It seems impossible to have a conversation today without artificial intelligence
(AI) playing some role, demonstrating the massive power of the technology. It
has the potential to impact every part of business, and European policymakers
are on board.
In February 2025, Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president, said,
“We want Europe to be one of the leading AI continents … AI can help us boost
our competitiveness, protect our security, shore up public health, and make
access to knowledge and information more democratic.”
Research from Nokia suggests that businesses share this enthusiasm and ambition:
84 percent of more than 1,000 respondents said AI features in the growth
strategy of their organization, while 62 percent are directing at least 20
percent of ICT capex budgets toward the technology.
However, the equation is not yet balanced.
Three-quarters of survey respondents state that current telecom infrastructure
limits the ability to deliver on those ambitions. Meanwhile, 45 percent suggest
these limitations would delay, constrain or entirely limit investments.
There is clearly a disconnect between the ambition and the ability to deliver.
At present, Europe lags the United States and parts of Asia in areas such as
network deployment, related investment levels and scale.
> If AI does not reach its full potential, EU competitiveness will suffer,
> economic growth will have a ceiling, the creation of new jobs will have a
> limit and consumers will not see the benefits.
What we must remember primarily is that AI does not happen without advanced,
trusted and future-proofed networks. Infrastructure is not a ‘nice to have’ it
is a fundamental part. Simply put, today’s networks in Europe require more
investments to power the AI dream we all have.
If AI does not reach its full potential, EU competitiveness will suffer,
economic growth will have a ceiling, the creation of new jobs will have a limit
and consumers will not see the benefits.
When we asked businesses about the challenge of meeting AI demands during our
research, the lack of adequate connectivity infrastructure was the fourth common
answer out of 15 potential options.
Our telecom connectivity regulatory approach must be more closely aligned with
the goal of fostering AI. That means progressing toward a genuine telecom single
market, adopting a novel approach to competition policy to allow market
consolidation to lead to more investments, and ensuring connectivity is always
secure and trusted.
Supporting more investments in next-generation networks through consolidation
AI places heavy demands on networks. It requires low latency, high bandwidth and
reliability, and efficient traffic management. To deliver this, Europe needs to
accelerate investment in 5G standalone, fiber to enterprises, edge data centers
and IP-optical backbone networks optimized for AI.
> As industry voices such as Nokia have emphasized, the networks that power AI
> must themselves make greater use of automation and AI.
Consolidation (i.e. reducing the number of telecom operators within the national
telecom markets of EU member states) is part of the solution. Consolidation will
allow operators to achieve economies of scale and improve operating efficiency,
therefore encouraging investment and catalyzing innovation.
As industry voices such as Nokia have emphasized, the networks that power AI
must themselves make greater use of automation and AI. Policy support should
therefore extend to both network innovation and deployment.
Trust: A precondition for AI adoption
Intellectual property (IP) theft is a threat to Europe’s industrial future and
only trusted technology should be used in core functions, systems and sectors
(such as energy, transport and defense). In this context, the underlying
connectivity should always be secure and trusted. The 5G Security Toolbox,
restricting untrusted technology, should therefore be extended to all telecom
technologies (including fiber, optics and IP) and made compulsory in all EU
member states. European governments must make protecting their industries and
citizens a high priority.
Completing the digital single market
Although the single market is one of Europe’s defining projects, the reality in
telecoms — a key part of the digital single market — is still fragmented. As an
example, different spectrum policies create barriers across borders and can
limit network roll outs.
Levers on top of advanced connectivity
To enable the AI ecosystem in Europe, there are several different enabling
levers European policymakers should advance on top of fostering advanced and
trusted connectivity:
* The availability of compute infrastructure. The AI Continent Action Plan, as
well as the IPCEI Compute Infrastructure Continuum, and the European
High-Performance Computing Joint Undertaking should facilitate building AI
data centers in Europe.
* Leadership in edge computing. There should also be clear support for securing
Europe’s access to and leadership in edge solutions and building out edge
capacity. Edge solutions increase processing speeds and are important for
enabling AI adoption, while also creating a catalyst for economic growth.
With the right data center capacity and edge compute capabilities available,
European businesses can meet the new requirements of AI use cases.
* Harmonization of rules. There are currently implications for AI in several
policy areas, including the AI Act, GDPR, Data Act, cybersecurity laws and
sector-specific regulations. This creates confusion, whereas AI requires
clarity. Simplification and harmonization of these regulations should be
pursued.
* AI Act implementation and simplification. There are concerns about the
implementation of the AI Act. The standards for high-risk AI may not
be available before the obligations of the AI act enter into force, hampering
business ambitions due to legal uncertainty. The application date of the AI
Act’s provisions on high-risk AI should be postponed by two years to align
with the development of standards. There needs to be greater clarity on
definitions and simplification measures should be pursued across the entire
ecosystem. Policies must be simple enough to follow, otherwise adoption may
falter. Policy needs to act as an enabler, not a barrier to innovation.
* Upskilling and new skills. AI will require new skills of employees and users,
as well as creating entirely new career paths. Europe needs to prepare for
this new world.
If Europe can deliver on these priorities, the benefits will be tangible:
improved services, stronger industries, increased competitiveness and higher
economic growth. AI will deliver to those who best prepare themselves.
We must act now with the urgency and consistency that the moment demands.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Author biography: Marc Vancoppenolle is leading the geopolitical and government
relations EU and Europe function at Nokia. He and his team are working with
institutions and stakeholders in Europe to create a favorable political and
regulatory environment fostering broadband investments and cross sectoral
digitalization at large.
Vancoppenolle has over 30 years of experience in the telecommunication industry.
He joined Alcatel in 1991, and then Alcatel-Lucent, where he took various
international and worldwide technical, commercial, marketing, communication and
government affairs leadership roles.
Vancoppenolle is a Belgian and French national. He holds a Master of Science,
with a specialization in telecommunication, from the University of Leuven
complemented with marketing studies from the University of Antwerp. He is a
member of the DIGITALEUROPE Executive Board, Associate to Nokia’s CEO at the ERT
(European Round Table for Industry), and advisor to FITCE Belgium (Forum for ICT
& Media professionals). He has been vice-chair of the BUSINESSEUROPE Digital
Economy Taskforce as well as a member of the board of IICB (Innovation &
Incubation Center Brussels).
Tag - Data Centers
Meta named former Trump adviser Dina Powell McCormick to serve as president and
vice chair Monday, further cementing the company’s growing ties to Republicans
and President Donald Trump’s White House.
In addition to a long career on Wall Street, Powell McCormick served as Trump’s
deputy national security adviser during his first term. She was also a member of
the George W. Bush administration.
She first joined Meta’s board last April, part of a broader play by the social
media and artificial intelligence giant to hire Republicans following Trump’s
election.
In a statement, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg praised Powell McCormick’s “experience
at the highest levels of global finance, combined with her deep relationships
around the world, [which] makes her uniquely suited to help Meta manage this
next phase of growth.”
Rightward trend: Powell McCormick’s time in global finance — she spent 16 years
as a partner at Goldman Sachs and was most recently a top executive at banking
company BDT & MSD Partners — could be a major asset to Meta as it raises
hundreds of billions of dollars to build out data centers and other AI-related
infrastructure.
But her GOP pedigree and proximity to Trump likely played a significant role in
her hiring as well.
Since Trump’s election, Meta has worked to curry favor with Republicans in the
White House and on Capitol Hill. The company elevated former GOP official Joel
Kaplan to serve as global affairs lead last January, simultaneously tapping
Kevin Martin, a former Republican chair of the Federal Communications
Commission, as his No. 2.
Under pressure from Republicans, last year Meta also rolled back many of its
former rules related to content moderation. In 2024, the company apologized to
congressional Republicans — specifically Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), chair of the
House Judiciary Committee — for removing content that contained disinformation
about the Covid-19 pandemic.
A Meta spokesperson declined to comment when asked whether Powell McCormick’s
ties to Trump and Republicans played a role in her hiring.
Trump thumbs up: In a Truth Social post Monday, Trump congratulated Powell
McCormick and said Zuckerberg made a “great choice.” The president called her “a
fantastic, and very talented, person, who served the Trump Administration with
strength and distinction!”
Venture capitalist Finn Murphy believes world leaders could soon resort to
deflecting sunlight into space if the Earth gets unbearably hot.
That’s why he’s invested more than $1 million in Stardust Solutions, a leading
solar geoengineering firm that’s developing a system to reduce warming by
enveloping the globe in reflective particles.
Murphy isn’t rooting for climate catastrophe. But with global temperatures
soaring and the political will to limit climate change waning, Stardust “can be
worth tens of billions of dollars,” he said.
“It would be definitely better if we lost all our money and this wasn’t
necessary,” said Murphy, the 33-year-old founder of Nebular, a New York
investment fund named for a vast cloud of space dust and gas.
Murphy is among a new wave of investors who are putting millions of dollars into
emerging companies that aim to limit the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth —
while also potentially destabilizing weather patterns, food supplies and global
politics. He has a degree in mathematics and mechanical engineering and views
global warming not just as a human and political tragedy, but as a technical
challenge with profitable solutions.
Solar geoengineering investors are generally young, pragmatic and imaginative —
and willing to lean into the adventurous side of venture capitalism. They often
shrug off the concerns of scientists who argue it’s inherently risky to fund the
development of potentially dangerous technologies through wealthy investors who
could only profit if the planet-cooling systems are deployed.
“If the technology works and the outcomes are positive without really
catastrophic downstream impacts, these are trillion-dollar market
opportunities,” said Evan Caron, a co-founder of the energy-focused venture firm
Montauk Capital. “So it’s a no-brainer for an investor to take a shot at some of
these.”
More than 50 financial firms, wealthy individuals and government agencies have
collectively provided more than $115.8 million to nine startups whose technology
could be used to limit sunlight, according to interviews with VCs, tech company
founders and analysts, as well as private investment data analyzed by POLITICO’s
E&E News.
That pool of funders includes Silicon Valley’s Sequoia Capital, one of the
world’s largest venture capital firms, and four other investment groups that
have more than $1 billion of assets under management.
Of the total amount invested in the geoengineering sector, $75 million went to
Stardust, or nearly 65 percent. The U.S.-Israeli startup is developing
reflective particles and the means to spray and monitor them in the
stratosphere, some 11 miles above the planet’s surface.
At least three other climate-intervention companies have also raked in at least
$5 million.
The cash infusion is a bet on planet-cooling technologies that many political
leaders, investors and environmentalists still consider taboo. In addition to
having unknown side effects, solar geoengineering could expose the planet to
what scientists call “termination shock,” a scenario in which global
temperatures soar if the cooling technologies fail or are suddenly abandoned.
Still, the funding surge for geoengineering companies pales in comparison to the
billions of dollars being put toward artificial intelligence. OpenAI, the maker
of ChatGPT, has raised $62.5 billion in 2025 alone, according to investment data
compiled by PitchBook.
The investment pool for solar geoengineering startups is relatively shallow in
part because governments haven’t determined how they would regulate the
technology — something Stardust is lobbying to change.
As a result, the emerging sector is seen as too speculative for most venture
capital firms, according to Kim Zou, the CEO of Sightline Climate, a market
intelligence firm. VCs mostly work on behalf of wealthy individuals, as well as
pension funds, university endowments and other institutional investors.
“It’s still quite a niche set of investors that are even thinking about or
looking at the geoengineering space,” Zou said. “The climate tech and energy
tech investors we speak to still don’t really see there being an investable
opportunity there, primarily because there’s no commercial market for it today.”
AEROSOLS IN THE STRATOSPHERE
Stardust and its investors are banking on signing contracts with one or more
governments that could deploy its solar geoengineering system as soon as the end
of the decade. Those investors include Lowercarbon Capital, a climate-focused
firm co-founded by billionaire VC Chris Sacca, and Exor, the holding company of
an Italian industrial dynasty and perhaps the most mainstream investment group
to back a sunlight reflection startup.
Even Stardust’s supporters acknowledge that the company is far from a sure bet.
“It’s unique in that there is not currently demand for this solution,” said
Murphy, whose firm is also supporting out-there startups seeking to build robots
and data centers in space. “You have to go and create the product in order to
potentially facilitate the demand.”
Lowercarbon partner Ryan Orbuch said the firm would see a return on its Stardust
investment only “in the context of an actual customer who can actually back many
years of stable, safe deployment.”
Exor, another Stardust investor, didn’t respond to a request for comment.
Other startups are trying to develop commercial markets for solar
geoengineering. Make Sunsets, a company funded by billionaire VC Tim Draper,
releases sulfate-filled weather balloons that pop when they reach the
stratosphere. It sells cooling credits to individuals and corporations based on
the theory that the sulfates can reliably reduce warming.
There are questions, however, about the science and economics underpinning the
credit system of Make Sunsets, according to the investment bank Jeffries.
“A cooling credit market is unlikely to be viable,” the bank said in a May 2024
note to clients.
That’s because the temperature reductions produced by sulfate aerosols vary by
altitude, location and season, the note explained. And the warming impacts of
carbon dioxide emissions last decades — much longer than any cooling that would
be created from a balloon’s worth of sulfate.
Make Sunsets didn’t respond to a request for comment. The company has previously
attracted the attention of regulators in the U.S. and Mexico, who have claimed
it began operating without the necessary government approvals.
Draper Associates says on its website that it’s “shaping a future where the
impossible becomes everyday reality.” The firm has previously backed successful
consumer tech firms like Tesla, Skype and Hotmail.
“It is getting hotter in the Summer everywhere,” Tim Draper said in an email.
“We should be encouraging every solution. I love this team, and the science
works.”
THE NEXT FRONTIER
One startup is pursuing space-based solar geoengineering. EarthGuard is
attempting to build a series of large sunlight deflectors that would be
positioned between the sun and the planet, some 932,000 miles from the Earth.
The company did not respond to emailed questions.
Other space companies are considering geoengineering as a side project. That
includes Gama, a French startup that’s designing massive solar sails that could
be used for deep space travel or as a planetary sunshade, and Ethos Space, a Los
Angeles company with plans to industrialize the moon.
Both companies are part of an informal research network established by the
Planetary Sunshade Foundation, a nonprofit advocating for the development of a
trillion-dollar parasol for the globe. The network mainly brings together
collaborators on the sidelines of space industry conferences, according to Gama
CEO Andrew Nutter.
“We’re willing to contribute something if we realize it’s genuinely necessary
and it’s a better solution than other solutions” to the climate challenge,
Nutter said of the space shade concept. “But our business model does not depend
on it. If you have dollar signs hanging next to something, that can bias your
decisions on what’s best for the planet.”
Nutter said Gama has raised about $5 million since he co-founded the company in
2020. Its investors include Possible Ventures, a German VC firm that’s also
financing a nuclear fusion startup and says on its website that the firm is
“relentlessly optimistic — choosing to focus on the possibilities rather than
obsess over the risks.” Possible Ventures did not respond to a request for
comment.
Sequoia-backed Reflect Orbital is another space startup that’s exploring solar
geoengineering as a potential moneymaker. The company based near Los Angeles is
developing a network of satellite mirrors that would direct sunlight down to the
Earth at night for lighting industrial sites or, eventually, producing solar
energy. Its space mirrors, if oriented differently, could also be used for
limiting the amount of sun rays that reach the planet.
“It’s not so much a technological limitation as much as what has the highest,
best impact. It’s more of a business decision,” said Ally Stone, Reflect
Orbital’s chief strategy officer. “It’s a matter of looking at each satellite as
an opportunity and whether, when it’s over a specific geography, that makes more
sense to reflect sunlight towards or away from the Earth.”
Reflect Orbital has raised nearly $28.7 million from investors including Lux
Capital, a firm that touts its efforts to “turn sci-fi into sci-fact” and has
invested in the autonomous defense systems companies Anduril and Saildrone.”
Sequoia and Lux didn’t respond to requests for comment.
The startup hopes to send its first satellite into space next summer, according
to Stone.
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, whose aerospace company already has an estimated fleet of
more than 8,800 internet satellites in orbit, has also suggested using the
circling network to limit sunlight.
“A large solar-powered AI satellite constellation would be able to prevent
global warming by making tiny adjustments in how much solar energy reached
Earth,” Musk wrote on X last month. Neither he nor SpaceX responded to an
emailed request for comment.
DON’T CALL IT GEOENGINEERING
Other sunlight-reflecting startups are entering the market — even if they’d
rather not be seen as solar geoengineering companies.
Arctic Reflections is a two-year-old company that wants to reduce global warming
by increasing Arctic sea ice, which doesn’t absorb as much heat as open water.
The Dutch startup hasn’t yet pursued outside investors.
“We see this not necessarily as geo-engineering, but rather as climate
adaptation,” CEO Fonger Ypma said in an email. “Just like in reforestation
projects, people help nature in growing trees, our idea is that we would help
nature in growing ice.”
The main funder of Arctic Reflections is the British government’s independent
Advanced Research and Invention Agency. In May, ARIA awarded $4.41 million to
the company — more than four times what it had raised to that point.
Another startup backed by ARIA is Voltitude, which is developing micro balloons
to monitor geoengineering from the stratosphere. The U.K.-based company didn’t
respond to a request for comment.
Altogether, the British agency is supporting 22 geoengineering projects, only a
handful of which involve startups.
“ARIA is only funding fundamental research through this programme, and has not
taken an equity stake in any geoengineering companies,” said Mark Symes, a
program director at the agency. It also requires that all research it supports
“must be published, including those that rule out approaches by showing they are
unsafe or unworkable.”
Sunscreen is a new startup that is trying to limit sunlight in localized areas.
It was founded earlier this year by Stanford University graduate student Solomon
Kim.
“We are pioneering the use of targeted, precision interventions to mitigate the
destructive impacts of heatwave on critical United States infrastructure,” Kim
said in an email. But he was emphatic that “we are not geoengineering” since the
cooling impacts it’s pursuing are not large scale.
Kim declined to say how much had been raised by Sunscreen and from what sources.
As climate change and its impacts continue to worsen, Zou of Sightline Climate
expects more investors to consider solar geoengineering startups, including
deep-pocketed firms and corporations interested in the technology. Without their
help, the startups might not be able to develop their planet-cooling systems.
“People are feeling like, well wait a second, our backs are kind of starting to
get against the wall. Time is ticking, we’re not really making a ton of
progress” on decarbonization, she said.
“So I do think there’s a lot more questions getting asked right now in the
climate tech and venture community around understanding it,” Zou said of solar
geoengineering. “Some of these companies and startups and venture deals are also
starting to bring more light into the space.”
Karl Mathiesen contributed reporting.
Europe’s security does not depend solely on our physical borders and their
defense. It rests on something far less visible, and far more sensitive: the
digital networks that keep our societies, economies and democracies functioning
every second of the day.
> Without resilient networks, the daily workings of Europe would grind to a
> halt, and so too would any attempt to build meaningful defense readiness.
A recent study by Copenhagen Economics confirms that telecom operators have
become the first line of defense in Europe’s security architecture. Their
networks power essential services ranging from emergency communications and
cross-border healthcare to energy systems, financial markets, transport and,
increasingly, Europe’s defense capabilities. Without resilient networks, the
daily workings of Europe would grind to a halt, and so too would any attempt to
build meaningful defense readiness.
This reality forces us to confront an uncomfortable truth: Europe cannot build
credible defense capabilities on top of an economically strained, structurally
fragmented telecom sector. Yet this is precisely the risk today.
A threat landscape outpacing Europe’s defenses
The challenges facing Europe are evolving faster than our political and
regulatory systems can respond. In 2023 alone, ENISA recorded 188 major
incidents, causing 1.7 billion lost user-hours, the equivalent of taking entire
cities offline. While operators have strengthened their systems and outage times
fell by more than half in 2024 compared with the previous year, despite a
growing number of incidents, the direction of travel remains clear: cyberattacks
are more sophisticated, supply chains more vulnerable and climate-related
physical disruptions more frequent. Hybrid threats increasingly target civilian
digital infrastructure as a way to weaken states. Telecom networks, once
considered as technical utilities, have become a strategic asset essential to
Europe’s stability.
> Europe cannot deploy cross-border defense capabilities without resilient,
> pan-European digital infrastructure. Nor can it guarantee NATO
> interoperability with 27 national markets, divergent rules and dozens of
> sub-scale operators unable to invest at continental scale.
Our allies recognize this. NATO recently encouraged members to spend up to 1.5
percent of their GDP on protecting critical infrastructure. Secretary General
Mark Rutte also urged investment in cyber defense, AI, and cloud technologies,
highlighting the military benefits of cloud scalability and edge computing – all
of which rely on high-quality, resilient networks. This is a clear political
signal that telecom security is not merely an operational matter but a
geopolitical priority.
The link between telecoms and defense is deeper than many realize. As also
explained in the recent Arel report, Much More than a Network, modern defense
capabilities rely largely on civilian telecom networks. Strong fiber backbones,
advanced 5G and future 6G systems, resilient cloud and edge computing, satellite
connectivity, and data centers form the nervous system of military logistics,
intelligence and surveillance. Europe cannot deploy cross-border defense
capabilities without resilient, pan-European digital infrastructure. Nor can it
guarantee NATO interoperability with 27 national markets, divergent rules and
dozens of sub-scale operators unable to invest at continental scale.
Fragmentation has become one of Europe’s greatest strategic vulnerabilities.
The reform Europe needs: An investment boost for digital networks
At the same time, Europe expects networks to become more resilient, more
redundant, less dependent on foreign technology and more capable of supporting
defense-grade applications. Security and resilience are not side tasks for
telecom operators, they are baked into everything they do. From procurement and
infrastructure design to daily operations, operators treat these efforts as core
principles shaping how networks are built, run and protected. Therefore, as the
Copenhagen Economics study shows, the level of protection Europe now requires
will demand substantial additional capital.
> It is unrealistic to expect world-class, defense-ready infrastructure to
> emerge from a model that has become structurally unsustainable.
This is the right ambition, but the economic model underpinning the sector does
not match these expectations. Due to fragmentation and over-regulation, Europe’s
telecom market invests less per capita than global peers, generates roughly half
the return on capital of operators in the United States and faces rising costs
linked to expanding security obligations. It is unrealistic to expect
world-class, defense-ready infrastructure to emerge from a model that has become
structurally unsustainable.
A shift in policy priorities is therefore essential. Europe must place
investment in security and resilience at the center of its political agenda.
Policy must allow this reality to be reflected in merger assessments, reduce
overlapping security rules and provide public support where the public interest
exceeds commercial considerations. This is not state aid; it is strategic social
responsibility.
Completing the single market for telecommunications is central to this agenda. A
fragmented market cannot produce the secure, interoperable, large-scale
solutions required for modern defense. The Digital Networks Act must simplify
and harmonize rules across the EU, supported by a streamlined governance that
distinguishes between domestic matters and cross-border strategic issues.
Spectrum policy must also move beyond national silos, allowing Europe to avoid
conflicts with NATO over key bands and enabling coherent next-generation
deployments.
Telecom policy nowadays is also defense policy. When we measure investment gaps
in digital network deployment, we still tend to measure simple access to 5G and
fiber. However, we should start considering that — if security, resilience and
defense-readiness are to be taken into account — the investment gap is much
higher that the €200 billion already estimated by the European Commission.
Europe’s strategic choice
The momentum for stronger European defense is real — but momentum fades if it is
not seized. If Europe fails to modernize and secure its telecom infrastructure
now, it risks entering the next decade with a weakened industrial base, chronic
underinvestment, dependence on non-EU technologies and networks unable to
support advanced defense applications. In that scenario, Europe’s democratic
resilience would erode in parallel with its economic competitiveness, leaving
the continent more exposed to geopolitical pressure and technological
dependency.
> If Europe fails to modernize and secure its telecom infrastructure now, it
> risks entering the next decade with a weakened industrial base, chronic
> underinvestment, dependence on non-EU technologies and networks unable to
> support advanced defense applications.
Europe still has time to change course and put telecoms at the center of its
agenda — not as a technical afterthought, but as a core pillar of its defense
strategy. The time for incremental steps has passed. Europe must choose to build
the network foundations of its security now or accept that its strategic
ambitions will remain permanently out of reach.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
POLITICAL ADVERTISEMENT
* The sponsor is Connect Europe AISBL
* The ultimate controlling entity is Connect Europe AISBL
* The political advertisement is linked to advocacy on EU digital, telecom and
industrial policy, including initiatives such as the Digital Networks Act,
Digital Omnibus, and connectivity, cybersecurity, and defence frameworks
aimed at strengthening Europe’s digital competitiveness.
More information here.
LONDON — The U.K. government is going all-out to get Brits putting their money
in stocks and shares. The timing could definitely be better.
Lead policymakers and City of London analysts are increasingly warning of an
artificial intelligence-fueled correction in equities just as the U.K.’s top
finance minister prepares a major new policy to push Britain’s savers into the
stock market.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has made upping retail participation in stocks and
shares a high priority, launching a campaign earlier this year to unite
financial firms in an advertising blitz extolling the benefits of investing. At
next month’s budget, she’s expected to push changes to the tax system that would
encourage investors to swap their steady, tax-free cash savings products for a
stocks and shares ISA.
With AI stocks soaring, it’s caused some raised eyebrows in the City.
AI stocks in the U.S. account for roughly 44 percent of the S&P 500 market
capitalization, and Nvidia just became the first company in history to become
worth $5 trillion. The meteoric rise in has led some experts to warn there’s
only one way out: The bubble will burst.
“It would, unfortunately, be poetic timing if a major correction arrives just as
the government is trying to get more people into investing,” said Chris
Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG.
ATLANTIC INFLUENCE
This week, City broker Panmure Liberum found that 38 percent of the U.S. stock
market’s value is based in a “speculative component” that AI companies will
continue to build out data centers and spend billions more on chips — by no
means a sure bet.
“While this capital spending could deliver substantial productivity gains that
might eventually spread to the broader market, there is still no clear evidence
that this is happening and is difficult to forecast the size of an eventual
impact,” said Panmure analyst Susana Cruz in a research note.
The “Magnificent Seven” group of tech giant composed around 20 percent of the
S&P 500 at the end of 2022, but now make up more than a third of it, having
tripled in size over just three years. The American index’s price-to-book ratio
(meaning a company’s market cap compared to assets and liabilities) is at an
all-time high, with 19 of the 20 valuation metrics tracked by Bank of
America more expensive than the historical average.
Despite the vast valuations, an infamous MIT study published earlier this year
found that 95 percent of companies using generative AI were getting zero return.
In early October, the Bank of England’s committee which monitors risks to
financial stability warned of a “sudden correction” in markets, saying that
“equity valuations appear stretched” as valuation metrics reached levels
comparable to the peak of the dotcom bubble that unfolded in the early
millennium, when the Nasdaq fell 77 percent from its peak, wiping trillions of
the stock market. It took 15 years for the index to recover.
The U.K. central bank’s warning came a month after global body, the Bank for
International Settlements, issued a similar caution. Kristalina Georgieva, head
of the International Monetary Fund, has also drawn comparisons with the dotcom
bubble.
Even Jamie Dimon, chief executive of U.S. banking giant JP Morgan, has said he’s
seriously worried about a market correction.
Over most periods investment beats cash, as long as individuals are willing to
lock their money away for several years. Savers could have doubled their money
over the last decade by putting their cash in the stock market rather than
keeping it in a savings account, according to Schroders.
Nvidia is up 13 percent this month alone — rather than an index fund which
tracks hundreds of stocks, they stand to lose a lot of money if things go sour.
| Jung Yeon-Je/Getty Images
“No one can time the market, definitely not a bulky institution like the
government,” Oliver Tipping, analyst at investment bank Peel Hunt, said. “Big
picture, the government is right to try to stimulate more retail investment.”
But if an individual decides to put their hard-earned savings into stocks they
perceive as doing particularly well — Nvidia, for example, is up 13 percent this
month alone — rather than an index fund which tracks hundreds of stocks, they
stand to lose a lot of money if things go sour.
“If you think about your average Joe, they’re not going to go into a safe index
fund, they’ll put all of their money in Nvidia or Facebook and could get in at
the wrong time,” one financial analyst, granted anonymity to speak freely,
said.
Yet even an index fund, like a global equities tracker, is made up of close to
20 percent of the “Magnificent Seven” companies, due to the massive size of the
American stock market compared to the rest of the world.
While these funds have suffered significant drops in the past — U.S. President
Donald Trump’s threat of tariffs in April caused a drop of 10 percent in a week
— they have then recovered over a period of months or years. That’s good news
for investors willing to wait for the market to correct any possible downturn —
but if retail investors panic and withdraw their funds at the first sign of a
loss, they could end up with less money than they put in, possibly wiping out
emergency savings.
“There is clearly a risk here that government is pushing people to invest when
maybe they don’t have enough of a cash buffer in order to do that, that you’re
going to be setting up problems for the long term, and it’ll be interesting to
see who’s on the hook for paying that compensation,” said Debbie Enver, head of
external affairs at the Building Societies Association.
ONCE BITTEN, TWICE SHY
City analysts also express concern that investors entering the stock market for
the first time could be forever turned off from shifting their cash over to
equities if an immediate correction is nigh. Only 8 percent of wealth held by
U.K. adults is in stocks and funds, four times lower than in the U.S., according
to data from asset manager Aberdeen.
“There is no doubt that the government would find it much harder to drive retail
investment in a period of financial turbulence,” added Chris Rudden, head of
investment consultants at Moneyfarm. “Appetite to invest is linked to strong
recent market performance. If there was to be a bubble that bursts in the coming
few months, then it could make their job impossible.”
IG’s Beauchamp argued that the government would need to pursue a broader
education plan “to help people through the inevitable pullback” and prevent them
from avoiding the stock market permanently. “How you do that without scaring
people witless is a Herculean task,” he added.
Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at AJ Bell, suggested investment
platforms could encourage regular incremental savings in the stock market, known
as dollar cost averaging, rather than throwing one lump sum in, which he said
“mitigates the risk of a big market downdraft.”
One solution that appears to be under consideration by Reeves as part of the
autumn budget is to introduce a minimum U.K. stock shareholding in ISAs — which
she could argue would protect British savers from a U.S. downturn and pump more
money into local companies.
This too is not without risk. The FTSE 100 derives nearly 30 percent of its
revenue from the U.S., according to the London Stock Exchange, and U.K. markets
are generally incredibly sensitive to macroeconomic shifts across the Atlantic.
The FTSE 100 derives nearly 30 percent of its revenue from the U.S., according
to the London Stock Exchange. | Jeff Moore/Getty Images
Meanwhile, if an AI-induced stock bubble isn’t enough cause for concern, worries
of trouble in the private credit sector exploded this month after the collapse
of sub-prime auto lender Tricolor and car parts supplier First Brands left some
U.S. banks with significant losses, causing a spillover onto public markets.
BoE governor Bailey recently drew similarities between risks in the asset class
and the 2008 global financial crisis, saying it was an “open question” if the
event was “a canary in the coal mine” for a market meltdown.
If one domino falls, they all could — and that would leave Britain’s chancellor
in a real bind.
AI is intensifying the strategic rivalry between the European Union and the
United States, reshaping models of industrial policy and regulatory sovereignty.
Amid a flurry of investment announcements, the exposure of security
vulnerabilities and the contest over global standards, one critical factor
remains largely in the shadows — seldom acknowledged, scarcely quantified and
rarely debated: its environmental footprint.
The environmental blind spot of a strategic technology
The silence surrounding the impact of AI is surprising. A study carried out by
Sopra Steria and Opsci.ai analyzing over 3 million posts about AI on social
media reveals that its environmental impact accounts for less than 1 percent of
the global conversation.1 Worse still, among the 100 most influential AI
personalities,2 ecological concerns are only eighth on the list of subjects they
discuss most, far behind technological and economic issues.
> A study carried out by Sopra Steria and Opsci.ai analyzing over 3 million
> posts about AI on social media reveals that its environmental impact accounts
> for less than 1 percent of the global conversation
AI relies on energy-intensive infrastructure that consumes resources and water,
the footprint of which remains largely underestimated, poorly measured and
therefore little considered in industrial and political trade-offs. This
misalignment can also be explained by the trajectory of the sector itself:
driven by the rise of AI, the digital sector is one of the few areas whose
environmental impact is continuing to grow, contrary to the climate objectives
set out in the Paris Agreement. While American players are already crushing the
AI market, technological dependence must not be compounded by a setback on
Europe’s carbon trajectory.
This omission undermines the credibility of any European industrial strategy
built on AI. To serve as genuine drivers of transformation, the leading AI
companies must bring full transparency to their environmental trajectory — one
they are progressively shaping for Europe.
© Sopra Steria
Measuring for action: The need for transparency and rigor
We must not rush to condemn AI, but we must insist on setting the conditions for
its long-term sustainability. This means measuring its impact objectively and
transparently, equipping stakeholders with the tools for informed debate, and
guiding decision-makers in their technological choices. Recent research
indicates that the environmental footprint of a given model can vary
significantly depending on where it is assessed, the energy mix of the countries
hosting the data centers,3 the duration of the training, the architecture
employed and the extent to which low-carbon energy sources are used.
Breaking through the methodological vagueness means providing developers,
purchasers and decision-makers with common frames of reference, impact
simulators, libraries of low-carbon models and low-carbon computing
infrastructures. Numerous levers for action and choice exist, provided we have
the necessary data and tools.
This requirement is not a regulatory whim but a strategic steering tool.
Sustainability must be given as much weight as performance or security in
industrial and economic trade-offs, because it determines the very viability of
Europe’s strategic autonomy. At a time when free international trade faces
headwinds, and as the second phase of the AI Act — in force since August 2025 —
continues to overlook environmental sustainability, transparency on
environmental impact must become a prerequisite for access to European markets,
financing and large-scale deployment.
Making sustainability a central pillar of European competitiveness
Europe has an opportunity to seize. It has a robust standards base that is a
powerful lever for competitiveness and responsible innovation, provided that it
is supported by targeted investment, shared standards and an industrial strategy
aligned with our climate objectives. But Europe can rely on something even more
decisive: its people. We have world-class researchers, visionary entrepreneurs,
and thriving companies that embody the best of technological and industrial
excellence. The recent strategic partnership between ASML, a key supplier to the
world’s semiconductor industry, and Mistral, an AI start-up, illustrates
Europe’s capacity to connect its industrial and digital strengths to shape a
sovereign and sustainable future4.
It would be dangerous to suggest that Europe’s technological strength could be
built on deferred ecology. What is tolerated as a gray area today will be a
competitive handicap tomorrow. Customers, investors and citizens will
increasingly demand transparency. The emergence of responsible AI does not mean
making it perfect, but making it readable, controllable and adjustable.
In a technological landscape dominated by two superpowers that have hitherto
favored efficiency and technological competitiveness to the detriment of ethical
safeguards, Europe can chart a singular course. It has the means to assert
itself by defending responsible AI, at the service of the common good and in
line with its fundamental values: the rule of law, individual freedom, social
justice and respect for the environment. This orientation is not a brake on
innovation, but on the contrary a lever for differentiation, capable of
inspiring confidence in a digital ecosystem that is often perceived as opaque or
threatening. By betting on ethical, explainable and sustainable AI, Europe would
not be giving up global competition, but it would be redefining the rules of the
game. More than ever, it must give priority to clarity, stringency and rigor.
Only then will AI cease to be a technological equation to be solved and become a
genuine project at the service of our society, consistent with our democratic
and ecological imperatives.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. AI & environment: breaking through the information fog – Sopra Steria
2. “The 100 Most Influential People in AI 2024”, Time Magazine
3. ADEME – Arcep study on the environmental footprint of digital technology in
2020, 2030 and 2025
4. https://www.politico.eu/article/dutch-asml-invests-in-french-mistral-in-huge-european-ai-team-up/
LONDON — At a couple of pages long, the technology pact the U.S. and the U.K.
will sign this week when President Donald Trump lands in London will be easy to
miss amid the circus of a state visit.
But what will be impossible to ignore is the group of technology heavyweights
joining Trump’s entourage. Nvidia boss Jensen Huang, who is hosting a party in
London’s King’s Cross on Thursday night, OpenAI’s Sam Altman and Blackstone
chief executive Stephen Schwarzman are among those accompanying the U.S.
president.
Nvidia is due to announce an investment in Britain’s biggest data center,
planned for Blyth in northeast England, according to three people familiar with
the plans. A subsidiary of Blackstone is leading the project and OpenAI is also
involved. It is expected to be billed as a British “Stargate,” similar to a
Norwegian version the companies announced in July.
The tech pact Trump will agree with Prime Minister Keir Starmer has paved the
way for some of that investment, the U.K. embassy in Washington believes. The
document focuses on building partnerships — through R&D, procurement and skills
— in AI, quantum and space, according to two people briefed on it.
A U.K. government spokesperson claimed the pact would “change the lives” of
Brits and Americans, while U.K. Technology Secretary Liz Kendall said: “Boosting
our tech ties with the U.S. will help us deliver the change people here at home
expect and deserve.”
A separate agreement on nuclear energy will also come during the state visit,
fast-tracking reactor design checks between the two countries. It includes plans
to build data centers powered by small modular reactors at the former coal power
station in Cottam, Nottinghamshire.
MADE IN THE USA
Britain pitched the pact to Washington as a way for Western democracies to beat
China in the technology race and set a “gold standard” in digital rulemaking.
Yet while the country’s AI strategy talks about sovereignty, with only £2
billion of public money set aside to deliver it, Britain is heavily reliant on
U.S. investments and technology to make it happen.
Gaia Marcus, director of the Ada Lovelace Institute think tank, warned of
increased U.K. reliance on America. “The public deserves to understand who
really benefits from these partnerships and what the return will be for
taxpayers in years to come,” she said. “We mustn’t just focus on what the
figures look like today, if the cost is technological lock-in tomorrow, limiting
our ability to seek alternatives in the future.”
Nvidia is due to announce an investment in Britain’s biggest data center,
planned for Blyth in northeast England, according to three people familiar with
the plans. | Ina Fassbender/Getty Images
Chi Onwurah, chair of the House of Commons Science, Innovation and Technology
Committee, said: “Whilst I’m pleased that the U.K. is an attractive place for
U.S. investment, the U.K. needs to take decisions that are in its long-term
strategic interest; true technology sovereignty cannot mean being dependent on
one investor or country.”
But Keegan McBride, senior policy advisor in emerging technology and geopolitics
at the Tony Blair Institute, said the U.K. has little choice as only the U.S. or
China were able to provide it with the AI infrastructure it needed to compete.
“For the U.K. and for many other countries that want to access frontier AI
capabilities, the United States represents the best option,” he said.
The Trump administration, meanwhile, wants to sell American AI “packages” to its
allies, pitching them as a form of AI sovereignity. “We are committed to finding
a way to enable America’s private companies to meet your national technological
needs,” White House tech policy chief Michael Kratsios told APEC members at a
conference in South Korea this August.
Another prize for U.S. tech companies is large government contracts. Britain’s
defense department announced a £400 million deal with Google Cloud last week,
while Nvidia, OpenAI, Anthropic and Google Cloud signed separate partnership
agreements with the U.K. government earlier this year.
JUST DON’T MENTION RULES
The U.S.-U.K. tech pact is expected to avoid the thornier issue of online
regulation, but it is something the White House has pressured the U.K.
government on throughout trade negotiations. Starmer also faces domestic
pressure from Nigel Farage, leader of the populist and poll-topping Reform UK
party, who compared Britain’s free speech laws to North Korea in the U.S.
Congress this month.
Starmer has repeatedly defended Britain’s Online Safety Act, including in front
of Trump at his Scottish Turnberry resort in August, while Trump has also
attacked the Digital Services Tax and competition regulations.
McBride said: “There is a growing number of regulatory concerns on the side of
the United States, particularly regarding censorship and free speech, that could
disrupt tech relations between the two countries.”
One person briefed on the agenda for Trump’s visit said: “There are three
regulatory pieces that the U.S. is really concerned about in Europe right now.
They’re going to be looking … to see some sort of support from the U.K.”
They listed the Digital Services Tax, which the government has repeatedly ruled
out ditching, the EU’s Digital Markets Act, and the CSDD (an EU supply chain
disclosure reporting standard). “There are people inside the White House that
are very set on expanding the U.S.-U.K. relationship as a means to
counterbalance the EU, and I think that’s a big part of this trip.”
Ireland’s Data Protection Commission (DPC) has launched a fresh inquiry into
TikTok’s transfers of personal data to Chinese servers, it said Thursday,
following on from its investigation that led to a €530 million fine against the
company in April.
The Irish regulator in April was informed by TikTok of an issue that meant a
limited amount of EU user data had been stored on servers in China, an issue it
said it discovered in February.
The discovery contradicted the firm’s long-held position that personal data of
EU users was only accessed remotely by the platform’s staff in China. But it
came only just before the investigation concluded. Because of this, the DPC did
not investigate it fully.
The regulator in April fined TikTok for not sufficiently protecting EU personal
data from Chinese state surveillance.
The DPC earlier this year expressed “deep concern” that TikTok submitted
“inaccurate information to the inquiry.”
In a statement on Thursday, it said it had decided to open a new inquiry into
the personal data transfers to servers in China after consulting with other data
protection authorities in Europe.
The Irish regulator said the inquiry will focus on whether TikTok has complied
with its obligations under the EU’s General Data Protection Regulation,
including articles relating to accountability, transparency, cooperation with
supervisory authorities and compliance with rules around data transfers outside
of the EU.
TikTok was notified earlier this week about the Irish DPC’s decision to launch a
fresh inquiry.
The company has been contacted for comment.
The energy landscape is always evolving, and another challenge is rapidly coming
into view: data.
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing and machine learning
is driving unprecedented demand for electricity.
This trend is only set to accelerate as the UK seeks to establish itself as a
global leader in AI. The UK government has rightly committed to being an ‘AI
maker, not taker’. But that ambition comes with consequences.
According to the National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios 2024, data centers
could become one of the UK’s fastest-growing sources of demand by the 2030s. AI
data centers are used to train the most advanced AI, including frontier models
such as ChatGPT, and require vast amounts of energy due to their continuous
utilization.
We cannot meet this surge in demand simply by layering data center load on top
of an already stretched energy system.
COORDINATION WILL BE CRITICAL
Last month, a report from Aurora Energy Research highlighted that an
uncoordinated approach to power sourcing could see power sector emissions
increasing by 14 percent, which would directly undermine the UK’s
decarbonization goals and drive up wholesale electricity prices.
> Without change, we risk slowing down both the deployment of AI infrastructure
> and our energy transition.
Instead, we need a coordinated way to unlock the potential of the AI sector. The
current approach, where most data centers cluster around areas like London and
the Thames Valley, driven by proximity to demand, is unsustainable. These
regions are often far from large-scale sources of generation and already face
grid constraints such as network connection bottlenecks. Different thinking is
viable for data centers geared toward AI workloads, which are less sensitive to
latency — the delay of data transfer — and therefore do not need to be sited
close to major cities. Without change, we risk slowing down both the deployment
of AI infrastructure and our energy transition.
To help mitigate this risk, we should align our energy and digital strategies
more closely. That starts with a national framework to strategically site new
data centers in areas with available grid capacity, preferably close to power
generation sources. Drax Power Station could be one of those locations.
via Drax
CO-LOCATING DATA CENTRES AND POWER GENERATION
In 2024 Drax Power Station was the UK’s single largest source of renewable power
by output. Our site in Selby, North Yorkshire, provides approximately 2.6 GW of
dispatchable power capacity, enough power for five million homes. Unlike
intermittent renewables, Drax generates power whether or not the wind is blowing
or the sun is shining.
But the site’s potential reaches beyond what it delivers today. We already
benefit from planning consents, which — alongside the right policy support and
regulatory framework — could allow us to transform Drax into the world’s largest
engineered carbon removals facility by installing bioenergy with carbon capture
and storage (BECCS) on two of our generating units. BECCS is unique. It is the
only technology that can simultaneously generate renewable power and remove
carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. And, significantly, co-locating a data
center with the power station could help enable the delivery of this world
leading technology.
> Building data centers next to power stations brings multiple advantages. It
> enhances system resilience and reduces the risk of plant curtailment. It
> minimizes energy lost in transmission, something that becomes more pronounced
> the further electricity has to travel.
Large power stations like Drax Power Station were designed to support
industrial-scale generation. They have substantial grid connections, large
surrounding estates and access to cooling water. These attributes make Drax
Power Station uniquely suited for the possibility of hosting a hyperscale data
center.
Building data centers next to power stations brings multiple advantages. It
enhances system resilience and reduces the risk of plant curtailment. It
minimizes energy lost in transmission, something that becomes more pronounced
the further electricity has to travel. It also supports the connection of new
energy capacity by relieving congestion on the grid queue.
Unlocking this potential, however, will require a rethink of current
regulations.
SEIZING THE OPPORTUNITY
At present, power stations are restricted from supplying electricity
simultaneously to both the grid and a private off-taker such as a data center.
These rules were written for a different era, one that did not anticipate
intense energy consumers such as AI clusters emerging as a major player in the
energy ecosystem.
By unpicking these constraints, we can free up untapped capacity, provide
flexible solutions for energy security and support the digital infrastructure
needed to drive economic growth.
The government’s recent announcement of AI Growth Zones is a welcome step. If
designed properly, this initiative could be the catalyst for a strategic rollout
of AI infrastructure across the UK. Rather than clustering growth in already
congested urban areas, Growth Zones can enable us to locate data centers where
power is plentiful, where local communities stand to benefit from investment and
where the grid can accommodate growth.
This is about more than just plugging in servers. It’s about creating a coherent
and forward-looking strategy that links where we generate power to where we use
it — and recognizes that AI and energy are now inextricably linked.
Subject to clear government policy support and milestones, combining BECCS with
a large-scale data center at Drax Power Station could align with this industrial
strategy. Together, these developments could create the option for a globally
unique proposition: a carbon negative data center — delivering world-leading
innovation for the UK and directly countering the perspective that AI growth
will mean more carbon emissions.
These projects could protect and create thousands of high-quality jobs in a
region that has historically powered the UK but that now faces the risk of
deindustrialization as a result of declining heavy industry. A joined-up plan
for energy and digital growth can offer lasting economic resilience to
communities that need it the most.
> It’s time to think smarter about how we build, power and place the critical
> infrastructure of the 21st century.
At Drax, we are ready to be part of that future. We are already a leading
renewable energy generator in the UK and we have the infrastructure and ambition
to implement a cutting-edge data center solution at Drax Power Station, helping
the country secure its place as a digital leader while keeping the lights on.
It’s time to think smarter about how we build, power and place the critical
infrastructure of the 21st century. We must ensure new data capacity is
integrated in ways that enhance grid stability without compromising the
transition to clean energy or negatively affecting the needs and rights of local
communities.
With the right strategy, the UK doesn’t have to choose between energy security
and digital growth. We can achieve both.