated.
When the Franco-German summit concluded in Berlin, Europe’s leaders issued a
declaration with a clear ambition: strengthen Europe’s digital sovereignty in an
open, collaborative way. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s
call for “Europe’s Independence Moment” captures the urgency, but independence
isn’t declared — it’s designed.
The pandemic exposed this truth. When Covid-19 struck, Europe initially
scrambled for vaccines and facemasks, hampered by fragmented responses and
overreliance on a few external suppliers. That vulnerability must never be
repeated.
True sovereignty rests on three pillars: diversity, resilience and autonomy.
> True sovereignty rests on three pillars: diversity, resilience and autonomy.
Diversity doesn’t mean pulling every factory back to Europe or building walls
around markets. Many industries depend on expertise and resources beyond our
borders.
The answer is optionality, never putting all our eggs in one basket.
Europe must enable choice and work with trusted partners to build capabilities.
This risk-based approach ensures we’re not hostage to single suppliers or
overexposed to nations that don’t share our values.
Look at the energy crisis after Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine. Europe’s
heavy reliance on Russian oil and gas left economies vulnerable. The solution
wasn’t isolation, it was diversification: boosting domestic production from
alternative energy sources while sourcing from multiple markets.
Optionality is power. It lets Europe pivot when shocks hit, whether in energy,
technology, or raw materials.
Resilience is the art of prediction. Every system inevitably has
vulnerabilities. The key is pre-empting, planning, testing and knowing how to
recover quickly.
Just as banks undergo stress tests, Europe needs similar rigor across physical
and digital infrastructure. That also means promoting interoperability between
networks, redundant connectivity links (including space and subsea cables),
stockpiling critical components, and contingency plans. Resilience isn’t
theoretical. It’s operational readiness.
Finally, Europe must exercise authority through robust frameworks, such as
authorization schemes, local licensing and governance rooted in EU law.
The question is how and where to apply this control. On sensitive data, for
example, sovereignty means ensuring it’s held in Europe under European
jurisdiction, without replacing every underlying technology component.
Sovereign solutions shouldn’t shut out global players. Instead, they should
guarantee that critical decisions and compliance remain under European
authority. Autonomy is empowerment, limiting external interference or denial of
service while keeping systems secure and accountable.
But let’s be clear: Europe cannot replicate world-leading technologies,
platforms or critical components overnight. While we have the talent, innovation
and leading industries, Europe has fallen significantly behind in a range of key
emerging technologies.
> While we have the talent, innovation and leading industries, Europe has fallen
> significantly behind in a range of key emerging technologies.
For example, building fully European alternatives in cloud and AI would take
decades and billions of euros, and even then, we’d struggle to match Silicon
Valley or Shenzhen.
Worse, turning inward with protectionist policies would only weaken the
foundations that we now seek to strengthen. “Old wines in new bottles” — import
substitution, isolationism, picking winners — won’t deliver competitiveness or
security.
Contrast that with the much-debated US Inflation Reduction Act. Its incentives
and subsidies were open to EU companies, provided they invest locally, develop
local talent and build within the US market.
It’s not about flags, it’s about pragmatism: attracting global investments,
creating jobs and driving innovation-led growth.
So what’s the practical path? Europe must embrace ‘sovereignty done right’,
weaving diversity, resilience and autonomy into the fabric of its policies. That
means risk-based safeguards, strategic partnerships and investment in European
capabilities while staying open to global innovation.
Trusted European operators can play a key role: managing encryption, access
control and critical operations within EU jurisdiction, while enabling managed
access to global technologies. To avoid ‘sovereignty washing’, eligibility
should be based on rigorous, transparent assessments, not blanket bans.
The Berlin summit’s new working group should start with a common EU-wide
framework defining levels of data, operational and technological sovereignty.
Providers claiming sovereign services can use this framework to transparently
demonstrate which levels they meet.
Europe’s sovereignty will not come from closing doors. Sovereignty done right
will come from opening the right ones, on Europe’s terms. Independence should be
dynamic, not defensive — empowering innovation, securing prosperity and
protecting freedoms.
> Europe’s sovereignty will not come from closing doors. Sovereignty done right
> will come from opening the right ones, on Europe’s terms.
That’s how Europe can build resilience, competitiveness and true strategic
autonomy in a vibrant global digital ecosystem.
High energy prices, risks on CBAM enforcement and promotion of lead markets, as
well as increasing carbon costs are hampering domestic and export
competitiveness with non-EU producers.
The cement industry is fundamental to Europe’s construction value chain, which
represents about 9 percent of the EU’s GDP. Its hard-to-abate production
processes are also currently responsible for 4 percent of EU emissions, and it
is investing heavily in measures aimed at achieving full climate neutrality by
2050, in line with the European Green Deal.
Marcel Cobuz, CEO, TITAN Group
“We should take a longer view and ensure that the cement industry in EU stays
competitive domestically and its export market shares are maintained.”
However, the industry’s efforts to comply with EU environmental regulations,
along with other factors, make it less competitive than more carbon-intensive
producers from outside Europe. Industry body Cement Europe recently stated that,
“without a competitive business model, the very viability of the cement industry
and its prospects for industrial decarbonization are at risk.”
Marcel Cobuz, member of the Board of the Global Cement and Concrete Association
and CEO of TITAN Group, one of Europe’s leading producers, spoke with POLITICO
Studio about the vital need for a clear policy partnership with Brussels to
establish a predictable regulatory and financing framework to match the
industry’s decarbonization ambitions and investment efforts to stay competitive
in the long-term.
POLITICO Studio: Why is the cement industry important to the EU economy?
Marcel Cobuz: Just look around and you will see how important it is. Cement
helped to build the homes that we live in and the hospitals that care for us.
It’s critical for our transport and energy infrastructure, for defense and
increasingly for the physical assets supporting the digital economy. There are
more than 200 cement plants across Europe, supporting nearby communities with
high-quality jobs. The cement industry is also key to the wider construction
industry, which employs 14.5 million people across the EU. At the same time,
cement manufacturers from nine countries compete in the international export
markets.
PS: What differentiates Titan within the industry?
MC: We have very strong European roots, with a presence in 10 European
countries. Sustainability is very much part of our DNA, so decarbonizing
profitably is a key objective for us. We’ve reduced our CO2 footprint by nearly
25 percent since 1990, and we recently announced that we are targeting a similar
reduction by 2030 compared to 2020. We are picking up pace in reducing emissions
both by using conventional methods, like the use of alternative sources of
low-carbon energy and raw materials, and advanced technologies.
TITAN/photo© Nikos Daniilidis
We have a large plant in Europe where we are exploring building one of the
largest carbon capture projects on the continent, with support from the
Innovation Fund, capturing close to two million tons of CO2 and producing close
to three million tons of zero-carbon cement for the benefit of all European
markets. On top of that, we have a corporate venture capital fund, which
partners with startups from Europe to produce the materials of tomorrow with
very low or zero carbon. That will help not only TITAN but the whole industry
to accelerate its way towards the use of new high-performance materials with a
smaller carbon footprint.
PS: What are the main challenges for the EU cement industry today?
MC: Several factors are making us less competitive than companies from outside
the EU. Firstly, Europe is an expensive place when it comes to energy prices.
Since 2021, prices have risen by close to 65 percent, and this has a huge impact
on cement producers, 60 percent of whose costs are energy-related. And this
level of costs is two to three times higher than those of our neighbors. We also
face regulatory complexity compared to our outside competitors, and the cost of
compliance is high. The EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) cost for the cement
sector is estimated at €97 billion to €162 billion between 2023 and 2034. Then
there is the need for low-carbon products to be promoted ― uptake is still at a
very low level, which leads to an investment risk around new decarbonization
technologies.
> We should take a longer view and ensure that the cement industry in the EU
> stays competitive domestically and its export market shares are maintained.”
All in all, the playing field is far from level. Imports of cement into the EU
have increased by 500 percent since 2016. Exports have halved ― a loss of value
of one billion euros. The industry is reducing its cost to manufacture and to
replace fossil fuels, using the waste of other industries, digitalizing its
operations, and premiumizing its offers. But this is not always enough. Friendly
policies and the predictability of a regulatory framework should accompany the
effort.
PS: In January 2026, the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism will be fully
implemented, aimed at ensuring that importers pay the same carbon price as
domestic producers. Will this not help to level the playing field?
MC: This move is crucial, and it can help in dealing with the increasing carbon
cost. However, I believe we already see a couple of challenges regarding the
CBAM. One is around self-declaration: importers declare the carbon footprint of
their materials, so how do we avoid errors or misrepresentations? In time there
should be audits of the importers’ industrial installations and co-operation
with the authorities at source to ensure the data flow is accurate and constant.
It really needs to be watertight, and the authorities need to be fully mobilized
to make sure the real cost of carbon is charged to the importers. Also, and very
importantly, we need to ensure that CBAM does not apply to exports from the EU
to third countries, as carbon costs are increasingly a major factor making us
uncompetitive outside the EU, in markets where we were present for more than 20
years.
> CBAM really needs to be watertight, and the authorities need to be fully
> mobilized to make sure the real cost of carbon is charged to the importers.”
PS: In what ways can the EU support the European cement industry and help it to
be more competitive?
MC: By simplifying legislation and making it more predictable so we can plan our
investments for the long term. More specifically, I’m talking about the
revamping of the ETS, which in its current form implies a phase-down of CO2
rights over the next decade. First, we should take a longer view and ensure that
the cement industry stays competitive and its export market shares are
maintained, so a policy of more for longer should accompany the new ETS.
> In export markets, the policy needs to ensure a level playing field for
> European suppliers competing in international destination markets, through a
> system of free allowances or CBAM certificates, which will enable exports to
> continue.”
We should look at it as a way of funding decarbonization. We could front-load
part of ETS revenues in a fund that would support the development of
technologies such as low-carbon materials development and CCS. The roll-out of
Infrastructure for carbon capture projects such as transport or storage should
also be accelerated, and the uptake of low-carbon products should be
incentivized.
More specifically on export markets, the policy needs to ensure a level playing
field for European suppliers competing in international destination markets,
through a system of free allowances or CBAM certificates, which will enable
exports to continue.
PS: Are you optimistic about the future of your industry in Europe?
MC: I think with the current system of phasing out CO2 rights, and if the CBAM
is not watertight, and if energy prices remain several times higher than in
neighboring countries, and if investment costs, particularly for innovating new
technologies, are not going to be financed through ETS revenues, then there is
an existential risk for at least part of the industry.
Having said that, I’m optimistic that, working together with the European
Commission we can identify the right policy making solutions to ensure our
viability as a strategic industry for Europe. And if we are successful, it will
benefit everyone in Europe, not least by guaranteeing more high-quality jobs and
affordable and more energy-efficient materials for housing ― and a more
sustainable and durable infrastructure in the decades ahead.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
POLITICAL ADVERTISEMENT
* The sponsor is Titan Group
* The advertisement is linked to policy advocacy around industrial
competitiveness, carbon pricing, and decarbonization in the EU cement and
construction sectors, including the EU’s CBAM legislation, the Green Deal,
and the proposed revision of the ETS.
More information here.
Disclaimer:
POLITICAL ADVERTISEMENT
* The sponsor is Polish Electricity Association (PKEE)
* The advertisement is linked to policy advocacy on energy transition,
electricity market design, and industrial competitiveness in the EU.
More information here
The European Union is entering a decisive decade for its energy transformation.
With the international race for clean technologies accelerating, geopolitical
tensions reshaping markets and competition from other major global economies
intensifying, how the EU approaches the transition will determine its economic
future. If managed strategically, the EU can drive competitiveness, growth and
resilience. If mismanaged, Europe risks losing its industrial base, jobs and
global influence.
> If managed strategically, the EU can drive competitiveness, growth and
> resilience. If mismanaged, Europe risks losing its industrial base, jobs and
> global influence.
This message resonated strongly during PKEE Energy Day 2025, held in Brussels on
October 14, which brought together more than 350 European policymakers, industry
leaders and experts under the theme “Secure, competitive and clean: is Europe
delivering on its energy promise?”. One conclusion was clear: the energy
transition must serve the economy, not the other way around.
Laurent Louis Photography for PKEE
The power sector: the backbone of Europe’s industrial future
The future of European competitiveness will be shaped by its power sector.
Without a successful transformation of electricity generation and distribution,
other sectors — from steel and chemicals to mobility and digital — will fail to
decarbonize. This point was emphasized by Konrad Wojnarowski, Poland’s deputy
minister of energy, who described electricity as “vital to development and
competitiveness.”
“Transforming Poland’s energy sector is a major technological and financial
challenge — but we are on the right track,” he said. “Success depends on
maintaining the right pace of change and providing strong support for
innovation.” Wojnarowski also underlined that only close cooperation between
governments, industry and academia can create the conditions for a secure,
competitive and sustainable energy future.
Flexibility: the strategic enabler
The shift to a renewables-based system requires more than capacity additions —
it demands a fundamental redesign of how electricity is produced, managed and
consumed. Dariusz Marzec, president of the Polish Electricity Association (PKEE)
and CEO of PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna, called flexibility “the Holy Grail of
the power sector.”
Speaking at the event, Marzec also stated “It’s not about generating electricity
continuously, regardless of demand. It’s about generating it when it’s needed
and making the price attractive. Our mission, as part of the European economy,
is to strengthen competitiveness and ensure energy security for all consumers –
not just to pursue climate goals for their own sake. Without a responsible
approach to the transition, many industries could relocate outside Europe.”
The message is clear: the clean energy shift must balance environmental ambition
with economic reality. Europe cannot afford to treat decarbonization as an
isolated goal — it must integrate it into a broader industrial strategy.
> The message is clear: the clean energy shift must balance environmental
> ambition with economic reality.
The next decade will define success
While Europe’s climate neutrality target for 2050 remains a cornerstone of EU
policy, the next five to ten years will determine whether the continent remains
globally competitive. Grzegorz Lot, CEO of TAURON Polska Energia and
vice-president of PKEE, warned that technology is advancing too quickly for
policymakers to rely solely on long-term milestones.
“Technology is evolving too fast to think of the transition only in terms of
2050. Our strategy is to act now — over the next year, five years, or decade,”
Lot said. He pointed to the expected sharp decline in coal consumption over the
next three years and called for immediate investment in proven technologies,
particularly onshore wind.
Lot also raised concerns about structural barriers. “Today, around 30 percent of
the price of electricity is made up of taxes. If we want affordable energy and a
competitive economy, this must change,” he argued.
Consumers and regulation: the overlooked pillars
A successful energy transition cannot rely solely on investment and
infrastructure. It also depends on regulatory stability and consumer
participation. “Maintaining competitiveness requires not only investment in
green technologies but also a stable regulatory environment and active consumer
engagement,” Lot said.
He highlighted the potential of dynamic tariffs, which incentivize demand-side
flexibility. “Customers who adjust their consumption to market conditions can
pay below the regulated price level. If we want cheap energy, we must learn to
follow nature — consuming and storing electricity when the sun shines or the
wind blows.”
Strategic investments for resilience
The energy transition is more than a climate necessity. It is a strategic
requirement for Europe’s security and economic autonomy. Marek Lelątko,
vice-president of Enea, stressed that customer- and market-oriented investment
is essential. “We are investing in renewables, modern gas-fired units and energy
storage because they allow us to ensure supply stability, affordable prices and
greater energy security,” he said.
Grzegorz Kinelski, CEO of Enea and vice-president of PKEE, added: “We must stay
on the fast track we are already on. Investments in renewables, storage and CCGT
[combined cycle gas turbine] units will not only enhance energy security but
also support economic growth and help keep energy prices affordable for Polish
consumers.”
The power sector must now be recognized as a strategic enabler of Europe’s
industrial future — on par with semiconductors, critical raw materials and
defense. As Dariusz Marzec puts it: “The energy transition is not a choice — it
is a necessity. But its success will determine more than whether we meet climate
targets. It will decide whether Europe remains competitive, prosperous and
economically independent in a rapidly changing world.”
> The power sector must now be recognized as a strategic enabler of Europe’s
> industrial future — on par with semiconductors, critical raw materials and
> defense.
Measurable progress, but more is needed
Progress is visible. The power sector accounts for around 30 percent of EU
emissions but has already delivered 75 percent of all Emissions Trading System
reductions. By 2025, 72 percent of Europe’s electricity will come from
low-carbon sources, while fossil fuels will fall to a historic low of 28
percent. And in Poland, in June, renewable energy generation overtook coal for
the first time in history.
Still, ambition alone is not enough. In his closing remarks, Marcin Laskowski,
vice-president of PKEE and executive vice-president for regulatory affairs at
PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna, stressed the link between the power sector and
Europe’s broader economic transformation. “The EU’s economic transformation will
only succeed if the energy transition succeeds — safely, sustainably and with
attractive investment conditions,” he said. “It is the power sector that must
deliver solutions to decarbonize industries such as steel, chemicals and food
production.”
A collective European project
The event in Brussels — with the participation of many high-level speakers,
including Mechthild Wörsdörfer, deputy director general of DG ENER; Tsvetelina
Penkova, member of the European Parliament and vice-chair of the Committee on
Industry, Research and Energy; Thomas Pellerin-Carlin, member of the European
Parliament; Catherine MacGregor; CEO of ENGIE and vice-president of Eurelectric;
and Claude Turmes, former minister of energy of Luxembourg — highlighted
a common understanding: the energy transition is not an isolated environmental
policy, it is a strategic industrial project. Its success will depend on
coordinated action across EU institutions, national governments and industry, as
well as predictable regulation and financing.
Europe’s ability to remain competitive, resilient and prosperous will hinge on
whether its power sector is treated not as a cost to be managed, but as a
foundation to be strengthened. The next decade is a window of opportunity — and
the choices made today will shape Europe’s economic landscape for decades to
come.
An emerging U.S.-China detente gives European leaders breathing room to find a
strategy on trade, raw materials and the war in Ukraine — but the thaw between
the two great powers risks pushing European interests to the side.
President Donald Trump and his counterpart Xi Jinping agreed to a significant
de-escalation in their trade spat during a head-to-head Thursday in South Korea,
pausing export controls on rare earth magnets and other critical raw materials
for 12 months.
While the move is good news for European companies that have been caught in the
crossfire, other sticking points in the Europe-China relationship will be harder
to resolve, even with the gift of time.
Brussels, under pressure from Trump and in pursuit of its own strategic
interests, is trying — without notable success — to sway Beijing from supporting
Russia in its war on Ukraine.
At the same time the EU is doing its best to keep the temperature down in its
longstanding trade standoff with China, whose intensity has ratcheted up
recently with the imposition of limits on exports of critical raw materials and
microchips. Both measures have had an immediate negative impact on European
industry, particularly automakers which were already struggling prior to the
restrictions.
Fears of lasting, irreversible damage to Europe’s industries have led the EU to
take a more conciliatory stance in its trade standoff, emphasizing engagement
and dialogue rather than punitive measures.
Yet Chinese officials have balked at the slow and uncoordinated pace of
discussions with the EU, leading Beijing to drop Europe down its list of
priorities, according to Jeremy Chan, a senior analyst at Eurasia Group.
“The EU is a secondary at best, maybe a tertiary or a non-consideration for both
Washington and Beijing in these negotiations,” Chan told POLITICO.
‘LET THEM FIGHT’
The top political priority for the EU is ending the war in Ukraine — something
that Trump while on the campaign trail promised to do within his first 24 hours
in office. Almost a year into his term, the fighting continues, aided by China
propping up Russia’s economy through investments and oil purchases.
At the urging of the White House, the EU included Chinese banks and refineries
in its two latest rounds of sanctions targeting Russia, arguing the entities
were helping Moscow evade sanctions. This prompted an angry response from top
Chinese officials including Prime Minister Li Qiang, who branded the sanctions
“unacceptable” during a meeting with European Council President Antonio Costa in
Asia this week, per an EU official.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and the bloc’s top diplomat,
Kaja Kallas, have both called out Beijing’s support for Moscow in explicit
terms, with the former saying in July that it has a “direct and dangerous impact
on European security.”
The EU’s latest sanctions prompted an angry response from top Chinese officials
including Prime Minister Li Qiang, who branded them “unacceptable” at a meeting
with European Council President Antonio Costa, per an EU official. | Pool photo
by Vincent Thian via AFP/Getty Images
Ukraine had hoped Trump would pressure Beijing to stop buying Russian oil, but
the American president told media on Air Force One that the issue was not on the
table — although he did say the war in Ukraine “came up very strongly,” with
both sides hoping to find an end to the fighting.
“He’s going to help us and we’re going to work together on Ukraine,” Trump said,
referring to the Chinese president.
INDUSTRIES HELD HOSTAGE
While China’s export controls were not directed at the EU, the bloc’s companies
faced long delays and sharp price hikes in contending with the subsequent
shortage of raw materials and magnets. China accounts for 98 percent of the EU’s
rare earth permanent magnets.
The geopolitical firestorm sent the European Commission into overdrive to secure
its own supplies of the magnets and launch a plan to diversify Europe’s supply
chain by the end of the year.
But the EU has been here before. Just two years ago it passed the Critical Raw
Materials Act to solve this exact problem, and yet all the deals that have been
signed have failed to deliver actual products. Its latest scheme is big on ideas
and short on specifics.
The one-year pause on export controls agreed between Trump and Xi affords the EU
some time to put that plan into action and leverage its other alliances —
including efforts unfolding at the G7 this week with Canada, along with the
U.K., Italy, France and Germany seeking to diversify away from China’s grip.
But for companies looking for clarity, the catch is that none of the agreements
made between Trump and Xi are binding.
“As long as we don’t see any details hammered out and put on paper it leaves a
lot of room for both sides backtracking and applying various other conditions,
so I don’t think that this is really settled,” said Alexander Gabuev, director
of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.
SECURITY CONCERNS
In the U.K., pressure is expected to build for policymakers to use the temporary
U.S. truce to minimize the risks from China.
British PM Keir Starmer has thus far failed to resolve longstanding tensions
between “securocrats” in parliament and Whitehall, who want to see a tougher
stance toward Beijing, and those who argue for a closer embrace in order to
boost inward investment.
Prominent members of the government have traveled to Beijing in pursuit of
strengthened ties since Starmer took office, despite his overriding foreign
policy aim of cleaving close to Trump.
China has become a particular sore point for Starmer in recent weeks due to the
collapse of the prosecution of two men accused of spying for Beijing, while
ministers have yet to decide the fate of a planned Chinese “super-embassy” in
London.
Back in the EU, divisions among member countries over how to counter China’s
power — and any subsequent retribution — make a unified stance toward Beijing on
trade or dumping measures unlikely.
Brussels got a glimpse of its internal factions when it slapped duties on
made-in-China electric vehicles following an anti-subsidy investigation.
Automakers and their political benefactors fear Chinese brands will dump their
overcapacity in the European market, bringing a severe price war to Europe’s
shores.
Yet for all the handwringing over how to protect domestic automakers, the votes
of EU capitals on the duties revealed how economically exposed each is to China,
with Germany launching a last-minute appeal to stop the duties.
The Netherlands is the latest EU member on the outs with China after Dutch
authorities seized control of chipmaker Nexperia, prompting Beijing to hit back
with export controls on Nexperia’s Chinese-produced chips. The shortage could
halt production lines across Europe in less than a week, showcasing just how
economically dependent Europe has become on China.
LET’S BE FRIENDS
From the jump, Trump framed his sojourn to Asia as a “G2” summit, stoking fears
that any deal would sideline other countries or that “British and European trade
priorities could be overlooked or traded away without consultation,” said David
Taylor, director of policy and programs at Asia House.
Sensing its declining influence in the Trump-Xi bromance, the EU is looking to
bolster its trade ties elsewhere.
Trade chief Maroš Šefčovič is traveling to Australia in late November to chair
an inaugural dialogue between the EU and the 12 members of the Comprehensive and
Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership bloc, two diplomats told
POLITICO. The dialogue is meant to deepen economic and political ties between
the EU and countries keen to maintain established global trade rules.
Brussels, under pressure from Donald Trump and in pursuit of its own strategic
interests, is trying to sway Beijing from supporting Russia in its war on
Ukraine. | Jim Watson/Getty Images
Brussels will have a chance to do just that when it hosts a delegation of
high-level Chinese officials on Friday. They’re expected to meet with the
Commission’s trade deputy-director general, Denis Redonnet, and other senior
officials.
Experts caution that Europe will need to maintain pressure on Beijing to get any
movement on its priorities.
“Europe cannot just simply be waiting to see what happens on talks between [the]
United States and China,” said Ignacio Garcia Bercero, a former director at the
Commission’s trade department. “It needs to develop its own channel of dialogue
with China.”
BRUSSELS — In the midst of a geopolitical storm, Brussels is racing to put
together a new plan by the end of this year to diversify European supply of
so-called critical raw materials — such as lithium and copper — away from
China.
The thing is: We’ve been here before. So far, the European Commission has
provided few details on its new plan, beyond that it would touch upon joint
purchasing, stockpiling, recycling of resources and new partnerships. It already
addressed those measures two years ago in its first initiative on the issue, the
Critical Raw Materials Act.
Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen has been forced to act by Beijing’s
expansion and tightening of export controls on rare earths and other critical
minerals this month, as trade tensions with Washington escalated. Europe was
caught in the crossfire — China accounts for 99 percent of the EU’s supply of
the 17 rare earths, and 98 percent of its rare earth permanent magnets.
The new “RESourceEU” plan is expected to follow a similar model to the REPowerEU
plan, under which the Commission in 2022 proposed investing €225 billion to
diversify energy supply routes after Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine.
That has European industry daring to hope that Brussels will do more than just
recycle an old initiative and address the main obstacles to diversifying the
bloc’s supply chains of minerals it needs for everything from renewable energy
to defense applications. The biggest of them all? A lack of cash to back new
mining, processing and manufacturing initiatives, both within and outside the
EU.
“It’s all still very much in its infancy,” said Florian Anderhuber, deputy
director general of lobby group Euromines.
“We hope that there will be a bigger push that goes beyond the implementation of
the Critical Raw Materials Act,” he added. “It doesn’t help anyone if this is
just a label for things that are already in the pipeline.”
CODEPENDENT RELATIONSHIP
The EU should not count on any trade reprieve that may result from U.S.
President Donald Trump’s meeting with Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping on
Thursday. After all, Beijing has shown time and again that it has no
reservations about weaponizing economic dependencies.
The key question is whether, this time around, pressure will remain high enough
for the EU to mobilize brainpower and assets at the kind of scale it did when it
sought to break the bloc’s decades-old reliance on Russian oil and gas.
“Europe cannot do things the same way anymore,” von der Leyen said as she
announced the initiative last weekend.
“We learned this lesson painfully with energy; we will not repeat it with
critical materials. So it is time to speed up and take the action that is
needed.”
“Europe cannot do things the same way anymore,” von der Leyen said as she
announced the initiative last weekend. | Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images
In the here and now, the EU wants to persuade a visiting Chinese delegation at
talks in Brussels on Friday to speed up export approvals for its top raw
materials importers. In parallel, energy and environment ministers from the G7
group of industrialized nations are slated to wargame how to de-risk their
mineral supply chains in Toronto, Canada, on Thursday and Friday.
MONEY, MONEY, MONEY
When the Commission unveiled its first grand plan to break over-reliance on
China in 2023 — the Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) — industry leaders and
analysts mostly lamented one thing: a lack of funding on the table.
“Money has been a real bottleneck for Europe’s raw materials agenda,” said
Tobias Gehrke, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign
Relations. “Mining, processing, recycling, and stockpiling all need serious
financing.”
If the EU fails to free up more resources, experts warn that it is bound to fall
short of the goal set in the CRMA, of extracting at least 10 percent of its
annual consumption of select minerals by the end of the decade, with no more
than 65 percent of some raw materials coming from a single country.
It’s a steep target — especially for rare earths, where Beijing has over decades
built up a de facto monopoly. While the EU executive has selected strategic
projects both within and outside the EU that should benefit from faster
permitting than their usual lead times of 10 to 15 years to production, those
efforts are yet to bear fruit.
“To finance such projects, the next EU budget must provide substantial,
dedicated [Critical Raw Material] funding, and financial institutions must
deploy innovative de-risking and financing tools,” the European Initiative for
Energy Security argues in a new report, calling for a “permanent European
Minerals Investment Network.”
“To finance such projects, the next EU budget must provide substantial,
dedicated [Critical Raw Material] funding, and financial institutions must
deploy innovative de-risking and financing tools,” the European Initiative for
Energy Security argues in a new report. | Aris Oikonomou/AFP via Getty Images
The REPowerEU plan — a package of documents, including legal acts,
recommendations, guidelines and strategies — was mostly financed by loans left
over from the bloc’s pandemic recovery program.
Similarly, RESourceEU must become “resource strategy backed by real funding,”
said Hildegard Bentele, a member of the European Parliament who’s been working
on critical minerals for years.
“This requires a European Raw Materials Fund, modelled on successful instruments
in several Member States, to support strategic projects across the entire value
chain, from extraction to recycling,” the German Christian Democrat said.
THAT’LL COST YOU
It’s about more than just throwing money at the problem: The Commission’s haste
in rolling out its plan is raising doubts that it will meet the needs of a
highly complex market — along with concerns that environmental safeguards will
be neglected.
“As long as European industries can buy cheaper materials from China, other
producers do not stand a chance,” warned Gehrke.
In Toronto, G7 ministers will launch a new Critical Minerals Production Alliance
(CMPA), a Canadian-led initiative that seeks to secure “transparent, democratic,
and environmentally responsible critical minerals,” and also to counter market
manipulation of supply chains, said a senior Canadian government official.
This would suggest creating so-called standards-based markets that are
ring-fenced to protect critical minerals produced responsibly, to agreed
environmental and social standards. A price floor would be set within that
market, while minerals produced elsewhere — at lower prices but also lower
standards — would face a tariff.
Beyond the immediate funding issues, ramping up mining in the EU and its
neighbourhood also comes at a high societal cost. With local resistance to new
mines, usually linked to environmental and social concerns, being one of the key
obstacles to new projects, investors are often hesitant to pour money into a
project that risks being derailed shortly after.
“The EU is choosing geopolitical expediency over human rights and ecological
integrity, sacrificing frontline communities for a strategy that is neither
sustainable nor just, instead of building a durable and values-based autonomy
that invests in systemic circularity and rights-based partnerships,” said Diego
Marin, a senior policy officer for raw materials and resource justice at the
European Environmental Bureau, an NGO.
Jakob Weizman and Camille Gijs contributed reporting from Brussels. Zi-Ann Lum
contributed reporting from Toronto, Canada.