Denmark’s top military commander in the Arctic pushed back against claims that
Greenland is facing an imminent security threat from Russia or China,
undercutting a narrative repeatedly advanced by U.S. President Donald Trump.
“No. We don’t see a threat from China or Russia today,” Major General Søren
Andersen, commander of Denmark’s Joint Arctic Command in Greenland, said in an
interview with the Axel Springer Global Reporters Network, of which POLITICO is
a part. “But we look into a potential threat, and that is what we are training
for.”
Andersen, who has headed the Joint Arctic Command since 2023, stressed that the
stepped-up Danish and allied military activity around Greenland is not a
response to an immediate danger, but preparation for future contingencies.
Once the war in Ukraine ends, he said, Moscow could redirect military resources
to other regions. “I actually expect that we will see Russian resources that are
being taken from the theater around Ukraine into other theaters,” Andersen said,
pointing to the Baltic Sea and the Arctic region.
That assessment has driven Denmark’s decision to expand exercises and invite
European allies to operate in and around Greenland under harsh winter
conditions, part of what Copenhagen has framed as strengthening NATO’s northern
flank. Troops from several European countries have already deployed under
Denmark’s Operation Arctic Endurance exercise, which includes air, maritime and
land components.
The remarks stand in contrast to Trump’s repeated claims that Greenland is under
active pressure from Russia and China and his insistence that the island is
vital to U.S. national security.
“In the meantime, you have Russian destroyers and submarines, and China
destroyers and submarines all over the place,” Trump told reporters on Sunday
about his pursuit to make Greenland part of the United States. “We’re not going
to let that happen.”
Trump has argued Washington cannot rule out the use of force to secure its
interests, comments that have alarmed Danish and Greenlandic leaders.
Andersen declined to engage directly with those statements, instead emphasizing
NATO unity and longstanding cooperation with U.S. forces already stationed at
Pituffik Space Base. He also rejected hypothetical scenarios involving conflict
between allies, saying he could not envision one NATO country attacking another.
Despite rising political tensions with Washington, Andersen said the United
States was formally invited to participate in the exercise. “I hope that also
that we will have U.S. troops together with German, France or Canadian, or
whatever force that will train, because I think we have to do this together.”
Tag - Submarines
CAMP VIKING, Norway — In the deep snow of the Arctic mountains, Britain’s Royal
Marines are readying for war with Russia.
The elite troops are introduced to the wilderness by camping in the snow in
temperatures below minus 20C. They finish by jumping through ice holes and
shouting their name, rank and number before they can be pulled out of the water.
Then they roll in the snow, drink a tot of rum, and toast King Charles III.
Britain’s extreme weather training in this area dates to the Cold War, but Camp
Viking — its facility in Skjold, northern Norway — is new and growing. It opened
in 2023 after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and is due to reach a peak
of 1,500 personnel this spring, followed by 2,000 next year. Britain is
“effectively doubling” the number of its Royal Marines in Norway over three
years, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told POLITICO in an interview.
Exercises mirror missions the troops would conduct if NATO’s Article 5 on
collective defense was triggered — reflecting the reality that “we are no longer
at peace,” Brigadier Jaimie Norman, commander of the U.K. Commando Forces, told
Cooper and her Norwegian counterpart Espen Barth Eide on a visit to the site
Thursday. “We see ourselves on a continuum that has war on one end to peace on
the other, and we are somewhere on that continuum.”
Yet this is only one hemisphere of the Arctic. On the other, U.S. President
Donald Trump is stoking a very different crisis by pushing for ownership of
Greenland.
The risks that link the two regions — which have shipping lanes busier than ever
with Russian and Chinese vessels as the polar ice caps melt — are similar,
albeit less immediate for Greenland than Norway. Yet Greenland is consuming huge
global bandwidth.
It is little wonder that Eide, greeting Cooper after he spent two days in
Ukraine, lamented that they could not focus more on Ukraine and “less on other
things.”
Trump has left them with no other choice.
FIRE UP THE ‘ARCTIC SENTRY’
Cooper and Eide’s response is to publicly back the idea of an “Arctic Sentry”
NATO mission, a military co-operation that would aim to counter Russian threats
— while reassuring Trump of Europe’s commitment to the region.
Details of the mission — including the number of troops it would involve and
whether it would comprise land, sea or air deployments — remain hazy.
It could mean that exercises like those in northern Norway are deployed in
Greenland too, as well as the shipping lanes around them. Lanes in northern
Europe have seen a rise in shadow fleets carrying sanctioned oil and alleged
sabotage of communications cables.
Yvette Cooper’s message to Trump, and everyone else, was to insist there is no
real division between the eastern and western Arctic. | Stefan Rousseau/Getty
Images
But as with so many issues, they have yet to discover whether Trump will take
heed. Cooper’s intervention came one day after U.S. Vice President JD Vance met
Danish and Greenlandic representatives at the White House amid growing tensions
over Trump’s repeatedly stated intention to take control of Greenland.
Cooper’s message to Trump, and everyone else, was to insist there is no real
division between the eastern and western Arctic. “The security of the Arctic is
all linked,” she said — citing Russia’s northern fleet, shadow fleet, oil
tankers, non-military assets, spy ships and threats to undersea cables.
“Look at the map of the Arctic and where you have the sea channels,” she added.
“You can’t look at any one bit of Arctic security on its own, because the whole
point of the Arctic security is it has an impact on our transatlantic security
as a whole.
“Some of the Russian threat is through its Northern Fleet and into the Atlantic.
That is a transatlantic threat. That is something where clearly you can’t simply
revert to Europe’s defense on its own.”
Yet in parts of Britain and Europe, there are plenty of people who fear Trump is
asking Europe to do exactly that. European allies have long pushed the U.S.
president to nail down commitments to Ukraine.
A mere hint of this frustration is visible in Eide. He was keen to point out
that the risk to his end of the Arctic is more immediate.
“Just to the east of our eastern border, you come to the Kola Peninsula and
Murmansk,” he said, standing on a snowy outcrop. “That region has the largest
conglomeration of nuclear weapons in the world — and particularly, the second
strike capability of Russia is there. They need access to the open oceans, and
in a wartime situation, we don’t want them to have that access.”
He added: “If there is a crisis, this area will immediately be a center of
gravity because of the importance of the nuclear capabilities of Russia, the
submarine base and so on. It will go from low tension to being in the midst of
it in a very short time. That’s why we need to plan for rapid reinforcement, for
rapid stepping up, and also to have a constant military pressure presence in
this area.”
Managing this Trump reassurance is a tricky balance. Rachel Ellehus, director
general of the non-partisan foreign affairs think tank RUSI and a former U.S.
representative at NATO, said: “You want to signal solidarity and presence and
engagement, and send a message that Europe is stepping up for this alleged
Russian and Chinese threat in and around Greenland.
“But you don’t want to kind of stick your finger in the eye of the United States
or signal that you’re looking for some sort of confrontation.”
Perhaps for this reason, Ellehus suggested NATO itself is holding back. “The one
voice that has been quite silent is that of NATO,” she said. “It’s quite odd
that Mark Rutte has not issued a secretary general statement expressing
solidarity with Denmark and underscoring that any security concerns that the
United States might have could legitimately be addressed through the NATO
alliance, because both Denmark and Greenland are members of their territories
covered by the Article Five guarantee.
“I think it does have consequences in terms of the credibility of the alliance,
and I think we could see an intensification of the practice whereby allies are
turning to bilateral or regional relationships, score and meet their security to
meet their security needs, rather than relying on multinational alliances like
NATO.”
A NEW ERA
A reminder of how fast multilateralism is changing hangs on the library wall in
the quaint, pink and white British embassy in Helsinki.
The photo, dated July 1975, shows British Prime Minister Harold Wilson in the
embassy garden with U.S. President Gerald Ford, Henry Kissinger and others on
the cusp of signing the Helsinki Accords. The agreement, emphasizing the rights
of sovereignty and territorial integrity, was part of a drumbeat toward the end
of the Cold War.
Britain’s extreme weather training in this area dates to the Cold War, but Camp
Viking — its facility in Skjold, northern Norway — is new and growing. | Ben
Dance / FCDO
Across the street in Helsinki is the fortress-like embassy of the U.S. — where
Trump is one of those calling the shots on territorial integrity these days. As
well as his designs on Greenland, the president recently said NATO “would not be
an effective force or deterrent” without American military power and said he did
not need international law.
Britain and many of its allies are loath to accept any suggestion of any cracks
in the alliance. Asked by POLITICO if NATO was in crisis, Finland’s Foreign
Minister Elisa Valtonen insisted: “NATO is stronger than it’s ever been.”
Cooper, too, said NATO is “extremely strong” — and argued that those who
describe his administration as a destabilising force are being too simplistic.
She pointed to the presence of Marco Rubio, a more traditional Republican than
Trump who Europeans have found easier to work with than the president, along
with work on security guarantees for Ukraine, collaboration on “Five Eyes”
intelligence and the plan for Gaza, much of which was led by the U.S.
“Of course, everyone can see this administration operates in a different way,”
she said, but “in every discussion I’ve had with … Rubio, there has always been
a really strong commitment to NATO.” The Gaza plan, she added pointedly, “was
actually drawing on international law, the UN framework.”
But one U.K. official, not authorized to speak publicly, said there were three
schools of thought about Trump’s comments on Greenland. The first is the
president’s stated aim that he is concerned about security threats to the
Arctic; the second is that he is seeking business opportunities there.
And then “there is one school of thought that ultimately, he just wants to take
it … he just wants to make America bigger,” they said.
Nordic governments are rejecting U.S. President Donald Trump’s assertions that
Russian and Chinese vessels are operating near Greenland, warning that the
claims are not supported by intelligence and are fueling destabilizing rhetoric,
the Financial Times reported on Sunday.
Two senior Nordic diplomats with access to NATO intelligence briefings told the
FT there is no evidence of Russian or Chinese ships or submarines operating
around Greenland in recent years, directly contradicting Trump’s justification
for U.S. control of the Arctic territory.
“I have seen the intelligence. There are no ships, no submarines,” one diplomat
told the paper.
Trump has claimed that Greenland is “covered with Russian and Chinese ships” and
argued that the U.S. must take control of the island for national security
reasons — rhetoric that has intensified in recent weeks.
Norway’s Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide also told Norwegian broadcaster NRK
that there was “very little” Russian or Chinese activity near Greenland, despite
ongoing Russian submarine movements closer to Norway itself.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, meanwhile, said at an annual security
conference in northern Sweden that Stockholm was “highly critical” of what the
Trump administration was doing and had done in Venezuela, in regards to
international law.
“We are probably even more critical of the rhetoric that is being expressed
against Greenland and Denmark,” Kristersson added, explaining that the
rules-based international order is under greater strain than it has been in
decades.
Kristersson said the U.S. should recognize Denmark’s long-standing role as a
loyal ally, instead of agitating about Greenland. “On the contrary, the United
States should thank Denmark,” he said.
Leaders of all five parties in Greenland’s parliament reiterated that stance
late Friday, saying in a joint statement: “We do not want to be Americans, we do
not want to be Danes, we want to be Greenlanders.”
LONDON — The Ministry of Defence plans to develop autonomous vessels that
operate AI technology alongside warships and aircraft to better protect
Britain’s undersea cables and pipelines from Moscow.
Under the Atlantic Bastion program, surface and underwater vessels, ships,
submarines, and aircraft would be connected through AI-powered acoustic
detection technology and integrated into a “digital targeting web,” a network of
weapons systems, allowing faster decisions to be made.
The government explained that the program was in response to a resurgence of
Russian submarine and underwater activity in British waters. British
intelligence says Russian President Vladimir Putin was modernizing his fleet to
target critical undersea cables and pipelines.
Last month, the Russian spy ship Yantar directed lasers at British forces
deployed to monitor the vessel for the first time after it entered U.K. waters.
Yantar was previously in U.K. territorial seas in January.
Defence Secretary John Healey said Yantar was “designed for gathering
intelligence and mapping our undersea cables.”
The Ministry of Defence says Atlantic Bastion will create a hybrid naval force
that can find, track, and, if required, act against adversaries.
A combined £14 million has been invested by the Ministry of Defence and
industry, with 26 U.K. and European firms submitting proposals to develop
anti-submarine sensor technology. Any capabilities would be deployed underwater
from 2026.
“People should be in no doubt of the new threats facing the U.K., and our allies
under the sea, where adversaries are targeting infrastructure that is so
critical to our way of life,” said Defence Secretary John Healey.
“Our pioneering Atlantic Bastion program is a blueprint for the future of the
Royal Navy. It combines the latest autonomous and AI technologies with
world-class warships and aircraft to create a highly advanced hybrid fighting
force to detect, deter and defeat those who threaten us.”
Britain’s Chief of the Naval Staff, Gwyn Jenkins, was expected to say at the
International Sea Power Conference on Monday: “We are a Navy that thrives when
it is allowed to adapt. To evolve. We have never stood still — because the
threats never do.”
The first sea lord general added: A revolutionary underwater network is taking
shape — from the Mid-Atlantic Ridge to the Norwegian Sea. More autonomous, more
resilient, more lethal — and British built.”
PARIS — The French navy opened fire at drones that were detected over a
highly-sensitive military site harboring French nuclear submarines, according to
newswire Agence France-Presse.
Five drones were detected Thursday night over the submarine base of Île Longue,
in Brittany, western France, a strategic military site home to ballistic missile
submarines, the AFP reported, citing the the French gendarmerie, which is part
of the military. The submarines harbored at the base carry nuclear weapons and
are a key part of France’s nuclear deterrent.
French navy troops in charge of protecting the base opened fire, the report
said. It was unclear whether the drones were shot down.
Drones had already been spotted in the area last month, albeit not directly
above the base, per reports in French media. The site had been buzzed by drones
long before the invasion of Ukraine.
The incident follows a string of recent drone incursions in NATO airspace, with
unmanned aircrafts seen buzzing around sensitive military sites and civil
infrastructures in recent months across Europe, including in Belgium, Germany,
Denmark and Norway.
In Poland, fighter jets were scrambled in September to shoot down drones of
Russian origin, an incident widely seen as an escalation of Russian President
Vladimir Putin’s hybrid war on Europe.
French authorities haven’t yet commented on the suspected origin of the drone
incident Thursday at the well-known military site.
President Donald Trump on Monday insisted the U.S. is going “full steam ahead”
on a major nuclear-powered submarine pact, ending months of uncertainty over
whether his administration would keep the alliance with Australia and the U.K.
The Pentagon announced this summer that it was reviewing the deal, known as
AUKUS, fueling angst in Canberra and London that the Trump administration might
walk away from a rare agreement to expand production of nuclear submarines and
partner on tech to ward off China. But Trump gave his support Monday at a White
House meeting with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, where leaders
sought to reset the tone of the relationship after weeks of speculation about
the pact’s future.
“We’re just going now full steam ahead,” Trump said when asked about the deal.
“They’re building magnificent holding pads for the submarines. It’s going to be
expensive. You wouldn’t believe the level of complexity and how expensive it
is.”
Canberra has committed billions to develop submarine and naval shipbuilding
facilities in western Australia, designed to host and maintain U.S. and U.K.
nuclear-powered submarines while revving up construction of new ones. The new
infrastructure would turn Australia into a hub for allies and their submarines
in the region, all aimed as a bulwark against China.
Navy Secretary John Phelan, at the meeting, said the plan is to “take the
original AUKUS framework and improve it for all three parties, and make it
better, clarify some of what was in the prior agreement.”
Trump, who is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in the coming
weeks, said he views AUKUS as a deterrent against Beijing but not a step toward
a confrontation. And he dismissed the idea of a conflict over Taiwan. “We’ll be
just fine with China,” he said. “First of all, the United States is the
strongest military power in the world by far.”
Trump and Albanese also signed a deal for critical minerals and rare-earth
elements, formalizing joint investments between the two countries to strengthen
non-Chinese supply chains for materials crucial for defense and high-tech
manufacturing. Officials negotiated it over the last few months, Trump said.
Albanese described it as an AUD $8.5 billion pipeline, with joint contributions
over the next six months.
“Australia has had a view for some time — it’s similar to putting America
first,” he said. “Our plan is called ‘A Future Made in Australia,’ which is
about not just digging things up and exporting them, but making sure we have
supply chains where our friends can benefit.”
The mineral push comes amid increasing trade tensions between the U.S. and
Beijing, which has tightened export controls on rare-earth elements and
permanent magnets. Both are vital for defense and high-tech products.
Trump reiterated his threat to levy hefty tariffs on China if it does not relent
on the new trade restrictions. “They threatened us with rare earths, and I
threatened them with tariffs,” he said. “We could stop the airplane parts, too.
We build their airplanes.”
BERLIN — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Canadian Prime Minister Mark
Carney said Tuesday that their countries would enhance collaboration on defense
and critical minerals.
“We are deepening our bilateral cooperation, and we are doing so with great
gratitude and deep conviction,” Merz said during a joint press conference with
Carney in Berlin. “Canada and Germany have a great deal in common.”
The further cooperation comes as U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs hit both
countries hard, while they also aim to shift their industries away from reliance
on Russia and China.
The countries’ economy ministers, looking toward that purpose, were set to sign
an agreement on critical minerals, which was seen by POLITICO.
The accord will focus on the development of lithium, rare earth elements, copper
tungsten, gallium, germanium and nickel to counter China’s monopolistic control
of materials needed to power everything from military equipment and electric
vehicles to quantum computing.
“One of the big vulnerabilities that’s been exposed by the Ukraine war, it was
exposed by Covid, it’s been exposed by the changing global trade dynamics, [is]
our vulnerabilities in supply chains including in critical metals and minerals,”
said Carney. “Canada can play a role in accelerating that diversification for
Germany and for Europe.”
Just like Brussels, Berlin is keen to slash its dependence on China for the
so-called critical minerals needed to power the bloc’s green, digital and
defense ambitions. Ottawa is an attractive partner to achieve that — Canada has
some 200 mines extracting a variety of minerals and metals, many of which are
classified as critical raw materials.
A number of Canadian Cabinet members, including Defense Minister David McGuinty,
Industry Minister Mélanie Joly and Energy Minister Tim Hodgson traveled
alongside Carney to Berlin.
Carney announced he would visit Thyssenkrupp Marine Systems in the northern
German city of Kiel later Tuesday, alongside Joly and McGuinty, while Hodgson
was set to deliver a major speech to CEOs from the energy, manufacturing and
defense industries.
“We’re in the process of renewing our submarine fleet,” Carney said, adding that
Thyssenkrupp Marine Systems was one of the two finalists to take on the project.
Carney and Merz also said they discussed security guarantees for Ukraine, but
did not provide concrete details.
Camille Gijs contributed to this report from Brussels.
PARIS — Russia likely wants to militarize space, while its undersea activity is
also “extremely worrying,” a top French general said during a rare press
conference Friday.
Describing the Kremlin as “a lasting threat,” Chief of the Defense Staff Thierry
Burkhard said Russian submarines “regularly enter the North Atlantic and then
sometimes descend into the Mediterranean” in order to “monitor areas which are
important [to France].”
Burkhard also said Moscow’s satellites are being used to spy on or interfere
with French equipment. He also pointed to “signs of a desire to militarize
space” with specialized satellites “which would likely not be legal under the
laws relating to the non-militarization of space.”
During the first press conference held by the French chief of the defense staff
since 2021, Burkhard aimed to outline the threats currently facing France ahead
of a speech Sunday on defense by President Emmanuel Macron, which is expected to
include major announcements.
Beyond Russia, Burkhard also highlighted how tensions in other parts of the
world — including the Middle East — are adding to an already demanding situation
for French troops. He stressed that “unbridled use of force” and “getting used
to violence” had become defining elements of the global landscape.
While avoiding a direct call for increased military spending, Burkhard said that
finding the best way to confront these challenges “probably comes at a cost.”
France is looking to increase its military budget to €67.4 billion by 2030, from
€50.5 billion for this year.
LONDON — Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer are set to unveil a host of defense
pacts on the final day of the French leader’s visit to the United Kingdom.
After getting wined and dined by the king on Tuesday and unveiling the Bayeux
Tapestry at the British Museum on Wednesday, Thursday will see Starmer and
Macron sign a declaration spelling out that the British and French nuclear
deterrents can be coordinated; update the Lancaster House treaties, a defense
pact signed in 2010; jointly develop a new cruise missile to replace the Storm
Shadow/SCALP; and work together on the development of advanced anti-drone
weapons.
The two countries have dubbed their defense refresh an “entente industrielle,”
which seems appropriate given how Starmer and Macron have gushed about the
strength of the Franco-British relationship throughout the visit.
But the French president’s particularly soaring rhetoric since his arrival hints
at an even more ambitious goal: a new special relationship.
“There is an expectation in Europe that faced with revisionist neighbors, our
two countries have a special responsibility for the security of the continent,”
Macron said in a speech to both houses of parliament on Tuesday.
While Britain’s special relationship with the United States remains the
cornerstone of its defense strategy, U.S. President Donald Trump’s isolationist
bent and his erratic view of the alliance has forced the British to consider the
possibility that Washington may not be there through thick and thin.
“There’s a strain in the transatlantic relationship, and a wariness. The British
were taken aback by U.S. decisions on Ukraine, the cutting off — albeit briefly
— of intelligence with Ukraine, a country at war,” said Philippe Maze-Sencier,
director of the consultancy firm Teneo France and a French army reserve officer.
“The reaction was, oh my god that could happen to us,” he said.
MOVING FORWARD
Macron and Starmer have gone to great lengths to lock arms when it comes to
European security despite the bad blood following Brexit and drama surrounding a
submarine deal in 2021. The French thought they had an agreement with Australia
at the time only to see the U.S. and U.K. swoop in with the multibillion AUKUS
deal, which did not include France.
The French may be enjoying a bit of Schadenfreude over the difficulties facing
AUKUS at the moment, but that hasn’t stopped the Franco-British partnership from
forging ahead.
“There is definitely a change,” said Maze-Sencier. “After Brexit, there was some
resilience, but nothing moved forward. Now there are conversations happening
that would have never happened a year ago.”
U.S. President Donald Trump’s isolationist bent and his erratic view of the
alliance has forced the British to consider the possibility that Washington may
not be there through thick and thin. | Pool Photo by Will Oliver via EPA
France’s military-industrial cooperation with Britain is thriving — just as
projects with France’s great continental partner Germany, particularly the FCAS
fighter jet, are bogged down. New defense exports, including military aviation
components, are expected to be folded into the refreshed defense pact on
Thursday.
And last month’s NATO commitment to invest up to 3.5 percent of gross domestic
product in defense, a move both to appease Trump and strengthen Europe’s
independence, means financial windfalls for European companies, even if finding
the cash may not be so easy in Paris and London.
CHALLENGES AWAIT
While working more closely with the French marks a return to old habits,
convincing London to invest in its relationship with Paris at the expense of
Washington is an enormous ask considering just how deep Anglo-American ties run.
And points of tension remain between the British and French that can’t be
papered over by Macron and Starmer’s close relationship.
Though the EU-U.K. reset deal sealed in May set a framework for London to take
part in the €150-billion SAFE defense financing program, France has since been
pushing to limit U.K. access.
The two leaders’ joint push for a “coalition of the willing” to providing
security guarantees for Ukraine in the case of a ceasefire also appears to be
losing steam as Russia makes gains on the battlefield and the U.S. continues to
hold out on guarantees of some sort of security backstop.
Macron and Starmer plan to head to Northwood Headquarters later Thursday, where
they will call into a conference on Ukraine’s recovery being held in Rome.
“Apart from counting once more the number of buttons on uniforms, I don’t see
the point of [a meeting of the coalition],” said François Heisbourg, a senior
adviser at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
Greater challenges await. Any drawdown of U.S. troops in Eastern Europe, as is
feared later in the year, will put an onus on France and the U.K. to step up. Or
plead with Washington to stay.
Macron’s pledge to shoulder European security with the U.K. will then really be
put to the test.
Elbridge Colby spent the last several years in Washington making a name for
himself as an experienced, restraint-minded foreign policy leader eager to focus
the U.S. military away from Europe and toward the Indo-Pacific.
But since joining the second Trump administration as the Pentagon’s top policy
chief, Colby has made a series of rapid-fire moves that have blindsided parts of
the White House and frustrated several of America’s foreign allies, according to
seven people familiar with the situation. All were granted anonymity to speak
freely about Trump administration dynamics.
Flanked by a team of handpicked policy experts and staff from Capitol Hill,
Colby has gotten out ahead of the administration on several major foreign policy
decisions.
He prompted last week’s decision, first reported by POLITICO, to halt shipments
of some air defense missiles to Ukraine, which caught many Trump allies and
lawmakers off guard. This week, President Donald Trump said he would reverse the
decision to pause the weapons, but claimed he did not know who had approved it.
Colby also surprised top officials at the State Department and the National
Security Council in June when he decided to review America’s submarine pact with
Australia and the U.K.
“He is pissing off just about everyone I know inside the administration,” said
one person familiar with the situation. “They all view him as the guy who’s
going to make the U.S. do less in the world in general.”
And in conversations with defense counterparts from Britain and Japan in recent
months, Colby’s hard-charging style has caused serious dustups.
“He has basically decided that he’s going to be the intellectual driving force
behind a kind of neo-isolationism that believes that the United States should
act more alone, that allies and friends are kind of encumbering,” said a person
familiar with the Trump administration dynamics.
Colby did not respond to a request for comment.
William Martin, communications director to Vice President JD Vance, called Colby
“a consummate professional, an experienced national security official, and a
reliable team player” who is “wholly committed to President Trump’s America
First foreign policy agenda.”
Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell said Colby is doing exactly what would be
expected of his job. “The entire purpose of Undersecretary Colby’s job is to
provide policy recommendations to Secretary Hegseth, and his advice has proved
to be invaluable,” he wrote in an email.
Parnell added there is “zero daylight” between Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
and Colby.
When the British defense team came to the Pentagon in June and spoke about the
U.K.’s decision to send an aircraft carrier to Asia on a routine deployment,
Colby interjected with a brusque comment.
“He basically asked them, ‘Is it too late to call it back?’” said the person
familiar with Trump administration dynamics. “Because we don’t want you there.”
A second person familiar with the meeting confirmed this account.
The British team on the other side of the table “were just shocked,” the first
person added. “He was basically saying ‘you have no business being in the
Indo-Pacific.’”
Colby has also irked allies by pushing them too hard to boost defense spending —
or telling them to simply get out of America’s way. “DOD has been telling a
European partner that we don’t need the Europeans to be doing anything [in the
Indo-Pacific],” said one U.S. official familiar with the conversations.
In the spring, Japanese officials believed the Trump administration might push
them for a modest increase in defense spending. Initially, Colby publicly called
on Japan to spend “at least 3 percent of GDP on defense as soon as possible,”
which angered Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. But that number soon
increased to a much steeper target of 5 percent, which reportedly contributed
to the collapse of plans for a high-level meeting between Hegseth, Secretary of
State Marco Rubio and their Japanese counterparts.
“The Japanese were very frustrated,” said a person familiar with the talks.
“They thought that they were agreeing to at least negotiate on the basis of 3 or
3.5 percent. Then Colby, all of a sudden, got DOD to say 5, and the Japanese got
angry, because that’s not what they just agreed to.”
The incident caused heartburn within Japan’s ruling party, with officials
worried about triggering a domestic political backlash ahead of a sensitive
election, the person added.
The hawkish wing of the Republican Party has expressed concerns that Colby’s
“shoot first and ask questions later” approach is sapping Trump’s foreign policy
of its strength at a key moment.
“The president’s leadership at NATO and his decision to strike Iran gave Russia
and China good reason to fear America’s resolve,” said a senior GOP aide. “But
Colby has just undercut the president and squandered his boss’ leverage.”
The AUKUS review surprised some State Department officials who dealt directly
with the pact. The department’s immediate guidance on how to respond to media
questions about the topic appeared to underscore the lack of coordination, a
State Department official said. The instructions told diplomats to say to
reporters: “We are not aware of a review of the AUKUS agreement. The secretary
of Defense has not requested a review of the agreement from the secretary of
State.”
“The way that one person from State put it to me is: ‘Who is this fucking guy?’”
said a former U.S. official familiar with the policy discussions.
State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce praised Colby’s leadership. “The world
is changing rapidly and Elbridge understands the moment. His innovative
leadership is critical to addressing the challenges head-on and helping to
deliver on President Trump’s America First agenda.”
Trump’s announcement Monday that he would resume weapons shipments to Ukraine,
just days after the Pentagon paused them, left the impression on some lawmakers
that restraint-minded officials at the Pentagon were out of step with the
president.
“I’m deeply worried that [Colby] buys into the authoritarian worldview that you
know, Putin’s a dictator, and Xi is a dictator, and Trump aspires to be a
dictator, so let’s just let all the dictators get together and divide up the
world,” said House Armed Services ranking member Rep. Adam Smith (D-Wash.).
“That is horrific policy for the world and for the United States.”
Colby, the grandson of a former CIA director, has allies throughout the
Pentagon, including Alex Velez-Green and Austin Dahmer, former staffers for Sen.
Josh Hawley (R-Mo.); and Katherine Thompson, who holds the Pentagon’s top job
for Europe, Africa and NATO. All of them have embraced his approach. Others,
including Alexander Gray, who served in the first Trump administration as chief
of staff on the National Security Council, defended Colby as someone committed
to the president and Hegseth’s agenda.
“The things that are publicly known that he’s pushing for are all things that
are consistent with the president and the secretary’s stated positions and
guidance,” Gray said. “The guy’s a skilled bureaucratic tactician, and he’s good
at implementing what the people above him want, and people who don’t win in
those battles go and complain about it.”