Matthew Green has a new site that tries to estimate the number of
cryptanalyst-hours that have been spent analyzing different public-key
algorithms:
> Abstract: We estimate how much public cryptanalysis each public-key assumption
> has received, using the literature itself as the instrument. From roughly
> sixteen thousand candidate papers we classify cryptanalytic work on ECDLP,
> structured and plain lattices, syndrome decoding and their comparators, then
> convert papers into estimated research-allocation years through a person-level
> author map. These publication-based estimates may substantially overstate
> actual time spent. Lattices have overtaken elliptic curves in this cumulative
> measure only recently; we express that history as inference budgets under
> stated productivity assumptions. The study was conducted by AI models: Claude
> Fable 5.1 and Claude Opus 5.5 built the pipeline, ran the analysis and wrote
> this page, with contributions from GPT-6 Astra. Matthew Green set the
> questions, made the key methodological decisions and oversaw the work...