At this point last November, Zohran Mamdani was a largely unknown state
assemblyman, and the Democratic Party’s brand in New York City was at rock
bottom.
In the 2024 election, President Donald Trump picked up about 100,000 more votes
in the city than in 2020; Kamala Harris fell more than half a million votes shy
of Joe Biden’s total. And some of the most dramatic shifts in the entire country
could be found in immigrant neighborhoods in Mamdani’s home borough of Queens.
The party’s outer-borough collapse mirrored the party’s national crack-up; as it
spent millions to court college-educated voters in the suburbs, Democrats were
losing ground with the sorts of working-class, non-white voters in blue cities
who traditionally helped form the backbone of the party. The term you kept
hearing over and over was “realignment.”
When we chatted with residents and elected officials this spring, in the Queens
neighborhoods of Jackson Heights and Corona, we found deep-seated frustrations
with Democratic governance—and concerns about crime, immigration, sex-workers,
poor services, and the cost of living. Many people brought up the pandemic,
which had hit the area hard and damaged people’s faith in the social contract.
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“The former governor, Andrew Cuomo, never stepped foot in Corona, even during
the pandemic,” Democratic state assemblywoman Catalina Cruz told us. “I had to
fight him to get a vaccination site in my district because while we were the
epicenter, because my community was undocumented and immigrant, we were the last
ones to get help.” Corona, she said, was what you get “when the government
ignores its community.”
Mamdani’s victory on Tuesday over Cuomo was the product of a relentless campaign
that united a broad multi-racial coalition with a focus on affordability. But it
was also a test of how well the Democratic Party was recovering in the places
where it has suffered the most. This outer-borough collapse, clustered most
intensely in working-class Latino and Asian communities, loomed over the New
York City mayoral race from the start. Mamdani soft-launched his candidacy by
talking to Trump voters and non-voters in outer-borough neighborhoods about what
it would take to win them back.
So: How’d he do?
Comparing off-year races with presidential elections can be a little difficult,
but Mamdani’s vote total—the highest for a winning mayoral candidate since the
1960s—offered some clear takeaways. Although 700,000 fewer people voted in the
city this November compared to last, Mamdani actually earned more votes than
Harris in a few notable areas.
In parts of the Brooklyn neighborhood of Bushwick, home to many young and
left-leaning voters, overall turnout matched or exceeded 2024 totals, and nearly
all those votes went to Mamdani. That’s a major achievement for an off-year
election, and a reflection of the mayor-elect’s appeal among younger Americans
who opposed Trump and were unenthusiastic about the Democratic Party.
> In one heavily Bangladeshi precinct on Hillside Avenue, Mamdani ended up
> winning more raw votes than Harris on Tuesday—despite 14 percent fewer people
> showing up.
But Mamdani also ran well ahead of Harris in another, much different area: along
parts of Hillside Avenue in Queens. This is one of the two neighborhoods Mamdani
visited last November to talk to residents about the presidential election. In
the now-famous video, voters expressed their frustration with the Democratic
Party’s appeasement of Israel and their sense that politicians had done little
to address the high cost of living. In one heavily Bangladeshi precinct on
Hillside Avenue, Mamdani ended up winning more raw votes than Harris on
Tuesday—despite 14 percent fewer people showing up.
The story was similar in other pockets of the city with large South Asian and
Muslim populations, and where Democratic support lagged in 2024. Mamdani,
despite running against a prominent Democratic former governor, scored a
24-percent improvement on Harris’ vote total in one precinct in Brooklyn’s
“Little Bangladesh”—where turnout was just as high as last year.
Mamdani’s energetic emphasis on affordability, his implicit and explicit
rejection of unpopular Democratic figures like Cuomo and Mayor Eric Adams, and
his unique appeal as one of the city’s first major-party Muslim mayoral
candidates helped him make up ground that Democrats had recently lost.
On Tuesday, a few hours before polls closed, we returned to the Queens
neighborhoods we profiled earlier this year for Reveal, to see how Mamdani’s
pitch had gone over. What we found was backed up by the numbers. It would be
wishful thinking to call Mamdani universally beloved, but there were signs that
his message of affordability resonated with voters who had been on the fence
about Democrats, and that Trump’s 2024 coalition was beginning to fracture.
In conversations with about two dozen voters, we heard firsthand from people who
voted Democratic after rejecting Harris last year, and from voters—particularly
young voters—who were drawn to Mamdani by his emphasis on issues that affected
their lives on a daily basis.
“I don’t take buses because I don’t trust them—I pay for the bus, it just, like,
skips my stop or something,” said a young Elmhurst voter named Diego. Another
voter outside the precinct said he voted for Trump as “the lesser evil” in 2024,
but felt that Mamdani offered a new direction and saw promise in his plans to
make the city “affordable.”
“The free bus thing, I think, is great,” he said. “A lot of the time people
don’t want to pay for the bus anyway. That’s a good incentive, and honestly, I’d
rather if we all paid a little more tax and make the MTA free.”
Beyond Mamdani convincing some Trump voters, there were signs of dissatisfaction
in the Republican electorate, too. More than one voter mentioned that they voted
for Trump—and not for Mamdani—but were disappointed by the administration.
A senior citizen in Jackson Heights who voted for Cuomo because of his emphasis
on public safety told us that he and his wife had both voted for Trump last
November.
“He promised a lot of things [were] going to change,” he said.
“But nothing’s changed,” his wife added.
Mamdani had some of his strongest performances in Jackson Heights, an
extraordinarily diverse neighborhood with large South Asian and Latino
populations. In one heavily South Asian voting district in the neighborhood,
Mamdani ran 20 percentage points ahead of Kamala Harris and netted more votes
overall.
Outside a polling site in the neighborhood on Tuesday, Abdul Aliy said that he
left the presidential line blank last November. “I just couldn’t bring myself to
vote for Harris, [and] obviously I wasn’t gonna vote for Trump, so there wasn’t
really an option I saw,” he said. But he told us he voted for Mamdani
enthusiastically, because the democratic socialist’s platform aligned with his
own values: “Free transit, free buses,” he said, rattling off the campaign
promises that resonated. “He has this idea of a public market that will
stabilize the prices of certain goods—I like that idea.”
Outside of P.S. 89Q in nearby Elmhurst, Rina Hart, a 32-year-old user interface
designer, said that she and her family were long-time New Yorkers who had voted
for Cuomo in the past. Hart initially thought she would do so again in the
primary. But she was turned off by the former governor’s campaign and the
wealthy donors backing him. “I was concerned about Mamdani’s experience,” she
explained, “but at least he has integrity.”
Her parents ended up voting for Cuomo in the primary, while she and her brothers
went for Mamdani. There was no generational divide in the general election: They
all backed Mamdani. Hart explained that her mom, who is South Asian, had been
alienated by the racist videos promoted by Cuomo’s backers.
“It’s been a really tough time to be a Democrat. And you’re kind of seeing why
we didn’t win,” Hart said about Mamdani’s rise in the wake of recent Democratic
losses. “It’s been really hopeful.” She now wants the party to move on from
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, who did not endorse the mayor-elect.
“That’s the only way we can get out of this MAGA cycle that we’re in,” Hart
said.
Glacel, an Ecuadorian immigrant who has worked at one of the original Equinox
gym locations for the past 31 years, went with Cuomo.
She said she didn’t vote in last year’s presidential election because of the
local crime and disorder. It was the worst she’d ever seen things get in Queens,
and she blamed the decay on Democrats not dealing with the migrant crisis.
“Disgusting. Filthy. Messy,” she said. “Ecuador is better than here.”
Another Elmhurst voter, an Argentine immigrant named Miguel Mendez, described
himself as a sometime-Democratic voter. He opposed Trump during his first
election and had once been curious about Bernie Sanders, but came around to the
Republican nominee by 2024. He believed the neighborhood was deteriorating and
that Democrats were more interested in pushing their ideology than in fixing it
up.
“If it wasn’t the Salvadorans, the MS-13—it was the Tren de Aragua, or even
cartels,” he said. “I mean, you can ask anyone over here where the gangs are.
You can go to Roosevelt, you see what I mean. The prostitution, it’s everywhere.
Mendez chose Curtis Sliwa. (His girlfriend, he said, told him he couldn’t back
Cuomo.)
Despite voting for Trump, he wasn’t happy with how things were playing out in
Washington. The second Trump term had been “a big disappointment for me, because
I was begging him to talk about all the weird drones that came in New Jersey and
New York,” he said. “He said that he was gonna bring that out, same thing with
the Epstein names, a bunch of stuff that he’s not doing—so that makes me think
that no matter what party the guy who’s in office, they just have to follow an
agenda.”
Further along Roosevelt Avenue, in the heavily Latino parts of Queens that swung
heavily toward Trump in 2024, the picture was mixed. Turnout in Corona, a
working-class Latino neighborhood, was up dramatically from the last mayoral
election, but still well short of a presidential year. Among those who voted,
data from the New York Times shows Mamdani winning the neighborhood by 11
points.
Ana, a 58-year-old Democratic voter in Corona from the Dominican Republic, said
she voted for Cuomo after backing Kamala Harris last year. Like other voters in
Corona, the problems along Roosevelt Avenue, which she also blamed on more
recent immigrant arrivals, were front of mind.
“I like the Democrats because they’re humanitarians but as a result they’re
hurting us,” Ana said. She lamented that her own Democratic representatives had
not done enough when it came to immigration.
That included her own member of Congress, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(D-N.Y.). But Ana still mostly liked her congresswoman, who unlike Mamdani, she
thought had enough experience.
Ana was skeptical about the feasibility of Mamdani’s plans to make the city more
affordable. Free buses won’t make her daily 4 am subway commute to a restaurant
job at Google’s Manhattan campus any cheaper. Nor would his proposed rent freeze
for stabilized units cover her market-rate apartment.
“You can’t offer free things in New York,” Ana explained in Spanish. “Even
looking at something here costs something.” Then she laughed with a sigh of
resignation.
Mamdani now has four years to prove voters like her wrong.
Tag - 2025 Elections
A little more than four years ago, Zohran Mamdani announced from a lectern in
Manhattan’s City Hall Park that he was about to go on hunger strike. He hoped
that, by doing so, he would push politicians to provide debt relief for New York
City cab drivers. “I will be on strike for as long as it takes,” Mamdani said.
“We are going to be moving all of my meetings. All of my calls. All of my office
duties. I will be taking them from this protest site.”
As I stood in the park that day, it wasn’t clear just how long “as long as it
takes” might mean. Or if it would be enough at all. Mamdani had been an
Assemblymember representing Astoria, Queens, for less than a year at that point.
Fresh off a birthday, he was only three days clear of his twenties.
But when I spoke with Mamdani and taxi driver Richard Chow a few minutes after
both stopped eating, there was uncommon resolve and humility. “What I will go
through pales in comparison to what Richard is going to go through and what so
many other of the drivers are going to go through,” Mamdani told me. “The face
of this hunger strike are people who have ruined their bodies for the city.
Sitting in a chair for up to 16 hours a day.”
Looking back, all the key elements of Mamdani’s mayoral campaign were there.
Debt relief for taxi drivers who’d been the victims of financial schemes was, in
many ways, a fight for a more affordable city. Then there was the already
obvious charisma. The specific knowledge of New Yorker’s struggles. The message
discipline. The moral core of solidarity rooted in leftist organizing. The
contagious optimism. And, most importantly, the belief that he could win.
Five days later, Mamdani had traded his suit for jeans and a New York Taxi
Workers Alliance sweatshirt. In an act of civil disobedience, he and other New
York elected officials then sat down to block traffic in Lower Manhattan. With
cameras watching, NYPD officers lifted them to their feet, zip-tied their hands,
and loaded them into a waiting police van.
Mamdani being placed into a NYPD van following an act of civil disobedience.
The next time I returned was Day 13. Chow, then 63 and living with diabetes, had
started using a wheelchair. “We don’t have a choice,” he’d told me nearly two
weeks before. “I don’t know how long I can stay here. This is our last moment to
fight.” The fight was one tinged with tragedy for him. In 2018, Chow’s brother
had died by suicide after purchasing a medallion for more than $750,000 and
ending up deeply in debt.
It was not clear then, but the end was in sight. Two days later—on Day 15 of the
hunger strike—the taxi drivers won.
Reversing course, Mayor Bill de Blasio agreed to a deal that capped debt loads
at $170,000 and monthly payments at about $1,100. At the protest site, Mamdani
took the bullhorn. “This is just the beginning of solidarity,” he shouted. “We
are going to fight together until there is nothing left in this world to win.”
Moments later, Mamdani, Chow, and other hunger strikers broke the fast as they
bit into halves of avocados. Chow stood briefly, then returned to his
wheelchair—a fist raised in solidarity. Others celebrated with unrestrained joy.
Years later, in May 2025, I ran into Chow and his fellow taxi drivers again.
This time, at a Williamsburg music venue, as they waited for Mamdani to take the
stage at the first major rally of the campaign.
Mamdani was still the underdog at that point, but they’d seen him overcome the
odds before. And soon did so again when Mamdani beat former Governor Andrew
Cuomo in the primary.
On Thursday night, as his campaign came to a close, Mamdani was back where he
began—with members of the Taxi Workers Alliance.
“Hello, Mr. Mayor Mamdani,” Chow said as they embraced. “I love you. We miss
you.”
“I miss you, too,” Mamdani replied.