This story was originally published by Grist and is reproduced here as part of
the Climate Desk collaboration.
The federal government shutdown is stretching into a second week with no end in
sight. As Democrats and Republicans in Congress face a politically charged
funding impasse, nutrition experts warn that women and children reliant on
federal food assistance funding are particularly vulnerable to imminently losing
their grocery benefits.
In the midst of it all, America’s ability to track the real-world impacts of the
shutdown on hunger is disappearing. Shortly before the shutdown, the Department
of Agriculture (USDA) moved to scrap the Household Food Security Report, the
nation’s primary tool for tracking food insecurity, and in doing so, stripped
away the very infrastructure needed to remedy rising hunger in America.
“If you want a functioning country where people are food-secure, this is the
survey that gives you an indication of how food-secure people are. And that data
shows us that food insecurity has gone up,” says Zia Mehrabi, a data scientist
researching climate change and food insecurity at the University of Colorado
Boulder. “So, actually, as a country, the government response to that should be,
‘How do we fix that?’ rather than say, ‘Oh…let’s cut the whole survey
altogether.’”
If the shutdown continues into next week, the lapse in government funding could
directly affect the nearly 7 million American pregnant women, new mothers,
infants, and young children that rely on WIC, or the Special Supplemental
Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children. The National WIC Association
has warned that the program is days away from running out of money. The USDA
told state agencies last week that they will not receive their quarterly
allocation of money for WIC because of the lapse in federal funding,
CNN reported.
> Food prices are at the highest they’ve been in five years, up 29 percent since
> 2020.
On Tuesday, the White House stated that it would use revenue from some of
President Donald Trump’s tariffs to pay for the WIC budget shortfall. Just how
much funding would be provided, and how that would work, however, went
unspecified. “While Democrats continue to vote to prolong the government
shutdown, blocking funding for mothers and babies who rely on Special
Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC), USDA will
utilize tariff revenue to fund WIC for the foreseeable future,” a USDA
spokesperson told Grist. The representative did not provide clarification on the
impacts of the shutdown on nutrition funding, nor did they provide further
details about Trump’s proposed tariff revenue strategy. The White House declined
Grist’s request for comment.
According to Mitch Jones, managing director of policy and litigation at Food &
Water Watch, the president’s tariff move is “likely impossible” without an act
of Congress to appropriate the funds. The nonprofit mapped where the most young
children at risk of losing benefits live, finding that the shutdown will affect
the highest proportion of kids in Puerto Rico, California, and New York. “It is
poor women and children who will feel the impacts first and worst,” said Jones.
In the US, food insecurity is not a problem of production. (America grows and
imports more than enough food to feed its population.) Food insecurity is an
economic and social condition. When low-income households are forced to decide
between rent, utilities, gas, or groceries, research shows that food is almost
always one of the first costs that people cut.
The 2023 Household Food Security Report found that 13.5 percent of American
households, or roughly 47.4 million people, were struggling to afford enough
food to meet basic nutritional needs. Nearly 14 million of them were children.
The survey gathers data about economic status, food accessibility, and
participation in federal and other food assistance from a nationally
representative sample of roughly 30,000 US households. That report, which
contains the most recent data available, also revealed that not only had food
insecurity overall risen from the year before, but that the number of
food-insecure children had leapt by 3.2 percent in that same time period.
The idea for the survey came to a head during Ronald Reagan’s presidency, when
anti-hunger activists and policymakers ramped up discussions about tracking the
economic levers that contribute to food insecurity on a large scale. It became
evident that there was no relevant government data to enable their work, which
sought to counter the Reagan administration’s move to shrink nutrition
assistance funding based on a stagnating number of people using federal food
benefits—a benchmark of national hunger. The government’s stance was in sharp
contrast with soaring demand reported by food banks, and what activists and
media coverage were capturing at the time.
In 1990, Congress passed legislation that mandated nutritional monitoring and
research, which would serve as the formal basis for the creation of the annual
food security survey carried out by the USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS).
In the decades since, the data has been widely regarded as the federal
government’s most accurate, reliable, and comprehensive way of measuring
national food insecurity and Americans’ economic well-being. “I think that it is
on the same level as the unemployment rate and the poverty rate. It’s one of
those central measures,” said Colleen Heflin, a professor at Syracuse University
who researches food insecurity, nutrition, and welfare policy.
When the USDA announced its termination of the survey on September 20, the
agency called it “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous,” and claimed
that it does “nothing more than fear monger.” Shortly after, roughly a dozen ERS
staffers were placed on administrative leave.
> “Removing this data specifically—it silences the reality of hunger in
> America.”
Other federal datasets do capture some of the indicators recorded by the food
security survey. But those reports are scarce and limited in their scope,
according to Heflin. The Household Trends and Outlook Pulse Survey is one
example—collected every other month, it asks fewer and much less detailed
questions about food insecurity. Heflin says it’s a poor substitute for the
annual report. She also strongly objects to the USDA’s claim about the purpose
of the survey. “Clearly the person that wrote that announcement has never read
the food security report,” said Heflin. “It is a very, very dry and clearly
written report that just describes the statistics. There’s nothing about
fear-mongering. [That’s] so far from the truth.”
The USDA’s press release also noted that trends in the prevalence of food
insecurity have remained “virtually unchanged” despite substantive increases in
spending on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)—and evidence of
rising food insecurity captured by earlier surveys.
“For 30 years, this study—initially created by the Clinton administration as a
means to support the increase of SNAP eligibility and benefit allotments—failed
to present anything more than subjective, liberal fodder,” a USDA representative
told Grist. When asked how USDA plans to track food insecurity in America moving
forward, the spokesperson noted the agency “will continue to prioritize
statutory requirements and where necessary, use the bevy of more timely and
accurate data sets available to it.”
Heflin warns that the loss of the report will have wide-reaching consequences.
“It really leaves a huge hole in our understanding of who is food insecure,
where food insecurity is most prevalent, and how changing economic conditions
and policy conditions are impacting the American population,” said Heflin.
“I think of it as driving without your speedometer,” she said. “We’re not going
to have accurate information to guide our reactions, both from a federal policy
level and community level…We really are driving blind.”
The timing could not be worse. Food prices are at the highest they’ve been in
five years, up 29 percent since 2020, according to the Bureau of Labor
Statistics. America’s public safety net is shrinking, too: Trump’s One Big
Beautiful Bill Act cut an estimated $186 billion from the SNAP and tightened
work requirements that reduce eligibility of who can qualify for the benefits.
“People are struggling to put food on their tables, and farmers are losing
support, and food banks are being pushed beyond capacity,” said Jenique Jones,
the executive director of the nonprofit WhyHunger. “Removing this data
specifically—it silences the reality of hunger in America.”
All the while, climate change is further inflating the cost of food. It’s
another reality that University of Colorado Boulder’s Mehrabi sees worsening as
Trump continues his misinformed climate denial campaign and regulatory
rollbacks. The growing destabilization of food supply chains—wrought by the
compounding impacts of extreme weather events, global warming, the spread of
diseases and pests, and migration and conflict—makes climate change one of the
biggest threats to global food security, according to the Food and Agriculture
Organization of the United Nations.
Rising carbon levels also diminish the nutritional values of the food we eat,
making it even harder for people to get the base nutrition they need.
“There’s really clear evidence that things like zinc, vitamin A, iron, these
really important micronutrients that we are really dependent on, are going to go
down with climate change,” said Mehrabi. “Climate change is putting up the
price, and pushing down the nutritional content. So what do you think that’s
going to do to low-income households that are trying to feed kids that need
their micronutrients?”
All the while, the government shutdown has left thousands of workers across the
nation bereft of income, in danger of falling behind on bills and over the
“hunger cliff.” And without the national hunger dataset, Mehrabi warns that our
ability to track the longer-term effects of government policy on food
insecurity—or of the shutdown’s possible lapse in food assistance benefits—will
be very difficult to do. As will efforts to combat what’s driving more and more
Americans to struggle to afford food.
“The government wants to reduce accountability. This is the big picture of
what’s happening right now. You’d be blind to think this is just the USDA, just
one thing. This is a whole systematic attack,” he said. “There’s a story being
told that this is going to make America great again. Actually, this is going to
make America worse.”