“This is Donald’s room,” Phyliss Shobe says as she ushers me into the neat,
spare room where the 81-year-old retiree has covered almost every available
space with MAGA memorabilia. Arrayed on the bed, there’s the Gulf of America
shirt she got for a friend, as well as a Trump calendar, a Melania book, a fake
American Express card identifying her as a charter member of the 2020 Republican
Presidential Task Force bearing Trump’s signature, and of course, the “MAGA
King” hat she was wearing when I first met her last year at a Trump rally in
Richmond, Virginia.
When I arrive at her house, Shobe apologizes for not having a cake ready for my
arrival. She bakes cakes for everyone, including her doctors, but a family
emergency the night before had kept her out of the kitchen. She’s dressed up for
the occasion, her nails expertly painted purple. She’d gone to the hairdresser
that morning. Shobe’s home, 20 miles south of Richmond, is modern but
comfortably cluttered with her well-organized collections of elephant figurines,
antique tea cups, and other “junk,” as she calls it.
The “junk,” however, can’t possibly compete with the spread in Donald’s room.
When we enter the shrine, Shobe narrates a tour with the confident delivery of a
professional docent. She points out the special shelves her son designed to
display more Trump tchotchkes than I’ve ever seen outside of a Trump rally.
There’s the iconic photo of him, bleeding, with his fist in the air after he was
shot at his Butler, Pennsylvania, rally in 2024. Christmas ornaments, glasses
and coffee mugs, lighters, bottle openers, coasters, and every sort of pin are
laid out with care, not a speck of dust on them. The 2024 Trump “revenge tour”
gold coin takes center stage on one shelf, along with a Make American Great
wristwatch. Trumpy Bear presides on a little chair in the corner.
Looking around her sanctuary with pride, Shobe assures me, “This is all going to
be treasure someday.”
Shobe is what you might call a Trump superfan. She’s one of the 96 percent of
Republicans who strongly supported Trump in 2024 and who, according to an
AP-NORC poll, still believe Trump has been a great president. They’re the folks
who’ve stuck with him through his mismanagement of the Covid pandemic, his
impeachments, his various criminal prosecutions, and the January 6 insurrection.
Typically white, Christian, over 65, and less likely than most Republicans to
have a college degree, MAGA voters like Shobe are a small but vocal minority.
They make up only about 15 percent of all American voters and about a third of
all Republicans, according to a 2024 study by researchers at the University of
California Davis. But they’re devoted.
As Trump’s erratic tariffs threaten the economy, federal health and safety
agencies have been gutted, and the military has been deployed to corral peaceful
protesters who oppose his immigration tactics, his overall approval rating has
plummeted in less than six months. Only 38 percent of Americans approve of the
job he’s doing, according to a June poll. Yet Trump’s support among Republicans
like Shobe has remained sky high—nearly 90 percent still strongly approve of his
performance.
A shelf of badges, pins, and other Donald Trump collectables.Stephanie
Mencimer/Mother Jones
“I fight anybody that has anything bad to say about Donald Trump,” she told me
before I went to visit her in March. “I just admire the man so much for what he
goes through and put up with when he didn’t have to.” She’s not alone among her
cohort. “All my friends are true believers,” she says.
But have Trump’s marital infidelities, for instance, ever dimmed his star in her
eyes? Maybe the allegations that he paid hush money to porn star Stormy Daniels?
“What goes on in his personal life,” she says, is between him and his wife. “As
long as it doesn’t affect the American people.”
What about the New York City civil jury that found that Trump had sexually
abused E. Jean Carroll in a department store dressing room? Shobe, like more
than 90 percent of Trump’s 2020 voters, simply doesn’t believe it. And don’t get
her started on January 6, which she knows was caused by government agitators;
otherwise, the Capitol Police would never have let it happen.
Many Democrats and now even some Republicans are a bit bewildered by people like
Shobe, for whom Trump really can do no wrong. The diehards who make up Trump’s
base tend to get parodied in the media and dismissed as cult members. But after
covering Trump for nearly a decade now, I’ve learned that his most devoted fans
are often far more complicated than the stereotypes suggest. Shobe is no
exception.
Look beyond her MAGA hats and “Missed Me?” T-shirts and it’s clear that a whole
confluence of things have brought her to this place. She’s had a difficult life
and one that more often than not, the government has done little to ease,
regardless of who was in office. And she is deeply unsettled by the rapidly
changing world that manifests in everything from the George Floyd protests to
gender fluidity— and especially in the recent influx of immigrants. “Donald is
sending ’em back,” she adds approvingly, explaining that she sees him as a
stabilizing force, someone who will put an end to all the madness.
Shobe is so committed to Trump that last year when he finally staged a rally
near her house, she made the pilgrimage, even though she was battling what she
called “Mr. C”—cancer. I met her as she was waiting to go inside the Richmond
Convention Center with her brother and sister-in-law, all three using walkers.
She was wearing a one-of-a-kind Trump T-shirt, so I asked if I could take her
picture. She happily agreed but told me to wait so she could hide a bag full of
urine under her shirt. She didn’t want it to show up in the photo.
Not long after the rally, she had her kidney removed along with part of her
bladder and went through several rounds of chemotherapy. (She’s now in
remission.) While she was recovering, Shobe had to stow all her Trump merch so
that a live-in caregiver could stay in the spare bedroom. When the woman left
after a month, Shobe was relieved, and not just because they argued about
politics. As her son told her, “You can have Donald Trump’s room back.”
Phyliss Shobe in her Trump room.Stephanie Mencimer/Mother Jones
Much of her collection is bounty from the political donations she’s made over
the past five years, mostly in $20 or $50 increments, which have netted these
expressions of gratitude from a host of GOP luminaries. “I got a message from
Trump that says he loves me,” she says, beaming. Alongside autographed Christmas
cards from Trump, there are others from Texas Governor Greg Abbott and Rep.
Elise Stefanik (R-NY). “I can’t find the DeSantis one,” she laments.
> “I got a message from Trump that says he loves me.”
Shobe doesn’t want to say how much money she has donated to political campaigns,
but she’s given to various Trump committees, the Republican National Committee,
and MAGA congressional candidates: Hershel Walker in Georgia, Dr. Mehmet Oz in
Pennsylvania, former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s race in California, Blake
Masters in Arizona, and former Ohio Sen. JD Vance among them.
As a prolific small donor, Shobe is part of a trend. A 2022 paper from the
National Bureau of Economic Research found that the number of voters from both
parties donating $200 or less grew from 5.2 million in 2006 to 195.0 million in
2020. Meanwhile, the average size of a contribution plummeted, from $292.10 to
$59.70. Those small donors, like Shobe, tend to be the most ideological voters
in the country, and their donations are a major driver of political
polarization.
Richard Pildes, an NYU law professor and campaign finance expert, told the New
York Times in 2023 that Trump-supporting House Republicans who voted against
certifying the Electoral College count on January 6, 2021, received an average
of $140,000 in small contributions in the 2022 midterm elections. Republicans
who voted in favor of the peaceful transfer of power received only an average of
$40,000.
Donald Trump signed portrait, left, and a Donald Trump-themed stuffed
bear.Stephanie Mencimer/Mother Jones
In that sense, Shobe’s modest donations add up to a lot of influence for a
senior from “chicken country” in Moorefield, West Virginia. “I’m just a dumb
hillbilly,” she tells me with a laugh. On the wall in her TV room is a photo
circa 1958 showing the inside of the one-room log cabin where she first attended
school. Pointing out a picture of Jesus on the classroom wall, she asks, “You
wouldn’t see Christ in a classroom now, would you?”
Shobe has never been wealthy. Her working life started at age 13 when she moved
in with West Virginia State Senator Don Baker (D) to take care of his children.
Baker died shortly after taking office, and his wife Betty got elected to his
seat. Shobe stayed with her until she graduated from high school in 1961. Then
she moved to Washington, DC, sharing a crowded apartment with other girls from
her high school drawn to the city for jobs.
After bouncing around between Maryland, West Virginia, and DC, she eventually
moved to Virginia to do typesetting for the Masons. In the late 70s, she got
stomach cancer that was misdiagnosed and left her in and out of hospitals for
three years. The fraternal organization took care of her. “They paid my rent and
everything,” she told me.
Among her other many jobs, she helped Israel “Izzy” Ipson, a Lithuanian
Holocaust survivor, work on his memoirs. He would record his thoughts on tape,
and Shobe would transcribe them and clean up his English. “He was a lovely man,
oh my,” she told me. “That’s why I don’t like to hear people cutting down Jewish
people.” Her work with him contributed to a 2004 book, Izzy’s Fire: Finding
Humanity In The Holocaust, by Nancy Wright Beasley. (Ipson’s son Jay founded the
Virginia Holocaust Museum in Richmond.)
> “He loves getting to us uneducated people. I knew he couldn’t be bought.”
Shobe had been a Trump fan on some level since the ‘80s when he was a brash
young real estate developer. He “is a nice-looking man,” she has told me more
than once. And, of course, she watched him on “The Apprentice.” She got on board
with his political ambitions as soon as he announced he was running for
president in 2015. “He loves getting to us uneducated people,” she explains. “I
knew he couldn’t be bought.” But she didn’t make her first campaign contribution
until 2020 when she started reading “about the Federal Reserve” and watching
YouTube videos with her friend Angie, who does hair.
Since then, she’s been all in, driven by her anger about the direction the
country is going. Shobe’s modest political donations have earned her eternal
gratitude from GOP candidates—and an avalanche of fundraising calls, texts, and
emails. Her landline rang nonstop while I was at her house. She showed me one
fundraising email that claimed Trump has ended taxes on Social Security taxes—he
hasn’t. Others contained invitations to become a “special member” of this or
that exclusive Republican club. She has responded to a lot of them, answering
polls from Elon Musk asking what hat he should wear to the Inauguration, and
making small donations.
As a result, she now owns an inch-thick stack of commemorative membership cards
from everyone from now-Secretary of State Marco Rubio to Sen. Ted Cruz
(R-Texas), all of which went into the shrine. Shobe says she is such a
sought-after Trump supporter that she occasionally talks to Musk on the phone. I
asked her how she knew it was the billionaire. “They know things about me,” she
confided in a whisper. (AARP has warned that financial scams originating with
phone callers claiming to be Elon Musk have become epidemic.)
“I just admire the man so much for what he goes through
and put up with when he didn’t have to.”
Hats, t-shirts, books and other Donald Trump collectables.Stephanie
Mencimer/Mother Jones
By the time I visited Shobe, Trump had already imposed aggressive policies well
beyond what he did in his first term. Musk and his DOGE boys had dismantled the
US Agency for International Development and sacked thousands of federal
employees, including about 3,000 from Social Security.
“How do you think Trump is doing?” I ask her. “I don’t know if he’s doing that
the right way,” she replies earnestly. “I thought, ‘Oh Donald. Slow down a
little.’” But mostly she’s thrilled with his presidency. I wondered if she knew
about Musk’s effort to seize control of personal information the government held
on Americans. She didn’t but she also didn’t care. “You know why it doesn’t
bother me?” she asks with a laugh. “My bank account is empty.”
> “I don’t know if he’s doing that the right way. I thought, ‘Oh Donald. Slow
> down a little.’”
When I arrived, Shobe had just gotten off the phone with the bank, trying to
recoup money that had mysteriously vanished from her account. Her credit card
numbers have been stolen multiple times. “There isn’t anything out there that’s
secret,” she says.
I mentioned that Trump had shuttered the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau, the
only federal agency whose mission was to protect Americans from financial scams.
She’d never heard of it but conceded that it was a good idea. Her brother lost
$17,000, his life savings, after getting a call from someone claiming to have
kidnapped his grandson.
Shobe may not know about Trump’s destruction of the CFPB, but she does know all
about men in women’s sports, the 300-year-old people receiving Social Security
who Musk “discovered,” the Covid “lab leak” theory, murderous immigrants, DEI
ruining the FAA, and Hollywood’s involvement in child trafficking. I ask where
she gets all her news. “Fox, Fox, Fox,” she says. “I don’t even turn to other
channels.”
Her media diet definitely does not include Mother Jones, which she didn’t
realize was a liberal publication until after I arrived at her house. After the
tour of Donald’s room, I took Shobe to lunch and her sister called while we were
in the car. “You’ve reached the famous Phyliss Shobe,” she said, explaining that
she was still busy with “the reporter.”
“Do you know she’s a Democrat?” Shobe says in amazement. “Tell her to get out of
the car!” her sister responds, before asking if Shobe was converting me to
Trumpism. They both laugh and Shobe assures her that even though I’m a liberal,
I’m still a nice person. We go to an Italian place near her house, and over a
steak and cheese hoagie, she tells me more about her life.
When Shobe was pregnant with her first child, her husband was in a bad
motorcycle accident that left him unable to do manual labor. She worked to put
him through college in another part of the state while she stayed behind to
raise her two children. The strain was eventually too much, and they split up
after 10 years. But her children did well and are now taking good care of her,
even if they don’t necessarily share her enthusiasm for Trump.
When Shobe was 50, the young daughter of a West Virginia friend was struggling.
Shobe took in her baby, Tim, and raised him as her own. It wasn’t always easy.
When she was on the night shift at a gas station, she’d push two chairs together
for him to sleep on while she worked.
She was never close with her father, but she went back to West Virginia to care
for him for 18 months before he died at age 103—“The best thing I ever did.”
Later, she took in her 95-year-old dying sister. “That’s how I tore up my body,”
she says, explaining that she had to have her shoulder replaced after all the
lifting. “But it was worth it.” Her family prided itself on its
self-sufficiency. “We never got help from anybody,” Shobe tells me. “We gave
help to people. We don’t believe in welfare.”
> “We never got help from anybody. We gave help to people. We don’t believe in
> welfare.”
In that way, Shobe resembles the avid Trump supporters sociologist Arlie Russell
Hochschild profiles in her new book, Stolen Pride, whom she calls the “elite of
the left-behind.” She writes of discovering that “those most enthralled with
Donald Trump were not at the very bottom—the illiterate, the hungry—but those
who aspired to do well or who were doing well within a region that was not.”
Shobe may have escaped poverty-stricken West Virginia long ago, but her roots
there are still profoundly shaping her worldview in a way that’s masked by her
current prosperity. Even her relatively new suburban lifestyle hasn’t shielded
her from more trauma, however.
In 2020, one of her two sons nearly died from Covid and was in a coma for a
month. Not long after, Tim was shot in a drive-by outside a Roanoke nightclub.
The bullet went through his arm and into his side, where it tore up his
intestines and colon. Given all she’s endured, perhaps it’s not surprising that
Shobe believes we’re in what evangelicals call the End Times. All the crazy
weather from the changing climate? “That’s God,” she assured me, “trying to let
the people know he’s coming.”
After lunch, we return to her tidy bungalow in a 55-and older community. Inside,
Tim is snoozing on the couch while his almost 2-year-old toddler naps nearby in
a travel crib. We sit in recliners in the cozy den where Shobe watches Fox News,
and she recommends some books to me by the controversial evangelical writer
Sarah Young. She shows me her worn copy of Jesus Calling Devotions for Every
Day. The phone keeps ringing.
Iconic photo of Donald Trump after assassination attempt.Stephanie
Mencimer/Mother Jones
After listening to Shobe’s life story, I had to wonder why she wasn’t a
Democrat. After all, the party’s platform revolves around helping people just
like her, advocating better health care, supporting children, and opposing gun
violence. As it turned out, she had a political shrine once before—for President
John F. Kennedy. “I loved John Kennedy,” she says. “That was my first voting
experience.” She also voted for Bill Clinton, though she thinks Hillary is
“scary.”
During the Obama years, Shobe says she wasn’t paying enough attention to know
much about what he did in office. “He’s a Muslim, you know.” She’s also sure
Barack and Michelle are getting divorced—there’s a YouTube video about that. As
for former President Joe Biden, she feels only pity. “We watched [him]
deteriorate in front of our eyes,” she tells me with a shake of the head. “I
felt sorry for the man because his family let him go out there and embarrass
himself and the country.”
She isn’t necessarily opposed to voting for Democrats, it’s just that she has no
idea what their agenda is. I suggest they are, among other things, trying to
save Social Security, Medicaid, and Medicare. She’s unconvinced. Medicare costs
for her have been going up even when Democrats were in office. And the Social
Security office was almost impossible to reach on the phone before Trump was
elected. She can’t imagine it getting much worse.
The politics talk ends when the toddler awakens. Even though Shobe’s back is in
bad shape, she picks him up and cuddles him. He’s already joining her Trump fan
club. The dark-haired sprite loves Trumpy Bear and when he sees the president on
TV, he will raise both arms and yell, “Go Donald!”
Eventually, it’s time for me to go. I bid Shobe farewell and she invites me to
visit again any time—and promises next time there will be cake. Since then,
we’ve stayed in touch. One day in early June, I asked her if she knew Trump was
making cuts to cancer research and the Veterans’ Administration, both things she
cares about. “I’d have to read more about that,” she said skeptically. “I don’t
think Donald is responsible for that.” The next day, she sent me this text:
> “After we talked yesterday I thought about things you said and I have followed
> Donald Trump for many years but when he and Melania came down those steps I
> knew in my heart that this country needed those two people… So, I guess
> nothing will change my opinion of my President I’m behind this couple one
> hundred percent. I like you a lot and although we disagree on politics. I hope
> we can stay in touch and be friends. I think we meet people for a reason. Just
> think you might end up with all of my keepsakes. Ha! Ha!”
Phyliss Shobe holds a Donald Trump t-shirtStephanie Mencimer/Mother Jones
Tag - Medicare
When Gwen Williams’ mother was dying, taking her to an in-person appointment to
get more medicine seemed impossible. So Williams made a telehealth appointment
with the doctor—a video call. It was that easy.
“Her comfort was paramount,” Williams, who lives in Minnesota, recounts. “My
mother wasn’t conscious during the visit, but [the doctor] was able to see her
and was able to get the hospice medications and everything refilled.”
Williams’ mother was on Medicare, as is she. Since 2020, Medicare has covered a
wide range of remote medical services, some in critical situations like theirs,
and others for routine care. Around one in four telehealth appointments are made
by people on Medicare.
> Around one in four telehealth appointments are made by people on Medicare.
The fact that Medicare will abruptly cut off that coverage for most specialties
on January 1—barely a month away—Williams said, “just blows my mind.”
What we now call telehealth, an umbrella term for remote and digitally assisted
medical care, was first developed by NASA in 1960 as a suite of tools to monitor
astronauts’ health in space. While it has been gaining traction as a widespread,
normalized aspect of care since the beginning of this century, telehealth really
exploded in 2020 with the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Until then, for Medicare patients—which includes most Americans over 65, and
some younger disabled people—remote care coverage had been limited. In rural
areas, for instance, people on Medicare could speak to a non-local specialist
via telehealth, but not from home; they still had to go to a local hospital to
place the call.
But on March 6, 2020, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services temporarily
expanded Medicare’s telehealth coverage to all specialties. That expansion,
renewed in 2022, is set to expire at the end of the year, impacting more than 65
million Americans.
Multiple bills have been introduced in the 118th Congress to preserve Medicare
telehealth provisions and continue allowing people on Medicare to use telehealth
flexibly, but all still await votes in both the House and Senate. Perhaps the
likeliest to pass, the Telehealth Modernization Act of 2024, introduced by Rep.
Buddy Carter (R-Ga.), received widespread, bipartisan support from members of
the House Committee on Energy and Commerce and its subcommittee on health.
“Seniors, individuals with mobility issues, and those living in rural areas rely
on telehealth,” Rep. Carter said in a statement to Mother Jones, calling the act
“critical legislation that will extend telehealth flexibilities to get Medicare
beneficiaries the life-saving health care they need.”
Where so many other health issues can be partisan or controversial, says
Telehealth Access for America executive director Alye Mlinar, telehealth manages
to be bipartisan. Mlinar hopes the bipartisan support “critical for really any
issue” that telehealth has garnered will help lead to another congressional
extension.
Epilepsy Foundation chief medical officer Dr. Jacqueline French’s organization
has supported telehealth access for people with epilepsy even before the start
of the Covid pandemic.
“There’s nothing that we learn from a physical exam that we could not learn from
just talking to a person,” said French, who is also a professor of neurology at
New York University Langone Health’s Comprehensive Epilepsy Center. The Epilepsy
Foundation is one member of Telehealth Access for America, a consortium that
includes, among other groups, the American Medical Association, Johns Hopkins
Medicine and the National Down Syndrome Society.
There are plenty of patients who can’t make long journeys at all—but for many
others, telehealth is still a way to avoid travel risks. Traveling with
uncontrolled seizures, for instance, can be dangerous, French notes.
Even if Congress does not extend its current, wide coverage of telehealth for
Medicare recipients, a handful of protections—mainly around dialysis, strokes,
and mental health—would remain.
Williams, whose mother also relied on telehealth, also praised the separate ways
it benefits her: When the doctor who prescribed their mental health medication
moved away, telehealth prevented a disruption in her care. She likens the often
needless in-person visits to “a meeting that could have just been an email.”
“Just have to have a conversation with your doctor,” Williams said, “paying for
transportation, paying for parking if you drive—it’s a real barrier when all you
need is to have a conversation, to continue care, or ask a question.”
But there are limitations to a blanket extension of the program, argues Medicare
Rights Center senior counsel Casey Schwarz.
“We had really hoped Congress would take the opportunity to look carefully at
what a telehealth benefit could and should look like, because while the
pre-pandemic status quo is inadequate,” Schwarz told Mother Jones, “A complete
lack of restriction or breaks on telehealth services is also inappropriate, and
we think has some risk for beneficiaries.”
Schwarz said that she had heard from Medicare recipients “who have received what
they believe to be substandard care through telehealth because something that
they think would have been noticed or caught in an in-person visit was missed.”
An investigation by Mayo Clinic researchers found that diagnostic accuracy for
people on telehealth ranged from 77 percent for ear, nose, and throat doctors to
96 percent for psychiatrists across a 90-day period in 2020. However,
specialists, such as rheumatologists, were more likely to request an in-person
appointment to continue care, in comparison to primary care doctors.
Schwarz also says that telehealth cannot replace other forms of compliance with
civil rights laws around accessibility, like the Americans with Disabilities
Act.
“We don’t want to see telehealth fill in a way for providers to indicate that
they do not need to meet physical access requirements because they provide
telehealth services,” she said.
In-person services, especially from specialists, can’t always be replaced—and
people like Schwarz raise the risk of telehealth, often cheaper for providers,
being used to justify cuts to in-person services. Williams, for instance, does
see their neurologists in-person, so they are able to assess her reflexes and
the progression of their neuropathy.
With just weeks until the end of the year and Medicare’s telehealth termination,
there is not much time for individual bills to pass through Congress and be
signed into law by President Biden.
Mlinar, however, is optimistic that an extension for Medicare telehealth
recipients will be part of an annual end-of-year package negotiated by Congress
“given the overwhelming support.”
“The biggest question at this point,” Mlinar said, “is [for] how long.”
Some 15 percent of Americans are enrolled in Medicare Part D, which covers
outpatient prescription drug costs for older adults and other qualifying
individuals, providing nearly $140 billion a year in support to about 50 million
people. But the program is administered by the Centers for Medicare and Medicare
Services—which President-elect Donald Trump has nominated celebrity physician
Mehmet Oz to lead.
It’s questionable how a man infamous for promoting questionable supplements, who
has commented that there’s no right to health for people who can’t afford it,
will help lead and provide government health insurance in the United States. On
his show, the cardiothoracic surgeon has mounted attacks on medications that
Part D covers, such as antidepressants, claiming that they do not work for most
patients (the evidence is against him).
A Facebook post of Oz promoting myths and exaggerating the suicidality risk of
people on antidepressants. Julia Métraux
Given his history, it makes sense that Oz would be part of Trump’s “Make America
Healthy Again” cohort, which does seem fairly anti-science: Robert F. Kennedy
Jr.’s attacks on vaccines, for instance, also conveniently ignore that measles
and polio can cause lifelong health conditions. Medicare Part D currently covers
the costs of all recommended vaccines.
But what kind of damage could Oz do from his new post? Will he be able to cut
medications that actually help people manage chronic health
conditions—conditions that people who qualify for Medicare are more likely to
have? The short answer is no. At least not on his own.
Juliette Cubanski, deputy director of health nonprofit KFF‘s program on Medicare
policy, explains that the range of medications covered by Medicare Part D is
specified in the Social Security Act.
“Generally speaking, Medicare Part D covers drugs and vaccines that are approved
by the Food and Drug Administration,” Cubanski told Mother Jones. “The law
specifically excludes some types of drugs from coverage under Part D, including
drugs used for weight loss or cosmetic purposes.” So dubious supplements that Oz
promoted on his show could not readily be added to the list, nor could he easily
remove actual medication.
“Congress would need to change the law in order to change what drugs Medicare
Part D covers,” Cubanski said. “An agency official acting under their own
authority can’t do that.”
There is still the possibility that some aspects of Medicare Part D could change
through a regulatory process, says University of Pennsylvania health law and
policy professor Allison Hoffman, but that too is a rigorous procedure—and
attacking Medicare would also be a risky political move.
“Medicare Part D was passed during a Republican administration and with
Republican control in Congress, with Democratic support,” Hoffman said. “Trump
knows to tread carefully in this space because Medicare is a widely popular
program and the Part D program has really created a lot of financial security
for people.”
But if Republicans do, as they have pledged, go after the Inflation Reduction
Act, which helped fund and improve Medicare affordability, Part D isn’t
necessarily in the clear. The IRA instituted a new $2,000-a-year cap on
out-of-pocket spending costs for prescriptions—still a lot for many older
Medicare patients, and for qualifying younger disabled people, but an extremely
short-lived protection if it’s immediately overturned by the GOP.
And while Oz on his own can’t screw up Medicare Part D too badly, there’s no
guarantee he’ll let it work smoothly, either. In practice, the plans are
administered by private insurance companies, which can choose which pharmacies
to work with and even which medications to cover. Federal health reforms like
the Affordable Care Act have focused in part on making it harder for insurers to
weasel out of providing care—not a likely priority for Trump’s health officials.
If someone on Medicare needs to start a new medication, they could meet with a
rude awakening.
“That would require them to either switch to a different drug in the class, or
switch plans during the next open enrollment period,” says Julie Donohue, chair
of the University of Pittsburgh’s Department of Health Policy and Management.
Such limitations in Part D—and related programs, like private-insurer-run
Medicare Advantage plans—illustrate the consistent failures of privatizing
Medicare, something Oz nevertheless pushed for more of during his unsuccessful
2022 Senate campaign.
With the chaos and uncertainty that’s marked Trump’s White House
nominations—like former Rep. Matt Gaetz withdrawing on Thursday from
consideration to be his Attorney General—Hoffman also cautions us to “wait to
see if people are confirmed,” rather than immediately panicking about “our
imagination of what these policies might be.”