Two new polls released Wednesday show that most voters do not want the U.S. to
take military action against Iran and think President Donald Trump is
overstepping abroad.
A Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters found that 70 percent oppose
U.S. military involvement in Iran, even if protesters there are killed while
demonstrating against the Iranian government, compared to 18 percent who support
military action.
Opposition was mostly along party lines, with 79 percent of Democrats and 80
percent of independents opposing military involvement. Republicans were more
supportive, with a majority — 53 percent — saying the U.S. should not get
involved.
The poll also found that 70 percent of voters think the president should receive
congressional approval first before taking military action. Trump did not
receive congressional approval prior to capturing Maduro, prompting criticism
from both Democrat and Republican lawmakers.
Five GOP senators, Rand Paul of Kentucky, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Susan
Collins of Maine, Todd Young of Indiana and Josh Hawley of Missouri, joined
Democratic lawmakers to advance legislation forcing Trump to obtain Congress’
approval before taking any further military steps in Venezuela.
Trump scolded the senators in a post on Truth Social, saying Republicans should
be “ashamed” of them and they should “never be elected to office again” as the
vote “greatly hampers American Self Defense and National Security.”
Voters were less supportive of other aggressive foreign policy moves by the
Trump administration to expand U.S. influence abroad. Trump argued that the push
for U.S. control over Greenland was for national security purposes and to
benefit NATO.
Regardless, 86 percent opposed using military force to take over Greenland, and
55 percent opposed buying it.
The results mirror growing resistance among voters against U.S. involvement in
foreign conflicts amid a slew of executive efforts. A separate poll from the
Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that a growing
number of Americans want the U.S. to take a “less active role” in global
affairs.
Following the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia
Flores, the poll revealed that 56 percent of Americans think Trump has “gone too
far” in using military power abroad, and 45 percent say they want the country to
be less involved in solving global problems — up from 33 percent in September
2025.
Despite broad skepticism of foreign military action, many Americans still seem
optimistic about the effects of U.S. intervention in Venezuela. About half of
adults think Maduro’s capture and military action in Venezuela will be “mostly a
good thing” for halting the flow of illegal drugs into the U.S., and 44 percent
believe it will benefit the people of Venezuela more than harm them.
The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted from Jan. 8 to Jan. 12, 2025, by
phone and surveyed 1,133 self-identified registered voters. The AP-NORC poll was
conducted from Jan. 8 to Jan. 11, 2025, and surveyed 1,097 by web and 106 by
phone.
Tag - Poll
Nationalist leaders lined up to endorse Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán in
a campaign video released this week as the election race begins in earnest.
The nearly two-minute clip, posted by Orbán, rolls out support from a who’s who
of European and international conservatives, including Italian Prime
Minister Giorgia Meloni, her deputy Matteo Salvini, French far-right
leader Marine Le Pen, Alternative for Germany (AfD) co-leader Alice Weidel, and
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
The coordinated show of support comes as Orbán heads into what is likely to be
his most competitive election in more than a decade. Hungary’s President Tamás
Sulyok confirmed Tuesday that the country will go to the polls on April 12.
After nearly 20 years at the helm, Orbán faces mounting criticism at home and
abroad over democratic backsliding, curbs on media freedom, and the erosion of
the rule of law. His Fidesz party, which has governed since 2010, is now
trailing the opposition Tisza Party, led by former Orbán ally Péter Magyar.
“Together we stand for a Europe that respects national sovereignty, is proud of
its cultural and religious roots,” Meloni said in the video, as she endorsed
Hungary’s incumbent leader.
“Security cannot be taken for granted, it must be won. And I think Viktor Orbán
has all those qualities. He has the tenacity, the courage, the wisdom to protect
his country,” Netanyahu added.
Also featured are Spain’s Vox chief Santiago Abascal, Austria’s Freedom Party
(FPÖ) leader Herbert Kickl, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić, and Czech Prime
Minister Andrej Babiš, all key figures in the conservative, populist and
far-right political sphere. Argentine President Javier Milei also appears in the
video.
POLITICO’s Poll of Polls puts Magyar’s Tisza on 49 percent, well ahead of Fidesz
on 37 percent. Magyar has built momentum by campaigning on pledges to strengthen
judicial independence, clamp down on corruption and offer voters a clear break
from Orbán’s rule.
In Brussels, Orbán has frequently clashed with EU institutions and other member
states over issues including support for Ukraine, sanctions on Russia and LGBTQ+
rights, making him a polarizing figure within the bloc.
The campaign video, featuring a slate of foreign leaders, positions his
re-election bid in a broader international context, tying Hungary’s vote to
themes of national sovereignty and political alignment beyond the country’s
borders.
POLITICO was able to confirm the video’s authenticity via representatives for
Weidel and Salvini.
Ketrin Jochecová, Nette Nöstlinger and Gerardo Fortuna contributed to this
report.
The first American pope is on a collision course with U.S. President Donald
Trump.
The latest fault line between the Vatican and the White House emerged on Sunday.
Shortly after Trump suggested his administration could “run” Venezuela, the
Chicago-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of the “country’s
sovereignty.”
For MAGA-aligned conservatives, this is now part of an unwelcome pattern. While
Leo is less combative in tone toward Trump than his predecessor Francis, his
priorities are rekindling familiar battles in the culture war with the U.S.
administration on topics such as immigration and deportations, LGBTQ+ rights and
climate change.
As the leader of a global community of 1.4 billion Catholics, Leo has a rare
position of influence to challenge Trump’s policies, and the U.S. president has
to tread with uncustomary caution in confronting him. Trump traditionally
relishes blasting his critics with invective but has been unusually restrained
in response to Leo’s criticism, in part because he counts a large number of
Catholics among his core electorate.
“[Leo] is not looking for a fight like Francis, who sometimes enjoyed a fight,”
said Chris White, author of “Pope Leo XIV: Inside the Conclave and the Dawn of a
New Papacy.”
“But while different in style, he is clearly a continuation of Francis in
substance. Initially there was a wait-and-see approach, but for many MAGA
Catholics, Leo challenges core beliefs.”
In recent months, migration has become the main combat zone between the liberal
pope and U.S. conservatives. Leo called on his senior clergy to speak out on the
need to protect vulnerable migrants, and U.S. bishops denounced the
“dehumanizing rhetoric and violence” leveled at people targeted by Trump’s
deportation policies. Leo later went public with an appeal that migrants in the
U.S. be treated “humanely” and “with dignity.”
Leo’s support emboldened Florida bishops to call for a Christmas reprieve from
Immigration and Customs Enforcement raids. “Don’t be the Grinch that stole
Christmas,” said Archbishop Thomas Wenski of Miami.
As if evidence were needed of America’s polarization on this topic, however, the
Department of Homeland Security described their arrests as a “Christmas gift to
Americans.”
Leo also conspicuously removed Cardinal Timothy Dolan, Trump’s preferred
candidate for pope and a favorite on the conservative Fox News channel, from a
key post as archbishop of New York, replacing him with a bishop known for
pro-migrant views.
This cuts to the heart of the moral dilemma for a divided U.S. Catholic
community. For Trump, Catholics are hardly a sideshow as they constitute 22
percent of his electorate, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center. While
the pope appeals to liberal causes, however, many MAGA Catholics take a far
stricter line on topics such as migration, sexuality and climate change.
To his critics from the conservative Catholic MAGA camp, such as Trump’s former
strategist Steve Bannon, the pope is anathema.
U.S.-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of Venezuela’s
“sovereignty.” | Stefano Costantino/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
Last year the pope blessed a chunk of ice from Greenland and criticized
political leaders who ignore climate change. He said supporters of the death
penalty could not credibly claim to be pro-life, and argued that Christians and
Muslims could be friends. He has also signaled a more tolerant posture toward
LGBTQ+ Catholics, permitting an LGBTQ+ pilgrimage to St Peter’s Basilica.
Small wonder, then, that Trump confidante and conspiracy theorist Laura Loomer
branded Leo the “woke Marxist pope.” Trump-aligned Catholic conservatives have
denounced him as “secularist,” “globalist” and even “apostate.” Far-right pundit
Jack Posobiec has called him “anti-Trump.”
“Some popes are a blessing. Some popes are a penance,” Posobiec wrote on X.
PONTIFF FROM CHICAGO
There were early hopes that Leo might build bridges with U.S. hardliners. He’s
an American, after all: He wears an Apple watch and follows baseball, and
American Catholics can hardly dismiss him as as foreign. The Argentine Francis,
by contrast, was often portrayed by critics as anti-American and shaped by the
politics of poorer nations.
Leo can’t be waved away so easily.
Early in his papacy, Leo also showed signs he was keen to steady the church
after years of internal conflict, and threw some bones to conservatives such as
allowing a Latin Mass in St. Peter’s Basilica and wearing more ornate papal
vestments.
But the traditionalists were not reassured.
Benjamin Harnwell, the Vatican correspondent for the MAGA-aligned War Room
podcast, said conservatives were immediately skeptical of Leo. “From day one, we
have been telling our base to be wary: Do not be deceived,” he said. Leo,
Harnwell added, is “fully signed up to Francis’ agenda … but [is] more strategic
and intelligent.”
After the conclave that appointed Leo, former Trump strategist Bannon told
POLITICO that Leo’s election was “the worst choice for MAGA Catholics” and “an
anti-Trump vote by the globalists of the Curia.”
Trump had a long-running feud with Francis, who condemned the U.S. president’s
border wall and criticized his migration policies.
Francis appeared to enjoy that sparring, but Leo is a very different character.
More retiring by nature, he shies away from confrontation. But his resolve in
defending what he sees as non-negotiable moral principles, particularly the
protection of the weak, is increasingly colliding with the core assumptions of
Trumpism.
Trump loomed large during the conclave, with an AI-generated video depicting
himself as pope. The gesture was seen by some Vatican insiders as a
“mafia-style” warning to elect someone who would not criticize him,
Vatican-watcher Elisabetta Piqué wrote in a new book “The Election of Pope Leo
XIV: The Last Surprise of Pope Francis.”
NOT PERSONAL
Leo was not chosen expressly as an anti-Trump figure, according to a Vatican
official. Rather, his nationality was likely seen by some cardinals as
“reassuring,” suggesting he would be accountable and transparent in governance
and finances.
But while Leo does not seem to be actively seeking a confrontation with Trump,
the world views of the two men seem incompatible.
“He will avoid personalizing,” said the same Vatican official. “He will state
church teaching, not in reaction to Trump, but as things he would say anyway.”
Despite the attacks on Leo from his allies, Trump himself has also appeared wary
of a direct showdown. When asked about the pope in a POLITICO interview, Trump
was more keen to discuss meeting the pontiff’s brother in Florida, whom he
described as “serious MAGA.”
When pressed on whether he would meet the pope himself, he finally replied:
“Sure, I will. Why not?”
The potential for conflict will come into sharper focus as Leo hosts a summit
called an extraordinary consistory this week, the first of its kind since 2014,
which is expected to provide a blueprint for the future direction of the church.
His first publication on social issues, such as inequality and migration, is
also expected in the next few months.
“He will use [the summit] to talk about what he sees as the future,” said a
diplomat posted to the Vatican. “It will give his collaborators a sense of where
he is going. He could use it as a sounding board, or ask them to suggest
solutions.”
It’s safe to assume Leo won’t be unveiling a MAGA-aligned agenda.
The ultimate balance of power may also favor the pope.
Trump must contend with elections and political clocks; Leo, elected for life,
does not. At 70, and as a tennis player in good health, Leo appears positioned
to shape Catholic politics well after Trump’s moment has passed.
“He is not in a hurry,” the Vatican official said. “Time is on his side.”
PARIS — Marine Le Pen and her troops are making it clear that they’re not
jumping into bed with U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration despite their
shared ideology.
The far-right National Rally has in recent days gone out of its way to tamp down
any hint of a political romance with the White House after German news
outlet Der Spiegel reported that team Trump considered sanctioning the French
judges who convicted Marine Le Pen of embezzlement and handed her a five-year
election ban, effectively barring her from next year’s presidential race.
After the verdict was handed down, U.S. President Donald Trump likened Le Pen’s
judicial woes to his own and said her conviction was an example of “using
Lawfare to silence Free Speech.”
Le Pen will be back in court next week to appeal the verdict.
Though the State Department has since denied the Spiegel report as “stale and
false,” the mere hint of a National Rally-MAGA liaison was enough to quickly put
the party on the defensive — especially given that Washington sanctioned a
French judge at the International Criminal Court that issued an arrest warrant
for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
In a press release dated Wednesday, the National Rally said it condemned the
sanctions against the ICC judge and watches closely for “any pressure of
unacceptable nature on the judicial branch.” In the same statement, it slammed
the initial Spiegel report as “fake news” and chastised the press for picking it
up.
Three National Rally officials contacted by POLITICO also expressed unease at
the unconfirmed report.
“We have always rejected foreign interference from one side or the other,”
Renaud Labaye, a close adviser to Le Pen and high-ranking member of her party,
the National Rally, said Thursday. “We stand by that.”
Alexandre Sabatou, a member of the France-U.S. friendship group in the National
Assembly who traveled across the Atlantic for Trump’s inauguration, said Tuesday
that “as a staunch defender of France as a sovereign nation, it bugs me.”
The National Rally has been forced to play a delicate dance when it comes to
support from Trump, whose administration last month hinted that it was ready to
throw its weight between “patriotic European parties” in its bombshell national
security strategy.
However, Trump is largely unpopular in France, even among the far-right party’s
supporters, and many voters recognize that his administration is pursuing
economic and geopolitical policies that aren’t in France’s interest. Overtures
from the White House to intervene in French and European politics also run
counter to the National Rally’s pledge to protect French geostrategic
independence — especially from American hegemony — rooted in the politics of
legendary Gen. Charles De Gaulle.
The debate around potential foreign interference comes as the country’s judicial
branch is already under intense political pressure over high-profile cases,
including the trial of former President Nicolas Sarkozy and Le Pen’s appeal.
Donald Trump wants the U.S. to own Greenland. The trouble is, Greenland already
belongs to Denmark and most Greenlanders don’t want to become part of the U.S.
While swooping into Greenland’s capital, Nuuk, and taking over Venezuela-style
seems fanciful ― even if the military attack on Caracas seems to have provided a
jolt to all sides about what the U.S. is capable of ― there’s a definite
pathway. And Trump already appears to be some way along it.
Worryingly for the Europeans, the strategy looks an awful lot like Vladimir
Putin’s expansionist playbook.
POLITICO spoke with nine EU officials, NATO insiders, defense experts and
diplomats to game out how a U.S. takeover of the mineral-rich and strategically
important Arctic island could play out.
“It could be like five helicopters … he wouldn’t need a lot of troops,” said a
Danish politician who asked for anonymity to speak freely. “There would be
nothing they [Greenlanders] could do.”
STEP 1: INFLUENCE CAMPAIGN TO BOOST GREENLAND’S INDEPENDENCE MOVEMENT
Almost immediately upon taking office, the Trump administration began talking up
independence for Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of the Kingdom of
Denmark. An unshackled Greenland could sign deals with the U.S., while under the
status quo it needs Copenhagen’s approval.
To gain independence, Greenlanders would need to vote in a referendum, then
negotiate a deal that both Nuuk and Copenhagen must approve. In a 2025 opinion
poll, 56 percent of Greenlanders said they would vote in favor of independence,
while 28 percent said they would vote against it.
Americans with ties to Trump have carried out covert influence operations in
Greenland, according to Danish media reports, with Denmark’s security and
intelligence service, PET, warning the territory “is the target of influence
campaigns of various kinds.”
Felix Kartte, a digital policy expert who has advised EU institutions and
governments, pointed to Moscow’s tactics for influencing political outcomes in
countries such as Moldova, Romania and Ukraine.
“Russia mixes offline and online tactics,” he said. “On the ground, it works
with aligned actors such as extremist parties, diaspora networks or pro-Russian
oligarchs, and has been reported to pay people to attend anti-EU or anti-U.S.
protests.
“At the same time, it builds large networks of fake accounts and pseudo-media
outlets to amplify these activities online and boost selected candidates or
positions. The goal is often not to persuade voters that a pro-Russian option is
better, but to make it appear larger, louder and more popular than it really is,
creating a sense of inevitability.”
Stephen Miller, Trump’s deputy chief of staff, told CNN on Monday that “nobody
is going to fight the U.S. militarily over the future of Greenland.” | Joe
Raedle/Getty Images
On Greenland, the U.S. appears to be deploying at least some of these methods.
Stephen Miller, Trump’s deputy chief of staff, told CNN on Monday that “nobody
is going to fight the U.S. militarily over the future of Greenland.”
Last month, Trump created the position of special envoy to Greenland and
appointed Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry to the role. He declared his goal was
to “make Greenland a part of the U.S.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance, on a visit to the territory in March,
said “the people of Greenland are going to have self-determination.” He added:
“We hope that they choose to partner with the United States, because we’re the
only nation on Earth that will respect their sovereignty and respect their
security.”
STEP 2: OFFER GREENLAND A SWEET DEAL
Assuming its efforts to speed up Greenland’s independence referendum come to
fruition, and the territory’s inhabitants vote to leave Denmark behind, the next
step would be to bring it under U.S. influence.
One obvious method would be to fold Greenland into the U.S. as another state —
an idea those close to the president have repeatedly toyed with. Denmark’s Prime
Minister Mette Frederiksen was on Monday forced to say that “the U.S. has no
right to annex” Greenland after Katie Miller — the wife of Stephen Miller —
posted to social media a map of the territory draped in a U.S. flag and the word
“SOON.”
A direct swap of Denmark for the U.S. seems largely unpalatable to most of the
population. The poll mentioned above also showed 85 percent of Greenlanders
oppose the territory becoming part of the U.S., and even Trump-friendly members
of the independence movement aren’t keen on the idea.
But there are other options.
Reports have circulated since last May that the Trump administration wants
Greenland to sign a Compact of Free Association (COFA) — like those it currently
has with Micronesia, the Marshall Islands and Palau. Under the deals, the U.S.
provides essential services, protection and free trade in exchange for its
military operating without restriction on those countries’ territory. The idea
resurfaced this week.
Kuno Fencker, a pro-independence Greenlandic opposition MP who attended Trump’s
inauguration and met with Republican Congressman Andy Ogles last year, said he
tries to “explain to [the Americans] that we don’t want to be like Puerto Rico,
or any other territory of the United States. But a Compact of Free Association,
bilateral agreements, or even opportunities and other means which maybe I can’t
imagine — let them come to the table and Greenlanders will decide in a
plebiscite.”
Compared to Nuuk’s deal with Copenhagen, things “can only go upwards,” he said.
Referring to Trump’s claim that the U.S. has a “need” for Greenland, Fencker
added: “Denmark has never said that they ‘needed’ Greenland. Denmark has said
that Greenland is an expense, and they would leave us if we become independent.
So I think it’s a much more positive remark than we have ever seen from
Denmark.”
But Thomas Crosbie, an associate professor of military operations at the Royal
Danish Defense College that provides training and education for the Danish
defense forces, warned that Greenland is unlikely to get the better of Trump in
a negotiation.
“Trump’s primary identity as a deal-maker is someone who forces his will on the
people he’s negotiating with, and someone who has a very long track record of
betraying people who he’s negotiated deals with, not honoring his commitments,
both in private and public life, and exploiting those around him … I really see
zero benefits to Greenlandic people other than a very temporary boost to their
self esteem.”
And, he added, “it would be crazy to agree to something in the hope that a deal
may come. I mean, if you give away your territory in the hopes that you might
get a deal afterwards — that would be just really imprudent.”
STEP 3: GET EUROPE ON BOARD
Europe, particularly Denmark’s EU allies, would balk at any attempt to cleave
Greenland away from Copenhagen. But the U.S. administration does have a trump
card to play on that front: Ukraine.
As peace negotiations have gathered pace, Kyiv has said that any deal with Putin
must be backed by serious, long-term U.S. security guarantees.
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance, on a visit to the territory in March,
said “the people of Greenland are going to have self-determination.” | Pool
photo by Tom Brenner vis Getty Images
The Americans have prevaricated on that front, and in any case, Kyiv is
skeptical about security guarantees, given those it has received from both
Russia and the West in the past have amounted to nothing.
One potential scenario an EU diplomat floated would be a security-for-security
package deal, under which Europe gets firmer assurances from the Trump
administration for Ukraine in exchange for an expanded role for the U.S. in
Greenland.
While that seems like a bitter pill, it could be easier to swallow than the
alternative, annoying Trump, who may retaliate by imposing sanctions, pulling
out of peace negotiations — or by throwing his weight behind Putin in
negotiations with Ukraine.
STEP 4: MILITARY INVASION
But what if Greenland — or Denmark, whose “OK” Nuuk needs to secede — says no to
Trump?
A U.S. military takeover could be achieved without much difficulty.
Crosbie, from the Royal Danish Defense College, said Trump’s strategists are
likely presenting him with various options.
“The most worrisome would be a fait accompli-type strategy, which we see a lot
and think about a lot in military circles, which would be simply grabbing the
land the same way Putin tried to grab, to make territorial claims, over Ukraine.
He could just simply put troops in the country and just say that it’s American
now … the United States military is capable of landing any number of forces on
Greenland, either by air or by sea, and then claiming that it’s American
territory.”
According to Lin Mortensgaard, a researcher at the Danish Institute for
International Studies and an expert on Greenlandic security, Washington also has
around 500 military officers, including local contractors, on the ground at its
northern Pituffik Space Base and just under 10 consulate staff in Nuuk. That’s
alongside roughly 100 National Guard troops from New York who are usually
deployed seasonally in the Arctic summer to support research missions.
Greenland, meanwhile, has few defenses. The population has no territorial army,
Mortensgaard said, while Denmark’s Joint Arctic Command in the capital includes
scant and out-of-date military assets, largely limited to four inspection and
navy vessels, a dog-sled patrol, several helicopters and one maritime patrol
aircraft.
As a result, if Trump mobilizes the U.S. presence on the ground — or flies in
special forces — the U.S. could seize control of Nuuk “in half an hour or less,”
Mortensgaard said.
“Mr. Trump says things and then he does them,” said Danish Member of European
Parliament Stine Bosse. “If you were one of 60,000 people in Greenland, you
would be very worried.”
Any incursion would have no “legal basis” under U.S. and international law, said
Romain Chuffart, who heads the Washington, D.C.-based Arctic Institute, a
security think tank. Any occupation beyond 60 days would also require approval
from the U.S. Congress.
Meanwhile, an invasion would “mean the end of NATO,” he said, and the “U.S.
would be … shooting itself in the foot and waving goodbye to an alliance it has
helped create.”
Beyond that, a “loss of trust by key allies … could result in a reduction in
their willingness to share intelligence with the U.S. or a reduction in access
to bases across Europe,” said Ben Hodges, a former commander of U.S. troops in
Europe. “Both of these would be severely damaging to America’s security.”
Reports have circulated since last May that the Trump administration wants
Greenland to sign a Compact of Free Association (COFA) — like those it currently
has with Micronesia, the Marshall Islands and Palau. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images
NATO would be left unable to respond, given that military action must be
approved unanimously and the U.S. is the key member of the alliance, but
European allies could deploy troops to Greenland via other groupings such as the
U.K.-Scandinavian Joint Expeditionary Force or the five-country Nordic Defence
Cooperation format, said Ed Arnold, a senior fellow at the Royal United Services
Institute.
But for now, NATO allies remain cool-headed about an attack. “We are still far
from that scenario,” said one senior alliance diplomat. “There could be some
tough negotiations, but I don’t think we are close to any hostile takeover.”
Max Griera, Gerardo Fortuna and Seb Starcevic contributed reporting.
LONDON — Keir Starmer is used to biting his tongue when it comes to U.S. foreign
policy — but Donald Trump’s latest adventure is particularly awkward for the
British prime minister.
Starmer is a former human rights lawyer who has described international law as
his “lodestar.”
But in power, he has strived desperately to keep Trump onside on a whole host of
issues — even when U.S. action appears to fly in the face of Starmer’s cherished
legal norms.
It’s got the embattled Labour leader facing fresh charges of timidity at a time
his political rivals on the left and right are free to paint in primary colors.
Starmer’s delicate balancing act was on display this weekend when the British PM
described Nicolás Maduro — the Venezuelan leader dramatically ousted by U.S.
forces acting under Trump — as “an illegitimate president,” with only a passing
reference to Starmer’s own backing of international law.
Starmer added Monday that global rules are “really important,” but stressed that
“it’s for the U.S. to set out its justifications for the actions that it’s
taken.”
On Trump’s repeated threats to annex Greenland, Starmer has managed a more
robust response — while still avoiding directly criticizing the U.S. president.
Asked if he stands with his European and NATO ally, Danish PM Mette Frederiksen,
and her demand that Trump stop talking about taking control of the territory,
Starmer said: “I stand with her, and she’s right about the future of Greenland.”
One Labour MP elected in 2024, granted anonymity to speak candidly, said that
the latest U.S. intervention “should give us a kick up the arse” when it comes
to recognizing Trump’s real priorities on the international stage.
‘NOT IN OUR NATIONAL INTEREST’
Starmer’s comparative silence on Venezuela has drawn inevitable complaints from
the left, with the now-suspended Labour veteran Diane Abbott posting on X: “If
you cannot say this is illegal all your talk of human rights, the law and
democracy is so much hot air.”
But skepticism about his approach has not been confined to the usual suspects on
the left. Emily Thornberry, the Labour chair of the House of Commons Foreign
Affairs Committee and erstwhile Starmer ally, said of the U.S. action Monday:
“We need to be clearer that this has been a breach of international law and we
do not agree that they should have done it.”
Thornberry acknowledged the need to “keep a very important ally like America on
board,” but told Times Radio “it’s meaningless if we don’t support international
law.”
Stella Creasy, a Labour backbencher, meanwhile argued that “left unchallenged,
Trump’s actions in Venezuela set a troubling precedent [that] international law
is optional.”
STAID STARMER
Starmer is already battling a perception among some Labour MPs and the
electorate that he is cautious to the point of timidity — a charge this latest
episode will do little to expel.
Starmer’s detractors argue his reticence is particularly marked in contrast with
leaders from other parties, including left-leaning rivals in the Greens’ Zack
Polanski and the Liberal Democrats’ Ed Davey, who both issued statements
attacking Trump.
“Keir Starmer should condemn Trump’s illegal action in Venezuela,” Davey argued.
“Maduro is a brutal and illegitimate dictator, but unlawful attacks like this
make us all less safe. Trump is giving a green light to the likes of Putin and
Xi to attack other countries with impunity.”
Even Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK and a personal friend of Trump’s, took a
stronger line, stating that the U.S. president had indeed violated international
law with his Venezuela takeover, but that “it may be a good thing.”
Starmer may not be overly concerned by criticism of his wider silence on Trump.
His supporters argue that the PM should not be baited into reactive politics,
and that his relationship with the White House is ultimately more important than
reaching for the megaphone every time.
As a former director of public prosecutions, Starmer is steeped in the language
of process, precedent, and restraint.
Asked by the BBC at the weekend whether Trump was helping create global turmoil,
Starmer said: “Our defense, our security, and our intelligence relationship with
the U.S. matters probably more than any other relationship that we have in the
world, and it would not be in our national interest to weaken that in any way.”
However, the discussion over Trump’s latest move is undoubtedly sucking oxygen
away from Starmer’s overriding aim this year: to be seen as a prime minister
focused relentlessly on tackling affordability concerns at home.
His pitch to his own restive MPs and the public is that this year they will
begin to see the fruits of his government’s efforts to fix the health service,
stabilize the economy and rebuild trust.
At a media appearance Monday, Starmer was instead peppered with questions on
regime change in Caracas and his support for Denmark.
PARIS — Parisian voters will in March choose a new mayor for the first time in
12 years after incumbent Anne Hidalgo decided last year against running for
reelection.
Her successor will become one of France’s most recognizable politicians both at
home and abroad, governing a city that, with more than 2 million people, is more
populous than several EU countries. Jacques Chirac used it as a springboard to
the presidency.
The timing of the contest — a year before France’s next presidential election —
raises the stakes still further. Though Paris is not a bellwether for national
politics — the far-right National Rally, for example, is nowhere near as strong
in the capital as elsewehere — what happens in the capital can still reverberate
nationwide.
Parisian politics and the city’s transformation attract nationwide attention in
a country which is still highly centralized — and voters across the country
observe the capital closely, be it with disdain or fascination.
It’s also not a winner-take-all race. If a candidate’s list obtains more than 10
percent of the vote in the first round, they will advance to the runoff and be
guaranteed representation on the city council.
Here are the main candidates running to replace Hidalgo:
ON THE LEFT
EMMANUEL GRÉGOIRE
Emmanuel Grégoire wants to become Paris’ third Socialist Party mayor in a row.
He’s backed by the outgoing administration — but not the mayor herself, who has
not forgiven the 48-year-old for having ditched his former job as her deputy to
run for parliament last summer in a bid to boost his name recognition.
HIS STRENGTHS: Grégoire is a consensual figure who has managed, for the first
time ever, to get two key left-wing parties, the Greens and the Communists, to
form a first-round alliance and not run their own candidates. That broad backing
is expected to help him finish first in the opening round of voting.
Emmanuel Grégoire. | Thomas Samson/AFP via Getty Images
His falling-out with Hidalgo could also turn to his advantage given her
unpopularity. Though Hidalgo will undoubtedly be remembered for her work turning
Paris into a green, pedestrian-friendly “15 minute” city, recent polling shows
Parisians are divided over her legacy.
It’s a tough mission, but Grégoire could theoretically campaign on the outgoing
administration’s most successful policies while simultaneously distancing
himself from Hidalgo herself.
ACHILLES’ HEEL: Grégoire can seem like a herbivorous fish in a shark tank. He
hasn’t appeared as telegenic or media savvy as his rivals. Even his former boss
Hidalgo accused him of being unable to take the heat in trying times, a key
trait when applying for one of the most exposed jobs in French politics.
Polling at: 32 percent
Odds of winning:
SOPHIA CHIKIROU
Sophia Chikirou, a 46-year-old France Unbowed lawmaker representing a district
in eastern Paris, hopes to outflank Grégoire from further to the left.
HER STRENGTHS: A skilled political operative and communications expert, Chikirou
is one of the brains behind left-wing populist Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s last two
presidential runs, both of which ended with the hard left trouncing its
mainstream rival — Grégoire’s Socialist Party.
Sophia Chikirou. | Joel Saget/AFP via Getty Images
She’ll try to conjure up that magic again in the French capital, where she is
likely to focus her campaign on socially mixed areas near the city’s outer
boundaries that younger voters, working-class households and descendants of
immigrants typically call home. France Unbowed often performs well with all
those demographics.
ACHILLES’ HEEL: Chikirou is a magnet for controversy. In 2023, the investigative
news program Cash Investigation revealed Chikirou had used a homophobic slur to
refer to employees she was feuding with during a brief stint as head of a
left-wing media operation. She also remains under formal investigation over
suspicions that she overbilled Mélenchon — who is also her romantic partner —
during his 2017 presidential run for communications services. Her opponents on
both the left and right have also criticized her for what they consider
rose-tinted views of the Chinese regime.
Chikirou has denied any wrongdoing in relation to the overbilling accusations.
She has not commented on the homophobic slur attributed to her and seldom
accepts interviews, but her allies have brushed it off as humor, or a private
conversation.
Polling at: 13 percent
Odds of winning:
ON THE RIGHT
RACHIDA DATI
Culture Minister Rachida Dati is mounting her third bid for the Paris mayorship.
This looks to be her best shot.
HER STRENGTHS: Dati is a household name in France after two decades in politics.
Culture Minister Rachida Dati. | Julien de Rosa/AFP via Getty Images
She is best known for her combative persona and her feuds with the outgoing
mayor as head of the local center-right opposition. She is the mayor of Paris’
7th arrondissement (most districts in Paris have their own mayors, who handle
neighborhood affairs and sit in the city council). It’s a well-off part of the
capital along the Left Bank of the Seine that includes the Eiffel Tower.
Since launching her campaign, Dati has tried to drum up support with social
media clips similar to those that propelled Zohran Mamdani from an unknown
assemblyman to mayor of New York.
Hers have, unsurprisingly, a right-wing spin. She’s been seen ambushing
migrants, illicit drug users and contraband sellers in grittier parts of Paris,
racking up millions of views in the process.
ACHILLES’ HEEL: Dati is a polarizing figure and tends to make enemies.
Despite being a member of the conservative Les Républicains, Dati bagged a
cabinet position in early 2024, braving the fury of her allies as she attempted
to secure support from the presidential orbit for her mayoral run.
But the largest party supporting President Emmanuel Macron, Renaissance, has
instead chosen to back one of Dati’s center-right competitors. The party’s
leader, Gabriel Attal, was prime minister when Dati was first appointed culture
minister, and a clash between the two reportedly ended with Dati threatening to
turn her boss’s dog into a kebab. (She later clarified that she meant it
jokingly.)
If she does win, she’ll be commuting from City Hall to the courthouse a few
times a week in September, when she faces trial on corruption charges. Dati is
accused of having taken funds from French automaker Renault to work as a
consultant, while actually lobbying on behalf of the company thanks to her role
as an MEP. Dati is being probed in other criminal affairs as well, including
accusations that she failed to declare a massive jewelry collection.
She has repeatedly professed her innocence in all of the cases.
Polling at: 27 percent
Odds of winning:
PIERRE-YVES BOURNAZEL
After dropping Dati, Renaissance decided to back a long-time Parisian
center-right councilman: Pierre-Yves Bournazel.
HIS STRENGTHS: Bournazel is a good fit for centrists and moderate conservatives
who don’t have time for drama. He landed on the city council aged 31 in 2008,
and — like Dati — has been dreaming of claiming the top job at city hall for
over a decade. His low profile and exclusive focus on Parisian politics could
also make it easier for voters from other political allegiances to consider
backing him.
Pierre-Yves Bournazel. | Bastien Ohier/Hans Lucas/AFP via Getty Images
ACHILLES’ HEEL: Bourna-who? The Ipsos poll cited in this story showed more than
half of Parisians said they “did not know [Bournazel] at all.” Limited name
recognition has led to doubts about his ability to win, even within his own
camp. Although Bournazel earned support from Macron’s Renaissance party, several
high-level Parisian party figures, such as Europe Minister Benjamin Haddad, have
stuck with the conservative Dati instead.
Macron himself appears unwilling to back his party’s choice, in part due to
Bournazel being a member of Horizons, the party of former Prime Minister Édouard
Philippe — who turned full Brutus and publicly called on the president to step
down last fall.
“I don’t see myself putting up posters for someone whose party has asked the
president to resign,” said one of Macron’s top aides, granted anonymity as is
standard professional practice.
Polling at: 14 percent
Odds of winning:
ON THE FAR RIGHT
THIERRY MARIANI
Thierry Mariani, one of the first members of the conservative Les Républicains
to cross the Rubicon to the far right, will represent the far right National
Rally in the race to lead Paris. Though the party of the Le Pen family is
currently France’s most popular political movement, it has struggled in the
French capital for decades.
Thierry Mariani. | Bertrand Guay/AFP via Getty Images
HIS STRENGTHS: The bar is low for Mariani, as his party currently holds no seats
on the city council.
Mariani should manage to rack up some votes among lower-income households in
Parisian social housing complexes while also testing how palatable his party has
become to wealthier voters before the next presidential race.
ACHILLES’ HEEL: Mariani has links to authoritarian leaders that Parisians won’t
like.
In 2014, he was part of a small group of French politicians who visited
then-President of Syria Bashar al-Assad. He has also met Russia’s Vladimir Putin
and traveled to Crimea to serve as a so-called observer in elections and
referendums held in the Ukrainian region annexed by Russia — trips that earned
him a reprimand from the European Parliament.
Polling at: 7 percent
Odds of winning:
SARAH KNAFO
There’s another candidate looking to win over anti-migration voters in Paris:
Sarah Knafo, the millennial MEP who led far-right pundit-turned-politician Éric
Zemmour’s disappointing 2022 presidential campaign. Knafo has not yet confirmed
her run but has said on several occasions that it is under consideration.
HER STRENGTHS: Though Zemmour only racked up around 7 percent of the vote when
running for president, he fared better than expected in some of Paris’ most
privileged districts. The firebrand is best known for popularizing the “great
replacement” conspiracy theory in France — that white populations are being
deliberately replaced by non-white. She appeals to hardline libertarian
conservatives whose position on immigration aligns with the far right but who
are alienated by the National Rally’s protectionism and its support for the
French welfare state.
Sarah Knafo. | Bastien Ohier/Hans Lucas/AFP via Getty Images
Knafo, who combines calls for small government with a complete crackdown on
immigration, could stand a chance of finishing ahead of the National Rally in
Paris. That would then boost her profile ahead of a potential presidential bid.
If she reaches the 10 percent threshold, she’d be able to earn her party seats
on the city council and more sway in French politics at large.
ACHILLES’ HEEL: Besides most of Paris not aligning with her politics? Knafo
describes herself as being “at an equal distance” from the conservative Les
Républicains and the far-right National Rally. That positioning risks squeezing
her between the two.
Polling at: 7 percent
Odds of winning:
EDITOR’S NOTE: Poll figures are taken from an Ipsos survey of 849 Parisians
released on Dec. 12.
BRUSSELS — When it comes to support for Ukraine, a split has emerged between the
European Union and its English-speaking allies.
In France and Germany, the EU’s two biggest democracies, new polling shows that
more respondents want their governments to scale back financial aid to Kyiv than
to increase it or keep it the same. In the United States, Canada and the United
Kingdom, meanwhile, respondents tilt the other way and favor maintaining
material support, according to The POLITICO Poll, which surveyed more than
10,000 people across the five countries earlier this month.
The findings land as European leaders prepare to meet in Brussels on Thursday
for a high-stakes summit where providing financial support to Ukraine is
expected to dominate the agenda. They also come as Washington seeks to mediate a
peace agreement between Moscow and Kyiv — with German leader Friedrich Merz
taking the lead among European nations on negotiating in Kyiv’s favor.
Across all five countries, the most frequently cited reason for supporting
continued aid to Ukraine was the belief that nations should not be allowed to
seize territory by force. The most frequently cited argument against additional
assistance was concerns about the cost and the pressure on the national
economy.
“Much of our research has shown that the public in Europe feels the current era
demands policy trade-offs, and financial support for Ukraine is no exception,”
said Seb Wride, head of polling at Public First, an independent polling company
headquartered in London that carried out the survey for POLITICO.
“In a time where public finances are seen as finite resources, people’s
interests are increasingly domestic,” he added.
WESTERN DIVIDE
Germans were the most reluctant to ramp up financial assistance, with nearly
half of respondents (45 percent) in favor of cutting financial aid to Kyiv while
only 20 percent wanted to increase it. In France 37 percent wanted to give less
and 24 percent preferred giving more.
In contrast to the growing opposition to Ukrainian aid from Europe, support
remains strikingly firm in North America. In the U.S., President Donald Trump
has expressed skepticism toward Kyiv’s chances of defeating Moscow and has sent
interlocutors to bargain with the Russians for peace. And yet the U.S. had the
largest share of respondents (37 percent) in favor of increasing financial
support, with Canada just behind at 35 percent.
Support for Ukraine was driven primarily by those who backed Democratic nominee
Kamala Harris in the 2024 election in the U.S. Some 29 percent of Harris voters
said one of the top three reasons the U.S. should support Ukraine was to protect
democracy, compared with 17 percent of supporters of U.S. President Donald
Trump.
“The partisan split in the U.S. is now quite extreme,” Wride said.
In Germany and France, opposition to assistance was especially pronounced among
supporters of far-right parties — such as the Alternative for Germany and
France’s National Rally — while centrists were less skeptical.
“How Ukraine financing plays out in Germany in particular, as a number of
European governments face populist challenges, should be a particular warning
sign to other leaders,” Wride said.
REFUGEE FATIGUE
Support for military assistance tracked a similar divide. Nearly 40 percent of
respondents in the U.S., U.K. and Canada backed higher levels of military aid,
with about 20 percent opposed.
In Germany 26 percent supported increased military aid to Ukraine while 39
percent opposed it. In France opinions were evenly split, with 31 percent
favoring an increase and 30 percent favoring cuts.
Germany was also the only country where a majority of respondents said their
government should accept fewer Ukrainians displaced by the war.
In a country that has taken in more than a million Ukrainian refugees since the
beginning of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, 50 percent of Germans said
Berlin should admit fewer.
Half of respondents also said Germany should reduce support for Ukrainians
already settled in the country — a sign that public fatigue is extending beyond
weapons and budgets to the broader social and political pressures of the
conflict.
The softer support for Ukraine in France and Germany does not appear to reflect
warmer feelings toward Moscow, however. Voters in all five countries backed
sanctions against Russia, suggesting that even where publics want to pare back
aid they remain broadly aligned around punishing the aggressor and limiting
Russia’s ability to finance the war.
This edition of The POLITICO Poll was conducted from Dec. 5 to Dec. 9 and
surveyed 10,510 adults online, with at least 2,000 respondents each from the
U.S., Canada, the U.K., France and Germany. The results for each country were
weighted to be representative in terms of age, gender and geography, and have an
overall margin of sampling error of ±2 percentage points for each country.
Smaller subgroups have higher margins of error.
The survey is an ongoing project from POLITICO and Public First, an independent
polling company headquartered in London, to measure public opinion across a
broad range of policy areas. You can find new surveys and analysis each month at
politico.com/poll. Have questions or comments? Ideas for future surveys? Email
us at poll@politico.com.
BERLIN — U.S. President Donald Trump’s overtures to the European far right have
never been more overt, but the EU’s biggest far-right parties are split over
whether that is a blessing or a curse.
While Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has welcomed
Trump’s moral support, viewing it as a way to win domestic legitimacy and end
its political ostracization, France’s National Rally has kept its distance —
viewing American backing as a potential liability.
The differing reactions from the two parties, which lead the polls in the EU’s
biggest economies, stem less from varying ideologies than from distinct domestic
political calculations.
AfD leaders in Germany celebrated the Trump administration’s recent attacks on
Europe’s mainstream political leaders and approval of “patriotic European
parties” that seek to fight Europe’s so-called “civilizational erasure.”
“This is direct recognition of our work,” AfD MEP Petr Bystron said in a
statement after the Trump administration released its National Security Strategy
— which, in parts, sounds like it could have been a manifesto of a far-right
European party — warning that Europe may be “unrecognizable” in two decades due
to migration and a loss of national identities.
“The AfD has always fought for sovereignty, remigration, and peace — precisely
the priorities that Trump is now implementing,” added Bystron, who will be among
a group of politicians in his party traveling to Washington this week to meet
with MAGA Republicans.
One of the AfD’s national leaders, Alice Weidel, also celebrated Trump’s
security strategy.
“That’s why we need the AfD!” Weidel said in a post after the document was
released.
By contrast, National Rally leaders in France were generally silent. Thierry
Mariani, a member of the party’s national board, explained Trump hardly seemed
like an ideal ally.
“Trump treats us like a colony — with his rhetoric, which isn’t a big deal, but
especially economically and politically,” he told POLITICO. The party’s national
leaders, Mariani added, see “the risk of this attitude from someone who now has
nothing to fear, since he cannot be re-elected, and who is always excessive and
at times ridiculous.”
AFD’S AMERICAN DREAM
It’s no coincidence that Bystron is part of a delegation of AfD politicians set
to meet members of Trump’s MAGA camp in Washington this week. Bystron has been
among the AfD politicians increasingly looking to build ties to the Trump
administration to win support for what they frame as a struggle against
political persecution and censorship at home.
This is an argument members of the Trump administration clearly sympathize with.
When Germany’s domestic intelligence agency declared the AfD to be extremist
earlier this year, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the move “tyranny
in disguise.” During the Munich Security Conference, U.S. Vice President JD
Vance urged mainstream politicians in Europe to knock down the “firewalls” that
shut out far-right parties from government.
“This is direct recognition of our work,” AfD MEP Petr Bystron said in a
statement after the Trump administration released its National Security
Strategy. | Britta Pedersen/Picture Alliance via Getty Images
AfD leaders have therefore made a simple calculation: Trump’s support may lend
the party a sheen of acceptability that will help it appeal to more voters
while, at the same time, making it politically harder for German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz’s conservatives to refuse to govern in coalition with their
party.
This explains why AfD polticians will be in the U.S. this week seeking political
legitimacy. On Friday evening, Markus Frohnmaier, deputy leader of the AfD
parlimentary group, will be an “honored guest” at a New York Young Republican
Club gala, which has called for a “new civic order” in Germany.
NATIONAL RALLY SEES ‘NOTHING TO GAIN’
In France, Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally has distanced itself from
the AfD and Trump as part of a wider effort to present itself as more palatable
to mainstream voters ahead of a presidential election in 2027 the party believes
it has a good chance of winning.
As part of the effort to clean up its image, Le Pen pushed for the AfD to be
ejected from the Identity and Democracy group in the European Parliament last
year following a series of scandals that made it something of a pariah.
At the same time, National Rally leaders have calculated that Trump can’t help
them at home because he is deeply unpopular nationally. Even the party’s
supporters view the American president negatively.
An Odoxa poll released after the 2024 American presidential election found that
56 percent of National Rally voters held a negative view of Trump. In the same
survey, 85 percent of voters from all parties described Trump as “aggressive,”
and 78 percent as “racist.”
Jean-Yves Camus, a political scientist and leading expert on French and
international far-right movements, highlighted the ideological gaps separating
Le Pen from Trump — notably her support for a welfare state and social safety
nets, as well as her limited interest in social conservatism and religion.
“Trumpism is a distinctly American phenomenon that cannot be transplanted to
France,” Camus said. “Marine Le Pen, who is working on normalization, has no
interest in being linked with Trump. And since she is often accused of serving
foreign powers — mostly Russia — she has nothing to gain from being branded
‘Trump’s agent in France.’”
This article is also available in French and German.
President Donald Trump denounced Europe as a “decaying” group of nations led by
“weak” people in an interview with POLITICO, belittling the traditional U.S.
allies for failing to control migration and end the Russia-Ukraine war, and
signaling that he would endorse European political candidates aligned with his
own vision for the continent.
The broadside attack against European political leadership represents the
president’s most virulent denunciation to date of these Western democracies,
threatening a decisive rupture with countries like France and Germany that
already have deeply strained relations with the Trump administration.
“I think they’re weak,” Trump said of Europe’s political leaders. “But I also
think that they want to be so politically correct.”
“I think they don’t know what to do,” he added. “Europe doesn’t know what to
do.”
Trump matched that blunt, even abrasive, candor on European affairs with a
sequence of stark pronouncements on matters closer to home: He said he would
make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in his choice
of a new Federal Reserve chair. He said he could extend anti-drug military
operations to Mexico and Colombia. And Trump urged conservative Supreme Court
Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, both in their 70s, to stay on the
bench.
Trump’s comments about Europe come at an especially precarious moment in the
negotiations to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, as European leaders express
intensifying alarm that Trump may abandon Ukraine and its continental allies to
Russian aggression. In the interview, Trump offered no reassurance to Europeans
on that score and declared that Russia was obviously in a stronger position than
Ukraine.
Trump spoke on Monday at the White House with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns for a
special episode of The Conversation. POLITICO on Tuesday named Trump the most
influential figure shaping European politics in the year ahead, a recognition
previously conferred on leaders including Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orbán.
Trump’s confident commentary on Europe presented a sharp contrast with some of
his remarks on domestic matters in the interview. The president and his party
have faced a series of electoral setbacks and spiraling dysfunction in Congress
this fall as voters rebel against the high cost of living. Trump has struggled
to deliver a message to meet that new reality: In the interview, he graded the
economy’s performance as an “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus,” insisted that prices
were falling across the board and declined to outline a specific remedy for
imminent spikes in health care premiums.
Even amid growing turbulence at home, however, Trump remains a singular figure
in international politics.
In recent days, European capitals have shuddered with dismay at the release of
Trump’s new National Security Strategy document, a highly provocative manifesto
that cast the Trump administration in opposition to the mainstream European
political establishment and vowed to “cultivate resistance” to the European
status quo on immigration and other politically volatile issues.
In the interview, Trump amplified that worldview, describing cities like London
and Paris as creaking under the burden of migration from the Middle East and
Africa. Without a change in border policy, Trump said, some European states
“will not be viable countries any longer.”
Using highly incendiary language, Trump singled out London’s left-wing mayor,
Sadiq Khan, the son of Pakistani immigrants and the city’s first Muslim mayor,
as a “disaster” and blamed his election on immigration: “He gets elected because
so many people have come in. They vote for him now.”
The president of the European Council, António Costa, on Monday rebuked the
Trump administration for the national security document and urged the White
House to respect Europe’s sovereignty and right to self-government.
“Allies do not threaten to interfere in the democratic life or the domestic
political choices of these allies,” Costa said. “They respect them.”
Speaking with POLITICO, Trump flouted those boundaries and said he would
continue to back favorite candidates in European elections, even at the risk of
offending local sensitivities.
“I’d endorse,” Trump said. “I’ve endorsed people, but I’ve endorsed people that
a lot of Europeans don’t like. I’ve endorsed Viktor Orbán,” the hard-right
Hungarian prime minister Trump said he admired for his border-control policies.
It was the Russia-Ukraine war, rather than electoral politics, that Trump
appeared most immediately focused on. He claimed on Monday that he had offered a
new draft of a peace plan that some Ukrainian officials liked, but that
Zelenskyy himself had not reviewed yet. “It would be nice if he would read it,”
Trump said.
Zelenskyy met with leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Monday
and continued to voice opposition to ceding Ukrainian territory to Russia as
part of a peace deal.
The president said he put little stock in the role of European leaders in
seeking to end the war: “They talk, but they don’t produce, and the war just
keeps going on and on.”
In a fresh challenge to Zelenskyy, who appears politically weakened in Ukraine
due to a corruption scandal, Trump renewed his call for Ukraine to hold new
elections.
“They haven’t had an election in a long time,” Trump said. “You know, they talk
about a democracy, but it gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore.”
Latin America
Even as he said he is pursuing a peace agenda overseas, Trump said he might
further broaden the military actions his administration has taken in Latin
America against targets it claims are linked to the drug trade. Trump has
deployed a massive military force to the Caribbean to strike alleged drug
runners and pressure the authoritarian regime in Venezuela.
In the interview, Trump repeatedly declined to rule out putting American troops
into Venezuela as part of an effort to bring down the strongman ruler Nicolás
Maduro, whom Trump blames for exporting drugs and dangerous people to the United
States. Some leaders on the American right have warned Trump that a ground
invasion of Venezuela would be a red line for conservatives who voted for him in
part to end foreign wars.
“I don’t want to rule in or out. I don’t talk about it,” Trump said of deploying
ground troops, adding: “I don’t want to talk to you about military strategy.”
But the president said he would consider using force against targets in other
countries where the drug trade is highly active, including Mexico and Colombia.
“Sure, I would,” he said.
Trump scarcely defended some of his most controversial actions in Latin America,
including his recent pardon of the former Honduran President Juan Orlando
Hernández, who was serving a decades-long sentence in an American prison after
being convicted in a massive drug-trafficking conspiracy. Trump said he knew
“very little” about Hernández except that he’d been told by “very good people”
that the former Honduran president had been targeted unfairly by political
opponents.
“They asked me to do it and I said, I’ll do it,” Trump acknowledged, without
naming the people who sought the pardon for Hernández.
HEALTH CARE AND THE ECONOMY
Asked to grade the economy under his watch, Trump rated it an overwhelming
success: “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus.” To the extent voters are frustrated about
prices, Trump said the Biden administration was at fault: “I inherited a mess. I
inherited a total mess.”
The president is facing a forbidding political environment because of voters’
struggles with affordability, with about half of voters overall and nearly 4 in
10 people who voted for Trump in 2024 saying in a recent POLITICO Poll that
the cost of living was as bad as it had ever been in their lives.
Trump said he could make additional changes to tariff policy to help lower the
price of some goods, as he has already done, but he insisted overall that the
trend on costs was in the right direction.
“Prices are all coming down,” Trump said, adding: “Everything is coming down.”
Prices rose 3 percent over the 12 months ending in September, according to the
most recent Consumer Price Index.
Trump’s political struggles are shadowing his upcoming decision on a nominee to
chair the Federal Reserve, a post that will shape the economic environment for
the balance of Trump’s term. Asked if he was making support for slashing
interest rates a litmus test for his Fed nominee, Trump answered with a quick
“yes.”
The most immediate threat to the cost of living for many Americans is the
expiration of enhanced health insurance subsidies for Obamacare exchange plans
that were enacted by Democrats under former President Joe Biden and are set to
expire at the end of this year. Health insurance premiums are expected to spike
in 2026, and medical charities are already experiencing a marked rise in
requests for aid even before subsidies expire.
Trump has been largely absent from health policy negotiations in Washington,
while Democrats and some Republicans supportive of a compromise on subsidies
have run into a wall of opposition on the right. Reaching a deal — and
marshaling support from enough Republicans to pass it — would likely require
direct intervention from the president.
Yet asked if he would support a temporary extension of Obamacare subsidies while
he works out a large-scale plan with lawmakers, Trump was noncommittal.
“I don’t know. I’m gonna have to see,” he said, pivoting to an attack on
Democrats for being too generous with insurance companies in the Affordable Care
Act.
A cloud of uncertainty surrounds the administration’s intentions on health care
policy. In late November, the White House planned to unveil a proposal to
temporarily extend Obamacare subsidies only to postpone the announcement. Trump
has promised on and off for years to unveil a comprehensive plan for replacing
Obamacare but has never done so. That did not change in the interview.
“I want to give the people better health insurance for less money,” Trump said.
“The people will get the money, and they’re going to buy the health insurance
that they want.”
Reminded that Americans are currently buying holiday gifts and drawing up
household budgets for 2026 amid uncertainty around premiums, Trump shot back:
“Don’t be dramatic. Don’t be dramatic.”
SUPREME COURT
Large swaths of Trump’s domestic agenda currently sit before the Supreme Court,
with a generally sympathetic 6-3 conservative majority that has nevertheless
thrown up some obstacles to the most brazen versions of executive power Trump
has attempted to wield.
Trump spoke with POLITICO several days after the high court agreed to hear
arguments concerning the constitutionality of birthright citizenship, the
automatic conferral of citizenship on people born in the United States. Trump is
attempting to roll back that right and said it would be “devastating” if the
court blocked him from doing so.
If the court rules in his favor, Trump said, he had not yet considered whether
he would try to strip citizenship from people who were born as citizens under
current law.
Trump broke with some members of his party who have been hoping that the court’s
two oldest conservatives, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, might consider
retiring before the midterm elections so that Trump can nominate another
conservative while Republicans are guaranteed to control the Senate.
The president said he’d rather Alito, 75, and Thomas, 77, the court’s most
reliable conservative jurists, remain in place: “I hope they stay,” he said,
“’cause I think they’re fantastic.”