The first American pope is on a collision course with U.S. President Donald
Trump.
The latest fault line between the Vatican and the White House emerged on Sunday.
Shortly after Trump suggested his administration could “run” Venezuela, the
Chicago-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of the “country’s
sovereignty.”
For MAGA-aligned conservatives, this is now part of an unwelcome pattern. While
Leo is less combative in tone toward Trump than his predecessor Francis, his
priorities are rekindling familiar battles in the culture war with the U.S.
administration on topics such as immigration and deportations, LGBTQ+ rights and
climate change.
As the leader of a global community of 1.4 billion Catholics, Leo has a rare
position of influence to challenge Trump’s policies, and the U.S. president has
to tread with uncustomary caution in confronting him. Trump traditionally
relishes blasting his critics with invective but has been unusually restrained
in response to Leo’s criticism, in part because he counts a large number of
Catholics among his core electorate.
“[Leo] is not looking for a fight like Francis, who sometimes enjoyed a fight,”
said Chris White, author of “Pope Leo XIV: Inside the Conclave and the Dawn of a
New Papacy.”
“But while different in style, he is clearly a continuation of Francis in
substance. Initially there was a wait-and-see approach, but for many MAGA
Catholics, Leo challenges core beliefs.”
In recent months, migration has become the main combat zone between the liberal
pope and U.S. conservatives. Leo called on his senior clergy to speak out on the
need to protect vulnerable migrants, and U.S. bishops denounced the
“dehumanizing rhetoric and violence” leveled at people targeted by Trump’s
deportation policies. Leo later went public with an appeal that migrants in the
U.S. be treated “humanely” and “with dignity.”
Leo’s support emboldened Florida bishops to call for a Christmas reprieve from
Immigration and Customs Enforcement raids. “Don’t be the Grinch that stole
Christmas,” said Archbishop Thomas Wenski of Miami.
As if evidence were needed of America’s polarization on this topic, however, the
Department of Homeland Security described their arrests as a “Christmas gift to
Americans.”
Leo also conspicuously removed Cardinal Timothy Dolan, Trump’s preferred
candidate for pope and a favorite on the conservative Fox News channel, from a
key post as archbishop of New York, replacing him with a bishop known for
pro-migrant views.
This cuts to the heart of the moral dilemma for a divided U.S. Catholic
community. For Trump, Catholics are hardly a sideshow as they constitute 22
percent of his electorate, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center. While
the pope appeals to liberal causes, however, many MAGA Catholics take a far
stricter line on topics such as migration, sexuality and climate change.
To his critics from the conservative Catholic MAGA camp, such as Trump’s former
strategist Steve Bannon, the pope is anathema.
U.S.-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of Venezuela’s
“sovereignty.” | Stefano Costantino/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
Last year the pope blessed a chunk of ice from Greenland and criticized
political leaders who ignore climate change. He said supporters of the death
penalty could not credibly claim to be pro-life, and argued that Christians and
Muslims could be friends. He has also signaled a more tolerant posture toward
LGBTQ+ Catholics, permitting an LGBTQ+ pilgrimage to St Peter’s Basilica.
Small wonder, then, that Trump confidante and conspiracy theorist Laura Loomer
branded Leo the “woke Marxist pope.” Trump-aligned Catholic conservatives have
denounced him as “secularist,” “globalist” and even “apostate.” Far-right pundit
Jack Posobiec has called him “anti-Trump.”
“Some popes are a blessing. Some popes are a penance,” Posobiec wrote on X.
PONTIFF FROM CHICAGO
There were early hopes that Leo might build bridges with U.S. hardliners. He’s
an American, after all: He wears an Apple watch and follows baseball, and
American Catholics can hardly dismiss him as as foreign. The Argentine Francis,
by contrast, was often portrayed by critics as anti-American and shaped by the
politics of poorer nations.
Leo can’t be waved away so easily.
Early in his papacy, Leo also showed signs he was keen to steady the church
after years of internal conflict, and threw some bones to conservatives such as
allowing a Latin Mass in St. Peter’s Basilica and wearing more ornate papal
vestments.
But the traditionalists were not reassured.
Benjamin Harnwell, the Vatican correspondent for the MAGA-aligned War Room
podcast, said conservatives were immediately skeptical of Leo. “From day one, we
have been telling our base to be wary: Do not be deceived,” he said. Leo,
Harnwell added, is “fully signed up to Francis’ agenda … but [is] more strategic
and intelligent.”
After the conclave that appointed Leo, former Trump strategist Bannon told
POLITICO that Leo’s election was “the worst choice for MAGA Catholics” and “an
anti-Trump vote by the globalists of the Curia.”
Trump had a long-running feud with Francis, who condemned the U.S. president’s
border wall and criticized his migration policies.
Francis appeared to enjoy that sparring, but Leo is a very different character.
More retiring by nature, he shies away from confrontation. But his resolve in
defending what he sees as non-negotiable moral principles, particularly the
protection of the weak, is increasingly colliding with the core assumptions of
Trumpism.
Trump loomed large during the conclave, with an AI-generated video depicting
himself as pope. The gesture was seen by some Vatican insiders as a
“mafia-style” warning to elect someone who would not criticize him,
Vatican-watcher Elisabetta Piqué wrote in a new book “The Election of Pope Leo
XIV: The Last Surprise of Pope Francis.”
NOT PERSONAL
Leo was not chosen expressly as an anti-Trump figure, according to a Vatican
official. Rather, his nationality was likely seen by some cardinals as
“reassuring,” suggesting he would be accountable and transparent in governance
and finances.
But while Leo does not seem to be actively seeking a confrontation with Trump,
the world views of the two men seem incompatible.
“He will avoid personalizing,” said the same Vatican official. “He will state
church teaching, not in reaction to Trump, but as things he would say anyway.”
Despite the attacks on Leo from his allies, Trump himself has also appeared wary
of a direct showdown. When asked about the pope in a POLITICO interview, Trump
was more keen to discuss meeting the pontiff’s brother in Florida, whom he
described as “serious MAGA.”
When pressed on whether he would meet the pope himself, he finally replied:
“Sure, I will. Why not?”
The potential for conflict will come into sharper focus as Leo hosts a summit
called an extraordinary consistory this week, the first of its kind since 2014,
which is expected to provide a blueprint for the future direction of the church.
His first publication on social issues, such as inequality and migration, is
also expected in the next few months.
“He will use [the summit] to talk about what he sees as the future,” said a
diplomat posted to the Vatican. “It will give his collaborators a sense of where
he is going. He could use it as a sounding board, or ask them to suggest
solutions.”
It’s safe to assume Leo won’t be unveiling a MAGA-aligned agenda.
The ultimate balance of power may also favor the pope.
Trump must contend with elections and political clocks; Leo, elected for life,
does not. At 70, and as a tennis player in good health, Leo appears positioned
to shape Catholic politics well after Trump’s moment has passed.
“He is not in a hurry,” the Vatican official said. “Time is on his side.”
Tag - Transition/implementation period
Britain’s biggest trade union body has called on the Labour government to
consider rejoining an EU customs union, reopening a core Brexit fault line as
the party grapples with weak growth and rising pressure from its traditional
base.
In an interview with the Guardian, Trades Union Congress (TUC) General Secretary
Paul Nowak said Labour should seek the closest possible economic relationship
with the EU to ease trade friction and support household incomes.
“The government needs to do whatever it can to build the closest possible
positive working relationship with Europe economically and politically … up to
and including the customs union,” Nowak said.
The U.K. left the EU customs union after the 2016 Brexit referendum, formally
exiting the bloc in January 2020 under then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Britain remained aligned with EU trade rules during a transition period before
fully leaving the customs union on Jan. 1, 2021, when the EU-U.K. Trade and
Cooperation Agreement took effect.
The move restored Britain’s ability to strike independent trade deals but
introduced customs checks, rules-of-origin requirements and new barriers for
exporters.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer has so far ruled out rejoining the customs union,
framing it as a red line while promising a broader “reset” with Brussels.
“We are getting a closer relationship with the EU on a number of fronts,
including on trade and the economy,” Starmer told MPs earlier this month,
adding: “We have clear red lines in relation to the single market and the
customs union.”
HOW DO BULGARIANS FEEL ABOUT JOINING THE EURO?
The Balkan nation is sharply divided about bidding farewell to the lev.
Text by BORYANA DZHAMBAZOVA
Photos by DOBRIN KASHAVELOV
in Pernik, Bulgaria
Bulgaria is set to adopt the EU’s single currency on Jan. 1, but polling shows
the Balkan nation is sharply divided on whether it’s a good thing.
POLITICO spoke to some Bulgarians about their fears and hopes, as they say
goodbye to their national currency, the lev. Their comments have been edited for
length.
ANTON TEOFILOV, 73
Vendor at the open-air market in Pernik, a small city 100 kilometers from Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
We are a different generation, but we support the euro. We’ll benefit hugely
from joining the eurozone. It will make paying anywhere in the EU easy and
hassle-free. It would be great for both the economy and the nation. You can
travel, do business, do whatever you want using a single currency — no more
hassle or currency exchanges. You can go to Greece and buy a bottle of ouzo with
the same currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I don’t expect any turbulence — from January on we would just pay in euros. No
one is complaining about the price tags in euros, and in lev at the moment.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
The lev is a wonderful thing, but its time has passed; that’s just how life
works. It will be much better for the economy to adopt the euro. It will be so
much easier to share a common currency with the other EU countries.
Now, if you go to Greece, as many Bulgarians do, you need to exchange money.
After January – wherever you need to make a payment – either going to the store,
or to buy produce for our business, it would be one and the same.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to explain things more clearly to those who are confused. We are
a people who often need a lot of convincing, and on top of that, we’re a divided
nation.
If you ask me, we need to get rid of half the MPs in Parliament – they receive
hefty salaries and are a burden to taxpayers, like parasites, without doing any
meaningful work.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
There are 27 member states, and we will become one with them. There will be no
difference between Germany and us—we’ll be much closer to Europe.
I remember the 1990s, when you needed to fill out endless paperwork just to
travel, let alone to work abroad. I spent a year working in construction in
Germany, and getting all the permits and visas was a major headache. Now things
are completely different, and joining the eurozone is another step toward that
openness.
Advertisement
PETYA SPASOVA, 55
Orthopedic doctor in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
It worries me a lot. I don’t think this is the right moment for Bulgaria to join
the eurozone. First, the country is politically very unstable, and the eurozone
itself faces serious problems. As the poorest EU member state, we won’t be
immune to those issues. On the contrary, they will only deepen the crisis here.
The war in Ukraine, the growing debt in Germany and France … now we’d be sharing
the debts of the whole of Europe. We are adopting the euro at a time when
economies are strained, and that will lead to serious disruptions and a higher
cost of living.
I don’t understand why the state insists so strongly on joining the eurozone. I
don’t think we’re ready.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Even now, when you go to the store and look at the price of bread or other basic
foods, we see prices climbing. I’m afraid many people will end up living in
extreme poverty. We barely produce anything; we’re a country built on services.
When people get poorer, they naturally start consuming less.
I’m not worried about myself or my family. We live in Sofia, where there are
more job opportunities and higher salaries. I’m worried about people in general.
Every day I see patients who can’t even afford the travel costs to come to Sofia
for medical check-ups.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m extremely worried. I don’t want to relive the economic crisis of the 90s,
when the country was on the verge of bankruptcy.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
No one cares what people think. Many countries held referendums and decided not
to join the eurozone. I don’t believe our politicians can do anything at this
point. I’m not even sure they know what needs to be done.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I feel offended when I hear this question. We’ve been part of Europe for a very
long time, long before many others. We can exchange best practices in culture,
science, education, and more, but that has nothing to do with the eurozone.
Joining can only bring trouble.
I remember years ago when I actually hoped Bulgaria would enter the eurozone.
But that was a different Europe. Now things are deteriorating; the spirit of a
united Europe is gone. I don’t want to be part of this Europe.
Advertisement
SVETOSLAV BONINSKI, 53
Truck driver from Gabrovo, a small city in central Bulgaria
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I’m against Bulgaria joining the eurozone. We saw how Croatia and Greece sank
into debt once they adopted the euro. I don’t want Bulgaria to go down the same
path. Greece had to take a huge loan to bail out its economy. When they still
had the drachma, their economy was strong and stable. After entering the
eurozone, many big companies were forced to shut down and inflation went through
the roof. Even the German economy is experiencing a downturn..
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I worry that there will be speculation and rising inflation. Five years ago, I
used to buy cigarettes in Slovakia at prices similar to Bulgaria. Now I can’t
find anything cheaper than €5 per pack. They saw their prices rise after the
introduction of the euro. We’ll repeat the Slovakia scenario.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
We can already feel that things won’t end well — prices have gone up
significantly, just like in Croatia. I’m afraid that even in the first year
wages won’t be able to compensate for the rise in prices, and people will become
even more impoverished. I expect the financial situation to worsen. Our
government isn’t taking any responsibility for that.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
I hope they will make an effort. We are completely ill-equipped to adopt the
euro—all the stats and figures the government presents are lies. We must wait
until the country is ready to manage the euro as a currency. We’re doing fine
with the lev. We should wait for the economy to grow and for wages to catch up
with the rest of Europe.
The only thing the state could do to ease the process is to step down. The
current government is interested in entering the eurozone only to receive large
amounts of funding, most of which they will probably pocket themselves. The
Bulgarian lev is very stable, unlike the euro, which is quite an unstable
currency. All the eurozone countries are burdened with trillions in debt, while
those outside it are doing quite well.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I don’t think so. We’ve been part of Europe for a long time. The only difference
now will be that Brussels will tell us what to do and will control our budget
and spending. Brussels will be in charge from now on. No good awaits us. Elderly
people won’t receive decent pensions and will work until we drop dead.
Advertisement
NATALI ILIEVA, 20
Political science student from Pernik
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I see it as a step forward for us. It’s a positive development for both society
and the country. I expect that joining the eurozone will help the economy grow
and position Bulgaria more firmly within Europe. For ordinary people, it will
make things easier, especially when traveling, since we’ll be using the same
currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
The transition period might be difficult at first. I don’t think the change of
currency will dramatically affect people’s daily lives – after all, under the
currency board, the lev has been pegged to the euro for years. Some people are
worried that prices might rise, and this is where the state must step in to
monitor the situation, prevent abuse, and make the transition as smooth as
possible.
As part of my job at the youth center, I travel a lot in Europe. Being part of
the eurozone would make travel much more convenient. My life would be so much
easier! I wouldn’t have to worry about carrying euros in cash or paying
additional fees when withdrawing money abroad, or wondering: Did I take the
right debit card in euros?
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m more concerned that the issue will be politicized by certain parties to
further polarize society. Joining the eurozone is a logical next step – we
agreed to it by default when we joined the bloc in 2007. There is so much
disinformation circulating on social media that it’s hard for some people to see
the real facts and distinguish what’s true from what’s not.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to launch an information campaign to make the transition as
smooth as possible. Authorities should explain what the change of currency means
for people in a clear and accessible way. You don’t need elaborate language to
communicate what’s coming, especially when some radical parties are aggressively
spreading anti-euro and anti-EU rhetoric.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Yes, I think it will help the country become better integrated into Europe. In
the end, I believe people will realize that joining the eurozone will be worth
it.
Advertisement
YANA TANKOVSKA, 47
Jewelry artist based in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
If you ask me, the eurozone is on the verge of collapse, and now we have decided
to join? I don’t think it’s a good idea. In theory, just like communism, the
idea of a common currency union might sound good, but in practice it doesn’t
really work out. I have friends working and living abroad [in eurozone
countries], and things are not looking up for regular people, even in Germany.
We all thought we would live happily as members of the bloc, but that’s not the
reality.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I expect the first half of next year to be turbulent. But we are used to
surviving, so we will adapt yet again. Personally, we might have to trim some
expenses, go out less, and make sure the family budget holds. I make jewelry, so
I’m afraid I’ll have fewer clients, since they will also have to cut back.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m terribly worried. The state promises there won’t be a jump in prices and
that joining the eurozone won’t negatively affect the economy. But over the past
two years the cost of living has risen significantly, and I don’t see that trend
reversing. For example, in the last three years real estate prices have doubled.
There isn’t a single person who isn’t complaining about rising costs.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
There is nothing they can do at this point. Politicians do not really protect
Bulgaria’s interests on this matter. The issue is not only about joining the
eurozone but about protecting our national interests. I just want them to have
people’s well-being at heart. Maybe we need to hit rock bottom to finally see
meaningful change.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Not really. That’s up to us, not to Europe. I just want Bulgarian politicians to
finally start creating policies for the sake of society, not just enriching
themselves, to act in a way that would improve life for everyone.
Advertisement
KATARINA NIKOLIC, 49, AND METODI METODIEV, 53
Business partners at a ‘gelateria’ in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
Metodi: For a small business like ours, I don’t think it will make much
difference, as long as the transition to the new currency is managed smoothly. I
can only see a positive impact on the economy if things are done right. I’m a
bit saddened to say farewell to the Bulgarian lev — it’s an old currency with
its own history — but times are changing, and this is a natural step for an EU
member.
Katarina: I have lived in Italy which adopted the euro a long time ago. Based on
my experience there, I don’t expect any worrying developments related to price
increases or inflation. On the contrary, joining the eurozone in January can
only be interpreted as a sign of trust from the European Commission and could
bring more economic stability to Bulgaria. I also think it will increase
transparency, improve financial supervision, and provide access to cheaper
loans.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Metodi: I don’t think there will be any difference for our business whether
we’re paying in euros or in leva. We’ve been an EU member state for a while now
and we’re used to working with both local and international suppliers. It will
just take some getting used to switching to one currency for another. But we are
already veterans — Bulgarian businesses are very adaptive — from dealing with
renominations and all sorts of economic reforms.
I’m just concerned that it might be challenging for some elderly people to adapt
to the new currency and they might need some support and more information.
Katarina: For many people, it will take time to get used to seeing a new
currency, but they will adapt. For me, it’s nothing new. Since I lived in Italy,
where the euro is used, I automatically convert to euros whenever Metodi and I
discuss business.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
Metodi: The decision has already been taken, so let’s make the best of it and
ensure a smooth transition. I haven’t exchanged money when traveling in at least
10 years. I just use my bank card to pay or withdraw cash if I need any.
Katarina: I remember that some people in Italy also predicted disaster when the
euro was introduced, and many were nostalgic about the lira. But years later,
Italy is still a stable economy. I think our international partners will look at
us differently once we are part of the eurozone.
Advertisement
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
Metodi: I think the authorities are already taking measures to make sure prices
don’t rise and that businesses don’t round conversions upward unfairly. For
example, we may have to slightly increase the price of our ice cream in January.
I feel a bit awkward about it because I don’t want people to say, “Look, they’re
taking advantage of the euro adoption to raise prices.” But honestly, we haven’t
adjusted our prices since we opened three years ago.
I’m actually very impressed by how quickly and smoothly small businesses and
market sellers have adopted double pricing [marking prices in lev and euros]. I
know how much work that requires, especially if you’re a small business owner.
Katarina: It’s crucial that the state doesn’t choke small businesses with
excessive demands but instead supports them. I believe that helping small
businesses grow should be a key focus of the government, not just supervising
the currency swap. My hope is that the euro will help the Bulgarian economy
thrive. I love Bulgaria and want to see it flourish. I’m a bit more optimistic
than Metodi, I think the best is yet to come.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Metodi: I think so. Despite some criticism, good things are happening in the
country, no matter who is in power. We need this closeness to truly feel part of
Europe.
Katarina: The euro is a financial and economic instrument. Adopting it won’t
change national cultural identity, Bulgarians will keep their culture. I’m a
true believer in Europe, and I think it’s more important than ever to have a
united continent. As an Italian and Serbian citizen, I really appreciate that
borders are open and that our children can choose where to study and work. In
fact, our gelateria is a great example of international collaboration: we have
people from several different countries in the team.
BRUSSELS — European leaders like Romania’s Nicușor Dan spent most of 2025 trying
to work out how to live with Donald Trump. Or — even worse — without him.
Since the great disruptor of international norms returned to the White House in
January, he has made clear just how little he really cares for Europe — some of
his key lieutenants are plainly hostile.
The U.S. president slashed financial and military aid to Ukraine, hit the
European Union with tariffs, and attacked its leaders as “weak.” His
administration is now on a mission to intervene in Europe’s democracy to back
“patriotic” parties and shift politics toward MAGA’s anti-migrant goals.
For leaders such as Romania’s moderate president, the dilemma is always how far
to accept Trump’s priorities — because Europe still needs America — and how
strongly to resist his hostility to centrist European values. Does a true
alliance even still exist across the Atlantic?
“The world [has] changed,” Dan said in an interview from his top-floor Brussels
hotel suite. “We shifted from a — in some sense — moral way of doing things to a
very pragmatic and economical way of doing things.”
EU leaders understand this, he said, and now focus their attention on developing
practical strategies for handling the new reality of Trump’s world. Centrists
will need to factor in a concerted drive from Americans to back their populist
opponents on the right as the United States seeks to change Europe’s direction.
Administration officials such as Vice President JD Vance condemned last year’s
canceled election in Romania and the new White House National Security Strategy
suggests the U.S. will seek to bend European politics to its anti-migrant MAGA
agenda.
For Dan, it is “OK” for U.S. politicians to express their opinions. But it would
be a “problem” if the U.S. tried to “influence” politics “undemocratically” —
for example, by paying media inside European countries “like the Russians are
doing.”
WEAK EUROPEANS
Relations with America are critical for a country like Romania, which,
unusually, remained open to the West during four decades of communist rule. On
the EU’s eastern edge, bordering Ukraine, Romania is home to a major NATO base —
soon to be Europe’s biggest — as well as an American ballistic missile defense
site. But the Trump administration has announced the withdrawal of 800 American
troops from Romania, triggering concern in Bucharest.
As winter sun streamed in through the window, Dan argued that Europe and the
U.S. are natural allies because they share more values than other regions of the
world. He thought “a proper partnership” will be possible — “in the medium
[term] future.” But for now, “we are in some sense of a transition period in
which we have to understand better each other.”
Dan’s frank assessment reveals the extent of the damage that has been done to
the transatlantic alliance this year. Trump has injected jeopardy into all
aspects of the Western alliance — even restoring relations with Russian ruler
Vladimir Putin.
At times, Europeans have been at a loss over how to respond.
Does Dan believe Trump had a point when he told POLITICO this month that
European leaders were “weak”?
“Yes,” Dan said, there is “some” truth in Trump’s assessment. Europe can be too
slow to make decisions. For example, it took months of argument and a fraught
summit in Brussels last week that ended at 3 a.m. to agree on a way to fund
Ukraine. But — crucially — even a fractious EU did eventually take “the
important decision,” he said.
That decision to borrow €90 billion in joint EU debt for a loan for
cash-strapped Kyiv will keep Ukraine in the fight against Putin for the next two
years.
WAITING FOR PEACE
According to EU leaders who support the plan (Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia
won’t take part), it makes a peace deal more likely because it sends a signal to
Putin that Ukraine won’t just collapse if he waits long enough.
But Dan believes the end of the war remains some way off, despite Trump’s push
for a ceasefire.
“I am more pessimistic than optimistic on short term,” he said. Putin’s side
does not appear to want peace: “They think a peace in two, three months from now
will be better for them than peace now. So they will fight more — because they
have some small progress on the field.”
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said at last week’s European Council
summit that he wanted Trump to put more pressure on Putin to agree to a
ceasefire. Does Dan agree? “Of course. We are supporting Ukraine.”
But Trump’s “extremely powerful” recent sanctions on Russian oil firms Rosneft
and Lukoil are already helping, Dan said. He also welcomed Trump’s commitment to
peace, and America’s new openness to providing security guarantees to bolster a
final deal.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said at last week’s European Council
summit that he wanted Trump to put more pressure on Putin to agree to a
ceasefire. Does Dan agree? “Of course. We are supporting Ukraine.” | Olivier
Hoslet/EPA
It is clear that Dan hopes Putin doesn’t get the whole of Donbas in eastern
Ukraine, but he doesn’t want to tie Zelenskyy’s hands. “Any kind of peace in
which the aggressor is rewarded in some sense is not good for Europe and for the
future security of the world,” Dan said. “But the decision for the peace is just
on the Ukrainian shoulders. They suffer so much, so we cannot blame them for any
decision they will do.”
Romania plays a critical role as an operational hub for transferring supplies to
neighboring Ukraine. With its Black Sea port of Constanța, the country will be
vital to future peacekeeping operations. Ukrainian soldiers are training in
Romania and it is already working with Bulgaria and Turkey to demine the Black
Sea, Dan said.
Meanwhile, Russian drones have breached Romanian airspace more than a dozen
times since the start of the full-scale war, and a village on the border with
Ukraine had to be evacuated recently when drones set fire to a tanker ship
containing gas. Dan played down the threat.
“We had some drones. We are sure they have not intentionally [been] sent on our
territory,” he said. “We try to say to our people that they are not at all in
danger.” Still, Romania is boosting its military spending to deter Russia all
the same.
CORRUPTION AND A CRISIS OF FAITH
Dan, 56, won the presidency in May this year at a tense moment for the country
of 19 million people.
The moderate former mayor of Bucharest defeated his populist, Ukraine-skeptic
opponent against the odds. The vote was a rerun, after the first attempt to hold
a presidential election was canceled last December over allegations of massive
Russian interference and unlawful activity in support of the far-right
front-runner Călin Georgescu. Legal cases are underway, including charges
against Georgescu and others over an alleged coup plot.
But for many Romanians, the cancelation of the 2024 election merely reinforced
their cynicism toward the entire democratic system in their country. They wanted
change and almost half the electorate backed the far right to deliver it.
Corruption today remains a major problem in Romania and Dan made it his mission
to restore voters’ faith. In his first six months, however, he prioritized
painful and unpopular public-sector spending cuts to bring the budget deficit —
which was the EU’s biggest — under control. “On the big problems of society,
starting with corruption, we didn’t do much,” Dan confessed.
That, he said, will change. A recent TV documentary about alleged corruption in
the judiciary provoked street demonstrations and a protest letter signed by
hundreds of judges.
Dan is due to meet them this week and will then work on legislative reforms
focused on making sure the best magistrates are promoted on merit rather than
because of who they know. “People at the top are working for small networks of
interests, instead of the public good,” Dan said.
But for many Romanians, the cancellation of the 2024 election merely reinforced
their cynicism toward the entire democratic system in their country. | Robert
Ghement/EPA
He was also clear that the state has not yet done enough to explain to voters
why the election last year was canceled. More detail will come in a report
expected in the next two months, he said.
RUSSIAN MEDDLING
One thing that is now obvious is that Russia’s attack on Romanian democracy,
including through a vast TikTok influence campaign, was not isolated. Dan said
his country has been a target for Moscow for a decade, and other European
leaders tell him they now suffer the same disinformation campaigns, as well as
sabotage. Nobody has an answer to the torrent of fake news online, he said.
“I just have talks with leaders for countries that are more advanced than us and
I think nobody has a complete answer,” he said. “If you have that kind of
information and that information arrived to half a million people, even if
you’re coming the next day saying that it was false, you have lost already.”
The far-right populist Alliance for the Union of Romanians party is ahead in the
polls on about 40 percent, mirroring the pattern elsewhere in Europe. Dan, who
beat AUR leader George Simion in May, believes his own team must get closer to
the people to defeat populism. And he wishes that national politicians around
Europe would stop blaming all their unpopular policies on Brussels because that
merely fuels populist causes.
Dan said he has learned that EU politics is in fact a democratic process, in
which different member countries bring their own ideas forward. “With my six
months’ experience, I can say that it’s quite a debate,” he said. “There is not
a bureaucratic master that’s arranging things. It’s a democracy. It’s a pity
that the people do not feel that directly.”
But what about those marathon EU summits that keep everyone working well beyond
midnight? “The topics are well chosen,” Dan said. “But I think the debates are a
little bit too long.”
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Was ist wirklich passiert beim politischen Wechsel in Berlin – und warum? In
dieser Sonderfolge spricht Gordon Repinski mit Journalist und Bestsellerautor
Robin Alexander über sein neues Buch. Es geht um die Lektionen aus dem
Ampel-Scheitern, den strategischen Stilwechsel unter Friedrich Merz – und wie
eine Reform der Schuldenbremse fast an Merz’ überholten Telefon-Gewohnheiten
scheiterte.
Das neue Buch von Robin Alexander „Letzte Chance – Der neue Kanzler und der
Kampf um die Demokratie“ erscheint am 25. Juni 2025 im Siedler Verlag und ist
hier erhältlich.
Alexander liest exklusive Passagen vor: von geheimen Treffen mit
CDU-Ministerpräsidenten bis zu kuriosen Wendepunkten im Machtkampf mit den
Grünen – inklusive eines Besuches beim Schalke-Spiel im Olympiastadion und
politischen Manövern zwischen Britta Haßelmann, Alexander Dobrindt und Jens
Spahn .
Außerdem: Warum Olaf Scholz als „pädagogischer Besserwisser“ scheiterte und
welche strukturellen Defizite die neue Regierung beerbt.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
LONDON — Nearly a year after Britain’s seismic general election, former MPs
booted out by the electorate are feeling abandoned.
The pain is particularly acute for the waves of defeated Conservative
parliamentarians now adjusting to life beyond the Westminster bubble after the
party’s humiliating election rout.
“It’s been months since I’ve heard anything from anyone in the party,” said a
former Tory MP, defeated last year and granted anonymity to speak candidly. “The
Conservative Party has done anything but wrap its arms around former MPs.”
While politics has always been a rough business, big swings in the mood of the
electorate in recent years mean more and more former MPs are finding themselves
reaching out for support — and finding a lot to be desired.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s landslide Labour majority in July came just five
years after Conservative Boris Johnson’s own decisive victory.
That’s made for a rapid turnover of MPs. In 2019 some 24 percent of all
incumbent MPs either threw in the towel or were kicked out of office. At last
year’s election that figure stood at 52 percent — more than half of the entire
House of Commons.
“No matter how well you personally prepare for it, it’s still quite a traumatic
time,” said former Tory MP Iain Stewart, who represented Milton Keynes South for
14 years.
While it’s unlikely to elicit a huge amount of public sympathy, the brutal exit
of so many MPs raises big questions about whether the next crop of political
talent might be put off Westminster altogether.
SHUTTING UP SHOP
Fresh from publicly losing their jobs, former MPs can’t simply throw in the
towel.
Parliamentarians bidding Westminster farewell have four months to complete a
deluge of tasks, including closing down their offices.
This requires help from the Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority
(IPSA), a public body that was created after Britain’s 2009 expenses scandal and
put in charge of MPs’ salaries and entitlements.
It’s not just ex-MPs who lose their jobs on election night, but also their
Westminster and constituency staff. Life as an MP is like running a small
business — when it ends, everything from concluding lease agreements and
destroying confidential information must be sorted.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s landslide Labour majority in July came just five
years after Conservative Boris Johnson’s own decisive victory. | Neil
Hall/EPA-EFE
“It was quite brutal,” said ex-Tory MP Sarah Atherton, who represented Wrexham
between 2019 and 2024. “You are no longer of relevance.”
IPSA also handles support for new MPs — leaving those on the way out fighting
for assistance. “You are bottom of the pile,” Atherton said. “You have to get on
with it, and you have to struggle through. And that was very difficult.”
Some financial measures are in place to soften the blow.
Former MPs who fight an election and lose are eligible for a loss-of-office
payment equal to double the U.K.’s statutory redundancy entitlement. All
departing MPs get a winding-up payment equivalent to four months’ salary.
Though that’s an increase from the previous entitlement of two months, its
sufficiency has been questioned by some ex-politicians who suddenly found
themselves out of work.
Ex-Conservative MP and Brexit Minister Steve Baker, who represented Wycombe for
14 years, said it was “nowhere near large enough,” adding: “If we want MPs to
exercise leadership, there has to be some kind of safety net that you fall into
if you lose your seat.”
Baker is calling for one year’s redundancy pay for ex-MPs “to get us over the
horrible process of actually getting a job when you’re well-known.”
IPSA is also on hand to provide emotional support over the phone when ex-MPs see
their careers go up in flames. There are mixed views on whether this goes far
enough.
“We want to be as sensitive as we possibly can, make it as easy as possible,”
said IPSA’s Director of Policy and Engagement Lee Bridges. “Our team were
well-versed in how those members were going to be feeling and how to deal with
people in those really difficult circumstances.”
Stewart said his experience of this had been positive: “It’s never going to be
an easy process, but I found the support very good and they helped me.”
However, IPSA’s statutory obligation to former MPs ends after four months,
meaning there’s little support that can be offered over the long term, unless
parties themselves step up.
The ex-Tory MP quoted at the top of this article lamented that the offer of
mental health support had lasted just a few months. “IPSA were disappointing on
the whole,” the former MP said.
COLD SHOULDER
For the Tories, simply keeping the lights on has meant that helping former
colleagues took a back seat. The party already faces a battle to keep its
relevance in opposition and retain donors and expensive headquarters.
After the election hammering, all defeated MPs were phoned by the party’s
then-leader Rishi Sunak. They were offered management consultancy career support
by a former colleague who’d become a life coach, as well as a careers fair. The
verdict on this package was distinctly mixed among those POLITICO spoke to.
While Atherton praised the Tories, she said “quite a few” of her ex-colleagues
were still struggling with the toll of defeat. “It’s been much harder than I
ever thought, because I’m not sure what I could have done differently,” she
said.
The anonymous ex-MP said a drinks reception with defeated colleagues “was
utterly depressing. Everyone was just bereft.” They were even concerned that
“one of our number would take their own life at some point over the last year.”
“It’s been an incredibly difficult jobs market,” the same person said. “We’re
not exactly that marketable.”
Baker suggested Conservative donors could help ease the transition by offering
employment to ex-MPs — and lamented both the quality of the career advice
provided by the party, and the risk-averse culture at companies regarding the
hiring of former MPs who had taken strong positions.
“What I don’t need is: Here’s how to apply for a mid-ranking job in a
corporate,” said Baker, a prominent figure in the party’s Brexit wars of the
2010s. “As soon as I apply, they know who I am, they do the Googling and they
don’t want me.”
“I don’t require emotional support from the Conservative Party,” Baker added.
“If they offered it to me, I’d be extremely disappointed that they had kept
money back.”
OPEN TO WORK
The latest crop of ousted Tories aren’t the first to find themselves grappling
with life after politics — as well as deep skepticism among the British public
about some of the steps that might help ease the transition from politics.
“If someone is standing again for election, but they are also proactively
looking at job opportunities in the eventuality that they might lose, there’s
always the risk … that that information gets out and is politically damaging,”
said former Liberal Democrat MP Tom Brake, who lost his seat in 2019 and now
runs the Unlock Democracy pressure group.
Atherton said if MPs maintained a second profession, it could make losing
easier. “If you’ve managed to hold on to your second job, whether you’re a
doctor, whether you’re a teacher, whether you’re a nurse, that is worth its
weight in gold,” she said.
British MPs are currently allowed to take on second jobs but are banned from
providing paid parliamentary advice to outside organizations. Yet controversy
over second jobs is never far from the headlines, and debate rages over where to
draw the line.
For the Tories, simply keeping the lights on has meant that helping former
colleagues took a back seat. | Will Oliver/EPA-EFE
Brake’s Unlock Democracy campaigns against MPs having second jobs involving
large directorships or consultancies with outside firms.
But even he backs MPs earning “about half as much” as their political salary
while in parliament, if limited to professions that require work to maintain an
accreditation. Brake said this would mean MPs could more easily return to that
role full-time “either because they choose to or because their electorate forces
them to.”
Brake sees upsides to the churn, however. He suggests a higher turnover of MPs
could mean a “more diverse range of people” in the Commons who want to serve for
a single term rather than for their whole lives.
In the meantime, the career prospects of the average MP look set to become only
more precarious.
Nearly one in five seats (115) were won by a margin of 5 percent or less in
2024, some 48 seats more than in 2019. One in three seats (34 percent) had a
victory margin of 10 points or less, up from 22 percent in 2019.
The political shake-up as Nigel Farage’s Reform UK surges in the polls means
many Labour MPs who replaced the Tories can already see the same cliff edge on
the horizon.
“We don’t want to put people off from standing if they think there’s just going
to be a … nightmare if they actually lose their seat,” said IPSA’s Bridges.
Nervous Labour MPs will be hoping the fate of some of those ousted Tories
doesn’t await them in four years’ time.
“I’ve been surprised [by] the number of former MPs who are still unemployed,”
the anonymous ex-Tory MP said. “People who I would have expected to have
sort[ed] themselves out by now, and they still haven’t.”
They added: “The Conservative Party has a history of treating people very badly,
and it continues to do so.”
A Conservative Party spokesperson said: “Former MPs are valued members of the
Conservative family. CCHQ will continue to support them to be vocal local
champions in opposition to this dreadful Labour government.”
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Friedrich Merz ist Bundeskanzler – aber mit Makel: Im ersten Wahlgang
durchgefallen. Das Update analysiert den dramatischen Tag im Bundestag, die
fehlenden Stimmen aus den eigenen Reihen und das politische Beben, das Merz’
Start überschattet.
Gordon Repinski und Rasmus Buchsteiner berichten: Wie kam es zur Verzögerung?
Wer hat Merz die Stimme verweigert? Und warum stand plötzlich Julia Klöckner im
Saal der Linksfraktion? Ein Tag voller Unsicherheiten, Gerüchte – und am Ende:
Erleichterung.
Jetzt beginnt die Amtszeit von Friedrich Merz. Doch der erste Eindruck bleibt:
Der Weg ins Kanzleramt war holprig.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Dieser Tag steht ganz im Zeichen der Kanzlerwahl. Friedrich Merz ist an seinem
Ziel, dem wichtigsten Staatsamt, angekommen. Wie er dafür sorgen kann, dass ihm
seine Regierung gelingt, fasst Gordon Repinski zusammen.
Der Ex-FDP-Fraktionschef im Bundestag, Christian Dürr, ist Gast im
200-Sekunden-Interview und erklärt, warum er einen Kanzler Merz nicht seine
Stimme geben würde und wie es sich anfühlt heute nur noch Zuschauer zu sein, bei
dem was im Reichstagsgebäude passiert.
Rixa Fürsen berichtet, warum die CDU voraussichtlich Anspruch auf den Posten des
Wehrbeauftragten erheben wird und welcher Mann in der Union aktuell beste
Aussichten darauf hat.
Und: Großer Zapfenstreich für Olaf Scholz.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Friedrich Merz, Lars Klingbeil, Saskia Esken und Markus Söder unterzeichnen den
Koalitionsvertrag – ein Moment zwischen Symbolik, bemerkenswerter Mimik und
politischem Neuanfang.
Gemeinsam mit Rasmus Buchsteiner analysiert Gordon Repinski, wie Merz und
Klingbeil öffentlich Einigkeit demonstrieren und wie die SPD auf Verjüngung und
Geschlechterbalance setzt. Außerdem: Fraktionsumbau, parteiinterne
Machtverschiebungen und ein Blick auf die bevorstehende Kanzlerwahl.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Lars Klingbeil präsentiert sein erstes eigenes SPD-Kabinett – jünger,
weiblicher, ostdeutscher. Im 200-Sekunden-Interview zieht Karl Lauterbach Bilanz
als scheidender Gesundheitsminister. Außerdem: Die AfD wird offiziell als
rechtsextrem eingestuft – wie die Partei sich intern dazu verhält, berichtet
Pauline von Pezold. Und Olaf Scholz verabschiedet sich mit “Respect”.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es morgens um 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und
das POLITICO-Team bringen euch jeden Morgen auf den neuesten Stand in Sachen
Politik — kompakt, europäisch, hintergründig.
Und für alle Hauptstadt-Profis: Unser Berlin Playbook-Newsletter liefert jeden
Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und Einordnungen. Hier gibt es alle Informationen
und das kostenlose Playbook-Abo.
Mehr von Berlin Playbook-Host und Executive Editor von POLITICO in Deutschland,
Gordon Repinski, gibt es auch hier:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.